PERIODO

DEMANDA

PRECIO DE VENTA

PRECIO DE COMPRA

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

100
120
110
112
117
140
127
118
105
114
138

1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750

970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970

12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

152
130
134
117
105
125
110
115
119
120
122
128
126
134
137
140
152
145
156
170
183
116
127
104
150
102
112
119
129
105

1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750

970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970

42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86

123
142
165
152
137
110
100
100
101
89
92
110
120
157
142
113
126
136
107
98
95
164
175
125
137
140
114
97
92
87
94
99
102
109
111
119
120
121
130
128
125
122
163
120
122

1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750

970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970

87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100

128
119
125
124
134
138
157
102
96
115
129
138
140
150

1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750
1750

970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970
970

PRECIO DE VENTA
RECICLAJE
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450

UTILIDAD MARGINAL

PERDIDA MARGINAL
780
520

450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450

200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450
450

Columna1

Clase

Media
Error tpico
Mediana
Moda
Desviacin estndar
Varianza de la muestra
Curtosis
Coeficiente de asimetra
Rango
Mnimo
Mximo

124.11
2.02967356
122
120
20.2967356
411.957475
0.06206556
0.54999012
96
87
183

Suma
Cuenta
Mayor (1)
Menor(1)
Nivel de confianza(95,0%)

12411
100
183
87
4.02731268

87
96.6
106.2
115.8
125.4
135
144.6
154.2
163.8
173.4
y mayor...

Frecuencia
1
6
14
14
23
14
13
6
4
3
2

H
25
20
15
Frecuencia

10
5
0

Frecuencia
25
20
15
10
5
0
87

96.6

106.2

115.8

125.4

135

144.6

154.2

163.8

5
0
87

96.6

106.2

115.8

125.4

135

144.6

DEMANDA
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

154.2

163.8

% acumulado
Clase
Frecuencia
% acumulado
1.00%
125.4
23
23.00%
7.00%
106.2
14
37.00%
21.00%
115.8
14
51.00%
35.00%
135
14
65.00%
58.00%
144.6
13
78.00%
72.00%
96.6
6
84.00%
85.00%
154.2
6
90.00%
91.00%
163.8
4
94.00%
95.00%
173.4
3
97.00%
98.00% y mayor...
2
99.00%
100.00%
87
1
100.00%

Histograma
120.00%
100.00%
80.00%
60.00%

Frecuencia

40.00%

% acumulado

20.00%
0.00%

Clase

uencia

Frecuencia

144.6

154.2

163.8

173.4

y mayor...

144.6

154.2

163.8

173.4

y mayor...

ANDA

DEMANDA

87
96.6
106.2
115.8
125.4
135
144.6
154.2
163.8
173.4
y mayor...

Probabilidad de la
P . Prob. De vender X
demanda
unidades
0.01
1
0.06
0.99
0.14
0.93
0.14
0.79
0.23
0.65
0.14
0.42
0.13
0.28
0.06
0.15
0.04
0.09
0.03
0.02

RAZON CRITICA

UTILIDAD MARGINAL
780

0.05
0.02

40%

PERDIDA MARGINAL
520

DISTRIBUCION
NORMAL

0.3411137347

COMPROBACION

115.8

(1-p) Prob. De NO
vender X unidades

P (x) 780 = ganancia esperada de

vender x unidades

0
0.01
0.07
0.21
0.35
0.58
0.72
0.85
0.91

7.8
46.8
109.2
109.2
179.4
109.2
101.4
46.8
31.2

0.95
0.98

23.4
15.6

1-PC
Z
Z/2

(1-p) x 520 Perdida esperada de no

vender x unidades
0
5.2
36.4
109.2
182
301.6
374.4
442
473.2
494
509.6

60%

0.6554

0.3277

Utilidad Esperada
7.8
41.6
72.8
0
-2.6
-192.4
-273
-395.2
-442
-470.6
-494

DEMANDA VARIABLE Y LT FIJO

PERIODO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

DEMANDA
100
120
110
112
117
140
127
118
105
114
138
152
130
134
117
105
125
110
115
119
120
122
128
126
134
137
140
152
145
156
170
183
116
127
104
150
102
112
119
129
105

Z
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854

PROMEDIO D
124.11
Columna1
Media
Error tpico
Mediana
Moda
Desviacin estndar
Varianza de la muestra
Curtosis
Coeficiente de asimetra
Rango
Mnimo
Mximo
Suma
Cuenta
Mayor (1)
Menor(1)
Nivel de confianza(95,0%)

42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86

123
142
165
152
137
110
100
100
101
89
92
110
120
157
142
113
126
136
107
98
95
164
175
125
137
140
114
97
92
87
94
99
102
109
111
119
120
121
130
128
125
122
163
120
122

134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854

87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100

128
119
125
124
134
138
157
102
96
115
129
138
140
150

134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854
134.75361854

LT

NIVEL DE SERVICIO 1
NIVEL VEL DE SERVICIO 2

mna1
ROP
124.11
2.02967356
122
120
20.2967356
411.957475
0.06206556
0.54999012
96
87
183
12411
100
183
87
4.02731268

372.33

Z 134.75361854
5.99834E-010

200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

70%
90%

Column B
Column C