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Tipo de Inmueble Zona

Apartamento
sur
Casa

Precio Promedio por Me

$ 3,000,000

$ 2,500,000

$ 2,000,000

$ 1,500,000

$ 1,000,000

$ 500,000

$0
II-2010

IV-2010

II-2011

IV-2011

II-2012

IV-2012
I-2010

III-2010

I-2011

III-2011

I-2012

III-2012

I-2013
Precio Promedio por
2010 2011
M2
I $ 1,847,917 $ 1,642,157
II $ 1,070,833 $ 868,064
III $ 1,133,333 $ 1,052,206
IV $ 1,100,000 $ 1,031,863

9
 Tipo de Negocio Zona Subsector
1 7 3

2 3 4
Ene-10 Feb-10 Mar-10
Por tipo $ 236,500,000 $ 275,000,000 $ 250,000,000
Por zona $ 66,000,000 $ 62,000,000 $ 84,000,000
Por tipo, por zona, por su $ 110,000,000 $ 238,500,000 $ 95,000,000
LS $ 110,000,000 $ 238,500,000 $ 95,000,000
LI $ 110,000,000 $ 238,500,000 $ 95,000,000
91 92 93
Precio Promedio por M2 2010 2011 2012
I $ 1,847,917 $ 1,642,157 $ 2,516,667
II $ 1,070,833 $ 868,064 $ 1,763,889
III $ 1,133,333 $ 1,052,206 $ 1,461,111
IV $ 1,100,000 $ 1,031,863 $ 1,666,667

Promedio del valor de un inmueble

Promedio 2011 Promedio 2012 Promedio 2013 Promedio 2014

I $ 111,666,667 $ 151,000,000 $ 82,475,000 $ 95,350,000

II $ 59,028,333 $ 105,833,333 $ 97,200,000 $ 116,333,333
III $ 71,550,000 $ 87,666,667 $ 113,333,333 $ 122,000,000
IV $ 70,166,667 $ 100,000,000 $ 112,500,000 $ 126,666,667
Anual$ 78,102,917 $ 111,125,000 $ 101,377,083 $ 115,087,500

Promedio del valor MetroCuadrado

Promedio 2011 Promedio 2012 Promedio 2013 Promedio 2014

I $ 1,642,157 $ 2,516,667 $ 1,309,127 $ 1,589,167

II $ 868,064 $ 1,763,889 $ 1,542,857 $ 1,938,889
III $ 1,052,206 $ 1,461,111 $ 1,798,942 $ 2,033,333
IV $ 1,031,863 $ 1,666,667 $ 1,785,714 $ 2,111,111
Anual$ 1,148,572 $ 1,852,083 $ 1,609,160 $ 1,918,125

$1,847,916.67 I-2010
$1,070,833.33 II-2010
$1,133,333.33 III-2010
$1,100,000.00 IV-2010
$1,642,156.86 I-2011
$868,063.73 II-2011
$1,052,205.88 III-2011
$1,031,862.75 IV-2011
$2,516,666.67 I-2012
$1,763,888.89 II-2012
$1,461,111.11 III-2012
$1,666,666.67 IV-2012
$1,309,126.98 I-2013
$1,542,857.14 II-2013
$1,798,941.80 III-2013
$1,785,714.29 IV-2013
$1,589,166.67 I-2014
$1,938,888.89 II-2014
$2,033,333.33 III-2014
$2,111,111.11 IV-2014
$2,354,497.35 I-2015
$2,116,402.12 II-2015
$1,069,576.72 III-2015
$2,354,497.35 IV-2015
$2,459,016.39 I-2016
LI
LS
 Zona Sector

Antonio Nariño

Promedio por MetroCuadrado (área)

II-2012

IV-2012

II-2014

IV-2015

I-2016
I-2012

III-2012

I-2013

II-2013

III-2013

IV-2013

I-2014

III-2014

IV-2014

I-2015

II-2015

III-2015

2012 2013 2014 2015

$ 2,516,667 $ 1,309,127 $ 1,589,167 $ 2,354,497

$ 1,763,889 $ 1,542,857 $ 1,938,889 $ 2,116,402
$ 1,461,111 $ 1,798,942 $ 2,033,333 $ 1,069,577
$ 1,666,667 $ 1,785,714 $ 2,111,111 $ 2,354,497
Valor Concatenado Valor Concatenado
17 173

