Tasa cdbcrp y tasa estimada con modelo : cdbcrp = a + b (inflación)

60.00

50.00

40.00

30.00

Tasa de interés - Saldo CD BCRP (Y) Y estimado

20.00

10.00

0.00
1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50 57 64 71 78 85 92 99 106113 120127134141148155 162169176183190197 204211 218225 232239 246253 260 267274281288295302309316323
 xi yi xi yi xi^2

(var% 12
Tasa de interés - meses) - IPC
Saldo CD BCRP (Y) (X) Xi - Xm Yi - Ym (Xi-Xm) (Yi-Ym) (Xi - Xm)^2

Jun92 49.06 78.28 71.31 40.59 2894.60 5085.604686

Jul92 46.23 69.16 62.19 37.76 2348.14 3867.804392
Ago92 46.80 62.20 55.23 38.33 2116.79 3050.323844
Sep92 31.58 57.68 50.71 23.10 1171.51 2571.676078
Oct92 34.08 57.20 50.24 25.60 1286.24 2523.631756
Nov92 34.49 56.57 49.60 26.01 1290.32 2460.222731
Feb93 29.87 55.97 49.01 21.40 1048.72 2401.519093
Mar93 30.28 51.32 44.35 21.81 967.14 1966.866109
Abr93 30.84 53.16 46.19 22.37 1033.22 2133.400941
Jun93 29.55 49.95 42.98 21.07 905.81 1847.491274
Jul93 29.38 48.88 41.91 20.91 876.29 1756.707646
Ago93 29.73 48.46 41.49 21.25 881.85 1721.377122
Sep93 27.98 47.01 40.04 19.50 780.91 1603.548932
Oct93 21.75 43.99 37.02 13.28 491.64 1370.6814
Nov93 19.10 41.30 34.33 10.62 364.69 1178.577173
Dic93 26.82 39.48 32.51 18.35 596.53 1057.003603
Ene94 19.26 35.48 28.51 10.79 307.57 812.7517796
Feb94 16.22 34.01 27.04 7.75 209.55 731.3780865
Mar94 14.98 31.55 24.59 6.50 159.92 604.4621863
Abr94 15.07 27.92 20.95 6.60 138.24 439.109534
May94 15.11 25.05 18.08 6.64 120.00 326.8207418
Jun94 15.12 24.22 17.25 6.64 114.54 297.4737346
Jul94 15.12 21.98 15.01 6.64 99.70 225.3472273
Ago94 13.66 20.79 13.82 5.19 71.72 191.014818
Sep94 14.55 19.47 12.51 6.08 76.02 156.4149483
Oct94 14.91 18.04 11.07 6.44 71.23 122.524537
Nov94 14.95 17.59 10.62 6.48 68.79 112.8659684
Dic94 15.04 15.38 8.42 6.57 55.28 70.82258506
Ene95 14.89 13.72 6.76 6.42 43.35 45.64250308
Feb95 14.98 12.96 5.99 6.50 38.96 35.89821193
Mar95 15.80 11.91 4.94 7.32 36.16 24.40469793
Abr95 18.48 11.29 4.32 10.01 43.26 18.68437369
May95 19.89 11.42 4.45 11.41 50.84 19.83811407
Jun95 18.91 11.06 4.09 10.43 42.65 16.71484042
Jul95 18.84 10.70 3.74 10.37 38.74 13.96076863
Ago95 18.35 10.16 3.20 9.87 31.55 10.21782549
Sep95 15.98 10.03 3.06 7.50 22.96 9.369702698
Oct95 14.46 10.27 3.30 5.99 19.78 10.92260772
Nov95 12.42 10.30 3.33 3.95 13.14 11.0835751
Dic95 14.68 10.23 3.26 6.21 20.24 10.62813298
Ene96 13.43 11.18 4.22 4.96 20.90 17.77368445
Feb96 11.49 11.62 4.65 3.02 14.04 21.64904818
Mar96 11.69 11.63 4.66 3.22 15.01 21.7325353
Abr96 12.89 11.50 4.54 4.42 20.03 20.58031578
May96 13.28 11.39 4.42 4.80 21.22 19.51869422
Jun96 13.46 11.01 4.04 4.99 20.14 16.31145372
Jul96 13.99 11.89 4.93 5.52 27.19 24.26557564
Ago96 14.07 11.77 4.80 5.59 26.85 23.04369645
Sep96 14.27 11.69 4.73 5.80 27.39 22.32940239
Oct96 14.22 11.94 4.98 5.74 28.58 24.76036799
Nov96 15.29 11.09 4.12 6.82 28.09 16.9658861
Dic96 15.96 11.84 4.87 7.49 36.49 23.73524403
Ene97 14.56 11.00 4.03 6.08 24.51 16.24711889
Feb97 15.45 9.42 2.45 6.98 17.10 6.008594837
