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CUADRO N 04

DEMANDA SIN PROYECTO Y CON PROYECTO


1
2
2009

RUBROS
Poblacin de Referencia

2010

2011

675

683

691

135

137

138

Poblacin Demandante Sin Proyecto:

100%

675

683

691

Poblacin Demandante Con Proyecto:

100%

Familias

675

683

691

SERVICIOS DEMANDADOS SIN PROYECTO

Energa Kw/h

135
405
54,261.90

137
411
55,891.77

138
417
57,558.32

SERVICIOS DEMANDADOS CON PROYECTO


N abonados

Energa Dom/AbDom Kwh/ao


Consumo de Energa Kwh/ao

CUADRO N 04
DA SIN PROYECTO Y CON PROYECTO
3
2012

2013

5
2014

6
2015

7
2016

8
2017

9
2018

699

707

715

723

731

740

749

140

141

143

145

146

148

150

699

707

715

723

731

740

749

699

707

715

723

731

740

749

140
423
59,262.30

141
429
61,004.44

143
435
62,785.51

145
441
64,606.29

146
450
66,913.66

148
456
68,822.93

150
462
70,774.42

10
2019

11
2020

12
2021

13
2022

14
2023

15
2024

16
2025

758

767

776

785

794

803

812

152

153

758

767

155
776

157
785

159
794

161
803

162
812

758

767

776

785

794

803

812

152

153

155

157

159

161

162

17
2026

18
2027

19
2028

20
2029

821

831

841

164
821

166
831

168
841

821

831

841

164

166

168

RUBROS

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

OFERTA OPTIMIZADA POR TIPO


DE SERVICIO

Consumo de Energa
Kwh/ao

SERVICIOS POTENCIALMENTE
DEMANDADOS AL PROYECTO

Consumo de Energa
Kwh/ao

8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856 8,856

ALTERNATIVA 1
RUBROS

UNIDAD

CANTIDAD

Glb.
Glb.
Glb.

1
1
1

Suministro de Materiales

Glb.

Montaje Electromecanico
Transporte

Glb.
Glb.

1
1

RED SECUNDARIA
Suministro de Materiales
Montaje Electromagnetico
Transporte

PRECIO
UNITARIO
429422.66
336891.95
68948.27
23582.44

ACOMETIDAS DOMICILIARIAS
76752.68
61056.52
11422.2
4273.96

TOTAL INVERSION

506,175.34

COSTOS DIRECTOS
GASTOS GENERALES
GASTOS SUPERVISION
GASTOS LIQUIDACION
EXPEDIENTE TECNICO

10.00%
5.00%
0.26%
0.34%

0.08
0.05

COSTO TOTAL

RUBROS
1. Etapa de Inversin (Intangibles)
1.1 Expediente tcnico
2. Etapa de Inversin Fija
2.1 Inversin Fija (Tangibles)
2.2 Gastos Generales
2.3 Gastos de Supervisin
2.4 Gastos de Liquidacin
TOTAL INVERSION

TOTAL
1,735.02
1,735.02
579,998.82
506,175.34
50,617.33
21,471.13

1735.02
581,733.84

RUBROS
RED SECUNDARIA
Suministro de Materiales
Montaje Electromagnetico

UNIDAD

CANTIDAD

Glb.
Glb.

1
1

PRECIO
UNITARIO
360715.0344
282989.238
57916.5468

Transporte

Glb.

19809.2496

ACOMETIDAS DOMICILIARIAS
3.1 Red Primaria.
Suministro de Materiales
Montaje Electromecanico
Transporte

Glb.
Glb.
Glb.

