Cuadro N° 1: REGISTRO HISTÓRICO

ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

Estación : RUNATULLO Latitud : 11° 35' "S"

Parámetro : PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm) Longitud : 75° 03' "W"
Altitud : 3690 m.s.n.m.

AÑO MÁXIMO HISTOGRAMA DEL REGISTRO

1974 13.50 ESTACIÓN RUNATULL
1975 32.00
1976 38.00 60.00
Precipitación Máxima en 24H (mm)
1977 31.00
1978 26.00 50.00
1979 40.00
40.00
1980 22.00
1981 25.50 30.00
1997 21.20
1998 22.00 20.00
1999 25.30
10.00
2000 20.00
2001 49.80
0.00
1974

1978

1981
2002 31.00
1975

1976

1977

1979

1980

1997

1998

1999
2003 23.20
2004 24.20 Tiempo (años)
2005 20.70
2006 24.10
2007 23.00
2008 27.30
2009 22.50
Promedio 26.8
Desv. Est. 8.0
Máximo 49.8
Mìnimo 13.5
Nº Datos 21
O HISTÓRICO
ULLO

Departamento: JUNIN
Provincia: CONCEPCIÓN
Distrito: COMAS

AMA DEL REGISTRO HISTÓRICO

STACIÓN RUNATULLO
1981

2000

2003

2007
1997

1998

1999

2001

2002

2004

2005

2006

2008

2009

Tiempo (años)
 REGISTRO HISTÓRICO
Cuadro N° 2: DATOS DE PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA EN 24 HORAS
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

Nº AÑO ORDEN P24 log(P24)

1 1974 21 13.50 1.1303 Mínimo valor histórico registrado
2 1975 4 32.00 1.5051
3 1976 3 38.00 1.5798
4 1977 5 31.00 1.4914
5 1978 8 26.00 1.4150
6 1979 2 40.00 1.6021
7 1980 16 22.00 1.3424
8 1981 9 25.50 1.4065
9 1997 18 21.20 1.3263
10 1998 17 22.00 1.3424
11 1999 10 25.30 1.4031
12 2000 20 20.00 1.3010
13 2001 1 49.80 1.6972 Máximo valor histórico registrado
14 2002 6 31.00 1.4914
15 2003 13 23.20 1.3655
16 2004 11 24.20 1.3838
17 2005 19 20.70 1.3160
18 2006 12 24.10 1.3820
19 2007 14 23.00 1.3617
20 2008 7 27.30 1.4362
21 2009 15 22.50 1.3522

Numero de datos n 21 21
Suma ∑ 562.3 29.6315
Máximo 49.8 1.6972
Mínimo 13.5 1.1303
Promedio x̅ 26.8 1.4110
Desviación estándar s 8.0422 0.1215
Coeficiente asimetría Cs 1.3534 0.3413
Cs/6 k 0.2256 0.0569

PRUEBA DE DATOS DUDOSOS (Método Water Resources Council)

n= 21
Kn = 2.408 *
Kn: valor recomendado, varía según el valor de n
(significancia:10%)

Umbral de datos dudosos altos (xH: unid. logaritmicas)

x  x  Kn  s xH = 1.70
H

Precipitación máxima aceptada

PH  10 xH PH = 50.5 mm

Umbral de datos dudosos bajos (xL: unid. logaritmicas)

x  x  Kn s xL = 1.12
L

Precipitación mínima aceptada

PL  10 xL PL = 13.1 mm

Se observa que todos los valores ' P24 ' están dentro de los límites
Nota: PH y PL, es decir se encuentran entre 50.5 y 13.1 mm. No existen
datos dudosos.

* Referencia: Tabla 12.5.3 - Hidrología Aplicada, Ven Te Chow

 Cuadro N° 3: PRUEBA DE LA BONDAD DEL AJUSTE - GRÁFICA DE PROBABILIDADES

P24 log(P24)
Numero de datos: n 21
Promedio: x 26.78 1.411
Desviación estándar: s 8.04 0.122
Coeficiente asimetría: Cs 1.353 0.341
Cs/6: k 0.226 0.057

ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO
VALOR OBSERVADO NORMAL GUMBEL LOGNORMAL PEARSON III LOGPEARSON III
N T P(X≤xT)
P24 log(P24) KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO
1 22.00 4.55% 49.8 1.6972 1.6906 40.4 1.9420 42.4 1.6906 41.4 2.0029 42.9 1.7903 42.5
2 11.00 9.09% 40.0 1.6021 1.3352 37.5 1.3827 37.9 1.3352 37.4 1.4109 38.1 1.3735 37.8
3 7.33 13.64% 38.0 1.5798 1.0968 35.6 1.0470 35.2 1.0968 35.0 1.0541 35.3 1.1026 35.1
4 5.50 18.18% 32.0 1.5051 0.9085 34.1 0.8022 33.2 0.9085 33.2 0.7939 33.2 0.8935 33.1
5 4.40 22.73% 31.0 1.4914 0.7479 32.8 0.6068 31.7 0.7479 31.8 0.5866 31.5 0.7185 31.5
6 3.67 27.27% 31.0 1.4914 0.6046 31.6 0.4421 30.3 0.6046 30.5 0.4127 30.1 0.5649 30.2
7 3.14 31.82% 27.3 1.4362 0.4728 30.6 0.2983 29.2 0.4728 29.4 0.2617 28.9 0.4258 29.0
8 2.75 36.36% 26.0 1.4150 0.3488 29.6 0.1691 28.1 0.3488 28.4 0.1270 27.8 0.2967 28.0
9 2.44 40.91% 25.5 1.4065 0.2299 28.6 0.0507 27.2 0.2299 27.5 0.0047 26.8 0.1747 27.1
10 2.20 45.45% 25.3 1.4031 0.1142 27.7 -0.0597 26.3 0.1142 26.6 -0.1082 25.9 0.0575 26.2
11 2.00 50.00% 24.2 1.3838 0.0000 26.8 -0.1643 25.5 0.0000 25.8 -0.2139 25.1 -0.0567 25.4
12 1.83 54.55% 24.1 1.3820 -0.1142 25.9 -0.2647 24.6 -0.1142 25.0 -0.3140 24.3 -0.1694 24.6
13 1.69 59.09% 23.2 1.3655 -0.2299 24.9 -0.3625 23.9 -0.2299 24.2 -0.4099 23.5 -0.2821 23.8
14 1.57 63.64% 23.0 1.3617 -0.3488 24.0 -0.4590 23.1 -0.3488 23.4 -0.5027 22.7 -0.3964 23.1
15 1.47 68.18% 22.5 1.3522 -0.4728 23.0 -0.5557 22.3 -0.4728 22.6 -0.5937 22.0 -0.5139 22.3
16 1.38 72.73% 22.0 1.3424 -0.6046 21.9 -0.6542 21.5 -0.6046 21.8 -0.6840 21.3 -0.6369 21.6
17 1.29 77.27% 22.0 1.3424 -0.7479 20.8 -0.7566 20.7 -0.7479 20.9 -0.7749 20.5 -0.7685 20.8
18 1.22 81.82% 21.2 1.3263 -0.9085 19.5 -0.8659 19.8 -0.9085 20.0 -0.8683 19.8 -0.9133 20.0
19 1.16 86.36% 20.7 1.3160 -1.0968 18.0 -0.9875 18.8 -1.0968 19.0 -0.9668 19.0 -1.0796 19.0
20 1.10 90.91% 20.0 1.3010 -1.3352 16.0 -1.1320 17.7 -1.3352 17.7 -1.0754 18.1 -1.2847 18.0
21 1.05 95.45% 13.5 1.1303 -1.6906 13.2 -1.3299 16.1 -1.6906 16.1 -1.2069 17.1 -1.5795 16.6

Donde: T: Periodo de retorno en años

P: Probabilidad de ocurrencia
 AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN NORMAL
60.0

Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0 Valor Observado

10.0 Normal

0.0
-2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00

Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN GUMBEL

60.0

50.0
Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

40.0

30.0

20.0
Valor Observado
10.0 Gumbel

0.0
-1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG NORMAL

60.0

50.0
Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

40.0

30.0

20.0
Valor Observado
10.0 LogNormal

0.0
-2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00
Variable reducida KT
 AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN PEARSON TIPO III
60.0

