Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Rendimiento mensual
JNJ JPM
10.0000% 20.0000%
0.0000% 0.0000%
-15.0000% -10.0000% -5.0000% 0.0000% 5.0000% 10.0000% 15.0000%
-15.0000% -10.0000% -5.0000% 0.0000% 5.0000
-5.0000% -10.0000%
-10.0000% -20.0000%
-15.0000% -30.0000%
Rendimiento
5.00% histórico
0.00%
5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
0.00%
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4
JPM
30.0000%
20.0000%
5405832 x + 0.003236919605469
959135910.0000%
0.0000%
5.0000% 0.0000% 5.0000% 10.0000% 15.0000%
-10.0000%
-20.0000%
-30.0000%
Rendimiento mensual
Fecha Risk free S&P500
JNJ JPM MSFT WMT
Rf Rend. Mercado
1 5/1/2021 0.1294% 0.1663% 4.4210% 5.6820% -0.9986% 1.5027%
2 4/1/2021 0.1349% 5.1097% -0.9906% 1.0321% 6.7277% 3.3714%
3 3/1/2021 0.1443% 4.1563% 4.2717% 3.3801% 1.6805% 4.4543%
4 2/1/2021 0.1209% 2.5757% -2.9031% 14.1541% 0.1817% -7.8256%
5 1/1/2021 0.0906% -1.1199% 3.5892% 1.2519% 4.1970% -2.2071%
6 12/1/2020 0.0761% 3.6449% 9.1002% 7.5065% 4.0888% -5.8215%
7 11/1/2020 0.0701% 10.2146% 5.3778% 19.3505% 5.5728% 9.6417%
8 10/1/2020 0.0714% -2.8056% -8.2397% 1.8208% -3.8118% -0.8351%
9 9/1/2020 0.0562% -4.0018% -2.3284% -3.9874% -6.7357% 1.1711%
10 8/1/2020 0.0576% 6.7719% 5.1128% 4.5733% 9.5427% 7.0473%
11 7/1/2020 0.0446% 5.3637% 3.5841% 2.7073% 0.7316% 7.7259%
12 6/1/2020 0.0543% 1.8221% -4.9270% -3.3993% 10.7645% -3.0736%
13 5/1/2020 0.0538% 4.4286% -0.8578% 2.6447% 2.2292% 2.0441%
14 4/1/2020 0.0517% 11.9421% 13.4654% 6.1674% 12.7833% 7.1953%
15 3/1/2020 0.0580% -13.3668% -1.8815% -25.4400% -2.4166% 5.3646%
16 2/1/2020 0.0934% -8.7860% -10.1688% -12.4608% -4.9515% -6.1285%
17 1/1/2020 0.1258% -0.1629% 2.0397% -5.1781% 7.6446% -3.2848%
18 12/1/2019 0.1585% 2.8189% 6.6018% 5.6392% 4.4294% -0.2077%
19 11/1/2019 0.1468% 3.3480% 4.0492% 6.1287% 5.4344% 1.5508%
20 10/1/2019 0.1398% 2.0226% 2.0352% 5.9608% 3.0736% -1.2044%
21 9/1/2019 0.1385% 1.7035% 1.5335% 6.8864% 1.1793% 4.2805%
22 8/1/2019 0.1246% -1.8257% -1.4363% -4.7413% 1.1633% 3.4545%
23 7/1/2019 0.1669% 1.3043% -6.7285% 3.6967% 1.7097% -0.0937%
24 6/1/2019 0.1652% 6.6658% 6.6960% 5.3559% 8.3508% 9.0704%
25 5/1/2019 0.1768% -6.8041% -7.3830% -8.3333% -5.4399% -1.3646%
