Inversion

Valor Salvamento
Credito
Ingresos
Turistas
Ingresos Por Turista
Rotacion de Turistas
Vuelta a la Isla
Excursiones Extras

1600000000
95% a los 5 aos
85% Plazo 5 Aos
Capacidad
120.0
1250000
Cada Tres Dias

10
45000 Por Turista
75000 Por Turista

Tasa de descuento

1 Mes

2.50%

Inversion En Efectivo
0 $
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

Inversion enCredito

(240,000,000) $

(1,360,000,000)

29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60

4
VPN
TIR

$ 27,868,375,295
49%

Temporada
Baja
Escenarios
Precio venta del Tour
Tiquete
Recreacion
Ingreso Excursiones
N Huespedes Diarios

$
$
$
$

1,250,000
500,000
45,000
65,000
80

3 Cuantos huespedes se deben tener para lograr el punto de Equilibrio

Se deben tener 6.4 Huespedes para lograr el punto de Equilibrio

DTF+

2.50%

Pago Trimestral

1.50% Bimestral
0.50% Bimestral
0.50% Bimestral

Ingresos Por Turista

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

1,500,000,000
1,500,000,000
1,522,500,000
1,522,500,000
1,545,337,500
1,545,337,500
1,568,517,563
1,568,517,563
1,592,045,326
1,592,045,326
1,615,926,006
1,615,926,006
1,640,164,896
1,640,164,896
1,664,767,369
1,664,767,369
1,689,738,880
1,689,738,880
1,715,084,963
1,715,084,963
1,740,811,238
1,740,811,238
1,766,923,406
1,766,923,406
1,793,427,257
1,793,427,257
1,820,328,666
1,820,328,666

Vuelta a la Isla
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

54,000,000
54,000,000
54,270,000
54,270,000
54,541,350
54,541,350
54,814,057
54,814,057
55,088,127
55,088,127
55,363,568
55,363,568
55,640,386
55,640,386
55,918,587
55,918,587
56,198,180
56,198,180
56,479,171
56,479,171
56,761,567
56,761,567
57,045,375
57,045,375
57,330,602
57,330,602
57,617,255
57,617,255

Excursiones Extras
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

90,000,000
90,000,000
90,450,000
90,450,000
90,902,250
90,902,250
91,356,761
91,356,761
91,813,545
91,813,545
92,272,613
92,272,613
92,733,976
92,733,976
93,197,646
93,197,646
93,663,634
93,663,634
94,131,952
94,131,952
94,602,612
94,602,612
95,075,625
95,075,625
95,551,003
95,551,003
96,028,758
96,028,758

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

1,847,633,596
1,847,633,596
1,875,348,100
1,875,348,100
1,903,478,321
1,903,478,321
1,932,030,496
1,932,030,496
1,961,010,954
1,961,010,954
1,990,426,118
1,990,426,118
2,020,282,510
2,020,282,510
2,050,586,747
2,050,586,747
2,081,345,549
2,081,345,549
2,112,565,732
2,112,565,732
2,144,254,218
2,144,254,218
2,176,418,031
2,176,418,031
2,209,064,302
2,209,064,302
2,242,200,266
2,242,200,266
2,275,833,270
2,275,833,270
2,309,970,769
2,309,970,769

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

57,905,341
57,905,341
58,194,868
58,194,868
58,485,842
58,485,842
58,778,271
58,778,271
59,072,163
59,072,163
59,367,524
59,367,524
59,664,361
59,664,361
59,962,683
59,962,683
60,262,496
60,262,496
60,563,809
60,563,809
60,866,628
60,866,628
61,170,961
61,170,961
61,476,816
61,476,816
61,784,200
61,784,200
62,093,121
62,093,121
62,403,587
62,403,587

Temporada
Media
$
$
$
$

Alta
1,500,000
600,000
65,000
95,000
120

$
$
$
$

1,650,000
800,000
85,000
115,000
140

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

96,508,902
96,508,902
96,991,446
96,991,446
97,476,404
97,476,404
97,963,786
97,963,786
98,453,605
98,453,605
98,945,873
98,945,873
99,440,602
99,440,602
99,937,805
99,937,805
100,437,494
100,437,494
100,939,681
100,939,681
101,444,380
101,444,380
101,951,602
101,951,602
102,461,360
102,461,360
102,973,667
102,973,667
103,488,535
103,488,535
104,005,978
104,005,978

quilibrio

DTF

4.22% A.T.A

Egresos
Tiquete
Alimentacion
Gastos Administrativos
Gastos Publicidad
Recreacion
Gastos Transporte
Mantemiento
Otros Administrativos

Tiquete
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

500,000
110,000
75,000
5,000,000
30,000
20,000
2,400,000
1,000,000

Alimentacion
600,000,000
600,000,000
600,000,000
612,000,000
612,000,000
612,000,000
624,240,000
624,240,000
624,240,000
636,724,800
636,724,800
636,724,800
649,459,296
649,459,296
649,459,296
662,448,482
662,448,482
662,448,482
675,697,452
675,697,452
675,697,452
689,211,401
689,211,401
689,211,401
702,995,629
702,995,629
702,995,629
717,055,541

