Práctica

Con la siguiente información de Intensidad de Precipitación, determinar lo siguiente:

a. Graficar las curvas IDF para tiempos de retorno de 2, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 50, 100, 200, 500 y 1000 años.
b. Las Intensidades máximas para un tiempo de duración de 45 minutos y un tiempo de retorno de 200, 500 y 1000 años
c. La relación dada por Talbot para 100, 500 y 1000 años de periodo de retorno

d. La relación siguiente:

Duración en minutos / Intensidad de Precipitación

Años
5 10 15 20 30 45 60 80 100

1945 88.4 67.2 62.4 49.5 38.6 30.1 28.9 24.5 21.1
1946 90.0 90.0 74.0 57.6 45.0 40.6 32.5 25.5 20.2
1947 156.0 99.0 80.0 63.0 60.0 54.3 41.0 31.0 24.8
1948 84.0 60.0 58.8 51.0 48.0 44.6 42.0 32.9 26.8
1949 96.0 87.0 64.0 42.0 34.0 28.6 28.0 27.8 23.6
1950 96.0 81.0 65.0 50.1 36.0 28.6 23.5 18.8 15.5
1951 216.0 114.0 82.0 75.0 63.0 42.0 31.6 23.7 19.0
1952 150.0 144.0 126.0 97.2 66.0 44.3 33.3 25.1 20.2
1953 132.0 126.0 106.0 93.0 72.0 50.0 38.2 28.7 23.0
1954 96.0 96.0 78.0 61.5 42.8 29.3 27.6 24.5 23.6
1955 204.0 123.6 88.8 68.4 47.0 32.4 24.5 18.7 15.1
1956 150.0 94.8 80.0 67.5 50.8 45.4 35.5 26.6 21.3
1957 146.4 85.8 65.2 55.5 38.6 27.5 20.9 15.7 12.5
1958 81.6 60.0 42.4 38.4 33.0 24.9 20.4 16.4 13.9
1959 138.0 72.0 50.4 46.2 38.8 28.5 21.8 19.7 16.0
1960 120.0 75.0 58.0 52.8 46.0 39.9 33.2 25.2 20.4
1961 120.0 99.0 75.6 57.0 40.0 26.9 20.4 15.5 12.4
1962 81.6 60.0 60.0 57.0 50.4 39.9 35.3 30.2 28.3
1963 110.4 89.4 71.6 60.9 48.6 35.0 27.9 21.7 17.8
1964 120.0 69.6 55.2 50.1 34.6 23.3 18.2 18.2 15.7
1965 141.6 105.0 80.0 72.6 60.0 56.4 53.9 46.2 39.9
1966 72.0 69.0 68.0 66.0 60.0 43.5 34.8 26.4 21.1
1967 144.0 84.0 61.2 56.1 41.0 32.2 29.6 23.5 18.8
1968 198.0 108.0 76.0 70.5 53.6 36.0 27.3 21.2 17.0
1969 85.2 71.4 52.8 44.7 35.0 27.3 23.8 20.6 16.7
1970 96.0 81.0 64.0 60.0 50.8 43.9 34.8 26.7 21.5
1971 90.0 60.0 52.0 49.5 40.0 33.9 26.0 19.7 15.8
1972 90.0 63.0 44.0 40.5 34.0 26.6 26.0 20.6 16.6
1973 115.2 78.0 58.0 56.1 41.2 35.1 26.7 20.0 16.0
1974 120.0 87.0 78.0 76.5 54.0 39.2 30.7 23.8 19.3
1975 132.0 120.0 100.0 82.5 65.0 52.8 42.5 33.4 27.3
1976 135.6 87.6 80.0 68.4 60.0 42.0 31.6 23.7 20.0
