Tiempo

Numero de
entre Tiempo/Descompost
Observacion Probabilidades De A
descompost es uras
uras (horas)
0.5 10 0.05 0 0.05 0.5
1 12 0.06 0.05 0.11 1
1.5 32 0.16 0.11 0.27 1.5
2 66 0.33 0.27 0.6 2
2.5 42 0.21 0.6 0.81 2.5
3 38 0.19 0.81 1 3
TOTAL 200

Hora en que
A que hora
Numero de Tiempo entre se Presenta
Descompost Numero Descompostura la Numero Tiempo De puede inicar
Aleatorio Aleatorio Reparacion (Horas) la
ura (horas) Descompost
reparación
ura
1 0.5426 2 2 0.47170091 2 2
2 0.5210 2 4 0.68483935 2 4
3 0.1777 1.5 5.5 0.49254076 2 6
4 0.8494 3 8.5 0.25158521 1 8.5
5 0.5040 2 10.5 0.66227643 2 10.5
6 0.5580 2 12.5 0.47238697 2 12.5
7 0.8244 3 15.5 0.91399689 3 15.5
8 0.1574 1.5 17 0.47875639 2 18.5
9 0.0936 1 18 0.03369506 1 20.5
10 0.6986 2.5 20.5 0.47256865 2 21.5
11 0.3606 2 22.5 0.46156027 2 23.5
12 0.0591 1 23.5 0.9008767 3 25.5
13 0.9167 3 26.5 0.02766478 1 28.5
14 0.0887 1 27.5 0.57877413 2 29.5
15 0.3942 2 29.5 0.33751339 2 31.5
16 0.0296 0.5 30 0.96593535 3 33.5
17 0.6902 2.5 32.5 0.3808661 2 36.5
18 0.0587 1 33.5 0.02632962 1 38.5
19 0.0822 1 34.5 0.14201591 1 39.5
20 0.2161 1.5 36 0.90927421 3 40.5
21 0.8156 3 39 0.95273605 3 43.5
22 0.1519 1.5 40.5 0.40628523 2 46.5
23 0.7810 2.5 43 0.29376479 2 48.5
24 0.3044 2 45 0.26662575 1 50.5
25 0.3558 2 47 0.22919642 1 51.5
26 0.0663 1 48 0.76975143 2 52.5
27 0.4129 2 50 0.14383563 1 54.5
28 0.4119 2 52 0.50559327 2 55.5
29 0.9152 3 55 0.28818618 2 57.5
30 0.0661 1 56 0.88928516 3 59.5
31 0.5846 2 58 0.02079959 1 62.5
32 0.4605 2 60 0.27821731 1 63.5
33 0.7901 2.5 62.5 0.51473023 2 64.5
34 0.9408 3 65.5 0.16196421 1 66.5
35 0.1130 1.5 67 0.10172423 1 67.5
36 0.3297 2 69 0.97769224 3 69
37 0.5104 2 71 0.9384597 3 72
38 0.1075 1 72 0.6518947 2 75
39 0.8687 3 75 0.94826989 3 77
40 0.5190 2 77 0.29137062 2 80
41 0.5598 2 79 0.04055513 1 82
42 0.8775 3 82 0.98840143 3 83
43 0.8997 3 85 0.0591841 1 86
44 0.3813 2 87 0.4144193 2 87
45 0.6824 2.5 89.5 0.14348769 1 89.5
46 0.2951 2 91.5 0.77086026 2 91.5
47 0.1039 1 92.5 0.67695751 2 93.5
48 0.7463 2.5 95 0.37139345 2 95.5
49 0.4894 2 97 0.07511602 1 97.5
50 0.2058 1.5 98.5 0.90800117 3 98.5
Tiempo de Numero de
Probabilida Tiempo de
Reparacion Observacion De A
(horas) es des Reparacion

1 56 0.28 0 0.28 1
2 104 0.52 0.28 0.8 2
3 40 0.2 0.8 1 3
TOTAL 200
Estadisticos Tiempo Muerto Promedio (Horas/
Promedio 2.17 Promedio 2.17 3.0
Desv Est 1.8698 Desv Est 1.8698
Maximo Maximo 2.5
6 6
Minimo 0 Minimo 0 2.0

Tiempo
A que hora Tiempo 1.5
finaliza la Muerto Muerto
Promedio
reparación (Horas) 1.0
(Horas/maq.)

