Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
JKKJ
JKKJ
PERIODICIDAD
JA
VARIABLES DE NTRADA
Materia prima
CONCEPTO
ACEITE REUTILIZADO
ESENCIA
SAPONINA
HIDROXIDO DE SODIO
TOTAL
DETERGENTE EN POLVO
VARIABLES DE NTRADA
Materia prima
CONCEPTO
ACEITE USADO
HIDROXIDO DE SODIO
PRECARBONATO DE SODIO
AGUA
SAPONINA
TOTAL
DATOS GENERALES
* VENTAS POR DIA JABÓN BARRA
* VENTAS POR DIA DETERGENTE POLVO
* Ingresos diarios
FLUJO DE CAJA
INGRESOS
ingreso ordinario por ventas JB
* ingreso ordinario por ventas DP
TOTAL INGRESO
EGRESOS
inversion inicial
* gastos de personal
publicidad
requisitos legales
servicios
materia prima DP
* materia prima JB
empaque DP
empaque JB
Otros gastos
TRANSPORTES (DISTRIBUCION)
TOTAL EGRESO
FCN
TD
VPN
TIR
PRI O PAYBACK
ROI
BENEFICIO/COSTO
5,324,086.24
$ -817
$ -517
$ -217
$ 83
$ 383
$ 683
PRECIO JABON EN BARRA
$ 983
$ 1,283
$ 1,583
$ 2,783
$ 3,983
$ 5,183
$ 6,383
$ 7,583
$ 8,783
$ 9,983
$ 11,183
$ 12,383
$ 13,583
5,324,086.24
$ 1,703
$ 2,003
$ 2,303
$ 2,603
$ 2,903
PRECIO DETERGENTE EN POLVO
$ 3,203
$ 3,503
$ 3,803
$ 4,103
$ 5,303
$ 6,503
$ 7,703
$ 8,903
$ 10,103
$ 11,303
$ 12,503
PRECIO
$ 13,703
$ 14,903
$ 16,103
Margen de cambio
ASESORIAS (QUIMICAS)
157,286.40
196,608.00
245,760.00
307,200.00
384,000.00
480,000.00
600,000.00
720,000.00
864,000.00
1,036,800.00
1,244,160.00
1,492,992.00
1,791,590.40
2,149,908.48
2,579,890.18
PRECARBONATO DE SODIO DP
$ 315
$ 393
$ 492
$ 614
$ 768
$ 960
$ 1,200
$ 1,440
$ 1,728
$ 2,074
$ 2,488
$ 2,986
$ 3,583
$ 4,300
$ 5,160
SAPONINA JB
$ 39
$ 49
$ 61
$ 77
$ 96
$ 120
$ 150
$ 180
$ 216
$ 259
$ 311
$ 373
$ 448
$ 537
$ 645
ASESORIAS (QUIMICAS)
$7,004,731.06
$6,855,457.03
$6,668,864.49
$6,435,623.82
$6,144,072.97
$5,779,634.42
$5,324,086.24
$4,868,538.05
$4,321,880.22
$3,665,890.83
$2,878,703.56
$1,934,078.83
$800,529.16
-$559,730.44
-$2,192,041.96
JABON EN BARRA
8
$ 2,783 2783
$ 22,260
160
DETERGENTE EN POLVO
VARIABLES DE NTRADA
5
$ 5,303 $ 5,303
$ 26,513
120
$ 1,300,000
10
20
4
$ 90,000
$ 40,000 Dia de viaje
12.0% Más Probable
6.0% Más Probable
(7.0%) Probable
(17.0%) Poco Probable
12.0%
0 1
8
5
$ 48,773
0 1
$ 445,200
$ 530,250
$ - $ 975,450
0 1
$ 1,300,000
$ 738,019
$ 120,000
$ 150,000
$ 74,333
$ 25,250
$ 21,200
$ 1,250
$ 1,100
$ 90,000
$ 40,000
$ 1,300,000 $ 1,261,154
(1,300,000) (285,704)
112 120
-$6,950,318.91 -$6,950,318.91
-$5,927,309.73 -$5,927,309.73
-$4,904,300.55 -$4,904,300.55
-$3,881,291.37 -$3,881,291.37
-$2,858,282.19 -$2,858,282.19
-$1,835,273.01 -$1,835,273.01
-$812,263.83 -$812,263.83
$210,745.35 $210,745.35
$1,233,754.53 $1,233,754.53
$5,325,791.25 $5,325,791.25
$9,417,827.97 $9,417,827.97
$13,509,864.69 $13,509,864.69
$17,601,901.41 $17,601,901.41
$21,693,938.13 $21,693,938.13
$25,785,974.85 $25,785,974.85
$29,878,011.57 $29,878,011.57
$33,970,048.29 $33,970,048.29
$38,062,085.01 $38,062,085.01
$42,154,121.73 $42,154,121.73
52 60
-$1,872,245.69 -$1,872,245.69
-$1,272,551.37 -$1,272,551.37
-$672,857.04 -$672,857.04
-$73,162.71 -$73,162.71
$526,531.62 $526,531.62
$1,126,225.94 $1,126,225.94
$1,725,920.27 $1,725,920.27
$2,325,614.60 $2,325,614.60
$2,925,308.93 $2,925,308.93
$5,324,086.24 $5,324,086.24
$7,722,863.55 $7,722,863.55
$10,121,640.86 $10,121,640.86
$12,520,418.17 $12,520,418.17
$14,919,195.48 $14,919,195.48
$17,317,972.79 $17,317,972.79
$19,716,750.10 $19,716,750.10
$22,115,527.41 $22,115,527.41
$24,514,304.72 $24,514,304.72
$26,913,082.03 $26,913,082.03
20%
IAS (QUIMICAS)
5,324,086.24
$7,004,731.06
$6,855,457.03
$6,668,864.49
$6,435,623.82
$6,144,072.97
$5,779,634.42
$5,324,086.24