Abr97 14.79 8.78 1.81 6.32 11.44 3.284145429
Jun97 12.26 9.48 2.51 3.79 9.52 6.321766826
Jul97 11.48 8.89 1.93 3.00 5.78 3.707174516
Ago97 12.53 8.14 1.17 4.06 4.76 1.37527906
Sep97 13.25 8.11 1.14 4.77 5.43 1.29643175
Oct97 11.93 7.48 0.51 3.45 1.77 0.263074276
Nov97 12.77 7.06 0.10 4.29 0.41 0.009088699
Dic97 13.88 6.46 -0.51 5.40 -2.73 0.255110098
Ene98 13.77 6.91 -0.05 5.30 -0.29 0.002979051
Feb98 13.91 8.14 1.17 5.44 6.36 1.367032252
Mar98 15.69 8.19 1.22 7.22 8.78 1.481224679
Abr98 15.47 8.43 1.46 6.99 10.20 2.126652256
May98 14.61 8.25 1.28 6.14 7.88 1.649541806
Jun98 14.63 7.66 0.69 6.16 4.24 0.474914156
Jul98 14.72 7.44 0.47 6.25 2.97 0.225541803
Ago98 15.69 7.48 0.52 7.21 3.72 0.265552877
Sep98 17.78 6.59 -0.37 9.31 -3.49 0.140387017
Oct98 19.29 6.08 -0.89 10.82 -9.65 0.79629909
Nov98 19.22 6.03 -0.94 10.74 -10.12 0.888160171
Dic98 16.12 6.01 -0.96 7.65 -7.35 0.924132287
Ene99 17.07 5.07 -1.90 8.60 -16.33 3.605096385
Feb99 21.30 4.11 -2.85 12.83 -36.59 8.140694892
Mar99 26.59 3.39 -3.58 18.11 -64.84 12.81236495
Abr99 19.02 3.37 -3.60 10.54 -37.97 12.97046793
May99 14.48 3.24 -3.73 6.01 -22.39 13.89141414
Jun99 13.81 2.88 -4.09 5.34 -21.81 16.70643767
Jul99 12.29 2.51 -4.46 3.82 -17.03 19.8947135
Ago99 10.32 2.41 -4.56 1.85 -8.42 20.75508367
Sep99 11.32 3.44 -3.53 2.84 -10.03 12.4483067
Oct99 13.91 3.66 -3.31 5.44 -17.98 10.92969766
Nov99 14.12 3.92 -3.05 5.64 -17.21 9.302978905
Dic99 17.42 3.73 -3.24 8.95 -29.00 10.50867516
Ene00 17.83 3.78 -3.18 9.35 -29.79 10.1402207
Feb00 15.82 3.95 -3.01 7.34 -22.13 9.081077465
Mar00 13.90 3.88 -3.09 5.42 -16.73 9.527559922
Abr00 13.67 3.80 -3.17 5.20 -16.47 10.03189518
May00 14.35 3.33 -3.64 5.88 -21.37 13.22619871
Jun00 14.86 3.21 -3.76 6.39 -23.99 14.10554781
Jul00 15.03 3.47 -3.50 6.56 -22.91 12.21645574
Ago00 14.07 3.78 -3.19 5.59 -17.84 10.16624927
Sep00 13.55 3.88 -3.09 5.08 -15.68 9.543136598
Oct00 13.41 4.25 -2.72 4.94 -13.44 7.407146805
Nov00 13.72 4.02 -2.94 5.24 -15.43 8.664925498
Dic00 13.52 3.73 -3.23 5.04 -16.31 10.45795684
Ene01 13.34 3.86 -3.11 4.86 -15.13 9.679336976
Feb01 12.90 3.61 -3.35 4.42 -14.84 11.24810019
Mar01 12.65 3.58 -3.39 4.18 -14.15 11.47980291
Abr01 12.55 2.62 -4.34 4.07 -17.70 18.87417203
May01 12.65 2.63 -4.34 4.18 -18.11 18.80724569
Jun01 12.42 2.51 -4.46 3.94 -17.59 19.90563629
Jul01 12.04 2.16 -4.81 3.57 -17.16 23.15484586
Ago01 11.35 1.37 -5.60 2.88 -16.09 31.31460979
Sep01 10.80 0.87 -6.09 2.32 -14.16 37.12772368
Oct01 10.35 0.68 -6.29 1.87 -11.79 39.56023966
Nov01 9.05 0.12 -6.85 0.58 -3.97 46.91964003
Dic01 7.48 -0.13 -7.10 -0.99 7.03 50.345603
Ene02 6.57 -0.83 -7.80 -1.91 14.88 60.85321842
Feb02 5.94 -1.11 -8.08 -2.53 20.45 65.32634883
Mar02 5.41 -1.08 -8.05 -3.06 24.67 64.84212049
Abr02 5.18 0.05 -6.91 -3.30 22.82 47.81024604
May02 4.91 0.17 -6.80 -3.56 24.22 46.23885567
Jun02 4.68 0.00 -6.97 -3.80 26.46 48.58294047
Jul02 4.48 -0.14 -7.11 -3.99 28.36 50.52857304
Ago02 4.13 0.26 -6.70 -4.34 29.12 44.94111195
Sep02 4.11 0.68 -6.29 -4.36 27.44 39.59164957