1
1
1

64472.2512
51287.4768
9594.648
3590.1264

TOTAL INVERSION
COSTOS DIRECTOS
GASTOS GENERALES
GASTOS SUPERVISION
GASTOS LIQUIDACION
EXPEDIENTE TECNICO

425,187.29
0.84

10.00%
0.26%

0.91
0.91
0.91
0.91
COSTO TOTAL

ALTERNATIVA II
RUBROS
TOTAL
429422.66
336891.95
68948.27
23582.44

336891.95
68948.27
23582.44

61056.52
11422.2
4273.96

Unidad
Unidad
Unidad

TOTAL INVERSION FIJA


* Incluye IGV
COSTOS DIRECTOS
GASTOS GENERALES

76752.68
61056.52
11422.2
4273.96

Panel Solar
Batera
Controlador

UNIDAD
MEDIDA

GASTOS SUPERVISION
GASTOS LIQUIDACION
EXPEDIENTE TECNICO

10.00%
5.00%
0.26%
0.34%

506,175.34

50617.53
21471.13
1316.06
1735.02
581,315.08

RUBROS
1. Etapa de Inversin (Intangibles)
1.1 Expediente tcnico
2. Etapa de Inversin Fija
2.1 Inversin Fija (Tangibles)
2.2 Gastos Generales
2.3 Gastos de Supervisin

TOTAL
360715.034
282989.238
57916.5468

TOTAL
8,677.77
8,677.77
2,941,764.82
2,552,285.98
255,228.60
127,614.30

2.4 Gastos de Liquidacin

6635.94

TOTAL INVERSION

2,950,442.59

19809.2496

64472.2512
51287.4768
9594.648
3590.1264
425,187.29

46061.96
19538.73
1197.61
1578.87
493,564.45

LTERNATIVA II
CANTIDAD
254
254
254

PRECIO
UNITARIO *
7,105.63
2,368.53
574.21

TOTAL
1804830.02
601606.62
145849.34
2552285.98

255228.598

COSTO TOTAL

127614.299
6635.94355
8677.77233
398156.613

1804830
601606.62
145849.34

RUBROS
1. Etapa de Inversin (Intangibles)
1.1 Expediente tcnico
2. Etapa de Inversin Fija
2.1 Inversin Fija (Tangibles)
2.2 Gastos Generales
2.3 Gastos de Supervisin
2.4 Gastos de Liquidacin

TOTAL
1,346.48
1,346.48
2,584,601.53
2,552,285.98
20,197.22
9,425.37
2,692.96

TOTAL INVERSION
Resumen
DETALLE

Inversin
VAC
VAE
Poblacin promedio
C/E

2,585,948.01
A precios privados
ALTERNATIVA 01 ALTERNATIVA 02

S/.
S/.

AOS

CON PROYECTO
Inversion
Oper. Mantenimiento
SIN PROYECTO
Inversion
Oper. Mantenimiento
COSTO INCREMENTAL
VAC

#REF!
#REF!

S/. 140,409.50

#REF!

1270
651.11

1270
#REF!

AO 0

AO 1

581,315.08
581,315.08

30,840.00
30,840.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
581,315.08
S/.
826,904.12

30,840.00

AO 0

AO 1

0.00
0.00

0.00

AOS

CON PROYECTO
Inversion
Oper. Mantenimiento
SIN PROYECTO
Inversion
Oper. Mantenimiento
COSTO INCREMENTAL
VAC

581,315.08
826,904.12

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
S/.

0.00
-

AOS

CON PROYECTO
Inversion
Oper. Mantenimiento
SIN PROYECTO
Inversion
Oper. Mantenimiento
COSTO INCREMENTAL
VAC

AO 1

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
S/.

FACTORES DE CORRECION
INVERSION TOTAL

0.00
-

0.84

AOS

CON PROYECTO
Inversion
Oper. Mantenimiento
SIN PROYECTO
Inversion
Oper. Mantenimiento
COSTO INCREMENTAL
VAC

AO 0

AO 0

AO 1

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
S/.

0.00
-

A precios Sociales
ALTERNATIVA 01 ALTERNATIVA 02

S/.
S/.

S/.
30,840.00 S/.