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

132,000,000
132,000,000
133,320,000
133,320,000
134,653,200
134,653,200
135,999,732
135,999,732
137,359,729
137,359,729
138,733,327
138,733,327
140,120,660
140,120,660
141,521,866
141,521,866
142,937,085
142,937,085
144,366,456
144,366,456
145,810,121
145,810,121
147,268,222
147,268,222
148,740,904
148,740,904
150,228,313
150,228,313

Por Turista
Por Turista
Por Turista
Trimestral
Por Turista
Por Turista
Mensual
Mensual

2%
1%
1%
1.50%
2.50%
2%
2%
1%

Gastos Admon
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

90,000,000
90,000,000
90,000,000
90,900,000
90,900,000
90,900,000
91,809,000
91,809,000
91,809,000
92,727,090
92,727,090
92,727,090
93,654,361
93,654,361
93,654,361
94,590,905
94,590,905
94,590,905
95,536,814
95,536,814
95,536,814
96,492,182
96,492,182
96,492,182
97,457,104
97,457,104
97,457,104
98,431,675

Gastos Publicidad
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

5,000,000
5,000,000
5,075,000
5,075,000
5,151,125
5,151,125
5,228,392

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

717,055,541
717,055,541
731,396,652
731,396,652
731,396,652
746,024,585
746,024,585
746,024,585
760,945,077
760,945,077
760,945,077
776,163,978
776,163,978
776,163,978
791,687,258
791,687,258
791,687,258
807,521,003
807,521,003
807,521,003
823,671,423
823,671,423
823,671,423
840,144,852
840,144,852
840,144,852
856,947,749
856,947,749
856,947,749
874,086,704
874,086,704
874,086,704

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

151,730,596
151,730,596
153,247,902
153,247,902
154,780,381
154,780,381
156,328,185
156,328,185
157,891,467
157,891,467
159,470,381
159,470,381
161,065,085
161,065,085
162,675,736
162,675,736
164,302,493
164,302,493
165,945,518
165,945,518
167,604,974
167,604,974
169,281,023
169,281,023
170,973,834
170,973,834
172,683,572
172,683,572
174,410,408
174,410,408
176,154,512
176,154,512

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

98,431,675
98,431,675
99,415,991
99,415,991
99,415,991
100,410,151
100,410,151
100,410,151
101,414,253
101,414,253
101,414,253
102,428,395
102,428,395
102,428,395
103,452,679
103,452,679
103,452,679
104,487,206
104,487,206
104,487,206
105,532,078
105,532,078
105,532,078
106,587,399
106,587,399
106,587,399
107,653,273
107,653,273
107,653,273
108,729,806
108,729,806
108,729,806

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

5,228,392
5,306,818
5,306,818
5,386,420
5,386,420
5,467,216
5,467,216
5,549,225

Trimestral
Bimestral
Trimestral
Semestral
Semestral
Semestral
Semestral
Semestral

Recreacion
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

36,000,000
36,000,000
36,000,000
36,000,000
36,000,000
36,000,000
36,900,000
36,900,000
36,900,000
36,900,000
36,900,000
36,900,000
37,822,500
37,822,500
37,822,500
37,822,500
37,822,500
37,822,500
38,768,063
38,768,063
38,768,063
38,768,063
38,768,063
38,768,063
39,737,264
39,737,264
39,737,264
39,737,264

Mantenimiento
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

2,400,000
2,400,000
2,400,000
2,400,000
2,400,000
2,400,000
2,448,000
2,448,000
2,448,000
2,448,000
2,448,000
2,448,000
2,496,960
2,496,960
2,496,960
2,496,960
2,496,960
2,496,960
2,546,899
2,546,899
2,546,899
2,546,899
2,546,899
2,546,899
2,597,837
2,597,837
2,597,837
2,597,837

Otros Administrativos
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Pago Intereses
1,000,000
1,000,000
1,000,000
1,000,000
1,000,000
1,000,000
1,010,000
1,010,000
1,010,000
1,010,000
1,010,000
1,010,000
1,020,100
1,020,100
1,020,100
1,020,100
1,020,100
1,020,100
1,030,301
1,030,301
1,030,301
1,030,301
1,030,301
1,030,301
1,040,604
1,040,604
1,040,604
1,040,604

23,238,405

22,253,933

21,252,639

20,234,236

19,198,431

18,144,927

17,073,423

15,983,609

14,875,173

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

39,737,264
39,737,264
40,730,696
40,730,696
40,730,696
40,730,696
40,730,696
40,730,696
41,748,963
41,748,963
41,748,963
41,748,963
41,748,963
41,748,963
42,792,687
42,792,687
42,792,687
42,792,687
42,792,687
42,792,687
43,862,504
43,862,504
43,862,504
43,862,504
43,862,504
43,862,504
44,959,067
44,959,067
44,959,067
44,959,067
44,959,067
44,959,067