Oct02 4.35 1.36 -5.61 -4.12 23.13 31.44249677
Nov02 4.55 1.46 -5.51 -3.93 21.64 30.38352476
Dic02 4.70 1.52 -5.45 -3.77 20.58 29.72722795
Ene03 4.62 2.28 -4.69 -3.86 18.06 21.9543454
Feb03 4.64 2.80 -4.17 -3.84 15.98 17.35219206
Mar03 4.66 3.39 -3.57 -3.81 13.62 12.76763118
Abr03 4.71 2.59 -4.37 -3.77 16.49 19.13190295
May03 4.75 2.42 -4.55 -3.73 16.96 20.69374321
Jun03 4.76 2.17 -4.80 -3.71 17.81 23.05352008
Jul03 4.62 1.98 -4.99 -3.86 19.25 24.88858792
Ago03 4.42 1.89 -5.08 -4.05 20.58 25.78531324
Sep03 4.30 1.98 -4.99 -4.17 20.84 24.91687973
Oct03 4.17 1.30 -5.67 -4.30 24.40 32.13721482
Nov03 4.07 1.88 -5.09 -4.41 22.44 25.93093859
Dic03 3.94 2.48 -4.48 -4.53 20.33 20.10946733
Ene04 3.75 2.80 -4.17 -4.73 19.72 17.4010271
Feb04 3.73 3.43 -3.54 -4.75 16.80 12.53083531
Mar04 3.66 2.76 -4.21 -4.82 20.30 17.7429907
Abr04 3.72 2.78 -4.18 -4.76 19.91 17.50056248
May04 3.73 3.18 -3.79 -4.75 17.98 14.33852881
Jun04 3.78 4.26 -2.71 -4.70 12.74 7.352841431
Jul04 3.73 4.61 -2.35 -4.75 11.17 5.542173792
Ago04 3.87 4.59 -2.38 -4.61 10.95 5.656009347
Sep04 4.05 4.03 -2.94 -4.42 13.00 8.654597305
Oct04 4.19 3.95 -3.02 -4.28 12.92 9.105560114
Nov04 4.25 4.07 -2.89 -4.23 12.23 8.373569694
Dic04 4.47 3.48 -3.49 -4.00 13.95 12.15938564
Ene05 4.51 3.03 -3.94 -3.97 15.62 15.50101339
Feb05 4.50 1.68 -5.28 -3.97 20.98 27.91271236
Mar05 4.48 1.88 -5.09 -4.00 20.36 25.92019535
Abr05 4.59 2.02 -4.95 -3.89 19.23 24.47185693
May05 4.61 1.79 -5.18 -3.87 20.04 26.81373601
Jun05 4.59 1.49 -5.48 -3.89 21.31 30.05146258
Jul05 4.66 1.40 -5.57 -3.81 21.24 31.04229073
Ago05 4.65 1.22 -5.74 -3.83 21.99 32.99373673
Sep05 4.64 1.11 -5.86 -3.83 22.44 34.2965467
Oct05 4.68 1.28 -5.69 -3.79 21.56 32.32927293
Nov05 4.68 1.06 -5.91 -3.79 22.40 34.89288566
Dic05 4.72 1.49 -5.47 -3.75 20.54 29.96304938
Ene06 4.80 1.90 -5.07 -3.67 18.63 25.69302485
Feb06 4.83 2.70 -4.27 -3.64 15.56 18.22594153
Mar06 4.86 2.50 -4.47 -3.62 16.16 19.9464764
Abr06 4.87 2.90 -4.07 -3.60 14.65 16.52953391
May06 4.90 2.23 -4.74 -3.58 16.94 22.44936469
Jun06 4.95 1.83 -5.14 -3.53 18.14 26.44147048
Jul06 5.03 1.55 -5.42 -3.44 18.65 29.39709077
Ago06 5.12 1.87 -5.10 -3.35 17.09 25.9839108
Sep06 5.25 1.99 -4.97 -3.23 16.05 24.73473104
Oct06 5.15 1.89 -5.08 -3.32 16.87 25.76840519
Nov06 5.21 1.54 -5.43 -3.26 17.72 29.51576649
Dic06 5.13 1.14 -5.83 -3.34 19.48 33.99621219
Ene07 5.16 0.64 -6.32 -3.32 20.99 39.99195482
Feb07 5.26 0.36 -6.61 -3.21 21.23 43.73183734
Mar07 5.25 0.25 -6.72 -3.23 21.68 45.17482889
Abr07 5.30 -0.08 -7.05 -3.17 22.37 49.73287704
May07 5.23 0.94 -6.03 -3.25 19.59 36.33412539
Jun07 5.27 1.55 -5.42 -3.21 17.38 29.36643308
Jul07 5.33 2.21 -4.76 -3.15 14.99 22.67634281
Ago07 5.33 2.20 -4.76 -3.14 14.97 22.70005768
Sep07 5.30 2.80 -4.17 -3.17 13.23 17.36051038
Oct07 5.30 3.08 -3.89 -3.18 12.35 15.12370276
Nov07 5.42 3.49 -3.48 -3.05 10.64 12.12784274
Dic07 5.46 3.93 -3.04 -3.02 9.17 9.244229277
Ene08 5.65 4.15 -2.82 -2.82 7.95 7.949489531
Feb08 5.58 4.82 -2.15 -2.90 6.22 4.608809641
Mar08 5.64 5.55 -1.42 -2.84 4.04 2.024677263