$4,868,538.05
$4,321,880.22
$3,665,890.83
$2,878,703.56
$1,934,078.83
$800,529.16
-$559,730.44
-$2,192,041.96
NATO DE SODIO DP
5,324,086.24
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
PONINA JB
5,324,086.24
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
$7,613,313.21 $7,314,437.84
$7,409,985.88 $7,137,655.80
$7,155,826.72 $6,916,678.27
$6,838,127.78 $6,640,456.34
$6,441,004.09 $6,295,178.94
$5,944,599.49 $5,863,582.18
$5,324,093.73 $5,324,086.24
$4,703,587.97 $4,784,590.29
$3,958,981.06 $4,137,195.16
$3,065,452.77 $3,360,320.99
$1,993,218.82 $2,428,072.00
$706,538.09 $1,309,373.21
-$837,478.80 -$33,065.34
-$2,690,299.06 -$1,643,991.60
-$4,913,683.38 -$3,577,103.11
TD= ir + (im-ir) B
TD= 4,66%+(4,49%+4,66%)*1,78% =
$ 2,650
HORAS DE TRABAJO
$ 828,116 SALARIO MINIMO
$ 27,604 VALOR DEL DIA
$ 3,450 VALOR DE LA HORA
$ 13,802 TRABAJO 4 HORAS DIARIAS
$ 138,019 PAGO MENSUAL
6.0% 6.0% (7.0%)
2 3 4
8 8 7
5 5 4
$ 48,773 $ 48,773 $ 40,688
2 3 4
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 389,550
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 424,240
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 813,790
2 3 4
68 76 84
-$1,872,245.69 -$1,872,245.69 -$1,872,245.69
-$1,272,551.37 -$1,272,551.37 -$1,272,551.37
-$672,857.04 -$672,857.04 -$672,857.04
-$73,162.71 -$73,162.71 -$73,162.71
$526,531.62 $526,531.62 $526,531.62
$1,126,225.94 $1,126,225.94 $1,126,225.94
$1,725,920.27 $1,725,920.27 $1,725,920.27
$2,325,614.60 $2,325,614.60 $2,325,614.60
$2,925,308.93 $2,925,308.93 $2,925,308.93
$5,324,086.24 $5,324,086.24 $5,324,086.24
$7,722,863.55 $7,722,863.55 $7,722,863.55
$10,121,640.86 $10,121,640.86 $10,121,640.86
$12,520,418.17 $12,520,418.17 $12,520,418.17
$14,919,195.48 $14,919,195.48 $14,919,195.48
$17,317,972.79 $17,317,972.79 $17,317,972.79
$19,716,750.10 $19,716,750.10 $19,716,750.10
$22,115,527.41 $22,115,527.41 $22,115,527.41
$24,514,304.72 $24,514,304.72 $24,514,304.72
$26,913,082.03 $26,913,082.03 $26,913,082.03
5,324,086.24
36,180.85 $7,613,313.21
45,226.07 $7,409,985.88
56,532.58 $7,155,826.72
70,665.73 $6,838,127.78
88,332.16 $6,441,004.09
110,415.20 $5,944,599.49
$ 138,019 $5,324,093.73
165,622.80 $4,703,587.97
198,747.36 $3,958,981.06
238,496.83 $3,065,452.77
286,196.20 $1,993,218.82
343,435.44 $706,538.09
412,122.53 -$837,478.80
494,547.03 -$2,690,299.06
593,456.44 -$4,913,683.38
SAPONINA DP
5,324,086.24
$ 157 Err:504
$ 197 Err:504
$ 246 Err:504
$ 307 Err:504
$ 384 Err:504
$ 480 Err:504
$ 600 Err:504
$ 720 Err:504
$ 864 Err:504
$ 1,037 Err:504
$ 1,244 Err:504
$ 1,493 Err:504
$ 1,792 Err:504
$ 2,150 Err:504
$ 2,580 Err:504
HIDROXIDO DE SODIO JB
5,324,086.24
$ 131 Err:504
$ 164 Err:504
$ 205 Err:504
$ 256 Err:504
$ 320 Err:504
$ 400 Err:504
$ 500 Err:504
$ 600 Err:504
$ 720 Err:504
$ 864 Err:504
$ 1,037 Err:504
$ 1,244 Err:504
$ 1,493 Err:504
$ 1,792 Err:504
$ 2,150 Err:504
DESCUENTO
4.82% EA
Mano de obra
CONCEPTO CANTIDAD
Asesorias (quimicas) 1
Persona que fabrique el jabon 4
TOTAL PERSONAL
Equipo y herramientas de trabajo)
Valdes plasticos 5
Pala de madera 1
Termometro 2
Colador 1
Rayador 1
Tazon de vidrio 1
Vaso medidor 1
Mesa 1
Estantes 2
Balanza 1
Probetas 4
TOTAL EQUIPO Y HERRAMIENTAS DE TRABAJO
requisitos legales
Licencia sanitaria 1
TOTAL REQUISITOS LEGALES
Empaque
tela 1
Bolsa 1
Publicidad 1
Codigo de barras y etiqueta 1
TOTAL EMPAQUE
Servicios
Arriendo 1
Luz 1
Agua 1
Gas 1
TOTAL SERVICIOS
12.0% 6.0%
5 6
8 8
5 5
$ 48,773 $ 48,773
5 6
$ 445,200 $ 445,200
$ 530,300 $ 530,300
$ 975,500 $ 975,500
5 6
$ 138,019 $ 138,019