50.0
Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

40.0

30.0

20.0
Valor Observado
10.0 Pearson Tipo III

0.0
-1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG PEARSON TIPO III

60.0

50.0
Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

40.0

30.0

20.0
Valor Observado
10.0 Log Pearson Tipo III

0.0
-2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00

Variable reducida KT
 Cuadro N° 4: PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO
F(xm) |Fo(xm)-F(xm)| F(ym) |Fo(ym)-F(ym)| F(ym) |Fo(ym)-F(ym)| F(ym) |Fo(ym)-F(ym)| F(xm) |Fo(xm)-F(xm)|
m xm Fo(xm)
Normal Normal Log - Normal Log - Normal Pearson III Pearson III Log Pearson III Log Pearson III GEV I GEV I
1 49.80 0.954545 0.99790092728 0.04336 0.990734 0.03619 0.978227 0.02368 0.973325 0.01878 0.9858 0.03128
2 40.00 0.909091 0.949943232696 0.04085 0.942002 0.03291 0.924207 0.01512 0.919543 0.01045 0.9341 0.02503
3 38.00 0.863636 0.918584790471 0.05495 0.917510 0.05387 0.897788 0.03415 0.894317 0.03068 0.9105 0.04688
4 32.00 0.818182 0.742008594097 0.07617 0.780668 0.03751 0.831498 0.01332 0.831372 0.01319 0.7834 0.03475
5 31.00 0.772727 0.700280016416 0.07245 0.745695 0.02703 0.796841 0.02411 0.799046 0.02632 0.7511 0.02167
6 31.00 0.727273 0.700280016416 0.02699 0.745695 0.01842 0.753622 0.02635 0.757908 0.03063 0.7511 0.02378
7 27.30 0.681818 0.525965809348 0.15585 0.581933 0.09989 0.699965 0.01815 0.706486 0.02467 0.5966 0.08520
8 26.00 0.636364 0.461555879398 0.17481 0.512963 0.12340 0.689442 0.05308 0.696393 0.06003 0.5297 0.10667
9 25.50 0.590909 0.436957807291 0.15395 0.485288 0.10562 0.656729 0.06582 0.665312 0.07440 0.5025 0.08843
10 25.30 0.545455 0.427181024332 0.11827 0.474078 0.07138 0.640464 0.09501 0.649125 0.10367 0.4914 0.05406
11 24.20 0.500000 0.374357486473 0.12564 0.411433 0.08857 0.599837 0.09984 0.609597 0.10960 0.4288 0.07119
12 24.10 0.454545 0.36965446163 0.08489 0.405686 0.04886 0.426828 0.02772 0.437163 0.01738 0.4230 0.03153
13 23.20 0.409091 0.328276092767 0.08081 0.353959 0.05513 0.389137 0.01995 0.399032 0.01006 0.3704 0.03868
14 23.00 0.363636 0.319339268497 0.04430 0.342522 0.02111 0.358604 0.00503 0.367279 0.00364 0.3587 0.00496
15 22.50 0.318182 0.297460209769 0.02072 0.314148 0.00403 0.298495 0.01969 0.305232 0.01295 0.3294 0.01123
16 22.00 0.272727 0.276292381191 0.00357 0.286231 0.01350 0.211390 0.06134 0.213082 0.05965 0.3004 0.02768
17 22.00 0.227273 0.276292381191 0.04902 0.286231 0.05896 0.181769 0.04550 0.181950 0.04532 0.3004 0.07314
18 21.20 0.181818 0.244039724071 0.06222 0.242968 0.06115 0.181951 0.00013 0.181908 0.00009 0.2551 0.07324
19 20.70 0.136364 0.224962883736 0.08860 0.217086 0.08072 0.172594 0.03623 0.172004 0.03564 0.2277 0.09135
20 20.00 0.090909 0.199731774201 0.10882 0.182733 0.09182 0.159315 0.06841 0.157774 0.06687 0.1912 0.10029
21 13.50 0.045455 0.049388001738 0.00393 0.010460 0.03500 0.044519 0.00094 0.037152 0.00830 0.0094 0.03603

n 21 Dmáx 0.17481 0.12340 0.09984 0.10960 0.10667

a 0.05 Dcritico > Dmax Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta
Dcritico 0.28843 Mejor Ajuste 5 4 1 3 2
 Cuadro N° 5: PRECIPITACIONES MÁXIMAS ANUALES EN 24 HORAS
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO
Promedio : x = 26.776 y= 1.411 Coeficiente de corrección de Pmáx por Nº de lecturas (OMM)
Desviación estándar : s= 8.042 sy = 0.122 f (1 lectura) = 1.13
Cs/6 : k= 0.226 k= 0.057
T DISTRIB. NORMAL DISTRIB. GUMBEL DISTRIB. LOGNORMAL DISTRIB. PEARSON III DISTRIB. LOG PEARSON III PMAX PMAX (corregida)
P(X≤xT)
(años) KT xT KT xT KT xT 10^xT KT xT KT Xt 10^xT mm mm
2 0.500 0.0000 26.8 -0.1643 25.5 0.00 1.4110 25.8 -0.2139 25.1 -0.0567 1.4041 25.4 25.1 28.3
3 0.667 0.4307 30.2 0.2538 28.8 0.43 1.4634 29.1 0.2152 28.5 0.3818 1.4574 28.7 28.5 32.2
5 0.800 0.8416 33.5 0.7195 32.6 0.84 1.5133 32.6 0.7060 32.5 0.8203 1.5107 32.4 32.5 36.7
10 0.900 1.2816 37.1 1.3046 37.3 1.28 1.5668 36.9 1.3279 37.5 1.3120 1.5705 37.2 37.5 42.3
20 0.950 1.6449 40.0 1.8658 41.8 1.64 1.6109 40.8 1.9225 42.2 1.7357 1.6220 41.9 42.2 47.7
25 0.960 1.7507 40.9 2.0438 43.2 1.75 1.6238 42.1 2.1103 43.7 1.8623 1.6374 43.4 43.7 49.4
30 0.967 1.8339 41.5 2.1887 44.4 1.83 1.6339 43.0 2.2628 45.0 1.9627 1.6496 44.6 45.0 50.8
50 0.980 2.0537 43.3 2.5923 47.6 2.05 1.6606 45.8 2.6861 48.4 2.2323 1.6823 48.1 48.4 54.7
71 0.986 2.1949 44.4 2.8680 49.8 2.19 1.6778 47.6 2.9741 50.7 2.4086 1.7038 50.6 50.7 57.3
100 0.990 2.3263 45.5 3.1367 52.0 2.33 1.6938 49.4 3.2539 52.9 2.5751 1.7240 53.0 52.9 59.8
140 0.993 2.4500 46.5 3.4001 54.1 2.45 1.7088 51.1 3.5276 55.1 2.7337 1.7433 55.4 55.1 62.3
300 0.997 2.7131 48.6 3.9959 58.9 2.71 1.7408 55.1 4.1446 60.1 3.0777 1.7851 61.0 60.1 67.9
500 0.998 2.8782 49.9 4.3947 62.1 2.88 1.7608 57.7 4.5566 63.4 3.2983 1.8119 64.8 63.4 71.7
1000 0.999 3.0902 51.6 4.9355 66.5 3.09 1.7866 61.2 5.1148 67.9 3.5869 1.8470 70.3 67.9 76.7

PRECIPITACION MAXIMA ANUAL PARA DIFERENTES PERIODOS DE RETORNO

90.0

80.0
76.7
f(x) = 7.7096967560663 ln(x) + 24.1462580664937 71.7
70.0
R² = 0.998808147187433 67.9
Precipitacion en mm

62.3
60.0 59.8
57.3
54.7
50.0 50.8
47.7 49.4
42.3
40.0
36.7
32.2
30.0 28.3

20.0

10.0

0.0
1 10 100 1000
Periodo de Retorno en años
20.0

10.0

0.0
1 10 100 1000
Periodo de Retorno en años
 Cuadro N° 6: DETERMINACIÓN DE INTENSIDADES Y PRECIPITACIONES MÁXIMAS - MTC
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

El Manual de hidrología, hidráulica y drenaje del Ministerio de Transportes y Comunicaciones (MTC) hace mención que en nuestro
país, debido a la escasa cantidad de información pluviométrica con la que se cuenta, es difícil elaborar curvas de intensidad -
duración - frecunecia (IDF). Generalmente, sólo contamos con información de lluvias máximas en 24 horas, por lo que, la
intensidad máxima se estima a partir de la precipitación máxima en 24 horas multiplicada por un coeficiente de duración. Cada
coeficiente está en función de una duración determinada (ver Tabla N° 01).