Abr08 5.76 5.52 -1.45 -2.72 3.94 2.097234826
May08 5.88 5.39 -1.58 -2.59 4.09 2.485941816
Jun08 5.98 5.71 -1.26 -2.50 3.15 1.592858203
Jul08 6.02 5.79 -1.18 -2.46 2.89 1.387677898
Ago08 6.11 6.27 -0.70 -2.37 1.65 0.488340045
Sep08 6.15 6.22 -0.75 -2.32 1.73 0.557500375
Oct08 6.13 6.54 -0.43 -2.34 1.01 0.184840452
Nov08 6.13 6.75 -0.22 -2.34 0.51 0.048049366
Dic08 6.05 6.65 -0.32 -2.42 0.77 0.101063215
Ene09 6.05 6.53 -0.44 -2.43 1.07 0.195036035
Feb09 6.08 5.49 -1.48 -2.40 3.55 2.184809351
Mar09 6.12 4.78 -2.19 -2.36 5.16 4.795000663
Abr09 6.19 4.64 -2.33 -2.29 5.33 5.434495348
May09 5.92 4.21 -2.76 -2.55 7.05 7.624422936
Jun09 4.98 3.06 -3.91 -3.50 13.67 15.27440939
Jul09 3.90 2.68 -4.29 -4.58 19.62 18.37165867
Ago09 2.57 1.87 -5.10 -5.91 30.12 26.01709626
Sep09 2.18 1.20 -5.76 -6.29 36.27 33.21843933
Oct09 1.91 0.71 -6.26 -6.57 41.10 39.14917316
Nov09 1.84 0.29 -6.68 -6.63 44.29 44.61851602
Dic09 1.70 0.25 -6.72 -6.77 45.53 45.19597679
Ene10 1.48 0.44 -6.53 -6.99 45.66 42.6721584
Feb10 1.48 0.84 -6.13 -6.99 42.88 37.61452909
Mar10 1.50 0.76 -6.21 -6.98 43.36 38.59951975
Abr10 1.44 0.76 -6.21 -7.04 43.67 38.52012547
May10 1.36 1.04 -5.92 -7.12 42.16 35.08585718
Jun10 1.57 1.64 -5.32 -6.91 36.77 28.35248364
Jul10 1.90 1.82 -5.14 -6.58 33.84 26.46958909
Ago10 2.42 2.31 -4.66 -6.05 28.21 21.70867266
Sep10 2.87 2.37 -4.60 -5.61 25.81 21.18535371
Oct10 2.96 2.10 -4.87 -5.51 26.86 23.7463634
Nov10 3.05 2.22 -4.75 -5.42 25.77 22.56630181
Dic10 3.04 2.08 -4.89 -5.43 26.58 23.92841107
Ene11 3.25 2.17 -4.80 -5.23 25.08 22.99652727
Feb11 3.47 2.23 -4.73 -5.00 23.68 22.4159936
Mar11 3.78 2.66 -4.30 -4.69 20.21 18.53032295
Abr11 4.03 3.34 -3.63 -4.45 16.15 13.19026884
May11 4.25 3.07 -3.90 -4.22 16.48 15.22163873
Jun11 4.28 2.91 -4.06 -4.19 17.02 16.46296965
Jul11 4.24 3.35 -3.62 -4.23 15.32 13.08685566
Ago11 4.31 3.35 -3.62 -4.16 15.08 13.10697745
Sep11 4.33 3.73 -3.24 -4.14 13.44 10.50915707
Oct11 4.29 4.20 -2.77 -4.18 11.58 7.659196803
Nov11 4.19 4.64 -2.33 -4.28 9.97 5.411450407
Dic11 4.12 4.74 -2.23 -4.35 9.71 4.971521527
Ene12 4.20 4.23 -2.74 -4.27 11.72 7.522663302
Feb12 4.20 4.17 -2.80 -4.27 11.98 7.853209259
Mar12 4.14 4.23 -2.74 -4.33 11.86 7.489112637
Abr12 4.14 4.08 -2.89 -4.33 12.53 8.359412653
May12 4.13 4.14 -2.83 -4.34 12.28 7.984668529
Jun12 4.12 4.00 -2.97 -4.35 12.92 8.803331089
Jul12 4.10 3.28 -3.69 -4.37 16.15 13.63084168
Ago12 4.11 3.53 -3.44 -4.36 15.02 11.84826589
Sep12 4.11 3.74 -3.23 -4.36 14.08 10.4133711
Oct12 4.08 3.25 -3.72 -4.39 16.35 13.84942441
Nov12 4.07 2.66 -4.31 -4.40 18.97 18.54439072
Dic12 4.00 2.65 -4.32 -4.47 19.33 18.65153994
Ene13 4.05 2.87 -4.10 -4.42 18.11 16.7775081
Feb13 4.03 2.45 -4.52 -4.44 20.08 20.41728984
Mar13 3.96 2.59 -4.38 -4.51 19.76 19.15188918
Abr13 3.97 2.31 -4.66 -4.50 21.00 21.72642952
May13 3.86 2.46 -4.50 -4.61 20.78 20.28006004
Jun13 3.92 2.77 -4.20 -4.55 19.12 17.61796787
Jul13 3.91 3.24 -3.73 -4.56 17.01 13.89044116
Ago13 3.89 3.28 -3.69 -4.58 16.92 13.62751267
Sep13 3.94 2.83 -4.14 -4.53 18.76 17.11701234
