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ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA

HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA


JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
Tarea No. 5
1. En una estacin se han medido las mximas precipitaciones
anuales para diferentes duraciones segn se muestra en la
tabla. Calcular las curvas IDF. Realice la revisin y correccin de
los datos y los ajustes de las series utilizando las distribuciones
de Gumbel, Log-Pearson III y Log-Normal. Compare los
resultados
De acuerdo a los datos de entrada y la serie se encuentra la precipitacin
mostrada en la tabla de duraciones e intensidades.

Datos
n=

Yn=
Sn=
1 Hora:

aos

0.4902
0.9288
60
min

DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL
TABLA DE DURACIONES E INTENSIDADES

Ao

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
Media
Desv. Est.
Mx.

minutos

10

minutos

30

minutos

60

minutos

360

minutos

p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h)

4.9
6.7
9.2
8.9
5.5
16.0
9.0
8.5
7.7
8.5
3.2
16.0

58.8
80.4
110.4
106.8
66.0
192.0
108.0
102.0
92.4
101.9
38.6
192.0

7.3
13.0
15.4
16.8
10.7
29.3
17.8
16.9
13.2
15.6
6.1
29.3

43.8
78.0
92.4
100.8
64.2
175.8
106.8
101.4
79.2
93.6
36.8
175.8

16.0
21.2
30.2
44.0
47.1
67.5
44.6
38.8
27.7
37.5
15.7
67.5

32.0 26.4
42.4 37.6
60.4 42.1
88.0 66.5
94.2 79.8
135.0 102.3
89.2 88.2
77.6 56.3
55.4 46.0
74.9 60.6
31.3 25.4
135.0 102.3

26.4
37.6
42.1
66.5
79.8
102.3
88.2
56.3
46.0
60.6
25.4
102.3

88.0
51.3
37.4
152.1
133.4
144.6
167.1
190.5
77.1
115.7
53.9
190.5

TABLA DE CLCULO - DISTRIBUCION DE GUMBEL


Tr.
P<=
P
P
P
P
P>=
Y
l
(aos)
(F(x))
Gumbel Gumbel Gumbel Gumbel
0.36
2
0.5
0.5
96.720
88.698
70.738
57.190
7 0.133
[Escriba texto]

14.7
8.6
6.2
25.4
22.2
24.1
27.9
31.8
12.9
19.3
9.0
31.8

P
Gumbel
18.091

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
Tr.
P>=
(aos)

P<=
(F(x))

0.2

0.8

10

0.1

0.9

0.0
4
0.0
2
0.0
1

25
50
100

0.96
0.98
0.99

Y
1.50
0
2.25
0
3.19
9
3.90
2
4.60
0

P
Gumbel

P
Gumbel

P
Gumbel

1.087 143.884 133.619 108.977

88.232

29.054

163.360 134.294 108.785

36.313

2.916 214.567 200.939 166.282 134.753

45.484

3.673 243.838 228.816 190.013 154.018

52.288

4.425 272.892 256.488 213.569 173.140

59.042

P
Gumbel

1.895 175.112

P
Gumbel

TABLA DE DISEO CURVAS IDF


D (min)

Perodo de Retorno
Tr 2

Tr 5

Tr 10

Tr 25

Tr 50

Tr 100

96.720 143.884

175.112

214.567

243.838

272.892

10
30
60
360

88.698 133.619
70.738 108.977
57.190 88.232
18.091 29.054

163.360
134.294
108.785
36.313

200.939
166.282
134.753
45.484

228.816
190.013
154.018
52.288

256.488
213.569
173.140
59.042

GRAFICA CURVAS IDF

DISTRIBUCION LOG PEARSON III

[Escriba texto]

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223

TABLA DE DURACIONES E INTENSIDADES


Ao

5 minutos

10 minutos

30 minutos

60 minutos

p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h)

360 minutos
p (mm)

i (mm/h)

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
Media

58.8
4.9
80.4
6.7
110.4
9.2
106.8
8.9
66.0
5.5
192.0
16.0
108.0
9.0
102.0
8.5
92.4
7.7
8.49 101.87

7.3
13.0
15.4
16.8
10.7
29.3
17.8
16.9
13.2
15.60

43.8 16.0 32.0 26.4 26.4


14.7
88.0
78.0 21.2 42.4 37.6 37.6
8.6
51.3
92.4 30.2 60.4 42.1 42.1
6.2
37.4
100.8 44.0 88.0 66.5 66.5 152.1 25.4
64.2 47.1 94.2 79.8 79.8 133.4 22.2
175.8 67.5 135.0 102.3 102.3 144.6 24.1
106.8 44.6 89.2 88.2 88.2 167.1 27.9
101.4 38.8 77.6 56.3 56.3 190.5 31.8
79.2 27.7 55.4 46.0 46.0
12.9
77.1
93.60 37.46 74.91 60.58 60.58 115.72 19.29

Desv. Est.