Tabla N° 01
Duración Condiciones:
Coeficiente
horas
1hora≤𝒕≤𝟐𝟒𝒉𝒐𝒓𝒂𝒔
1 0.25
2 0.31
𝑷_𝒕=𝐂 〖 (𝑷 〗 _𝒎𝒂
3 0.38 𝒙𝟐𝟒𝒉)
4 0.44
5 0.50
6 0.56 Ecuación:
8 0.64
𝒕<𝟏𝒉𝒐𝒓𝒂
10 0.73
12 0.79 𝑷_𝒕=𝑷_𝒎𝒂𝒙𝟐𝟒𝒉
14 0.83 〖 (𝒕/𝟏𝟒𝟒𝟎) 〗 ^(𝟎.𝟐𝟓)
16 0.87 Donde:
18 0.90
20 0.93 Pmax24h : Precipitación máxima de 24h para cierto TR (mm).
22 0.97 t : Duración de la lluvia (minutos).
24 1.00 Pt : Precipitación total caida en " t " minutos (mm).
48 1.32

Valores de Precipitaciones Máximas

Tr (años) 2 3 5 10 20 25 30 50 71
Pmx24h(mm) 28.31 32.21 36.67 42.32 47.73 49.44 50.82 54.67 57.28
Durac (min) ,
5 6.87 7.82 8.90 10.27 11.59 12.00 12.34 13.27 13.91
10 8.17 9.30 10.59 12.22 13.78 14.27 14.67 15.78 16.54
15 9.05 10.29 11.72 13.52 15.25 15.79 16.24 17.46 18.30
20 9.72 11.06 12.59 14.53 16.38 16.97 17.45 18.77 19.67
30 10.76 12.24 13.93 16.08 18.13 18.78 19.31 20.77 21.76
40 11.56 13.15 14.97 17.28 19.49 20.18 20.75 22.32 23.39
60 7.08 8.05 9.17 10.58 11.93 12.36 12.71 13.67 14.32
90 7.08 8.05 9.17 10.58 11.93 12.36 12.71 13.67 14.32
120 8.78 9.99 11.37 13.12 14.80 15.32 15.75 16.95 17.76
180 10.76 12.24 13.94 16.08 18.14 18.79 19.31 20.77 21.77
240 12.46 14.17 16.14 18.62 21.00 21.75 22.36 24.05 25.21
300 14.16 16.11 18.34 21.16 23.86 24.72 25.41 27.33 28.64
360 15.86 18.04 20.54 23.70 26.73 27.68 28.46 30.61 32.08
480 18.12 20.62 23.47 27.09 30.55 31.64 32.53 34.99 36.66
600 20.67 23.52 26.77 30.90 34.84 36.09 37.10 39.91 41.82
720 22.37 25.45 28.97 33.44 37.71 39.05 40.15 43.19 45.25
840 23.50 26.74 30.44 35.13 39.61 41.03 42.18 45.37 47.55
960 24.63 28.03 31.91 36.82 41.52 43.01 44.21 47.56 49.84
1080 25.48 28.99 33.01 38.09 42.96 44.49 45.74 49.20 51.56
1200 26.33 29.96 34.11 39.36 44.39 45.97 47.26 50.84 53.27
1320 27.46 31.25 35.57 41.05 46.30 47.95 49.30 53.03 55.57
1440 28.31 32.21 36.67 42.32 47.73 49.44 50.82 54.67 57.28

Con el cuadro anterior se puede graficar las curvas IDF. Asimismo, se debe buscar la ecuación de la curva IDF para describir de forma
estadística las tres variables involucradas (I, Tr y t), utilizando una regresión lineal múltiple para determinar (K, m y n).

𝐈=( 〖𝟏𝟎〗 ^𝑲 Log (I) = Log (K) + m Log (T) - n Log (t)
〖𝑻𝒓〗 ^𝒎)/𝒕 Y = a0 + a1 X1 + a2 X2
Resultados del análisis de regresión : ^𝒏

Constante 2.397005 K= 2.397

Err. Estándar de est. Y 0.112267
𝐈=( 〖𝟏𝟎〗 ^𝑲 〖𝑻 m= 0.102
R cuadrado 0.960724 𝒓〗 ^𝒎)/𝒕^𝒏 n= 0.735
Núm. de observaciones 308
Grado de libertad 307 Donde: I : Intensidad Máxima (mm/hr)
Coeficiente(s) X -0.735141 0.102001 Tr : Período de Retorno (años)
Error estándar de coef. 0.008573 0.008100 t : Duración de la Lluvia (minutos).
 Cuadro N° 6: DETERMINACIÓN DE INTENSIDADES Y PRECIPITACIONES MÁXIMAS - MTC
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

Siendo la ecuación conocida se puede reemplazar en ella valores para cualquier Tr y t, obteniendose como resultado la Intensidad.
A continuación se muestra algunos valores de Intensidades según dicha ecuación, y su respectiva curva IDF:

INTENSIDADES MÁXIMAS (mm/hr)

Duración Duración Tiempo de retorno (años)

(min) (hr) 2 3 5 10 20 25 30 50
5 0.08 82.01 85.47 90.04 96.64 103.72 106.11 108.10 113.88
10 0.17 49.27 51.35 54.10 58.06 62.31 63.75 64.94 68.42
15 0.25 36.57 38.11 40.15 43.09 46.25 47.32 48.20 50.78
20 0.33 29.60 30.85 32.50 34.88 37.43 38.30 39.02 41.10
30 0.50 21.97 22.90 24.12 25.89 27.79 28.43 28.96 30.51
40 0.67 17.78 18.53 19.52 20.95 22.49 23.01 23.44 24.69
60 1.00 13.20 13.76 14.49 15.55 16.69 17.08 17.40 18.33
90 1.50 9.80 10.21 10.76 11.54 12.39 12.68 12.91 13.60
120 2.00 7.93 8.26 8.71 9.34 10.03 10.26 10.45 11.01
180 3.00 5.89 6.13 6.46 6.94 7.44 7.61 7.76 8.17
240 4.00 4.76 4.96 5.23 5.61 6.02 6.16 6.28 6.61
300 5.00 4.04 4.21 4.44 4.76 5.11 5.23 5.33 5.61
360 6.00 3.54 3.68 3.88 4.17 4.47 4.57 4.66 4.91
480 8.00 2.86 2.98 3.14 3.37 3.62 3.70 3.77 3.97
600 10.00 2.43 2.53 2.67 2.86 3.07 3.14 3.20 3.37
720 12.00 2.12 2.21 2.33 2.50 2.69 2.75 2.80 2.95
840 14.00 1.90 1.98 2.08 2.23 2.40 2.45 2.50 2.63
960 16.00 1.72 1.79 1.89 2.03 2.17 2.22 2.27 2.39
1080 18.00 1.58 1.64 1.73 1.86 1.99 2.04 2.08 2.19
1200 20.00 1.46 1.52 1.60 1.72 1.85 1.89 1.92 2.03
1320 22.00 1.36 1.42 1.49 1.60 1.72 1.76 1.79 1.89
1440 24.00 1.28 1.33 1.40 1.50 1.61 1.65 1.68 1.77

De las intensidades determinadas para los diferentes periodos de retorno, se puede obtener la gráfica de las curvas intensidad -
duración - frencuenca (IDF).

CURVA INTENSIDAD - DURACION - FRECUENCIA

160.0

140.0 50
71
100
140
120.0
500
Intensidad de precipitacion (mm/h)