26 4/1/2019 0.2067% 3.8560% 1.0056% 13.6630% 10.1962% 5.8307%
27 3/1/2019 0.1990% 1.7766% 2.9381% -3.0405% 5.5625% -1.4793%
28 2/1/2019 0.2232% 2.9296% 2.6406% 1.6394% 7.0281% 3.2424%
29 1/1/2019 0.2170% 7.5742% 3.0762% 5.8482% 2.7709% 3.3736%
30 12/1/2018 0.2211% -9.6265% -12.3182% -13.0226% -8.3447% -4.7176%
31 11/1/2018 0.2477% 1.7702% 4.8175% 2.6742% 3.7457% -2.6561%
32 10/1/2018 0.2595% -7.1929% 1.3077% -3.4501% -6.8327% 6.5643%
33 9/1/2018 0.2512% 0.4285% 3.2133% -1.5246% 2.1860% -1.4781%
34 8/1/2018 0.2347% 2.9814% 1.6217% 0.2191% 5.7180% 7.1676%
35 7/1/2018 0.2437% 3.5388% 8.8134% 9.8223% 7.3001% 4.1005%
36 6/1/2018 0.2344% 0.4831% 2.1751% -2.6679% 0.2003% 4.3274%
37 5/1/2018 0.2322% 2.1378% -5.5890% -1.1306% 5.5329% -6.9234%
38 4/1/2018 0.2414% 0.2715% -1.3030% -1.0880% 2.4389% 0.0120%
39 3/1/2018 0.2256% -2.7253% -0.7044% -4.9072% -2.2379% -1.1604%
40 2/1/2018 0.2359% -3.9726% -6.1972% 0.3727% -1.3103% -16.9193%
41 1/1/2018 0.2239% 5.4657% -1.1066% 7.8448% 10.5054% 8.1785%
42 12/1/2017 0.1982% 0.9784% 0.8923% 2.2941% 2.1051% 1.5485%
43 11/1/2017 0.1992% 2.7696% -0.0555% 4.3864% 1.1833% 10.7638%
44 10/1/2017 0.1959% 2.1946% 6.9758% 5.2039% 11.0340% 11.0950%
45 9/1/2017 0.1918% 1.9119% -1.1661% 4.9613% 0.1557% 0.7187%
46 8/1/2017 0.1751% 0.0546% -0.2601% -0.4525% 2.8151% -2.4256%
47 7/1/2017 0.1890% 1.9164% 0.3273% 0.4402% 5.3250% 5.5392%
48 6/1/2017 0.1898% 0.4802% 3.7605% 10.6723% -0.7347% -3.1275%
49 5/1/2017 0.1812% 1.1510% 3.7985% -5.1682% 1.9870% 4.4527%
50 4/1/2017 0.1882% 0.9050% -0.8757% -0.9536% 3.8698% 4.9494%
51 3/1/2017 0.1975% -0.0389% 2.5581% -3.1187% 3.5051% 1.5973%
52 2/1/2017 0.1944% 3.6523% 7.6132% 7.3898% -1.0496% 6.0963%
53 1/1/2017 0.2020% 1.7726% -1.7165% -1.9485% 3.9725% -2.7910%
54 12/1/2016 0.2016% 1.8037% 4.1438% 7.3664% 3.7422% -1.8864%
55 11/1/2016 0.1952% 3.3603% -4.1242% 15.3491% 0.5565% 0.5827%
56 10/1/2016 0.1516% -1.9617% -1.8321% 3.9313% 3.9473% -2.9416%
57 9/1/2016 0.1330% -0.1235% -0.3548% -1.3615% 0.8652% 1.6235%
58 8/1/2016 0.1297% -0.1220% -4.8115% 6.1523% 1.3694% -2.1131%
59 7/1/2016 0.1207% 3.4990% 3.1881% 2.8998% 10.2344% -0.0763%
60 6/1/2016 0.1232% 0.0910% 8.0671% -4.9107% -2.8236% 3.8398%
