DATOS DE PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA EN 24 HORAS

ESTACIÓN EL PARTIDOR
Estación: LACHAQUI Lat:
Parámetro: PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA EN 24 HORAS Lon:
Alt:

Año Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep

1 1992 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 1993 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
3 1994 10.5 20.0 40.0 35.0 27.2 10.0 2.0 5.0 3.0
4 1995 8.0 15.0 20.0 2.2 1.5 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.0
5 1996 3.5 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.9 0.0
6 1997 12.5 2.0 10.5 10.5 10.6 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.7
7 1998 10.5 3.0 20.4 10.5 12.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 3.0
8 1999 25.0 15.0 16.0 15.0 20.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 5.0
9 2000 10.3 10.0 34.0 40.3 10.3 10.2 3.0 0.0 3.2
10 2001 16.0 60.3 58.5 50.2 9.1 10.0 5.1 6.2 12.2
11 2002 15.3 16.0 18.0 70.2 6.0 7.1 2.1 8.1 9.3
12 2003 15.2 20.5 12.0 10.0 13.1 8.1 4.3 10.0 8.1
13 2004 19.3 30.1 32.7 18.3 15.4 8.3 6.1 7.5 0.0
14 2005 24.4 26.2 31.3 18.1 18.2 9.1 6.3 11.0 0.0
15 2006 20.1 0.0 0.0 15.0 8.7 6.1 0.0 0.0 8.4
16 2007 8.6 23.3 38.2 18.4 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
17 2008 8.1 19.6 23.6 22.3 8.0 8.3 1.3 0.0 0.0
18 2009 2.3 10.7 37.1 7.0 10.1 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
19 2010 6.0 29.0 26.1 10.3 10.7 8.7 7.0 0.0 0.0
20 2011 10.1 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
21 2012 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
22 2013 14.7 21.3 20.1 14.3 10.0 8.0 3.0 10.3 0.0
23 2014 14.3 18.4 17.0 18.0 10.3 8.4 2.5 0.0 6.0
24 2015 18.8 18.6 19.8 23.1 7.6 0.0 3.7 6.0 0.0
25 2016 13.0 15.0 19.3 25.1 8.0 5.0 2.3 0.0 0.0
26 2017 15.0 15.0 8.3 18.0 8.1 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
27 2018 29.0 21.0 28.3 18.2 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
28 2019 9.1 14.2 21.5 31.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
29 2020 4.8 18.0 27.4 23.5 12.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.5
30 2021 36.5 48.0 58.0 30.0 30.1 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.8
31 2022 22.0 60.0 53.5 23.5 13.8 1.7 12.5 2.4 16.0
S

Disto:
Prov:
Dpto: PIURA
PMáx.
Oct Nov Dic Anual
0.9 0.8 0.8 22.6
0.0 0.0 0.0 22.9
1.0 1.0 8.0 34.9
10.6 0.5 1.0 19.3
20.5 0.5 1.0 20.0
10.6 0.0 0.8 28.0
4.0 5.0 10.0 30.3
15.0 5.0 7.0 25.5
4.0 9.0 15.2 22.0
12.5 5.1 10.1 29.6
5.2 4.3 12.0 26.3
6.0 8.3 19.2 24.3
3.0 9.0 12.4 24.0
0.0 2.0 21.0 18.7
0.0 8.3 10.2 21.9
0.0 2.1 4.5 26.7
1.2 1.1 5.3 29.0
1.2 10.2 10.1 31.5
0.0 5.6 8.0 24.8
0.0 0.0 0.0 24.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 23.8
2.1 5.4 15.2 32.3
0.0 2.4 12.7 16.7
4.2 6.3 10.6 22.2
1.3 2.4 7.5 36.2
5.7 0.0 5.0 25.9
0.0 0.0 0.0 34.2
13.0 11.0 3.5 26.1
4.2 3.0 19.5 22.4
3.5 4.5 7.0 20.9
12.2 0.5 35.0 26.3
Año P24
1992 22.60
1993 22.94
1994 34.92
1995 19.32
1996 20.00
1997 28.02
1998 30.28
1999 25.54
2000 22.04
2001 29.61
2002 26.33
2003 24.30
2004 23.96
2005 18.65
2006 21.92
2007 26.67
2008 29.04
2009 31.53
2010 24.75
2011 23.96
2012 23.84
2013 32.32
2014 16.72
2015 22.15
2016 36.16
2017 25.88
2018 34.24
2019 26.09
2020 22.37
2021 20.90
2022 26.33
Breve analisis del por qué se toma el método de Gamma

