Rod.

Delantero 1 2100 3500 1200

MOTOBOMBA 1 Rod. Posterior 3
Rod. Posterior 1 2100 3500 1200

Rod. Delantero 2 2800 4000 Rod. Delantero 3

MOTOBOMBA 2
Rod. Posterior 2 2800 4000
Rod. Posterior 2

Rod. Delantero 3 5000 1800

MOTOBOMBA 3 Rod. Delantero 2
Rod. Posterior 3 5000 1800
Rod. Posterior 1

Rod. Delantero 1

0 1000
Posterior 3

elantero 3

Posterior 2

elantero 2

Posterior 1

elantero 1

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000

 i DATOS Sigma R(t) Ln(t-gamma) Ln(-LnR)
1 1200 1 100.00%
2 1200 1 100.00%
3 1800 1 100.00%
4 1800 1 100.00%
5 2100 0 90.91% 7.64969262371151 -2.35061866
6 2100 1 90.91%
7 2800 0 80.81% 7.9373746961633 -1.54602558
8 2800 1 80.81%
9 3500 0 69.26% 8.16051824747751 -1.00172909
10 3500 1 69.26%
11 4000 0 55.41% 8.29404964010203 -0.52697627
12 4000 1 55.41%
13 5000 1 55.41%
14 5000 1 55.41%
 0
7.6 7.7 7.8 7.9 8 8.1 8.2

Beta 2.7721495282
-0.5
Intersección -23.56238838
f(x) = 2.77214952818886 x − 23.5623883778199
Eta 4913.204299 R² = 0.996825904175776
MTBF 4373.3297959
R2 0.9968259042
-1

-1.5

-2

-2.5
 8 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4

3883778199
 Beta 2.77215
Eta 4913.20430 Edad más tipica para la falla
Intersección -23.56239
R2 1
MTBF 4373.3298

Tpr R(Tpr) F(Tpr) MTBI Ao

2000 92.06% 7.94% 1957.13625 97.67%
2200 89.78% 10.22% 2139.02532 97.05%
2400 87.18% 12.82% 2316.03605 96.32%
2600 84.26% 15.74% 2487.52122 95.49%
2800 81.03% 18.97% 2652.85316 94.56%
3000 77.51% 22.49% 2811.43806 93.52%
3200 73.74% 26.26% 2962.72994 92.39%
3400 69.74% 30.26% 3106.24381 91.16%
3600 65.56% 34.44% 3241.56764 89.84%
3800 61.23% 38.77% 3368.37256 88.44%
4000 56.81% 43.19% 3486.421 86.96%
4200 52.34% 47.66% 3595.57234 85.40%
4400 47.88% 52.12% 3695.78585 83.79%

MTTR 16
duración prevent Dpr 2.5
Pérdida de producción $/hr 5

PREVENTIVA CORRECTIVA
Intervención 280 $ Intervención 330 $
Pérdida productiva 0$ Pérdida productiva 80 $
Costo total 280 $ Cons. Adicionales 1300 $
Costo total 1710 $
Duración del preventivo hrs 2.5
Cesp.corr. 0.34804 $/hr

280 RIESGO
1710
CEP prev RIESGO CEPpr.esp $/hr
393.61031 113.61031 0.201115435897414
426.155372 146.15537 0.199228764966704
463.364089 183.36409 0.200067735690023
505.147644 225.14764 0.203072697087728
551.314911 271.31491 0.207819610399176
601.573226 321.57323 0.21397349415056
655.532318 375.53232 0.221259558540215 MIN 0.19922876497
712.711565 432.71156 0.229444824167845
772.550568 492.55057 0.238326221963666
834.422864 554.42286 0.247722854278277
897.65237 617.65237 0.257471019755688 MANTTO PREVENTIVO CADA 3600 HRS
961.53201 681.53201 0.267421127987562
1025.3438 745.3438 0.277435934759925
ENTIVO CADA 3600 HRS
 Beta 2.77215
Eta 4913.20430 Edad más tipica para la falla
Intersección -23.56239
R2 0.997
MTBF 4373.3298

Tpr R(Tpr) F(Tpr) MTBI Ao

800 99.35% 0.65% 798.618125 99.69%
1000 98.80% 1.20% 996.798678 99.56%
1200 98.01% 1.99% 1193.64642 99.36%
1400 96.97% 3.03% 1388.67033 99.09%
1600 95.64% 4.36% 1581.32519 98.73%
1800 94.01% 5.99% 1771.02146 98.28%
2000 92.06% 7.94% 1957.13625 97.75%
2200 89.78% 10.22% 2139.02532 97.11%
2400 87.18% 12.82% 2316.03605 96.38%
2600 84.26% 15.74% 2487.52122 95.54%
2800 81.03% 18.97% 2652.85316 94.61%
3000 77.51% 22.49% 2811.43806 93.57%
3200 73.74% 26.26% 2962.72994 92.44%
3400 69.74% 30.26% 3106.24381 91.20%
3600 65.56% 34.44% 3241.56764 89.88%
3800 61.23% 38.77% 3368.37256 88.47%
4000 56.81% 43.19% 3486.421 86.99%
4200 52.34% 47.66% 3595.57234 85.43%
4400 47.88% 52.12% 3695.78585 83.82%
4600 43.47% 56.53% 3787.12079 82.15%
4800 39.16% 60.84% 3869.73357 80.44%
5000 35.00% 65.00% 3943.8722 78.70%
5200 31.03% 68.97% 4009.86819 76.93%
5400 27.27% 72.73% 4068.12617 75.16%
5600 23.76% 76.24% 4119.11196 73.38%
5800 20.51% 79.49% 4163.33919 71.61%
6000 17.55% 82.45% 4201.35549 69.86%
6200 14.87% 85.13% 4233.72846 68.13%
6400 12.48% 87.52% 4261.0322 66.42%
6600 10.37% 89.63% 4283.83473 64.76%
6800 8.53% 91.47% 4302.68691 63.13%
7400 4.45% 95.55% 4340.60654 58.53%
7600 3.50% 96.50% 4348.53126 57.09%
7800 2.73% 97.27% 4354.73863 55.71%
8000 2.10% 97.90% 4359.54521 54.38%
8200 1.60% 98.40% 4363.22371 53.10%
8400 1.20% 98.80% 4366.00542 51.87%
 9800 0.11% 99.89% 4372.78351 44.54%
11200 0.01% 99.99% 4373.30865 38.99%
12600 0.00% 100.00% 4373.3294 34.66%
13980 0.00% 100.00% 4373.32979 31.24%
MTTR 16
duración prevent Dpr 2.5
Pérdida de producción $/hr 5

