Documentos de Académico
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X2
X3
No colinealidad
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
X2
X3
Colinealidad
Captulo 10. 1
CONSECUENCIAS DE LA MULTICOLINEALIDAD:
A)
EJEMPLO:
CON
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
Captulo 10. 2
B)
x
i 1
2
2i
(1 R22 )
NO
Captulo 10. 3
CONS
0.9808
0.9781
INGRESO
0.9990
COEFFICIENT
----------24.7747
0.94154
-0.04243
R-SQUARED
ADJUSTED R-SQUARED
SOURCE
---------REGRESSION
RESIDUAL
TOTAL
DF
--2
7
9
CASES INCLUDED 10
STD ERROR
--------6.75250
0.82290
0.08066
0.9635
0.9531
STUDENT'S T
----------3.67
1.14
-0.53
P
-----0.0080
0.2902
0.6151
SS
---------8565.55
324.446
8890.00
MS
---------4282.78
46.3494
F
----92.40
VIF
----482.1
482.1
46.3494
6.80804
P
-----0.0000
MISSING CASES 0
COEFFICIENT
----------24.4545
0.50909
0.9621
STD ERROR
--------6.41382
0.03574
F= 202.87
STUDENT'S T
----------3.81
14.24
P
-----0.0051
0.0000
(P=0%)
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
COEFFICIENT
----------24.4110
0.04976
0.9567
STD ERROR
--------6.87410
0.00374
F= 176.67
STUDENT'S T
----------3.55
13.29
P
-----0.0075
0.0000
(P=0%)
Captulo 10. 4
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
Captulo 10. 5
FIV
SI
R223
TOL
SI
R223
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
Captulo 10. 6
MEDIDAS CORRECTIVAS:
CILINDROS
POTENCIA
DOMESTICO
PESO
PRECIO
0.661179679
0.784142527
-0.086891088
0.658537356
CILINDROS
0.661179679
0.794648424
0.294558615
0.794336123
POTENCIA
0.784142527
0.794648424
0.100255676
0.765390591
DOMESTICO
-0.086891088
0.294558615
0.100255676
0.213419680
PESO
0.658537356
0.794336123
0.765390591
0.213419680
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
Captulo 10. 7
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
PESO
POTENCIA
DOMESTICO
CILINDROS
-6.602906
0.002299
0.106746
-4.244207
1.186313
3.352265
0.001779
0.021108
1.277526
0.895632
-1.969685
1.292514
5.057113
-3.322208
1.324554
0.0521
0.1996
0.0000
0.0013
0.1888
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
Durbin-Watson stat
0.665971
0.650613
5.683545
2810.333
-287.8288
1.331592
19.36848
9.615372
6.365842
6.502896
43.36409
0.000000
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
PESO
POTENCIA
DOMESTICO
-6.353290
0.003464
0.119158
-3.721790
3.290929
0.001534
0.016918
1.217061
-1.930546
2.258266
7.043291
-3.058015
0.0567
0.0264
0.0000
0.0029
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
Durbin-Watson stat
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
0.665674
0.654404
5.678525
2869.863
-291.4293
1.449226
19.50968
9.659430
6.353318
6.462247
59.06905
0.000000
Captulo 10. 8
EJEMPLO 3: SUELDOS
SIMULTANEAMENTE
EN
FUNCION
Source |
SS
df
MS
-------------+-----------------------------Model |
361611.66
4
90402.915
Residual | 2481154.36 12641 196.278329
-------------+-----------------------------Total | 2842766.02 12645 224.813446
DE
EDAD
EXPERIENCIA,
Number of obs
F( 4, 12641)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
=
=
=
=
=
=
12646
460.59
0.0000
0.1272
0.1269
14.01
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------wagehr |
Coef.
Std. Err.
t
P>|t|
[95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------age |
1.461888
.05118
28.56
0.000
1.361568
1.562209
exper | -1.458169
.0427488
-34.11
0.000
-1.541964
-1.374375
gender | -6.414467
.2590471
-24.76
0.000
-6.922238
-5.906695
t |
.3630221
.1264449
2.87
0.004
.115171
.6108733
_cons | -726.8261
251.7575
-2.89
0.004
-1220.309
-233.3432
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source |
SS
df
MS
-------------+-----------------------------Model |
361611.66
4
90402.915
Residual | 2481154.36 12641 196.278329
-------------+-----------------------------Total | 2842766.02 12645 224.813446
Number of obs
F( 4, 12641)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
=
=
=
=
=
=
12646
460.59
0.0000
0.1272
0.1269
14.01
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------wagehr |
Coef.