S/. 5,236.68

S/. 0.00

1270
24.28

1270
0.00

Cuadro N 08
Costos incrementales de la alternativa 01
AO 2

AO 3

30,840.00

30,840.00

30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00

AO 4

AO 5

AO 6

AO 7

AO 8

AO 9

30,840.00
0.00

30,840.00
0.00

30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00


0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

30,840.00

30,840.00

30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00

Cuadro N 09
Costos incrementales de la alternativa 02
AO 2

AO 3

AO 4

AO 5

AO 6

AO 7

AO 8

AO 9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Cuadro N 00
Costos incrementales de la alternativa 01
a precios sociales
AO 2

AO 3

AO 4

AO 5

AO 6

AO 7

AO 8

AO 9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Cuadro N 00
Costos incrementales de la alternativa 02
a precios sociales
AO 2

AO 3

AO 4

AO 5

AO 6

AO 7

AO 8

AO 9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

AO 10

AO 11

AO 12

AO 13

AO 14

AO 15

AO 16

AO 17

AO 18

30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00


30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00 30,840.00

AO 10

AO 11

AO 12

AO 13

AO 14

AO 15

AO 16

AO 17

AO 18

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

AO 10

AO 11

AO 12

AO 13

AO 14

AO 15

AO 16

AO 17

AO 18

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

AO 10

AO 11

AO 12

AO 13

AO 14

AO 15

AO 16

AO 17

AO 18

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

AO 19

AO 20

30,840.00 30,840.00
30,840.00 30,840.00
0.00
0.00

30,840.00 30,840.00

AO 19

AO 20

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

AO 19

AO 20

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

AO 19

AO 20

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

ALTERNATIVA 1
RUBROS
COSTOS DE OPERACIN
Compra de Energia
Otros Costos de Operacin y Mantenimiento

UNIDAD
MEDIDA

CANTIDAD

PRECIO
UNITARIO *

Glb.
1
30,830.00
Glb.
1
10.00
TOTAL OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO

ALTERNATIVA 2
RUBROS
COSTOS DE OPERACIN
Operacin
COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO
Mantenimiento
* Incluye IGV

UNIDAD
MEDIDA

CANTIDAD

GLB

PRECIO
UNITARIO *
0

GLB
1
7,620.00
TOTAL OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO

TOTAL

30,830.00
10.00
30,840.00

TOTAL
ANUAL
0
0
7,620.00
7,620.00
7,620.00

7
0

B. COSTOS DE OPER.Y MANT. CON PROYECTO

30840

37998

42178

46817

51967

Compra de Energia

30830

37986

42164

46802

51950

10

12

14

15

17

30840

37998

42178

46817

51967

D. COSTOS DE OPER.Y MANT. SIN PROYECTO

1. Costos de Operacin

2. Costos de Mantenimiento

30840

37998

42178

46817

51967

7620

8458

10421

11568

12840

7,620

8458

10421

11568

12840

7620

8458

10421

11568

12840

RUBROS
A. COSTOS DE INVERSION

1735

1. Intangibles (Expediente Tcnico)


2. Inversin en Activos Fijos

506176

RED SECUNDARIA

429423

Suministro de Materiales

336892

Montaje Electromagnetico

68948

Transporte

23582

ACOMETIDAS DOMICILIARIAS

76753

Suministro de Materiales

61057

Montaje Electromecanico

11422

Transporte

4274

3. Gastos Generales

50618

4. Gastos de Supervisin

21471

5. Gastos de Liquidacin

1316

Otros Costos de Operacin y Mantenimiento


581315

C. TOTAL COSTOS CON PROYECTO

581315

E. TOTAL COSTOS INCREMENTALES


VAC

RUBROS

S/.