61 5/1/2016 0.1516% 1.5208% 0.5425% 3.9531% 6.1011% 5.6897%
62 4/1/2016 0.1503% 0.2696% 3.5308% 6.5125% -10.2221% -1.6637%
63 3/1/2016
Rendimiento promedio y riesgo individual
JNJ JPM MSFT
Matriz de MARKOWITZ
JNJ JPM MSFT
JNJ 0.00014793 8.4419E-05 6.7931E-05
JPM 8.4419E-05 0.00031186 8.4304E-05
MSFT 6.7931E-05 8.4304E-05 0.00013342
WMT 7.2422E-05 3.6185E-05 4.2139E-05
ortafolio
WMT Total
30,000 120,000
25.0% 100.0% A
WMT
0.001158746 B DATOS/ANALISIS DE DATOS/RANGO DE LA MATRIZ/ACTIVAR ROTULOS EN PRIMA FILA/ACTIVAR R
0.000578955
0.00067423
0.002544161
WMT
7.242162E-05
3.618468E-05
4.213936E-05
0.00015901
0.9422%
OS EN PRIMA FILA/ACTIVAR RANGO DE SALIDA/SELECCIONAR CELDA DE SALIDA/ACEPTAR
Retorno esperado E(R ) y Riesgo (Desviación estándar)de un activo financiero (Acción de capital X)
Precio de Rentabilidad Rentabilidad de Rendimiento
Escenario Probabilidad Dividendo del dividendo ganancia de total de la acción
la acción Rdiv capital: Rgc Rt=Rdiv +Rgc
Actual 120 P0
Auge 180 P1 1/4 8 6.67% 50.00% 56.67%
Normal 140 P1 1/2 4 3.33% 16.67% 20.00%
Recesión 40 P1 1/4 0 0.00% -66.67% -66.67%
Total 1.00
Retorno esperado E(R ) y Riesgo (Desviación estándar)de acción de Johnson & Johnson
Rentabilidad Rentabilidad de Rendimiento
Precio de
Escenario Probabilidad Dividendo del dividendo ganancia de total de la acción
la acción Rdiv capital: Rgc Rt=Rdiv +Rgc
Actual 165.37 P0
Auge 210 P1 0.25 5.24 3.17% 26.99% 30.16%
Normal 186.65 P1 0.50 4.24 2.56% 12.87% 15.43%
Recesión 137.11 P1 0.25 1.3 0.79% -17.09% -16.30%
Total 1.00
Actual 71.46 P0
Auge 95 P1 0.25 3.4 4.76% 32.94% 37.70%
Normal 85.93 P1 0.50 2.04 2.85% 20.25% 23.10%
Recesión 55 P1 0.25 1.2 1.68% -23.03% -21.35%
Total 1.00
Actual 235.58 P0
Auge 277 P1 0.25 6.16 2.61% 17.58% 20.20%
Normal 257.68 P1 0.50 5.16 2.19% 9.38% 11.57%
Recesión 215 P1 0.25 2.16 0.92% -8.74% -7.82%
Total 1.00
X JNJ C MCD
Proporción (Wi) 0.1875 0.3125 0.375 0.125
Matriz de Markowitz
X JNJ C MCD
X 0.007234 0.004508 0.007058 0.001091
JNJ 0.004508 0.002811 0.004391 0.000680
C 0.007058 0.004391 0.006914 0.001064
MCD 0.001091 0.000680 0.001064 0.000165
OS ACTIVOS FINANCIEROS
Coefciente de
Varianza correlación
0.076247 1.00
