Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
MAD= 119.811653
MSE= 21727.0659
RMSE= 147.401037
MAPE= 0.32661623
MPE= -0.0747256
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1 2 3 4
200
100
0
1 2 3 4
et |et| et^2 |et|/Yt et/Yt
0.00 0 0.00 0 0
-150 150 22500.00 0.4286 -0.4286
-200.5 200.5 40200.25 0.802 -0.802
20.165 20.165 406.63 0.0504 0.0504
74.03 74.03 5479.78 0.1645 0.1645
-40.49 40.49 1639.67 0.1157 -0.1157
-169.44 169.44 28710.22 0.8472 -0.8472
-4.62 4.62 21.36 0.0154 -0.0154
60.89 60.89 3707.71 0.1740 0.1740
-95.08 95.08 9039.65 0.4754 -0.4754
-101.40 101.40 10282.46 0.6760 -0.6760
197.21 197.21 38892.53 0.4930 0.4930
300.33 300.33 90195.44 0.5460 0.5460
13.50 13.50 182.12 0.0386 0.0386
-87.69 87.69 7689.65 0.3508 -0.3508
244.11 244.11 59589.63 0.4438 0.4438
169.05 169.05 28576.87 0.3074 0.3074
-38.57 38.57 1487.53 0.0964 -0.0964
-82.74 82.74 6846.28 0.2364 -0.2364
188.82 188.82 35652.37 0.3147 0.3147
273.25 273.25 74663.51 0.3643 0.3643
-75.85 75.85 5753.47 0.1517 -0.1517
-167.94 167.94 28205.38 0.4199 -0.4199
122.63 122.63 15037.80 0.1887 0.1887
272.35 272.35 74175.13 0.3204 0.3204
327.00 2755.67 499722.51 7.5122 -1.7187
Método de Holt
800
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600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Yt Yestimado (t+p)
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100
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Yt Yestimado (t+p)