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Selecciones de la
NFL de la semana 10
contra la
propagación
¿Es esta una buena semana para elegir a los
menos favorecidos? Si eso significa tomar a
los Vikings liderados por Joshua Dobbs,
absolutamente. ¿Los Gigantes de Tommy
DeVito en Dallas? De ninguna manera.
Aquí están todas las selecciones para la
lista de la NFL de esta semana.
Por Sheil Kapadia 9 de noviembre de 2023, 8:06 a. m.
EST

CO M PA RTIR

Getty Images/Ilustración del timbre

La semana 9 fue fantástica. El mariscal de

campo novato de los Texans, CJ Stroud,
ofreció un espectáculo contra los Bucs, el
mundo de la NFL se enamoró de Joshua
Dobbs, los Eagles-Cowboys ofrecieron un
thriller y los Ravens continuaron rodando.
¿Qué nos espera para la semana 10?
¡Vayamos a las selecciones!

Apto para toda la

familia

Palmolive Neutro Balance Shampoo Rest…

$99.00 Agregar al Carrito
Detalles del producto

Las líneas son de FanDuel a partir del

jueves por la mañana. Las estadísticas son
de TruMedia y Pro Football Focus a menos
que se indique lo contrario.

Récord de la semana 9: 8-6

Récord de la temporada: 67-66-3

Panteras de Carolina ante Osos

de Chicago (-3)
Bryce Young apestaba la semana pasada.
No hay dos maneras de hacerlo. Los
Panthers estaban abajo 20-10 a principios
del último cuarto y conducían en territorio
de Indianápolis cuando lanzó su segunda
selección seis del juego. Young promedió
4,4 yardas por intento y lanzó tres
intercepciones. Simplemente un completo
desastre.

RELACIONADO

Superlativos de mitad de temporada de la

NFL: ¿Quién es el MVP?

Predicciones de los playoffs de mitad de

temporada de la NFL 2023 del Ringer
Staff

Pero deberíamos saber que no debemos

sacar conclusiones después de las primeras
siete aperturas de un mariscal de campo.
Trevor Lawrence completó el 59,6 por
ciento de sus pases y lanzó ocho
touchdowns y nueve intercepciones en sus
primeras siete aperturas. Ahora es
considerado uno de los mejores mariscales
de campo de la NFL. No estoy diciendo que
Young se convierta en Lawrence, pero la
historia de la NFL está plagada de buenos
mariscales de campo que tuvieron malas
temporadas de novato y malos mariscales
de campo que tuvieron buenas temporadas
de novato. ¡Es una transición difícil!
Seguiré adelante y le daré algo de tiempo a
Young.

AD

En cuanto a los Bears, Justin Fields figura

como duda para este juego. Recuerde, los
Bears poseen la selección de primera ronda
de los Panthers. Ahora mismo eso sería no.
2. ¿Qué sería mejor para los Bears que
perder este juego y crear un estancamiento
de equipos con dos victorias? Dame
Carolina.

La elección: Panteras (+3)

Colts de Indianápolis ante

Patriotas de Nueva Inglaterra
(+1,5)
The Patriots are 2-7 and unraveling. Last
week against the Commanders, starting
cornerbacks Jack Jones and J.C. Jackson
began the game on the bench. The Athletic’s
Chad Graff wrote an excellent piece on the
Patriots’ dysfunction, and this passage was
an eyebrow-raiser:

After the game, Jones liked a tweet (since

removed) saying that he should’ve pled
guilty (presumably to the charges he faced
for bringing loaded guns to the airport at
the outset of this season), implying that
the alternative is better than this current
situation with the Patriots.

Graff reported that Jackson won’t even

make the trip to Germany for this game.

AD

The Colts, meanwhile, broke a three-game

losing streak with a win at Carolina.
Unfortunately, they also took the lead for
the most cringeworthy video of the 2023
season.

