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PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL

Estacion
Parametro
Fuente

HUANUCO CAYHUAYNA
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
SENAMHI

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

AOS

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

SEPTIEMBRE

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

48.80
72.40
42.00
105.80
49.70
57.30
20.80
91.60
35.60
88.90
56.60
45.80
25.70
37.40
17.50
65.90
38.70
59.50
68.90
93.50
82.60
68.20
45.20
29.50
44.70

52.10
61.30
45.90
102.70
16.40
69.50
57.90
83.90
65.00
84.10
43.80
13.50
44.30
86.00
40.90
71.60
50.40
33.10
88.10
63.00
88.50
89.60
36.20
56.40
26.90

40.20
66.50
49.70
106.30
112.40
74.00
46.10
113.40
57.00
34.90
106.20
34.70
90.40
66.20
74.30
41.30
50.30
41.70
65.30
66.90
81.50
101.70
85.20
83.10
70.50

43.00
31.70
19.90
30.10
22.80
41.90
82.30
9.80
32.60
42.70
28.80
52.80
29.10
20.60
25.90
57.60
26.00
69.30
39.10
3.10
22.30
30.30
46.20
56.50
24.60

13.70
16.00
8.60
4.00
3.80
54.00
14.10
18.10
6.30
6.50
14.80
33.00
3.00
0.00
16.80
23.40
3.60
23.00
15.00
2.80
18.40
10.10
10.40
18.20
14.30

5.80
8.00
0.60
2.40
6.40
8.60
2.90
12.90
10.70
0.00
11.50
15.10
10.10
12.40
12.30
0.00
1.40
0.00
2.20
2.10
15.10
16.00
3.30
2.90
0.30

1.60
4.00
46.80
4.20
0.30
0.00
5.90
4.00
8.90
6.20
0.00
1.50
4.80
0.00
5.90
0.00
1.20
0.10
0.00
0.00
8.60
3.60
8.40
12.80
0.10

3.00
7.40
5.70
11.50
3.60
6.50
16.00
15.80
4.00
1.90
2.50
7.10
0.00
36.00
6.30
0.00
0.40
5.30
9.60
2.80
0.60
17.10
10.20
4.10
9.40

9.60
8.80
7.40
6.00
1.60
7.80
20.60
12.10
11.00
0.80
12.00
10.90
8.20
2.00
8.00
32.70
7.20
2.30
7.60
3.80
57.60
11.90
7.40
8.40
12.60

PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL


2013
2014
2015
2016
Estacion
Parametro
Fuente

33.60
32.60
81.90

31.70
45.00
48.40

59.60
92.70
112.70

31.20
12.20
38.60

24.80
1.40
2.00

5.10
0.00
6.20

5.60
2.00
3.50

16.70
8.60
2.90

AMBO
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
SENAMHI

16.20
5.80
11.60

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

AOS

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

SEPTIEMBRE

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008

154.80
57.40
111.20
78.50
83.90
84.10
72.40
13.70
66.40
66.20
63.00

59.00
36.30
78.70
68.40
85.40
76.70
43.40
68.80
74.00
85.10
119.50

68.60
96.50
91.00
62.10
99.70
57.20
75.60
140.50
136.20
85.80
86.10

50.80
48.20
81.40
19.00
44.10
47.20
44.30
74.60
47.60
22.60
57.10

2.40
24.00
5.80
41.10
6.20
18.90
32.60
1.80
1.00
18.60
5.20

10.10
7.00
17.70
7.70
6.70
7.50
6.80
0.00
0.00
4.40
12.30

31.40
3.60
3.50
2.20
2.90
3.50
0.00
14.00
3.40
1.00
0.00

4.20
6.60
21.90
7.90
2.50
8.50
1.00
4.10
1.00
5.40
7.20

0.00
33.90
18.10
32.90
15.90
39.90
9.50
40.90
1.50
12.00
8.50

PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL


2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Estacion
Parametro
Fuente

JACAS CHICO
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
SENAMHI

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

AOS

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

SEPTIEMBRE

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

34.17
21.60
33.25
27.21
34.62
26.28
50.04
64.63
75.10
32.71
32.86
25.15

54.38
39.25
56.31
21.60
84.33
43.76
82.92
48.68
66.20
41.64
26.28
19.42

49.12
66.50
48.31
41.42
58.38
37.20
109.21
27.94
31.05
61.73
28.16
50.39

29.14
29.93
26.90
32.30
44.47
36.66
42.21
16.20
40.40
34.77
12.91
23.02

12.50
11.36
14.20
14.71
13.40
15.06
9.60
9.95
14.76
15.30
10.66
14.68

8.00
7.50
9.00
9.91
8.24
10.29
8.89
5.78
9.41
10.58
14.19
7.83

5.20
5.81
6.16
5.52
5.84
7.58
6.20
5.19
6.60
5.84
6.76
5.55

4.20
5.51
5.58
3.23
7.06
5.58
4.90
4.09
5.34
5.26
4.74
4.28

3.72
5.00
5.49
2.43
5.18
10.44
4.80
3.63
4.50
6.13
4.90
1.77

38.90
31.39
44.10
32.02
25.30

22.30
46.10
74.90
33.93
25.63

30.33
51.42
84.30
83.91
25.26

10.54
49.55
64.28
47.74
26.18

6.02
21.61
19.11
18.48
12.30

4.96
7.81
7.37
11.38
7.94

3.37
5.43
5.40
9.67
6.55

4.11
3.73
3.65
7.10
5.98

3.81
4.73
3.66
7.28
5.92

PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL


2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Estacion
Parametro
Fuente

45.90
32.82
38.90

41.30
71.16
52.54

27.72
53.32
47.81

14.39
21.55
35.40

9.29
7.81
10.33

6.41
4.74
6.58

5.87
4.43
5.61

5.46
3.47
4.16

CARPISH
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
SENAMHI

4.10
3.19
4.02

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

AOS

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

SEPTIEMBRE

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001

101.30
91.60
95.70
78.40
93.50
95.70
91.80
93.00
93.30
102.70
98.40
91.60
99.80
91.20

82.40
76.90
92.90
80.60
94.40
97.20
78.40
81.70
93.70
94.40
89.60
80.10
81.60
83.40

70.30
96.70
89.10
82.90
85.20
74.80
67.30
67.80
90.00
85.90
80.10
71.00
75.90
91.60

48.00
52.10
55.30
47.20
55.80
56.90
48.10
35.90
45.10
53.70
47.40
53.40
45.90
48.10

22.50
26.70
28.90
22.90
26.10
26.60
29.60
21.00
22.30
16.70
23.70
35.60
31.60
22.60

17.50
11.30
7.40
3.50
6.70
12.90
19.50
4.10
11.40
8.90
14.80
14.00
16.30
15.30

10.20
11.70
14.10
20.70
9.50
10.40
5.70
5.80
10.10
5.60
7.90
11.80
5.90
2.20

32.60
12.90
32.20
16.40
11.30
12.90
9.70
22.10
25.20
12.90
26.30
9.70
6.90
31.00

33.10
44.60
45.70
37.00
22.20
26.70
27.50
35.40
22.10
10.70
31.00
42.30
19.30
28.40

PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL


2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016

90.50
92.70

92.70
81.20

77.90
77.80

39.80
36.10

28.20
27.70

17.50
18.30

0.10
9.90

12.90
22.70

16.90
21.90

PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL

ANUCO CAYHUAYNA
ECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
NAMHI

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

48.80
72.40
42.00
105.80
49.70
57.30
20.80
91.60
35.60
88.90
56.60
45.80
25.70
37.40
17.50
65.90
38.70
59.50
68.90
93.50
82.60
68.20
45.20
29.50
44.70

52.10
61.30
45.90
102.70
16.40
69.50
57.90
83.90
65.00
84.10
43.80
13.50
44.30
86.00
40.90
71.60
50.40
33.10
88.10
63.00
88.50
89.60
36.20
56.40
26.90

40.20
66.50
49.70
106.30
112.40
74.00
46.10
113.40
57.00
34.90
106.20
34.70
90.40
66.20
74.30
41.30
50.30
41.70
65.30
66.90
81.50
101.70
85.20
83.10
70.50

43.00
31.70
19.90
30.10
22.80
41.90
82.30
9.80
32.60
42.70
28.80
52.80
29.10
20.60
25.90
57.60
26.00
69.30
39.10
3.10
22.30
30.30
46.20
56.50
24.60

13.70
16.00
8.60
4.00
3.80
54.00
14.10
18.10
6.30
6.50
14.80
33.00
3.00
0.00
16.80
23.40
3.60
23.00
15.00
2.80
18.40
10.10
10.40
18.20
14.30

5.80
8.00
0.60
2.40
6.40
8.60
2.90
12.90
10.70
0.00
11.50
15.10
10.10
12.40
12.30
0.00
1.40
0.00
2.20
2.10
15.10
16.00
3.30
2.90
0.30

1.60
4.00
46.80
4.20
0.30
0.00
5.90
4.00
8.90
6.20
0.00
1.50
4.80
0.00
5.90
0.00
1.20
0.10
0.00
0.00
8.60
3.60
8.40
12.80
0.10

3.00
7.40
5.70
11.50
3.60
6.50
16.00
15.80
4.00
1.90
2.50
7.10
0.00
36.00
6.30
0.00
0.40
5.30
9.60
2.80
0.60
17.10
10.20
4.10
9.40

:09 58' "S"


76 15' "W"
1947 msnm

SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE
9.60
8.80
7.40
6.00
1.60
7.80
20.60
12.10
11.00
0.80
12.00
10.90
8.20
2.00
8.00
32.70
7.20
2.30
7.60
3.80
57.60
11.90
7.40
8.40
12.60

38.00
19.20
49.90
39.70
6.70
17.20
7.00
12.90
23.20
14.50
75.90
86.80
32.30
97.40
16.60
64.40
23.20
23.60
29.80
29.30
20.70
9.50
36.90
110.80
17.10

Dpto.
Prov.
Dist.
NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
26.00
45.00
74.70
40.00
53.00
100.00
41.20
32.60
43.70
18.80
41.30
77.00
40.20
37.40
94.10
20.40
48.80
57.80
41.50
64.50
33.80
41.20
72.70
40.80
76.50

37.00
50.60
82.70
45.40
72.00
50.30
45.20
56.70
38.40
12.10
0.00
62.20
39.60
21.60
48.50
41.00
59.00
15.70
59.30
34.00
58.20
52.90
55.40
20.30
83.10

HU
HU
PI

PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL


33.60
32.60
81.90

31.70
45.00
48.40

59.60
92.70
112.70

31.20
12.20
38.60

24.80
1.40
2.00

5.10
0.00
6.20

5.60
2.00
3.50

16.70
8.60
2.90

MBO
ECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
NAMHI

16.20
5.80
11.60

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

154.80
57.40
111.20
78.50
83.90
84.10
72.40
13.70
66.40
66.20
63.00

59.00
36.30
78.70
68.40
85.40
76.70
43.40
68.80
74.00
85.10
119.50

68.60
96.50
91.00
62.10
99.70
57.20
75.60
140.50
136.20
85.80
86.10

50.80
48.20
81.40
19.00
44.10
47.20
44.30
74.60
47.60
22.60
57.10

2.40
24.00
5.80
41.10
6.20
18.90
32.60
1.80
1.00
18.60
5.20

10.10
7.00
17.70
7.70
6.70
7.50
6.80
0.00
0.00
4.40
12.30

31.40
3.60
3.50
2.20
2.90
3.50
0.00
14.00
3.40
1.00
0.00

4.20
6.60
21.90
7.90
2.50
8.50
1.00
4.10
1.00
5.40
7.20

28.60
51.50
46.00

:09 58' "S"


76 15' "W"
1947 msnm

SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE
0.00
33.90
18.10
32.90
15.90
39.90
9.50
40.90
1.50
12.00
8.50

34.80
26.30
66.70

47.40
19.90
42.70
52.90
35.70
15.60
43.80
20.30
37.30
60.80
76.00

104.60
106.90
89.10

Dpto.
Prov.
Dist.
NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
16.60
57.20
58.10
59.40
45.20
135.10
64.20
87.00
63.60
103.50
60.80

52.10
77.90
64.50
86.60
25.50
47.80
60.20
64.80
86.70
79.10
59.30

HU
AM
AM

PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL

CAS CHICO
ECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
NAMHI

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

:09 53' "S"


76 30' "W"
3673 msnm

SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE

Dpto.
Prov.
Dist.

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE

34.17
21.60
33.25
27.21
34.62
26.28
50.04
64.63
75.10
32.71
32.86
25.15

54.38
39.25
56.31
21.60
84.33
43.76
82.92
48.68
66.20
41.64
26.28
19.42

49.12
66.50
48.31
41.42
58.38
37.20
109.21
27.94
31.05
61.73
28.16
50.39

29.14
29.93
26.90
32.30
44.47
36.66
42.21
16.20
40.40
34.77
12.91
23.02

12.50
11.36
14.20
14.71
13.40
15.06
9.60
9.95
14.76
15.30
10.66
14.68

8.00
7.50
9.00
9.91
8.24
10.29
8.89
5.78
9.41
10.58
14.19
7.83

5.20
5.81
6.16
5.52
5.84
7.58
6.20
5.19
6.60
5.84
6.76
5.55

4.20
5.51
5.58
3.23
7.06
5.58
4.90
4.09
5.34
5.26
4.74
4.28

3.72
5.00
5.49
2.43
5.18
10.44
4.80
3.63
4.50
6.13
4.90
1.77

6.35
9.06
8.76
3.09
12.06
9.32
6.14
3.98
5.35
8.56
14.65
2.95

7.77
17.58
23.05
2.56
22.97
14.67
7.91
7.81
5.00
11.46
28.11
4.98

11.78
28.38
26.06
10.13
26.13
24.31
10.27
13.81
8.58
11.54
22.72
8.86

38.90
31.39
44.10
32.02
25.30

22.30
46.10
74.90
33.93
25.63

30.33
51.42
84.30
83.91
25.26

10.54
49.55
64.28
47.74
26.18

6.02
21.61
19.11
18.48
12.30

4.96
7.81
7.37
11.38
7.94

3.37
5.43
5.40
9.67
6.55

4.11
3.73
3.65
7.10
5.98

3.81
4.73
3.66
7.28
5.92

12.90
8.91
8.87
8.07
5.92

19.30
23.90
10.37
10.91
7.46

38.90
28.60
12.05
13.31
11.03

HU
YA
JA

PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL


45.90
32.82
38.90

41.30
71.16
52.54

27.72
53.32
47.81

14.39
21.55
35.40

9.29
7.81
10.33

6.41
4.74
6.58

5.87
4.43
5.61

5.46
3.47
4.16

RPISH
ECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
NAMHI

4.10
3.19
4.02

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

101.30
91.60
95.70
78.40
93.50
95.70
91.80
93.00
93.30
102.70
98.40
91.60
99.80
91.20

82.40
76.90
92.90
80.60
94.40
97.20
78.40
81.70
93.70
94.40
89.60
80.10
81.60
83.40

70.30
96.70
89.10
82.90
85.20
74.80
67.30
67.80
90.00
85.90
80.10
71.00
75.90
91.60

48.00
52.10
55.30
47.20
55.80
56.90
48.10
35.90
45.10
53.70
47.40
53.40
45.90
48.10

22.50
26.70
28.90
22.90
26.10
26.60
29.60
21.00
22.30
16.70
23.70
35.60
31.60
22.60

17.50
11.30
7.40
3.50
6.70
12.90
19.50
4.10
11.40
8.90
14.80
14.00
16.30
15.30

10.20
11.70
14.10
20.70
9.50
10.40
5.70
5.80
10.10
5.60
7.90
11.80
5.90
2.20

32.60
12.90
32.20
16.40
11.30
12.90
9.70
22.10
25.20
12.90
26.30
9.70
6.90
31.00

10.70
3.99
19.10

:09 40' "S"


76 05' "W"
3184 msnm

SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE
33.10
44.60
45.70
37.00
22.20
26.70
27.50
35.40
22.10
10.70
31.00
42.30
19.30
28.40

24.20
5.35
21.90

12.10
13.90
20.80
31.90
15.30
35.90
27.00
61.00
26.80
11.90
19.70
45.70
27.60
15.00

35.70
9.58
39.70

Dpto.
Prov.
Dist.
NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
50.10
69.10
55.10
41.90
31.20
59.10
38.60
79.10
32.80
33.20
33.40
57.10
30.70
55.60

90.50
90.40
81.00
72.20
66.70
80.90
75.10
81.70
85.40
74.10
68.10
80.30
69.60
88.70

HU
HU
CH

PRECIPITACION (mm) TOTAL MENSUAL


90.50
92.70

92.70
81.20

77.90
77.80

39.80
36.10

28.20
27.70

17.50
18.30

0.10
9.90

12.90
22.70

16.90
21.90

36.10
37.90

51.90
66.70

66.10
92.90

PRECIPITACION TOTAL ANUAL


AOS

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016

ESTACION DE ESTACION DE ESTACION DE


CAYHUAYNA
AMBO
JACAS CHICO

318.80
390.90
433.90
498.10
348.70
487.10
360.00
463.80
336.40
311.40
393.40
440.40
327.70
417.00
367.10
418.30
310.20
331.40
426.40
365.80
487.90
452.10
417.50
443.80
380.10
392.50
385.00
509.60

497.40
468.50
594.60
518.70
453.70
542.00
453.80
530.50
518.70
544.50
555.00

226.33
247.48
263.07
174.11
322.68
241.15
343.09
211.69
272.29
245.52
206.94
168.88
195.44
283.18
338.06
283.80
165.47
231.04
221.41
286.05

ESTACION DE
CARPISH

570.60
597.90
618.20
535.60
517.90
590.00
518.30
588.60
558.20
510.70
540.40
592.60
511.10
573.10
530.60
585.80

ESTIMACIN DE DATOS ANUALES FALTANTES DE LAS ESTACIONES


Puesto que la Estacin de Cayhuayna es la nica que cuenta con los datos completos, haremos las respectivas estimaciones de los datos
contrario se hubiera verificado la estacin con la de coeficiente de correlacin ms cercano a 1 -1.
METODOS ESTADISTICOS

1.
2.
3.
4.

