PRÁCTICA 3

Problema 5

B(10,0’5)
Aproximación a la normal.

Histogram for B10

150

120
frequency

90

60

30

0
0 2 4 6 8 10
B10

Aproximación a la distribución de Poisson.

Histogram for B10

150

120
frequency

90

60

30

0
0 2 4 6 8 10
B10

B(150,0’3)
Aproximación a la normal.

Histogram for B150

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120
frequency

90

60

30

0
26 36 46 56 66
B150
Aproximación a la distribución de Poisson.

Histogram for B150

150

120
frequency

90

60

30

0
26 36 46 56 66
B150

B(400000,0’001)
Aproximación a la normal.

Histogram for B400000

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120
frequency

90

60

30

0
390 395 400 405 410 415
B400000

Aproximación a la distribución de Poisson.

Histogram for B400000

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120
frequency

90

60

30

0
390 395 400 405 410 415
B400000

Debería ajustarse bastante bien a la distribución de Poisson, ya que el número de

pruebas es elevado, pero por un problema desconocido con el software vemos que este
ajuste no es bueno.
P(5)
Aproximación a la normal.

Histogram for P5
200

160
frequency

120

80

40

0
-1 2 5 8 11 14
P5

P(45)
Aproximación a la normal.

Histogram for P45

180
150
frequency

120
90
60
30
0
21 31 41 51 61 71 81
P45

P(400)
Aproximación a la normal.

Histogram for P400

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frequency

90

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30

0
330 360 390 420 450 480
P400
Problema 6

Normal Distribution
0,15 Mean,Std. dev.
20,3
0,12
density

0,09

0,06

0,03

0
0 10 20 30 40
x
Área a la izquierda de 25
Distribution: Normal

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
25 0,95221

Probability Density
Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
25 0,033159

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
25 0,0477902

Área a la derecha de 14
Distribution: Normal

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
14 0,02275

Probability Density
Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
14 0,017997

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
14 0,97725

Área a la entre 15 y 18
Distribution: Normal

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
15 0,0477902

Probability Density
Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
15 0,033159

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
15 0,95221
Distribution: Normal

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
18 0,252491

Probability Density
Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
18 0,106483

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
18 0,747509

En este caso, el área entre 15 y 18 será:

P(x<18)-P(x<15)=0.252491-0.0447792=0.204701
Problema 7

P(Z<k)=0.72
Inverse CDF
-----------

Distribution: Normal

CDF Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5

0,72 0,582844

P(Z<k)=0.72  k=0.582844

P(Z>k)=0.0427
P(Z<k)=1-P(Z>k)=0.9573
Distribution: Normal

CDF Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5

0,9573 1,72018

P(Z<k)=0.0427  k=1.72018

P(-0.39<Z<k)=0.3572
Sumamos el área que está a la ixquierda de -0.39 al área entre -0.39 y k. Calculamos el z
correspondiente a dicho área, el cual es el valor de k.
Distribution: Normal
Distribution: Normal

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
-0,39 0,348267

Área total a la izquierda de k=0.3572+0.348267=0.705467

Distribution: Normal

CDF Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5

0,705467 0,540192
Problema 8
Se trata de una distribución de Poisson:

X=”coches que repostan en un surtidor”  P(6)

U=4·X  P(4·6)

Deseamos conocer P(U≥30)=P(30,24)

Cumulative Distribution
-----------------------

Distribution: Poisson

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
30 0,867876

Probability Mass (=)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
30 0,0362752

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
30 0,0958484

P(U≥30)=0.0362752+0.0958484=0.1321236
Problema 9
X=”componente defectuoso” P(X)=0.15
Muestra de 14 componentes

a)La distribución binomial.

P(X=1)
Distribution: Binomial

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
1 0,10277

Probability Mass (=)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
1 0,253902

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
1 0,643329

P(X=2)
Cumulative Distribution
-----------------------

Distribution: Binomial

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
2 0,356671

Probability Mass (=)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
2 0,29124

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
2 0,352088

P(X<4)
Cumulative Distribution
-----------------------

Distribution: Binomial

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
4 0,853493

Probability Mass (=)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
4 0,0997673

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
4 0,04674
b) La aproximación de Poisson.

La media que debemos introducir en el programa es n·p=14·0.15=2.1

P(X=1)
Cumulative Distribution
-----------------------

Distribution: Poisson

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
1 0,122456

Probability Mass (=)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
1 0,257158

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
1 0,620385

P(X=2)
Cumulative Distribution
-----------------------

Distribution: Poisson

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
2 0,379615

Probability Mass (=)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
2 0,270017

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
2 0,350369

P(X<4)
Cumulative Distribution
-----------------------

Distribution: Poisson

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
4 0,838643

Probability Mass (=)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
4 0,099231

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
4 0,0621261
c) La aproximación normal.

La aproximación normal será N ( n· p, n· p·q )  N (14·0.15, 14·0.15·0.85

P(X=1)
Cumulative Distribution
-----------------------

Distribution: Normal

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
1 0,205159

Probability Density
Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
1 0,212762

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
1 0,794841

P(X=2)
Cumulative Distribution
-----------------------

Distribution: Normal

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
2 0,470165

Probability Density
Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
2 0,297766

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
2 0,529835

P(X<4)
Cumulative Distribution
-----------------------

Distribution: Normal

Lower Tail Area (<)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
4 0,922504

Probability Density
Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
4 0,108625

Upper Tail Area (>)

Variable Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 Dist. 4 Dist. 5
4 0,0774963