$ 120,000 $ 120,000
$ 74,333 $ 74,333
$ 25,250 $ 25,250
$ 21,200 $ 21,200
$ 1,250 $ 1,250
$ 1,100 $ 1,100
$ 90,000 $ 90,000
$ 40,000 $ 40,000
$ 511,158 $ 511,159
464,342 464,341
88,785 538,616
5
PRODUCCION
152 160
-$6,950,318.91 -$6,950,318.91
-$5,927,309.73 -$5,927,309.73
-$4,904,300.55 -$4,904,300.55
-$3,881,291.37 -$3,881,291.37
-$2,858,282.19 -$2,858,282.19
-$1,835,273.01 -$1,835,273.01
-$812,263.83 -$812,263.83
$210,745.35 $210,745.35
$1,233,754.53 $1,233,754.53
$5,325,791.25 $5,325,791.25
$9,417,827.97 $9,417,827.97
$13,509,864.69 $13,509,864.69
$17,601,901.41 $17,601,901.41
$21,693,938.13 $21,693,938.13
$25,785,974.85 $25,785,974.85
$29,878,011.57 $29,878,011.57
$33,970,048.29 $33,970,048.29
$38,062,085.01 $38,062,085.01
$42,154,121.73 $42,154,121.73
PRODUCCION
92 100
-$1,872,245.69 -$1,872,245.69
-$1,272,551.37 -$1,272,551.37
-$672,857.04 -$672,857.04
-$73,162.71 -$73,162.71
$526,531.62 $526,531.62
$1,126,225.94 $1,126,225.94
$1,725,920.27 $1,725,920.27
$2,325,614.60 $2,325,614.60
$2,925,308.93 $2,925,308.93
$5,324,086.24 $5,324,086.24
$7,722,863.55 $7,722,863.55
$10,121,640.86 $10,121,640.86
$12,520,418.17 $12,520,418.17
$14,919,195.48 $14,919,195.48
$17,317,972.79 $17,317,972.79
$19,716,750.10 $19,716,750.10
$22,115,527.41 $22,115,527.41
$24,514,304.72 $24,514,304.72
$26,913,082.03 $26,913,082.03
LICENCIA SANITARIA
5,324,086.24
$ 39,322 $5,538,049.62
$ 49,152 $5,519,045.50
$ 61,440 $5,495,290.35
$ 76,800 $5,465,596.41
$ 96,000 $5,428,478.99
$ 120,000 $5,382,082.21
$ 150,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 180,000 $5,266,090.26
$ 216,000 $5,196,495.10
$ 259,200 $5,112,980.89
$ 311,040 $5,012,763.85
$ 373,248 $4,892,503.41
$ 447,898 $4,748,190.87
$ 537,477 $4,575,015.82
$ 644,973 $4,367,205.76
ACEITE ESCENCIALDP
5,324,086.24
$ 393 Err:504
$ 492 Err:504
$ 614 Err:504
$ 768 Err:504
$ 960 Err:504
$ 1,200 Err:504
$ 1,500 Err:504
$ 1,800 Err:504
$ 2,160 Err:504
$ 2,592 Err:504
$ 3,110 Err:504
$ 3,732 Err:504
$ 4,479 Err:504
$ 5,375 Err:504
$ 6,450 Err:504
ACEITE ESCENCIALJB
5,324,086.24
$ 315 Err:504
$ 393 Err:504
$ 492 Err:504
$ 614 Err:504
$ 768 Err:504
$ 960 Err:504
$ 1,200 Err:504
$ 1,440 Err:504
$ 1,728 Err:504
$ 2,074 Err:504
$ 2,488 Err:504
$ 2,986 Err:504
$ 3,583 Err:504
$ 4,300 Err:504
$ 5,160 Err:504
ANALISIS DE SENSIB
$50,000,000.00
$40,000,000.00
$20,000,000.00
$10,000,000.00
$0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6
-$10,000,000.00
ESCENARIOS
1. TECNOLOGICO consiste en suponer que se adqueirir la maquina desaponificador
de saponina y por ende
1. TECNOLOGICO consiste en suponer que se adqueirir la maquina desaponificador
de saponina y por ende
2. COMERCIO Se trata de realizar ventas por medio del internet utilizando la cont
ELECTRONICO un tercero (servientrega), ap
$ 10,000 $ 50,000
$ 55,000 $ 55,000
$ 8,700 $ 17,400
$ 5,000 $ 5,000
$ 2,500 $ 2,500
$ 12,000 $ 12,000
$ 6,000 $ 6,000
$ 164,000 $ 164,000
$ 75,000 $ 150,000
$ 220,000 $ 220,000
$ 18,000 $ 72,000
$ 753,900
7 8 9
$ 389,550 $ 333,900 $ 389,550
$ 424,240 $ 424,240 $ 424,240
$ 813,790 $ 758,140 $ 813,790
7 8 9
ARRIENDO
5,324,086.24
$ 13,107 $6,153,399.40
$ 16,384 $6,079,740.22
$ 20,480 $5,987,666.25
$ 25,600 $5,872,573.78
$ 32,000 $5,728,708.19
$ 40,000 $5,548,876.21
$ 50,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 60,000 $5,099,296.26
$ 72,000 $4,829,548.29
$ 86,400 $4,505,850.72
$ 103,680 $4,117,413.64
$ 124,416 $3,651,289.14
$ 149,299 $3,091,939.75
$ 179,159 $2,420,720.47
$ 214,991 $1,615,257.34
HIDROXIDO DE SODIO DP
5,324,086.24
$ 328 Err:504