Oct13 3.96 3.04 -3.93 -4.51 17.74 15.44198847
Nov13 3.88 2.96 -4.01 -4.59 18.44 16.10395297
Dic13 3.87 2.86 -4.11 -4.60 18.92 16.87920192
Ene14 3.86 3.07 -3.90 -4.61 18.00 15.2215492
Feb14 3.87 3.78 -3.19 -4.60 14.70 10.18747267
Mar14 3.85 3.38 -3.59 -4.62 16.60 12.8894181
Abr14 3.83 3.52 -3.44 -4.64 16.00 11.86772991
May14 3.84 3.56 -3.41 -4.63 15.82 11.64493321
Jun14 3.82 3.45 -3.52 -4.65 16.38 12.37955267
Jul14 3.64 3.33 -3.64 -4.83 17.58 13.22739017
Ago14 3.74 2.69 -4.28 -4.73 20.28 18.34325688
Sep14 3.72 2.74 -4.23 -4.75 20.11 17.89162754
Oct14 3.68 3.09 -3.88 -4.79 18.60 15.05495312
Nov14 3.66 3.16 -3.81 -4.81 18.34 14.50855334
Dic14 3.64 3.22 -3.74 -4.83 18.10 14.01791458
Ene15 3.61 3.07 -3.89 -4.86 18.95 15.16984467
Feb15 3.58 2.77 -4.20 -4.89 20.56 17.63602346
Mar15 3.56 3.02 -3.95 -4.91 19.40 15.58601278
Abr15 3.54 3.02 -3.95 -4.93 19.50 15.60802313
May15 3.50 3.37 -3.60 -4.97 17.92 12.97375477
Jun15 3.43 3.54 -3.42 -5.04 17.27 11.71830816
Jul15 3.45 3.56 -3.41 -5.02 17.11 11.59529351
Ago15 3.46 4.04 -2.93 -5.01 14.67 8.558192782
Sep15 3.54 3.90 -3.06 -4.93 15.12 9.385380656
Oct15 3.61 3.66 -3.31 -4.86 16.09 10.94224955
Nov15 3.69 4.17 -2.80 -4.78 13.38 7.815069981
Dic15 3.78 4.40 -2.57 -4.69 12.07 6.605841706
Ene16 3.94 4.61 -2.36 -4.53 10.70 5.566881155
Feb16 3.96 4.47 -2.49 -4.51 11.26 6.221805526
Mar16 4.14 4.30 -2.67 -4.33 11.56 7.113055598
Abr16 4.32 3.91 -3.06 -4.15 12.72 9.369099502
May16 4.35 3.54 -3.43 -4.12 14.14 11.74771573
Jun16 4.50 3.34 -3.63 -3.97 14.41 13.15145167
Jul16 4.53 2.96 -4.01 -3.95 15.82 16.04926031
Ago16 4.63 2.94 -4.03 -3.84 15.48 16.20530069
Sep16 4.70 3.13 -3.84 -3.77 14.50 14.75666615
Oct16 4.70 3.41 -3.56 -3.77 13.45 12.6937148
Nov16 4.70 3.35 -3.62 -3.77 13.66 13.09339238
Dic16 4.80 3.23 -3.73 -3.67 13.72 13.93700471
Ene17 4.70 3.10 -3.87 -3.77 14.61 14.99042938
Feb17 4.60 3.25 -3.72 -3.87 14.41 13.82589247
Mar17 4.70 3.97 -2.99 -3.77 11.30 8.959589234
Abr17 4.60 3.69 -3.27 -3.87 12.68 10.71512154
May17 4.60 3.04 -3.93 -3.87 15.22 15.43161325
Jun17 4.60 2.73 -4.24 -3.87 16.41 17.94088196
Jul17 4.50 2.85 -4.12 -3.97 16.36 16.9418057
Ago17 4.10 3.17 -3.79 -4.37 16.60 14.39672521
Sep17 4.10 2.94 -4.02 -4.37 17.60 16.18546727
Oct17 4.04 2.04 -4.93 -4.44 21.87 24.28487476
Nov17 3.90 1.54 -5.42 -4.57 24.81 29.41731914
Dic17 4.00 1.36 -5.60 -4.47 25.07 31.39647626
Ene18 3.60 1.25 -5.71 -4.87 27.86 32.66034921
Feb18 3.40 1.18 -5.79 -5.07 29.38 33.50731687
Mar18 3.20 0.36 -6.60 -5.27 34.84 43.62570422
Abr18 3.10 0.48 -6.48 -5.37 34.85 42.03242502
May18 3.00 0.93 -6.04 -5.47 33.05 36.450431
Jun18 3.00 1.43 -5.54 -5.47 30.32 30.67805855
Jul18 2.90 1.62 -5.35 -5.57 29.84 28.64401917
Ago18 2.90 1.07 -5.90 -5.57 32.88 34.78093464
Sep18 2.80 1.28 -5.69 -5.67 32.28 32.35141849
Oct18 2.80 1.84 -5.13 -5.67 29.10 26.28836342
Nov18 2.80 2.17 -4.80 -5.67 27.24 23.04973814
Dic18 2.70 2.19 -4.78 -5.77 27.58 22.80624641
Ene19 2.70 2.13 -4.84 -5.77 27.94 23.41547481
Feb19 2.70 2.00 -4.96 -5.77 28.67 24.64851311