PREVENTIVA CORRECTIVA
Intervención 280 $ Intervención 330 $
Pérdida productiva 0$ Pérdida productiva 80 $
Costo total 280 $ Cons. Adicionales 1300 $
Costo total 1710 $
Duración del preventivo hrs 2.5
Cesp.corr. 0.348 $/hr

55 RIESGO
1710
CEP prev RIESGO CEPpr.esp $/hr
65.7687552 10.768755 0.082353196247133
74.9343731 19.934373 0.075175032568097
87.9138619 32.913862 0.073651510292686
105.193741 50.193741 0.075751413636843
127.182977 72.182977 0.080428097520301
154.20448 99.20448 0.08707092673874
186.486058 131.48606 0.095285168892544 MIN 0.07365151
224.151847 169.15185 0.1047915819106
267.215082 212.21508 0.115376045855543
315.572973 260.57297 0.126862424142863
369.00432 314.00432 0.139097152078776
427.170412 372.17041 0.151940182326485
489.619571 434.61957 0.16525960224727
555.795552 500.79555 0.178928502170418
625.049784 570.04978 0.1928233044989
696.657231 641.65723 0.206823093079522
769.835435 714.83543 0.220809659886404
843.766068 788.76607 0.234668083029045
917.618177 862.61818 0.248287702198943
990.572128 935.57213 0.26156338389607
1061.8432 1006.8432 0.27439697986982
1130.70376 1075.7038 0.286698884787517
1196.50295 1141.503 0.298389597738391
1258.68308 1203.6831 0.309401190226605
1316.79188 1261.7919 0.319678583571005
1370.49026 1315.4903 0.329180543320617
1419.55529 1364.5553 0.337880308985909
1463.87849 1408.8785 0.345765794849238
1503.45971 1448.4597 0.352839321661432
1538.39731 1483.3973 0.359116868410912
1568.87524 1513.8752 0.364626865822531
1636.35087 1581.3509 0.376986684888941
1651.99606 1596.9961 0.379897479188488
1664.83561 1609.8356 0.382304371563537
1675.23972 1620.2397 0.384269377127972
1683.56258 1628.5626 0.385852912369603
1690.13426 1635.1343 0.387112268961532
1708.12036 1653.1204 0.390625412386106
1709.90986 1654.9099 0.390987694063483
1709.99797 1654.998 0.391005983740535
1709.99998 1655 0.391006409198766
Costos del Predictivo
Intervención 55
Pérdida productiva 0
TOTAL 55
Dpred 1
Intervenciones Intervalo R(Tpred.)
1° intervención 1400 98.80%
2° intervención 2800 88.24%
3° intervención 4200 70.24%
4° intervención 5600 50.67%
5° intervención 7000 33.42%
6° intervención 8400 11.58%
7° intervención 9800 9.46%
8° intervención 11200 4.80%
9° intervención 12600 2.26%
preventivo 1380 1.06%

Costo total del pred 775 $

CEPpred.pr. 1688.89365 $
CEPpred.pr.esp. 0.38618026 $/hr
Consumo 40 rod/año q Ca Cf Cc
Prec unit 50 $/rod 20 160 75 2000
Costo de OC 80 $/OC 21 152.380952 78.75 2000
Cost de oport 15% anual 22 145.454545 82.5 2000
23 139.130435 86.25 2000
24 133.333333 90 2000
25 128 93.75 2000
26 123.076923 97.5 2000
27 118.518519 101.25 2000
28 114.285714 105 2000
29 110.344828 108.75 2000
30 106.666667 112.5 2000
31 103.225806 116.25 2000
32 100 120 2000
33 96.969697 123.75 2000
34 94.1176471 127.5 2000
35 91.4285714 131.25 2000
36 88.8888889 135 2000
 CPP
2240
2235
2231.13095
2235
2227.95455
2225.38043 2230
2223.33333
2221.75 2225
2220.57692 2219.09483
2219.76852 2220
2219.28571
2219.09483 2215

2219.16667
2210
2219.47581 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38
2220
2220.7197
2221.61765
2222.67857
2223.88889
36 38
Consumo 40 rod/año QW Nivel de servicio
Tiem. Demora 15 días 1 50.366827%
0.042 años 2 76.599550%
VEP 1.66666667 rod en 15 días 3 91.173285%
4 97.245674%
5 99.269804%
6 99.832062%
7 99.965933%
8 99.993823%
9 99.998988%
10 99.999849%
11 99.999979%
12 99.999997%
13 100.000000%
14 100.000000%
15 100.000000%
16 100.000000%
17 100.000000%
18 100.000000%
19 100.000000%
20 100.000000%
21 100.000000%
22 100.000000%
23 100.000000%
24 100.000000%
25 100.000000%
26 100.000000%
27 100.000000%
>95% for world class company