2,700,513.68

A. COSTOS DE INVERSION
1. Intangibles (Expediente Tcnico)

8,677.77

2. Inversin en Activos Fijos

2941765

2.1 Inversin Fija (Tangibles)

2,552,285.96

Panel Solar

1804830

Batera

601606.62

Controlador

145849.34

2.2 Gastos Generales

255,228.60

2.3 Gastos de Supervisin

127,614.30

2.4 Gastos de Liquidacin

6635.94

B. COSTOS DE OPER.Y MANT. CON PROYECTO


Operacin
Mantenimiento
C. TOTAL COSTOS CON PROYECTO

3339921

D. COSTOS DE OPER.Y MANT. SIN PROYECTO

1. Costos de Operacin

2. Costos de Mantenimiento
3339921

E. TOTAL COSTOS INCREMENTALES

VAC

S/.

3,490,811.14

7620

8458

10421

11568

12840

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

57684

64029

71072

163760

181774

201769

223964

248600

275946

1189311

1320135

1465349

1626538

57665

64008

71049

163735

181746

201738

223929

248561

275903

1189263

1320082

1465291

1626472

19

21

23

26

28

32

35

39

43

48

53

59

65

57684

64029

71072

163760

181774

201769

223964

248600

275946

1189311

1320135

1465349

1626538

57684

64029

71072

163760

181774

201769

223964

248600

275946

1189311

1320135

1465349

1626538

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

14253

15820

17561

19492

21636

24016

26658

29591

32846

36459

40469

44921

49862

14253

15820

17561

19492

21636

24016

26658

29591

32846

36459

40469

44921

49862

14253

15820

17561

19492

21636

24016

26658

29591

32846

36459

40469

44921

49862

14253

15820

17561

19492

21636

24016

26658

29591

32846

36459

40469

44921

49862

19

20

1805457

2004057

1805384

2003977

73

81

1805457

2004057

1805457

2004057

19

20

55347

61435

55347

61435

55347

61435

55347

61435

RUBROS/AOS

A. BENEFICIOS CON PROYECTO

228,326

230,837

233,376

AHORRO POR ENERGIA CONV.


.
.
.
.

228,326

230,837

233,376

B. BENEFICIOS SIN PROYECTO

228,326

230,837

233,376

.
.
.
.
C. BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
D. COSTOS INCREMENTALES

3339921.413

7,620

8,458

10,421

E. BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

-3,339,921.41

220,706

222,379

222,955

VAN 11%
TIR

S/. -1,540,518
3%

1
2677774
2449448
33235
74
228326
0
2677774.07
7620
2670154
#NUM!

2
2872626
2641789
35845
74
230837
0
2872626.38
8458.2
2864168

3
3064107
2830731
38409
74
233376
0
3064107.391
10421.34822
3053686

RUBROS/AOS
A. BENEFICIOS CON PROYECTO
ENERGIA
Consumo de Energa
Precio por Kwh
AHORRO POR ENERGIA CONV.
B. BENEFICIOS SIN PROYECTO
C. BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
D. COSTOS INCREMENTALES
E. BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

3339921.413
-3339921

VAN 11%

TIR

CUADRO N 20
INDICADORES DE EVALUACION
A PRECIOS DE MERCADO

86%

ALTERNATIV ALTERNATIV
AI
A II
VAN 11%

26,833,201

TIR
B/C
Pob.Benef.