Lnea Recta (Regresin Lineal):


Curva Exponencial (a>0):
Curva Logartmica:
Curva Potencial (a>0):

Se elige la ecuacin con


coeficiente de correlacin ms
cercano a 1 -1.

Y=a+b*X
Y=a*e^(bX)
Y=a+b*lnX
Y=a*X^b

Se debe tener en cuenta la siguiente relacin de variables


Regresin
Lineal
Exponencial
Logartmica
Potencial

A
a
lna
a
lna

B
b
b
b
b

Xi
xi
xi
ln xi
ln xi

Yi
yi
ln yi
yi
ln yi

Los coeficientes de regresin a y b se obtienen resolviendo el siguiente sistema de ecuaciones:


An + B Xi = Yi
A Xi + B (Xi) = (Yi*Xi)

Donde:
n el nmero de parejas (Xi,Yi) = nmero de datos de Y (est. Incompleta)

El coeficiente de correlacinest dado por la siguiente relacin:


R

(xi-X)(yi-Y)

Donde:

(n-1)Sx.Sy

X media aritmtica de los datos de xi que forman pareja con los de Y.


Y media aritmtica de los datos de yi (estacin incompleta).
Sy desviacin estndar para todos los datos de Y.
Sx desviacin estndar para todos los datos de X que forman pareja con los de

COMPLETACION DE DATOS DE LA ESTACIN DE AMBO


PRECIPITACION (mm)
n

AO

ESTACION DE
CAYHUAYNA (xi)

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

318.80
390.90
433.90
498.10
348.70
487.10
360.00
463.80
336.40
311.40
393.40
440.40
327.70
417.00
367.10
418.30
310.20
331.40
426.40
365.80
487.90
452.10
417.50
443.80
380.10

COMPLETACION DE DATOS F

ESTACION DE
AMBO (yi)

Xi=Lnxi

Yi=Lnyi

497.40
468.50
594.60
518.70
453.70
542.00
453.80
530.50
518.70
544.50
555.00

5.76
5.97
6.07
6.21
5.85
6.19
5.89
6.14
5.82
5.74
5.97

6.21
6.15
6.39
6.25
6.12
6.30
6.12
6.27
6.25
6.30
6.32

525.56
498.36
519.80
507.71
520.11
494.26
499.23
522.10
507.40
537.47
528.47
519.92
526.41
510.83

REGRESION
LINEAL

REGRESION
LOGARITMICA

a = 208.8

a = -1432.32

b = 0.7907

b = 327.52

y = 0.7907x + 208.8

y = 327.52ln(x) - 1432.32

527.08

527.57

500.02

499.92

521.46

522.46

509.48

510.54

521.78

522.75

495.82

494.79

500.91

500.97

523.72

524.55

509.17

510.21

538.49

537.15

529.89

530.02

521.58

522.57

527.90

528.29

512.60

513.79

26
27
28
29

2013
2014
2015
2016
TOTAL=
e=

392.50
385.00
509.60

513.82
512.01
543.00

4342.50
2.718281828

5677.40

68.67
B=
A=
Coef.Correlacin R =

515.58

516.80

513.78

514.99

543.70

541.22

0.240

93.532

421.341

-41.825

0.3622

0.3538

65.62

LINEAS DE REGRESION
800

700

600

500
PRECIPITACION ANUAL (ESTACION AMBO) mm

400

300

0.2401032327x
421.3410647194
f(x) = 427.0011200767
exp(
93.5318920883
ln(x)
- 0.0004715792
41.825118139 x )
172.7783179544+
x^0.1828794822
0.1311876479
R = 0.1330753315
0.125200461
0.125865816

300

200
200

250

300

350

400

450

500

PRECIPITACIO ANUAL (ESTACION PILLCO MARCA) mm

Dispersin 1

Linear (Dispersin 1)

Logarithmic (Dispersin 1)

Power (Dispersin 1)

Exponential (Dispe

COMPLETACION DE DATOS DE LA ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO


PRECIPITACION (mm)
n

AO

ESTACION DE
CAYHUAYNA (xi)

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003

318.80
390.90
433.90
498.10
348.70
487.10
360.00
463.80
336.40
311.40
393.40
440.40
327.70
417.00
367.10
418.30

COMPLETACION DE DATOS F

Xi=Lnxi
ESTACION DE
JACAS CHICO (yi)

226.33
247.48
263.07
174.11
322.68
241.15
343.09
211.69
272.29
245.52
206.94
168.88
195.44
283.18
338.06
283.80

5.76
5.97
6.07
6.21
5.85
6.19
5.89
6.14
5.82
5.74
5.97
6.09
5.79
6.03
5.91
6.04

Yi=Lnyi

5.42
5.51
5.57
5.16
5.78
5.49
5.84
5.36
5.61
5.50
5.33
5.13
5.28
5.65
5.82
5.65

REGRESION
LINEAL

REGRESION
LOGARITMICA

a = 252.59

a = 163.72

b = -0.004

b = 14.73

y= -0.004X + 252.59

y = 14.73ln(x) + 163.72

17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29

2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
TOTAL=
e=

310.20
331.40
426.40
365.80
487.90
452.10
417.50
443.80
380.10
392.50
385.00
509.60
7746.80

165.47
231.04
221.41
286.05
228.64
234.96
241.06
236.42
247.66
245.47
246.80
224.81

5.74
5.80
6.06
5.90

4927.68

2.718281828

5.11
5.44
5.40
5.66

109.69
B=
A=
Coef.Correlacin R =

228.64

232.74

234.96

237.04

241.06

241.54

236.42

238.09

247.66

246.84

245.47

245.03

246.80

246.12

224.81

230.28

118.97

-0.176

-56.497

314.742

582.460

-0.195

-0.160

LINEAS DE REGRESION
600

500

400

300
PRECIPITACION ANUAL (ESTACION JACAS CHICO) MM
- 0.1764798754xln(x)
+ 314.7417149349
f(x) = -56.4967547521
+ 582.4599877877

400

300
PRECIPITACION ANUAL (ESTACION JACAS CHICO) MM
f(x)
- 0.1764798754xln(x)
+ 314.7417149349
-56.4967547521
+
582.4599877877
f(x) =
= 316.3726511984
exp(
-0.0007029396
x)
907.5905174291
x^-0.222935064
0.0381575675
R =
= 0.0358133033
0.0255097614
R
0.023498181

200

100

0
200

250

300

350

400

450

500

PRESIPITACION ANUAL (ESTACION PILLCO MARCA) MM

Dispersin 2

Linear (Dispersin 2)

Logarithmic (Dispersin 2)

Power (Dispersin 2)

Exponential (Disp

COMPLETACION DE DATOS DE LA ESTACIN DE CARPISH


PRECIPITACION (mm)

COMPLETACION DE DATOS F

AO

ESTACION DE
CAYHUAYNA (xi)

ESTACION DE
CARPISH (yi)

Xi=Lnxi

Yi=Lnyi

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

318.80
390.90
433.90
498.10
348.70
487.10
360.00

570.60
597.90
618.20
535.60
517.90
590.00
518.30

5.76
5.97
6.07
6.21
5.85
6.19
5.89

6.35
6.39
6.43
6.28
6.25
6.38
6.25

REGRESION
LINEAL

REGRESION
LOGARITMICA

a = 141.37

a = -3749.50

b = 1.89

b = 777.67

y = 1.89x + 141.37

y = 777.67ln(x) - 3749.50

8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
TOTAL=
e=

463.80
336.40
311.40
393.40
440.40
327.70
417.00
367.10
418.30
310.20
331.40
426.40
365.80
487.90
452.10
417.50
443.80
380.10
392.50
385.00
509.60
6313.00
2.718281828

588.60
558.20
510.70
540.40
592.60
511.10
573.10
530.60
585.80

6.14
5.82
5.74
5.97
6.09
5.79
6.03
5.91
6.04

6.38
6.32
6.24
6.29
6.38
6.24
6.35
6.27
6.37

527.70
536.62
570.64
549.95
588.82
578.53
567.79

530.82

527.70

537.83

536.62

569.26

570.64

549.21

549.95

589.60

588.82

577.76

578.53

566.31

567.79

576.03

575.01

576.03

555.12
559.46
556.85
594.69

553.94

555.12

558.04

559.46

555.56

556.85

596.78

594.69

8939.60

95.47

101.18
B=
A=
Coef.Correlacin R =

0.331

134.952

428.202

-246.548

0.5587

0.5761

LINEAS DE REGRESIN
1400

1200

1200

1000

800
PRECIPITACION ANUAL (CARPISH) mm

600
f(x) = 440.7802379646
exp(
0.000596185
x)
0.3308047482x
428.2018515578
134.9519191222+
130.676393416
x^0.2431754096
ln(x)
- 246.5480892309
R = 0.3150026243
0.3121772662
0.3348189096
0.3319208251

400

200
200

250

300

350

400

450

500

PRECIPITACION ANUAL (PILLCO MARCA) mm

Dispersin 3

Linear (Dispersin 3)

Logarithmic (Dispersin 3)

Power (Dispersin 3)

Exponential (Dis

S ANUALES FALTANTES DE LAS ESTACIONES

s completos, haremos las respectivas estimaciones de los datos faltantes respecto a ella. En caso
cin ms cercano a 1 -1.

Se elige la ecuacin con


coeficiente de correlacin ms
cercano a 1 -1.

mtica de los datos de xi que forman pareja con los de Y.

estndar para todos los datos de X que forman pareja con los de Y.

COMPLETACION DE DATOS FALTANTES


REGRESION POTENCIAL

REGRESION
EXPONENCIAL

a = 11.01

a = 274.51

b = 0.64

b = 0.0016

y = 11.01x0.64

y = 274.51e0.0016x

526.01

525.563

498.33

498.360

520.78

519.795

508.79

507.706

521.08

520.114

493.35

494.264

499.36

499.231

522.91

522.105

508.46

507.395

535.96

537.468

528.54

528.471

520.90

519.918

526.75

526.406

512.03

510.828

REGRESION

327x
421.3410647194
00767
exp(
0883
ln(x)
- 0.0004715792
41.825118139 x )
79544+
x^0.1828794822
79
15
1
6

515.05

513.824

513.24

512.010

540.24

542.997

0.183

0.0005

172.778

427.001

0.3548

0.3648

400

450

500

550

600

O ANUAL (ESTACION PILLCO MARCA) mm

arithmic (Dispersin 1)

Power (Dispersin 1)

Exponential (Dispersin 1)

COMPLETACION DE DATOS FALTANTES


REGRESION POTENCIAL

REGRESION
EXPONENCIAL

a = 93.82

a = 214.25

b = 0.16

b = 0.002

y = 93.82x0.16

y = 214.25e0.002x

EAS DE REGRESION

98754xln(x)
+ 314.7417149349
47521
+ 582.4599877877

228.33

224.52

232.24

230.24

236.40

235.91

233.21

231.59

241.40

242.19

239.68

240.09

240.71

241.36

226.13

221.12

-0.223

-0.0007

907.5905

316.3727

-0.153

-0.189

98754x
+ 314.7417149349
47521
+
582.4599877877
11984
exp(
-0.0007029396
x)
74291 ln(x)
x^-0.222935064
75
14
33
1

400

450

500

550

600

ION ANUAL (ESTACION PILLCO MARCA) MM

arithmic (Dispersin 2)

Power (Dispersin 2)

Exponential (Dispersin 2)

COMPLETACION DE DATOS FALTANTES


REGRESION POTENCIAL

REGRESION
EXPONENCIAL

a = 3.29

a = 350.53

b = 0.93

b = 0.0023

y = 3.29x0.93

y = 350.53e0.0023x

EAS DE REGRESIN

527.36

530.321

535.90

537.067

569.78

568.363

548.93

548.195

588.75

589.589

577.94

577.138

566.86

565.355

575.34

574.289

554.07

552.888

558.41

556.991

555.80

554.506

595.02

597.266

0.243

0.0006

130.676

440.780

0.4706

0.4546

2379646
exp(
0.000596185
x)
47482x
428.2018515578
9191222+
393416
x^0.2431754096
ln(x)
- 246.5480892309
6243
2662
9096
8251

400

450

500

550

PITACION ANUAL (PILLCO MARCA) mm

ogarithmic (Dispersin 3)

Power (Dispersin 3)

Exponential (Dispersin 3)

600

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)


Estacion
Parametro
Fuente

HUANUCO CAYHUAYNA
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
SENAMHI

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

AOS

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

SEPTIEMBRE

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

48.80
72.40
42.00
105.80
49.70
57.30
20.80
91.60
35.60
88.90
56.60
45.80
25.70
37.40
17.50
65.90
38.70
59.50
68.90
93.50
82.60
68.20
45.20
29.50

52.10
61.30
45.90
102.70
16.40
69.50
57.90
83.90
65.00
84.10
43.80
13.50
44.30
86.00
40.90
71.60
50.40
33.10
88.10
63.00
88.50
89.60
36.20
56.40

40.20
66.50
49.70
106.30
112.40
74.00
46.10
113.40
57.00
34.90
106.20
34.70
90.40
66.20
74.30
41.30
50.30
41.70
65.30
66.90
81.50
101.70
85.20
83.10

43.00
31.70
19.90
30.10
22.80
41.90
82.30
9.80
32.60
42.70
28.80
52.80
29.10
20.60
25.90
57.60
26.00
69.30
39.10
3.10
22.30
30.30
46.20
56.50

13.70
16.00
8.60
4.00
3.80
54.00
14.10
18.10
6.30
6.50
14.80
33.00
3.00
0.00
16.80
23.40
3.60
23.00
15.00
2.80
18.40
10.10
10.40
18.20

5.80
8.00
0.60
2.40
6.40
8.60
2.90
12.90
10.70
0.00
11.50
15.10
10.10
12.40
12.30
0.00
1.40
0.00
2.20
2.10
15.10
16.00
3.30
2.90

1.60
4.00
46.80
4.20
0.30
0.00
5.90
4.00
8.90
6.20
0.00
1.50
4.80
0.00
5.90
0.00
1.20
0.10
0.00
0.00
8.60
3.60
8.40
12.80

3.00
7.40
5.70
11.50
3.60
6.50
16.00
15.80
4.00
1.90
2.50
7.10
0.00
36.00
6.30
0.00
0.40
5.30
9.60
2.80
0.60
17.10
10.20
4.10

9.60
8.80
7.40
6.00
1.60
7.80
20.60
12.10
11.00
0.80
12.00
10.90
8.20
2.00
8.00
32.70
7.20
2.30
7.60
3.80
57.60
11.90
7.40
8.40

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)