4 0 0.0 0.5

6 0 0.0
0.0
8 0.5 0.2 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 3
9.5 0 0.1
12.5 0 0.1
14.5 0 0.1
18.5 0 0.1
20.5 1.5 0.3
21.5 2.5 0.5
23.5 1 0.6
25.5 1 0.6
28.5 2 0.7
29.5 2 0.8
31.5 2 0.9
33.5 2 1.0
36.5 3.5 1.1
38.5 4 1.3
39.5 5 1.5
40.5 5 1.7
43.5 4.5 1.8
46.5 4.5 2.0
48.5 6 2.1
50.5 5.5 2.3
51.5 5.5 2.4
52.5 4.5 2.5
54.5 4.5 2.6
55.5 4.5 2.6
57.5 3.5 2.7
 59.5 2.5 2.7
62.5 3.5 2.7
63.5 4.5 2.8
64.5 3.5 2.8
66.5 2 2.8
67.5 1 2.7
68.5 0.5 2.6
72 0 2.6
75 1 2.5
77 3 2.5
80 2 2.5
82 3 2.5
83 3 2.5
86 1 2.5
87 1 2.5
89 0 2.4
90.5 0 2.4
93.5 0 2.3
95.5 1 2.3
97.5 0.5 2.3
98.5 0.5 2.2
101.5 0 2.2
erto Promedio (Horas/maq.)

15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49
Determinacion del Tamaño de Corrida para Estabilizar la Variable de Salida (Tiempo Muerto)
Alfa 0.05
Error 0.5

Los datos que se toman en cuenta para el analisis, son los siguientes:
Estadisticos
Promedio 0.59
Desviacion 0.7402
Maximo 2.5
Minimo 0
Tiempo
Muerto
Promedio
(Horas/maq.
)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3 Conclusiones: El tiempo muerto no sigue una distribucion normal
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5 Tamaño de Corrida:
0.4
0.4 Por lo tanto para que el tiempo muerto llegue a un estado estable se
deben correr 43 corridas
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
43.8285714
 Tiempo
Numero de
entre Tiempo/Descompost
Observacion Probabilidades De A
descompost es uras
uras (horas)
0.5 10 0.05 0 0.05 0.5
1 12 0.06 0.05 0.11 1
1.5 32 0.16 0.11 0.27 1.5
2 66 0.33 0.27 0.6 2
2.5 42 0.21 0.6 0.81 2.5
3 38 0.19 0.81 1 3
TOTAL 200