e acción de CITIGRUP
Retorno Desviación Covarianza
esperado Varianza
estándar Cov(Rc,Rjnj)
E(R )
14.00%
12.00%
Potafoli
10.00% o
Rentabilidad y Riesgo
18.00%
0.205764 45.36%
16.00%
Rendimiento esperado: E( R)
C
0.028789 16.97%
14.00%
0.049166 22.17%
12.00%
0.010535 10.26% Potafoli
10.00% o
0.054707 23.39% JNJ
8.00%
MCD
6.00% X
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% 45.00% 50.00%
Riesgo (Desviación estándar)
X
45.00% 50.00%
PORTAFOLIO 1
Precios o cotizaciones Rendimientos
Fecha
JNJ JPM JNJ JPM RP
1 5/1/2021 169.03 161.85 4.52% 5.85% 5.77%
2 4/1/2021 161.72 152.91 -0.99% 1.04% 0.93%
3 3/1/2021 163.33 151.34 4.36% 3.44% 3.49%
4 2/1/2021 156.50 146.31 -2.86% 15.20% 14.23%
5 1/1/2021 161.11 127.00 3.65% 1.26% 1.39%
6 ### 155.43 125.42 9.53% 7.80% 7.89%
7 ### 141.91 116.35 5.52% 21.35% 20.49%
8 ### 134.48 95.88 -7.91% 1.84% 1.31%
9 9/1/2020 146.03 94.15 -2.30% -3.91% -3.82%
10 8/1/2020 149.47 97.98 5.25% 4.68% 4.71%
11 7/1/2020 142.02 93.60 3.65% 2.74% 2.79%
12 6/1/2020 137.02 91.10 -4.81% -3.34% -3.42%
13 5/1/2020 143.94 94.25
Rdto. Promedio 1.468% 4.828% 4.647%
Varianza 0.002410 0.004799 0.004432
Desviación Estándar 4.909% 6.928% 6.657%
Covarianza(Rjnj,Rjpm) 0.0012812
Wjnj Wjpm Portafolio
Proporción (Wi) 5.42% 94.58% 100.0%
.
Rp R f Portafolio1 Portafolio2 Mercado
S
Ratio de Sharpe 0.68 0.56 0.66
Portafolio
R(P) 4.64651% 0.0464651
Var(P) 0.004432
Ri(P) 6.65723%
JNJ JPM
JNJ 0.0024101 0.0012812
JPM 0.0012812 0.00479925
PORTAFOLIO 2
entos Precios o cotizaciones Rendimient
Fecha
Rf MSFT WMT MSFT
0.13% 1 5/1/2021 249.1 141.47 -0.99%
0.13% 2 4/1/2021 251.6 139.36 6.96%
0.14% 3 3/1/2021 235.23 134.74 1.69%
0.12% 4 2/1/2021 231.31 128.87 0.18%
0.09% 5 1/1/2021 230.89 139.36 4.29%
0.08% 6 ### 221.4 142.47 4.17%
0.07% 7 ### 212.53 151.01 5.73%
0.07% 8 ### 201.01 137.13 -3.74%
0.06% 9 9/1/2020 208.82 138.28 -6.51%
0.06% 10 8/1/2020 223.37 136.67 10.01%
0.04% 11 7/1/2020 203.04 127.37 0.73%
0.05% 12 6/1/2020 201.56 117.9 11.37%
13 5/1/2020 180.99 121.58
0.09% 1.055% Rdto. Promedio 2.824%
0.000000 Varianza 0.002597
0.034% Desviación Estándar 5.096%
Covarianza(Rjnj,Rjpm) 0.00038374
Wmsft
Proporción (Wi) 75.0%
Wwmt Portafolio
25.0% 100.0%
.