Mar19 2.80 2.25 -4.72 -5.67 26.79 22.28473609
Abr19 2.80 2.59 -4.37 -5.67 24.82 19.12788969
May19 2.70 2.73 -4.24 -5.77 24.50 18.00291492
Jun19 2.70 2.29 -4.67 -5.77 26.99 21.84002457
Jul19 2.70 2.11 -4.86 -5.77 28.02 23.58266354
Ago19 2.70 2.04 -4.93 -5.77 28.44 24.28901175
Sep19 2.69 1.85 -5.12 -5.78 29.58 26.18476163
Oct19 2.60 1.88 -5.09 -5.87 29.89 25.88315974
Nov19 2.50 1.87 -5.10 -5.97 30.48 26.02341267
Dic19 2.50 1.90 -5.07 -5.97 30.28 25.68482842
Ene20 2.45 1.89 -5.08 -6.02 30.60 25.80391791
Feb20 2.37 1.90 -5.06 -6.11 30.94 25.64484533
Abr20 2.05 1.72 -5.25 -6.43 33.71 27.51556827
Y estimado error error^2 yi^2 ß0 = Ym - ß1 Xm
46.78 2.29 5.24 1647.53 ß1 = ∑(X–Xm)(Y–Ym) / ∑
41.88 4.35 18.96 1425.55 ß1 = ∑yixi / ∑xi^2
38.14 8.66 75.07 1468.96
35.71 -4.13 17.10 533.67
35.46 -1.38 1.89 655.56 Ym
35.11 -0.63 0.39 676.74 Xm
34.79 -4.92 24.20 457.97
32.29 -2.01 4.05 475.55 ∑(X–Xm)(Y–Ym)
33.28 -2.44 5.94 500.40 ∑(X–Xm)^2
31.56 -2.01 4.04 444.11
30.99 -1.60 2.57 437.11 ß1 =
30.76 -1.03 1.06 451.76 Teóricamente B1 debería se
29.98 -2.01 4.02 380.29 al subir la inflación el bcr debe subir
28.36 -6.60 43.62 176.34
26.91 -7.82 61.08 112.84
25.94 0.89 0.79 336.66 ß0 =
23.79 -4.52 20.45 116.40
23.00 -6.78 45.92 60.04 Resultados econométricos
21.68 -6.70 44.89 42.31
19.73 -4.66 21.69 43.52 Y=a+bX
18.18 -3.07 9.43 44.06 tasa de cdbcr = 4.73 + 0.54 (in
17.74 -2.62 6.88 44.10
16.54 -1.42 2.02 44.11
15.90 -2.23 4.99 26.93
15.19 -0.64 0.41 36.95 suma error
14.42 0.49 0.24 41.41
14.18 0.77 0.59 41.93 suma de residuos al cuadrado (erro
12.99 2.05 4.20 43.14 SRC
12.10 2.79 7.77 41.17 STC
11.69 3.28 10.79 42.28
11.13 4.67 21.78 53.59 SRC/STC
10.80 7.69 59.07 100.14
10.87 9.02 81.41 130.30 R^2
10.67 8.24 67.86 108.85 R^2
10.48 8.36 69.93 107.52
10.19 8.15 66.49 97.43
10.12 5.86 34.32 56.28
10.25 4.21 17.73 35.83
10.26 2.16 4.66 15.57
10.23 4.46 19.88 38.56
10.74 2.69 7.25 24.58
10.97 0.52 0.27 9.11
10.98 0.72 0.51 10.37
10.91 1.98 3.92 19.49
10.85 2.43 5.90 23.07
10.64 2.82 7.94 24.87
11.12 2.87 8.26 30.46 r^2 = ß1^2 [ ∑xi^2 /∑yi^2]
11.05 3.02 9.09 31.28
11.01 3.26 10.62 33.61
11.15 3.07 9.43 32.98
10.69 4.61 21.23 46.51
11.09 4.87 23.75 56.10
10.64 3.92 15.34 36.98
9.79 5.66 32.02 48.65
9.45 5.34 28.54 39.88
9.83 2.43 5.93 14.33
9.51 1.97 3.87 9.01
9.10 3.43 11.75 16.46
9.09 4.16 17.30 22.76
8.75 3.18 10.10 11.93
8.53 4.24 17.98 18.42
8.20 5.67 32.20 29.20
8.45 5.33 28.38 28.07
9.10 4.81 23.13 29.57
9.13 6.56 43.07 52.07
9.26 6.21 38.58 48.92
9.16 5.45 29.65 37.64
8.84 5.79 33.50 37.92
8.73 5.99 35.90 39.02
8.75 6.94 48.14 52.05
8.27 9.51 90.37 86.59
8.00 11.30 127.64 117.04
7.97 11.25 126.49 115.36
7.96 8.17 66.67 58.50
7.45 9.62 92.51 73.93
6.94 14.36 206.16 164.50
6.55 20.04 401.50 328.15
6.54 12.48 155.67 111.15
6.47 8.01 64.12 36.07
6.28 7.53 56.72 28.47
6.08 6.21 38.62 14.58
6.03 4.30 18.45 3.42
6.58 4.74 22.43 8.07
6.70 7.22 52.06 29.59
6.84 7.28 53.02 31.84
6.73 10.69 114.22 80.03
6.76 11.06 122.41 87.49
6.86 8.96 80.30 53.91
6.82 7.08 50.10 29.38
6.77 6.90 47.60 27.02
6.52 7.83 61.31 34.53