1977 135.6 105.6 84.0 69.0 48.6 37.3 30.0 25.0 21.9
1978 144.0 112.2 97.2 75.0 56.0 38.4 28.9 21.8 16.2
1979 183.6 141.6 128.0 116.1 86.0 60.0 47.0 36.2 29.0
1980 132.0 97.8 68.0 64.2 47.0 36.7 30.7 23.7 19.0
1981 120.0 72.0 64.0 55.5 50.0 35.7 27.1 20.7 16.7
1982 144.0 120.0 120.0 114.0 98.6 71.2 54.5 41.3 33.2
1983 120.0 120.0 89.2 73.8 49.2 40.5 39.6 33.8 28.3
1984 120.0 79.8 78.0 59.4 52.0 39.7 30.4 23.6 19.0
1985 121.2 90.0 74.0 65.3 52.1 37.6 28.4 21.4 17.2
1986 196.8 105.3 74.8 60.2 51.0 44.0 39.3 33.4 28.8
1987 138.0 120.0 93.2 79.8 54.5 36.4 27.4 20.6 18.1
1988 138.0 135.0 110.0 97.5 76.8 55.7 47.0 35.5 28.7
1989 104.0 58.2 47.0 41.4 30.4 22.4 19.0 18.8 17.5
1990 141.6 96.9 82.0 72.6 76.4 60.9 46.4 35.7 30.0
1991 192.0 141.0 108.0 91.5 75.5 60.3 48.0 38.8 31.9
1992 210.0 135.9 111.2 87.0 73.2 59.1 45.5 36.8 30.0
1993 174.0 133.5 120.0 96.8 71.3 49.9 41.0 32.8 27.3
1994 192.0 120.0 82.7 64.0 49.0 38.7 32.2 25.4 20.3
1995 156.0 139.5 134.0 108.6 79.8 53.8 40.7 30.5 24.4
1996 120.0 97.8 80.0 64.5 48.2 35.5 27.5 21.6 18.0
1997 180.0 168.0 120.5 96.8 70.7 50.1 38.7 29.3 23.7
1998 150.0 100.5 84.0 71.0 58.0 53.3 43.9 34.6 28.0
1999 179.0 179.0 124.0 93.0 62.0 41.0 31.0 26.0 19.0
2000 147.0 93.0 69.0 66.0 50.0 38.0 27.0 18.0 15.0
2001 128.4 86.4 76.8 63.6 50.2 36.0 32.0 24.5 19.6
2002 150.0 86.4 80.0 61.2 45.6 33.6 27.9 21.6 17.2
2003 161.0 108.0 80.0 60.0 43.0 35.0 27.0 20.0 16.0
2004 178.0 120.0 89.0 67.0 47.0 31.0 24.0 23.0 19.0
2005 204.0 120.0 86.0 76.0 70.0 50.0 39.0 30.0 24.0
2006 120.0 96.0 88.0 77.0 68.0 55.0 43.0 36.0 30.0
2007 124.0 104.0 85.0 74.0 61.0 46.0 40.0 32.0 28.0
2008 84.0 72.0 68.0 66.0 57.0 42.2 33.6 26.1 21.4
2009 166.0 113.0 102.0 83.0 62.0 46.0 41.0 31.0 26.0
2010 143.0 112.0 91.0 77.0 56.0 41.0 32.0 24.0 19.0
2011 132.0 93.0 82.0 82.0 75.0 54.0 41.0 31.0 25.0
2012 120.0 90.0 80.0 72.0 63.0 47.0 37.0 30.0 24.0
2013 120.0 120.0 100.0 90.0 80.0 60.0 47.0 39.0 32.0
2014 144.0 107.0 87.0 78.0 69.0 56.0 44.0 33.0 27.0
2015 86.4 85.2 66.8 69.6 54.4 48.0 42.8 33.4 27.1
2016 120.0 96.0 72.0 57.0 42.8 42.7 41.4 34.1 27.4
2017 90.0 87.0 77.6 70.2 62.0 45.2 38.6 31.3 25.0
2018 146.4 126.6 108.4 97.8 95.6 79.3 63.9 47.9 39.7