S/. 26,042,904
86%

S/. 4.39

0.46

1270

1270%

CUADRO N 19
FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS NETOS
A PRECIOS DE MERCADO
ALTERNATIVA II
4

10

235,944

238,539

241,163

243,816

246,498

249,209

251,950

235,944

238,539

241,163

243,816

246,498

249,209

251,950

235,944

238,539

241,163

243,816

246,498

249,209

251,950

11,568

12,840

14,253

15,820

17,561

19,492

21,636

224,376

225,699

226,910

227,995

228,937

229,717

230,314

4
3249970
3014027
40896
74
235944
0
3249970.323
11567.69652
3238403

5
3428017
3189478
43276
74
238539
0
3428016.513
12840.14314
3415176

6
3601668
3360505
45597
74
241163
0
3601667.836
14252.55889
3587415

7
3766824
3523008
47802
74
243816
0
3766823.822
15820.34037
3751003

8
3925047
3678549
49912
74
246498
0
3925046.992
17560.57781
3907486

9
4076807
3827598
51935
74
249209
0
4076807.459
19492.24136
4057315

10
4223085
3971134
53882
74
251950
0
4223084.758
21636.38791
4201448

S NETOS
CADO
I
11

12

13

14

15

16

17

254,722

257,524

260,357

263,221

266,116

269,043

272,003

254,722

257,524

260,357

263,221

266,116

269,043

272,003

254,722

257,524

260,357

263,221

266,116

269,043

272,003

24,016

26,658

29,591

32,846

36,459

40,469

44,921

230,706

230,866

230,766

230,375

229,657

228,574

227,082

11
4359583
4104861
55697
74
254722
0
4359583.153
24016.39058
4335567

12
4487930
4230406
57400
74
257524
0
4487930.273
26658.19355
4461272

13
4605729
4345373
58960
74
260357
0
4605729.375
29590.59484
4576139

14
4716733
4453513
60428
74
263221
0
4716733.485
32845.56027
4683888

15
4819528
4553412
61783
74
266116
0
4819527.905
36458.5719
4783069

16
4912820
4643776
63009
74
269043
0
4912819.635
40469.01481
4872351

17
4996248
4724245
64101
74
272003
0
4996248.19
44920.60644
4951328

18

19

20

274,995

278,020

281,078

274,995

278,020

281,078

274,995

278,020

281,078

49,862

55,347

61,435

225,133

222,673

219,643

18
5069453
4794458
65054
74
274995
0
5069453.09
49861.87315
5019591

19
5129873
4851854
65832
74
278020
0
5129873.47
55346.67919
5074527

20
5182417
4901339
66504
74
281078
0
5182417.05
61434.81391
5120982

B. COSTOS DE OPER.Y MANT. CON PROYECTO

25906

25952

Compra de Energia

25897

25943

RUBROS

A. COSTOS DE INVERSION
1. Intangibles (Expediente Tcnico)*

1457

2. Inversin en Activos Fijos

425188

RED SECUNDARIA

360715

Suministro de Materiales

282989

Montaje Electromagnetico

57917

Transporte

19809

ACOMETIDAS DOMICILIARIAS

64472.52

Suministro de Materiales

51287.88

Montaje Electromecanico

9594.48

Transporte

3590.16

3. Gastos Generales ***

46062

4. Gastos de Supervisin***

19539

5. Gastos de Liquidacin***

1198

25906

25952

D. COSTOS DE OPER.Y MANT. SIN PROYECTO

1. Costos de Operacin

Otros Costos de Operacin y Mantenimiento


C. TOTAL COSTOS CON PROYECTO

493443

2. Costos de Mantenimiento
E. TOTAL COSTOS INCREMENTALES

493443

25906

25952

** Corregido con factor de correccin 0.41 mano de obra no calificada, sierra rural
*** Corregido con factor de correccin 0.91 mano de obra calificada

RUBROS

A. COSTOS DE INVERSION
1. Intangibles (Expediente Tcnico)*

7,289.33

2. Inversin en Activos Fijos

2143920

2.1 Inversin Fija (Tangibles)

2,143,920.21

Panel Solar*

1516057.2

Batera*

505349.5608

Controlador*

122513.4456

2.2 Gastos Generales***

232,258.02

2.3 Gastos de Supervisin***

116,129.01

2.4 Gastos de Liquidacin***

6038.71

6401

6401

6,401

6,401

6401

6401

D. COSTOS DE OPER.Y MANT. SIN PROYECTO

1. Costos de Operacin

B. COSTOS DE OPER.Y MANT. CON PROYECTO


Operacin*
Mantenimiento*
2505635

C. TOTAL COSTOS CON PROYECTO

2. Costos de Mantenimiento
2505635

E. TOTAL COSTOS INCREMENTALES

6401

6401

* Corregido con factor de correccin 0.84 bienes nacionales


*** Corregido con factor de correccin 0.91 mano de obra calificada

CUADRO N 25
INDICADORES DE EVALUACION
A PRECIOS DE SOCIALES

ALTERNATIVA I ALTERNATIVA II
VAN
TIR
Pob.Benef.

