Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.97944604
Coeficiente d 0.95931454
R^2 ajustado 0.95795835
Error típico 0.04233424
Observacione 63

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 2 2.53545919 1.26772959 707.364096 1.91946E-42
Residuos 60 0.10753129 0.00179219
Total 62 2.64299048

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción 0.93819532 0.02237936 41.922351 3.78904E-46 0.89342994 0.9829607 0.89342994
Variable X 1 0.18126293 0.01329126 13.6377503 4.86009E-20 0.15467645 0.20784942 0.15467645
Variable X 2 -0.43224007 0.01233091 -35.0533873 1.14986E-41 -0.45690556 -0.40757459 -0.45690556

K= 8.67351877
Superior 95.0%
0.9829607
0.20784942
-0.40757459
LAMINAS DE LLUVIA PARA DIFER

Año
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998

INTENSIDADES DE LLUVIA PARA D

Año
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
Media
Desv est
Gumbel
6    Tr  
KT   0.5772  ln ln   
    Tr  1   T
KT
Durac
1
2
4
6
8
12
24

Valores de k:

T
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
75
100
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
75
100
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
75
100
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
75
100
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
75
100
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
75
100
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
75
100
LAMINAS DE LLUVIA PARA DIFERENTES DURACIONES
Duraciones (hr)
1 2 4 6 8 12 24
8.1 14.2 23.8 35.3 37.2 43.8 59.7
8.2 8.7 13.7 15.0 19.3 19.7 19.7
13.1 21.4 30.8 39.2 52.0 69.8 91.8
5.9 7.7 11.1 13.3 16.2 16.9 16.9
9.4 13.7 26.6 32.9 42.0 45.5 69.4
14.3 25.7 40.6 49.1 51.3 50.5 64.2
10.0 14.7 29.0 30.7 29.0 40.7 40.7
10.2 16.6 28.1 25.6 23.5 35.0 49.3
10.8 20.8 34.2 39.5 44.3 42.3 57.1
9.2 14.7 20.8 23.7 25.6 37.6 45.0
10.2 13.4 21.6 25.3 30.4 28.2 47.6
9.5 12.8 15.0 18.3 22.3 26.8 27.8
6.1 7.8 11.4 13.3 13.3 13.3 14.8
6.1 9.9 13.8 18.0 19.4 18.7 19.4
7.8 9.0 15.1 14.8 19.5 21.2 31.1
8.2 12.2 19.4 24.3 20.3 29.0 35.6
8.5 15.0 20.9 25.4 26.3 26.3 30.5

INTENSIDADES DE LLUVIA PARA DIFERENTES DURACIONES

Duraciones (hr)
1 2 4 6 8 12 24
8.10 7.10 5.95 5.88 4.65 3.65 2.49
8.20 4.35 3.43 2.50 2.41 1.64 0.82
13.10 10.70 7.70 6.53 6.50 5.82 3.83
5.90 3.85 2.78 2.22 2.03 1.41 0.70
9.40 6.85 6.65 5.48 5.25 3.79 2.89
14.30 12.85 10.15 8.18 6.41 4.21 2.68
10.00 7.35 7.25 5.12 3.63 3.39 1.70
10.20 8.30 7.03 4.27 2.94 2.92 2.05
10.80 10.40 8.55 6.58 5.54 3.53 2.38
9.20 7.35 5.20 3.95 3.20 3.13 1.88
10.20 6.70 5.40 4.22 3.80 2.35 1.98
9.50 6.40 3.75 3.05 2.79 2.23 1.16
6.10 3.90 2.85 2.22 1.66 1.11 0.62
6.10 4.95 3.45 3.00 2.43 1.56 0.81
7.80 4.50 3.78 2.47 2.44 1.77 1.30
8.20 6.10 4.85 4.05 2.54 2.42 1.48
8.50 7.50 5.23 4.23 3.29 2.19 1.27
9.15 7.01 5.53 4.35 3.62 2.77 1.77
2.27 2.50 2.13 1.74 1.52 1.21 0.89
 T5 T10 T20 T30 T40 T50 T60 T75
5 10 20 30 40 50 60 75
0.719 1.305 1.866 2.189 2.416 2.592 2.736 2.911
Media Desv st
9.15 2.27 10.78 12.11 13.38 14.12 14.63 15.03 15.36 15.75
7.01 2.50 8.81 10.27 11.67 12.48 13.05 13.49 13.85 14.28
5.53 2.13 7.06 8.30 9.49 10.18 10.66 11.04 11.34 11.71
4.35 1.74 5.60 6.62 7.60 8.16 8.56 8.87 9.12 9.42
3.62 1.52 4.71 5.60 6.45 6.94 7.28 7.55 7.77 8.03
2.77 1.21 3.64 4.35 5.04 5.43 5.70 5.92 6.09 6.30
1.77 0.89 2.40 2.92 3.42 3.70 3.91 4.06 4.19 4.34