100.0

80.0

60.0

40.0

20.0

0.0
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0

Duración (min)
 ANALISIS DE REGRESION MULTIPLE

ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO
duración Tiempo de m
(min) retorno (años) 0.1020
d T x2=Log(d) x3=Log(T) I
5.00 2 0.69897 0.30103 82.48
10.00 2 1.00000 0.30103 49.04
15.00 2 1.17609 0.30103 36.18
20.00 2 1.30103 0.30103 29.16
30.00 2 1.47712 0.30103 21.51
40.00 2 1.60206 0.30103 17.34
60.00 2 1.77815 0.30103 7.08
90.00 2 1.95424 0.30103 4.72
120.00 2 2.07918 0.30103 4.39
180.00 2 2.25527 0.30103 3.59
240.00 2 2.38021 0.30103 3.11
300.00 2 2.47712 0.30103 2.83
360.00 2 2.55630 0.30103 2.64
480.00 2 2.68124 0.30103 2.27
600.00 2 2.77815 0.30103 2.07
720.00 2 2.85733 0.30103 1.86
840.00 2 2.92428 0.30103 1.68
960.00 2 2.98227 0.30103 1.54
1080.00 2 3.03342 0.30103 1.42
1200.00 2 3.07918 0.30103 1.42
1320.00 2 3.12057 0.30103 1.42
1440.00 2 3.15836 0.30103 1.42
as 5.00 3 0.69897 0.47712 93.83
100 140 300 500 1000 10.00 3 1.00000 0.47712 55.79
59.83 62.31 67.92 71.67 76.74 15.00 3 1.17609 0.47712 41.16
20.00 3 1.30103 0.47712 33.18
14.52 15.13 16.49 17.40 18.63 30.00 3 1.47712 0.47712 24.48
17.27 17.99 19.61 20.69 22.15 40.00 3 1.60206 0.47712 19.73
19.11 19.91 21.70 22.90 24.52 60.00 3 1.77815 0.47712 8.05
20.54 21.39 23.32 24.60 26.34 90.00 3 1.95424 0.47712 5.37
22.73 23.67 25.80 27.23 29.15 120.00 3 2.07918 0.47712 4.99
24.42 25.44 27.73 29.26 31.33 180.00 3 2.25527 0.47712 4.08
14.96 15.58 16.98 17.92 19.18 240.00 3 2.38021 0.47712 3.54
14.96 15.58 16.98 17.92 19.18 300.00 3 2.47712 0.47712 3.22
18.55 19.32 21.06 22.22 23.79 360.00 3 2.55630 0.47712 3.01
22.73 23.68 25.81 27.23 29.16 480.00 3 2.68124 0.47712 2.58
26.32 27.42 29.89 31.53 33.76 600.00 3 2.77815 0.47712 2.35
29.91 31.16 33.96 35.83 38.37 720.00 3 2.85733 0.47712 2.12
33.50 34.90 38.04 40.13 42.97 840.00 3 2.92428 0.47712 1.91
38.29 39.88 43.47 45.87 49.11 960.00 3 2.98227 0.47712 1.75
43.67 45.49 49.58 52.32 56.02 1080.00 3 3.03342 0.47712 1.61
47.26 49.23 53.66 56.62 60.62 1200.00 3 3.07918 0.47712 1.61
49.66 51.72 56.38 59.48 63.69 1320.00 3 3.12057 0.47712 1.61
52.05 54.21 59.09 62.35 66.76 1440.00 3 3.15836 0.47712 1.61
53.84 56.08 61.13 64.50 69.06 5.00 5 0.69897 0.69897 106.83
55.64 57.95 63.17 66.65 71.37 10.00 5 1.00000 0.69897 63.52
58.03 60.45 65.88 69.52 74.44 15.00 5 1.17609 0.69897 46.86
59.83 62.31 67.92 71.67 76.74 20.00 5 1.30103 0.69897 37.77
30.00 5 1.47712 0.69897 27.87
40.00 5 1.60206 0.69897 22.46
60.00 5 1.77815 0.69897 9.17
90.00 5 1.95424 0.69897 6.11
120.00 5 2.07918 0.69897 5.68
180.00 5 2.25527 0.69897 4.65
240.00 5 2.38021 0.69897 4.03
300.00 5 2.47712 0.69897 3.67
360.00 5 2.55630 0.69897 3.42
480.00 5 2.68124 0.69897 2.93
600.00 5 2.77815 0.69897 2.68
720.00 5 2.85733 0.69897 2.41
840.00 5 2.92428 0.69897 2.17
960.00 5 2.98227 0.69897 1.99
1080.00 5 3.03342 0.69897 1.83
1200.00 5 3.07918 0.69897 1.83
 1320.00 5 3.12057 0.69897 1.83
1440.00 5 3.15836 0.69897 1.83
5.00 10 0.69897 1.00000 123.29
10.00 10 1.00000 1.00000 73.31
15.00 10 1.17609 1.00000 54.09
20.00 10 1.30103 1.00000 43.59
30.00 10 1.47712 1.00000 32.16
40.00 10 1.60206 1.00000 25.92
m/hr) 60.00 10 1.77815 1.00000 10.58
de retorno (años) 90.00 10 1.95424 1.00000 7.05
71 100 140 300 500 1000 120.00 10 2.07918 1.00000 6.56
118.03 122.23 126.49 136.72 144.03 154.59 180.00 10 2.25527 1.00000 5.36
70.91 73.43 75.99 82.14 86.53 92.87 240.00 10 2.38021 1.00000 4.66
52.63 54.50 56.41 60.97 64.23 68.93 300.00 10 2.47712 1.00000 4.23
42.60 44.11 45.65 49.34 51.98 55.79 360.00 10 2.55630 1.00000 3.95
31.62 32.74 33.89 36.63 38.58 41.41 480.00 10 2.68124 1.00000 3.39
25.59 26.50 27.43 29.64 31.23 33.52 600.00 10 2.77815 1.00000 3.09
19.00 19.67 20.36 22.00 23.18 24.88 720.00 10 2.85733 1.00000 2.79
14.10 14.60 15.11 16.33 17.21 18.47 840.00 10 2.92428 1.00000 2.51
11.41 11.82 12.23 13.22 13.93 14.95 960.00 10 2.98227 1.00000 2.30
8.47 8.77 9.08 9.81 10.34 11.09 1080.00 10 3.03342 1.00000 2.12
6.86 7.10 7.35 7.94 8.37 8.98 1200.00 10 3.07918 1.00000 2.12
5.82 6.03 6.24 6.74 7.10 7.62 1320.00 10 3.12057 1.00000 2.12
5.09 5.27 5.45 5.89 6.21 6.66 1440.00 10 3.15836 1.00000 2.12
4.12 4.26 4.41 4.77 5.03 5.39 5.00 20 0.69897 1.30103 139.03
3.50 3.62 3.75 4.05 4.27 4.58 10.00 20 1.00000 1.30103 82.67
3.06 3.17 3.28 3.54 3.73 4.00 15.00 20 1.17609 1.30103 60.99
2.73 2.83 2.93 3.16 3.33 3.57 20.00 20 1.30103 1.30103 49.15
2.47 2.56 2.65 2.87 3.02 3.24 30.00 20 1.47712 1.30103 36.27
2.27 2.35 2.43 2.63 2.77 2.97 40.00 20 1.60206 1.30103 29.23
2.10 2.17 2.25 2.43 2.56 2.75 60.00 20 1.77815 1.30103 11.93
1.96 2.03 2.10 2.27 2.39 2.56 90.00 20 1.95424 1.30103 7.95
1.84 1.90 1.97 2.13 2.24 2.41 120.00 20 2.07918 1.30103 7.40
180.00 20 2.25527 1.30103 6.05
240.00 20 2.38021 1.30103 5.25
300.00 20 2.47712 1.30103 4.77
360.00 20 2.55630 1.30103 4.45
480.00 20 2.68124 1.30103 3.82
600.00 20 2.77815 1.30103 3.48
720.00 20 2.85733 1.30103 3.14
840.00 20 2.92428 1.30103 2.83
960.00 20 2.98227 1.30103 2.60
1080.00 20 3.03342 1.30103 2.39
1200.00 20 3.07918 1.30103 2.39
1320.00 20 3.12057 1.30103 2.39
1440.00 20 3.15836 1.30103 2.39
5.00 25 0.69897 1.39794 144.00
10.00 25 1.00000 1.39794 85.62
15.00 25 1.17609 1.39794 63.17
20.00 25 1.30103 1.39794 50.91
30.00 25 1.47712 1.39794 37.56
40.00 25 1.60206 1.39794 30.27
60.00 25 1.77815 1.39794 12.36
90.00 25 1.95424 1.39794 8.24
120.00 25 2.07918 1.39794 7.66
180.00 25 2.25527 1.39794 6.26
240.00 25 2.38021 1.39794 5.44
300.00 25 2.47712 1.39794 4.94
360.00 25 2.55630 1.39794 4.61
480.00 25 2.68124 1.39794 3.95
600.00 25 2.77815 1.39794 3.61
720.00 25 2.85733 1.39794 3.25
840.00 25 2.92428 1.39794 2.93
960.00 25 2.98227 1.39794 2.69
1080.00 25 3.03342 1.39794 2.47
1200.00 25 3.07918 1.39794 2.47