2012
2013
2014
2015

Estacion
Parametro
Fuente

44.70
33.60
32.60
81.90

26.90
31.70
45.00
48.40

70.50
59.60
92.70
112.70

24.60
31.20
12.20
38.60

14.30
24.80
1.40
2.00

0.30
5.10
0.00
6.20

0.10
5.60
2.00
3.50

9.40
16.70
8.60
2.90

AMBO
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
SENAMHI

12.60
16.20
5.80
11.60

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

AOS

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

SEPTIEMBRE

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006

154.80
57.40
111.20
78.50
83.90
84.10
72.40
13.70
66.40
66.20
63.00

59.00
36.30
78.70
68.40
85.40
76.70
43.40
68.80
74.00
85.10
119.50

68.60
96.50
91.00
62.10
99.70
57.20
75.60
140.50
136.20
85.80
86.10

50.80
48.20
81.40
19.00
44.10
47.20
44.30
74.60
47.60
22.60
57.10

2.40
24.00
5.80
41.10
6.20
18.90
32.60
1.80
1.00
18.60
5.20

10.10
7.00
17.70
7.70
6.70
7.50
6.80
0.00
0.00
4.40
12.30

31.40
3.60
3.50
2.20
2.90
3.50
0.00
14.00
3.40
1.00
0.00

4.20
6.60
21.90
7.90
2.50
8.50
1.00
4.10
1.00
5.40
7.20

0.00
33.90
18.10
32.90
15.90
39.90
9.50
40.90
1.50
12.00
8.50

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)


2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

Estacion
Parametro
Fuente

JACAS CHICO
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
SENAMHI

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

AOS

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

SEPTIEMBRE

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001

34.17
21.60
33.25
27.21
34.62
26.28
50.04
64.63
75.10
32.71
32.86
25.15
38.90
31.39

54.38
39.25
56.31
21.60
84.33
43.76
82.92
48.68
66.20
41.64
26.28
19.42
22.30
46.10

49.12
66.50
48.31
41.42
58.38
37.20
109.21
27.94
31.05
61.73
28.16
50.39
30.33
51.42

29.14
29.93
26.90
32.30
44.47
36.66
42.21
16.20
40.40
34.77
12.91
23.02
10.54
49.55

12.50
11.36
14.20
14.71
13.40
15.06
9.60
9.95
14.76
15.30
10.66
14.68
6.02
21.61

8.00
7.50
9.00
9.91
8.24
10.29
8.89
5.78
9.41
10.58
14.19
7.83
4.96
7.81

5.20
5.81
6.16
5.52
5.84
7.58
6.20
5.19
6.60
5.84
6.76
5.55
3.37
5.43

4.20
5.51
5.58
3.23
7.06
5.58
4.90
4.09
5.34
5.26
4.74
4.28
4.11
3.73

3.72
5.00
5.49
2.43
5.18
10.44
4.80
3.63
4.50
6.13
4.90
1.77
3.81
4.73

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)


2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

Estacion
Parametro
Fuente

44.10
32.02
25.30
45.90
32.82
38.90

74.90
33.93
25.63
41.30
71.16
52.54

84.30
83.91
25.26
27.72
53.32
47.81

64.28
47.74
26.18
14.39
21.55
35.40

19.11
18.48
12.30
9.29
7.81
10.33

7.37
11.38
7.94
6.41
4.74
6.58

5.40
9.67
6.55
5.87
4.43
5.61

3.65
7.10
5.98
5.46
3.47
4.16

CARPISH
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL
SENAMHI

3.66
7.28
5.92
4.10
3.19
4.02

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

AOS

ENERO

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

SEPTIEMBRE

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996

101.30
91.60
95.70
78.40
93.50
95.70
91.80
93.00
93.30

82.40
76.90
92.90
80.60
94.40
97.20
78.40
81.70
93.70

70.30
96.70
89.10
82.90
85.20
74.80
67.30
67.80
90.00

48.00
52.10
55.30
47.20
55.80
56.90
48.10
35.90
45.10

22.50
26.70
28.90
22.90
26.10
26.60
29.60
21.00
22.30

17.50
11.30
7.40
3.50
6.70
12.90
19.50
4.10
11.40

10.20
11.70
14.10
20.70
9.50
10.40
5.70
5.80
10.10

32.60
12.90
32.20
16.40
11.30
12.90
9.70
22.10
25.20

33.10
44.60
45.70
37.00
22.20
26.70
27.50
35.40
22.10

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)


1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

102.70

94.40

85.90

53.70

16.70

8.90

5.60

12.90

10.70

98.40
91.60
99.80
91.20
90.50
92.70

89.60
80.10
81.60
83.40
92.70
81.20

80.10
71.00
75.90
91.60
77.90
77.80

47.40
53.40
45.90
48.10
39.80
36.10

23.70
35.60
31.60
22.60
28.20
27.70

14.80
14.00
16.30
15.30
17.50
18.30

7.90
11.80
5.90
2.20
0.10
9.90

26.30
9.70
6.90
31.00
12.90
22.70

31.00
42.30
19.30
28.40
16.90
21.90

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)

O CAYHUAYNA
ACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

52.10
61.30
45.90
102.70
16.40
69.50
57.90
83.90
65.00
84.10
43.80
13.50
44.30
86.00
40.90
71.60
50.40
33.10
88.10
63.00
88.50
89.60
36.20
56.40

40.20
66.50
49.70
106.30
112.40
74.00
46.10
113.40
57.00
34.90
106.20
34.70
90.40
66.20
74.30
41.30
50.30
41.70
65.30
66.90
81.50
101.70
85.20
83.10

43.00
31.70
19.90
30.10
22.80
41.90
82.30
9.80
32.60
42.70
28.80
52.80
29.10
20.60
25.90
57.60
26.00
69.30
39.10
3.10
22.30
30.30
46.20
56.50

13.70
16.00
8.60
4.00
3.80
54.00
14.10
18.10
6.30
6.50
14.80
33.00
3.00
0.00
16.80
23.40
3.60
23.00
15.00
2.80
18.40
10.10
10.40
18.20

5.80
8.00
0.60
2.40
6.40
8.60
2.90
12.90
10.70
0.00
11.50
15.10
10.10
12.40
12.30
0.00
1.40
0.00
2.20
2.10
15.10
16.00
3.30
2.90

1.60
4.00
46.80
4.20
0.30
0.00
5.90
4.00
8.90
6.20
0.00
1.50
4.80
0.00
5.90
0.00
1.20
0.10
0.00
0.00
8.60
3.60
8.40
12.80

3.00
7.40
5.70
11.50
3.60
6.50
16.00
15.80
4.00
1.90
2.50
7.10
0.00
36.00
6.30
0.00
0.40
5.30
9.60
2.80
0.60
17.10
10.20
4.10

:09 58' "S"


76 15' "W"
1947 msnm

SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE
9.60
8.80
7.40
6.00
1.60
7.80
20.60
12.10
11.00
0.80
12.00
10.90
8.20
2.00
8.00
32.70
7.20
2.30
7.60
3.80
57.60
11.90
7.40
8.40

38.00
19.20
49.90
39.70
6.70
17.20
7.00
12.90
23.20
14.50
75.90
86.80
32.30
97.40
16.60
64.40
23.20
23.60
29.80
29.30
20.70
9.50
36.90
110.80

Dpto.
Prov.
Dist.
NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
26.00
45.00
74.70
40.00
53.00
100.00
41.20
32.60
43.70
18.80
41.30
77.00
40.20
37.40
94.10
20.40
48.80
57.80
41.50
64.50
33.80
41.20
72.70
40.80

37.00
50.60
82.70
45.40
72.00
50.30
45.20
56.70
38.40
12.10
0.00
62.20
39.60
21.60
48.50
41.00
59.00
15.70
59.30
34.00
58.20
52.90
55.40
20.30

Huanuc
Huanuc
Pillko M

TOTA
ANUA
318.8
390.9
433.9
498.1
348.7
487.1
360.0
463.8
336.4
311.4
393.4
440.4
327.7
417.0
367.1
418.3
310.2
331.4
426.4
365.8
487.9
452.1
417.5
443.8

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)


26.90
31.70
45.00
48.40

70.50
59.60
92.70
112.70

24.60
31.20
12.20
38.60

14.30
24.80
1.40
2.00

0.30
5.10
0.00
6.20

0.10
5.60
2.00
3.50

9.40
16.70
8.60
2.90

12.60
16.20
5.80
11.60

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

ACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

59.00
36.30
78.70
68.40
85.40
76.70
43.40
68.80
74.00
85.10
119.50

68.60
96.50
91.00
62.10
99.70
57.20
75.60
140.50
136.20
85.80
86.10

50.80
48.20
81.40
19.00
44.10
47.20
44.30
74.60
47.60
22.60
57.10

2.40
24.00
5.80
41.10
6.20
18.90
32.60
1.80
1.00
18.60
5.20

10.10
7.00
17.70
7.70
6.70
7.50
6.80
0.00
0.00
4.40
12.30

31.40
3.60
3.50
2.20
2.90
3.50
0.00
14.00
3.40
1.00
0.00

4.20
6.60
21.90
7.90
2.50
8.50
1.00
4.10
1.00
5.40
7.20

17.10
28.60
51.50
46.00

:09 58' "S"


76 15' "W"
1947 msnm

SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE
0.00
33.90
18.10
32.90
15.90
39.90
9.50
40.90
1.50
12.00
8.50

76.50
34.80
26.30
66.70

47.40
19.90
42.70
52.90
35.70
15.60
43.80
20.30
37.30
60.80
76.00

83.10
104.60
106.90
89.10

Dpto.
Prov.
Dist.
NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
16.60
57.20
58.10
59.40
45.20
135.10
64.20
87.00
63.60
103.50
60.80

52.10
77.90
64.50
86.60
25.50
47.80
60.20
64.80
86.70
79.10
59.30

380.1
392.5
385.0
509.6

HUANUC
AMBO
AMBO

TOTA
ANUA

497.4
468.5
594.6
518.7
453.7
542.0
453.8
530.5
518.7
544.5
555.0
525.5
498.3
519.8
507.7
520.1
494.2
499.2
522.1

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)

507.4
537.4
528.4
519.9
526.4
510.8
513.8
512.0
543.0

ICO
ACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

54.38
39.25
56.31
21.60
84.33
43.76
82.92
48.68
66.20
41.64
26.28
19.42
22.30
46.10

49.12
66.50
48.31
41.42
58.38
37.20
109.21
27.94
31.05
61.73
28.16
50.39
30.33
51.42

29.14
29.93
26.90
32.30
44.47
36.66
42.21
16.20
40.40
34.77
12.91
23.02
10.54
49.55

12.50
11.36
14.20
14.71
13.40
15.06
9.60
9.95
14.76
15.30
10.66
14.68
6.02
21.61

8.00
7.50
9.00
9.91
8.24
10.29
8.89
5.78
9.41
10.58
14.19
7.83
4.96
7.81

5.20
5.81
6.16
5.52
5.84
7.58
6.20
5.19
6.60
5.84
6.76
5.55
3.37
5.43

4.20
5.51
5.58
3.23
7.06
5.58
4.90
4.09
5.34
5.26
4.74
4.28
4.11
3.73

:09 53' "S"


76 30' "W"
3673 msnm

SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE
3.72
5.00
5.49
2.43
5.18
10.44
4.80
3.63
4.50
6.13
4.90
1.77
3.81
4.73

6.35
9.06
8.76
3.09
12.06
9.32
6.14
3.98
5.35
8.56
14.65
2.95
12.90
8.91

Dpto.
Prov.
Dist.
NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
7.77
17.58
23.05
2.56
22.97
14.67
7.91
7.81
5.00
11.46
28.11
4.98
19.30
23.90

11.78
28.38
26.06
10.13
26.13
24.31
10.27
13.81
8.58
11.54
22.72
8.86
38.90
28.60

HUANUC
YAROW
JACAS C

TOTA
ANUA

226.3
247.4
263.0
174.1
322.6
241.1
343.0
211.6
272.2
245.5
206.9
168.8
195.4
283.1

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)


74.90
33.93
25.63
41.30
71.16
52.54

84.30
83.91
25.26
27.72
53.32
47.81

64.28
47.74
26.18
14.39
21.55
35.40

19.11
18.48
12.30
9.29
7.81
10.33

7.37
11.38
7.94
6.41
4.74
6.58

5.40
9.67
6.55
5.87
4.43
5.61

3.65
7.10
5.98
5.46
3.47
4.16

3.66
7.28
5.92
4.10
3.19
4.02

LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTURA

ACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

JULIO

AGOSTO

82.40
76.90
92.90
80.60
94.40
97.20
78.40
81.70
93.70

70.30
96.70
89.10
82.90
85.20
74.80
67.30
67.80
90.00

48.00
52.10
55.30
47.20
55.80
56.90
48.10
35.90
45.10

22.50
26.70
28.90
22.90
26.10
26.60
29.60
21.00
22.30

17.50
11.30
7.40
3.50
6.70
12.90
19.50
4.10
11.40

10.20
11.70
14.10
20.70
9.50
10.40
5.70
5.80
10.10

32.60
12.90
32.20
16.40
11.30
12.90
9.70
22.10
25.20

8.87
8.07
5.92
10.70
3.99
19.10

:09 40' "S"


76 05' "W"
3184 msnm

SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE
33.10
44.60
45.70
37.00
22.20
26.70
27.50
35.40
22.10

10.37
10.91
7.46
24.20
5.35
21.90

12.10
13.90
20.80
31.90
26.70
35.90
27.00
61.00
26.80

12.05
13.31
11.03
35.70
9.58
39.70

Dpto.
Prov.
Dist.
NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
50.10
69.10
55.10
41.90
44.40
59.10
38.60
79.10
32.80

90.50
90.40
81.00
72.20
72.00
80.90
75.10
81.70
85.40

338.0
283.8
165.4
231.0
221.4
286.0
228.6
234.9
241.0
236.4
247.6
245.4
246.8
224.8

HUANUC
HUANUC
CHINCH

TOTA
ANUA

570.6
597.9
618.2
535.6
547.8
590.0
518.3
588.6
558.2

PRECIPITACION COMPLETADA ANUALMENTE (mm)


94.40

85.90

53.70

16.70

8.90

5.60

12.90

10.70

11.90

33.20

74.10

510.7

89.60
80.10
81.60
83.40
92.70
81.20

80.10
71.00
75.90
91.60
77.90
77.80

47.40
53.40
45.90
48.10
39.80
36.10

23.70
35.60
31.60
22.60
28.20
27.70

14.80
14.00
16.30
15.30
17.50
18.30

7.90
11.80
5.90
2.20
0.10
9.90

26.30
9.70
6.90
31.00
12.90
22.70

31.00
42.30
19.30
28.40
16.90
21.90

19.70
45.70
27.60
15.00
36.10
37.90

33.40
57.10
30.70
55.60
51.90
66.70

68.10
80.30
69.60
88.70
66.10
92.90

540.4
592.6
511.1
573.1
530.6
585.8
527.7
536.6
570.6
549.9
588.8
578.5
567.7
576.0
555.1
559.4
556.8
594.6

DATOS ANUALES COMPLETADOS DE LAS 4 ESTACIONES


VALORES DE PRECIPITACION ANUAL
AO

PILLCO
MARCA

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
PROMEDIO

318.80
390.90
433.90
498.10
348.70
487.10
360.00
463.80
336.40
311.40
393.40
440.40
327.70
417.00
367.10
418.30
310.20
331.40
426.40
365.80
487.90
452.10
417.50
443.80
380.10
392.50
385.00
509.60
400.55

497.40
468.50
594.60
518.70
453.70
542.00
453.80
530.50
518.70
544.50
555.00
525.56
498.36
519.80
507.71
520.11
494.26
499.23
522.10
507.40
537.47
528.47
519.92
526.41
510.83
513.82
512.01
543.00
516.57

226.33
247.48
263.07
174.11
322.68
241.15
343.09
211.69
272.29
245.52
206.94
168.88
195.44
283.18
338.06
283.80
165.47
231.04
221.41
286.05
228.64
234.96
241.06
236.42
247.66
245.47
246.80
224.81
244.05

570.60
597.90
618.20
535.60
547.80
590.00
518.30
588.60
558.20
510.70
540.40
592.60
511.10
573.10
530.60
585.80
527.70
536.62
570.64
549.95
588.82
578.53
567.79
576.03
555.12
559.46
556.85
594.69
561.85