1270

1270

CUADRO N 21
FLUJO DE COSTOS
A PRECIOS SOCIALES
ALTERNATIVA I
3

25990

26020

26041

26056

26205

26348

26482

25981

26011

26032

26047

26196

26339

26473

25990

26020

26041

26056

26205

26348

26482

25990

26020

26041

26056

26205

26348

26482

FLUJO DE COSTOS
A PRECIOS SOCIALES
ALTERNATIVA II
3

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

ADRO N 21
O DE COSTOS
IOS SOCIALES
ERNATIVA I
10

11

12

13

14

15

16

26610

26730

26840

26943

27035

27118

27193

26601

26720

26830

26931

27025

27108

27183

11

10

10

10

26610

26730

26840

26943

27035

27118

27193

26610

26730

26840

26943

27035

27118

27193

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

O DE COSTOS
IOS SOCIALES
ERNATIVA II

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

17

18

19

20

27258

27314

27357

27390

27248

27303

27346

27380

10

10

10

10

27258

27314

27357

27390

27258

27314

27357

27390

17

18

19

20

6401

6401

6401

6401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6,401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

6401

A. BENEFICIOS CON PROYECTO

2,249,330

2,413,006

2,573,850

2,729,975

ENERGIA

2,057,537

2,219,103

2,377,814

2,531,782

Consumo de Energa

33,235.39

35,845.17

38,408.83

40,895.88

RUBROS/AOS

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

AHORRO POR ENERGIA CONV.*

191,793.6

193,903.3

196,036.2

198,192.6

B. BENEFICIOS SIN PROYECTO

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2,249,330.2

2,413,006.2

2,573,850.2

2,729,975.1

Precio por Kwh*

C. BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
D. COSTOS INCREMENTALES

493,443

25,906

25,952

25,990

26,020

E. BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

-493,443

2,223,425

2,387,054

2,547,860

2,703,955

* Corregido con factor de correccin 0.84 bienes nacionales

Alternativa I
Alternativa II
S/. 24,105,055.60 S/. 1,587,274.33
458%
5%

VAN
TIR

RUBROS/AOS

A. BENEFICIOS CON PROYECTO

2
191,793.57

191794

AHORRO POR ENERGIA CONV.*

24105056

193,903.30
193903

196,036.24
196036

198,192.64
198193

.
.
.
.
B. BENEFICIOS SIN PROYECTO

191,793.57

193,903.30

196,036.24

198,192.64

.
.
.
.
C. BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
D. COSTOS INCREMENTALES
E. BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

2505635.28

6400.8

-2,505,635.28

-918,360.95
5.12%

6400.8
185,392.77

187,502.50

6400.8
189,635.44

6400.8
191,791.84

RUBROS/AOS
A. BENEFICIOS CON
PROYECTO
ENERGIA
Consumo de Energa
Precio por Kwh
AHORRO POR ENERGIA
CONV.
B. BENEFICIOS SIN
PROYECTO
C. BENEFICIOS
INCREMENTALES
D. COSTOS INCREMENTALES
E. BENEFICIOS NETOS
TOTALES