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

2,597,837
2,597,837
2,649,794
2,649,794
2,649,794
2,649,794
2,649,794
2,649,794
2,702,790
2,702,790
2,702,790
2,702,790
2,702,790
2,702,790
2,756,846
2,756,846
2,756,846
2,756,846
2,756,846
2,756,846
2,811,983
2,811,983
2,811,983
2,811,983
2,811,983
2,811,983
2,868,222
2,868,222
2,868,222
2,868,222
2,868,222
2,868,222

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

1,040,604
1,040,604
1,051,010
1,051,010
1,051,010
1,051,010
1,051,010
1,051,010
1,061,520
1,061,520
1,061,520
1,061,520
1,061,520
1,061,520
1,072,135
1,072,135
1,072,135
1,072,135
1,072,135
1,072,135
1,082,857
1,082,857
1,082,857
1,082,857
1,082,857
1,082,857
1,093,685
1,093,685
1,093,685
1,093,685
1,093,685
1,093,685

13,747,798

12,601,159

11,434,928

10,248,769

9,042,342

7,815,300

6,567,293

5,297,960

4,006,938

2,693,857

1,358,338

Credito
Tasa
N
EA
Vencida
Cuota
Trimestre
1
2
3
4
5
6
Valor Salvamento

FCL
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

7
(1,600,000,000)
782,600,000
782,600,000
781,261,595
786,600,000
813,827,900
791,573,967
822,281,648
817,281,648
823,927,630
831,777,379
855,018,970
829,709,734
863,965,380
863,965,380
868,710,088
868,907,790
898,284,663
880,139,735
907,750,103
902,598,978
915,712,346
918,316,451
943,727,339
922,592,605
953,739,521
953,739,521
965,042,755
959,655,053

8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
1,520,000,000 $

991,454,322
977,706,524
1,002,042,369
996,813,977
1,016,814,884
1,013,793,950
1,041,578,132
1,024,836,387
1,052,772,652
1,052,772,652
1,071,147,762
1,059,856,668
1,094,216,741
1,085,174,399
1,106,049,894
1,100,663,474
1,128,166,140
1,119,113,169
1,149,493,827
1,137,540,114
1,161,999,407
1,161,999,407
1,188,000,766
1,170,302,760
1,207,539,050
1,203,532,112
1,220,752,565
1,215,285,349
1,250,788,666
1,235,267,035
1,268,488,338
2,781,580,775

$ 1,360,000,000
6.72%
20
7.012%
1.71%
$ 80,853,473
Cuota
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473

Saldo Inicial
Intereses
Abono
$
23,238,405
$ 57,615,068
$
22,253,932.94 $ 58,599,539.96
$
21,252,638.93 $ 59,600,833.97
$
20,234,235.74 $ 60,619,237.15
$
19,198,431.04 $ 61,655,041.86
$
18,144,927.48 $ 62,708,545.42

1,360,000,000

Saldo
$
1,302,384,932
$ 1,243,785,392.35
$ 1,184,184,558.39
$ 1,123,565,321.23
$ 1,061,910,279.38
$
999,201,733.96

$ 80,853,473 $

17,073,422.63

$ 63,780,050.26 $

935,421,683.69

$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473
$ 80,853,473

15,983,608.92
14,875,173.49
13,747,798.15
12,601,159.28
11,434,927.72
10,248,768.69
9,042,341.69
7,815,300.39
6,567,292.56
5,297,959.94
4,006,938.16
2,693,856.61
1,358,338.34

$ 64,869,863.98
$ 65,978,299.41
$ 67,105,674.74
$ 68,252,313.61
$ 69,418,545.17
$ 70,604,704.20
$ 71,811,131.21
$ 73,038,172.50
$ 74,286,180.33
$ 75,555,512.95
$ 76,846,534.74
$ 78,159,616.29
$ 79,495,134.55

870,551,819.71
804,573,520.31
737,467,845.56
669,215,531.95
599,796,986.78
529,192,282.57
457,381,151.37
384,342,978.86
310,056,798.53
234,501,285.58
157,654,750.84
79,495,134.55
(0.00)

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Resumen de escenario
Valores actuales:

Baja

Media

Celdas cambiantes:
Precio venta del Tour
Tiquete
Recreacion
Ingreso Excursiones
N Huespedes Diarios

$
$
$
$

1,250,000
500,000
30,000
75,000
120.0

$
$
$
$

1,250,000
500,000
45,000
65,000
80.0

$
$
$
$

1,500,000
600,000
65,000
95,000
120.0

Celdas de resultado:
VPN
$
27,868,375,295 $
17,393,781,702 $
33,938,124,840
TIR
49%
32%
59%
Notas: La columna de valores actuales representa los valores de las celdas cambiantes
en el momento en que se cre el Informe resumen de escenario. Las celdas cambiantes de
cada escenario se muestran en gris.

Alta

$
$
$
$

1,650,000
800,000
85,000
115,000
140.0

37,498,889,626
65%