Distribuciones para máximas % de Ajuste

Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for:All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained a

Normal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 87.30%
LogNormal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.74%
Exponential ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 68.64%
Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 86.64%
Normal (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.36%
EV1-Max (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 100.00%
Galton ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.37%
Exponential (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 70.04%
Gamma ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 98.24%
Log Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT REJECT 99.68%
EV2-Max REJECT REJECT REJECT 94.93%
EV1-Min (Gumbel) REJECT REJECT REJECT 34.12%
EV3-Min (Weibull) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 62.44%
GEV-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.58%
GEV-Min ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 98.93%
Pareto REJECT REJECT REJECT 11.75%
GEV-Max (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.98%
GEV-Min (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.47%
EV1-Max (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.96%
EV2-Max (L-Momments) REJECT REJECT REJECT 98.19%
EV1-Min (Gumbel, L-Moments) REJECT REJECT REJECT 30.68%
EV3-Min (Weibull, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 61.57%
Pareto (L-Moments) REJECT REJECT REJECT 15.67%
GEV-Max (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 90.90%
GEV-Min (kappa specified) ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 59.78%
GEV-Max (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 98.09%
GEV-Min (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 58.53%
Mayor ajuste es el que tiene menor Dmax

DMax
0.09973
0.06456 Cumple con el ajuste de la distribución base
0.12156
0.10065
Weibull LogNormal
0.06958
0.04776 Exceedance probability (%) - scale: Normal distribution
99.95%

99.8%
99.5%

0.06941

.05%
99%
98%

95%

90%

80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%

10%

.5%
.2%
5%

2%
1%
0.12006
50
0.07654
0.06561 45
0.08667
40
0.16182
0.12818 35
0.06706
0.07284 30

0.20698
mm

25
0.05461
0.06841 20
0.05699
15
0.07677
0.1669 10
0.1291
5
0.19582
0.09432 0
0.13103 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
0.07721
0.13237
 1%
.5%
.2%

3
.05%
Tr = 100 años

Tr PPmax
100 40.827 mm
 ELABORADO POR Dr.MAIQUEL LÓP

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste Smirnov - Kolgomorov

TABLA 1 HIDROESTA o HIDROGNOMON D MAX
No Función de Distribución Dteórico
1 Normal 0.09973
2 LogNormal 0.06456
3 Ganmma 0.07654
4 LogPearson Tipo III 0.06561
5 Gumbel Max 0.04776
6 Gumbel Min 0.16182
7 Pearson III 0.10065

TABLA 2
T (años) Pearson III Factor de Correción
100 40.83 46.13

Tabla 3. Según OMM para datos registrados diarios se aplica un

valor de correción
No Observaciones Relación
1 1.13
2 1.04
3 --4 1.03
5--8 1.02
9--24 1.01
Fuente: Linsley Kohler y Paulhus
OR Dr.MAIQUEL LÓPEZ SILVA y Dra DAYMA CARMENATES HERNÁNDEZ

omorov
Ley Weibull
Dtabulado
0.1942
0.1942
0.1942
0.1942
0.1942
0.1942
0.1942
 ELABORADO POR Dr.MAIQUEL LÓPEZ SILVA

Modelo de Dick y Peschke (

Tabla 4 Distribución de precipitaciones en 24 horas

0.08 0.17 0.25

T (años) Pmáx 24 horas 5 10 15
70 100 46.13 11.20 13.32 14.74

Tabla 5
Las
T (años) 5 10 15
100 134.39 79.91 58.95

Periodo retorino 100 años

Tabla 6 Periodo retorno 100 años Tabla 7
Duración I (mm/h) Duración
5 134.39 5
10 79.91 10
15 58.95 15
20 47.51 20
25 40.19 25
30 35.05 30
60 20.84 60
360 5.44 360
480 4.38 480
600 3.71 600
720 3.23 720
1440 1.92 1440
AIQUEL LÓPEZ SILVA y Dra DAYMA CARMENATES HERNÁNDEZ

odelo de Dick y Peschke (1978)

aciones en 24 horas

Tiempo en minutos
0.33 0.42 0.50 1.00 6.00 8.00 10.00
20 25 30 60 360 480 600
15.84 16.75 17.53 20.84 32.62 35.05 37.07

