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AÑO GASTO Tr

1972 2880 2
1973 3234 5
1974 7300 10
1975 4138 20
1976 3886 50
1977 1986 100
1978 3471 500
1979 3525 1000
1980 2753 10000
1981 3240
1982 829.9
1983 2631
1984 4236
1985 2906
1986 1641
1987 2775
1988 3170
1989 1530
1990 3445
1991 3619
1992 2890
1993 5400
1994 2325
1995 1976
1996 2546
1997 2334
1998 2486.6
1999 2701.3
2000 1818
2001 2306.4
2002 1899.4
91878.6

Tr 2 5 10 20
% 50 80 90 95
Z 0 0.841621042 1.281551939 1.644853476
Qᴸᴺ 2746.2009370528 3855.8718376718 4604.3276122742 5330.7706878602
Log Normal
Ẋ 3.438732311
Ṡᵪ 0.1751266567

50 100 500 1000 10000


98 99 99.8 99.9 99.99
2.053747519 2.326347000 2.878172116 3.090252582 3.719090272
6286.3455199290 7016.7771452024 8765.5055908153 9548.1210002736 12303.9386307581
AÑO GASTO Tr
1972 2880 2
1973 3234 5
1974 7300 10
1975 4138 20
1976 3886 50
1977 1986 100
1978 3471 500
1979 3525 1000
1980 2753 10000
1981 3240
1982 829.9
1983 2631
1984 4236
1985 2906
1986 1641
1987 2775
1988 3170
1989 1530
1990 3445
1991 3619
1992 2890
1993 5400
1994 2325
1995 1976
1996 2546
1997 2334
1998 2486.6
1999 2701.3
2000 1818
2001 2306.4
2002 1899.4
91878.6

Tr 2 5 10 20
% 50 80 90 95
Z 0 0.841621042 1.281551939 1.644853476
Qᴺ 2963.8258060000 3998.2898145351 4539.0232996528 4985.5691267140
Normal
Ẋ 2963.825806
Ṡᵪ 1229.132777

50 100 500 1000 10000


98 99 99.8 99.9 99.99
2.053747519 2.326347000 2.878172116 3.090252582 3.719090272
5488.1541972853 5823.2151543756 6501.4814916231 6762.1565437451 7535.0815599371
AÑO GASTO Tr METODO B
1972 2880 2 ORDEN i RANGO
1973 3234 5 7300 1
1974 7300 10 5400 2
1975 4138 20 4236 3
1976 3886 50 4138 4
1977 1986 100 3886 5
1978 3471 500 3619 6
1979 3525 1000 3525 7
1980 2753 10000 3471 8
1981 3240 3445 9
1982 829.9 3240 10
1983 2631 3234 11
1984 4236 3170 12
1985 2906 2906 13
1986 1641 2890 14
1987 2775 2880 15
1988 3170 2775 16
1989 1530 2753 17
1990 3445 2701.3 18
1991 3619 2631 19
1992 2890 2546 20
1993 5400 2486.6 21
1994 2325 2334 22
1995 1976 2325 23
1996 2546 2306.4 24
1997 2334 1986 25
1998 2486.6 1976 26
1999 2701.3 1899.4 27
2000 1818 1818 28
2001 2306.4 1641 29
2002 1899.4 1530 30
∑= 91878.6 829.9 31
∑=
METODO BUMBELL
Tr Tr/Tr-1 Xi Xi Xi*Ii
33.0000 1.0313 -3.4812 12.1185 88464.9274
16.5000 1.0645 -2.7723 7.6854 41501.3895
11.0000 1.1000 -2.3506 5.5254 23405.6286 Media= 2963.8258
8.2500 1.1379 -2.0463 4.1874 17327.2771 D. Estandar = 1220.1328
6.6000 1.1786 -1.8060 3.2618 12675.3166
5.5000 1.2222 -1.6061 2.5795 9335.3018 DETERMINAR CONSTANTE
4.7143 1.2692 -1.4338 2.0557 7246.2197 C= 42.5159
4.1250 1.3200 -1.2815 1.6421 5699.8646
3.6667 1.3750 -1.1443 1.3094 4510.7877 Ѕ= 2989.1536
3.3000 1.4348 -1.0188 1.0380 3363.2356 i PRONOSTICO=
3.0000 1.5000 -0.9027 0.8149 2635.4003 TR 2= 2973.5709
2.7500 1.5714 -0.7941 0.6306 1999.0158 TR 5= 2925.38221
2.5385 1.6500 -0.6916 0.4783 1389.9617 TR 10= 2893.47708
2.3571 1.7368 -0.5941 0.3529 1019.9810 TR 20= 2862.87292
2.2000 1.8333 -0.5007 0.2507 721.8767 TR 50= 2823.25897
2.0625 1.9412 -0.4105 0.1685 467.6994 TR 100= 2793.57389
1.9412 2.0625 -0.3231 0.1044 287.3529 TR 500= 2724.9762
1.8333 2.2000 -0.2377 0.0565 152.5973 TR 1000= 2695.48511
1.7368 2.3571 -0.1538 0.0237 62.2285 TR 10000= 2597.56939
1.6500 2.5385 -0.0709 0.0050 12.7970
1.5714 2.7500 0.0115 0.0001 0.3308
1.5000 3.0000 0.0940 0.0088 20.6442
1.4348 3.3000 0.1772 0.0314 73.0410
1.3750 3.6667 0.2618 0.0685 158.0941
1.3200 4.1250 0.3486 0.1215 241.3268
1.2692 4.7143 0.4386 0.1924 380.1929
1.2222 5.5000 0.5334 0.2845 540.4440
1.1786 6.6000 0.6350 0.4033 733.1212
1.1379 8.2500 0.7468 0.5577 915.1755
1.1000 11.0000 0.8746 0.7649 1170.3124
1.0645 16.5000 1.0308 1.0626 881.8413
-18.4674 47.7845 ###
METODO DE PEARSON 3
TRr= 2 Tr= 5 Tr= 10 Tr= 20 Tr= 50
MEDIA µ 2963.82581 2963.82581 2963.82581 2963.82581 2963.82581
〖� _(𝑛−1) 〗 ^2
VARIANZA 1488723.99 1488723.99 1488723.99 1488723.99 1488723.99
DESVIACION EST. �_(𝑛=1) 1220.13278 1220.13278 1220.13278 1220.13278 1220.13278
〖�
DESVIACION EST. _(𝑛−1) 〗 ^3
1816440942 1816440942 1816440942 1816440942 1816440942
ASIMETRIAʈ_1 1.58036202 1.58036202 1.58036202 1.58036202 1.58036202
ASIMETRIA 〖 ʈ_1 〗 ^2 2.49754413 2.49754413 2.49754413 2.49754413 2.49754413
β 1.6015733 1.6015733 1.6015733 1.6015733 1.6015733
α 964.125753 964.125753 964.125753 964.125753 964.125753
PARAMETRO
δ 1419.70774 1419.70774 1419.70774 1419.70774 1419.70774
Ʊ calculada. 3.20314661 3.20314661 3.20314661 3.20314661 3.20314661
0.20314661 0.20314661 0.20314661 0.20314661 0.20314661