VAN
TIR

191793.5712
1

2677774

2872626 3064107

3249970

2449448
33235
74

2641789 2830731
35845
38409
74
74

3014027
40896
74

228326

230837

233376

235944

2677774.07
3339921.413

7620

-3339921

2670154

Alternativa I
Alternativa II
S/. 1,587,274.33
S/. 26,042,903.95
86%

2872626 3064107
8458.2

3249970

10421.35

11567.7

2864168 3053686

3238403

CUADRO N 23
FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS NETOS
A PRECIOS SOCIALES
ALTERNATIVA I
5

10

11

12

13

2,879,534

3,025,401

3,164,132

3,297,039

3,424,518

3,547,391

3,662,050

3,769,861

3,868,813

2,679,161

2,822,824

2,959,327

3,089,981

3,215,183

3,335,753

3,448,083

3,553,541

3,650,113

43,276.49

45,597.08

47,802.01

49,912.47

51,934.85

53,882.42

55696.896

57400.3584

58960.2816

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

200,372.8

202,576.9

204,805.2

207,058.1

209,335.7

211,638.4

213,966.4

216,320.0

218,699.6

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2,879,533.9

3,025,401.0

3,164,132.0

3,297,039.5

3,424,518.3

3,547,391.2

3,662,049.8

3,769,861.4

3,868,812.7

26,041

26,056

26,205

26,348

26,482

26,610

26,730

26,840

26,943

2,853,493

2,999,345

3,137,927

3,270,691

3,398,037

3,520,781

3,635,320

3,743,022

3,841,870

10

11

12

13

CUADRO N 19
FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS NETOS
A PRECIOS sociales
ALTERNATIVA II
5

200,372.75
200373

202,576.85
202577

204,805.20
204805

207,058.06
207058

209,335.70
209336

211,638.39
211638

213,966.41
213966

216,320.04
216320

218,699.56
218700

200,372.75

202,576.85

204,805.20

207,058.06

209,335.70

211,638.39

213,966.41

216,320.04

218,699.56

6400.8

6400.8

209,919.24

212,298.76

6400.8
193,971.95

6400.8
196,176.05

6400.8
198,404.40

6400.8
200,657.26

6400.8
202,934.90

6400.8
205,237.59

6400.8
207,565.61

CUADRO N 19
FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS NETOS
A PRECIOS DE MERCADO
ALTERNATIVA II

10

11

3428017

3601668

3766824

3925047

4076807

4223085

4359583

4487930 4605729

3189478
43276
74

3360505
45597
74

3523008
47802
74

3678549
49912
74

3827598
51935
74

3971134
53882
74

4104861
55697
74

4230406 4345373
57400
58960
74
74

238539

241163

243816

246498

249209

251950

254722

257524

260357

3428017

3601668

3766824

3925047

4076807

4223085

4359583

12840.14

14252.56 15820.34 17560.58 19492.24 21636.39 24016.39 26658.19 29590.59

3415176

3587415

3751003

3907486

4057315

4201448

4335567

12

13

4487930 4605729

4461272 4576139

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

3,962,056

4,048,403

4,126,768

4,196,848

4,258,341

4,309,094

4,353,230

3,740,951

3,824,866

3,900,772

3,968,366

4,027,345

4,075,557

4,117,125

60427.584

61783.0656

63009.1776

64101.024

65053.7088

65832.48

66503.9232

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

61.908

221,105.3

223,537.4

225,996.3

228,482.3

230,995.6

233,536.5

236,105.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

3,962,056.1

4,048,403.4

4,126,768.5

4,196,848.5

4,258,340.6

4,309,093.7

4,353,230.3

27,035

27,118

27,193

27,258

27,314

27,357

27,390

3,935,021

4,021,285

4,099,575

4,169,590

4,231,027

4,281,737

4,325,840

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

221,105.26
221105

223,537.41
223537

225,996.33
225996

228,482.29
228482

230,995.59
230996

233,536.54
233537

236,105.44
236105

221,105.26

223,537.41

225,996.33

228,482.29

230,995.59

233,536.54

236,105.44

6400.8
214,704.46

6400.8
217,136.61

6400.8
219,595.53

6400.8
222,081.49

6400.8
224,594.79

6400.8
227,135.74

6400.8
229,704.64

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

4716733

4819528

4912820

4996248

5069453

5129873

5182417

4453513
60428
74

4553412
61783
74

4643776
63009
74

4724245
64101
74

4794458
65054
74

4851854
65832
74

4901339
66504
74

263221

266116

269043

272003

274995

278020

281078

4716733

4819528

4912820

4996248

5069453

5129873

5182417

32845.56 36458.57 40469.01 44920.61 49861.87 55346.68 61434.81


4683888

4783069

4872351

4951328

5019591

5074527

5120982

A. BENEFICIOS CON PROYECTO


ENERGIA
Consumo de Energa
Precio por Kwh
AHORRO POR ENERGIA CONV.
B. BENEFICIOS SIN PROYECTO