5 6
Abr-10 May-10
$ 260,000,000 $ 240,000,000
$ 65,000,000 $ 72,500,000
$ 62,000,000 $ 120,000,000
$ 62,000,000 $ 120,000,000
$ 62,000,000 $ 120,000,000
94 95
2013 2014
$ 1,309,127 $ 1,589,167
$ 1,542,857 $ 1,938,889
$ 1,798,942 $ 2,033,333
$ 1,785,714 $ 2,111,111
7 8
Jun-10 Jul-10
$ 260,000,000 $ 250,000,000
$ 65,000,000 $ 68,000,000
$ 75,000,000 $ 80,000,000
$ 75,000,000 $ 80,000,000
$ 75,000,000 $ 80,000,000
96 97
2015 2016
$ 2,354,497 $ 2,459,016
$ 2,116,402
$ 1,069,577
$ 2,354,497

Promedio 2015 Promedio 2016 Var 12-13 Var 13-14

$ 148,333,333 $ 150,000,000 -45% 16%

$ 133,333,333 -8% 20%
$ 67,383,333 29% 8%
$ 148,333,333 12.5% 12.6%
$ 124,345,833 -8.8% 14%

Promedio 2015 Var 12-13 Var 13-14 Var 14-15

$ 2,354,497 -48% 21% 48%

$ 2,116,402 -13% 26% 9%
$ 1,069,577 23% 13% -47%
7% 18%
$ 1,846,825 -13% 19% -4%
 $ 600,000,000

$ 500,000,000

$ 400,000,000

$ 300,000,000

$ 200,000,000

$ 100,000,000

$0

Jan-11
Feb-11

Apr-11
May-11

Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Mar-11

Jun-11
Jul-11
Estimacion de Valor MetroCuadrado II-
2015
Confianza de
2016 LS 2015-I
Estimación
$ 2,459,016 $ 2,728,794 63.7% $ 148,333,333
 9 10 11 12 13
Ago-10 Sep-10 Octu-10 Nov-10 Dic-10
$ 250,000,000 $ 255,000,000 $ 250,000,000 $ 210,000,000 $ 265,000,000
$ 80,000,000 $ 90,000,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 76,000,000 $ 100,000,000
$ 92,000,000 $ 100,000,000 $ 112,000,000 $ 110,000,000 $ 42,000,000
$ 92,000,000 $ 100,000,000 $ 112,000,000 $ 110,000,000 $ 42,000,000
$ 92,000,000 $ 100,000,000 $ 112,000,000 $ 110,000,000 $ 42,000,000
97

Var periodos Var periodos Var periodos

Var 14-15 inmediatamente inmediatamente inmediatamente
anterior anterior anterior Estimación Puntual
56% -18% -15% 17% 99,439,354
15% 18% 22% -10% 138,553,749
-45% 17% 5% -49% 135,095,731
17% -1% 4% 120% 136,827,355
8%

Var periodos Var periodos Var periodos

inmediatamente inmediatamente inmediatamente
anterior anteriores anterior Estimación Puntual Estimación Puntual
-21% -11.0% 11.5% 1,682,014 2,965,963
18% 22% -10.1% 2,385,264 2,449,399
17% 5% -49.5% 2,328,636 756,886
-1% 4% 2,357,948
 Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11

$
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11

2015-II
Nov-11
Dec-11
Jan-12

133,333,333 $
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12

2015-III
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12

67,383,333 $
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13

2015-IV
Sector

Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13

148,333,333 $
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13

2016-1
Oct-13
Comportamiento en Ventas
Tipo de Inmueble

Nov-13

150,000,000
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Zona

Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14

1.12%
Jun-14

Var IV15-I2016
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
 14 15 16 17 18
Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11
$ 270,000,000 $ 265,000,000 $ 230,000,000 $ 234,000,000 $ 225,000,000
$ 75,000,000 $ 73,500,000 $ 76,000,000 $ 68,000,000 $ 72,000,000
$ 95,000,000 $ 145,000,000 $ 95,000,000 $ 585,000 $ 58,500,000
$ 95,000,000 $ 145,000,000 $ 95,000,000 $ 585,000 $ 58,500,000
$ 95,000,000 $ 145,000,000 $ 95,000,000 $ 585,000 $ 58,500,000