1320.00 25 3.12057 1.39794 2.47
1440.00 25 3.15836 1.39794 2.47
5.00 30 0.69897 1.47712 148.04
10.00 30 1.00000 1.47712 88.02
15.00 30 1.17609 1.47712 64.94
 20.00 30 1.30103 1.47712 52.34
30.00 30 1.47712 1.47712 38.62
40.00 30 1.60206 1.47712 31.12
60.00 30 1.77815 1.47712 12.71
90.00 30 1.95424 1.47712 8.47
120.00 30 2.07918 1.47712 7.88
180.00 30 2.25527 1.47712 6.44
240.00 30 2.38021 1.47712 5.59
300.00 30 2.47712 1.47712 5.08
360.00 30 2.55630 1.47712 4.74
480.00 30 2.68124 1.47712 4.07
600.00 30 2.77815 1.47712 3.71
720.00 30 2.85733 1.47712 3.35
840.00 30 2.92428 1.47712 3.01
960.00 30 2.98227 1.47712 2.76
1080.00 30 3.03342 1.47712 2.54
1200.00 30 3.07918 1.47712 2.54
1320.00 30 3.12057 1.47712 2.54
1440.00 30 3.15836 1.47712 2.54
5.00 50 0.69897 1.69897 159.24
10.00 50 1.00000 1.69897 94.69
15.00 50 1.17609 1.69897 69.86
20.00 50 1.30103 1.69897 56.30
30.00 50 1.47712 1.69897 41.54
40.00 50 1.60206 1.69897 33.48
60.00 50 1.77815 1.69897 13.67
90.00 50 1.95424 1.69897 9.11
120.00 50 2.07918 1.69897 8.47
180.00 50 2.25527 1.69897 6.92
240.00 50 2.38021 1.69897 6.01
300.00 50 2.47712 1.69897 5.47
360.00 50 2.55630 1.69897 5.10
480.00 50 2.68124 1.69897 4.37
600.00 50 2.77815 1.69897 3.99
720.00 50 2.85733 1.69897 3.60
840.00 50 2.92428 1.69897 3.24
960.00 50 2.98227 1.69897 2.97
1080.00 50 3.03342 1.69897 2.73
1200.00 50 3.07918 1.69897 2.73
1320.00 50 3.12057 1.69897 2.73
1440.00 50 3.15836 1.69897 2.73
5.00 71 0.69897 1.85126 159.24
10.00 71 1.00000 1.85126 94.69
15.00 71 1.17609 1.85126 69.86
20.00 71 1.30103 1.85126 56.30
30.00 71 1.47712 1.85126 41.54
40.00 71 1.60206 1.85126 33.48
60.00 71 1.77815 1.85126 13.67
90.00 71 1.95424 1.85126 9.11
120.00 71 2.07918 1.85126 8.47
180.00 71 2.25527 1.85126 6.92
240.00 71 2.38021 1.85126 6.01
300.00 71 2.47712 1.85126 5.47
360.00 71 2.55630 1.85126 5.10
480.00 71 2.68124 1.85126 4.37
600.00 71 2.77815 1.85126 3.99
720.00 71 2.85733 1.85126 3.60
840.00 71 2.92428 1.85126 3.24
960.00 71 2.98227 1.85126 2.97
1080.00 71 3.03342 1.85126 2.73
1200.00 71 3.07918 1.85126 2.73
1320.00 71 3.12057 1.85126 2.73
1440.00 71 3.15836 1.85126 2.73
5.00 100 0.69897 2.00000 159.24
10.00 100 1.00000 2.00000 94.69
15.00 100 1.17609 2.00000 69.86
20.00 100 1.30103 2.00000 56.30
30.00 100 1.47712 2.00000 41.54
40.00 100 1.60206 2.00000 33.48
60.00 100 1.77815 2.00000 13.67
90.00 100 1.95424 2.00000 9.11
120.00 100 2.07918 2.00000 8.47
180.00 100 2.25527 2.00000 6.92
240.00 100 2.38021 2.00000 6.01
300.00 100 2.47712 2.00000 5.47
360.00 100 2.55630 2.00000 5.10
480.00 100 2.68124 2.00000 4.37
600.00 100 2.77815 2.00000 3.99
720.00 100 2.85733 2.00000 3.60
840.00 100 2.92428 2.00000 3.24
960.00 100 2.98227 2.00000 2.97
1080.00 100 3.03342 2.00000 2.73
1200.00 100 3.07918 2.00000 2.73
1320.00 100 3.12057 2.00000 2.73
1440.00 100 3.15836 2.00000 2.73
5.00 140 0.69897 2.14613 159.24
10.00 140 1.00000 2.14613 94.69
15.00 140 1.17609 2.14613 69.86
20.00 140 1.30103 2.14613 56.30
30.00 140 1.47712 2.14613 41.54
40.00 140 1.60206 2.14613 33.48
60.00 140 1.77815 2.14613 13.67
90.00 140 1.95424 2.14613 9.11
120.00 140 2.07918 2.14613 8.47
180.00 140 2.25527 2.14613 6.92
240.00 140 2.38021 2.14613 6.01
300.00 140 2.47712 2.14613 5.47
360.00 140 2.55630 2.14613 5.10
480.00 140 2.68124 2.14613 4.37
600.00 140 2.77815 2.14613 3.99
720.00 140 2.85733 2.14613 3.60
840.00 140 2.92428 2.14613 3.24
960.00 140 2.98227 2.14613 2.97
1080.00 140 3.03342 2.14613 2.73
1200.00 140 3.07918 2.14613 2.73
1320.00 140 3.12057 2.14613 2.73
1440.00 140 3.15836 2.14613 2.73
5.00 300 0.69897 2.47712 159.24
10.00 300 1.00000 2.47712 94.69
15.00 300 1.17609 2.47712 69.86
20.00 300 1.30103 2.47712 56.30
30.00 300 1.47712 2.47712 41.54
40.00 300 1.60206 2.47712 33.48
60.00 300 1.77815 2.47712 13.67
90.00 300 1.95424 2.47712 9.11
120.00 300 2.07918 2.47712 8.47
180.00 300 2.25527 2.47712 6.92
240.00 300 2.38021 2.47712 6.01
300.00 300 2.47712 2.47712 5.47
360.00 300 2.55630 2.47712 5.10
480.00 300 2.68124 2.47712 4.37
600.00 300 2.77815 2.47712 3.99
720.00 300 2.85733 2.47712 3.60
840.00 300 2.92428 2.47712 3.24
960.00 300 2.98227 2.47712 2.97
1080.00 300 3.03342 2.47712 2.73
1200.00 300 3.07918 2.47712 2.73
1320.00 300 3.12057 2.47712 2.73
1440.00 300 3.15836 2.47712 2.73
5.00 500 0.69897 2.69897 159.24
10.00 500 1.00000 2.69897 94.69
15.00 500 1.17609 2.69897 69.86
20.00 500 1.30103 2.69897 56.30
30.00 500 1.47712 2.69897 41.54
40.00 500 1.60206 2.69897 33.48
60.00 500 1.77815 2.69897 13.67
90.00 500 1.95424 2.69897 9.11
120.00 500 2.07918 2.69897 8.47
180.00 500 2.25527 2.69897 6.92
240.00 500 2.38021 2.69897 6.01
300.00 500 2.47712 2.69897 5.47
360.00 500 2.55630 2.69897 5.10
480.00 500 2.68124 2.69897 4.37
600.00 500 2.77815 2.69897 3.99
720.00 500 2.85733 2.69897 3.60
840.00 500 2.92428 2.69897 3.24
960.00 500 2.98227 2.69897 2.97
1080.00 500 3.03342 2.69897 2.73
1200.00 500 3.07918 2.69897 2.73
1320.00 500 3.12057 2.69897 2.73
1440.00 500 3.15836 2.69897 2.73
5.00 1,000 0.69897 3.00000 159.24
10.00 1,000 1.00000 3.00000 94.69
15.00 1,000 1.17609 3.00000 69.86
20.00 1,000 1.30103 3.00000 56.30
30.00 1,000 1.47712 3.00000 41.54
40.00 1,000 1.60206 3.00000 33.48
60.00 1,000 1.77815 3.00000 13.67
90.00 1,000 1.95424 3.00000 9.11
120.00 1,000 2.07918 3.00000 8.47
180.00 1,000 2.25527 3.00000 6.92
240.00 1,000 2.38021 3.00000 6.01
300.00 1,000 2.47712 3.00000 5.47
360.00 1,000 2.55630 3.00000 5.10
480.00 1,000 2.68124 3.00000 4.37
600.00 1,000 2.77815 3.00000 3.99
720.00 1,000 2.85733 3.00000 3.60
840.00 1,000 2.92428 3.00000 3.24
960.00 1,000 2.98227 3.00000 2.97
1080.00 1,000 3.03342 3.00000 2.73
1200.00 1,000 3.07918 3.00000 2.73
1320.00 1,000 3.12057 3.00000 2.73
1440.00 1,000 3.15836 3.00000 2.73
GRESION MULTIPLE Resumen

ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO Estadísticas de la regresión

n k Coeficiente de correl 0.98029584742179
-0.7351 2.3970 Coeficiente de deter 0.960979948472406
y=Log(I) R^2 ajustado 0.960724079282061
1.9163 287.19 Error típico 0.112267004534321
1.6906 220.71 Observaciones 308
1.5585 195.90
1.4648 181.89 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
1.3327 165.68 Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
1.2390 156.08 Regresión 2 94.67397174121 47.3369858706 3755.7470173612 1.48386838E-215
0.8499 144.56 Residuos 305 3.844183493668 0.012603880307
0.6738 134.87 Total 307 98.51815523487
0.6423 128.86
0.5547 121.39 Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%
0.4934 116.67 Intercepción 2.39700512057135 0.024095837925 99.47797325295 1.60158923E-234 2.3495899968434 2.444420244299 2.349589996843
0.4520 113.30 Variable X 1 -0.735141186999608 0.008573165867 -85.7490918104 1.57449146E-215 -0.752011225783 -0.71827114822 -0.75201122578
0.4220 110.71 Variable X 2 0.102001435933723 0.008099759034 12.59314450069 1.446621587E-29 0.0860629540284 0.117939917839 0.086062954028
0.3551 106.89
0.3153 104.14
0.2704 102.01
0.2249 100.28
0.1874 98.85
0.1510 97.62
0.1510 96.55
0.1510 95.61
0.1510 94.76
1.9724 301.00 Valores de Intensidades Máximas Estimadas
1.7466 231.33 Tr (años) 2 3 5 10 20 25 30
1.6145 205.32 Pmx24h(mm) 28.31 32.21 36.67 42.32 47.73 49.44 50.82
1.5208 190.64 Durac (min) Intensidades Máximas (mm)
1.3887 173.65 5 82.48 93.83 106.83 123.29 139.03 144.00 148.04
1.2950 163.59 10 49.04 55.79 63.52 73.31 82.67 85.62 88.02
0.9060 151.52 15 36.18 41.16 46.86 54.09 60.99 63.17 64.94
0.7299 141.36 20 29.16 33.18 37.77 43.59 49.15 50.91 52.34
0.6984 135.06 30 21.51 24.48 27.87 32.16 36.27 37.56 38.62
0.6107 127.23 40 17.34 19.73 22.46 25.92 29.23 30.27 31.12
0.5494 122.28 60 7.08 8.05 9.17 10.58 11.93 12.36 12.71
0.5080 118.75 90 4.72 5.37 6.11 7.05 7.95 8.24 8.47
0.4781 116.03 120 4.39 4.99 5.68 6.56 7.40 7.66 7.88
0.4111 112.03 180 3.59 4.08 4.65 5.36 6.05 6.26 6.44
0.3714 109.14 240 3.11 3.54 4.03 4.66 5.25 5.44 5.59
0.3265 106.91 300 2.83 3.22 3.67 4.23 4.77 4.94 5.08
0.2810 105.11 360 2.64 3.01 3.42 3.95 4.45 4.61 4.74
0.2434 103.60 480 2.27 2.58 2.93 3.39 3.82 3.95 4.07
0.2070 102.31 600 2.07 2.35 2.68 3.09 3.48 3.61 3.71
0.2070 101.19 720 1.86 2.12 2.41 2.79 3.14 3.25 3.35
0.2070 100.21 840 1.68 1.91 2.17 2.51 2.83 2.93 3.01
0.2070 99.32 960 1.54 1.75 1.99 2.30 2.60 2.69 2.76
2.0287 312.96 1080 1.42 1.61 1.83 2.12 2.39 2.47 2.54
1.8029 240.51 1200 1.32 1.50 1.71 1.97 2.22 2.30 2.36
1.6708 213.48 1320 1.25 1.42 1.62 1.87 2.10 2.18 2.24
1.5771 198.21 1440 1.18 1.34 1.53 1.76 1.99 2.06 2.12
1.4451 180.55
1.3514 170.09
0.9623 157.54
0.7862 146.97
0.7547 140.42
0.6670 132.28
0.6057 127.14
0.5643 123.46
0.5344 120.64
0.4674 116.48
0.4277 113.48
0.3828 111.16
0.3373 109.28
0.2997 107.72
0.2633 106.38
0.2633 105.21
0.2633 104.19
0.2633 103.27
2.0909 324.60
1.8652 249.46
1.7331 221.42
1.6394 205.58
1.5073 187.27
1.4136 176.42
1.0245 163.40
0.8484 152.44
0.8169 145.65
0.7293 137.20
0.6680 131.87
0.6266 128.06
0.5966 125.13
0.5297 120.81
0.4899 117.70
0.4450 115.29
0.3995 113.35
0.3620 111.72
0.3256 110.34
0.3256 109.13
0.3256 108.06
0.3256 107.11
2.1431 333.43
1.9173 256.25
1.7853 227.45
1.6916 211.18
1.5595 192.36
1.4658 181.22
1.0767 167.84
0.9006 156.59
0.8691 149.61
0.7814 140.93
0.7202 135.46
0.6788 131.54
0.6488 128.53
0.5819 124.10
0.5421 120.90
0.4972 118.43
0.4517 116.43
0.4142 114.76
0.3777 113.34
0.3777 112.10
0.3777 111.00
0.3777 110.02
2.1584 335.88
1.9326 258.13
1.8005 229.12
1.7068 212.73
1.5748 193.78
1.4811 182.55
1.0920 169.08
0.9159 157.74
0.8844 150.71
0.7967 141.97
0.7354 136.45
0.6940 132.51
0.6641 129.48
0.5971 125.01
0.5574 121.79
0.5125 119.30
0.4670 117.29
0.4294 115.61
0.3930 114.17
0.3930 112.92
0.3930 111.82
0.3930 110.83
2.1704 337.78
1.9446 259.59
1.8125 230.41
1.7188 213.93
1.5868 194.87
1.4931 183.58
1.1040 170.03
0.9279 158.63
0.8964 151.56
0.8087 142.77
0.7474 137.22
0.7060 133.25
0.6761 130.21
0.6091 125.72
0.5694 122.48
0.5245 119.97
0.4790 117.95
0.4414 116.26
0.4050 114.81
0.4050 113.56
0.4050 112.45
0.4050 111.46
2.2021 342.63
1.9763 263.32
1.8442 233.72
1.7505 217.00
1.6184 197.67
1.5247 186.22
1.1357 172.47
0.9596 160.91
0.9281 153.74
0.8404 144.82
0.7791 139.19
0.7377 135.17
0.7078 132.08
0.6408 127.53
0.6011 124.24
0.5562 121.70
0.5107 119.65
0.4731 117.93
0.4367 116.47
0.4367 115.19
0.4367 114.06
0.4367 113.06
2.2021 345.65
1.9763 265.64
1.8442 235.78
1.7505 218.91
1.6184 199.41
1.5247 187.85
1.1357 173.99
0.9596 162.32
0.9281 155.09
0.8404 146.10
0.7791 140.42
0.7377 136.36
0.7078 133.24
0.6408 128.65
0.6011 125.33
0.5562 122.77
0.5107 120.70
0.4731 118.97
0.4367 117.49
0.4367 116.20
0.4367 115.07
0.4367 114.05
2.2021 348.38
1.9763 267.74
1.8442 237.64
1.7505 220.64
1.6184 200.99
1.5247 189.34
1.1357 175.37
0.9596 163.61
0.9281 156.32
0.8404 147.25
0.7791 141.53
0.7377 137.44
0.7078 134.29
0.6408 129.67
0.6011 126.32
0.5562 123.74
0.5107 121.65
0.4731 119.91
0.4367 118.42
0.4367 117.12
0.4367 115.98
0.4367 114.96
2.2021 350.90
1.9763 269.67
1.8442 239.36
1.7505 222.24
1.6184 202.44
1.5247 190.71
1.1357 176.63
0.9596 164.79
0.9281 157.45
0.8404 148.31
0.7791 142.55
0.7377 138.43
0.7078 135.26
0.6408 130.60
0.6011 127.24
0.5562 124.63
0.5107 122.53
0.4731 120.77
0.4367 119.27
0.4367 117.97
0.4367 116.82
0.4367 115.79
2.2021 356.07
1.9763 273.65
1.8442 242.89
1.7505 225.51
1.6184 205.42
1.5247 193.52
1.1357 179.24
0.9596 167.22
0.9281 159.77
0.8404 150.50
0.7791 144.65
0.7377 140.47
0.7078 137.26
0.6408 132.53
0.6011 129.11
0.5562 126.47
0.5107 124.34
0.4731 122.55
0.4367 121.03
0.4367 119.71
0.4367 118.54
0.4367 117.49
2.2021 359.20
1.9763 276.05
1.8442 245.02
1.7505 227.49
1.6184 207.23
1.5247 195.22
1.1357 180.81
0.9596 168.69
0.9281 161.17
0.8404 151.82
0.7791 145.92
0.7377 141.70
0.7078 138.46
0.6408 133.69
0.6011 130.25
0.5562 127.58
0.5107 125.43
0.4731 123.63
0.4367 122.10
0.4367 120.76
0.4367 119.58
0.4367 118.53
2.2021 363.09
1.9763 279.04
1.8442 247.68
1.7505 229.96
1.6184 209.47
1.5247 197.34
1.1357 182.77
0.9596 170.51
0.9281 162.92
0.8404 153.47
0.7791 147.50
0.7377 143.24
0.7078 139.97
0.6408 135.14
0.6011 131.66
0.5562 128.97
0.5107 126.79
0.4731 124.97
0.4367 123.42
0.4367 122.07
0.4367 120.88
0.4367 119.81
 Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de0.980295847
Coeficiente de0.960979948
R^2 ajustado 0.960724079
Error típico 0.112267005
Observacione 308

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libeSuma de cuadPromedio de l F Valor crítico de F
Regresión 2 94.67397174 47.33698587 3755.747017 1.4839E-215
Residuos 305 3.844183494 0.01260388
Total 307 98.51815523