Las intensidades máximas diarias en mm/h

20 25 30 60 360 480 600
47.51 40.19 35.05 20.84 5.44 4.38 3.71
Periodo de Retorno
100
134.39
79.91
58.95
47.51
40.19
35.05
20.84
5.44
4.38
3.71
3.23
1.92
12.00 24.00 Horas
720 1440 Min
38.79 46.13

720 1440
3.23 1.92
 ELABORADO POR Dr.MAIQUEL LÓPEZ SILVA y Dra DAYMA C
Obtención de las curvas Intensidad Frecuencia y D
MÉTODO DE TALBOT

MODELO POTENCIA
Tabla 8
Ajuste de los datos de intensidad y duración al modelo de Talbot -Ejempl
Datos
No D (min) I (mm/h) No X Y = 1/I
1 5 134.39 1 5 0.007
2 10 79.91 2 10 0.013
3 15 58.95 3 15 0.017
4 20 47.51 4 20 0.021
5 25 40.19 5 25 0.025
6 30 35.05 6 30 0.029
7 60 20.84 7 60 0.048
8 360 5.44 8 360 0.184
9 480 4.38 9 480 0.228
10 600 3.71 10 600 0.270
11 720 3.23 11 720 0.309
12 1440 1.92 12 1440 0.520
13
14
15 25.00 Duración vs Intensidad
f(x) = 721.87760648374 x^-0.812862792054488
16 R² = 0.993256306663232
20.00
17
Intensidad (mm/h)

18 15.00
19
20 10.00
21
5.00
22
23 0.00
24 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
25 Duración (min)
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
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50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
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60
61
62
63
64
65
66
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68
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70
71
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81
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84
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86
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95
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100
101
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103
104
105
106
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109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132

Suma 3765.00 435.53 Suma 3,765.00 1.67

Prom 313.75 36.29 Prom 313.75 0.14
PEZ SILVA y Dra DAYMA CARMENATES HERNÁNDEZ
Intensidad Frecuencia y Duración "IDF"
TODO DE TALBOT

MODELO POTENCIAL TALBOT

l modelo de Talbot -Ejemplo para períodos de retorno de 70 años

X.Y X2 Y2 Resultados
0.04 25.00 0.00006 SCCy = 0.29705
0.13 100.00 0.00016 SCCx = 2136606.25
0.25 225.00 0.00029 SPCxy = 790.43
0.42 400.00 0.00044 b1 = 0.00037
0.62 625.00 0.00062 a1 = 0.02316
0.86 900.00 0.00081 a= 2703.09 Respuesta
2.88 3600.00 0.00230 b= 62.61 Respuesta
66.21 129600.00 0.03383 R2 = 0.992 Respuesta
109.54 230400.00 0.05208
161.87 360000.00 0.07279 Para 70 años
222.71 518400.00 0.09568 Duración min
749.11 2073600.00 0.27063 60
120
180
Intensidad
.812862792054488 240
300
a
I  (mm / h) 360
bD 420
480
540
600
660
720
800 1000 1200 1400 780
(min) 840
900
960
1020
1080
1140
1200
1,314.65 3,317,875.00 0.53
I mm/h
22.05
14.80
11.14
8.93
7.45
6.40
5.60
4.98
4.49
4.08
3.74
3.45
3.21
2.99
2.81
2.64
2.50
2.37
2.25
2.14
 ELABORADO POR Dr.MAIQUEL LÓPE

Aparicio (1992)

APARICIO, F. (1997). Fundamentos de Hidrología de Superficie. México : Edito

Tabla 9 MODELO P

No I (mm/h) T (años) D (min) y = log (I) X1 = log (T) X2 = log (D)