CAMBIO DE INTENSIDAD A PRECIPITACION

Duración en minutos / Intensidad de Precipitación
Años
5 10 15 20 30 45 60 80 100
1945 7.4 11.2 15.6 16.5 19.3 22.6 28.9 32.7 35.2
1946 7.5 15.0 18.5 19.2 22.5 30.5 32.5 34.0 33.7
1947 13.0 16.5 20.0 21.0 30.0 40.7 41.0 41.3 41.3
1948 7.0 10.0 14.7 17.0 24.0 33.5 42.0 43.9 44.7
1949 8.0 14.5 16.0 14.0 17.0 21.5 28.0 37.1 39.3
1950 8.0 13.5 16.3 16.7 18.0 21.5 23.5 25.1 25.8
1951 18.0 19.0 20.5 25.0 31.5 31.5 31.6 31.6 31.7
1952 12.5 24.0 31.5 32.4 33.0 33.2 33.3 33.5 33.7
1953 11.0 21.0 26.5 31.0 36.0 37.5 38.2 38.3 38.3
1954 8.0 16.0 19.5 20.5 21.4 22.0 27.6 32.7 39.3
1955 17.0 20.6 22.2 22.8 23.5 24.3 24.5 24.9 25.2
1956 12.5 15.8 20.0 22.5 25.4 34.1 35.5 35.5 35.5
1957 12.2 14.3 16.3 18.5 19.3 20.6 20.9 20.9 20.8
1958 6.8 10.0 10.6 12.8 16.5 18.7 20.4 21.9 23.2
1959 11.5 12.0 12.6 15.4 19.4 21.4 21.8 26.3 26.7
1960 10.0 12.5 14.5 17.6 23.0 29.9 33.2 33.6 34.0
1961 10.0 16.5 18.9 19.0 20.0 20.2 20.4 20.7 20.7
1962 6.8 10.0 15.0 19.0 25.2 29.9 35.3 40.3 47.2
1963 9.2 14.9 17.9 20.3 24.3 26.3 27.9 28.9 29.7
1964 10.0 11.6 13.8 16.7 17.3 17.5 18.2 24.3 26.2
1965 11.8 17.5 20.0 24.2 30.0 42.3 53.9 61.6 66.5
1966 6.0 11.5 17.0 22.0 30.0 32.6 34.8 35.2 35.2
1967 12.0 14.0 15.3 18.7 20.5 24.2 29.6 31.3 31.3
1968 16.5 18.0 19.0 23.5 26.8 27.0 27.3 28.3 28.3
1969 7.1 11.9 13.2 14.9 17.5 20.5 23.8 27.5 27.8
1970 8.0 13.5 16.0 20.0 25.4 32.9 34.8 35.6 35.8
1971 7.5 10.0 13.0 16.5 20.0 25.4 26.0 26.3 26.3
1972 7.5 10.5 11.0 13.5 17.0 20.0 26.0 27.5 27.7
1973 9.6 13.0 14.5 18.7 20.6 26.3 26.7 26.7 26.7
1974 10.0 14.5 19.5 25.5 27.0 29.4 30.7 31.7 32.2
1975 11.0 20.0 25.0 27.5 32.5 39.6 42.5 44.5 45.5
1976 11.3 14.6 20.0 22.8 30.0 31.5 31.6 31.6 33.3
1977 11.3 17.6 21.0 23.0 24.3 28.0 30.0 33.3 36.5
1978 12.0 18.7 24.3 25.0 28.0 28.8 28.9 29.1 27.0
1979 15.3 23.6 32.0 38.7 43.0 45.0 47.0 48.3 48.3
1980 11.0 16.3 17.0 21.4 23.5 27.5 30.7 31.6 31.7
1981 10.0 12.0 16.0 18.5 25.0 26.8 27.1 27.6 27.8
1982 12.0 20.0 30.0 38.0 49.3 53.4 54.5 55.1 55.3
1983 10.0 20.0 22.3 24.6 24.6 30.4 39.6 45.1 47.2
1984 10.0 13.3 19.5 19.8 26.0 29.8 30.4 31.5 31.7
1985 10.1 15.0 18.5 21.8 26.1 28.2 28.4 28.5 28.7
1986 16.4 17.6 18.7 20.1 25.5 33.0 39.3 44.5 48.0
1987 11.5 20.0 23.3 26.6 27.3 27.3 27.4 27.5 30.2
1988 11.5 22.5 27.5 32.5 38.4 41.8 47.0 47.3 47.8
1989 8.7 9.7 11.8 13.8 15.2 16.8 19.0 25.1 29.2
1990 11.8 16.2 20.5 24.2 38.2 45.7 46.4 47.6 50.0
1991 16.0 23.5 27.0 30.5 37.8 45.2 48.0 51.7 53.2
1992 17.5 22.7 27.8 29.0 36.6 44.3 45.5 49.1 50.0
1993 14.5 22.3 30.0 32.3 35.7 37.4 41.0 43.7 45.5
1994 16.0 20.0 20.7 21.3 24.5 29.0 32.2 33.9 33.8
1995 13.0 23.3 33.5 36.2 39.9 40.4 40.7 40.7 40.7
1996 10.0 16.3 20.0 21.5 24.1 26.6 27.5 28.8 30.0
1997 15.0 28.0 30.1 32.3 35.4 37.6 38.7 39.1 39.5
1998 12.5 16.8 21.0 23.7 29.0 40.0 43.9 46.1 46.7
1999 14.9 29.8 31.0 31.0 31.0 30.8 31.0 34.7 31.7
2000 12.3 15.5 17.3 22.0 25.0 28.5 27.0 24.0 25.0
2001 10.7 14.4 19.2 21.2 25.1 27.0 32.0 32.7 32.7
2002 12.5 14.4 20.0 20.4 22.8 25.2 27.9 28.8 28.7
2003 13.4 18.0 20.0 20.0 21.5 26.3 27.0 26.7 26.7
2004 14.8 20.0 22.3 22.3 23.5 23.3 24.0 30.7 31.7
2005 17.0 20.0 21.5 25.3 35.0 37.5 39.0 40.0 40.0
2006 10.0 16.0 22.0 25.7 34.0 41.3 43.0 48.0 50.0
 2007 10.3 17.3 21.3 24.7 30.5 34.5 40.0 42.7 46.7
2008 7.0 12.0 17.0 22.0 28.5 31.7 33.6 34.8 35.7
2009 13.8 18.8 25.5 27.7 31.0 34.5 41.0 41.3 43.3
2010 11.9 18.7 22.8 25.7 28.0 30.8 32.0 32.0 31.7
2011 11.0 15.5 20.5 27.3 37.5 40.5 41.0 41.3 41.7
2012 10.0 15.0 20.0 24.0 31.5 35.3 37.0 40.0 40.0
2013 10.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 40.0 45.0 47.0 52.0 53.3
2014 12.0 17.8 21.8 26.0 34.5 42.0 44.0 44.0 45.0
2015 7.2 14.2 16.7 23.2 27.2 36.0 42.8 44.5 45.2
2016 10.0 16.0 18.0 19.0 21.4 32.0 41.4 45.5 45.7
2017 7.5 14.5 19.4 23.4 31.0 33.9 38.6 41.7 41.7
2018 12.2 21.1 27.1 32.6 47.8 59.5 63.9 63.9 66.2

