Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.541664399870245
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.293400322086792
R^2 ajustado 0.268164619304178
Error típico 5810.43653993187
Observaciones 30

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 392520828.698554
Residuos 28 945312837.968113
Total 29 1337833666.66667

Coeficientes Error típico

Intercepción 33265.7471264368 2175.85049555029
Variable X 1 417.908787541713 122.562867179989

Análisis de los residuales Y= 417,9 X + 33265,74

Observación Pronóstico para Y Residuos
1 33683.6559139785 516.344086021505
2 34101.5647015202 5698.43529847979
3 34519.4734890619 3680.52651093808
4 34937.3822766036 -8037.38227660364
5 35355.2910641453 -255.291064145349
6 35773.1998516871 326.800148312934
7 36191.1086392288 4008.89136077122
8 36609.0174267705 2490.98257322951
9 37026.9262143122 -11726.9262143122
10 37444.8350018539 -1244.83500185391
11 37862.7437893956 -1962.74378939563
12 38280.6525769373 8619.34742306266
13 38698.5613644791 4401.43863552094
14 39116.4701520208 -11216.4701520208
15 39534.3789395625 -334.378939562477
16 39952.2877271042 1947.71227289581
17 40370.1965146459 5729.80348535409
18 40788.1053021876 3111.89469781238
19 41206.0140897293 -11106.0140897293
20 41623.9228772711 -1123.92287727105
21 42041.8316648128 458.168335187242
22 42459.7404523545 5740.25954764553
23 42877.6492398962 1322.35076010381
24 43295.5580274379 -9395.5580274379
25 43713.4668149796 4086.53318502039
26 44131.3756025213 2768.62439747868
27 44549.284390063 5550.71560993696
28 44967.1931776047 932.80682239525
29 45385.1019651465 -9085.10196514647
30 45803.0107526882 4096.98924731182
 Variable X 1 Curva de regresión ajustada
60,000

40,000
Y
Pronóstico para Y

Y
20,000

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Variable X 1
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
392520828.698554 11.6263979 0.0019917819551
33761172.7845754

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%

15.2886180344039 4.04876E-15 28808.719431873 37722.774821 28808.7194319
3.40975041753876 0.00199178 166.85013509132 668.96743999 166.850135091
de regresión ajustada

Y
Pronóstico para Y

20 25 30 35

Superior 95,0%
37722.774821
668.9674399921
Juego Oponente Asistencia PRONOSTICO ERROR ERROR %
Año
1 Baylor 34,200 33684 516 1.51%
2 Texas 39,800 34102 5698 14.32%
3 2009 LSU 38,200 34519 3681 9.64%
4 Arkansas 26,900 34937 8037 29.88%
5 USC 35,100 35355 255 0.73%
6 Oklahoma 36,100 35773 327 0.91%
7 Nebraska 40,200 36191 4009 9.97%
8 2010 UCLA 39,100 36609 2491 6.37%
9 Nevada 25,300 37027 11727 46.35%
10 Ohio State 36,200 37445 1245 3.44%
11 TCU 35,900 37863 1963 5.47%
12 Texas Tech 46,900 38281 8619 18.38%
13 2011 Alaska 43,100 38698 4402 10.21%
14 Arizona 27,900 39116 11216 40.20%
15 Rice 39,200 39534 334 0.85%
16 Arkansas 41,900 39952 1948 4.65%
17 Missouri 46,100 40370 5730 12.43%
18 2012 Florida 43,900 40788 3112 7.09%
19 Miami 30,100 41206 11106 36.90%
20 Duke 40,500 41624 1124 2.78%
21 Indiana 42,500 42042 458 1.08%
22 North Texas 48,200 42460 5740 11.91%
23 2013 Texas A&M 44,200 42877 1323 2.99%
24 Southern 33,900 43295 9395 27.71%
25 Oklahoma 47,800 43713 4087 8.55%
26 LSU 46,900 44131 2769 5.90%
27 Texas 50,100 44549 5551 11.08%
28 2014 Prairie View 45,900 44967 933 2.03%
29 Montana 36,300 45385 9085 25.03%
30 Arizona State 49,900 45803 4097 8.21%
31 46221
asistencia promedio

32 46639
33 2015 47056 47056.4
34 47474
35 47892
36 48310
37 48728
38 2016 49146 49146
39 49564
40 49982
 Y= 417,9 X + 33265,74