Confianza de
Estimación
Estimación Puntual LI LS
190,492,171 $ 80,063,411 $ 118,815,297
160,030,235 $ 119,473,495 $ 157,634,004
49,500,453 $ 112,028,782 $ 158,162,681
194,055,139 $ 109,060,416 $ 164,594,294 80.1%

Confianza de
Estimación
LI LS LI
$ 1,416,532 $ 1,947,496 $ 2,608,547
$ 2,096,331 $ 2,674,198 $ 2,170,004
$ 1,938,732 $ 2,718,540 $ (243,888)
$ 1,895,165 $ 2,820,730 77.7%
 May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14

$
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14

LI
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15

136,957,054 $
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15

LS
Sep-15

Estimacion de Precio II-2015

Oct-15
Nov-15

183,103,416
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16

61.0%
Estimación
Confianza de
 19 20 21 22 23
Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11
$ 230,000,000 $ 220,000,000 $ 230,000,000 $ 230,000,000 $ 210,000,000
$ 71,500,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 76,000,000 $ 80,000,000 $ 64,500,000
$ 118,000,000 $ 650,000 $ 114,000,000 $ 100,000,000 $ 5,500,000
$ 118,000,000 $ 650,000 $ 114,000,000 $ 100,000,000 $ 5,500,000
$ 118,000,000 $ 650,000 $ 114,000,000 $ 100,000,000 $ 5,500,000

Confianza de
Estimación
LI LS
$ 162,390,255 $ 218,594,087 90.1%
$ 136,957,054 $ 183,103,416 61.0%
$ (21,902,488) $ 120,903,394 36.8%
$ 116,445,141 $ 271,665,137 -677.2%