HALLANDO LOS PARÁMETROS

MEDIA 11.2 16.7 20.3 23.2 27.7 31.7 34.3 36.2 37.2
DESVIACIIÓN2.944087128276 4.2596689 5.2335673 5.74804573958 7.3943991 8.5008893 9.0987543 9.4046121 9.9204558
ALPHA 2.296387960055 3.3225418 4.0821825 4.48347567688 5.7676313 6.6306936 7.0970284 7.3355974 7.7379555
MHU 9.88 14.73 17.98 20.57 24.34 27.89 30.21 31.97 32.69

PRECIPITACIONES (mm)
retorno p 1-P 5 10 15 20 30 45 60
2 0.5 0.5 10.72 15.95 19.48 22.22 26.46 30.32 32.81
5 0.2 0.8 13.33 19.72 24.10 27.30 33.00 37.83 40.86
10 0.1 0.9 15.05 22.21 27.17 30.66 37.32 42.81 46.18
15 0.066666666667 0.9333333 16.02 23.62 28.90 32.56 39.77 45.62 49.19
20 0.05 0.95 16.70 24.60 30.11 33.89 41.48 47.58 51.29
25 0.04 0.96 17.23 25.36 31.04 34.91 42.79 49.10 52.91
30 0.033333333333 0.9666667 17.65 25.98 31.80 35.75 43.86 50.33 54.23
50 0.02 0.98 18.84 27.70 33.91 38.07 46.85 53.76 57.90
100 0.01 0.99 20.45 30.02 36.76 41.20 50.88 58.39 62.86
200 0.005 0.995 22.04 32.33 39.60 44.32 54.89 63.00 67.80
500 0.002 0.998 24.15 35.38 43.35 48.43 60.18 69.09 74.31
1000 0.001 0.999 25.74 37.68 46.18 51.54 64.18 73.69 79.23
120

19.0
17.0
20.7
22.6
20.5
13.0
15.8
16.9
19.2
18.0
12.7
17.8
11.0
12.5
13.8
17.4
10.8
27.5
15.1
13.7
34.7
17.6
15.8
14.3
14.1
18.0
13.2
13.9
13.4
16.3
22.8
16.8
19.0
 14.5
25.0
15.8
14.4
27.7
23.9
16.5
14.6
25.1
16.6
24.1
16.0
26.0
26.7
25.0
23.7
17.7
26.0
15.3
19.9
24.4
16.0
12.0
16.4
14.4
14.0
16.0
20.0
25.0
25.0
18.1
23.0
16.0
21.0
18.0
26.0
22.0
22.7
23.1
21.0
33.1

120
38.0
34.0
41.4
45.2
41.0
26.0
31.6
33.8
38.4
36.0
25.4
35.6
22.0
25.0
27.6
34.8
21.6
55.0
30.2
27.4
69.4
35.2
31.6
28.6
28.2
36.0
26.4
27.8
26.8
32.6
45.6
33.6
38.0
29.0
50.0
31.6
28.8
55.4
47.8
33.0
29.2
50.2
33.2
48.2
32.0
52.0
53.4
50.0
47.4
35.4
52.0
30.6
39.8
48.8
32.0
24.0
32.8
28.8
28.0
32.0
40.0
50.0
 50.0
36.2
46.0
32.0
42.0
36.0
52.0
44.0
45.4
46.2
42.0
66.2

38.0
10.266677
8.0080084
33.39

80 100 120
34.66 35.53 36.33 2, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 50, 100, 200, 500 y 1000
42.97 44.30 45.41
48.48 50.10 51.41
51.58 53.38 54.81
53.76 55.67 57.18
55.43 57.44 59.01
56.80 58.88 60.50
60.59 62.88 64.64
65.72 68.29 70.23
70.82 73.67 75.80
77.55 80.77 83.15
82.64 86.14 88.71