1 134.39 70 5 2.13 1.85 0.70
2 79.91 70 10 1.90 1.85 1.00
3 58.95 70 15 1.77 1.85 1.18
4 47.51 70 20 1.68 1.85 1.30
5 40.19 70 25 1.60 1.85 1.40
6 35.05 70 30 1.54 1.85 1.48
7 20.84 70 60 1.32 1.85 1.78
8 5.44 70 360 0.74 1.85 2.56
9 4.38 70 480 0.64 1.85 2.68
10 3.71 70 600 0.57 1.85 2.78
11 3.23 70 720 0.51 1.85 2.86
12 1.92 70 1440 0.28 1.85 3.16
13
14
15
16
17
18
Curva
19
20 80.00

21 70.00
22 60.00
23
Intensi dad (mm/h

50.00
24
40.00
25
26 30.00
27 20.00
f(x) = 449.3518557
28 R² = 1
10.00
29
0.00
30
0 200 400
31
 10.00 R² = 1

0.00
0 200 400

32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
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51
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81
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103
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106
107
108
109
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111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
.MAIQUEL LÓPEZ SILVA y Dra DAYMA CARMENATES HERNÁNDEZ

e Superficie. México : Editorial Limusa, Balderas, pp. 303

MODELO POTENCIAL APARICIO (1992)

No y X1 X2 y2 X12 X22 y.X1 y.X2 X1.X2

1 2.13 1.85 0.70 4.53 3.40 0.49 3.93 1.49 1.29
2 1.90 1.85 1.00 3.62 3.40 1.00 3.51 1.90 1.85
3 1.77 1.85 1.18 3.13 3.40 1.38 3.27 2.08 2.17
4 1.68 1.85 1.30 2.81 3.40 1.69 3.09 2.18 2.40
5 1.60 1.85 1.40 2.57 3.40 1.95 2.96 2.24 2.58
6 1.54 1.85 1.48 2.39 3.40 2.18 2.85 2.28 2.73
7 1.32 1.85 1.78 1.74 3.40 3.16 2.43 2.35 3.28
8 0.74 1.85 2.56 0.54 3.40 6.53 1.36 1.88 4.72
9 0.64 1.85 2.68 0.41 3.40 7.19 1.18 1.72 4.95
10 0.57 1.85 2.78 0.32 3.40 7.72 1.05 1.58 5.13
11 0.51 1.85 2.86 0.26 3.40 8.16 0.94 1.46 5.27
12 0.28 1.85 3.16 0.08 3.40 9.98 0.52 0.90 5.83
13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
14
15
16
17
18
Curva IDF para 70 años
19
80.00 20
70.00 21
60.00 22
23
50.00
24
40.00
25
30.00 26
20.00 27
f(x) = 449.351855794956 x^-0.750000000000001
R² = 1 28
10.00
29
0.00
30
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
31
DURACIÓN (min)
10.00 R² = 1

0.00
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
DURACIÓN (min)
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
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60
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111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
 128
129
130
131
132

Suma 14.69 22.14 22.86 22.41 40.85 51.44 27.10 22.06 42.18
Prom 1.13 1.70 1.76
1.91
27.9768
DEZ

Resultados
SCCy = 5.82
SCCX1 = 3.14
SCCX2 = 11.24
SCCyx1 = 2.084
SCCyx2 = -3.77
SCCX1X2 = 3.24
a1 = 1.438
a2 = -0.750
ao = 0.000
m= 1.438
n= 0.750
K= 1.000
R =
2 1.000

K .T m
I n
( mm / h)
D

Duración min Tiempo (años) I mm/h

60 70 20.84
120 70 12.39
180 70 9.14
240 70 7.37
300 70 6.23
360 70 5.44
420 70 4.84
480 70 4.38
540 70 4.01
600 70 3.71
660 70 3.45
720 70 3.23
780 70 3.04
840 70 2.88
900 70 2.73
960 70 2.61
1020 70 2.49
1080 70 2.39
1140 70 2.29
1200 70 2.20
 INSERTAR ECUACION SELECCIONADA ELABORADO POR Dr.MAIQ
HIETOGRAMA DE FRECUENCIA