$ 410 Err:504
$ 512 Err:504
$ 640 Err:504
$ 800 Err:504
$ 1,000 Err:504
$ 1,250 Err:504
$ 1,500 Err:504
$ 1,800 Err:504
$ 2,160 Err:504
$ 2,592 Err:504
$ 3,110 Err:504
$ 3,732 Err:504
$ 4,479 Err:504
$ 5,375 Err:504
VENTAS POR DIAJB
5,324,086.24
2 -$1,725,754.13
3 -$1,329,721.10
3 -$236,815.13
4 $657,019.63
5 $1,848,406.51
6 $3,389,230.59
8 $5,324,086.24
10 $7,310,826.96
12 $9,693,600.72
14 $12,425,811.68
17 $15,901,491.41
20 $20,271,005.89
24 $24,938,072.50
29 $30,848,411.07
34 $37,600,699.31
ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
PERSONA QUE FABRIQUE EL JABON PUBLICIDAD VENTAS POR DIA JB VENTAS POR DIA JP SAPONINA
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
ESCENARIOS
que se adqueirir la maquina desaponificadora industrial, la cual ayudara a aumentar la produccion
de saponina y por ende de jabones.
que se adqueirir la maquina desaponificadora industrial, la cual ayudara a aumentar la produccion
de saponina y por ende de jabones.
10 11 12
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 445,200
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 530,300
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 975,500
10 11 12
LUZ
5,324,086.24
$ 6,554 $5,462,305.10
$ 8,192 $5,450,028.57
$ 10,240 $5,434,682.90
$ 12,800 $5,415,500.83
$ 16,000 $5,391,523.23
$ 20,000 $5,361,551.23
$ 25,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 30,000 $5,286,621.24
$ 36,000 $5,241,663.24
$ 43,200 $5,187,713.65
$ 51,840 $5,122,974.14
$ 62,208 $5,045,286.72
$ 74,650 $4,952,061.82
$ 89,580 $4,840,191.94
$ 107,495 $4,705,948.09
5,324,086.24
1 -$2,966,409.38
2 -$2,966,409.38
2 -$1,457,347.95
3 -$705,931.32
3 $803,130.11
4 $3,063,608.17
5 $5,324,086.24
6 $7,397,710.71
7 $10,321,186.47
9 $14,179,144.90
10 $17,102,620.66
12 $22,469,640.52
15 $27,653,594.34
18 $34,911,172.64
21 $43,201,668.26
PUBLICIDAD
5,324,086.24
$ 31,457 $7,314,437.84
$ 39,322 $7,137,655.80
$ 49,152 $6,916,678.27
$ 61,440 $6,640,456.34
$ 76,800 $6,295,178.94
$ 96,000 $5,863,582.18
$ 120,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 144,000 $4,784,590.29
$ 172,800 $4,137,195.16
$ 207,360 $3,360,320.99
$ 248,832 $2,428,072.00
$ 298,598 $1,309,373.21
$ 358,318 -$33,065.34
$ 429,982 -$1,643,991.60
$ 515,978 -$3,577,103.11
10 11 12 13 14 15
Gastos de personal
Inversion inicial
Ventas diarias JB
entas diarias DP
12.0% 6.0% 6.0% (7.0%)
13 14 15 16
8 8 8 7
5 5 5 4
$ 48,773 $ 48,773 $ 48,773 $ 40,688
13 14 15 16
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 389,550
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 424,240
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 813,790
13 14 15 16
5,324,086.24
$ 6,029 $5,451,247.59
$ 7,537 $5,439,953.18
$ 9,421 $5,425,835.17
$ 11,776 $5,408,187.66
$ 14,720 $5,386,128.27
$ 18,400 $5,358,554.03
$ 23,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 27,600 $5,289,618.44
$ 33,120 $5,248,257.08
$ 39,744 $5,198,623.46
$ 47,693 $5,139,063.10
$ 57,231 $5,067,590.68
$ 68,678 $4,981,823.77
$ 82,413 $4,878,903.48
$ 98,896 $4,755,399.14
12.0% 6.0% (7.0%) (17.0%) (7.0%)
17 18 19 20 21
8 8 7 6 7
5 5 4 4 4
$ 48,773 $ 48,773 $ 40,688 $ 37,905 $ 40,688
17 18 19 20 21
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 389,550 $ 333,900 $ 389,550
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 424,240 $ 424,240 $ 424,240
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 813,790 $ 758,140 $ 813,790
17 18 19 20 21
22 23 24
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 445,200
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 530,300