6.46 8.40 70.63 40.79
6.60 8.43 71.11 42.97
6.76 7.31 53.38 31.29
6.82 6.74 45.37 25.77
7.01 6.40 40.94 24.37
6.89 6.82 46.56 27.49
6.74 6.78 45.99 25.45
6.80 6.54 42.71 23.66
6.67 6.23 38.76 19.57
6.66 6.00 35.96 17.45
6.14 6.41 41.05 16.59
6.15 6.50 42.31 17.43
6.08 6.34 40.19 15.55
5.89 6.15 37.84 12.72
5.47 5.88 34.58 8.27
5.20 5.60 31.31 5.40
5.10 5.25 27.58 3.51
4.80 4.26 18.14 0.34
4.66 2.82 7.96 0.98
4.29 2.28 5.21 3.64
4.13 1.81 3.28 6.40
4.15 1.26 1.59 9.38
4.76 0.41 0.17 10.89
4.82 0.09 0.01 12.69
4.73 -0.05 0.00 14.41
4.66 -0.17 0.03 15.92
4.87 -0.74 0.55 18.86
5.10 -0.98 0.96 19.01
5.46 -1.11 1.24 17.01
5.51 -0.97 0.93 15.42
5.55 -0.85 0.71 14.24
5.96 -1.34 1.79 14.86
6.24 -1.60 2.55 14.71
6.56 -1.89 3.58 14.53
6.13 -1.42 2.02 14.21
6.03 -1.28 1.65 13.89
5.90 -1.13 1.28 13.76
5.80 -1.18 1.39 14.88
5.75 -1.33 1.76 16.43
5.79 -1.49 2.23 17.42
5.43 -1.26 1.59 18.53
5.74 -1.67 2.80 19.42
6.07 -2.12 4.51 20.55
6.23 -2.49 6.19 22.35
6.57 -2.84 8.09 22.52
6.21 -2.56 6.53 23.22
6.23 -2.51 6.31 22.65
6.44 -2.71 7.36 22.54
7.02 -3.24 10.51 22.07
7.21 -3.48 12.13 22.53
7.20 -3.33 11.07 21.21
6.89 -2.84 8.07 19.54
6.85 -2.66 7.09 18.34
6.92 -2.67 7.13 17.85
6.60 -2.13 4.53 16.01
6.36 -1.85 3.43 15.74
5.64 -1.13 1.29 15.77
5.74 -1.26 1.60 15.99
5.82 -1.23 1.51 15.11
5.69 -1.09 1.18 14.97
5.53 -0.94 0.89 15.12
5.48 -0.82 0.67 14.53
5.39 -0.74 0.55 14.66
5.33 -0.69 0.47 14.68
5.42 -0.74 0.54 14.37
5.30 -0.62 0.38 14.38
5.53 -0.81 0.66 14.08
5.75 -0.95 0.91 13.50
6.18 -1.35 1.83 13.29
6.08 -1.22 1.49 13.09
6.29 -1.42 2.01 12.98
5.93 -1.03 1.06 12.78
5.71 -0.77 0.59 12.45
5.56 -0.53 0.28 11.84
5.74 -0.61 0.38 11.23
5.80 -0.56 0.31 10.42
5.75 -0.60 0.36 11.04
5.56 -0.34 0.12 10.63
5.34 -0.21 0.04 11.16
5.08 0.08 0.01 11.01
4.92 0.34 0.12 10.31
4.86 0.38 0.15 10.41
4.69 0.62 0.38 10.06
5.24 -0.01 0.00 10.56
5.56 -0.30 0.09 10.29
5.92 -0.59 0.35 9.91
5.92 -0.58 0.34 9.87
6.24 -0.94 0.88 10.08
6.39 -1.09 1.18 10.09
6.60 -1.18 1.40 9.33
6.84 -1.38 1.91 9.09
6.96 -1.31 1.71 7.96
7.32 -1.74 3.04 8.38
7.71 -2.07 4.30 8.06
7.70 -1.94 3.77 7.40
7.63 -1.75 3.05 6.72
7.80 -1.82 3.32 6.24
7.84 -1.82 3.32 6.03
8.10 -1.99 3.97 5.61
8.07 -1.92 3.68 5.38
8.24 -2.11 4.47 5.50
8.36 -2.22 4.95 5.48
8.30 -2.25 5.07 5.87
8.24 -2.19 4.79 5.88
7.68 -1.60 2.58 5.75
7.30 -1.18 1.39 5.55
7.22 -1.04 1.07 5.24
6.99 -1.07 1.14 6.51
6.38 -1.40 1.95 12.23
6.17 -2.28 5.18 20.96
5.74 -3.17 10.03 34.88
5.38 -3.20 10.23 39.61
5.11 -3.21 10.29 43.14
4.89 -3.04 9.26 43.96
4.86 -3.16 10.00 45.87
4.97 -3.48 12.12 48.86
5.18 -3.70 13.68 48.89
5.14 -3.64 13.26 48.70
5.14 -3.70 13.71 49.50
5.29 -3.94 15.50 50.67
5.61 -4.05 16.37 47.68
5.71 -3.81 14.54 43.25
5.97 -3.55 12.62 36.66
6.00 -3.14 9.83 31.44
5.86 -2.89 8.37 30.37
5.92 -2.87 8.26 29.43
5.85 -2.81 7.88 29.54
5.90 -2.65 7.04 27.35
5.93 -2.46 6.04 25.01
6.16 -2.38 5.68 22.04
6.52 -2.50 6.23 19.77
6.38 -2.13 4.53 17.85
6.30 -2.02 4.06 17.60
6.53 -2.29 5.25 17.93
6.53 -2.22 4.93 17.35
6.73 -2.40 5.78 17.18
6.99 -2.70 7.28 17.51
7.23 -3.04 9.21 18.36