Jim Irsay
@JimIrsay · Seguir

Hold up, wait a minute, ya’ll thought we were

finished. - Meek Mill (and also me)

Mirar en X

8:37 p. m. · 5 nov. 2023

18,5 mil Responder Compa…

Leer 556 respuestas

You should not gamble on this game. I’m

making a pick only because I have to.

The pick: Colts (-1.5)

San Francisco 49ers at

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3)
I don’t know whether this is controversial,
but I’m far more concerned about the 49ers
defense than the 49ers offense. Yes, they
need to score more points—the 17 per game
they’ve averaged during this three-game
losing streak won’t cut it. But offensively,
you can make the case that they’re getting a
little unlucky. The 49ers are first in
offensive DVOA and first in success rate.
The defense is 15th in DVOA and 22nd in
success rate. Adding defensive end Chase
Young should help, but the 49ers need to fix
their issues on the back end.

AD

If you’re a Jaguars fan, you have to feel good

about where this team is after nine weeks.
They’re 6-2, their defense has been a huge
surprise, and they haven’t yet peaked
offensively.

It feels like the general talking points for

this game will be: The 49ers won’t really
lose four in a row, will they? The Jaguars
are good, but they’re not 7-2 good, are they?

But I generally like to roll with Doug

Pederson in an underdog role. Give me
Jacksonville.

The pick: Jaguars (+3)

New Orleans Saints at Minnesota

Vikings (+2.5)
I can’t get enough of the Joshua Dobbs
story. What he did last week in Minnesota’s
win over the Falcons was incredible. I can’t
believe I’m saying this, but the Vikings
have emerged as one of the NFL’s most
lovable teams. That defense is all the way
up to 10th in DVOA—significantly
outperforming its talent under Brian
Flores’s direction. They’re 5-4 and have
won four straight games. Just a really
impressive head-coaching job by Kevin
O’Connell.

AD

As for the Saints, they’re exactly what they

intended to be: a mediocre team with a low
ceiling that has a great chance of making
the playoffs. Right now, the Saints are the
favorites (-160) to win the NFC South.

I want to root for Dobbs, and I generally

stay away from Derek Carr and Dennis
Allen as favorites. Give me the home dog.

The pick: Vikings (+2.5)

Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay

Buccaneers (-1.5)
Will Levis is a fun, new character for the
2023 season. I don’t know how good he’ll be,
but in two games, Levis has already shown
that he can make high-difficulty throws. I
suspect some horrible decision-making is
coming. That’s generally the case with
rookie quarterbacks. But I’m definitely
interested in seeing more. The goal for
Tennessee the rest of the way should be to
get Levis reps and gather information on
him so that it can have a sense of his upside
going into the offseason.

The Bucs, meanwhile, have lost four

straight, but the past three have been by a
combined 11 points. They’re mediocre in
just about everything they do. I don’t trust
either team, but give me Tennessee.

The pick: Titans (+1.5)

How to Bet the Trends of the 2023-24 N

Nov 7 · The Ringer Gambling Show
Save on Spoti%

34:39

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore

Ravens (-6)
The case for the Ravens as the most
complete team in the NFL:

Their plus-115 point differential is

not only first, but 35 points better
than the second-ranked team.

They’re first in DVOA and the only

team to be in the top five on both
offense and defense.

They’re 7-2, and their two losses

came by a combined 10 points and
were among the most fluky losses
by any team all season.

I’m really impressed with this Ravens

team. They can win with Lamar Jackson
when he operates from the pocket or makes
second-reaction plays. They can run the
ball. Their offensive line is playing well.
Their defense just held the Seahawks to a
total of six first downs and completely shut
down the Lions a few weeks ago. They’re
well-coached. And we know they’ll be good
in the kicking game. If Jackson stays
healthy, this really could be the Ravens’
year.

AD

The Browns defense continues to look like

one of the NFL’s top units, but their offense
was dealt a blow last week, when left tackle
Jedrick Wills Jr. suffered an injury that is
expected to keep him out for a while. I’m
tempted to take the points here, given that
it’ll likely be a low-scoring game, but the
Ravens have just looked so dominant.
Winning by a touchdown doesn’t feel like
too much to ask.

