a=E0 34995

Ei=Y PI=X
Consumo
MES Mensual TON PROC E calculado E^2 Ei*Pi
KW-H
1 Jan-98 134880 2385730 152611.489 18192614400 321787262400
2 Feb-98 138240 2040070 135570.451 19110297600 282019276800
3 Mar-98 138480 2161680 141565.824 19176710400 299349446400
4 Apr-98 122880 2103370 138691.141 15099494400 258462105600
5 May-98 155280 2401320 153380.076 24111878400 372876969600
6 Jun-98 157920 2537565 160096.955 24938726400 400732264800
7 Jul-98 159600 2303359 148550.599 25472160000 367616096400
8 Aug-98 177600 2811775 173615.508 31541760000 499371240000
9 Sep-98 158880 2337090 150213.537 25242854400 371316859200
10 Oct-98 131040 2157733 141371.237 17171481600 282749332320
11 Nov-98 143760 2300890 148428.877 20666937600 330775946400
12 Dec-98 153840 2282175 147506.228 23666745600 351089802000
13 Jan-99 150480 2595580 162957.094 22644230400 390582878400
14 Feb-99 108240 1929556 130122.111 11715897600 208855141440
15 Mar-99 153120 2420295 154315.544 23445734400 370595570400
16 Apr-99 159720 2509785 158727.401 25510478400 400862860200
17 May-99 165817 2656455 165958.232 27495277489 440485398735
18 Jun-99 198000 2875225 176743.593 39204000000 569294550000
19 Jul-99 176880 2804464 173255.075 31286534400 496053592320
20 Aug-99 171600 2635296 164915.093 29446560000 452216793600
21 Sep-99 235580 3145100 190048.43 55497936400 740922658000
22 Oct-99 210560 3505180 207800.374 44335513600 738050700800
23 Nov-99 246570 3967284 230582.101 60796764900 978213215880
24 Dec-99 217654 4550585 259338.841 47373263716 990453027590
3966621 683143852105 1.091473E+13
b=m 0.0493 Sy,x 16835.587

(EC+Sy,x)- Real -(EC-

EC+Sy,x EC-Sy,x 310000
Real Sy,x)

169447.076 135775.902 34567.0761 -895.901911 1

152406.038 118734.864 14166.0381 19505.1361 260000
f(x) = 0.0493040175127586 x + 34995
158401.411 124730.237 19921.4111 13749.7631 R² = 0.775313927086187
155526.728 121855.554 32646.7281 1024.44609
170215.663 136544.489 14935.6631 18735.5111 210000

176932.542 143261.367 19012.5416 14658.6326

165386.186 131715.012 5786.18579 27884.9884
160000
190451.095 156779.92 12851.0946 20820.0796
167049.124 133377.95 8169.12409 25502.0501
158206.824 124535.65 27166.824 6504.35019
110000
165264.464 131593.29 21504.4641 12166.7101
164341.815 130670.64 10501.8146 23169.3596
179792.681 146121.507 29312.6811 4358.49309 60000
1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 35
146957.698 113286.524 38717.6979 -5046.52371 2
171151.131 137479.956 18031.1306 15640.0436
175562.988 141891.813 15842.9876 17828.1866
182793.819 149122.644 16976.8186 16694.3556
193579.18 159908.005 -4420.82041 38091.9946 3
190090.662 156419.488 13210.6623 20460.5119
181750.68 148079.506 10150.6799 23520.4943
206884.017 173212.843 -28695.9829 62367.1571
224635.961 190964.787 14075.9611 19595.2131
247417.688 213746.514 847.688289 32823.4859
276174.428 242503.253 58520.4276 -24849.2534 5

20.8%
 = 0.0493040175127586 x + 34995.0171889811
= 0.775313927086187

0 2500000 3000000 3500000 4000000 4500000 5000000

 a=E0 15377.939709
Nueva a 8137.7235843
Ei=Y PI=X
Consumo
Consumo Real - Diferencia al
MES Mensual TON PROC
teorico teorico cuadrado
KW-H
2 Feb-98 138240 2040070 132241.956 5998.04408
3 Mar-98 138480 2161680 139208.302 -728.301687 530423.34737
4 Apr-98 122880 2103370 135868.053 -12988.0532 168689525.24
5 May-98 155280 2401320 152935.915 2344.08463
6 Jun-98 157920 2537565 160740.617 -2820.61711 7955880.9035
7 Jul-98 159600 2303359 147324.286 12275.7136
8 Aug-98 177600 2811775 176448.55 1151.45037
9 Sep-98 158880 2337090 149256.544 9623.4563
10 Oct-98 131040 2157733 138982.2 -7942.20049 63078548.601
11 Nov-98 143760 2300890 147182.851 -3422.85143 11715911.92
12 Dec-98 153840 2282175 146110.775 7729.22456
13 Jan-99 150480 2595580 164063.967 -13583.9668 184524152.78
15 Mar-99 153120 2420295 154022.885 -902.885281 815201.83024
16 Apr-99 159720 2509785 159149.259 570.741207
17 May-99 165817 2656455 167551.15 -1734.14954 3007274.6283
19 Jul-99 176880 2804464 176029.744 850.256012
20 Aug-99 171600 2635296 166339.071 5260.92932
22 Oct-99 210560 3505180 216169.781 -5609.78133 31469646.584
23 Nov-99 246570 3967284 242641.093 3928.90673
Varianza 52420729.536
D. Estandar 7240.216125

Valor de E0 8137.7235843

Costo Kwh $ 850

Potencial de
ahorro $ 6,917,065
b=m 0.05728432

Linea meta

125001.74 260000
131968.086 240000
f(x) = 0.0572843168173565 x + 15377.9397093115
128627.837 R² = 0.940069758803599
220000
145695.699
200000
153500.401
140084.07 180000
169208.334 160000
142016.328
140000
131741.984
139942.635 120000

138870.559 100000
156823.751 80000
146782.669
60000
151909.043 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 3500000 4000000 4500000
160310.933
168789.528
159098.855
208929.565
235400.877
 Ei=Y PI=X
Consumo
IC real=
MES Mensual TON PROC IC Teorico
Cons/Prod
KW-H
2 Feb-98 138240 2040070 0.06776238
3 Mar-98 138480 2161680 0.06406129
4 Apr-98 122880 2103370 0.05842053
5 May-98 155280 2401320 0.06466443
6 Jun-98 157920 2537565 0.06223289
7 Jul-98 159600 2303359 0.06929011
8 Aug-98 177600 2811775 0.06316295
9 Sep-98 158880 2337090 0.06798198
10 Oct-98 131040 2157733 0.06073041
11 Nov-98 143760 2300890 0.06248017
12 Dec-98 153840 2282175 0.06740938
13 Jan-99 150480 2595580 0.05797548
15 Mar-99 153120 2420295 0.06326502
16 Apr-99 159720 2509785 0.06363892
17 May-99 165817 2656455 0.06242041
19 Jul-99 176880 2804464 0.06307088
20 Aug-99 171600 2635296 0.06511602
22 Oct-99 210560 3505180 0.06007109
23 Nov-99 246570 3967284 0.06215083