3.22

38.65

6.14

36.81 15.67 31.33 25.44 25.44

C.a.

1.7

1.7

1.3

1.3

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.4

53.90

8.98

-0.2

-0.2

TABLA DE CLCULO DISTRIBUCION LOG PEARSON III


Tr. (aos) P>=

P<=
(F(x))

0.5

0.5

0.2

0.8

10

0.1

0.9

25
50
100

0.0
4
0.0
2
0.0
1

0.96
0.98
0.99

D (min)
5
10
30
60
360
[Escriba texto]

P
logPIII

P
logPIII

P logPIII

P logPIII

P logPIII

0.36
7
1.50
0
2.25
0
3.19
9
3.90
2
4.60
0

0.133

89.24

82.910

70.990

55.726

18.189

1.087

122.79

117.719

100.801

80.904

27.675

1.895

152.53

146.379

119.132

98.307

33.287

2.916

200.11

189.760

140.734

120.996

39.564

3.673

244.02

227.979

155.740

138.369

43.686

4.425

296.24

271.705

169.837

156.079

47.372

TABLA DE DISEO CURVAS IDF


Perodo de Retorno
Tr 2
Tr 5
Tr 10
Tr 25
Tr 50
89.24 122.79 152.53 200.11 244.02
82.91 117.72 146.38 189.76 227.98
70.99 100.80 119.13 140.73 155.74
55.73
80.90
98.31
121.00 138.37
18.19
27.67
33.29
39.56
43.69

Tr 100
296.24
271.71
169.84
156.08
47.37

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223

GRAFICA CURVAS IDF

DISTRIBUCION LOG NORMAL


TABLA DE DURACIONES E INTENSIDADES
Ao

5 minutos

10 minutos

30 minutos

60 minutos

360 minutos

p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h) p (mm) i (mm/h)

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

4.9
6.7
9.2
8.9
5.5
16.0
9.0
8.5
7.7

58.8
80.4
110.4
106.8
66.0
192.0
108.0
102.0
92.4

7.3
13.0
15.4
16.8
10.7
29.3
17.8
16.9
13.2

43.8
78.0
92.4
100.8
64.2
175.8
106.8
101.4
79.2

16.0
21.2
30.2
44.0
47.1
67.5
44.6
38.8
27.7

32.0
42.4
60.4
88.0
94.2
135.0
89.2
77.6
55.4

26.4
37.6
42.1
66.5
79.8
102.3
88.2
56.3
46.0

26.4
37.6
42.1
66.5
79.8
102.3
88.2
56.3
46.0

88.0
51.3
37.4
152.1
133.4
144.6
167.1
190.5
77.1

14.7
8.6
6.2
25.4
22.2
24.1
27.9
31.8
12.9

Media
Desv. Est.
C.a.

8.49
3.22
1.7

101.87
38.65
1.7

15.60
6.14
1.3

93.60
36.81
1.3

37.46
15.67
0.6

74.91
31.33
0.6

60.58
25.44
0.4

60.58
25.44
0.4

115.72
53.90
-0.2

19.29
8.98
-0.2

TABLA DE DISEO CURVAS IDF


[Escriba texto]

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
Tr.
(aos)

P>=

P<=
(F(x))

0.5

0.5

0.2

0.8

10

0.1

0.9

25
50
100

0.0
4
0.0
2
0.0
1

0.96
0.98
0.99

0.36
7
1.50
0
2.25
0
3.19
9
3.90
2
4.60
0

0.00
0
0.84
2
1.28
2
1.75
1
2.05
4
2.32
6

P logN

P logN

P logN

P logN

P logN

96.401

87.736

68.938

55.726

17.032

121.03
3
143.19
9
171.32
7
192.37
1
213.49
9

100.20
4
121.83
8
150.07
9
171.71
5
193.82
8

80.891

27.435

98.287

35.198

128.685
149.658
175.803
195.074
214.206

120.97
9
138.35
4
156.10
3

45.911
54.508
63.609

GRAFICA CURVAS IDF

2. Para las estaciones con informacin de precipitacin mxima en


24 horas, realice los ajustes a las siguientes distribuciones de
probabilidad: Gumbel corregida por el nmero de registros, Lognormal, Log Pearson III
Calcule con cada uno de los ajustes las precipitaciones mximas en 24 horas
esperadas para perodos de retorno de 2, 5, 10, 20, 50 y 100 aos. Revise los
resultados y haga los comentarios que considere importantes sobre stos.