VALORES DE PRECIPITACION ANUAL ACUMULADO


PROMEDIO DE LAS 5
ESTACIONES
PILLCO MARCA
AMBO
JACAS CHICO
CARPISH
MEDIA
ACUMULADO

403.28
426.20
477.44
431.63
418.22
465.06
418.80
448.65
421.40
403.03
423.94
431.86
383.15
448.27
435.87
452.00
374.41
399.57
435.14
427.30
460.71
448.52
436.57
445.67
423.43
427.81
425.17
468.02
430.75

403.28
829.48
1306.92
1738.55
2156.77
2621.83
3040.63
3489.28
3910.67
4313.70
4737.64
5169.50
5552.65
6000.92
6436.78
6888.79
7263.20
7662.77
8097.91
8525.21
8985.91
9434.43
9870.99
10316.66
10740.09
11167.90
11593.07
12061.09
6225.59

318.80
709.70
1143.60
1641.70
1990.40
2477.50
2837.50
3301.30
3637.70
3949.10
4342.50
4782.90
5110.60
5527.60
5894.70
6313.00
6623.20
6954.60
7381.00
7746.80
8234.70
8686.80
9104.30
9548.10
9928.20
10320.70
10705.70
11215.30
5729.57

497.40
965.90
1560.50
2079.20
2532.90
3074.90
3528.70
4059.20
4577.90
5122.40
5677.40
6202.96
6701.32
7221.12
7728.82
8248.94
8743.20
9242.43
9764.54
10271.93
10809.40
11337.87
11857.79
12384.20
12895.03
13408.85
13920.86
14463.86
7459.98

226.33
473.81
736.88
910.99
1233.67
1474.82
1817.91
2029.60
2301.89
2547.41
2754.35
2923.23
3118.67
3401.85
3739.91
4023.71
4189.18
4420.22
4641.63
4927.68
5156.32
5391.27
5632.33
5868.75
6116.42
6361.89
6608.69
6833.49
3566.53

570.60
1168.50
1786.70
2322.30
2870.10
3460.10
3978.40
4567.00
5125.20
5635.90
6176.30
6768.90
7280.00
7853.10
8383.70
8969.50
9497.20
10033.82
10604.46
11154.41
11743.23
12321.76
12889.55
13465.59
14020.71
14580.17
15137.02
15731.71
8146.28

CURVA ANLISIS VISUAL GRFICO


ESTACIN DE PILLCO MARCA
AO

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

Precipitacin
Media
26.57
32.58
36.16
41.51
29.06
40.59
30.00
38.65
28.03
25.95
32.78
36.70
27.31
34.75
30.59
34.86
25.85
27.62
35.53
30.48
40.66
37.68
34.79
36.98
31.68
32.71

33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
PRECIPITACION
MEDIA ANUAL (mm)
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38

50

45

40

35

30

25

20
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2010

2015

CURVA ANLISIS VISUAL GRFICO

2014
2015

32.08
42.47

33.38
33.38

ESTACIN DE AMBO
AO

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Precipitacin
Media
41.45
39.04
49.55
43.23
37.81
45.17
37.82
44.21
43.23
45.38
46.25
43.80
41.53
43.32
42.31
43.34
41.19
41.60
43.51
42.28
44.79
44.04
43.33
43.87

43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
PRECIPITACION MEDIA ANUAL (mm)
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05

50

40

30
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2010

2015

2012
2013
2014
2015

CURVA ANLISIS VISUAL GRFICO


42.57
42.82
42.67
45.25

43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05

ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO


AO

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

Precipitacin
Media
18.86
20.62
21.92
14.51
26.89
20.10
28.59
17.64
22.69
20.46
17.25
14.07
16.29
23.60
28.17
23.65
13.79
19.25
18.45
23.84
19.05
19.58

20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
PRECIPITACION
MEDIA ANUAL (mm)
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34

40

30

20

10
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2010

2015

10
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2010

2015

AO DE REGISTRO

CURVA ANLISIS VISUAL GRFICO

2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

20.09
19.70
20.64
20.46
20.57
18.73

20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34

ESTACIN DE CARPISH
AO

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007

Precipitacin
Media
47.55
49.83
51.52
44.63
45.65
49.17
43.19
49.05
46.52
42.56
45.03
49.38
42.59
47.76
44.22
48.82
43.98
44.72
47.55
45.83

46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
PRECIPITACION
MEDIA ANUAL (mm)
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82

60

50

40
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

CURVA
49.07
48.21
47.32
48.00
46.26
46.62
46.40
49.56

46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82

40
1985VISUAL
1990
ANLISIS

1995
GRFICO

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2010

2015

CURVA ANLISIS VISUAL GRFICO

STACIN DE PILLCO MARCA


AO

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

Precipitacin
Media
26.57
32.58
36.16
41.51
29.06
40.59
30.00
38.65
28.03
25.95
32.78
36.70
27.31
34.75
30.59
34.86
25.85
27.62
35.53
30.48
40.66
37.68
34.79
36.98
31.68
32.71

33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
PRECIPITACION
MEDIA ANUAL (mm)
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38
33.38

50

45

40

35

30

25

20
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2010

2015

2020

CURVA ANLISIS VISUAL GRFICO

2014
2015

32.08
42.47

33.38
33.38

STACIN DE AMBO
AO

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Precipitacin
Media
41.45
39.04
49.55
43.23
37.81
45.17
37.82
44.21
43.23
45.38
46.25
43.80
41.53
43.32
42.31
43.34
41.19
41.60
43.51
42.28
44.79
44.04
43.33
43.87

43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
PRECIPITACION MEDIA ANUAL (mm)
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05

50

40

30
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2010

2015

2020

2012
2013
2014
2015

CURVA ANLISIS VISUAL GRFICO


42.57
42.82
42.67
45.25

43.05
43.05
43.05
43.05

STACIN DE JACAS CHICO


AO

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

Precipitacin
Media
18.86
20.62
21.92
14.51
26.89
20.10
28.59
17.64
22.69
20.46
17.25
14.07
16.29
23.60
28.17
23.65
13.79
19.25
18.45
23.84
19.05
19.58

20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
PRECIPITACION
MEDIA ANUAL (mm)
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34

40

30

20

10
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2010

2015

2020

10
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2010

2015

2020

AO DE REGISTRO

CURVA ANLISIS VISUAL GRFICO

2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

20.09
19.70
20.64
20.46
20.57
18.73

20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34
20.34

STACIN DE CARPISH
AO

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007

Precipitacin
Media
47.55
49.83
51.52
44.63
45.65
49.17
43.19
49.05
46.52
42.56
45.03
49.38
42.59
47.76
44.22
48.82
43.98
44.72
47.55
45.83

46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
PRECIPITACION
MEDIA ANUAL (mm)
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82

60

50

40
1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

CURVA
49.07
48.21
47.32
48.00
46.26
46.62
46.40
49.56

46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82
46.82

40
1985VISUAL
1990
ANLISIS

1995
GRFICO

2000

2005

AO DE REGISTRO

2010

2015

2020

ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA DE LOS DATOS DE PRECIPITACION

AO

VALORES DE PRECIPITACION ANUAL


PILLCO
AMBO JACAS CHICO
CARPISH
MARCA

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006

318.80
390.90
433.90
498.10
348.70
487.10
360.00
463.80
336.40
311.40
393.40
440.40
327.70
417.00
367.10
418.30
310.20
331.40
426.40
365.80
487.90
452.10
417.50
443.80
380.10
392.50
385.00
509.60

497.40
468.50
594.60
518.70
453.70
542.00
453.80
530.50
518.70
544.50
555.00
525.56
498.36
519.80
507.71
520.11
494.26
499.23
522.10
507.40
537.47
528.47
519.92
526.41
510.83
513.82
512.01
543.00

226.33
247.48
263.07
174.11
322.68
241.15
343.09
211.69
272.29
245.52
206.94
168.88
195.44
283.18
338.06
283.80
165.47
231.04
221.41
286.05
228.64
234.96
241.06
236.42
247.66
245.47
246.80
224.81

570.60
597.90
618.20
535.60
547.80
590.00
518.30
588.60
558.20
510.70
540.40
592.60
511.10
573.10
530.60
585.80
527.70
536.62
570.64
549.95
588.82
578.53
567.79
576.03
555.12
559.46
556.85
594.69

VALORES DE PRECIPITACIO
PROMEDIO DE LAS 5
ESTACIONES
PILLCO MARCA
MEDIA/AO ACUMULADO

403.28
426.20
477.44
431.63
418.22
465.06
418.80
448.65
421.40
403.03
423.94
431.86
383.15
448.27
435.87
452.00
374.41
399.57
435.14
427.30
460.71
448.52
436.57
445.67
423.43
427.81
425.17
468.02

403.28
829.48
1306.92
1738.55
2156.77
2621.83
3040.63
3489.28
3910.67
4313.70
4737.64
5169.50
5552.65
6000.92
6436.78
6888.79
7263.20
7662.77
8097.91
8525.21
8985.91
9434.43
9870.99
10316.66
10740.09
11167.90
11593.07
12061.09

318.80
709.70
1143.60
1641.70
1990.40
2477.50
2837.50
3301.30
3637.70
3949.10
4342.50
4782.90
5110.60
5527.60
5894.70
6313.00
6623.20
6954.60
7381.00
7746.80
8234.70
8686.80
9104.30
9548.10
9928.20
10320.70
10705.70
11215.30

PROMEDIO

400.55

516.57

244.05

561.85

430.75

6225.59

5729.57

CURVA DE DOBLE MASA


26000
24000
22000
20000

PRECIPITACION
ANUAL ACUMULADA (mm)
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

PRECIPITACION ANUAL PROMEDIO ACUMULADA- (mm)


PILLCO MARCA

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

11000

12000

0
0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

PRECIPITACION ANUAL PROMEDIO ACUMULADA- (mm)


PILLCO MARCA

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

CURVA DE DOBLE MASA REFERIDO A LA ESTACION PATRON PILLCO MARCA


26000
24000
22000
20000
18000
16000
14000
PRECIPITACION ANUAL ACUMULADA (mm)
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

PRECIPITACION ANUAL ACUMULADA- ESTACION PILLCO MARCA (mm)

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

10000

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

PRECIPITACION ANUAL ACUMULADA- ESTACION PILLCO MARCA (mm)

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

10000

STENCIA DE LOS DATOS DE PRECIPITACION


VALORES DE PRECIPITACION ANUAL ACUMULADO
AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

497.40
965.90
1560.50
2079.20
2532.90
3074.90
3528.70
4059.20
4577.90
5122.40
5677.40
6202.96
6701.32
7221.12
7728.82
8248.94
8743.20
9242.43
9764.54
10271.93
10809.40
11337.87
11857.79
12384.20
12895.03
13408.85
13920.86
14463.86

226.33
473.81
736.88
910.99
1233.67
1474.82
1817.91
2029.60
2301.89
2547.41
2754.35
2923.23
3118.67
3401.85
3739.91
4023.71
4189.18
4420.22
4641.63
4927.68
5156.32
5391.27
5632.33
5868.75
6116.42
6361.89
6608.69
6833.49

570.60
1168.50
1786.70
2322.30
2870.10
3460.10
3978.40
4567.00
5125.20
5635.90
6176.30
6768.90
7280.00
7853.10
8383.70
8969.50
9497.20
10033.82
10604.46
11154.41
11743.23
12321.76
12889.55
13465.59
14020.71
14580.17
15137.02
15731.71

7459.98

3566.53

8146.28

RVA DE DOBLE MASA

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

ON ANUAL PROMEDIO ACUMULADA- (mm)

RCA

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

11000

12000

13000

14000

15000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

13000

14000

15000

ON ANUAL PROMEDIO ACUMULADA- (mm)

RCA

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

ERIDO A LA ESTACION PATRON PILLCO MARCA-HUANUCO

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

ANUAL ACUMULADA- ESTACION PILLCO MARCA (mm)

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

10000

11000

12000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

ANUAL ACUMULADA- ESTACION PILLCO MARCA (mm)

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

10000

11000

12000

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCION
ESTACION : HUANUCO CAYHUAYNA

AOS
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

SUMA

TOTAL
ANUAL (x)
318.80
390.90
433.90
498.10
348.70
487.10
360.00
463.80
336.40
311.40
393.40
440.40
327.70
417.00
367.10
418.30
310.20
331.40
426.40
365.80
487.90
452.10
417.50
443.80
380.10
392.50
385.00
509.60
11215.30

Xm

X2

400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55

101633.44
152802.81
188269.21
248103.61
121591.69
237266.41
129600.00
215110.44
113164.96
96969.96
154763.56
193952.16
107387.29
173889.00
134762.41
174974.89
96224.04
109825.96
181816.96
133809.64
238046.41
204394.41
174306.25
196958.44
144476.01
154056.25
148225.00
259692.16
4586073.37

PARAMETROS MUESTRALES
MEDIDAS DE TENDENCIA
CENTRAL

MEDIA

400.55

MEDIDAS DE TENDENCIA
CENTRAL

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCION
MEDIANA
MODA
VARIANZA

392.95
#VALUE!
3475.00

DESVIACION
ESTANDAR

58.95

COEFICIENTE
VARIACION

0.15

MEDIDA DE SIMETRIA Y
ASIMETRIA

COEFICIENTE
DE SESGO

0.17

MEDIDA DE ACHATAMIENTO

COEFICIENTE
DE CURTOSIS

2.34

Xm

X2

516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57

247406.76
219492.25
353549.16
269049.69
205843.69
293764
205934.44
281430.25
269049.69
296480.25
308025
276216.492676
248362.904233
270187.20
257765.805256
270518.679487
244297.251584
249231.126836
272593.243721
257449.950751
288872.373417
279281.408274
270314.6429

MEDIDAS DE DISPERSION

ESTACION : AMBO

AOS
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

TOTAL
ANUAL (x)
497.40
468.50
594.60
518.70
453.70
542.00
453.80
530.50
518.70
544.50
555.00
525.56
498.36
519.80
507.71
520.11
494.26
499.23
522.10
507.40
537.47
528.47
519.92

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCION
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

526.41

SUMA

14463.86

516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57

510.83
513.82
512.01
543.00

277103.668467
260945.74192
264015.460659
262154.49
294845.506809
7494181.1226

PARAMETROS MUESTRALES
MEDIA
MEDIANA
MODA
VARIANZA

516.57
519.25
#VALUE!
838.50

DESVIACION
ESTANDAR

28.96

COEFICIENTE
VARIACION

0.06

MEDIDA DE SIMETRIA Y
ASIMETRIA

COEFICIENTE
DE SESGO

-0.06

MEDIDA DE ACHATAMIENTO

COEFICIENTE
DE CURTOSIS

4.96

Xm

X2

244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05

51225.2689
61246.3504
69205.8249
30314.2921
104122.3824
58153.3225
117710.75
44812.66

MEDIDAS DE TENDENCIA
CENTRAL

MEDIDAS DE DISPERSION

ESTACION : JACAS CHICO

AOS
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995

TOTAL
ANUAL (x)
226.33
247.48
263.07
174.11
322.68
241.15
343.09
211.69

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCION
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

272.29

SUMA

6833.49

245.52
206.94
168.88
195.44
283.18
338.06
283.80
165.47
231.04
221.41
286.05
228.64
234.96
241.06
236.42
247.66
245.47
246.80
224.81

244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05

74141.8441
60280.0704
42824.1636
28520.4544
38196.7936
80190.91
114284.5636
80542.44
27380.3209
53379.4816
49022.3881
81824.6025
52274.9617842
55203.928747
58110.5826397
55894.3909779
61336.3247289
60257.1723564
60908.74
50538.4437246
1721903.4265

PARAMETROS MUESTRALES
MEDIA
MEDIANA
MODA
VARIANZA

244.05
241.11
#VALUE!
2006.17

DESVIACION
ESTANDAR

44.79

COEFICIENTE
VARIACION

0.18

MEDIDA DE SIMETRIA Y
ASIMETRIA

COEFICIENTE
DE SESGO

0.46

MEDIDA DE ACHATAMIENTO

COEFICIENTE
DE CURTOSIS

3.60

MEDIDAS DE TENDENCIA
CENTRAL

MEDIDAS DE DISPERSION

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCION
ESTACION : CARPISH

AOS

TOTAL
ANUAL (x)

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

570.60

SUMA

15731.71

597.90
618.20
535.60
547.80
590.00
518.30
588.60
558.20
510.70
540.40
592.60
511.10
573.10
530.60
585.80
527.70
536.62
570.64
549.95
588.82
578.53
567.79
576.03
555.12
559.46
556.85
594.69