Superior 95,0% Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%
2.444420244299 Intercepción 2.397005121 0.024095838 99.47797325 1.6016E-234 2.349589997 2.444420244 2.349589997
-0.71827114822 Variable X 1 -0.73514119 0.008573166 -85.7490918 1.5745E-215 -0.75201123 -0.71827115 -0.75201123
0.117939917839 Variable X 2 0.102001436 0.008099759 12.5931445 1.44662E-29 0.086062954 0.117939918 0.086062954

de Intensidades Máximas Estimadas

50 71 100 140 300 500 1000
54.67 57.28 59.83 62.31 67.92 71.67 76.74
Intensidades Máximas (mm)
159.24 166.87 174.27 181.52 197.85 208.76 223.54
94.69 99.22 103.62 107.93 117.64 124.13 132.91
69.86 73.20 76.45 79.63 86.80 91.58 98.06
56.30 59.00 61.62 64.18 69.95 73.81 79.03
41.54 43.53 45.46 47.35 51.61 54.45 58.31
33.48 35.08 36.64 38.16 41.59 43.89 46.99
13.67 14.32 14.96 15.58 16.98 17.92 19.18
9.11 9.55 9.97 10.39 11.32 11.94 12.79
8.47 8.88 9.27 9.66 10.53 11.11 11.89
6.92 7.26 7.58 7.89 8.60 9.08 9.72
6.01 6.30 6.58 6.85 7.47 7.88 8.44
5.47 5.73 5.98 6.23 6.79 7.17 7.67
5.10 5.35 5.58 5.82 6.34 6.69 7.16
4.37 4.58 4.79 4.99 5.43 5.73 6.14
3.99 4.18 4.37 4.55 4.96 5.23 5.60
3.60 3.77 3.94 4.10 4.47 4.72 5.05
3.24 3.40 3.55 3.69 4.03 4.25 4.55
2.97 3.11 3.25 3.39 3.69 3.90 4.17
2.73 2.86 2.99 3.12 3.40 3.58 3.84
2.54 2.66 2.78 2.90 3.16 3.33 3.57
2.41 2.53 2.64 2.75 2.99 3.16 3.38
2.28 2.39 2.49 2.60 2.83 2.99 3.20
 Cuadro N° 7.1: HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 2 AÑOS
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

METODO DEL BLOQUE ALTERNO

PROFUNDIDA PROFUNDIDAD
DURACION INTENSIDAD TIEMPO PRECIPITACION
ACUMULADA INCREMENTAL
min mm/hr mm mm min mm
1 60 13.20 13.20 13.20 0-60 0.34
2 120 7.93 15.86 2.66 60-120 0.37
3 180 5.89 17.66 1.80 120-180 0.39
4 240 4.76 19.05 1.40 180-240 0.43
5 300 4.04 20.21 1.16 240-300 0.47
6 360 3.54 21.21 1.00 300-360 0.52
7 420 3.16 22.10 0.88 360-420 0.58
8 480 2.86 22.89 0.80 420-480 0.67
9 540 2.62 23.62 0.73 480-540 0.80
10 600 2.43 24.29 0.67 540-600 1.00
11 660 2.26 24.91 0.62 600-660 1.40
12 720 2.12 25.49 0.58 660-720 2.66
13 780 2.00 26.03 0.55 720-780 13.20
14 840 1.90 26.55 0.52 780-840 1.80
15 900 1.80 27.04 0.49 840-900 1.16
16 960 1.72 27.51 0.47 900-960 0.88
17 1020 1.64 27.95 0.45 960-1020 0.73
18 1080 1.58 28.38 0.43 1020-1080 0.62
19 1140 1.52 28.79 0.41 1080-1140 0.55
20 1200 1.46 29.18 0.39 1140-1200 0.49
21 1260 1.41 29.56 0.38 1200-1260 0.45
22 1320 1.36 29.93 0.37 1260-1320 0.41
23 1380 1.32 30.28 0.35 1320-1380 0.38
24 1440 1.28 30.63 0.34 1380-1440 0.35

HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TR = 2 AÑOS

14.00

12.00

10.00
Precipitación (mm)

8.00

6.00

4.00

2.00

0.00
480-540

540-600

600-660

660-720

1200-1260

1260-1320

1320-1380
0-60

60-120

120-180

180-240

240-300

300-360

360-420

420-480

720-780

780-840

840-900

900-960

1020-1080

1080-1140

1140-1200

1380-1440
960-1020

Tiempo (min)
 Cuadro N° 7.2: HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 10 AÑOS
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

METODO DEL BLOQUE ALTERNO

PROFUNDIDA PROFUNDIDAD
DURACION INTENSIDAD TIEMPO PRECIPITACION
ACUMULADA INCREMENTAL
min mm/hr mm mm min mm
1 60 15.55 15.55 15.55 0-60 0.40
2 120 9.34 18.69 3.13 60-120 0.43
3 180 6.94 20.81 2.12 120-180 0.46
4 240 5.61 22.45 1.65 180-240 0.50
5 300 4.76 23.82 1.37 240-300 0.55
6 360 4.17 25.00 1.18 300-360 0.61
7 420 3.72 26.04 1.04 360-420 0.68
8 480 3.37 26.98 0.94 420-480 0.79
9 540 3.09 27.83 0.85 480-540 0.94
10 600 2.86 28.62 0.79 540-600 1.18
11 660 2.67 29.35 0.73 600-660 1.65
12 720 2.50 30.04 0.68 660-720 3.13
13 780 2.36 30.68 0.64 720-780 15.55
14 840 2.23 31.29 0.61 780-840 2.12
15 900 2.12 31.86 0.58 840-900 1.37
16 960 2.03 32.41 0.55 900-960 1.04
17 1020 1.94 32.94 0.52 960-1020 0.85
18 1080 1.86 33.44 0.50 1020-1080 0.73
19 1140 1.79 33.92 0.48 1080-1140 0.64
20 1200 1.72 34.39 0.46 1140-1200 0.58
21 1260 1.66 34.83 0.45 1200-1260 0.52
22 1320 1.60 35.27 0.43 1260-1320 0.48
23 1380 1.55 35.68 0.42 1320-1380 0.45
24 1440 1.50 36.09 0.40 1380-1440 0.42

HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TR = 10 AÑOS

18.00

16.00

14.00

12.00
Precipitación (mm)

10.00

8.00

6.00

4.00

2.00

0.00
240-300

360-420

420-480

480-540

600-660

900-960

1140-1200
0-60

60-120

120-180

180-240

300-360

540-600

660-720

720-780

780-840

840-900

960-1020

1020-1080

1080-1140

1200-1260

1260-1320

1320-1380

1380-1440

Tiempo (min)
 Cuadro N° 7.3: HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 30 AÑOS
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

METODO DEL BLOQUE ALTERNO

PROFUNDIDA PROFUNDIDAD
DURACION INTENSIDAD TIEMPO PRECIPITACION
ACUMULADA INCREMENTAL
min mm/hr mm mm min mm
1 60 17.40 17.40 17.40 0-60 0.45
2 120 10.45 20.90 3.51 60-120 0.48
3 180 7.76 23.27 2.37 120-180 0.52
4 240 6.28 25.12 1.84 180-240 0.56
5 300 5.33 26.64 1.53 240-300 0.61
6 360 4.66 27.96 1.32 300-360 0.68
7 420 4.16 29.13 1.17 360-420 0.77
8 480 3.77 30.18 1.05 420-480 0.88
9 540 3.46 31.13 0.96 480-540 1.05
10 600 3.20 32.01 0.88 540-600 1.32
11 660 2.98 32.83 0.82 600-660 1.84
12 720 2.80 33.60 0.77 660-720 3.51
13 780 2.64 34.32 0.72 720-780 17.40
14 840 2.50 35.00 0.68 780-840 2.37
15 900 2.38 35.64 0.65 840-900 1.53
16 960 2.27 36.26 0.61 900-960 1.17
17 1020 2.17 36.84 0.59 960-1020 0.96
18 1080 2.08 37.41 0.56 1020-1080 0.82
19 1140 2.00 37.95 0.54 1080-1140 0.72
20 1200 1.92 38.47 0.52 1140-1200 0.65
21 1260 1.86 38.97 0.50 1200-1260 0.59
22 1320 1.79 39.45 0.48 1260-1320 0.54
23 1380 1.74 39.92 0.47 1320-1380 0.50
24 1440 1.68 40.37 0.45 1380-1440 0.47

HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TR = 30 AÑOS

20.00
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
Precipitación (mm)

10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
240-300

300-360

360-420

420-480

480-540

840-900
0-60

60-120

120-180

180-240

540-600

600-660

660-720

720-780

780-840

900-960

960-1020

1020-1080

1080-1140

1140-1200

1200-1260

1260-1320

1320-1380

1380-1440

Tiempo (min)
 Cuadro N° 7.4: HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 50 AÑOS
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