[Escriba texto]

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223

Estacin:

El Amparo Mondomo Ovejas Abajo Morales

Sate

Alertas
3

Ao

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979

93.00
121.00
78.00
86.00
98.00
69.00
83.00
103.00

69.00
58.00
74.00
86.00
61.00
65.00
87.00
68.00
126.00

122.00

72.00
98.00
61.00
55.00
90.00
63.00
57.00
90.00
103.00

67.00
68.00
57.00
66.00
69.00
83.00
140.00
73.00
65.00
77.00

[Escriba texto]

Piendamo Julumito

Japio

Venta de Apto G.

Alertas
7

Cajibio
9

Valencia
10

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

61.50
76.30
73.00
53.20
62.40
70.20
65.10
92.70
45.00
120.00
74.20
51.70
80.00
92.70
48.00

116.90
81.70
80.40
49.20
85.30
49.90

46.00
153.00
45.00
76.40
63.70
77.40
42.50
70.40
75.30
106.00
45.20
78.40
74.30
75.20
83.20
82.30
125.00
70.30
68.20
180.70
80.00
80.00
71.00
83.00
69.00
63.00
85.00
85.00
66.00
65.00
94.00
61.00
135.00
90.00
73.40
78.60
73.40
85.10
85.40

65.00
82.00
38.00
58.00
80.00
49.00
46.00
53.00
49.00
54.00
65.00
54.00
65.00
77.00
60.00
53.00
50.00
60.00
67.00
73.00
68.00
71.00
64.00
67.00
78.00
117.00
75.00
78.00
69.00
62.00
104.00
66.00
80.00 78.00

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
Estacin:

El Amparo Mondomo Ovejas Abajo Morales

Sate

Piendamo Julumito

Japio

Venta de Apto G.

Alertas
3

Alertas
7

Cajibio
9

Valencia
10

Ao

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Media
Desv.stand
n=
Yn=
Sn=

78.00
118.00
108.00
100.00
112.00
78.00
99.00
88.00
71.00
91.00
82.00
62.00
110.00
75.00
86.00
102.00
91.29
24.04
24
0.5296
1.0864

75.00
90.00
68.50
84.90
107.80
86.20
67.00
83.00
74.00
78.00
125.00
56.00
95.00
77.00
70.00
56.00
79.50
18.69
25
0.5309
1.0915

83.00
102.60
110.00
97.00
50.00
85.00
50.00
70.00
48.00
82.00
61.00
116.00
80.00
80.00
100.00
83.54
30.47
16
0.5157
1.0316

89.00
90.00
79.00
104.00
104.00
95.00
65.00
68.00
95.00
80.00
90.00
60.00
86.00
90.00
78.00
81.75
22.41
24
0.5296
1.0864

72.00
66.00
99.00
49.00
85.00
121.00
57.00
95.00
56.00
88.00
84.00
95.00
75.00
76.00
74.00
78.28
25.19
25
0.5309
1.0915

88.00
107.00
84.00
91.00
76.30
63.00
66.00
145.00
74.00
74.00
85.00
69.00
69.00
73.00
65.10
59.50
71.14
18.74
49
0.5481
1.159

71.00
89.00
66.00
115.00
83.00
78.00
76.00
70.00
138.00
69.00
80.00
76.00
110.00
80.00
116.00
102.00
88.06
20.60
17
0.5181
1.0411

57.00
58.00
71.00
63.80
79.00
112.00
60.50
83.60
70.50
95.20
78.80
84.40
110.00
64.00
32.00
83.00
73.19
19.92
31
0.5371
1.1159

65.80
80.50
88.30
106.60
90.40
57.60
67.50
63.00
61.50
78.50
66.70
101.30
74.70
87.40
53.20
63.70
75.91
23.81
22
0.5368
1.0754

61.90
65.80
66.80
108.00
87.40
78.40
80.40
66.20
58.40
75.20
66.20
37.00
97.10
64.60
88.00
78.94
27.08
54
0.5501
1.1667