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 975,500
22 23 24
JA
VARIABLES DE NTRADA
Materia prima
CONCEPTO
ACEITE REUTILIZADO
ESENCIA
SAPONINA
HIDROXIDO DE SODIO
TOTAL
DETERGENTE EN POLVO
VARIABLES DE NTRADA
Materia prima
CONCEPTO
ACEITE USADO
HIDROXIDO DE SODIO
PRECARBONATO DE SODIO
AGUA
SAPONINA
TOTAL
DATOS GENERALES
* VENTAS POR DIA JABÓN BARRA
* VENTAS POR DIA DETERGENTE POLVO
* Ingresos diarios
FLUJO DE CAJA
INGRESOS
ingreso ordinario por ventas JB
* ingreso ordinario por ventas DP
TOTAL INGRESO
EGRESOS
inversion inicial
* gastos de personal
publicidad
requisitos legales
servicios
materia prima DP
* materia prima JB
empaque DP
empaque JB
Otros gastos
TRANSPORTES (DISTRIBUCION)
TOTAL EGRESO
FCN
TD
VPN
TIR
PRI O PAYBACK
ROI
BENEFICIO/COSTO
5,324,086.24
$ -817
$ -517
$ -217
$ 83
$ 383
$ 683
PRECIO JABON EN BARRA
$ 983
$ 1,283
$ 1,583
$ 2,783
$ 3,983
$ 5,183
$ 6,383
$ 7,583
$ 8,783
$ 9,983
$ 11,183
$ 12,383
$ 13,583
5,324,086.24
$ 1,703
$ 2,003
$ 2,303
$ 2,603
$ 2,903
PRECIO DETERGENTE EN POLVO
$ 3,203
$ 3,503
$ 3,803
$ 4,103
$ 5,303
$ 6,503
$ 7,703
$ 8,903
$ 10,103
$ 11,303
$ 12,503
PRECIO
$ 13,703
$ 14,903
$ 16,103
Margen de cambio
ASESORIAS (QUIMICAS)
157,286.40
196,608.00
245,760.00
307,200.00
384,000.00
480,000.00
600,000.00
720,000.00
864,000.00
1,036,800.00
1,244,160.00
1,492,992.00
1,791,590.40
2,149,908.48
2,579,890.18
PRECARBONATO DE SODIO DP
$ 315
$ 393
$ 492
$ 614
$ 768
$ 960
$ 1,200
$ 1,440
$ 1,728
$ 2,074
$ 2,488
$ 2,986
$ 3,583
$ 4,300
$ 5,160
SAPONINA JB
$ 39
$ 49
$ 61
$ 77
$ 96
$ 120
$ 150
$ 180
$ 216
$ 259
$ 311
$ 373
$ 448
$ 537
$ 645
ASESORIAS (QUIMICAS)
$7,004,731.06
$6,855,457.03
$6,668,864.49
$6,435,623.82
$6,144,072.97
$5,779,634.42
$5,324,086.24
$4,868,538.05
$4,321,880.22
$3,665,890.83
$2,878,703.56
$1,934,078.83
$800,529.16
-$559,730.44
-$2,192,041.96
JABON EN BARRA
8
$ 2,783 2783
$ 22,260
160
DETERGENTE EN POLVO
VARIABLES DE NTRADA
5
$ 5,303 $ 5,303
$ 26,513
120
$ 1,300,000
10
20
4
$ 90,000
$ 40,000 Dia de viaje
12.0% Más Probable
6.0% Más Probable
(7.0%) Probable
(17.0%) Poco Probable
12.0%
0 1
8
5
$ 48,773
0 1
$ 445,200
$ 530,250
$ - $ 975,450
0 1
$ 1,300,000
$ 738,019
$ 120,000
$ 150,000
$ 74,333
$ 25,250
$ 21,200
$ 1,250
$ 1,100
$ 90,000
$ 40,000
$ 1,300,000 $ 1,261,154
(1,300,000) (285,704)
112 120
-$6,950,318.91 -$6,950,318.91
-$5,927,309.73 -$5,927,309.73
-$4,904,300.55 -$4,904,300.55
-$3,881,291.37 -$3,881,291.37
-$2,858,282.19 -$2,858,282.19
-$1,835,273.01 -$1,835,273.01
-$812,263.83 -$812,263.83
$210,745.35 $210,745.35
$1,233,754.53 $1,233,754.53
$5,325,791.25 $5,325,791.25
$9,417,827.97 $9,417,827.97
$13,509,864.69 $13,509,864.69
$17,601,901.41 $17,601,901.41
$21,693,938.13 $21,693,938.13
$25,785,974.85 $25,785,974.85
$29,878,011.57 $29,878,011.57
$33,970,048.29 $33,970,048.29
$38,062,085.01 $38,062,085.01
$42,154,121.73 $42,154,121.73
52 60
-$1,872,245.69 -$1,872,245.69
-$1,272,551.37 -$1,272,551.37
-$672,857.04 -$672,857.04
-$73,162.71 -$73,162.71
$526,531.62 $526,531.62
$1,126,225.94 $1,126,225.94
$1,725,920.27 $1,725,920.27
$2,325,614.60 $2,325,614.60
$2,925,308.93 $2,925,308.93
$5,324,086.24 $5,324,086.24
$7,722,863.55 $7,722,863.55
$10,121,640.86 $10,121,640.86
$12,520,418.17 $12,520,418.17
$14,919,195.48 $14,919,195.48
$17,317,972.79 $17,317,972.79
$19,716,750.10 $19,716,750.10
$22,115,527.41 $22,115,527.41
$24,514,304.72 $24,514,304.72
$26,913,082.03 $26,913,082.03
20%
IAS (QUIMICAS)
5,324,086.24
$7,004,731.06
$6,855,457.03
$6,668,864.49
$6,435,623.82
$6,144,072.97