Xm

X2

561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85

325584.36
357484.41
382171.24
286867.36
300084.84
348100
268634.89
346449.96
311587.24
260814.49
292032.16
351174.76
261223.21
328443.61
281536.36
343161.64
278467.700738
287963.069924
325626.329805
302444.829389
346708.047751
334702.6388
322385.700486
331815.550783
308163.688162
312992.334569
310085.85
353658.237827
8860364.5051

PARAMETROS MUESTRALES

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCION
MEDIA
MEDIANA
MODA
VARIANZA

561.85
563.62
#VALUE!
798.09

DESVIACION
ESTANDAR

28.25

COEFICIENTE
VARIACION

0.050

MEDIDA DE SIMETRIA Y
ASIMETRIA

COEFICIENTE
DE SESGO

-0.16

MEDIDA DE ACHATAMIENTO

COEFICIENTE
DE CURTOSIS

2.56

MEDIDAS DE TENDENCIA
CENTRAL

MEDIDAS DE DISPERSION

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCIONES

HUANUCO CAYHUAYNA

TOTAL
ANUAL (x)
318.80
390.90
433.90
498.10
348.70
487.10
360.00
463.80
336.40
311.40
393.40
440.40
327.70
417.00
367.10
418.30
310.20
331.40
426.40
365.80
487.90
452.10
417.50
443.80
380.10
392.50
385.00
509.60
11215.30

TENDENCIA
RAL

Xm

X2

400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55
400.55

101633.44
152802.81
188269.21
248103.61
121591.69
237266.41
129600.00
215110.44
113164.96
96969.96
154763.56
193952.16
107387.29
173889.00
134762.41
174974.89
96224.04
109825.96
181816.96
133809.64
238046.41
204394.41
174306.25
196958.44
144476.01
154056.25
148225.00
259692.16
4586073.37

X3

400.55

(X-XM)3

32400740.672
10329356126.2 -546268.7582621
59730618.429
23348698743.9 -897.6347531432
81690010.219
35445295434 37104.538320836
123580408.14
61555401295 928388.00477747
42399022.30
14784539077.1 -139365.9040822
115572468.31
56295349314.3 648417.87435655
46656000.00
16796160000 -66658.85039983
99768222.07
46272501397 253078.44371497
38068692.544
12806308171.8 -263947.43416
30196445.544
9403173142.4 -708454.3101167
60883984.50
23951759503.9 -364.97840748
85416531.264
37617440368.7 63299.712676703
35190814.933
11532030053.5 -386567.0148858
72511713
30237384321 4454.3110670098
49471280.711
18160907149 -37415.30166386
73191996.487
30616212130.5 5595.7357238975
29848697.208
9259065873.92 -737450.6593054
36396323.144
12061741489.9 -330604.8807799
77526751.744
33057406943.6 17280.71214099
48947566.312
17905019756.9 -41949.86003503
116142843.439
56666093313.9 666564.21895859
92406712.761
41777074839.2 137017.57301727
72772859.375
30382668789.1 4872.8562647139
87410155.672
38792627087.2 80921.871521091
54915331.401
20873317465.5 -8547.761166409
60467078.125
23733328164.1 -520.9661204902
57066625
21970650625 -3757.438728909
132339124.736
67440017965.5 1296939.385039
1912969018.051 813071528542 871163.4847117

PARAMETROS MUESTRALES POBLACIONALES


MEDIA

X4

400.55

TENDENCIA
RAL

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCIONES
MEDIANA
MODA
VARIANZA

392.95
#VALUE!
3475.00

392.95
#VALUE!
3350.89

DESVIACION
ESTANDAR

58.95

57.89

COEFICIENTE
VARIACION

0.15

0.14

IMETRIA Y
TRIA

COEFICIENTE
DE SESGO

0.17

0.16

HATAMIENTO

COEFICIENTE
DE CURTOSIS

2.34

2.01

Xm

X2

X3

X4

(X-XM)3

516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57

247406.76
219492.25
353549.16
269049.69
205843.69
293764
205934.44
281430.25
269049.69
296480.25
308025
276216.492676
248362.904233
270187.20
257765.805256
270518.679487
244297.251584
249231.126836
272593.243721
257449.950751
288872.373417
279281.408274
270314.6429

123060122.424
102832119.125
210220330.536
139556074.20
93391282.15
159220088.00
93453048.87
149298747.63
139556074.203
161433496.125
170953875.00
145169175.29593
123774190.436183
140442047.249133
130869353.25751
140700580.156722
120747423.225889
124423788.729141
142322194.406349
130628884.921315
155259797.180885
147592075.021897
140541426.716616

61210104893.7
48176847810.1
124997008537
72387735689.1
42371624712.8
86297287696
42408993578.1
79202985615.1
72387735689.1
87900538640.1
94879400625
76295550826.5
61684132199.3
73001122065.4
66443210359.2
73180355951.6
59681147131.7
62116154584
74307076522.3
66280477141.4
83447248123.7
77998105007.7
73070006166.2

-7040.720737772
-111051.1307225
475166.74711701
9.713587254
-248458.8068264
16452.311338531
-247275.0390519
2705.180444334
9.713587254
21796.35304232
56772.164650099
728.1962100945
-6034.649733388
33.6672641888
-695.4869212513
44.6545765282
-11092.52042181
-5209.926129195
169.8745839178
-771.365821786
9132.1500239924
1687.0660140291
37.6487948013

DISPERSION

MBO

TOTAL
ANUAL (x)
497.40
468.50
594.60
518.70
453.70
542.00
453.80
530.50
518.70
544.50
555.00
525.56
498.36
519.80
507.71
520.11
494.26
499.23
522.10
507.40
537.47
528.47
519.92

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCIONES
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57
516.57

526.41
510.83
513.82
512.01
543.00

14463.86

277103.668467
260945.74192
264015.460659
262154.49
294845.506809
7494181.1226

145869136.781275
133298518.224506
135657571.950555
134225782.396439
160100161.804388
3894597366.0207

76786443077.6
68092680225.9
69704163466.8
68724975259
86933872885.5
2.030E+12

952.7750973626
-188.9065581157
-20.6155729839
-94.5752382751
18463.484702797
-33772.0427009

PARAMETROS MUESTRALES POBLACIONALES


MEDIA
MEDIANA
MODA
VARIANZA

516.57
519.25
#VALUE!
838.50

516.57
519.25
#VALUE!
808.55

DESVIACION
ESTANDAR

28.96

28.43

COEFICIENTE
VARIACION

0.06

0.06

IMETRIA Y
TRIA

COEFICIENTE
DE SESGO

-0.06

-0.05

HATAMIENTO

COEFICIENTE
DE CURTOSIS

4.96

4.27

Xm

X2

X3

X4

(X-XM)3

244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05

51225.2689
61246.3504
69205.8249
30314.2921
104122.3824
58153.3225
117710.75
44812.66

11593815.110137
15157246.796992
18205976.356443
5278021.40
33598210.35
14023673.72
40385380.57
9486391.17

2624028173.88
3751115437.32
4789446200.09
918956305.524
10841470516.7
3381808917.79
13855820218.3
2008174146.74

-5567.19014764
40.2361498647
6877.0682269262
-342167.6418342
486082.10133846
-24.4731410192
971377.57414298
-33896.87411164

TENDENCIA
RAL

DISPERSION

ACAS CHICO

TOTAL
ANUAL (x)
226.33
247.48
263.07
174.11
322.68
241.15
343.09
211.69

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCIONES
272.29
245.52
206.94
168.88
195.44
283.18
338.06
283.80
165.47
231.04
221.41
286.05
228.64
234.96
241.06
236.42
247.66
245.47
246.80
224.81

244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05
244.05

6833.49

74141.8441
60280.0704
42824.1636
28520.4544
38196.7936
80190.91
114284.5636
80542.44
27380.3209
53379.4816
49022.3881
81824.6025
52274.9617842
55203.928747
58110.5826397
55894.3909779
61336.3247289
60257.1723564
60908.74
50538.4437246
1721903.4265

20188082.729989
14799962.884608
8862032.42
4816534.339072
7465181.341184
22708462.573432
38635039.570616
22857944.472
4530621.699323
12332795.428864
10854046.949221
23405927.545125
11952000.0419535
12970448.0918729
14008216.4858659
13214548.9098489
15190659.331101
14791530.793987
15032092.2688983
11361424.7472681
447706268.08986

PARAMETROS MUESTRALES POBLACIONALES


MEDIA
MEDIANA
MODA
VARIANZA

244.05
241.11
#VALUE!
2006.17

244.05
241.11
#VALUE!
1934.52

DESVIACION
ESTANDAR

44.79

43.98

COEFICIENTE
VARIACION

0.18

0.18

IMETRIA Y
TRIA

COEFICIENTE
DE SESGO

0.46

0.43

HATAMIENTO

COEFICIENTE
DE CURTOSIS

3.60

3.10

TENDENCIA
RAL

DISPERSION

5497013046.55 22513.363456347
3633686887.43 3.1549771733
1833908988.04 -51119.87808989
813416319.182 -424806.7278768
1458995041.32 -114885.7447106
6430582431.54 59898.869345444
13060961477.2 830760.79091281
6487084641.15 62791.695511156
749681972.587 -485278.7827009
2849369055.88 -2203.765816993
2403194535.03 -11609.69880766
6695265574.28 74070.373051154
2732671629.54 -3663.764603109
3047473749.1 -753.1159335388
3376839814.73 -26.7836133277
3124182942.79 -444.7863837629
3762144731.26 46.9826971004
3630926820.39 2.8634858839
3709874718.12 20.6527302573
2554134294.11 -7128.616382541
120022228587 1030907.881872

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCIONES

ARPISH

TOTAL
ANUAL (x)
570.60
597.90
618.20
535.60
547.80
590.00
518.30
588.60
558.20
510.70
540.40
592.60
511.10
573.10
530.60
585.80
527.70
536.62
570.64
549.95
588.82
578.53
567.79
576.03
555.12
559.46
556.85
594.69

15731.71

Xm

X2

X3

X4

(X-XM)3

561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85
561.85

325584.36
357484.41
382171.24
286867.36
300084.84
348100
268634.89
346449.96
311587.24
260814.49
292032.16
351174.76
261223.21
328443.61
281536.36
343161.64
278467.700738
287963.069924
325626.329805
302444.829389
346708.047751
334702.6388
322385.700486
331815.550783
308163.688162
312992.334569
310085.85
353658.237827
8860364.5051

185778435.816
213739928.739
236258260.568
153646158.02
164386475.35
205379000.00
139233463.49
203920446.46
173927997.368
133197960.043
157814179.26
208106162.776
133511182.631
188231032.891
149383192.616
201024088.712
146947514.053174
154527291.419952
185814358.929576
166329486.321498
204148354.563273
193637160.063668
183047438.309527
191137148.894655
171069345.890127
175105808.388704
172672396.502373
210317624.553466
5002291892.625

106005175477
127795103393
146054856683
82292882233.4
90050911197.8
121173610000
72164704125.3
120027574784
97086608130.8
68024198194
85282782474.3
123323712061
68237565442.7
107875204950
79262722002
117759911167
77544260354.6
82922729640
106032506662
91472874824.3
120206470375
112025856420
103932539878
110101559741
94964858701.6
97964201499.2
96153232443.7
125074149183
2.83081E+012

670.6202910005
46862.52219942
178958.3802027
-18081.60779169
-2771.705401032
22313.920256047
-82579.74496402
19147.822830905
-48.5057382684
-133801.039048
-9865.003544864
29084.670311768
-130686.3117274
1424.9825602948
-30508.67371779
13743.01122006
-39814.50319252
-16050.7871167
679.1086480921
-1683.934818011
19622.345848265
4647.3857463336
209.9266910623
2855.655209463
-303.7395598545
-13.6481808607
-124.5083909331
35432.201036749
-90681.1601398

PARAMETROS MUESTRALES POBLACIONALES

MEDIDAS DE DISTRIBUCIONES
MEDIA
MEDIANA
MODA
VARIANZA

561.85
563.62
#VALUE!
798.09

561.85
563.62
#VALUE!
769.58

DESVIACION
ESTANDAR

28.25

27.74

COEFICIENTE
VARIACION

0.050

0.049

IMETRIA Y
TRIA

COEFICIENTE
DE SESGO

-0.16

-0.15

HATAMIENTO

COEFICIENTE
DE CURTOSIS

2.56

2.20

TENDENCIA
RAL

DISPERSION

GRFICO DE DATOS MUESTRALES

ESTACION
PILLCO MARCA
AMBO
JACAS CHICO
CARPISH

MEDIA

MEDIANA

400.55
516.57
244.05
561.85

392.95
519.25
241.11
563.62

MODA
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!

3000.00

1000.00
500.00

SESGO
0.17
-0.06
0.46
-0.16

CURTOSIS
2.34
4.96
3.60
2.56

2006.17

2500.00
1500.00

3475.00
838.50
2006.17
798.09

DESV.
COEFICIENTE DE
ESTANDAR
VARIACIN
58.95
0.15
28.96
0.06
44.79
0.18
28.25
0.05

3475.00

3500.00

2000.00

VARIANZA

561.85 563.62
244.05 241.11
516.57
519.25
400.55 392.95

0.00
-500.00

PILLCO MARCA

798.09
838.50

28.25
0.05
44.79
2.56
0.18
0.46
28.96
3.60
0.06
CARPISH
58.95
-0.164.96
0.15
JACAS CHICO
0.17
2.34
AMBO
-0.06
PILLCO MARCA

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

GRFICO DE DATOS POBLACIONALES

ESTACION

MEDIA

MEDIANA

MODA

VARIANZA

DESV.
ESTANDAR

COEFICIENTE DE
VARIACIN

SESGO

CURTOSIS

ESTACION
PILLCO MARCA
AMBO
JACAS CHICO
CARPISH

MEDIA

MEDIANA

400.55
516.57
244.05
561.85

392.95
519.25
241.11
563.62

3500.00

MODA
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!

1934.52

2500.00
1500.00
1000.00
500.00

3350.89
808.55
1934.52
769.58

DESV.
COEFICIENTE DE
ESTANDAR
VARIACIN
57.89
0.14
28.43
0.06
43.98
0.18
27.74
0.05

3350.89

3000.00
2000.00

VARIANZA

561.85 563.62
244.05 241.11
516.57
519.25
400.55 392.95

769.58
808.55

0.00
-500.00

PILLCO MARCA

27.74 0.05
43.98
2.20
0.18
0.43
28.43
3.10
0.06
57.89
-0.154.27
0.14
0.16
2.01
-0.05

AMBO

JACAS CHICO

CARPISH

SESGO
0.16
-0.05
0.43
-0.15

CURTOSIS
2.01
4.27
3.10
2.20

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE NORMAL DE LA ESTACIN DE P


AO
2004
1997
1988
2000
2005
1996
1992
1994
2007
2002
2012
2014
1989
2013
1998
2001
2010
2003
2006
1990
1999
2011
2009
1995
1993
2008
1991
2015

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

n= 28
X= 33.38
S= 4.91
= 0.0688
0= 0.2570

Prueba de Smirnov K
m

P(x)=m/n+1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

Como el delta terico 0.0688, es menor que el delta tabular 0.257


Normal, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2

0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos
39.68

20 aos
41.46

50 aos
43.47

100 aos
44.81

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE NORMAL DE LA ESTACIN D


AO
1992
1994
1989
2004
1988
2000
2005
2007
2002
2012
2014
2013
1991
1996
2001
2010
2003
2006
1999
2011
2009
1995
2008
1993
2015
1997
1998
1990

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25
45.38
46.25
49.55

Prueba de Smirnov K
m

P(x)=m/n+1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25
45.38
46.25

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310

n= 28
X= 43.05
S= 2.41

28

= 0.0998
0= 0.2570

49.55

0.9655

Como el delta terico 0.0998, es menor que el delta tabular 0.257


Normal, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

35

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos
46.14.