MÉTODO DE BLOQUE ALTERNOS

Dt I (mm/h) - 70años P
Duración (h) Duración (min) Intensidad (mm/h) Profundidad
AÑOS acumulada (mm)
70 1 60 20.84 20.84
70 2 120 12.39 24.79
70 3 180 9.14 27.43
70 4 240 7.37 29.48
70 5 300 6.23 31.17
70 6 360 5.44 32.62
70 7 420 4.84 33.90
70 8 480 4.38 35.05
70 9 540 4.01 36.10
70 10 600 3.71 37.07
70 11 660 3.45 37.96
70 12 720 3.23 38.79
70 13 780 3.04 39.58
70 14 840 2.88 40.32
70 15 900 2.73 41.02
70 16 960 2.61 41.69
70 17 1020 2.49 42.32
70 18 1080 2.39 42.93
70 19 1140 2.29 43.52
70 20 1200 2.20 44.08
70 21 1260 2.12 44.62
70 22 1320 2.05 45.14
70 23 1380 1.98 45.65
70 24 1440 1.92 46.13
RADO POR Dr.MAIQUEL LÓPEZ SILVA y Dra DAYMA CARMENATES HERNÁNDEZ
DE FRECUENCIA
m 1.438
OQUE ALTERNOS K .T m
n 0.75 I (mm / h)
K 1 Dn
DP DP ordenado
Profundidad Precipitaciones
Incremental (mm) (mm) 25

20.84 0.50
3.94 0.54 20
2.64 0.58

PRECIPITACIÓN (mm)
2.05 0.64
15
1.69 0.70
1.45 0.78
1.28 0.89 10
1.15 1.05
1.05 1.28 5
0.96 1.69
0.89 2.64
0
0.83 20.84 60 120 180 240 300 360 420 480 540 600 660 720 780 840 900 960 0
0.78 3.94 1

0.74 2.05 TIEMPO (min)

0.70 1.45
0.67 1.15
0.64 0.96
0.61 0.83
0.58 0.74
0.56 0.67
0.54 0.61
0.52 0.56
0.50 0.52
0.49 0.49
ATES HERNÁNDEZ

(mm / h)

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 102 108 114 120 126 132 138 144

TIEMPO (min)
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HIETOGRAMA DE FRECUENCIA

MÉTODO DE BLOQUE ALTERNOS

Dt I (mm/h) - 100años P
Duración (h) Duración (min) Intensidad (mm/h) Profundidad
AÑOS acumulada (mm)
70 1 60 22.05 22.05
70 2 120 14.80 29.60
70 3 180 11.14 33.42
70 4 240 8.93 35.73
70 5 300 7.45 37.27
70 6 360 6.40 38.38
70 7 420 5.60 39.21
70 8 480 4.98 39.85
70 9 540 4.49 40.37
70 10 600 4.08 40.79
70 11 660 3.74 41.15
70 12 720 3.45 41.45
70 13 780 3.21 41.70
70 14 840 2.99 41.93
70 15 900 2.81 42.12
70 16 960 2.64 42.29
70 17 1020 2.50 42.45
70 18 1080 2.37 42.58
70 19 1140 2.25 42.71
70 20 1200 2.14 42.82
70 21 1260 2.04 42.92
70 22 1320 1.96 43.01
70 23 1380 1.87 43.10
70 24 1440 1.80 43.17
RADO POR Dr.MAIQUEL LÓPEZ SILVA y Dra DAYMA CARMENATES HERNÁNDEZ
DE FRECUENCIA
a 2703.089 a
OQUE ALTERNOS b 62.615 I  (mm / h)
bD
DP DP ordenado
Profundidad Precipitaciones
Incremental (mm) (mm)
DP ordenado
22.05 0.08
7.56 0.10 25
3.82 0.12
2.31 0.15 20

1.54 0.19 PRECIPITACIÓN (mm)

1.10 0.26 15

0.83 0.35
10
0.65 0.52
0.52 0.83
5
0.42 1.54
0.35 3.82
0
0.30 22.05 60 120 180 240 300 360 420 480 540 600 660 720 780 840 900 960 0
0.26 7.56 1

0.22 2.31 TIEMPO (min)

0.19 1.10
0.17 0.65
0.15 0.42
0.14 0.30
0.12 0.22
0.11 0.17
0.10 0.14
0.09 0.11
0.08 0.09
0.08 0.08
ATES HERNÁNDEZ

 (mm / h)
D

DP ordenado

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 102 108 114 120 126 132 138 144

TIEMPO (min)