$5,779,634.42
$5,324,086.24
$4,868,538.05
$4,321,880.22
$3,665,890.83
$2,878,703.56
$1,934,078.83
$800,529.16
-$559,730.44
-$2,192,041.96
NATO DE SODIO DP
5,324,086.24
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
PONINA JB
5,324,086.24
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
Err:504
$7,613,313.21 $7,314,437.84
$7,409,985.88 $7,137,655.80
$7,155,826.72 $6,916,678.27
$6,838,127.78 $6,640,456.34
$6,441,004.09 $6,295,178.94
$5,944,599.49 $5,863,582.18
$5,324,093.73 $5,324,086.24
$4,703,587.97 $4,784,590.29
$3,958,981.06 $4,137,195.16
$3,065,452.77 $3,360,320.99
$1,993,218.82 $2,428,072.00
$706,538.09 $1,309,373.21
-$837,478.80 -$33,065.34
-$2,690,299.06 -$1,643,991.60
-$4,913,683.38 -$3,577,103.11
TD= ir + (im-ir) B
TD= 4,66%+(4,49%+4,66%)*1,78% =
$ 2,650
HORAS DE TRABAJO
$ 828,116 SALARIO MINIMO
$ 27,604 VALOR DEL DIA
$ 3,450 VALOR DE LA HORA
$ 13,802 TRABAJO 4 HORAS DIARIAS
$ 138,019 PAGO MENSUAL
6.0% 6.0% (7.0%)
2 3 4
8 8 7
5 5 4
$ 48,773 $ 48,773 $ 40,688
2 3 4
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 389,550
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 424,240
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 813,790
2 3 4
68 76 84
-$1,872,245.69 -$1,872,245.69 -$1,872,245.69
-$1,272,551.37 -$1,272,551.37 -$1,272,551.37
-$672,857.04 -$672,857.04 -$672,857.04
-$73,162.71 -$73,162.71 -$73,162.71
$526,531.62 $526,531.62 $526,531.62
$1,126,225.94 $1,126,225.94 $1,126,225.94
$1,725,920.27 $1,725,920.27 $1,725,920.27
$2,325,614.60 $2,325,614.60 $2,325,614.60
$2,925,308.93 $2,925,308.93 $2,925,308.93
$5,324,086.24 $5,324,086.24 $5,324,086.24
$7,722,863.55 $7,722,863.55 $7,722,863.55
$10,121,640.86 $10,121,640.86 $10,121,640.86
$12,520,418.17 $12,520,418.17 $12,520,418.17
$14,919,195.48 $14,919,195.48 $14,919,195.48
$17,317,972.79 $17,317,972.79 $17,317,972.79
$19,716,750.10 $19,716,750.10 $19,716,750.10
$22,115,527.41 $22,115,527.41 $22,115,527.41
$24,514,304.72 $24,514,304.72 $24,514,304.72
$26,913,082.03 $26,913,082.03 $26,913,082.03
5,324,086.24
36,180.85 $7,613,313.21
45,226.07 $7,409,985.88
56,532.58 $7,155,826.72
70,665.73 $6,838,127.78
88,332.16 $6,441,004.09
110,415.20 $5,944,599.49
$ 138,019 $5,324,093.73
165,622.80 $4,703,587.97
198,747.36 $3,958,981.06
238,496.83 $3,065,452.77
286,196.20 $1,993,218.82
343,435.44 $706,538.09
412,122.53 -$837,478.80
494,547.03 -$2,690,299.06
593,456.44 -$4,913,683.38
SAPONINA DP
5,324,086.24
$ 157 Err:504
$ 197 Err:504
$ 246 Err:504
$ 307 Err:504
$ 384 Err:504
$ 480 Err:504
$ 600 Err:504
$ 720 Err:504
$ 864 Err:504
$ 1,037 Err:504
$ 1,244 Err:504
$ 1,493 Err:504
$ 1,792 Err:504
$ 2,150 Err:504
$ 2,580 Err:504
HIDROXIDO DE SODIO JB
5,324,086.24
$ 131 Err:504
$ 164 Err:504
$ 205 Err:504
$ 256 Err:504
$ 320 Err:504
$ 400 Err:504
$ 500 Err:504
$ 600 Err:504
$ 720 Err:504
$ 864 Err:504
$ 1,037 Err:504
$ 1,244 Err:504
$ 1,493 Err:504
$ 1,792 Err:504
$ 2,150 Err:504
DESCUENTO
4.82% EA
Mano de obra
CONCEPTO CANTIDAD
Asesorias (quimicas) 1
Persona que fabrique el jabon 4
TOTAL PERSONAL
Equipo y herramientas de trabajo)
Valdes plasticos 5
Pala de madera 1
Termometro 2
Colador 1
Rayador 1
Tazon de vidrio 1
Vaso medidor 1
Mesa 1
Estantes 2
Balanza 1
Probetas 4
TOTAL EQUIPO Y HERRAMIENTAS DE TRABAJO
requisitos legales
Licencia sanitaria 1
TOTAL REQUISITOS LEGALES
Empaque
tela 1
Bolsa 1
Publicidad 1
Codigo de barras y etiqueta 1
TOTAL EMPAQUE
Servicios
Arriendo 1
Luz 1
Agua 1
Gas 1
TOTAL SERVICIOS
12.0% 6.0%
5 6
8 8
5 5
$ 48,773 $ 48,773
5 6
$ 445,200 $ 445,200
$ 530,300 $ 530,300
$ 975,500 $ 975,500