Hora en que
A que hora
Numero de Tiempo entre se Presenta
Descompost Numero Descompostura la Numero Tiempo De puede inicar
Aleatorio Aleatorio Reparacion (Horas) la
ura (horas) Descompost
reparación
ura
1 0.4372 2 2 0.43637526 2 2
2 0.1850 1.5 3.5 0.967779836 3 4
3 0.3154 2 5.5 0.573202202 2 7
4 0.1087 1 6.5 0.302416345 2 9
5 0.5121 2 8.5 0.302691171 2 11
6 0.3027 2 10.5 0.872758569 3 13
7 0.0513 1 11.5 0.453468529 2 16
8 0.0376 0.5 12 0.831617683 3 18
9 0.0035 0.5 12.5 0.408743861 2 21
10 0.7419 2.5 15 0.277308839 1 23
11 0.4540 2 17 0.38962819 2 24
12 0.9072 3 20 0.522076191 2 26
13 0.1594 1.5 21.5 0.773126787 2 28
14 0.1004 1 22.5 0.843863218 3 30
15 0.4089 2 24.5 0.97316095 3 33
16 0.4725 2 26.5 0.330781702 2 36
17 0.0968 1 27.5 0.16418798 1 38
18 0.0762 1 28.5 0.563389927 2 39
19 0.9053 3 31.5 0.315259054 2 41
20 0.4148 2 33.5 0.342312635 2 43
21 0.9703 3 36.5 0.384284871 2 45
22 0.0206 0.5 37 0.563274986 2 47
23 0.4598 2 39 0.475487388 2 49
24 0.2657 1.5 40.5 0.675897219 2 51
25 0.3991 2 42.5 0.738728138 2 53
26 0.5816 2 44.5 0.015271444 1 55
27 0.4926 2 46.5 0.204383043 1 56
28 0.3262 2 48.5 0.052141343 1 57
29 0.9430 3 51.5 0.544514542 2 58
30 0.0145 0.5 52 0.734841638 2 60
31 0.8803 3 55 0.816274295 3 62
32 0.7741 2.5 57.5 0.690428632 2 65
33 0.0398 0.5 58 0.155083747 1
34 0.6685 2.5 60.5 0.297035826 2
35 0.1656 1.5 62 0.599230205 2
36 0.5293 2 64 0.844891626 3
37 0.3761 2 66 0.955949232 3
38 0.1708 1.5 67.5 0.404169661 2
39 0.7092 2.5 70 0.118646796 1
40 0.8996 3 73 0.337246079 2
41 0.1337 1.5 74.5 0.09058982 1
42 0.2188 1.5 76 0.246932895 1
43 0.2314 1.5 77.5 0.646335802 2
44 0.3962 2 79.5 0.998960442 3
45 0.2903 2 81.5 0.754812166 2
46 0.7148 2.5 84 0.09853125 1
47 0.1608 1.5 85.5 0.521162088 2
48 0.6217 2.5 88 0.82286402 3
49 0.3154 2 90 0.45345309 2
50 0.5112 2 92 0.972723362 3
Tiempo de Numero de Tiempo Muerto Pr
Probabilida Tiempo de
Reparacion Observacion De A 8.0
(horas) es des Reparacion
7.0
6.0
1 56 0.28 0 0.28 1 5.0
4.0
2 104 0.52 0.28 0.8 2 3.0
2.0
3 40 0.2 0.8 1 3 1.0
TOTAL 200 0.0
Estadisticos
Promedio 7.140625 Promedio 7.140625 Estadisticos
Desv Est 3.1424 Desv Est 3.1424 Promedio 0.34375
Maximo 10.5 Maximo 10.5 Desv Est 0.5599
Minimo 0 Minimo 0 Maximo 2

Tiempo
A que hora Tiempo
finaliza la Muerto Muerto Minimo
Promedio
reparación (Horas)
(Horas/maq.)
0
4 0 0.0 Replica 1
7 0.5 0.3 0.0
9 1.5 0.7 0.0
11 2.5 1.1 0.0
13 2.5 1.4 0.0
16 2.5 1.6 0.2
18 4.5 2.0 0.3
21 6 2.5 0.3
23 8.5 3.2 0.3
24 8 3.7 0.2
26 7 4.0 0.2
28 6 4.1 0.2
30 6.5 4.3 0.2
33 7.5 4.5 0.2
36 8.5 4.8 0.2
38 9.5 5.1 0.2
39 10.5 5.4 0.2
41 10.5 5.7 0.1
43 9.5 5.9 0.1
45 9.5 6.1 0.1
47 8.5 6.2 0.1
49 10 6.4 0.1
51 10 6.5 0.1
53 10.5 6.7 0.1
55 10.5 6.8 0.1
56 10.5 7.0 0.1
57 9.5 7.1 0.1
58 8.5 7.1 0.1
60 6.5 7.1 0.2
62 8 7.1 0.2
65 7 7.1 0.3
67 7.5 7.1 0.3
0.3
 Tiempo Muerto Promedio (Horas/maq.)
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos

1.8125 0.609375 2.3125 0.734375 0.609375 0.640625 2.75 0.53125
2.0508 0.9396 2.3236 0.9502 0.8682 0.7645 1.6264 0.7064
5.5 3.5 7 3 2.5 3 6.5 2