Std. Err.
t
P>|t|
[95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------exper |
.0037187
.0251891
0.15
0.883
-.0456557
.0530932
eduyrs |
1.461888
.05118
28.56
0.000
1.361568
1.562209
gender | -6.414467
.2590471
-24.76
0.000
-6.922238
-5.906695
t |
.3630221
.1264449
2.87
0.004
.115171
.6108733
_cons | -718.0548
251.7849
-2.85
0.004
-1211.591
-224.5183
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
Captulo 10. 9
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
LIT60
LOG(GDP65)
AFRICA
-1.543913
-1.747147
-0.237378
-0.208187
0.099820
0.168329
0.057555
0.100305
-15.46702
-10.37938
-4.124357
-2.075550
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0403
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
Durbin-Watson stat
0.816537
0.811394
0.353844
13.39701
-40.14748
1.732650
-2.557583
0.814767
0.795450
0.893091
158.7416
0.000000
LOG(MORT65)
AFRICA
LOG(GDP65)
LIT60
1
0.56558221
-0.79301059
-0.88654321
0.56558221
1
-0.66182394
-0.66945501
-0.79301059
-0.66182394
1
0.7889455
-0.88654321
-0.66945501
0.78894553
1
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
Captulo 10. 10
PPETRO
0.590010
1.000000
0.731609
0.292106
PIB
0.677914
0.731609
1.000000
0.770112
EXPORT
0.224478
0.292106
0.770112
1.000000
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
PPETRO
PIB
EXPORT
43935.38
-1683.914
0.424339
-0.768335
8993.870
661.6611
0.054104
0.121494
4.885036
-2.544980
7.843062
-6.324072
0.0000
0.0142
0.0000
0.0000
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
Durbin-Watson stat
0.715578
0.697802
21481.57
2.21E+10
-590.4011
0.282156
79041.65
39076.92
22.86158
23.01168
40.25452
0.000000
EJEMPLO 6: COBB-DOUGLAS
MATRIZ CORRELACION:
GDP
CAP
EMP
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
1
0.9965445
0.9776981
1
0.9693364
Captulo 10. 11
Coefficient
-38831.48
0.511917
7.464531
0.995363
0.994817
5946.640
6.01E+08
-200.5652
0.657277
Std. Error
t-Statistic
15422.34 -2.517872
0.042558
12.02872
2.598340
2.872807
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
Prob.
0.0221
0.0000
0.0106
218506.3
82602.34
20.35652
20.50588
1824.511
0.000000
1
0.8432908
0.2092758
1
0.06290452
Prob.
0.1330
0.0000
0.0394
-13733.37
6238.919
19.06157
19.21069
28.40104
0.000005
VIF = 1.067
EXAMPLE 7: CHILD MORTALITY (cm) AS A FUNCTION OF FEMALE
LITERACY (fml), PGNP AND TOTAL FERTILITY RATE (tfr)
. corr cm flr pgnp tfr
|
cm
flr
pgnp
tfr
-------------+-----------------------------------cm |
1.0000
flr | -0.8183
1.0000
pgnp | -0.4077
0.2685
1.0000
tfr |
0.6711 -0.6260 -0.1857
1.0000
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
Captulo 10. 12
. reg
Source |
SS
df
MS
-------------+-----------------------------Model | 271802.616
3 90600.8721
Residual | 91875.3836
60 1531.25639
-------------+-----------------------------Total |
363678
63 5772.66667
Number of obs
F( 3,
60)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
=
=
=
=
=
=
64
59.17
0.0000
0.7474
0.7347
39.131
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------cm |
Coef.
Std. Err.
t
P>|t|
[95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------flr | -1.768029
.2480169
-7.13
0.000
-2.264137
-1.271921
pgnp | -.0055112
.0018782
-2.93
0.005
-.0092682
-.0017542
tfr |
12.86864
4.190533
3.07
0.003
4.486323
21.25095
_cons |
168.3067
32.89166
5.12
0.000
102.5136
234.0998
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------. vif
Variable |
VIF
1/VIF
-------------+---------------------flr |
1.71
0.584165
tfr |
1.65
0.607847
pgnp |
1.08
0.927381
-------------+---------------------Mean VIF |
1.48
. graph matrix cm flr pgnp tfr
50
100
8
300
200
CM
100
0
100
FLR
50
20000
PGNP
10000
0
8
6
TFR
4
2
0
100
J. Ramoni Perazzi
Econometra I
200
300
10000
20000
Captulo 10. 13