20 aos
47.02

50 aos
48

100 aos
48.66

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE NORMAL DE LA ESTACIN DE J


AO
2004
1999
1991
2000
1998
1995
2006
2015
1988
2008
2005
2009
2011
2010

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73
18.86
19.05
19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09

Prueba de Smirnov K
m

P(x)=m/n+1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73
18.86
19.05
19.25
19.58

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138

1993
2013
1997
2014
1989
2012
1990
1996
2001
2003
2007
1992
2002
1994

20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

n= 28
X= 20.34
S= 3.73
= 0.1574
0= 0.2570

19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

Como el delta terico 0.1574, es menor que el delta tabular 0.257


Normal, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos
25.12

20 aos
26.48

50 aos
28.01

100 aos
29.02

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE NORMAL DE LA ESTACIN DE


AO

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA

Prueba de Smirnov K

AO
1997
2000
1994
2004
2002
1991
2005
1998
1992
2007
2012
2014
1996
2013
2010
1988
2006
2001
2011
2009
2003
1995
2008
1993
1999
2015
1989
1990

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

n= 28
X= 46.82
S= 2.35
= 0.0779
0= 0.2570

P(x)=m/n+1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

Como el delta terico 0.0779, es menor que el delta tabular 0.257


Normal, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

20

30

40

0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

20

30
DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos
49.84

20 aos
50.69

50 aos
51.66

100 aos
52.30

40

TE NORMAL DE LA ESTACIN DE PILLCO MARCA


Prueba de Smirnov Kolmogorov
Z=(x-X)/S

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

-1.5326
-1.5123
-1.3867
-1.2358
-1.1730
-1.0882
-0.8795
-0.6878
-0.5894
-0.5674
-0.3468
-0.2637
-0.1636
-0.1365
-0.1212
0.2791
0.2876
0.3012
0.4386
0.5658
0.6761
0.7337
0.8745
1.0730
1.4683
1.4818
1.6549
1.8500

0.0627
0.0652
0.0829
0.1083
0.1205
0.1381
0.1896
0.2458
0.2775
0.2851
0.3647
0.3957
0.4354
0.4458
0.4515
0.6099
0.613
0.6185
0.6692
0.7143
0.7505
0.7682
0.8093
0.8583
0.9289
0.9308
0.951
0.9679

0.028
0.004
0.021
0.030
0.052
0.069
0.052
0.030
0.033
0.060
0.015
0.018
0.013
0.037
0.066
0.058
0.027
0.002
0.014
0.025
0.026
0.010
0.016
0.031
0.067
0.034
0.020
0.002

8, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin


nificacin del 5%

BUCIN NORMAL

20

25

30

35

40

45

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

AJUSTE NORMAL DE LA ESTACIN DE AMBO


Prueba de Smirnov Kolmogorov
Z=(x-X)/S

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

-2.1710
-2.1676
-1.6599
-0.7702
-0.6619
-0.6287
-0.5987
-0.3167
-0.3060
-0.1982
-0.1573
-0.0947
0.0737
0.0737
0.1115
0.1157
0.1225
0.1913
0.3107
0.3398
0.4111
0.4812
0.7218
0.8783
0.9128
0.9647
1.3273

0.015
0.015
0.049
0.221
0.254
0.265
0.275
0.376
0.380
0.422
0.438
0.462
0.529
0.529
0.544
0.546
0.549
0.576
0.622
0.633
0.660
0.685
0.765
0.810
0.819
0.833
0.908

0.019
0.054
0.055
0.083
0.082
0.058
0.033
0.100
0.069
0.077
0.058
0.049
0.081
0.047
0.027
0.006
0.037
0.045
0.033
0.057
0.065
0.074
0.028
0.017
0.043
0.064
0.023

2.6948

0.997

0.031

8, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin


nificacin del 5%

BUCIN NORMAL

25

30

35

40

45

50

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

STE NORMAL DE LA ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO


Prueba de Smirnov Kolmogorov
Z=(x-X)/S

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

-1.7545
-1.6783
-1.5616
-1.0854
-0.8286
-0.7226
-0.5055
-0.4297
-0.3957
-0.3442
-0.2905
-0.2031

0.0397
0.0465
0.0592
0.1391
0.2040
0.2349
0.3065
0.3333
0.3461
0.3650
0.3853
0.4195

0.005
0.022
0.044
0.001
0.032
0.028
0.065
0.057
0.036
0.020
0.006
0.006

-0.1704
-0.0668
-0.0648
0.0317
0.0327
0.0613
0.0765
0.0806
0.4246
0.6304
0.8736
0.8874
0.9376
1.7554
2.0988
2.2111

0.4322
0.4735
0.4746
0.5131
0.5131
0.5248
0.5301
0.5323
0.6642
0.7357
0.8089
0.8126
0.8260
0.9604
0.9821
0.9865

0.016
0.009
0.043
0.039
0.073
0.096
0.125
0.157
0.060
0.023
0.016
0.015
0.036
0.064
0.051
0.021

4, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin


nificacin del 5%

BUCIN NORMAL

15

20

25

DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

JUSTE NORMAL DE LA ESTACIN DE CARPISH


Prueba de Smirnov Kolmogorov

30

Z=(x-X)/S

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

-1.8105
-1.7963
-1.5415
-1.2087
-1.1061
-0.9291
-0.8929
-0.7592
-0.4972
-0.4211
-0.2379
-0.1768
-0.1291
-0.0846
0.2104
0.3098
0.3111
0.3983
0.5022
0.5907
0.8479
0.9470
0.9548
0.9966
1.0886
1.1626
1.2762
1.9948

0.035
0.036
0.062
0.114
0.135
0.176
0.186
0.223
0.310
0.337
0.406
0.429
0.449
0.466
0.584
0.622
0.622
0.655
0.692
0.722
0.802
0.828
0.830
0.841
0.861
0.878
0.899
0.977

0.001
0.033
0.042
0.024
0.038
0.031
0.055
0.052
0.001
0.008
0.026
0.015
0.001
0.017
0.067
0.070
0.035
0.034
0.037
0.033
0.078
0.069
0.037
0.013
0.001
0.019
0.032
0.011

9, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin


nificacin del 5%

BUCIN NORMAL

30

40

50

30
DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

40

50

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG- NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

AO
2004
1997
1988
2000
2005
1996
1992
1994
2007
2002
2012
2014
1989
2013
1998
2001
2010
2003
2006
1990
1999
2011
2009
1995
1993
2008
1991
2015

n= 28
= 3.4974
= 0.1479
= 0.0826
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRN
3.252310601
3.2561716096
3.2796572971
3.3071919059
3.3184194552
3.3333942783
3.3693053039
3.4011973817
3.4171800862
3.4207276407
3.4555277262
3.4683366845
3.483545123
3.4876298874
3.4899202562
3.548179572
3.5493778945
3.5512922287
3.5704712231
3.587907443
3.6027767551
3.6104673607
3.6289967445
3.654546775
3.703562791
3.705203817
3.7258942103
3.7487194545

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

Como el delta terico 0.0826, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logaritmica normal de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significac

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3

0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

39.92

42.13

44.75

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG- NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS D


AO
1992
1994
1989
2004
1988
2000
2005
2007
2002
2012
2014
2013
1991
1996
2001
2010
2003
2006
1999
2011
2009
1995
2008
1993
2015
1997
1998

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25
45.38
46.25

PRUEBA DE SMIRN
3.6325295369
3.6327499226
3.6646294519
3.7181638537
3.7244878816
3.7264164897
3.7281613328
3.7443836573
3.7449967103
3.7511272399
3.753437978
3.756974822
3.7664190316
3.7664190316
3.7685285124
3.768764302
3.7691415654
3.7729613569
3.7795634657
3.781166835
3.7850809424
3.7889133083
3.8019634778
3.8103593517
3.8121967464
3.8149612926
3.834061464

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

X
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25

1990

49.55

3.9029822608

n= 28
= 3.7608
= 0.0564
= 0.1099
0= 0.2570

26
27
28

45.38
46.25
49.55

Como el delta terico 0.1092, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logaritmica normal de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significac

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

35

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

46.21

47.17

48.27

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG- NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS DE L


AO
2004
1999
1991
2000
1998
1995
2006
2015
1988
2008

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73
18.86
19.05

PRUEBA DE SMIRN
2.6238832597
2.6442817538
2.6747806336
2.7903467772
2.8475222464
2.8702162906
2.9151095366
2.930338144
2.9370874615
2.9472297468

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

X
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73

2005
2009
2011
2010
1993
2013
1997
2014
1989
2012
1990
1996
2001
2003
2007
1992
2002
1994

19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

2.9576842059
2.9744880516
2.9807030071
3.000144886
3.0005124967
3.018281794
3.0184717605
3.0236593363
3.0264231209
3.02715711
3.0875135067
3.121961025
3.1611760881
3.1633631149
3.1712599709
3.2917544703
3.3383167447
3.3530861536

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

n= 28
= 2.9963
= 0.1836
= 0.1229
0= 0.2570

18.86
19.05
19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

Como el delta terico 0.1229, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logaritmica normal de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significac

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

25.32

27.07

29.18

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG- NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS DE


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

AO
1997
2000
1994
2004
2002
1991
2005
1998
1992
2007
2012
2014
1996
2013
2010
1988
2006
2001
2011
2009
2003
1995
2008
1993
1999
2015
1989
1990

n= 28
= 3.8451
= 0.0506
= 0.0782
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRN
3.7508756839
3.751658616
3.7656475754
3.7836220281
3.7891017919
3.798480964
3.8003871109
3.8074029563
3.821003607
3.824920429
3.8342865381
3.837395582
3.8398106713
3.8420603397
3.8568453179
3.861781789
3.8618462379
3.8661535718
3.871260612
3.8755922358
3.8880717846
3.892840186
3.8932125221
3.8952158871
3.8996129854
3.9031364982
3.9085168661
3.9419053799

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

Como el delta terico 0.1286, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logaritmica normal de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significac

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

20

30

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

49.9

50.82

51.88

NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE PILLCO MARCA


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

-1.6576
-1.6315
-1.4727
-1.2865
-1.2106
-1.1093
-0.8664
-0.6508
-0.5427
-0.5187
-0.2833
-0.1967
-0.0939
-0.0662
-0.0508
0.3432
0.3513
0.3643
0.4940
0.6119
0.7125
0.7645
0.8898
1.0626
1.3940
1.4051
1.5451
1.6994

0.0487
0.0514
0.0705
0.0992
0.1132
0.1335
0.1932
0.2576
0.2934
0.3018
0.3888
0.4217
0.4630
0.4737
0.4795
0.6343
0.6372
0.6423
0.6891
0.7298
0.7619
0.7775
0.8134
0.8560
0.9183
0.9200
0.9389
0.9554

0.0142
0.0176
0.0329
0.0387
0.0592
0.0734
0.0482
0.0183
0.0169
0.0430
0.0095
0.0079
0.0147
0.0091
0.0377
0.0826
0.0510
0.0216
0.0339
0.0401
0.0378
0.0189
0.0203
0.0284
0.0562
0.0234
0.0079
0.0101

0826, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

RITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

20

25

30

35

40

45

CIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

100 aos
46.59

OG- NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE AMBO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621

-2.2719
-2.2680
-1.7032
-0.7548
-0.6428
-0.6086
-0.5777
-0.2903
-0.2794
-0.1708
-0.1299
-0.0672
0.1001
0.1001
0.1375
0.1416
0.1483
0.2160
0.3330
0.3614
0.4307
0.4986
0.7298
0.8786
0.9111

0.0115
0.0117
0.0443
0.2252
0.2602
0.2714
0.2817
0.3858
0.3900
0.4322
0.4483
0.4732
0.5399
0.5399
0.5547
0.5563
0.5590
0.5855
0.6304
0.6411
0.6667
0.6910
0.7672
0.8102
0.8189

0.0230
0.0573
0.0591
0.0873
0.0878
0.0645
0.0403
0.1099
0.0797
0.0874
0.0690
0.0594
0.0916
0.0571
0.0375
0.0046
0.0272
0.0352
0.0248
0.0486
0.0574
0.0676
0.0259
0.0174
0.0432

0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.9601
1.2985
2.5195

0.8315
0.9029
0.9941

0.0651
0.0281
0.0286

1092, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

RITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

CIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

100 aos
49.01
NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO
PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759

-2.0281
-1.9170
-1.7509
-1.1216
-0.8102
-0.6867
-0.4422
-0.3593

0.0213
0.0275
0.0400
0.1312
0.2093
0.2461
0.3291
0.3593

0.0132
0.0415
0.0634
0.0067
0.0369
0.0392
0.0877
0.0834

0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

-0.3225
-0.2673
-0.2104
-0.1188
-0.0850
0.0209
0.0229
0.1196
0.1207
0.1489
0.1640
0.1680
0.4966
0.6842
0.8978
0.9097
0.9527
1.6088
1.8624
1.9428

0.3734
0.3943
0.4163
0.4527
0.4659
0.5085
0.5096
0.5480
0.5480
0.5596
0.5648
0.5668
0.6901
0.7530
0.8154
0.8185
0.8298
0.9462
0.9687
0.9740

0.0631
0.0495
0.0370
0.0389
0.0176
0.0257
0.0076
0.0037
0.0382
0.0611
0.0904
0.1229
0.0340
0.0056
0.0223
0.0091
0.0323
0.0496
0.0377
0.0085

1229, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

RITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

15

20

CIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

100 aos

25

30

30.68

G- NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE CARPISH


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

-1.863
-1.847
-1.571
-1.215
-1.107
-0.922
-0.884
-0.745
-0.476
-0.399
-0.214
-0.152
-0.104
-0.060
0.232
0.330
0.331
0.416
0.517
0.603
0.850
0.944
0.951
0.991
1.078
1.148
1.254
1.914

0.0312
0.0323
0.0581
0.1121
0.1341
0.1784
0.1884
0.2281
0.3169
0.3450
0.4154
0.4395
0.4584
0.4761
0.5919
0.6293
0.6298
0.6614
0.6975
0.7267
0.8023
0.8274
0.8293
0.8391
0.8595
0.8744
0.8951
0.9722

0.0033
0.0367
0.0453
0.0258
0.0383
0.0285
0.0530
0.0478
0.0066
0.0002
0.0361
0.0257
0.0101
0.0067
0.0747
0.0776
0.0436
0.0407
0.0423
0.0370
0.0782
0.0688
0.0362
0.0115
0.0026
0.0222
0.0359
0.0067

1286, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

RITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

RITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

30

40

IN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 2 PARMETROS

100 aos
52.60

50

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG- NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

AO
2004
1997
1988
2000
2005
1996
1992
1994
2007
2002
2012
2014
1989
2013
1998
2001
2010
2003
2006
1990
1999
2011
2009
1995
1993
2008
1991
2015

n= 28
x0 9.0173
= 3.1730
= 0.2047
= 0.0933
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRN
2.8233263643
2.8292495875
2.865020683
2.9064136647
2.9231301918
2.9452850865
2.9977843088
3.0437006482
3.0664741473
3.0715081763
3.1205019351
3.1383632633
3.1594548325
3.1650987259
3.1682594736
3.2477644806
3.2493823788
3.2519655837
3.2777514486
3.301048552
3.3208094578
3.3309924488
3.3554238955
3.388880152
3.452347178
3.4544563661
3.4809656776
3.5100343328

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

Como el delta terico 0.0933, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logaritmica normal de 3 parmetros, con un nivel de significac

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3

1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

39.92

42.26

45.11

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG- NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS D


AO
1992
1994
1989
2004
1988
2000
2005
2007
2002
2012
2014
2013
1991
1996
2001
2010
2003
2006
1999
2011
2009
1995
2008
1993
2015
1997
1998

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25
45.38
46.25

PRUEBA DE SMIRN
3.5951430954
3.5953261237
3.6284014233
3.683857049
3.6904010779
3.6923964927
3.6942016621
3.7109796773
3.711613548
3.7179515303
3.7203401215
3.723995769
3.7337550922
3.7337550922
3.7359345384
3.736178139
3.736567896
3.7405139116
3.7473330147
3.7489888596
3.753030705
3.756987642
3.77045833
3.7791217673
3.7810174085
3.7838693845
3.8035668428

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

X
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25

1990

49.55

3.8745477228

n= 28
x0 1.3891
= 3.7279
= 0.0583
= 0.1082
0= 0.2570

26
27
28

45.38
46.25
49.55

Como el delta terico 0.1092, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logaritmica normal de 3 parmetros, con un nivel de significac

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

35

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

46.15

47.09

48.17

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG- NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS DE L


AO
2004
1999
1991
2000
1998
1995
2006
2015
1988
2008

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73
18.86
19.05

PRUEBA DE SMIRN
2.8955333046
2.9111170069
2.9345559886
3.0248369935
3.0703285468
3.088530879
3.1247767579
3.1371426636
3.1426345194
3.1509001504