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Replica 2 Replica 3 Replica 4 Replica 5 Replica 6 Replica 7 Replica 8 Replica 9
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0
0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.0
0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.1
0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.5 0.2
0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.0 0.3
0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.5 0.2
0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.8 0.2
0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.8 0.2
0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 3.8 0.2
0.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 3.7 0.2
0.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 3.5 0.2
0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 3.4 0.2
0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 3.4 0.2
0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 3.3 0.2
0.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.3 3.3 0.2
0.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.3 3.4 0.3
0.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.4 3.3 0.4
0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.4 3.2 0.4
0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.5 3.1 0.5
0.5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 2.9 0.6
0.6 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.7 2.8 0.6
0.7 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.7 2.8 0.6
0.8 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.7 2.8 0.7
1.0 0.6 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.8 0.6
1.1 0.6 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.7 0.6
1.3 0.6 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.7 0.6
1.4 0.7 1.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 2.8 0.6
1.5 0.7 2.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 2.8 0.6
1.7 0.6 2.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 2.8 0.6
1.7 0.6 2.2 0.7 0.6 0.6 2.7 0.5
1.8 0.6 2.3 0.7 0.6 0.6 2.8 0.5
 Chart Titl
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos Estadisticos 1.0
0.75 0.875 2.578125 2.84375 0.8125 0.5 0.5
1.1144 0.9070 2.5813 1.8025 1.0140 0.7071 0.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
4 2.5 9 7 3 2.5
Replica 1 Replica 2 Replica
Replica 6 Replica 7 Replica
Replica 11 Replica 12 Replica

0 0 0 0 0 0
Replica 10 Replica 11 Replica 12 Replica 13 Replica 14 Replica 15
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3
0.8 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.2
0.8 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.9 0.1
0.6 0.3 0.0 1.8 1.1 0.1
0.5 0.3 0.0 2.7 1.0 0.1
0.4 0.2 0.0 3.2 0.9 0.1
0.4 0.2 0.0 3.4 0.8 0.1
0.3 0.2 0.0 3.3 0.7 0.1
0.5 0.2 0.0 3.2 0.6 0.1
0.5 0.2 0.0 3.0 0.5 0.0
0.6 0.2 0.1 2.7 0.6 0.0
0.5 0.3 0.2 2.5 0.8 0.1
0.5 0.3 0.3 2.4 0.9 0.1
0.5 0.2 0.4 2.4 0.9 0.2
0.4 0.3 0.6 2.5 0.9 0.3 Promedio
0.4 0.4 0.7 2.6 1.0 0.4 Desv.
0.4 0.6 0.8 2.7 1.1 0.4
0.4 0.6 0.8 2.7 1.2 0.5
0.4 0.6 0.9 2.7 1.2 0.5
0.4 0.7 1.0 2.7 1.2 0.5
0.4 0.8 1.2 2.7 1.1 0.5
0.4 0.8 1.3 2.8 1.1 0.6
0.4 0.9 1.4 2.8 1.0 0.5
0.5 0.9 1.5 2.9 1.0 0.5
0.5 0.9 1.7 3.0 1.0 0.5
0.5 0.9 2.0 3.0 0.9 0.5
0.5 0.9 2.2 3.0 0.9 0.5
0.5 0.9 2.4 3.0 0.9 0.5
0.6 0.8 2.5 3.0 0.8 0.5
0.7 0.8 2.5 2.9 0.8 0.5
0.8 0.9 2.6 2.8 0.8 0.5
 Chart Title

6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32

Replica 2 Replica 3 Replica 4 Replica 5

Replica 7 Replica 8 Replica 9 Replica 10
1 Replica 12 Replica 13 Replica 14 Replica 15

Promedios
0.34375
1.8125
0.609375
2.3125
0.734375
0.609375
0.640625
2.75
0.53125
0.75
0.875
2.578125
2.84375
0.8125
0.5
1.246875
0.89217154

Los datos siguen una distribucion normal

Calculos de los intervalos de confianza

Alfa 0.05
No. Repl. Ana 15
Lim. Suoperio 3.4930
Lim. Inferior 0.5792