METODO DEL BLOQUE ALTERNO

PROFUNDIDA PROFUNDIDAD
DURACION INTENSIDAD TIEMPO PRECIPITACION
ACUMULADA INCREMENTAL
min mm/hr mm mm min mm
1 60 18.33 18.33 18.33 0-60 0.48
2 120 11.01 22.02 3.69 60-120 0.51
3 180 8.17 24.52 2.50 120-180 0.55
4 240 6.61 26.46 1.94 180-240 0.59
5 300 5.61 28.07 1.61 240-300 0.65
6 360 4.91 29.46 1.39 300-360 0.72
7 420 4.38 30.69 1.23 360-420 0.81
8 480 3.97 31.79 1.10 420-480 0.93
9 540 3.64 32.80 1.01 480-540 1.10
10 600 3.37 33.73 0.93 540-600 1.39
11 660 3.14 34.59 0.86 600-660 1.94
12 720 2.95 35.39 0.81 660-720 3.69
13 780 2.78 36.15 0.76 720-780 18.33
14 840 2.63 36.87 0.72 780-840 2.50
15 900 2.50 37.55 0.68 840-900 1.61
16 960 2.39 38.20 0.65 900-960 1.23
17 1020 2.28 38.82 0.62 960-1020 1.01
18 1080 2.19 39.41 0.59 1020-1080 0.86
19 1140 2.10 39.98 0.57 1080-1140 0.76
20 1200 2.03 40.52 0.55 1140-1200 0.68
21 1260 1.95 41.05 0.53 1200-1260 0.62
22 1320 1.89 41.56 0.51 1260-1320 0.57
23 1380 1.83 42.05 0.49 1320-1380 0.53
24 1440 1.77 42.53 0.48 1380-1440 0.49

HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TR = 50 AÑOS

20.00
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
Precipitación (mm)

10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
180-240

480-540

720-780

900-960

1260-1320

1320-1380
60-120

120-180

240-300

300-360

360-420

420-480

540-600

600-660

660-720

780-840

840-900

1020-1080

1080-1140

1140-1200

1200-1260

1380-1440
0-60

960-1020

Tiempo (min)
 Cuadro N° 7.5: HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 71 AÑOS
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

METODO DEL BLOQUE ALTERNO

PROFUNDIDA PROFUNDIDAD
DURACION INTENSIDAD TIEMPO PRECIPITACION
ACUMULADA INCREMENTAL
min mm/hr mm mm min mm
1 60 19.00 19.00 19.00 0-60 0.49
2 120 11.41 22.82 3.83 60-120 0.53
3 180 8.47 25.41 2.59 120-180 0.57
4 240 6.86 27.42 2.01 180-240 0.61
5 300 5.82 29.09 1.67 240-300 0.67
6 360 5.09 30.53 1.44 300-360 0.74
7 420 4.54 31.80 1.27 360-420 0.84
8 480 4.12 32.95 1.14 420-480 0.96
9 540 3.78 33.99 1.04 480-540 1.14
10 600 3.50 34.95 0.96 540-600 1.44
11 660 3.26 35.85 0.89 600-660 2.01
12 720 3.06 36.68 0.84 660-720 3.83
13 780 2.88 37.47 0.79 720-780 19.00
14 840 2.73 38.21 0.74 780-840 2.59
15 900 2.59 38.92 0.70 840-900 1.67
16 960 2.47 39.59 0.67 900-960 1.27
17 1020 2.37 40.23 0.64 960-1020 1.04
18 1080 2.27 40.84 0.61 1020-1080 0.89
19 1140 2.18 41.43 0.59 1080-1140 0.79
20 1200 2.10 42.00 0.57 1140-1200 0.70
21 1260 2.03 42.54 0.55 1200-1260 0.64
22 1320 1.96 43.07 0.53 1260-1320 0.59
23 1380 1.89 43.58 0.51 1320-1380 0.55
24 1440 1.84 44.08 0.49 1380-1440 0.51

HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TR = 71 AÑOS

20.00
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
Precipitación (mm)

10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
540-600

600-660

1200-1260

1260-1320
0-60

60-120

120-180

180-240

240-300

300-360

360-420

420-480

480-540

660-720

720-780

780-840

840-900

900-960

960-1020

1020-1080

1080-1140

1140-1200

1320-1380

1380-1440

Tiempo (min)
 Cuadro N° 7.6: HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 140 AÑOS
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

METODO DEL BLOQUE ALTERNO

PROFUNDIDA PROFUNDIDAD
DURACION INTENSIDAD TIEMPO PRECIPITACION
ACUMULADA INCREMENTAL
min mm/hr mm mm min mm
1 60 20.36 20.36 20.36 0-60 0.53
2 120 12.23 24.46 4.10 60-120 0.57
3 180 9.08 27.23 2.77 120-180 0.61
4 240 7.35 29.39 2.16 180-240 0.66
5 300 6.24 31.18 1.79 240-300 0.72
6 360 5.45 32.72 1.54 300-360 0.80
7 420 4.87 34.08 1.36 360-420 0.90
8 480 4.41 35.31 1.23 420-480 1.03
9 540 4.05 36.43 1.12 480-540 1.23
10 600 3.75 37.46 1.03 540-600 1.54
11 660 3.49 38.42 0.96 600-660 2.16
12 720 3.28 39.31 0.90 660-720 4.10
13 780 3.09 40.16 0.84 720-780 20.36
14 840 2.93 40.95 0.80 780-840 2.77
15 900 2.78 41.71 0.76 840-900 1.79
16 960 2.65 42.43 0.72 900-960 1.36
17 1020 2.54 43.11 0.69 960-1020 1.12
18 1080 2.43 43.77 0.66 1020-1080 0.96
19 1140 2.34 44.40 0.63 1080-1140 0.84
20 1200 2.25 45.01 0.61 1140-1200 0.76
21 1260 2.17 45.60 0.59 1200-1260 0.69
22 1320 2.10 46.16 0.57 1260-1320 0.63
23 1380 2.03 46.71 0.55 1320-1380 0.59
24 1440 1.97 47.24 0.53 1380-1440 0.55

HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TR = 140 AÑOS

25.00

20.00
Precipitación (mm)

15.00

10.00

5.00

0.00
60-120

420-480

480-540

660-720

900-960
0-60

120-180

180-240

240-300

300-360

360-420

540-600

600-660

720-780

780-840

840-900

1020-1080

1080-1140

1140-1200

1200-1260

1260-1320

1320-1380

1380-1440
960-1020

Tiempo (min)
 Cuadro N° 7.7: HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 500 AÑOS
ESTACIÓN RUNATULLO

METODO DEL BLOQUE ALTERNO

PROFUNDIDA PROFUNDIDAD
DURACION INTENSIDAD TIEMPO PRECIPITACION
ACUMULADA INCREMENTAL
min mm/hr mm mm min mm
1 60 23.18 23.18 23.18 0-60 0.60
2 120 13.93 27.85 4.67 60-120 0.64
3 180 10.34 31.01 3.16 120-180 0.69
4 240 8.37 33.46 2.46 180-240 0.75
5 300 7.10 35.50 2.04 240-300 0.82
6 360 6.21 37.26 1.76 300-360 0.91
7 420 5.54 38.81 1.55 360-420 1.02
8 480 5.03 40.21 1.40 420-480 1.17
9 540 4.61 41.48 1.27 480-540 1.40
10 600 4.27 42.66 1.17 540-600 1.76
11 660 3.98 43.75 1.09 600-660 2.46
12 720 3.73 44.77 1.02 660-720 4.67
13 780 3.52 45.72 0.96 720-780 23.18
14 840 3.33 46.63 0.91 780-840 3.16
15 900 3.17 47.49 0.86 840-900 2.04
16 960 3.02 48.31 0.82 900-960 1.55
17 1020 2.89 49.09 0.78 960-1020 1.27
18 1080 2.77 49.84 0.75 1020-1080 1.09
19 1140 2.66 50.56 0.72 1080-1140 0.96
20 1200 2.56 51.25 0.69 1140-1200 0.86
21 1260 2.47 51.92 0.67 1200-1260 0.78
22 1320 2.39 52.56 0.64 1260-1320 0.72
23 1380 2.31 53.18 0.62 1320-1380 0.67
24 1440 2.24 53.79 0.60 1380-1440 0.62

HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TR = 500 AÑOS

25.00

20.00
Precipitación (mm)

15.00

10.00

5.00

0.00
240-300

360-420

420-480

720-780

780-840

1200-1260
0-60

60-120

120-180

180-240

300-360

480-540

540-600

600-660

660-720

840-900

900-960

1020-1080

1080-1140

1140-1200

1260-1320

1320-1380

1380-1440
960-1020

Tiempo (min)