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

X
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73

2005
2009
2011
2010
1993
2013
1997
2014
1989
2012
1990
1996
2001
2003
2007
1992
2002
1994

19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

3.159436375
3.1731911224
3.1782889505
3.1942727812
3.1945755378
3.2092332852
3.209390233
3.2136781377
3.2159641779
3.216571474
3.2667696393
3.2956447992
3.3287096493
3.3305596353
3.3372446928
3.4402251711
3.480490517
3.4933150373

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

n= 28
x0 -4.3040
= 3.1935
= 0.1507
= 0.1276
0= 0.2570

18.86
19.05
19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

Como el delta terico 0.1276, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logaritmica normal de 3 parmetros, con un nivel de significac

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

25.16

26.79

28.73

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG- NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS DE


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

AO
1997
2000
1994
2004
2002
1991
2005
1998
1992
2007
2012
2014
1996
2013
2010
1988
2006
2001
2011
2009
2003
1995
2008
1993
1999
2015
1989
1990

n= 28
x0 -98.6769
= 4.9800
= 0.0162
= 0.0825
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRN
4.9504267368
4.9506627218
4.9549009575
4.96040754
4.96209998
4.9650116604
4.9656057111
4.9677989202
4.9720807824
4.9733213167
4.9763012271
4.9772946079
4.978067712
4.978789005
4.9835568753
4.9851594428
4.9851804007
4.9865831554
4.9882516315
4.9896712784
4.9937844776
4.9953652176
4.9954888603
4.9961546515
4.9976190918
4.9987956887
5.0005976719
5.0119248267

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

Como el delta terico 0.0825, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logaritmica normal de 3 parmetros, con un nivel de significac

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 P


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

20

30

DISTRIBUCIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
media anual

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

49.8

50.66

51.64

NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE PILLCO MARCA


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

-1.708
-1.680
-1.505
-1.303
-1.221
-1.113
-0.856
-0.632
-0.521
-0.496
-0.257
-0.169
-0.066
-0.039
-0.023
0.365
0.373
0.386
0.511
0.625
0.722
0.772
0.891
1.054
1.364
1.375
1.504
1.646

0.0409
0.0436
0.0628
0.0924
0.1070
0.1284
0.1917
0.2600
0.2977
0.3066
0.3973
0.4312
0.4735
0.4844
0.4902
0.6450
0.6478
0.6528
0.6986
0.7380
0.7688
0.7838
0.8181
0.8585
0.9176
0.9192
0.9372
0.9532

0.0064
0.0254
0.0406
0.0455
0.0654
0.0785
0.0497
0.0159
0.0126
0.0382
0.0180
0.0174
0.0252
0.0016
0.0270
0.0933
0.0616
0.0321
0.0434
0.0483
0.0447
0.0252
0.0250
0.0309
0.0555
0.0226
0.0062
0.0123

0933, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

RITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

20

25

30

35

40

45

CIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

100 aos
47.14

OG- NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE AMBO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621

-2.2747
-2.2715
-1.7047
-0.7542
-0.6421
-0.6079
-0.5770
-0.2894
-0.2785
-0.1699
-0.1290
-0.0663
0.1009
0.1009
0.1383
0.1425
0.1491
0.2168
0.3336
0.3620
0.4313
0.4991
0.7300
0.8785
0.9109

0.0103
0.0104
0.0413
0.2212
0.2566
0.2679
0.2784
0.3841
0.3883
0.4313
0.4477
0.4731
0.5409
0.5409
0.5560
0.5577
0.5603
0.5873
0.6330
0.6438
0.6697
0.6944
0.7714
0.8145
0.8232

0.0242
0.0586
0.0621
0.0833
0.0842
0.0610
0.0370
0.1082
0.0780
0.0865
0.0684
0.0593
0.0926
0.0581
0.0388
0.0060
0.0259
0.0334
0.0222
0.0459
0.0544
0.0642
0.0217
0.0131
0.0389

0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.9598
1.2974
2.5139

0.8358
0.9068
0.9948

0.0608
0.0242
0.0293

1092, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

RITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

CIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

100 aos
48.91
NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO
PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759

-1.9776
-1.8742
-1.7186
-1.1194
-0.8175
-0.6967
-0.4561
-0.3740

0.0221
0.0281
0.0401
0.1274
0.2030
0.2389
0.3210
0.3511

0.0124
0.0409
0.0633
0.0105
0.0306
0.0320
0.0796
0.0752

0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

-0.3376
-0.2827
-0.2261
-0.1348
-0.1009
0.0051
0.0072
0.1044
0.1055
0.1339
0.1491
0.1531
0.4863
0.6780
0.8974
0.9097
0.9541
1.6376
1.9048
1.9899

0.3653
0.3863
0.4085
0.4454
0.4588
0.5022
0.5033
0.5427
0.5427
0.5546
0.5599
0.5621
0.6895
0.7549
0.8197
0.8229
0.8345
0.9523
0.9738
0.9787

0.0550
0.0415
0.0292
0.0316
0.0105
0.0194
0.0139
0.0090
0.0435
0.0661
0.0953
0.1276
0.0346
0.0037
0.0266
0.0047
0.0276
0.0557
0.0428
0.0132

1276, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

RITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

15

20

CIN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

100 aos

25

30

30.09

G- NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE CARPISH


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

F(Z)

=F(Z)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

-1.8271
-1.8125
-1.5510
-1.2111
-1.1067
-0.9270
-0.8903
-0.7550
-0.4907
-0.4142
-0.2303
-0.1690
-0.1212
-0.0767
0.2175
0.3164
0.3177
0.4043
0.5073
0.5949
0.8487
0.9463
0.9539
0.9950
1.0854
1.1580
1.2692
1.9683

0.0314
0.0324
0.0570
0.1091
0.1302
0.1722
0.1825
0.2206
0.3086
0.3367
0.4072
0.4309
0.4514
0.4686
0.5883
0.6263
0.6263
0.6599
0.6968
0.7274
0.8066
0.8323
0.8344
0.8448
0.8651
0.8809
0.9022
0.9775

0.0031
0.0366
0.0464
0.0288
0.0422
0.0347
0.0589
0.0553
0.0017
0.0081
0.0279
0.0171
0.0031
0.0142
0.0711
0.0746
0.0401
0.0392
0.0416
0.0377
0.0825
0.0737
0.0413
0.0172
0.0030
0.0157
0.0288
0.0120

0825, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

RITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

RITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

30

40

IN LOGARITMICA NORMAL 3 PARMETROS

100 aos
52.29

50

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GAMMA DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACI


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

AO
2004
1997
1988
2000
2005
1996
1992
1994
2007
2002
2012
2014
1989
2013
1998
2001
2010
2003
2006
1990
1999
2011
2009
1995
1993
2008
1991
2015

n= 28
= 47.8028
= 0.6983
= 0.0769
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

Como el delta terico 0.0769, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


gamma de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PAR


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3

0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

39.69

41.69

44.02

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GAMMA DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA EST


AO
1992
1994
1989
2004
1988
2000
2005
2007
2002
2012
2014
2013
1991
1996
2001
2010
2003
2006
1999
2011
2009
1995
2008
1993
2015
1997
1998

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25
45.38
46.25

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

X
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25

1990

49.55

26
27
28

n= 28
= 145.3158
= 0.2989
= 0.1854
0= 0.2570

45.38
46.25
49.55

Como el delta terico 0.1854, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


gamma de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PAR


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

48.2

49.53

51.15

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GAMMA DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACI


AO
2004
1999
1991
2000
1998
1995
2006
2015
1988
2008

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73
18.86
19.05

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

X
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73

2005
2009
2011
2010
1993
2013
1997
2014
1989
2012
1990
1996
2001
2003
2007
1992
2002
1994

19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

n= 28
= 31.0956
= 0.6540
= 0.1333
0= 0.2570

18.86
19.05
19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

Como el delta terico 0.1333, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


gamma de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PAR


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

25.13

26.68

28.51

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GAMMA DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTA


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

AO
1997
2000
1994
2004
2002
1991
2005
1998
1992
2007
2012
2014
1996
2013
2010
1988
2006
2001
2011
2009
2003
1995
2008
1993
1999
2015
1989
1990

n= 28
= 161.3945
= 0.2871
= 0.1245
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

Como el delta terico 0.1245, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


gamma de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PAR


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PAR


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

20

30

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

51.07

52.5

54.13

E 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE PILLCO MARCA


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0499
0.0525
0.0707
0.0979
0.1111
0.1304
0.1874
0.2494
0.2842
0.2925
0.3784
0.4113
0.4528
0.4636
0.4695
0.6286
0.6317
0.6370
0.6859
0.7286
0.7624
0.7789
0.8167
0.8614
0.9258
0.9276
0.9465
0.9626

0.0154
0.0165
0.0327
0.0400
0.0613
0.0765
0.0540
0.0265
0.0261
0.0523
0.0009
0.0025
0.0045
0.0192
0.0477
0.0769
0.0455
0.0163
0.0307
0.0389
0.0383
0.0203
0.0236
0.0338
0.0637
0.0310
0.0155
0.0029

69, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
con un nivel de significacin del 5%

N GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

20

25

30

35

40

TRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

100 aos
45.62

MA DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE AMBO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621

0.0539
0.0542
0.1082
0.2717
0.2971
0.3050
0.3123
0.3836
0.3864
0.4147
0.4256
0.4422
0.4873
0.4873
0.4974
0.4986
0.5004
0.5187
0.5504
0.5581
0.5767
0.5948
0.6548
0.6917
0.6996

0.0194
0.0148
0.0048
0.1338
0.1247
0.0981
0.0709
0.1077
0.0761
0.0699
0.0463
0.0284
0.0390
0.0045
0.0198
0.0531
0.0858
0.1020
0.1048
0.1316
0.1474
0.1638
0.1383
0.1359
0.1625

45

0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.7112
0.7856
0.9981

0.1854
0.1454
0.0326

54, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
con un nivel de significacin del 5%

N GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

20

25

30

35

40

45

TRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

100 aos
52.26

DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759

0.0242
0.0305
0.0426
0.1285
0.2020
0.2375
0.3177
0.3477

0.0103
0.0385
0.0608
0.0094
0.0296
0.0306
0.0763
0.0718

50

0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.3613
0.3822
0.4041
0.4402
0.4537
0.4965
0.4973
0.5367
0.5371
0.5486
0.5548
0.5564
0.6855
0.7521
0.8184
0.8218
0.8336
0.9546
0.9761
0.9808

0.0510
0.0374
0.0248
0.0264
0.0054
0.0137
0.0199
0.0150
0.0491
0.0721
0.1004
0.1333
0.0386
0.0065
0.0253
0.0058
0.0285
0.0580
0.0451
0.0153

33, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
con un nivel de significacin del 5%

N GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

15

20

TRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

100 aos

25

30

29.76

A DE 2 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE CARPISH


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0032
0.0079
0.0361
0.1145
0.2860
0.3272
0.3359
0.3686
0.4348
0.4544
0.5017
0.5174
0.5296
0.5410
0.6147
0.6386
0.6390
0.6594
0.6831
0.7027
0.7559
0.7748
0.7763
0.7839
0.8003
0.8128
0.8310
0.9693

0.0313
0.0611
0.0673
0.0234
0.1136
0.1203
0.0945
0.0927
0.1245
0.1096
0.1224
0.1036
0.0813
0.0582
0.0975
0.0869
0.0528
0.0387
0.0279
0.0130
0.0318
0.0162
0.0168
0.0437
0.0618
0.0838
0.1000
0.0038

45, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
con un nivel de significacin del 5%

N GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

N GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

30

40

TRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 2 PARMETROS

100 aos
55.24

50

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GAMMA DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACI


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

AO
2004
1997
1988
2000
2005
1996
1992
1994
2007
2002
2012
2014
1989
2013
1998
2001
2010
2003
2006
1990
1999
2011
2009
1995
1993
2008
1991
2015

n= 28
x0 -24.5424
= 139.0220
= 0.4166
= 0.0702
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

Como el delta terico 0.0702, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


gamma de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PAR


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3

1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

39.76

41.69

43.91

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GAMMA DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA EST


AO
1992
1994
1989
2004
1988
2000
2005
2007
2002
2012
2014
2013
1991
1996
2001
2010
2003
2006
1999
2011
2009
1995
2008
1993
2015
1997
1998

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25
45.38
46.25

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

X
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25

1990

49.55

26
27
28

n= 28
x0 130.0377
= 1299.5867
= -0.0669
= 0.9655
0= 0.2570

45.38
46.25
49.55

Los parmetros: Xo, gamma y calculada por momentos ordin


ajustan a la distribucin gamma de 3 parmetros

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PAR


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GAMMA DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACI


AO
2004
1999
1991
2000
1998
1995
2006
2015
1988
2008

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73
18.86
19.05

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

X
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73

2005
2009
2011
2010
1993
2013
1997
2014
1989
2012
1990
1996
2001
2003
2007
1992
2002
1994

19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

n= 28
x0 4.0244
= 19.1022
= 0.8540
= 0.1276
0= 0.2570

18.86
19.05
19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

Como el delta terico 0.1276, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


gamma de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PAR


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

25.27

26.92

28.88

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GAMMA DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTA


AO
1997
2000
1994
2004
2002
1991
2005
1998
1992
2007
2012
2014
1996
2013
2010
1988
2006
2001
2011
2009
2003
1995
2008
1993
1999
2015
1989
1990

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52
n= 28
x0 76.1707
= 155.4292
= -0.1888
= 0.9655
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

Los parmetros: Xo, gamma y calculada por momentos ordin


ajustan a la distribucin gamma de 3 parmetros

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARM


1
0.9
0.8
0.7

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARM


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

20

30

DISTRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

E 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE PILLCO MARCA


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0575
0.0601
0.0783
0.1051
0.1179
0.1367
0.1911
0.2504
0.2839
0.2917
0.3737
0.4062
0.4459
0.4567
0.4628
0.6199
0.6231
0.6281
0.6778
0.7208
0.7554
0.7725
0.8111
0.8577
0.9250
0.9267
0.9464
0.9632

0.0230
0.0089
0.0251
0.0328
0.0545
0.0702
0.0503
0.0255
0.0264
0.0531
0.0056
0.0076
0.0024
0.0261
0.0544
0.0682
0.0369
0.0074
0.0226
0.0311
0.0313
0.0139
0.0180
0.0301
0.0629
0.0301
0.0154
0.0023

02, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
con un nivel de significacin del 5%

N GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

20

25

30

35

40

TRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

100 aos
45.41

MA DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE AMBO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621

45

0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

ma y calculada por momentos ordinarios, son incorrectos, por lo que los datos no se
amma de 3 parmetros

N GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

20

25

30

35

40

45

TRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759

0.0234
0.0300
0.0427
0.1329
0.2090
0.2453
0.3266
0.3566

0.0111
0.0390
0.0607
0.0050
0.0366
0.0384
0.0852
0.0807

50

0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.3702
0.3910
0.4128
0.4484
0.4617
0.5037
0.5045
0.5430
0.5434
0.5546
0.5605
0.5621
0.6870
0.7511
0.8150
0.8183
0.8297
0.9493
0.9718
0.9769

0.0599
0.0462
0.0335
0.0346
0.0134
0.0209
0.0127
0.0087
0.0428
0.0661
0.0947
0.1276
0.0371
0.0075
0.0219
0.0093
0.0324
0.0527
0.0408
0.0114

76, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
con un nivel de significacin del 5%

N GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

15

20

TRIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

100 aos

25

30

30.24

A DE 3 PARAMETROS DE LA ESTACIN DE CARPISH


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

ma y calculada por momentos ordinarios, son incorrectos, por lo que los datos no se
amma de 3 parmetros

GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

30

RIBUCIN GAMMA DE 3 PARMETROS

40

50

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG-PERSON TIPO 3 DE LA ESTA


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

AO
2004
1997
1988
2000
2005
1996
1992
1994
2007
2002
2012
2014
1989
2013
1998
2001
2010
2003
2006
1990
1999
2011
2009
1995
1993
2008
1991
2015

n= 28
x0 1.8216
= 116.5682
= 0.0144
= 0.0777
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

Como el delta terico 0.0777, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


gamma de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TI


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3

1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TIPO III

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

40.58

43.16

46.33

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG - PERSON TIPO 3 DE LA


AO
1992
1994
1989
2004
1988
2000
2005
2007
2002
2012
2014
2013
1991
1996
2001
2010
2003
2006
1999
2011
2009
1995
2008
1993
2015
1997
1998