GUMBEL
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

-0.1501
0.8932
1.5839
2.4567
3.1041
3.7468

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

-0.1506
0.8878
1.5753
2.4440
3.0884
3.7281

Tr

[Escriba texto]

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

-0.1446
0.9541
1.6815
2.6007
3.2825
3.9593

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

-0.1501
0.8932
1.5839
2.4567
3.1041
3.7468

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

y
0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

-0.1506
0.8878
1.5753
2.4440
3.0884
3.7281

l
-0.1567
0.8213
1.4687
2.2868
2.8937
3.4962

-0.1456
0.9431
1.6639
2.5746
3.2503
3.9209

-0.1529
0.8628
1.5353
2.3850
3.0154
3.6411

-0.1583
0.8956
1.5934
2.4751
3.1292
3.7785

-0.1574
0.8141
1.4573
2.2700
2.8729
3.4714

Precipitacin esperada mxima en 24 horas (P24h Tr)

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
2
5
10
25
50
100

87.68
112.77
129.37
150.36
165.93
181.38

76.68
96.09
108.95
125.18
137.23
149.19

79.13
112.60
134.77
162.77
183.54
204.16

78.39
101.77
117.25
136.81
151.32
165.73

74.49
100.65
117.97
139.86
156.09
172.21

68.21
86.53
98.66
113.99
125.36
136.64

85.06
107.49
122.34
141.11
155.03
168.85

70.14
90.37
103.77
120.70
133.25
145.72

72.14
97.23
113.85
134.84
150.41
165.86

74.68
100.98
118.40
140.40
156.73
172.93

Los clculos con los ajustes de precipitacin se muestran en la siguiente


Tabla:
Estacin:

Ao

El Amparo Mondomo Ovejas Abajo Morales Sate Piendamo Julumito Japio Venta de Apto G.
Alertas
Alertas
Cajibio Valencia
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
p
(mm)

1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969

[Escriba texto]

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

p
p
(mm) (mm)

p
(mm)

4.17
4.41
3.64
4.06
4.38
3.89
3.83
3.97
3.89
3.99
4.17
3.99
4.17
4.34
4.09
3.97
3.91
4.09
4.20
4.29
4.22
4.26
4.16

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

4.12
4.33
4.29
3.97
4.13

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

3.83
5.03
3.81
4.34
4.15
4.35
3.75
4.25
4.32
4.66
3.81
4.36
4.31
4.32
4.42
4.41
4.83
4.25
4.22
5.20
4.38
4.38
4.26
4.42
4.23
4.14
4.44
4.44
4.19

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
Estacin:

El Amparo Mondomo Ovejas Abajo Morales Sate Piendamo Julumito Japio Venta de Apto G.
Alertas
Alertas
Cajibio Valencia
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Ao

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Media
Desv.stand
Cx

p
(mm)

4.53
4.80
4.36
4.45
4.58
4.23
4.42
4.63
4.36
4.77
4.68
4.61
4.72
4.36
4.60
4.48
4.26
4.51
4.41
4.13
4.70
4.32
4.45
4.62
4.50
2.25
-0.18

p
(mm)

4.23
4.06
4.30
4.45
4.11
4.17
4.47
4.22
4.84
4.32
4.50
4.23
4.44
4.68
4.46
4.20
4.42
4.30
4.36
4.83
4.03
4.55
4.34
4.25
4.03
4.35
2.19
0.64

p
(mm)

p
p
(mm) (mm)

p
(mm)

4.80

4.28
4.58
4.11
4.01
4.50
4.14
4.04
4.50
4.63

4.20
4.22
4.04
4.19
4.23
4.42
4.94
4.29
4.17
4.34

4.42
4.63
4.70
4.57
3.91
4.44
3.91
4.25
3.87
4.41
4.11
4.75
4.38
4.38
4.61
4.38
2.02
-0.50

4.49
4.50
4.37
4.64
4.64
4.55
4.17
4.22
4.55
4.38
4.50
4.09
4.45
4.50
4.36
4.38
2.20
-0.52

4.28
4.19
4.60
3.89
4.44
4.80
4.04
4.55
4.03
4.48
4.43
4.55
4.32
4.33
4.30
4.33
2.18
0.66