Valores de k: Durac T5 T10 T20 T30 T40 T50 T60 T75

1 4.49 4.15 3.91 3.81 3.75 3.70 3.67 3.63
2 3.66 3.52 3.41 3.37 3.34 3.32 3.31 3.29
4 2.94 2.84 2.78 2.75 2.73 2.72 2.71 2.70
6 2.33 2.27 2.22 2.20 2.19 2.18 2.18 2.17
8 1.96 1.92 1.89 1.87 1.86 1.86 1.85 1.85
12 1.52 1.49 1.47 1.47 1.46 1.46 1.45 1.45
24 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

x1 x2 y
D I log T log D log I I = K T^m / D^n
1 10.78 0.699 0.000 1.033
1 12.11 1.000 0.000 1.083 log I = log K + m log T - n log D
1 13.38 1.301 0.000 1.127
1 14.12 1.477 0.000 1.150 y = a0 + a1 x1 + a2 x2
1 14.63 1.602 0.000 1.165
1 15.03 1.699 0.000 1.177 y = log I
1 15.36 1.778 0.000 1.186 x1 = log T
1 15.75 1.875 0.000 1.197 x2 = log D
1 16.27 2.000 0.000 1.211 a0 = log K
2 8.81 0.699 0.301 0.945 a1 = m
2 10.27 1.000 0.301 1.012 a2 = -n
2 11.67 1.301 0.301 1.067
2 12.48 1.477 0.301 1.096 En el presente caso:
2 13.05 1.602 0.301 1.116 a0 = 0.938195
2 13.49 1.699 0.301 1.130 a1 = 0.181263
2 13.85 1.778 0.301 1.141 a2 = -0.43224
2 14.28 1.875 0.301 1.155
2 14.85 2.000 0.301 1.172 K= 8.673519
4 7.06 0.699 0.602 0.849 m= 0.181263
4 8.30 1.000 0.602 0.919 n= 0.43224
4 9.49 1.301 0.602 0.977
4 10.18 1.477 0.602 1.008 Por lo tanto,
4 10.66 1.602 0.602 1.028
4 11.04 1.699 0.602 1.043 I = 8.67352 T^0.18126 / D^0.43224
4 11.34 1.778 0.602 1.055
4 11.71 1.875 0.602 1.069 T= 100
4 12.19 2.000 0.602 1.086 D= 24
6 5.60 0.699 0.778 0.748 I= 5.06
6 6.62 1.000 0.778 0.821
6 7.60 1.301 0.778 0.881
6 8.16 1.477 0.778 0.912
6 8.56 1.602 0.778 0.932
6 8.87 1.699 0.778 0.948
6 9.12 1.778 0.778 0.960
6 9.42 1.875 0.778 0.974
6 9.81 2.000 0.778 0.992
8 4.71 0.699 0.903 0.673
8 5.60 1.000 0.903 0.748
8 6.45 1.301 0.903 0.809
8 6.94 1.477 0.903 0.841
8 7.28 1.602 0.903 0.862
8 7.55 1.699 0.903 0.878
8 7.77 1.778 0.903 0.890
8 8.03 1.875 0.903 0.905
8 8.37 2.000 0.903 0.923
12 3.64 0.699 1.079 0.562
12 4.35 1.000 1.079 0.639
12 5.04 1.301 1.079 0.702
12 5.43 1.477 1.079 0.735
12 5.70 1.602 1.079 0.756
12 5.92 1.699 1.079 0.772
12 6.09 1.778 1.079 0.785
12 6.30 1.875 1.079 0.800
12 6.58 2.000 1.079 0.818
24 2.40 0.699 1.380 0.381
24 2.92 1.000 1.380 0.466
24 3.42 1.301 1.380 0.534
24 3.70 1.477 1.380 0.569
24 3.91 1.602 1.380 0.592
24 4.06 1.699 1.380 0.609
24 4.19 1.778 1.380 0.622
24 4.34 1.875 1.380 0.638
24 4.54 2.000 1.380 0.657
T100
100
3.137

16.27
14.85
12.19
9.81
8.37
6.58
4.54

T100
3.58
3.27
2.68
2.16
1.84
1.45
1.00
6 / D^0.43224