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25
45.38
46.25

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

X
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25

1990

49.55

26
27
28

n= 28
x0 4.1016
= 36.4698
= -0.0093
= 0.9655
0= 0.2570

45.38
46.25
49.55

Los parmetros: Xo, gamma y calculada por momentos ordin


ajustan a la distribucin Log-Pearson tipo 3

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TI


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TIPO III

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG - PERSON TIPO 3 DE LA ES


AO
2004
1999
1991
2000
1998
1995
2006
2015
1988
2008

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73
18.86
19.05

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

X
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73

2005
2009
2011
2010
1993
2013
1997
2014
1989
2012
1990
1996
2001
2003
2007
1992
2002
1994

19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

n= 28
x0 0.8809
= 120.4699
= 0.0176
= 0.1230
0= 0.2570

18.86
19.05
19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

Como el delta terico 0.1230, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


gamma de 2 parmetros, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TI


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15
DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TIPO III

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

20

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

25.83

27.88

30.43

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG - PERSON TIPO 3 DE LA E


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

AO
1997
2000
1994
2004
2002
1991
2005
1998
1992
2007
2012
2014
1996
2013
2010
1988
2006
2001
2011
2009
2003
1995
2008
1993
1999
2015
1989
1990

n= 28
x0 4.2465
= 62.9844
= -0.0064
= 0.9655
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

Los parmetros: Xo, gamma y calculada por momentos ordin


ajustan a la distribucin gamma de 3 parmetros

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TI


1
0.9
0.8

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TI


1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

20

30
DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TIPO III

E LOG-PERSON TIPO 3 DE LA ESTACIN DE PILLCO MARCA


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.049
0.052
0.072
0.103
0.117
0.139
0.201
0.266
0.302
0.311
0.396
0.428
0.467
0.478
0.484
0.629
0.632
0.637
0.681
0.719
0.749
0.764
0.797
0.839
0.900
0.902
0.922
0.984

0.0145
0.0172
0.0313
0.0354
0.0552
0.0680
0.0409
0.0098
0.0081
0.0343
0.0162
0.0142
0.0187
0.0052
0.0337
0.0777
0.0461
0.0161
0.0258
0.0290
0.0249
0.0052
0.0043
0.0109
0.0381
0.0053
0.0095
0.0188

77, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
con un nivel de significacin del 5%

N LOG - PERSON TIPO III

20

25

30

35

40

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TIPO III

100 aos
48.61

USTE LOG - PERSON TIPO 3 DE LA ESTACIN DE AMBO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621

45

0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

ma y calculada por momentos ordinarios, son incorrectos, por lo que los datos no se
og-Pearson tipo 3

N LOG - PERSON TIPO III

20

25

30

35

40

45

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TIPO III

E LOG - PERSON TIPO 3 DE LA ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759

0.0203
0.0269
0.0400
0.1366
0.2173
0.2552
0.3381
0.3681

0.0142
0.0421
0.0634
0.0013
0.0449
0.0483
0.0967
0.0922

50

0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.3817
0.4022
0.4236
0.4583
0.4712
0.5114
0.5122
0.5487
0.5490
0.5596
0.5652
0.5667
0.6826
0.7414
0.8002
0.8032
0.8138
0.9298
0.9549
0.9893

0.0714
0.0574
0.0443
0.0445
0.0229
0.0286
0.0050
0.0030
0.0372
0.0611
0.0900
0.1230
0.0415
0.0172
0.0071
0.0244
0.0483
0.0332
0.0239
0.0238

30, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
con un nivel de significacin del 5%

N LOG - PERSON TIPO III

15

20

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TIPO III

100 aos

25

30

32.30

STE LOG - PERSON TIPO 3 DE LA ESTACIN DE CARPISH


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

ma y calculada por momentos ordinarios, son incorrectos, por lo que los datos no se
amma de 3 parmetros

N LOG - PERSON TIPO III

N LOG - PERSON TIPO III

30

DISTRIBUCIN LOG - PERSON TIPO III

40

50

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

AO
2004
1997
1988
2000
2005
1996
1992
1994
2007
2002
2012
2014
1989
2013
1998
2001
2010
2003
2006
1990
1999
2011
2009
1995
1993
2008
1991
2015

n= 28
= 31.1680
= 3.8302
= 0.1237
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

Como el delta terico 0.1237, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


Gumbel, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3

0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

39.79

42.54

46.11

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GUMBEL DE LA ESTAC


AO
1992
1994
1989
2004
1988
2000
2005
2007
2002
2012
2014
2013
1991
1996
2001
2010
2003
2006
1999
2011
2009
1995
2008
1993
2015
1997
1998

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25
45.38
46.25

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

X
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25

1990

49.55

26
27
28

n= 28
= 41.9612
= 1.8815
= 0.1546
0= 0.2570

45.38
46.25
49.55

Como el delta terico 0.1546, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


Gumbel, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

46.2

47.55

49.3

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN


AO
2004
1999
1991
2000
1998
1995
2006
2015
1988
2008

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73
18.86
19.05

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

X
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73

2005
2009
2011
2010
1993
2013
1997
2014
1989
2012
1990
1996
2001
2003
2007
1992
2002
1994

19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

n= 28
= 18.6579
= 2.9102
= 0.1016
0= 0.2570

18.86
19.05
19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

Como el delta terico 0.1016, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


Gumbel, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15
DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

20

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

25.21

27.3

30.01

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE GUMBEL DE LA ESTACI


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

AO
1997
2000
1994
2004
2002
1991
2005
1998
1992
2007
2012
2014
1996
2013
2010
1988
2006
2001
2011
2009
2003
1995
2008
1993
1999
2015
1989
1990

n= 28
= 45.7611
= 1.8356
= 0.1342
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

Como el delta terico 0.1342, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


Gumbel, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

20

30
DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

49.89

51.21

52.92

AJUSTE GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN DE PILLCO MARCA


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0182
0.0201
0.0360
0.0646
0.0799
0.1036
0.1765
0.2575
0.3025
0.3127
0.4164
0.4550
0.5003
0.5123
0.5190
0.6754
0.6782
0.6828
0.7262
0.7620
0.7899
0.8033
0.8329
0.8678
0.9181
0.9195
0.9350
0.9490

0.0163
0.0489
0.0674
0.0733
0.0925
0.1033
0.0649
0.0184
0.0078
0.0321
0.0371
0.0412
0.0520
0.0295
0.0018
0.1237
0.0920
0.0621
0.0710
0.0723
0.0658
0.0447
0.0398
0.0402
0.0560
0.0229
0.0040
0.0165

37, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
ignificacin del 5%

TRIBUCIN GUMBEL

20

25

30

35

40

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL

100 aos
48.79

DE AJUSTE GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN DE AMBO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621

0.0001
0.0001
0.0089
0.2214
0.2692
0.2843
0.2982
0.4305
0.4355
0.4848
0.5031
0.5305
0.6000
0.6000
0.6147
0.6163
0.6189
0.6445
0.6860
0.6955
0.7179
0.7387
0.8005
0.8336
0.8402

0.0344
0.0689
0.0945
0.0835
0.0968
0.0774
0.0568
0.1546
0.1252
0.1400
0.1238
0.1167
0.1517
0.1172
0.0975
0.0646
0.0327
0.0238
0.0308
0.0058
0.0062
0.0199
0.0074
0.0060
0.0219

45

0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.8497
0.9027
0.9824

0.0469
0.0283
0.0169

46, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
ignificacin del 5%

RIBUCIN GUMBEL

20

25

30

35

40

45

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL

100 aos
50.62

AJUSTE GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759

0.0049
0.0080
0.0156
0.1045
0.1969
0.2421
0.3417
0.3775

0.0296
0.0610
0.0878
0.0334
0.0245
0.0352
0.1003
0.1016

50

0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.3935
0.4177
0.4426
0.4826
0.4973
0.5424
0.5433
0.5833
0.5837
0.5951
0.6011
0.6027
0.7220
0.7787
0.8327
0.8354
0.8448
0.9426
0.9627
0.9676

0.0832
0.0729
0.0633
0.0688
0.0490
0.0596
0.0261
0.0316
0.0025
0.0256
0.0541
0.0870
0.0021
0.0201
0.0396
0.0078
0.0173
0.0460
0.0317
0.0021

16, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
ignificacin del 5%

RIBUCIN GUMBEL

15

20

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL

100 aos

25

30

32.05

DE AJUSTE GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN DE CARPISH


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0033
0.0036
0.0173
0.0709
0.0983
0.1575
0.1712
0.2262
0.3456
0.3815
0.4668
0.4944
0.5155
0.5348
0.6514
0.6857
0.6861
0.7140
0.7446
0.7686
0.8276
0.8465
0.8479
0.8552
0.8702
0.8813
0.8965
0.9575

0.0312
0.0654
0.0861
0.0670
0.0741
0.0494
0.0702
0.0497
0.0353
0.0367
0.0875
0.0806
0.0672
0.0520
0.1342
0.1340
0.0999
0.0933
0.0894
0.0789
0.1035
0.0879
0.0548
0.0276
0.0081
0.0153
0.0345
0.0080

42, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
ignificacin del 5%

RIBUCIN GUMBEL

RIBUCIN GUMBEL

30

40

DISTRIBUCIN GUMBEL

100 aos
54.20

50

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG-GUMBEL DE LA ESTACI


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

AO
2004
1997
1988
2000
2005
1996
1992
1994
2007
2002
2012
2014
1989
2013
1998
2001
2010
2003
2006
1990
1999
2011
2009
1995
1993
2008
1991
2015

n= 28
= 3.4309
= 0.1153
= 0.1449
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
25.85
25.95
26.57
27.31
27.62
28.03
29.06
30.00
30.48
30.59
31.68
32.08
32.58
32.71
32.78
34.75
34.79
34.86
35.53
36.16
36.70
36.98
37.68
38.65
40.59
40.66
41.51
42.47

Como el delta terico 0.1449, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logGumbel, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBE
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2

0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

40.06

43.52

48.46

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG-GUMBEL DE LA EST


AO
1992
1994
1989
2004
1988
2000
2005
2007
2002
2012
2014
2013
1991
1996
2001
2010
2003
2006
1999
2011
2009
1995
2008
1993
2015
1997
1998

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25
45.38
46.25

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

X
37.81
37.82
39.04
41.19
41.45
41.53
41.60
42.28
42.31
42.57
42.67
42.82
43.23
43.23
43.32
43.33
43.34
43.51
43.80
43.87
44.04
44.21
44.79
45.17
45.25

1990

49.55

26
27
28

n= 28
= 3.7354
= 0.0440
= 0.1669
0= 0.2570

45.38
46.25
49.55

Como el delta terico 0.1669, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logGumbel, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBE
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15

20

25

30

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

46.27

47.76

49.75

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG-GUMBEL DE LA ESTACI


AO
2004
1999
1991
2000
1998
1995
2006
2015
1988
2008

PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73
18.86
19.05

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

X
13.79
14.07
14.51
16.29
17.25
17.64
18.45
18.73

2005
2009
2011
2010
1993
2013
1997
2014
1989
2012
1990
1996
2001
2003
2007
1992
2002
1994

19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

n= 28
= 2.9137
= 0.1432
= 0.1347
0= 0.2570

18.86
19.05
19.25
19.58
19.70
20.09
20.10
20.46
20.46
20.57
20.62
20.64
21.92
22.69
23.60
23.65
23.84
26.89
28.17
28.59

Como el delta terico 0.1347, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logGumbel, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBE
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

15
DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)


10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

20

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

25.43

28.19

32.21

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE LOG-GUMBEL DE LA ESTA


PRECIPITACIN
MEDIA
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

AO
1997
2000
1994
2004
2002
1991
2005
1998
1992
2007
2012
2014
1996
2013
2010
1988
2006
2001
2011
2009
2003
1995
2008
1993
1999
2015
1989
1990

n= 28
= 3.8223
= 0.0394
= 0.1420
0= 0.2570

PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KO
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

X
42.56
42.59
43.19
43.98
44.22
44.63
44.72
45.03
45.65
45.83
46.26
46.40
46.52
46.62
47.32
47.55
47.55
47.76
48.00
48.21
48.82
49.05
49.07
49.17
49.38
49.56
49.83
51.52

Como el delta terico 0.1420, es menor que el delta tabular 0.


logGumbel, con un nivel de significacin del 5%

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBE
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBE
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0

10

20

30
DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

Periodo de retorno para precipitacin maxima 24h (Fuente de Hidroesta)

Precipitacin
mxima 24h

10 aos

20 aos

50 aos

49.95

51.39

53.31

STE LOG-GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN DE PILLCO MARCA


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0090
0.0106
0.0244
0.0537
0.0705
0.0974
0.1816
0.2743
0.3243
0.3355
0.4460
0.4855
0.5308
0.5427
0.5492
0.6966
0.6992
0.7034
0.7423
0.7740
0.7984
0.8101
0.8358
0.8661
0.9103
0.9116
0.9255
0.9385

0.0255
0.0584
0.0790
0.0842
0.1019
0.1095
0.0598
0.0016
0.0140
0.0093
0.0667
0.0717
0.0825
0.0599
0.0320
0.1449
0.1130
0.0827
0.0871
0.0843
0.0743
0.0515
0.0427
0.0385
0.0482
0.0150
0.0055
0.0270

49, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
e significacin del 5%

BUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

20

25

30

35

40

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

100 aos
52.52

E AJUSTE LOG-GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN DE AMBO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621

0.0000
0.0000
0.0068
0.2280
0.2779
0.2936
0.3079
0.4428
0.4478
0.4971
0.5152
0.5423
0.6103
0.6103
0.6246
0.6261
0.6286
0.6534
0.6933
0.7024
0.7239
0.7436
0.8024
0.8336
0.8399

0.0345
0.0690
0.0966
0.0901
0.1055
0.0867
0.0665
0.1669
0.1375
0.1523
0.1359
0.1285
0.1620
0.1275
0.1074
0.0744
0.0424
0.0327
0.0381
0.0127
0.0002
0.0150
0.0093
0.0060
0.0222

45

0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.8488
0.8993
0.9781

0.0478
0.0317
0.0126

69, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
e significacin del 5%

BUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

20

25

30

35

40

45

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

100 aos
51.31

USTE LOG-GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN DE JACAS CHICO


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759

0.0005
0.0014
0.0050
0.0938
0.2045
0.2581
0.3716
0.4106

0.0340
0.0676
0.0984
0.0441
0.0321
0.0512
0.1302
0.1347

50

0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.4278
0.4534
0.4793
0.5200
0.5347
0.5789
0.5797
0.6178
0.6182
0.6289
0.6345
0.6359
0.7431
0.7918
0.8373
0.8396
0.8475
0.9312
0.9498
0.9546

0.1175
0.1086
0.1000
0.1062
0.0864
0.0961
0.0625
0.0661
0.0320
0.0082
0.0207
0.0538
0.0190
0.0332
0.0442
0.0120
0.0146
0.0346
0.0188
0.0109

47, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
e significacin del 5%

BUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

15

20

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

100 aos

25

30

35.60

AJUSTE LOG-GUMBEL DE LA ESTACIN DE CARPISH


PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROV
P(x)=m/n+1

G(y)

=G(y)-P(x)

0.0345
0.0690
0.1034
0.1379
0.1724
0.2069
0.2414
0.2759
0.3103
0.3448
0.3793
0.4138
0.4483
0.4828
0.5172
0.5517
0.5862
0.6207
0.6552
0.6897
0.7241
0.7586
0.7931
0.8276
0.8621
0.8966
0.9310
0.9655

0.0022
0.0025
0.0149
0.0693
0.0980
0.1603
0.1747
0.2322
0.3555
0.3920
0.4778
0.5054
0.5263
0.5453
0.6592
0.6923
0.6927
0.7195
0.7489
0.7718
0.8279
0.8459
0.8473
0.8543
0.8686
0.8791
0.8937
0.9529

0.0323
0.0665
0.0885
0.0686
0.0744
0.0466
0.0667
0.0437
0.0452
0.0472
0.0985
0.0916
0.0780
0.0625
0.1420
0.1406
0.1065
0.0988
0.0937
0.0821
0.1038
0.0873
0.0542
0.0267
0.0065
0.0175
0.0373
0.0126

20, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2570. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin
e significacin del 5%

BUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

BUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

30

40

DISTRIBUCIN LOG-GUMBEL

100 aos
54.80

50

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