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Elementos:
Dinamica de Sistemas.
I
Elementos
-
Relaciones
-
Estado
Objetivo
-Comportamiento sistema.
(gerformance).
E
Vi:40%
.
T
3 de4 304
VS TVi
↑E
09 - =
DD
E
-
0.9
Ukden=E) virugn-i
⑧ -
Meen
(0.9) (0.9)
0.9477
=
I
↳
↓
2 de 3 2 de 3 2
0.85 0.83
0.85 0.85
0.85 0.85
2d3 203
0.83 0.85
0.85 0.85
0.85 0.83
Ex (*) vig-v)
n-
Vicn=
Eus- [1-0.9392] 0.9965
=
0.9392
=
0.80 0.9852" =
n Cantidad
=
de coches necesarios
tener confiabilidad
para
In 0.8 n
=
In 0.9852 desenda.
n
08
=
e
-
D 14
Almacenes
Operador Taller
0.73 Ogeradores
6
0.75
-
-00 0.9 e
Yop = 1 -
(1-0.75)=0.9375
precioes I
Mecánicos
0.8405
=
Almacenes
~
Mecanicos Valm 1
=
-
(1 0.6)=0.84
-
VP, 1
= -
(1 -
~Pl
8
0.9375 0.84 0.95 ⑧
0.8905
Ct1 => costo Total
$ *
CR C I MOI Instalación
+
=
CT1
n.CR
[ncR+cFc-vr]
↑
....-- min
nor=
CF. (1-v)n
B
nor:min CT1
nor n
+CF)1-v)"
·
en
paralelo (redundantes)
Tared
despejar
*
.
0;n
(1-v)) e
=
-> nor
dInc
+c formula determinar
para
nor
dado CR, CF
1/fon/23
CR 100 =
CF 4000 =
v 75%
=
nor=?
"
n CR (1 -
CF(1
+ -
v)
2 200 0.182 =
62.5 362.5 3
nor: elementos
(4)
-
Ukcn vi(r- v) D
=
i no
=
de elementos
funcionando
Fiden=E(?) vegirugn-e -
Prob. falla.
kden
para
CR=1500
CF 37000 =
V 60%
=
nor:?
k 1
=
koten
[
0.16
0.1768
5 7500 0.08704 0.01024 t
32000(0.08704) 2784
= 10 284.
Minimo
nor 5
=
Andenes x 5, 2de5
=
Operadores 3, Ide 3
Supervisores I
Anderes
2 de 5
2 de3
0.6 0.83
+
(5) 0.6410.418
⑧ 0.6 0.85 085 0
0.6 0.85
0.9130
=
0.6
6/Mar/23
Operadores
0,925
⑧
0-9138 0.85 0.9392 ⑧
-(2) 0.85 (0.15) (3) 0.85 (0.15)
+
0.3281 + 0.6141
=
0.5
=0.9392
U Total 0.7932
=
VTotal 0.7288=
Con auxiliar
supervisor
Up 1-
=
(1 0.85)(1 0.5)
-
-
0.925
=
es
-
-
D.
D. Normal
D. Weibull=
Exponencial.
Generalizacion
Y
de
Y
Casus especiales
de la Weibull
la
la D.
D. Exponencial
Normal
on M
At
1) Ut=?,A conocida.
2) t =?; Ut requerida
antia Definición
3) M =
?;Ut requerida
v =
Y a una a conocida.
Numero optimo de elementos redundantes (nor)
d(n(r +
(+ (1 -
y)n)
0
=
de
d(n(r)
du
+
d(Ct)-v) 0
=
dInCr
-1.x) =
dn
In
= (n (n)
CInca
Crd
da
Cf-n(n(a) dnCrIn(n)
d -
=
du da
* enalCf=-
n(In (a)(1) =
- Cr
-
CV
n =
n(a) (f
In(a)(f ? +
0
=
08/jonio/es
D. Exponencial
ft1
ft xet
=
It xe*dt
=
Ft =
1 -
ext
At Ut 1 = -
Ft
Ut 4xt =
in=tasa de fallo
ft -
Eft= Ft ol-Ft Ut =
o
riesgo
de
operación
i
4
=
iMr
M, < M, <
M3
1) Ut =
?
t 3 =
semanas
M 10
=
semanas
t
Ut
-
e
=
xt
=
0.1
=
0.1(3)
Ut =
e 50.3
=
0.74
=
2) t
?,
=
Vt 0.9 =
-0.1(t)
0.9 é
=
bn 0.9 =-0.1t
t 10.9=1.05
=
semana
3) M ?t 5
=
=
semanas Ut=70%
0.7 0 x (5) =
en 0.7 = -
5x
x =
27 0.0713
=
M
=
=0.0713=14.08 semanas
47 M, vs M2 La pieza requerida es
la mayor calidad.