Asistencia
60,000

50,000

40,000 f(x) = 417.908787541713 x + 33265.7471264368

30,000

20,000

10,000

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

promedio promedio
4365.93333 12.22%

ingresos x año

$ 1,505,805

$ 1,670,964
años precio boleto x año

2004 20
2005 21
2006 22
2007 23
2008 24
2009 25
2010 26
2011 27
2012 28
2013 29
2014 30
2015 32
2016 34
Juego Oponente Asistencia
Año
1 Baylor 34,200
2 Texas 39,800
3 2009 LSU 38,200
4 Arkansas 26,900
5 USC 35,100
6 Oklahoma 36,100
7 Nebraska 40,200
8 2010 UCLA 39,100
9 Nevada 25,300
10 Ohio State 36,200
11 TCU 35,900
12 Texas Tech 46,900
13 2011 Alaska 43,100
14 Arizona 27,900
15 Rice 39,200
16 Arkansas 41,900
17 Missouri 46,100
18 2012 Florida 43,900
19 Miami 30,100
20 Duke 40,500
21 Indiana 42,500
22 North Texas 48,200
23 2013 Texas A&M 44,200
24 Southern 33,900
25 Oklahoma 47,800
26 LSU 46,900
27 Texas 50,100
28 2014 Prairie View 45,900
29 Montana 36,300
30 Arizona State 49,900
31
32
33 2015
34
35
36
37
38 2016
39
40
 asistencia pronostico pronostico ajustado
promedio destemporalizada destemporalizada
34365 33110.03 32951
34923 33568.06 38256
34,840 35678 34026.09 36432
35645 34484.12 26024
33757 34942.15 36332
36274 35400.18 35231
35274 35858.21 40866
35,380 36518 36316.24 38884
33525 36774.27 27752
34815 37232.3 38713
36073 37690.33 37510
41153 38148.36 43476
38,600 40254 38606.39 41336
36970 39064.42 29480
37700 39522.45 41094
42102 39980.48 39789
40451 40438.51 46086
40,500 41001 40896.54 43788
39885 41354.57 31209
38951 41812.6 43476
42705 42270.63 42068
42293 42728.66 48696
43,320 41282 43186.69 46240
44921 43644.72 32937
45972 44102.75 45857
47126 44560.78 44347
43960 45018.81 51306
45,820 42869 45476.84 48692
48101 45934.87 34665
47991 46392.9 48238
46850.93 46626
47308.96 53916
47766.99 51144
48225.02 36394
48683.05 50619
49141.08 48906
49599.11 56526
50057.14 53596
50515.17 38122
50973.2 53001
error medio error medio % alfa
factor oponentes (SIQ)
1414 4.11% 0.01
3333 9.54% Siq 1=
754 2.11% Siq 2=
9621 26.99% Siq 3=
2575 7.63% Siq 4=
1043 2.87% Siq 5=
5592 15.85%
2366 6.48%
5773 17.22%
60,000
3898 11.20%
1437 3.98%
2323 5.65% 50,000
1082 2.69%
7490 20.26% f(x) = 458.031084952002 x + 32651.630371719
3394 9.00% 40,000
2313 5.49%
5635 13.93%
30,000
2787 6.80%
8676 21.75%
4525 11.62% 20,000
637 1.49%
6403 15.14%
4958 12.01% 10,000

11984 26.68%
115 0.25%
0
2779 5.90% 0 5 10 15 20 25

7346 16.71%
5823 13.58%
13436 27.93%
247 0.51% ingresos x año
asistencia promedio

47739.8 $ 1,527,674

50030.2 $ 1,701,027
4325 10.85%
 años precio boleto x año
factor oponentes (SIQ)
2004 20
0.99520702 2005 21
1.13965947 2006 22
1.07069598 2007 23
0.75466351 2008 24
1.03977403 2009 25
2010 26
2011 27
2012 28
2013 29
2014 30
2015 32
2016 34
+ 32651.6303717197