The pick: Ravens (-6)

Houston Texans at Cincinnati

Bengals (-6.5)
My initial thought here was that this line is
too big. Houston’s C.J. Stroud was
incredible last week, and he’s having one of
the best rookie seasons we’ve seen recently
for a quarterback. And it’s not like Stroud
has some amazing supporting cast. He’s an
elevator—the type of quarterback who
makes everyone around him better. It’s
been so much fun to watch.

As for the Bengals, they’ve won three

straight, over the Seahawks, 49ers, and
Bills. But they’re banged up, particularly at
wide receiver. Ja’Marr Chase didn’t
practice Wednesday because of a back
injury, and Tee Higgins was limited with a
hamstring issue. It will not surprise me if
Stroud pulls off the upset here, but that
Texans defense just got picked apart by
Baker Mayfield last week. I’m riding with
Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow until he
gives me a reason not to.

AD

The pick: Bengals (-6.5)

Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh

Steelers (-3)
What a time to be a Steelers fan. Offensive
coordinator Matt Canada moved from the
box to the sideline during their win over
the Titans last week, and Pittsburgh did the
impossible and scored on its first
possession. The nickname “Fourth Quarter
Kenny [Pickett]” might actually become a
thing. And Mike Tomlin this week
described the issue of George Pickens’s
post on Instagram that said “free me” as “a
pebble in my shoe.” This team really has it
all!

The Packers got a win over the Rams last

week and are still in the wide-open mix for
the final playoff spot in the NFC. According
to the betting markets, they have the
fourth-easiest remaining schedule. I don’t
believe in the Packers, and I can’t pick a
Steelers game right to save my life. This
definitely feels like a good spot to fade me.

The pick: Steelers (-3)

Surprising NBA Numbers, Plus a Super B

Nov 8 · The Ryen Russillo Podcast
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1:50:08

Atlanta Falcons at Arizona

Cardinals (+1.5)
Let’s take a step back and assess where we
are with Falcons head coach Arthur Smith.
The Falcons have spent three consecutive
top-eight draft picks on offensive skill-
position players. They have three offensive
linemen making over $10 million per year.
And through nine weeks, Atlanta ranks
24th in offensive DVOA—sandwiched
between the Commanders and the Patriots.
Smith is sticking with Taylor Heinicke at
quarterback in this game at Arizona and
says he will reassess things during the bye.

AD

If the season ended today, the Cardinals

would have the first pick in the draft. But
they’re not moving forward with an all-out
tank. Instead, Kyler Murray is expected to
return to start his first game of the season,
barring any setbacks in practice this week.
The Cardinals are a bad team, and they’re
dealing with offensive line injuries, but
there’s no way I could look at myself in the
mirror if I took the Falcons as road
favorites.

The pick: Cardinals (+1.5)

Detroit Lions at Los Angeles

Chargers (+3)
Don’t sleep on the Lions as the potential 1-
seed in the NFC. At 6-2, they’re currently
second, behind only the 8-1 Eagles.
According to the betting markets, the
Lions have the sixth-easiest remaining
schedule. This is a feisty, well-rounded,
well-coached team.

Watching the Chargers on Monday night, I

couldn’t help but think about how boring
the Justin Herbert experience has become.
I know they are missing wide receivers
Mike Williams and Josh Palmer, and the
Jets defense is no joke. But when Herbert
came into the league, he was a revelation. I
couldn’t wait to watch him play every week.
Against the Jets, he averaged 4.5 yards per
attempt and took five sacks. I know it was
only one game, and he has a finger injury
on his non-throwing hand, but the
Chargers just continue to bum me out.
 AD

At first glance, I wondered whether this

number was too high. But I like this Lions
team, and I’m not getting sucked back in by
the Chargers.