4.20
4.36
4.76
4.32
4.36
4.23
4.13
4.64
4.19
4.38
4.48
4.67
4.43
4.51
4.33
4.14
4.19
4.98
4.30
4.30
4.44
4.23
4.23
4.29
4.18
4.09
4.23
1.35
0.46

p
(mm)

p
(mm)

4.36
4.26
4.49
4.19
4.74
4.42
4.36
4.33
4.25
4.93
4.23
4.38
4.33
4.70
4.38
4.75
4.62
4.45
2.08
0.87

4.25
4.18
4.53
3.81
4.79
4.31
3.95
4.38
4.53
3.87
4.04
4.06
4.26
4.16
4.37
4.72
4.10
4.43
4.26
4.56
4.37
4.44
4.70
4.16
3.47
4.42
4.26
2.14
-0.47

p
(mm)

4.76
4.40
4.39
3.90
4.45
3.91
4.19
4.39
4.48
4.67
4.50
4.05
4.21
4.14
4.12
4.36
4.20
4.62
4.31
4.47
3.97
4.15
4.30
2.13
0.02

p
(mm)

4.17
4.54
4.11
4.91
4.50
4.30
4.36
4.30
4.44
4.45
4.13
4.19
4.20
4.68
4.47
4.36
4.39
4.19
4.07
4.32
4.19
3.61
4.58
4.17
4.48
4.33
0.65
0.36

LOG PEARSON III


Tr
2
5
10
25
50
10
0

0.0330
0.8500
1.2580
1.6800
1.9450

-0.0990
0.8000
1.3280
1.9390
2.3590

0.0830
0.8560
1.2160
1.5670
1.7770

0.0830
0.8560
1.2160
1.5670
1.7770

U
-0.0990 0.0830 -0.1480
0.8000 0.8080 0.7690
1.3280 1.3230 1.3390
1.9390 1.9100 2.0180
2.3590 2.3110 2.4980

2.1780

2.7550

1.9550

1.9550

2.7550

[Escriba texto]

2.6860

2.9570

0.0830
0.8560
1.2160
1.5670
1.7770

0.0000
0.8416
1.2816
1.7507
2.0537

0.0660
0.8160
1.3170
1.8800
2.2610

1.9550

2.3264

2.6150

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
10
0
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
10
0

4.57
6.42
7.34
8.29
8.88

4.13
6.11
7.26
8.60
9.52

4.55
6.11
6.84
7.54
7.97

4.57
6.27
7.06
7.83
8.29

4.12
6.08
7.23
8.56
9.48

Q
4.12
5.33
6.02
6.82
7.36

9.41

10.39

8.33

8.68

10.34

7.87

96.89
611.38
1534.0
8
3972.7
8
7221

62.47
448.10
1425.4
2
5438.9
1
13655

12211

32524

4.15
6.06
7.24
8.65
9.65

4.43
6.09
6.86
7.61
8.06

4.30
6.10
7.04
8.04
8.68

4.28
4.86
5.18
5.55
5.79

10.61

8.44

9.26

6.02

Precipitacin esperada mxima en 24 horas (P24h Tr)


94.83
96.28
61.28
61.72
63.24
84.23
73.88
450.57 526.79 435.95 205.82 426.29 440.62 444.57
1162.4 1380.0
1395.8
1135.9
931.05
6
8
412.89
9
952.18
3
1889.3 2514.9 5236.4
5734.5 2018.4 3088.9
0
1
6
912.94
7
0
9
2885
3991
13096
1570
15571
3164
5894
4131

5902

31080

2606

72.50
128.52
177.92
256.41
328

40470

4631

10542

413

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000 0.0000

0.8416

0.8416

0.8416 0.8416

1.2816

1.2816

1.2816 1.2816

1.7507

1.7507

1.7507 1.7507

2.0537

2.0537

2.0537 2.0537

2.3264

2.3264

2.3264 2.3264

4.4549

4.2559

4.3024 4.3264

6.2062

6.0574

6.0971 4.8727

7.1217

6.9991

7.0352 5.1583

8.0980

8.0032

8.0356 5.4628

8.7286
9.2959

8.6518
9.2354

8.6817 5.6595
9.2631 5.8365

LOG NORMAL
Tr
2

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.8416

0.8416

0.8416

0.8416

0.8416

10

1.2816

1.2816

1.2816

1.2816

1.2816

25

1.7507

1.7507

1.7507

1.7507

1.7507

50
10
0

2.0537

2.0537

2.0537

2.0537

2.0537

2.3264

2.3264

2.3264

2.3264

2.3264

Tr
2

4.4991

4.3517

4.3847

4.3848

4.3315

6.3968

6.1962

6.0815

6.2352

6.1684

10

7.3888

7.1604

6.9685

7.2024

7.1285

25

8.4466

8.1886

7.9143

8.2338

8.1524

50
10

9.1298
9.7446

8.8527
9.4503

8.5252
9.0749

8.9000
9.4995

8.8137
9.4088

[Escriba texto]