7.28 -3.16 9.97 18.96
7.00 -2.80 7.85 18.27
6.97 -2.77 7.67 18.27
7.00 -2.86 8.21 18.79
6.92 -2.78 7.74 18.79
6.96 -2.83 7.99 18.88
6.88 -2.76 7.62 18.96
6.49 -2.39 5.72 19.14
6.63 -2.52 6.33 19.05
6.74 -2.63 6.93 19.05
6.48 -2.40 5.74 19.31
6.16 -2.09 4.38 19.40
6.16 -2.16 4.65 20.02
6.27 -2.22 4.94 19.55
6.05 -2.02 4.07 19.76
6.12 -2.16 4.68 20.38
5.97 -2.00 4.01 20.29
6.06 -2.20 4.82 21.30
6.22 -2.30 5.29 20.75
6.47 -2.56 6.57 20.84
6.49 -2.60 6.77 21.02
6.25 -2.31 5.35 20.56
6.36 -2.40 5.78 20.38
6.32 -2.44 5.95 21.11
6.27 -2.40 5.75 21.20
6.38 -2.52 6.35 21.30
6.76 -2.89 8.36 21.20
6.55 -2.70 7.27 21.39
6.62 -2.79 7.81 21.57
6.64 -2.80 7.85 21.48
6.59 -2.77 7.65 21.67
6.52 -2.88 8.30 23.37
6.17 -2.43 5.93 22.42
6.20 -2.48 6.17 22.61
6.39 -2.71 7.35 22.99
6.43 -2.77 7.67 23.18
6.46 -2.82 7.97 23.37
6.38 -2.77 7.69 23.67
6.22 -2.64 6.97 23.96
6.35 -2.79 7.81 24.15
6.35 -2.81 7.91 24.35
6.54 -3.04 9.24 24.75
6.64 -3.21 10.28 25.45
6.65 -3.20 10.21 25.25
6.90 -3.44 11.86 25.15
6.83 -3.29 10.82 24.35
6.70 -3.09 9.54 23.66
6.97 -3.28 10.78 22.89
7.09 -3.31 10.99 22.04
7.21 -3.27 10.68 20.56
7.14 -3.18 10.08 20.38
7.04 -2.90 8.42 18.79
6.83 -2.51 6.30 17.26
6.63 -2.28 5.22 17.01
6.53 -2.03 4.11 15.80
6.32 -1.80 3.23 15.60
6.31 -1.68 2.83 14.78
6.41 -1.71 2.93 14.25
6.56 -1.86 3.46 14.25
6.53 -1.83 3.35 14.25
6.47 -1.67 2.79 13.50
6.40 -1.70 2.87 14.25
6.48 -1.88 3.53 15.01
6.87 -2.17 4.70 14.25
6.72 -2.12 4.48 15.01
6.36 -1.76 3.12 15.01
6.20 -1.60 2.56 15.01
6.26 -1.76 3.11 15.80
6.44 -2.34 5.46 19.14
6.31 -2.21 4.90 19.14
5.83 -1.79 3.21 19.70
5.56 -1.66 2.76 20.93
5.47 -1.47 2.15 20.02
5.41 -1.81 3.26 23.76
5.37 -1.97 3.86 25.75
4.93 -1.73 2.98 27.82
4.99 -1.89 3.58 28.89
5.23 -2.23 4.98 29.97
5.50 -2.50 6.25 29.97
5.60 -2.70 7.29 31.08
5.31 -2.41 5.80 31.08
5.42 -2.62 6.86 32.20
5.72 -2.92 8.53 32.20
5.90 -3.10 9.59 32.20
5.91 -3.21 10.30 33.35
5.88 -3.18 10.09 33.35
5.81 -3.11 9.66 33.35
5.94 -3.14 9.86 32.20
6.13 -3.33 11.06 32.20
6.20 -3.50 12.22 33.35
5.96 -3.26 10.66 33.35
5.87 -3.16 10.00 33.29
5.83 -3.12 9.75 33.29
5.73 -3.03 9.20 33.42
5.74 -3.14 9.87 34.51
5.73 -3.23 10.46 35.70
5.75 -3.25 10.58 35.70
5.75 -3.30 10.87 36.30
5.75 -3.39 11.49 37.32
5.66 -3.61 13.02 41.29
Ym - ß1 Xm
∑(X–Xm)(Y–Ym) / ∑(X–Xm)^2
∑yixi / ∑xi^2

8.47
6.97

24872.48 = 0.53707577
46310.93

0.5370757702
Teóricamente B1 debería ser positivo
r la inflación el bcr debe subir la tasa de interés
de los cdbcrp

4.732346648

tados econométricos

de cdbcr = 4.73 + 0.54 (inflación) + error

0.00

de residuos al cuadrado (errores al cuadrado)

5464.54
18822.94

0.2903126905504

0.710
71%
71% de la variabilidad de Y
es explicada por X
 El modelo es explicativo en 71%
El modelo explica bien el movimiento de Y en 71%

La tasa de inflación, explica el 71% de los cambios en la tasa de cdbcrp

El bcr mueve la tasa cdbcrp, un 71% de veces, cuando cambia la tasa de inflación

la variación de los cdbcrp, es explicada por la variación de la inflación en 71%

= ß1^2 [ ∑xi^2 /∑yi^2] = 0.71