5 6
$ 138,019 $ 138,019
$ 120,000 $ 120,000
$ 74,333 $ 74,333
$ 25,250 $ 25,250
$ 21,200 $ 21,200
$ 1,250 $ 1,250
$ 1,100 $ 1,100
$ 90,000 $ 90,000
$ 40,000 $ 40,000
$ 511,158 $ 511,159
464,342 464,341
88,785 538,616
5
PRODUCCION
152 160
-$6,950,318.91 -$6,950,318.91
-$5,927,309.73 -$5,927,309.73
-$4,904,300.55 -$4,904,300.55
-$3,881,291.37 -$3,881,291.37
-$2,858,282.19 -$2,858,282.19
-$1,835,273.01 -$1,835,273.01
-$812,263.83 -$812,263.83
$210,745.35 $210,745.35
$1,233,754.53 $1,233,754.53
$5,325,791.25 $5,325,791.25
$9,417,827.97 $9,417,827.97
$13,509,864.69 $13,509,864.69
$17,601,901.41 $17,601,901.41
$21,693,938.13 $21,693,938.13
$25,785,974.85 $25,785,974.85
$29,878,011.57 $29,878,011.57
$33,970,048.29 $33,970,048.29
$38,062,085.01 $38,062,085.01
$42,154,121.73 $42,154,121.73
PRODUCCION
92 100
-$1,872,245.69 -$1,872,245.69
-$1,272,551.37 -$1,272,551.37
-$672,857.04 -$672,857.04
-$73,162.71 -$73,162.71
$526,531.62 $526,531.62
$1,126,225.94 $1,126,225.94
$1,725,920.27 $1,725,920.27
$2,325,614.60 $2,325,614.60
$2,925,308.93 $2,925,308.93
$5,324,086.24 $5,324,086.24
$7,722,863.55 $7,722,863.55
$10,121,640.86 $10,121,640.86
$12,520,418.17 $12,520,418.17
$14,919,195.48 $14,919,195.48
$17,317,972.79 $17,317,972.79
$19,716,750.10 $19,716,750.10
$22,115,527.41 $22,115,527.41
$24,514,304.72 $24,514,304.72
$26,913,082.03 $26,913,082.03
LICENCIA SANITARIA
5,324,086.24
$ 39,322 $5,538,049.62
$ 49,152 $5,519,045.50
$ 61,440 $5,495,290.35
$ 76,800 $5,465,596.41
$ 96,000 $5,428,478.99
$ 120,000 $5,382,082.21
$ 150,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 180,000 $5,266,090.26
$ 216,000 $5,196,495.10
$ 259,200 $5,112,980.89
$ 311,040 $5,012,763.85
$ 373,248 $4,892,503.41
$ 447,898 $4,748,190.87
$ 537,477 $4,575,015.82
$ 644,973 $4,367,205.76
ACEITE ESCENCIALDP
5,324,086.24
$ 393 Err:504
$ 492 Err:504
$ 614 Err:504
$ 768 Err:504
$ 960 Err:504
$ 1,200 Err:504
$ 1,500 Err:504
$ 1,800 Err:504
$ 2,160 Err:504
$ 2,592 Err:504
$ 3,110 Err:504
$ 3,732 Err:504
$ 4,479 Err:504
$ 5,375 Err:504
$ 6,450 Err:504
ACEITE ESCENCIALJB
5,324,086.24
$ 315 Err:504
$ 393 Err:504
$ 492 Err:504
$ 614 Err:504
$ 768 Err:504
$ 960 Err:504
$ 1,200 Err:504
$ 1,440 Err:504
$ 1,728 Err:504
$ 2,074 Err:504
$ 2,488 Err:504
$ 2,986 Err:504
$ 3,583 Err:504
$ 4,300 Err:504
$ 5,160 Err:504
ANALISIS DE SENSIB
$50,000,000.00
$40,000,000.00
$20,000,000.00
$10,000,000.00
$0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6
-$10,000,000.00
ESCENARIOS
1. TECNOLOGICO consiste en suponer que se adqueirir la maquina desaponificador
de saponina y por ende
1. TECNOLOGICO consiste en suponer que se adqueirir la maquina desaponificador
de saponina y por ende
2. COMERCIO Se trata de realizar ventas por medio del internet utilizando la cont
ELECTRONICO un tercero (servientrega), ap
$ 10,000 $ 50,000
$ 55,000 $ 55,000
$ 8,700 $ 17,400
$ 5,000 $ 5,000
$ 2,500 $ 2,500
$ 12,000 $ 12,000
$ 6,000 $ 6,000
$ 164,000 $ 164,000
$ 75,000 $ 150,000
$ 220,000 $ 220,000
$ 18,000 $ 72,000
$ 753,900
7 8 9
$ 389,550 $ 333,900 $ 389,550
$ 424,240 $ 424,240 $ 424,240
$ 813,790 $ 758,140 $ 813,790
7 8 9
ARRIENDO
5,324,086.24
$ 13,107 $6,153,399.40
$ 16,384 $6,079,740.22
$ 20,480 $5,987,666.25
$ 25,600 $5,872,573.78
$ 32,000 $5,728,708.19
$ 40,000 $5,548,876.21
$ 50,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 60,000 $5,099,296.26
$ 72,000 $4,829,548.29
$ 86,400 $4,505,850.72
$ 103,680 $4,117,413.64
$ 124,416 $3,651,289.14
$ 149,299 $3,091,939.75
$ 179,159 $2,420,720.47
$ 214,991 $1,615,257.34
HIDROXIDO DE SODIO DP