Z
0.000
0
0.841
6
1.281
6
1.750
7
2.053
7
2.326
4
Q
4.234
8
5.372
5
5.967
1
6.601
3
7.010
9
7.379

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
0
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
10
0

89.94

77.61

599.94
1617.7
5
4659.2
7
9227

490.90
1287.4
5
3599.7
5
6993

17062

12712

Precipitacin esperada mxima en 24 horas (P24h Tr)


80.22
80.22
76.06
69.05
86.04
70.52
73.88
75.67
215.3
437.70 510.40 477.41
9
495.84 427.26 444.57 130.68
1062.5 1342.6 1247.0 390.3 1238.5 1095.6
9
6
3
9
9
1
1135.93 173.87
2736.1 3766.3 3471.7 736.0 3287.8 2990.6 3088.9
3
1
6
7
9
5
9
235.77
5040
7332
6726
1109
6177
5721
5894
287
8733

13353

12195

1603

10894

10254

10542

343

3. Asumiendo correctos los tres ajustes realizados en la primera parte de la


tarea, calcule las curvas I-D-F para las 2 estaciones que le
correspondieron utilizando para obtener las lluvias de corta duracin las
relaciones [Pt / P24horas]Tr obtenidas de las estaciones pluviogrficas
disponibles en el sector del proyecto.

IDF ESTACION MONDOMO

Perodo de Retorno
mm/hora

D (min)
Tr 2

Tr 5

Tr 10

Tr 25

Tr 50

Tr 100

10.00

15.49

20.18

23.86

28.42

32.25

35.95

30.00
60.00
90.00
120.00
150.00
180.00

29.91
37.42
40.26
43.25
45.70
46.93

40.36
50.74
54.39
58.52
61.60
62.94

48.81
61.55
65.80
70.81
74.52
75.83

58.84
74.48
79.49
85.50
89.76
91.26

67.79
85.91
91.67
98.67
103.47
104.84

75.94
96.38
102.64
110.55
115.92
117.41

Las curvas IDF para la estacin de Mondomo se muestran en la


siguiente grafica

[Escriba texto]

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223

IDF ESTACION 8 JAPIO

Perodo de Retorno
mm/hora

D (min)
Tr 2

Tr 5

Tr 10

Tr 25

Tr 50

Tr 100

10.00

14.17

18.98

22.73

27.40

31.31

35.12

30.00
60.00
90.00
120.00
150.00
180.00

27.36
34.23
36.82
39.56
41.80
42.93

37.96
47.72
51.15
55.04
57.93
59.20

46.49
58.63
62.68
67.45
70.98
72.22

56.73
71.81
76.64
82.44
86.54
87.99

65.83
83.42
89.01
95.81
100.47
101.80

74.17
94.13
100.25
107.98
113.22
114.68

Las curvas IDF para la estacin de Japio se muestran en la siguiente


grafica

[Escriba texto]

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223

2. Con base en los resultados obtenidos para la I-D-F calculada del


ajuste de GUMBEL corregida por el nmero de registros, establezca la
ecuacin de dichas I-D-Fs:
Distribucin de Gumbel
Conforme al clculo de precipitaciones mximas esperadas para 24 horas se
hace el calculo de las intensidades en la siguiente tabla:

D (min)
10.00
30.00
60.00
90.00
120.00
150.00
180.00

Tr 2
14.17
27.36
34.23
36.82
39.56
41.80
42.93

Tr 5
18.98
37.96
47.72
51.15
55.04
57.93
59.20

Perodo de Retorno
Tr 10
Tr 25
22.73
27.40
46.49
56.73
58.63
71.81
62.68
76.64
67.45
82.44
70.98
86.54
72.22
87.99

Tr 50
31.31
65.83
83.42
89.01
95.81
100.47
101.80

Tr 100
35.12
74.17
94.13
100.25
107.98
113.22
114.68

Se organizan los datos de las intensidades en funcin al periodo de retorno Tr y


la duracin de la intensidad (tabla izquierda), se realiza en el ajuste logartmico
de todas las anteriores variables (tabla derecha)