10 VS 14.08
1) Ut =
?
t5 =
meses M 48
=
meses.
x 48 0.0208
= =
0.0208(5)
Ut 00100
-
0.9012
=
e
=
-
2)
x
4
=
t ?, Ut
=
80%
=
0.8 0.0208(t)
=
(n 0.8 =
-
0.0208(t)
(n0.8
t= 10.728
=
-
0,0208
3) M=? t 12
=
meses Ut 74%
=
4) M, vs Me
48 5 1
0.79 ex()
=
Us
La greza requenden
In 0.74-12 x
es de calidad.
mejor
x
87
=
R 0.0196 =
a i 0.8,96
=
=
=51 meses,
D. Normal.
ft1
im
!
ft
or
=
e
Ft J
=
ft dt Ut 1
=
-
0(t)
- M
At
e
A
- ft =
z =
E
El
A
-.
: D
CR 220
=
Número de
CF 900 =
3
=
agentes
V 60%
=
nor:?
k 1
=
1016
1840. 28
0.1768
5 100 0.08704 0.01024 t
900(0.087) 58.3
=
=
1 178.3
1356.81
4 de 6
0.5
0.5
Agente Call center
0.5
↑
0.5 -
2 de 3
0.5 Motocicletas.
0.6
⑧ 0.6
0.5
(5)0.54(0.55 (5) 0.5%10.5) +
+
0.75 ⑳
0.6
I de 4 (8) 0.5%0.5)° 0.3438 =
0.5
0.5
Refrigeracion
(40.5 (0.5 + (2) 0.5 (0.5+
0.5
0.5
(5) 0.53(0.5)' + (4) 0.54 0.9375
=
Pl
0.3438
P, (1
=
(1 -0.3438)(1 0.9375)
P
- -
8
0.648 0.75 ⑧
-
0.95
0.9373
Si (0.64)(0.95)(0.75) 0.956
=
=
0.936
decide a contenedores más,
agregar . -648 0.95 0.75 ⑧
debido a la cantidad
que por 0,75
de motocicletas no termina
estar los 3
agentes. · 0.936 0.95 0.9844
Call center
⑧ 0.8753 ⑧
(1 -
(1 0.6)(1
-
-
0.6)(1 -
0.6)) 0.936
=
Contenedores
(1 (1 0.75)(1
- -
-
0.75)(1 0.75))
-
0.9844
=
Confiabilidad total
M6 r 2 meses
=
meses =
DVt = ? t 3 =
meses
z tM
=
=
= -
1.5
-(z) F(z) =
Vt 1 =
-
0(z) 1
=
-
0.06681
2) t ? =
Vt 85% =
Vt 1
= -
0(z) = $(z) 1
=
-
Vt
0(z) (1 0.83)
= -
0.15
=
=
5 -
N
V
-
1.04 ZC-1.03 is
.
t rz M
+
=
E =
- 1.04 -0() 0.14917
= -
0.13 = -
0.00083
0(z) -0.0181
=
=> - 0.13
=
=
-
- =
f 3.92
=
meses
3) M =?
ti 2.5
=
Ut, 90%=
Si
r ?
=
tz
=
4.2 Ut 85%
=
Elasi.
-
1.64 Ecuacion 1 2.5 = -1.64r+
M
C
Z,
= -
=
-
1.04 2
Mult x-1 E1
-
2.5 =
1.64r -
1.7 0.6r
=
r
1 2.83
=
=
Sustitur r en Ec. 1
2.5 = -
1.64(2.83) M + =
-
M 2.5
=
1.64(2.83)
+
=
7.1412
a) M r
Actual 6 2
M > A favor de calidad pero
contra del precio
Requerida
en
7. 1412 2.83
DVt = ?t 3500 =
t N
080--1.67
-
=
=
=
-(z) F(z) =
Vt 1 =
-
0(z) 1
=
-
0.04746
2) t =
? Vt 75%
=
Vt 1
= -
0(z) = $(z) 1
=
-
Vt
0.68 z -
0.67
=
5 -
N
t rz M t 11500( 0.67)
+
=
.
=
-
8000
+
8 6995km
=
3) M =?
ti 1700
=
Ut, 97 Y
=
Si
r ?
=
tz
=
7500 Ut 52%
=
Ecuación 1 1700 =
-1.88r M
+
Z1a7= -
188
Ecuación 1 1500 =-0.05 r+ po
E252 Mult 1700 1,88 -M
=
0.05
-
-
r
5800 1.83r
=
Sustitur r en Ec. 1
1700 = -
1.88(3169.3a) +
M -
M 7658.47km
=
a) M w
Diferencia -
4.2% 111 %
-
1) Ut = ? t =
5,000 km M=80,000 km
xt
Ut e X=00 1.25x18-5
-
5(5000)
-
1.25x10
Vt =
Ut 0.9394
=
2) t = ? Ut 0.75=
3) M =
? t 13,000km
=
Ut=824-
5(t) ex15000)
-
125x10
0.75e 0.82
=
=
2n0.82
(0.78-5
5
t 23,014.57e x 1.32x10-
=
= =
=-
15000
-
M
=
=
2x10 5:75757.58 -
4) M, VS
M2
La
segunda opcion me
parece mejor debido a