media

tamaño mercado 10,000,000 9,000,000

cuota mercado 1% 1%
precio venta 3750 3750
Inversión 150,000,000 150,000,000
Costos Fijos 30,000,000 30,000,000
costos variables 3,000 3,000

Cuota mercado 100,000 90,000

Ingresos 375,000,000 337,500,000
costos variables 300,000,000 270,000,000
Costos fijos 30,000,000 30,000,000
depreciación 15,000,000 15,000,000

Flujo sujeto imp 30,000,000 22,500,000

Impuesto 15,000,000 11,250,000

Flujo despues de impuesto 30,000,000 26,250,000

VAN 34,337,013 11,294,887

 pesimista
10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000
0.40% 1% 1% 1%
3750 3500 3750 3750
150,000,000 150,000,000 150,000,000 150,000,000
30,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 30,000,000
3,000 3,000 3,000 3,600

40,000 100,000 100,000 100,000

150,000,000 350,000,000 375,000,000 375,000,000
120,000,000 300,000,000 300,000,000 360,000,000
30,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 30,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000 15,000,000 15,000,000

- 15,000,000 5,000,000 20,000,000 - 30,000,000

- 7,500,000 2,500,000 10,000,000 - 15,000,000

7,500,000 17,500,000 25,000,000 -

- 103,915,747 - 42,470,076 3,614,178 - 150,000,000

 OPTIMISTA
11,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000
1% 1.60% 1% 1%
3750 3750 3800 3750
150,000,000 150,000,000 150,000,000 150,000,000
30,000,000 30,000,000 30,000,000 20000000
3000 3000 3000 3000

110,000 160,000 100,000 100,000

412,500,000 600,000,000 380,000,000 375,000,000
330,000,000 480,000,000 300,000,000 300,000,000
30,000,000 30,000,000 30,000,000 20,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000 15,000,000 15,000,000

37,500,000 75,000,000 35,000,000 40,000,000

18,750,000 37,500,000 17,500,000 20,000,000

33,750,000 52,500,000 32,500,000 35,000,000

57,379,140 172,589,773 49,698,431 65,059,849

 Aumento precio petroleo
10,000,000 8,000,000 8,509,816
1% 1.30% 1%
3,750 4,313 3750
150,000,000 150,000,000 150,000,000
30,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000
2750 3450 3000

100,000 104,000 85,098

375,000,000 448,552,000 319,118,092
275,000,000 358,800,000 255,294,474
30,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000 15,000,000

55,000,000 39,752,000 18,823,618

27,500,000 19,876,000 9,411,809

42,500,000 34,876,000 24,411,809

111,144,102 64,297,922 - 0
 Punto de Quiebre
10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000
0.851% 1.000% 1.000% 1.000%
3750 3,638.24 3,750.00 3,750.00
150,000,000 150,000,000 150,000,000 150,000,000
30,000,000 30,000,000 41,176,382 30,000,000
3000 3000 3000 3111.7638153

85,098 100,000 100,000 100,000

319,118,092 363,823,618 375,000,000 375,000,000
255,294,474 300,000,000 300,000,000 311,176,382
30,000,000 30,000,000 41,176,382 30,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000 15,000,000 15,000,000

18,823,618 18,823,618 18,823,618 18,823,618

9,411,809 9,411,809 9,411,809 9,411,809

24,411,809 24,411,809 24,411,809 24,411,809

0 0 - 0
-14.9%
-14.9%
-3.0%

37.25%
3.73%