PORTAFOLIO 1
Precios o cotizaciones Rendimientos
Fecha S&P500
JNJ JPM JNJ
Mercado
1 5/1/2021 169.03 161.85 4,188.13 4.52%
2 4/1/2021 161.72 152.91 4,181.17 -0.99%
3 3/1/2021 163.33 151.34 3,972.89 4.36%
4 2/1/2021 156.50 146.31 3,811.15 -2.86%
5 1/1/2021 161.11 127.00 3,714.24 3.65%
6 ### 155.43 125.42 3,756.07 9.53%
7 ### 141.91 116.35 3,621.63 5.52%
8 ### 134.48 95.88 3,269.96 -7.91%
9 9/1/2020 146.03 94.15 3,363.00 -2.30%
10 8/1/2020 149.47 97.98 3,500.31 5.25%
11 7/1/2020 142.02 93.60 3,271.12 3.65%
12 6/1/2020 137.02 91.10 3,100.29 -4.81%
13 5/1/2020 143.94 94.25 3,044.31
Rdto. Promedio 1.468%
Varianza 0.002410
Desviación Estándar 4.909%
Beta del patrimonio (Be) 0.65
Covarianza(Rjnj,Rjpm) 0.00139767
Wjnj
Proporción (Wi) 75.7%
R p R f
RT Portafolio1
p Ratio de Treynor 0.0293
Wjpm Portafolio
24.3% 100.0%
.
Portafolio2 Mercado
0.0268 0.0269
El ratio de Treynor del portafolio1
genera una prima de riesgo de 0.0293% por
unidad de riesgo no diversificable
100.0%
ORTAFOLIO 2
Precios o cotizaciones Rendimientos
WMT MSFT WMT RP Rf
Mensual Anual
Rdto.(P) 2.14756% 29.04%
Var(P) 0.001539 0.0053301
Ri(P) 3.92258% 13.59%
Sharpe 0.53 2.14
MSFT WMT
MSFT 0.00259685 0.00038374
WMT 0.00038374 0.00279919
Rendimientos de un portafolio: Diez ac
S&P500
Fecha JNJ JPM
Mercado
1 5/1/2021 0.17% 4.52% 5.85%
2 4/1/2021 5.24% -0.99% 1.04%
3 3/1/2021 4.24% 4.36% 3.44%
4 2/1/2021 2.61% -2.86% 15.20%
5 1/1/2021 -1.11% 3.65% 1.26%
6 12/1/2020 3.71% 9.53% 7.80%
7 11/1/2020 10.75% 5.52% 21.35%
8 10/1/2020 -2.77% -7.91% 1.84%
9 9/1/2020 -3.92% -2.30% -3.91%
10 8/1/2020 7.01% 5.25% 4.68%
11 7/1/2020 5.51% 3.65% 2.74%
12 6/1/2020 1.84% -4.81% -3.34%
Situacion / Condicion
sobrevalorado Alfa de Jensen: Rendimiento esp
sobrevalorado
20.00%
Adecuadamente Valuado
subvaluado 18.00%
sobrevalorado 16.00%
subvaluado
14.00%
subvaluado
subvaluado 12.00%
rendimiento
sobrevalorado
10.00%
sobrevalorado
subvaluado 8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
12.00%
rendimiento
10.00%
8.00%
subvaluado 6.00%
sobrevalorado
4.00%
sobrevalorado
subvaluado 2.00%
subvaluado 0.00%
0 0.5 1
sobrevalorado
subvaluado Beta(B)
Rendimiento esperado: Re
subvaluado
sobrevalorado
subvaluado
Situacion / Condicion
Adecuadamente Valuado 9.00% Alfa de Jensen: Rendimiento espera
subvaluado GM
8.00%
subvaluado
sobrevalorado 7.00%
sobrevalorado
sobrevalorado 6.00%
BAC
subvaluado
RENDIMIENTO
5.00%
subvaluado
Adecuadamente Valuado
4.00%
subvaluado
subvaluado 3.00%
sobrevalorado
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
0.00 0.50 1.00
Rendimiento esperado :CAPM
BETA
GM Rf
3.65% 0.13%
-0.42% 0.13%
11.94% 0.14%
1.28% 0.12%
21.71% 0.09%
-5.02% 0.08%
26.96% 0.07%
16.69% 0.07%
-0.13% 0.06%
19.04% 0.06%
-1.62% 0.04%
-2.24% 0.05%
7.65% 0.09%
0.61 0.00
10.52% 0.03%
5.93%
10%
Beta(B)
dimiento esperado: Re
BAC
BETA