5,324,086.24
$ 328 Err:504
$ 410 Err:504
$ 512 Err:504
$ 640 Err:504
$ 800 Err:504
$ 1,000 Err:504
$ 1,250 Err:504
$ 1,500 Err:504
$ 1,800 Err:504
$ 2,160 Err:504
$ 2,592 Err:504
$ 3,110 Err:504
$ 3,732 Err:504
$ 4,479 Err:504
$ 5,375 Err:504
VENTAS POR DIAJB
5,324,086.24
2 -$1,725,754.13
3 -$1,329,721.10
3 -$236,815.13
4 $657,019.63
5 $1,848,406.51
6 $3,389,230.59
8 $5,324,086.24
10 $7,310,826.96
12 $9,693,600.72
14 $12,425,811.68
17 $15,901,491.41
20 $20,271,005.89
24 $24,938,072.50
29 $30,848,411.07
34 $37,600,699.31
ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
PERSONA QUE FABRIQUE EL JABON PUBLICIDAD VENTAS POR DIA JB VENTAS POR DIA JP SAPONINA
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
ESCENARIOS
que se adqueirir la maquina desaponificadora industrial, la cual ayudara a aumentar la produccion
de saponina y por ende de jabones.
que se adqueirir la maquina desaponificadora industrial, la cual ayudara a aumentar la produccion
de saponina y por ende de jabones.
10 11 12
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 445,200
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 530,300
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 975,500
10 11 12
LUZ
5,324,086.24
$ 6,554 $5,462,305.10
$ 8,192 $5,450,028.57
$ 10,240 $5,434,682.90
$ 12,800 $5,415,500.83
$ 16,000 $5,391,523.23
$ 20,000 $5,361,551.23
$ 25,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 30,000 $5,286,621.24
$ 36,000 $5,241,663.24
$ 43,200 $5,187,713.65
$ 51,840 $5,122,974.14
$ 62,208 $5,045,286.72
$ 74,650 $4,952,061.82
$ 89,580 $4,840,191.94
$ 107,495 $4,705,948.09
5,324,086.24
1 -$2,966,409.38
2 -$2,966,409.38
2 -$1,457,347.95
3 -$705,931.32
3 $803,130.11
4 $3,063,608.17
5 $5,324,086.24
6 $7,397,710.71
7 $10,321,186.47
9 $14,179,144.90
10 $17,102,620.66
12 $22,469,640.52
15 $27,653,594.34
18 $34,911,172.64
21 $43,201,668.26
PUBLICIDAD
5,324,086.24
$ 31,457 $7,314,437.84
$ 39,322 $7,137,655.80
$ 49,152 $6,916,678.27
$ 61,440 $6,640,456.34
$ 76,800 $6,295,178.94
$ 96,000 $5,863,582.18
$ 120,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 144,000 $4,784,590.29
$ 172,800 $4,137,195.16
$ 207,360 $3,360,320.99
$ 248,832 $2,428,072.00
$ 298,598 $1,309,373.21
$ 358,318 -$33,065.34
$ 429,982 -$1,643,991.60
$ 515,978 -$3,577,103.11
10 11 12 13 14 15
Gastos de personal
Inversion inicial
Ventas diarias JB
entas diarias DP
12.0% 6.0% 6.0% (7.0%)
13 14 15 16
8 8 8 7
5 5 5 4
$ 48,773 $ 48,773 $ 48,773 $ 40,688
13 14 15 16
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 389,550
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 424,240
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 813,790
13 14 15 16
5,324,086.24
$ 6,029 $5,451,247.59
$ 7,537 $5,439,953.18
$ 9,421 $5,425,835.17
$ 11,776 $5,408,187.66
$ 14,720 $5,386,128.27
$ 18,400 $5,358,554.03
$ 23,000 $5,324,086.24
$ 27,600 $5,289,618.44
$ 33,120 $5,248,257.08
$ 39,744 $5,198,623.46
$ 47,693 $5,139,063.10
$ 57,231 $5,067,590.68
$ 68,678 $4,981,823.77
$ 82,413 $4,878,903.48
$ 98,896 $4,755,399.14
12.0% 6.0% (7.0%) (17.0%) (7.0%)
17 18 19 20 21
8 8 7 6 7
5 5 4 4 4
$ 48,773 $ 48,773 $ 40,688 $ 37,905 $ 40,688
17 18 19 20 21
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 389,550 $ 333,900 $ 389,550
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 424,240 $ 424,240 $ 424,240
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 813,790 $ 758,140 $ 813,790
17 18 19 20 21
22 23 24
$ 445,200 $ 445,200 $ 445,200
$ 530,300 $ 530,300 $ 530,300
$ 975,500 $ 975,500 $ 975,500
22 23 24