The pick: Lions (-3)

New York Giants at Dallas

Cowboys (-16.5)
Biggest takeaway from the Eagles-Cowboys
film last week: In the past two seasons, I
don’t think I’ve seen an offensive line
handle the Eagles’ defensive line as well as
Dallas did in that game. Don’t get me
wrong: The Eagles pass rushers got home
late and wrecked Dallas’s final possession.
But for 57 minutes or so, I thought that was
a pretty dominant performance by the
Cowboys up front. That’s a really good sign
for them the rest of the way, and Dak
Prescott played at a high level throughout.

As for the Giants, Daniel Jones’s season is

over because of a torn ACL. They are
starting Tommy DeVito in this game. And
if the season ended today, the Giants would
have the fourth pick. Remember, Jones’s
contract is guaranteed through only 2024.
The Giants could legitimately be in the mix
to draft a quarterback high next spring.

AD

This line is enormous. It’s a division game.

Normally, I’d take the points and cross my
fingers. But I just can’t get there. I’m pretty
sure this would have to get to 20 for me to
take the Giants.

The pick: Cowboys (-16.5)

Washington Commanders at
Seattle Seahawks (-6)
I’m not quite sure what to make of this
Seahawks team. They had six first downs in
last week’s blowout loss against the Ravens.
That’s the fewest they’ve had in 237 games
with Pete Carroll as their head coach. The
Seahawks are 5-3 and have some tough ones
the rest of the way: two games against the
49ers, one against the Cowboys, and one
against the Eagles.

The Commanders, meanwhile, are not a

good team, but they’re not a bad watch.
They lit the Patriots up for 432 yards last
week and had 472 in their game against the
Eagles a week before that. Maybe they’re
figuring some things out on that side of the
ball? It’s also possible that I’m overreacting
to a small sample. Regardless, give me the
points. Seahawks win, but they sweat it out.

The pick: Commanders (+6)

New York Jets at Las Vegas

Raiders (+1)
Just incredible scenes from the Raiders
locker room after their win over the Giants
last week:

Raider Posts
@RaiderPosts · Seguir

You know the vibes.

Mirar en X

6:45 p. m. · 5 nov. 2023

20,3 mil Responder Comp…

Leer 660 respuestas

No. 1 rule for NFL coaches going forward:

Try to create an environment in which your
players don’t want to celebrate to that
degree when they win a game after you were
fired.

AD

Generally speaking, you want to take a

team that’s playing its first game with an
interim coach (I screwed this up with my
pick last week!) and then fade them the
second game. But maybe give the Raiders a
second game here, given how scarred they
might have been by the Josh McDaniels
experience?

Plus, the Jets had two months to upgrade

from Zach Wilson at quarterback and
didn’t do it. They basically told us not to
take them seriously. I think I’ll just listen.

The pick: Raiders (+1)

Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills

(-7.5)
I spent some time this week trying to
decide whether it’s finally time to fade the
Bills. But I just can’t get there. The main
reason? I think their offense still has
greatness within it. There’s too much data
to suggest as much. Take a look at the Bills’
offensive numbers this year compared to
last year:

Bills Offense
Season : 2022

EPA/Drive : 0.47

Success Rate : 47.50%

PPG : 26.9

Season : 2023

EPA/Drive : 0.66

Success Rate : 47.80%

PPG : 25.9

The Bills are better this year in terms of

expected points added per drive and
success rate. They’re averaging one fewer
point per game than last season. I know
some will point to the fact that they juiced
their numbers against bad teams earlier
this season, and that’s partially true. But
that happens every year.

AD

Buffalo is in a bit of a rut—no doubt. But it

still has Josh Allen. It still has Stefon
Diggs. Rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid is
coming on. And the offensive line has been
good enough. I still think this group will get
it together and go on a run. And it’ll have to
be the offense that carries the Bills,
because the injuries on defense are
legitimately concerning.

The Broncos, meanwhile, beat the Packers

and Chiefs before their bye. Their defense
is playing a lot better than it did earlier in
the season.

But I can’t quit this Bills team. I feel like I

say it every week, but this really feels like a
get-right game.

The pick: Bills (-7.5) ■

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