Confianza de
Estimación
LS
$ 3,323,378 83.5%
$ 2,728,794 63.7%
$ 1,757,660 39.2%
 24 25 26 27 28
Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12
$ 220,000,000 $ 270,000,000 $ 280,000,000 $ 280,000,000 $ 300,000,000
$ 92,000,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 85,000,000 $ 78,000,000 $ 82,000,000
$ 90,000,000 $ 115,000,000 $ 102,500,000 $ 107,500,000 $ 243,000,000
$ 90,000,000 $ 115,000,000 $ 102,500,000 $ 107,500,000 $ 243,000,000
$ 90,000,000 $ 115,000,000 $ 102,500,000 $ 107,500,000 $ 243,000,000
 29 30 31 32 33
Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12
$ 285,000,000 $ 285,000,000 $ 276,000,000 $ 285,000,000 $ 282,500,000
$ 97,000,000 $ 95,000,000 $ 91,500,000 $ 95,000,000 $ 102,500,000
$ 115,000,000 $ 127,500,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 120,000,000
$ 115,000,000 $ 127,500,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 120,000,000
$ 115,000,000 $ 127,500,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 120,000,000
 34 35 36 37 38
Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13
$ 230,000,000 $ 260,000,000 $ 250,000,000 $ 230,000,000 $ 250,000,000
$ 95,000,000 $ 105,000,000 $ 95,750,000 $ 87,500,000 $ 95,000,000
$ 68,000,000 $ 107,500,000 $ 117,500,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 45,425,000
$ 68,000,000 $ 107,500,000 $ 117,500,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 45,425,000
$ 68,000,000 $ 107,500,000 $ 117,500,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 45,425,000
 39 40 41 42 43
Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13
$ 250,000,000 $ 260,000,000 $ 250,000,000 $ 240,000,000 $ 250,000,000
$ 92,000,000 $ 88,000,000 $ 90,000,000 $ 80,000,000 $ 100,000,000
$ 110,000,000 $ 92,000,000 $ 105,000,000 $ 66,600,000 $ 120,000,000
$ 110,000,000 $ 92,000,000 $ 105,000,000 $ 66,600,000 $ 120,000,000
$ 110,000,000 $ 92,000,000 $ 105,000,000 $ 66,600,000 $ 120,000,000
 44 45 46 47 48
Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13
$ 291,000,000 $ 250,000,000 $ 250,000,000 $ 255,000,000 $ 267,820,000
$ 108,000,000 $ 95,000,000 $ 90,000,000 $ 100,000,000 $ 109,000,000
$ 115,000,000 $ 90,000,000 $ 135,000,000 $ 92,500,000 $ 125,000,000
$ 115,000,000 $ 90,000,000 $ 135,000,000 $ 92,500,000 $ 125,000,000
$ 115,000,000 $ 90,000,000 $ 135,000,000 $ 92,500,000 $ 125,000,000
 49 50 51 52 53
Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14
$ 265,000,000 $ 280,000,000 $ 287,000,000 $ 340,000,000 $ 330,000,000
$ 110,000,000 $ 89,500,000 $ 103,000,000 $ 115,000,000 $ 110,000,000
$ 120,000,000 $ 28,050,000 $ 130,000,000 $ 128,000,000 $ 112,500,000
$ 120,000,000 $ 28,050,000 $ 130,000,000 $ 128,000,000 $ 112,500,000
$ 120,000,000 $ 28,050,000 $ 130,000,000 $ 128,000,000 $ 112,500,000
 54 55 56 57 58
May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14
$ 290,000,000 $ 310,000,000 $ 320,000,000 $ 320,000,000 $ 328,000,000
$ 107,500,000 $ 110,000,000 $ 105,000,000 $ 118,000,000 $ 96,500,000
$ 112,500,000 $ 124,000,000 $ 105,000,000 $ 131,000,000 $ 130,000,000
$ 112,500,000 $ 124,000,000 $ 105,000,000 $ 131,000,000 $ 130,000,000
$ 112,500,000 $ 124,000,000 $ 105,000,000 $ 131,000,000 $ 130,000,000
 59 60 61 62 63
Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15
$ 340,000,000 $ 460,000,000 $ 295,000,000 $ 340,000,000 $ 335,000,000
$ 120,000,000 $ 114,999,500 $ 99,000,000 $ 106,500,000 $ 112,500,000
$ 120,000,000 $ 110,000,000 $ 150,000,000 $ 160,000,000 $ 150,000,000
$ 120,000,000 $ 110,000,000 $ 150,000,000 $ 160,000,000 $ 150,000,000
$ 120,000,000 $ 110,000,000 $ 150,000,000 $ 160,000,000 $ 150,000,000
 64 65 66 67 68
Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15
$ 335,000,000 $ 330,000,000 $ 350,000,000 $ 380,000,000 $ 360,000,000
$ 116,500,000 $ 112,000,000 $ 125,000,000 $ 125,000,000 $ 128,000,000
$ 135,000,000 $ 125,000,000 $ 137,500,000 $ 137,500,000 $ 105,000,000
$ 135,000,000 $ 125,000,000 $ 137,500,000 $ 137,500,000 $ 105,000,000
$ 135,000,000 $ 125,000,000 $ 137,500,000 $ 137,500,000 $ 105,000,000
 69 70 71 72 73
Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15
$ 380,000,000 $ 480,000,000 $ 370,000,000 $ 360,000,000 $ 475,000,000
$ 110,500,000 $ 115,000,000 $ 118,000,000 $ 129,750,000 $ 130,000,000
$ 650,000 $ 96,500,000 $ 140,000,000 $ 150,000,000 $ 155,000,000
$ 650,000 $ 96,500,000 $ 140,000,000 $ 150,000,000 $ 155,000,000
$ 650,000 $ 96,500,000 $ 140,000,000 $ 150,000,000 $ 155,000,000
 74 75 76
Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16
$ 420,000,000 $ 450,000,000 $ 500,000,000
$ 130,000,000 $ 138,000,000 $ 135,000,000
$ 140,000,000 $ 155,000,000 $ 155,000,000
$ 140,000,000 $ 155,000,000 $ 155,000,000
$ 140,000,000 $ 155,000,000 $ 155,000,000