[Escriba texto]

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
ORGANIZACIN DE VARIABLES
I (mm/hr)
14.17
27.3553669
34.2292797
36.8245324
39.5600691
41.8046120
42.9268835
18.9786747
37.9573495
47.7178108
51.1520472
55.0381568
57.9301453
59.1953903
22.7257248
46.4891541
58.6302948
62.6773417
67.4507816
70.9789763
72.2242215
27.3980036
56.7271441
71.8141505
76.6419925
82.4354030
86.5390688
87.9874214
31.3143238
65.8267061
83.4160284
89.0126310
95.8085055
100.472341
101.804865
35.1175843
74.1695038
94.1326119
100.252688
[Escriba texto]

TR
(Aos)
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
100
100
100
100

D (Min)
10
30
60
90
120
150
180
10
30
60
90
120
150
180
10
30
60
90
120
150
180
10
30
60
90
120
150
180
10
30
60
90
120
150
180
10
30
60
90

AJUSTE LOGARITMICO DE VARIABLES


X1
X2
X3
Ln I
Ln TR (Aos) Ln D (Min)
(mm/hr)
2.651
0.693
2.303
3.309
0.693
3.401
3.533
0.693
4.094
3.606
0.693
4.500
3.678
0.693
4.787
3.733
0.693
5.011
3.759
0.693
5.193
2.943
1.609
2.303
3.636
1.609
3.401
3.865
1.609
4.094
3.935
1.609
4.500
4.008
1.609
4.787
4.059
1.609
5.011
4.081
1.609
5.193
3.123
2.303
2.303
3.839
2.303
3.401
4.071
2.303
4.094
4.138
2.303
4.500
4.211
2.303
4.787
4.262
2.303
5.011
4.280
2.303
5.193
3.310
3.219
2.303
4.038
3.219
3.401
4.274
3.219
4.094
4.339
3.219
4.500
4.412
3.219
4.787
4.461
3.219
5.011
4.477
3.219
5.193
3.444
3.912
2.303
4.187
3.912
3.401
4.424
3.912
4.094
4.489
3.912
4.500
4.562
3.912
4.787
4.610
3.912
5.011
4.623
3.912
5.193
3.559
4.605
2.303
4.306
4.605
3.401
4.545
4.605
4.094
4.608
4.605
4.500

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
ORGANIZACIN DE VARIABLES
I (mm/hr)
107.975643
113.221423
114.678584

TR
(Aos)
100
100
100

D (Min)
120
150
180

AJUSTE LOGARITMICO DE VARIABLES


X1
X2
X3
Ln I
Ln TR (Aos) Ln D (Min)
(mm/hr)
4.682
4.605
4.787
4.729
4.605
5.011
4.742
4.605
5.193
Media:
4.04
2.72
4.18
Desviacin
Estndar:

0.51

1.35

0.96

De la tabla anterior se determina las correlaciones de las variables


Correlaciones
r I-Tr:
0.656
r I-D:
0.724
r Tr-D:
0.000
Haciendo uso de la herramienta solver de Excel se determina el valor de K que
satisfaga a todas las anteriores variables logartmicas de acuerdo a la regresin
lineal

y=mx +b . Posteriormente se estima los coeficientes con el mtodo

matricial:
D
0.3853
Coeficiente de Regresin:
Error tipificado 0.018374287
Coeficiente:
R2 Error Estimado de Y: 0.953536631
Fisher - Grados de
400.1854543
Libertad:
10.25601942

Tr
0.2480

A0
1.749436246

0.013055897

0.086487733

0.113199307

#N/A

39

#N/A

0.499749245

#N/A

Determinamos los coeficiente de la ecuacion


j1
j2
1
0.654041086
r ij= 0.654041086
1
0.72506432
3.74121E-17
j1
j2
21.49983267 -14.06177391
r ^(-1): -14.06177391 10.19697788
-15.58876155 10.19569053
[Escriba texto]

j3
0.72506432
3.74121E-17
1
j3
-15.58876155
10.19569053
12.30285479

i1
i2
i3
i1
i2
i3

5.751359412

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223

a12:
a13:
a10:

0.246930249
0.385256158
1.972790206

Finalmente se plantea la ecuacin de conformidad a la ecuacin:

ln I =ln K +m ln Trn ln D
Obteniendo

ln I =ln ( 7.19071208831422 )+ ( 0.246930249283519 ) ln T +(0.385256157979243)ln D

