Con los siguientes datos obtenidos de la estación hidrométrica, Calcular el gasto de diseño para un periodo de retorno (Tr) de 50 años

Año Qmax (m³/s) m Qi T Xi Qi*Xi Qi² Xi²

1954 3,850 1 9800 22.0000 -1.6946 -16606.8431994755 96040000 2.87159
1955 3,200 2 9010 11.0000 -1.3831 -12461.518362628 81180100 1.91290
1956 3,660 3 5980 7.3333 -1.1961 -7152.50712994909 35760400 1.43059
1957 4,220 4 5223 5.5000 -1.0597 -5534.97884091112 27279729 1.12303
1958 5,980 5 5001 4.4000 -0.9509 -4755.3695857428 25010001 0.90418
1959 5,001 6 4220 3.6667 -0.8592 -3625.69464475149 17808400 0.73817
1960 9,800 7 3953 3.1429 -0.7790 -3079.48859290883 15626209 0.60688
1961 3,912 8 3950 2.7500 -0.7071 -2793.01161323702 15602500 0.49998
1962 3,623 9 3912 2.4444 -0.6412 -2508.19087346044 15303744 0.41108
1963 3,100 10 3850 2.2000 -0.5796 -2231.63614050773 14822500 0.33599
1964 2,800 11 3665 2.0000 -0.5214 -1910.8951843531 13432225 0.27185
1965 2,920 12 3660 1.8333 -0.4654 -1703.50116570611 13395600 0.21663
1966 3,950 13 3640 1.6923 -0.4110 -1495.91861532425 13249600 0.16889
1967 3,600 14 3623 1.5714 -0.3572 -1294.15906483245 13126129 0.12760
1968 3,112 15 3600 1.4667 -0.3034 -1092.09608051321 12960000 0.09203
1969 3,953 16 3200 1.3750 -0.2485 -795.23820123819 10240000 0.06176
1970 9,010 17 3112 1.2941 -0.1915 -595.89630440129 9684544 0.03667
1971 3,665 18 3100 1.2222 -0.1306 -404.721974347187 9610000 0.01704
1972 2,521 19 2920 1.1579 -0.0628 -183.471135130114 8526400 0.00395
1973 3,640 20 2800 1.1000 0.0176 49.3206639084002 7840000 0.00031
1974 5,223 21 2521 1.0476 0.1279 322.408877761718 6355441 0.01636
Total 90740 80.1979 -12.3967 -69853.4072 462853522 11.8475

Qm Xm Qi T Xi Qi*Xi Qi² Xi²

4,320.9524 -0.5903 Total 90740 80.1979 -12.3967 -69853.4072 462853522 11.8475

𝑄_𝑚=∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑁 𝑋_𝑚=∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑁▒𝑋_𝑖
𝑋𝑖=log⁡log⁡〖𝑇 /(𝑇−1) 〗 ▒𝑄_𝑖 /𝑁 /𝑁

𝑄_𝑚á𝑥=𝑎+𝑏 log⁡log⁡〖𝑇 /(𝑇−1) 〗

log⁡log⁡〖T/(T-1)〗
𝑏=(∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑁▒ 〖𝑋 _𝑖 𝑄_𝑖 〗−𝑁𝑋
𝑎=𝑄_𝑚−𝑏𝑋_𝑚 _𝑚
𝑄_𝑚)/(∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑁▒ 〖𝑋 _𝑖 〗 ^2
a= 2,198.1792 b= 〗 ^2 ) -3,595.9863
−𝑁 〖𝑋 _𝑚

Si T = 50 años
𝑄_𝑚á𝑥=2198.1792−3595.9863 log⁡log⁡〖𝑇 /(𝑇−1) 〗

Qmax = 9,594.4258 m³/s

𝑆_𝑥𝑥=𝑁∑▒ 〖〖𝑥 _𝑖 〗 ^2− Si T = 50 años

〖 (∑▒𝑥_𝑖 ) 〗 ^2 〗 𝑋=log⁡log⁡〖𝑇 /(𝑇−1) 〗

Sxx= 95.1194 X -2.0568

∆𝑄=±2√(𝑆_𝑞𝑞/(𝑁^2 (𝑁−1))+ 〖 (𝑋−𝑋_𝑚) 〗 ^2 1/(𝑁−2) 1/𝑆_𝑥𝑥

𝑆_𝑞𝑞=𝑁∑▒ 〖〖𝑄 _𝑖 〗 ^2− 〖 (𝑆_𝑞𝑞−𝑆_𝑥𝑞/𝑆_𝑥𝑥 〗 ^2))
〖 (∑▒𝑄_𝑖 ) 〗 ^2 〗

Sqq= 1,486,176,362.0000 ΔQ 1,375.9961 m³/s

𝑆_𝑥𝑞=𝑁∑▒ 〖〖𝑄 _𝑖 〗 ^ 𝑥_𝑖− 〖 (∑▒𝑄_𝑖 ) 〗

𝑄_𝑑=𝑄_𝑚𝑎𝑥+∆𝑄
^ 〖 (∑▒𝑥_𝑖 ) 〗 ^ 〗

Sxq= -342,048.1682 Qdis = 10,970.4219 m³/s