RUBROS/AOS

2,677,774
2,449,448
33,235.39
73.7

2,872,626
2,641,789
35,845.17
73.7

3,064,107
2,830,731
38,408.83
73.7

228,325.7

230,837.3

233,376.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

C. BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES

2,677,774.1

2,872,626.4

3,064,107.4

D. COSTOS INCREMENTALES

581,315

30,840

37,998

42,178

E. BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

-581,315

2,646,934

2,834,628

3,021,930

VAN 11%
TIR

26,833,201
5

AHORRO DE GASTO EN EL USO DE ENERGIA CONVENCIONAL


POR FAMILIA/MENSUAL

RUBROS

Unidad

Cantidad

Precio

Total

Medida
GASTO EN ENERGIA CONVENCIONAL

106.3

Velas

Unid.

15

0.5

7.5

Combustible

Galn

12

12

Recarga de bateras

Glb

32

Fosforo

Paq.

Unid.

16

0.8

12.8

Ida-Vuelta

10

40

Pilas
Pasajes (hacia el rea urbano para
abastecimiento de insumos)

GASTO EN ENERGIA ELECTRICA


Cosumo de energia

AHORRO EFECTIVO

31.39
Kwh

33.75

0.93

31.39

74.91

CUADRO N 18
FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS NETOS
A PRECIOS DE MERCADO
ALTERNATIVA I
4

10

3,249,970
3,014,027
40,895.88
73.7

3,428,017
3,189,478
43,276.49
73.7

3,601,668
3,360,505
45,597.08
73.7

3,766,824
3,523,008
47,802.01
73.7

3,925,047
3,678,549
49,912.47
73.7

4,076,807
3,827,598
51,934.85
73.7

4,223,085
3,971,134
53,882.42
73.7

235,943.6

238,539.0

241,162.9

243,815.7

246,497.7

249,209.2

251,950.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

3,249,970.3

3,428,016.5

3,601,667.8

3,766,823.8

3,925,047.0

4,076,807.5

4,223,084.8

46,817

51,967

57,684

64,029

71,072

163,760

181,774

3,203,153

3,376,049

3,543,984

3,702,795

3,853,975

3,913,047

4,041,311

NETOS
ADO

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

4,359,583
4,104,861

4,487,930
4,230,406

4,605,729
4,345,373

4,716,733
4,453,513

4,819,528
4,553,412

4,912,820
4,643,776

4,996,248
4,724,245

55696.896

57400.3584

58960.2816

60427.584

61783.0656

63009.1776

64101.024

73.7

73.7

73.7

73.7

73.7

73.7

73.7

254,721.9

257,523.9

260,356.6

263,220.5

266,116.0

269,043.2

272,002.7

4,359,583.2

4,487,930.3

4,605,729.4

4,716,733.5

4,819,527.9

4,912,819.6

4,996,248.2

201,769

223,964

248,600

275,946

1,189,311

1,320,135

1,465,349

4,157,814

4,263,966

4,357,129

4,440,788

3,630,217

3,592,685

3,530,899

18

19

20

5,069,453
4,794,458

5,129,873
4,851,854

5,182,417
4,901,339

65053.7088

65832.48

66503.9232

73.7

73.7

73.7

274,994.8

278,019.7

281,077.9

5,069,453.1

5,129,873.5

5,182,417.1

1,626,538

1,805,457

2,004,057

3,442,915

3,324,416

3,178,360