5.7513Tr 0.2479
D 0.3852

Se obtiene la ecuacin

Comparacin de las curvas IDF Reales y Observadas para la


distribucin Gumbel

Tr de 2 Aos
I Real
(mm/hr)

Tr de 5 Aos

TR
D
I Calculado
(Aos) (Min)
(mm/hr)

I (mm/hr)

TR
D
(Aos) (Min)

I Calculado
(mm/hr)

14.16867725

10

16.58345

18.9786747
8

10

20.81395325

27.35536697

30

25.32147

37.9573495
5

30

31.78106718

34.2292797

60

33.07215

47.7178108
6

60

41.5089871

[Escriba texto]

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223

36.82453246

90

38.66364

51.1520472
5

90

48.52688092

42.92688355

180

50.49826

59.1953903
7

180

63.38055493

IDF TR=5 aos

IDF TR=2aos

80
60
I (mm/hr)
Intensidad
(mm/hr)

40

I Calculado (mm/hr)

20
0
0

50

60
50
40
30
I
Real
(mm/hr)
Intensidad (mm/hr)
20
10
0

100 150 200

Duracin (min)

50 100 150 200


Duracin (min)

Tr de 10 Aos
I (mm/hr)

I Calculado (mm/hr)

Tr de 25Aos

TR
D
I Calculado
(Aos) (Min)
(mm/hr)

I (mm/hr)

TR
D
(Aos) (Min)

I Calculado
(mm/hr)

28.332912

10

10

30.82892

34.1312529

25

10

38.65642906

57.9595642
7

10

30

47.07304

70.6682328
8

25

30

59.0249509

73.0963254
7

10

60

61.4817

89.4629756
7

25

60

77.09199669

78.1419125
4

10

90

71.87637

95.4772933
6

25

90

90.12588368

[Escriba texto]

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223
90.0443230
6

10

180

93.87712

109.610939
9

Tr de 10 Aos
I (mm/hr)

25

180

117.7126659

Tr de 25Aos

TR
D
I Calculado
(Aos) (Min)
(mm/hr)

I (mm/hr)

TR
D
(Aos) (Min)

I Calculado
(mm/hr)

22.7257248
9

10

10

24.7174

27.3980036
5

25

10

31.02290646

46.48915411

10

30

37.74129

56.7271441
2

25

30

47.36923651

58.6302948

10

60

49.29358

71.8141505
4

25

60

61.86856522

62.6773417

10

90

57.62761

76.6419925
9

25

90

72.32863788

72.2242215
6

10

180

75.26695

87.9874214
2

25

180

94.46783143

[Escriba texto]

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223

IDF TR=25 aos

IDF TR=10 aos

100

80

80

60

60

40
I (mm/hr)
Intensidad
(mm/hr)

I Calculado (mm/hr)

I (mm/hr)
Intensidad
(mm/hr)

20

40

I Calculado (mm/hr)

20

0
0

50 100 150 200

Duracin (min)

50 100 150 200

Duracin (min)

Tr de 50 Aos

Tr de 100 Aos

I (mm/hr)

TR
(Aos)

D
(Min)

I
Calculad
o (mm/hr)

I (mm/hr)

31.3143238

50

10

36.84094

35.1175843
5

100

10

43.7500967
3

65.8267061
9

50

30

56.25287

74.1695038
7

100

30

66.8025312
9

83.4160284
9

50

60

73.4714

94.1326119
9

100

60

87.2502296
4

95.8085055
7

50

120

95.96038

100.252688
9

100

90

102.001561
6

101.804865
4

50

180

112.1843

114.678584
6

100

180

133.223389
9

[Escriba texto]

TR
I Calculado
D (Min)
(Aos)
(mm/hr)

ESCUELA COLOMBIANA DE INGENIERIA


HIDROLOGIA BASICA APLICADA
JIOBANNY CORAL FLOREZ
2101223

IDF TR=50 aos


120
100
80
I (mm/hr)
Intensidad
(mm/hr)

60 I Calculado (mm/hr)
40
20
0
0

50 100 150 200

Duracin (min)

[Escriba texto]

IDF TR=100 aos


140
120
100
80
I (mm/hr)
Intensidad
(mm/hr) 60
40
20
0

I Calculado (mm/hr)

50 100 150 200


Duracin (min)

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