INTENSIDAD MAXIMA EN mm/h PARA DURACIONES DE MINUTOS


TRr= 2 Tr= 5 Tr= 10 Tr= 20 Tr= 50
GRADOS V DE ACUERDO 2.36597389 4.6416275 6.25138846 7.81472776 9.83740929
A Ʊ CALCULADA. 3.356694 5.98861669 7.77944003 9.48772904 11.6678434
RESTA DE GRADOS V
OBTENIDOS 0.99072011 1.34698919 1.52805158 1.67300127 1.83043411
VALOR DE X DEL GRADO
V 3.17342175 4.31460386 4.89457322 5.35886835 5.86314882
V OBTENIDA + X
AREA[2β=ʈ_1 ] 5.53939564 8.95623136 11.1459617 13.1735961 15.7005581
�=[𝑿^�%Ʊ]𝟏/� 2.76969782 4.47811568 5.57298084 6.58679806 7.85027905
�_𝑻� 968.561627 971.297784 973.051291 974.674993 976.698551
ON 3 AÑO GASTO
Tr= 100 Tr= 500 Tr= 1000 Tr= 10000 1972 2880
2963.82581 2963.82581 2963.82581 2963.82581 1973 3234
1488723.99 1488723.99 1488723.99 1488723.99 1974 7300
1220.13278 1220.13278 1220.13278 1220.13278 1975 4138
1816440942 1816440942 1816440942 1816440942 1976 3886
1.58036202 1.58036202 1.58036202 1.58036202 1977 1986
2.49754413 2.49754413 2.49754413 2.49754413 1978 3471
1.6015733 1.6015733 1.6015733 1.6015733 1979 3525
964.125753 964.125753 964.125753 964.125753 1980 2753
1419.70774 1419.70774 1419.70774 1419.70774 1981 3240
3.20314661 3.20314661 3.20314661 3.20314661 1982 829.9
0.20314661 0.20314661 0.20314661 0.20314661 1983 2631
1984 4236
1985 2906
URACIONES DE MINUTOS 1986 1641
Tr= 100 Tr= 500 Tr= 1000 Tr= 10000 1987 2775
11.3448667 14.7955171 16.2662362 21.1075135 1988 3170
13.2767041 16.9237582 18.466827 23.5127425 1989 1530

1.93183746 2.12824115 2.2005908 2.405229 1990 3445

6.1879586 6.81706842 7.04881495 7.70430111 1991 3619

17.5328253 21.6125855 23.3150511 28.8118146 1992 2890


8.76641264 10.8062927 11.6575256 14.4059073 1993 5400
978.165806 981.432823 982.796135 987.19787 1994 2325
1995 1976
1996 2546
1997 2334
1998 2486.6
1999 2701.3
2000 1818
2001 2306.4
2002 1899.4

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