20 25 30 35
Juego Oponente Asistencia asistencia pronostico
Año destemporalizada
1 Baylor 34,200 34365 39000
2 Texas 39,800 34923 39093
3 2009 LSU 38,200 35678 39176
4 Arkansas 26,900 35645 39246
5 USC 35,100 33757 39318
6 Oklahoma 36,100 36274 39429
7 Nebraska 40,200 35274 39492
8 2010 UCLA 39,100 36518 39576
9 Nevada 25,300 33525 39637
10 Ohio State 36,200 34815 39759
11 TCU 35,900 36073 39858
12 Texas Tech 46,900 41153 39934
13 2011 Alaska 43,100 40254 39910
14 Arizona 27,900 36970 39903
15 Rice 39,200 37700 39962
16 Arkansas 41,900 42102 40007
17 Missouri 46,100 40451 39965
18 2012 Florida 43,900 41001 39955
19 Miami 30,100 39885 39934
20 Duke 40,500 38951 39935
21 Indiana 42,500 42705 39955
22 North Texas 48,200 42293 39900
23 2013 Texas A&M 44,200 41282 39852
24 Southern 33,900 44921 39823
25 Oklahoma 47,800 45972 39721
26 LSU 46,900 47126 39596
27 Texas 50,100 43960 39445
28 2014 Prairie View 45,900 42869 39355
29 Montana 36,300 48101 39285
30 Arizona State 49,900 47991 39109
31 38931
32 39710
33 2015 40504
34 41314
35 42140
36 42983
37 43843
38 2016 44720
39 45614
40 46526
 error error %
factor oponentes (SIQ)
4635.291 13.49%
4170.287 11.94% Siq 1= 0.995207016204345
3498.272 9.81% Siq 2= 1.13965946804095
3600.975 10.10% Siq 3= 1.07069597586256
5560.665 16.47% Siq 4= 0.75466350897238
3155.140 8.70% Siq 5= 1.03977403091977
4218.305 11.96% Alfa 0.02
3057.697 8.37% supuesto pronostico 39000
6112.125 18.23%
4943.743 14.20% MAPE
3785.103 10.49% 9.16%
1218.644 2.96%
344.191 0.86% años precio boleto x año
2932.881 7.93% 2004 20
2261.501 6.00% 2005 21
2094.793 4.98% 2006 22
485.680 1.20% 2007 23
1046.368 2.55% 2008 24
48.674 0.12% 2009 25
984.229 2.53% 2010 26
2749.683 6.44% 2011 27
2393.335 5.66% 2012 28
1429.560 3.46% 2013 29
5097.683 11.35% 2014 30
6250.527 13.60% 2015 32
7529.874 15.98% 2016 34
4515.500 10.27%
3514.312 8.20%
8815.908 18.33%
8882.197 18.51% ingresos x año
asistencia promedio

40519.8 $ 1,296,634

44737.2 $ 1,521,065
 asistencia pronostico
Juego Oponente Asistencia destempora destempora
Año promedio lizada lizado
1 Baylor 34,200 34365 33684
2 Texas 39,800 34923 34102
3 2009 LSU 38,200 34,840 35678 34520
4 Arkansas 26,900 35645 34938
5 USC 35,100 33757 35356
6 Oklahoma 36,100 36274 35773
7 Nebraska 40,200 35274 36191
8 2010 UCLA 39,100 35,380 36518 36609
9 Nevada 25,300 33525 37027
10 Ohio State 36,200 34815 37445
11 TCU 35,900 36073 37863
12 Texas Tech 46,900 41153 38281
13 2011 Alaska 43,100 38,600 40254 38699
14 Arizona 27,900 36970 39117
15 Rice 39,200 37700 39535
16 Arkansas 41,900 42102 39953
17 Missouri 46,100 40451 40370
18 2012 Florida 43,900 40,500 41001 40788
19 Miami 30,100 39885 41206
20 Duke 40,500 38951 41624
21 Indiana 42,500 42705 42042
22 North Texas 48,200
42293 42460
2013 43,320
23 Texas A&M 44,200 41282 42878
24 Southern 33,900 44921 43296
25 Oklahoma 47,800 45972 43714
26 LSU 46,900 47126 44132
27 Texas 50,100 43960 44550
28 2014 Prairie View 45,900 45,820
42869 44967
29 Montana 36,300 48101 45385
Arizona
30 49,900 47991 45803
State
31 46221
32 46639
33 2015 47057
34 47475
35 47893
36 48311
37 48729
38 2016 49147
 2016
39 49564
40 49982
pronostico
error error %
ajustado

33523 677 2.0% factor oponentes (SIQ)

38865 935 2.3%
36960 1240 3.2% Siq 1= 0.99520702
26366 534 2.0% Siq 2= 1.13965947
36762 1662 4.7% Siq 3= 1.07069598
35602 498 1.4% Siq 4= 0.75466351
41245 1045 2.6% Siq 5= 1.03977403
39197 97 0.2%
27943 2643 10.4% 60,000

38934 2734 7.6%

37682 1782 5.0% 50,000
43627 3273 7.0%
41435 1665 3.9% f(x)
40,000
= 417.908787541713 x + 33265.7471264368
29520 1620 5.8%
41107 1907 4.9%
30,000
39762 2138 5.1%
46008 92 0.2%
43672 228 0.5% 20,000

31097 997 3.3%

43280 2780 6.9% 10,000
41840 660 1.6%
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
48390 190 0.4%
45909 1709 3.9%
32674 1226 3.6%
45453 2347 4.9% mape 3.9%
43920 2980 6.4%
50772 672 1.3%

48146 2246 4.9%

34250 2050 5.6%
47625 2275 4.6%
45999
promedio asistencia

53153
50384 $1,505,037
35828
49798 47032.4
48079
55534
52621 $1,670,134

49121.6
 promedio
$1,670,134
37404
51970 49121.6
 años precio boleto x año
2004 20
2005 21
2006 22
2007 23
2008 24
2009 25
2010 26
2011 27
2012 28
2013 29
2014 30
x + 33265.7471264368 2015 32
2016 34

20 25 30 35