INTENSIDADES MÁXIMAS (mm/hr)

ESTACIÓN : WEBERBAWER DEPARTAMENTO : CAJAMARCA

ALTITUD : 2536 msnm PROVINCIA : CAJAMARCA
LATITUD : 07 º 30´ S LONGITUD : 78 º 30´ W
ALTITUD MEDIA 3706.26
m Año 5 min. 10 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.
1 1973 101.00 71.00 24.00 14.00 11.00
2 1974 73.00 58.00 34.00 18.00 19.00
3 1975 90.00 50.00 24.00 16.00 10.00
4 1976 68.00 63.00 37.00 19.00 9.00
5 1977 65.00 53.00 37.00 21.00 11.00
6 1978 26.00 24.00 21.00 12.00 6.00
7 1979 60.00 60.00 38.00 23.00 14.00
8 1980 73.02 61.00 33.80 21.08 9.28
9 1981 67.20 54.80 29.13 15.54 13.02
10 1982 88.29 75.15 37.20 23.10 13.27
11 1983 75.30 50.40 31.40 23.71 13.99
12 1984 112.80 71.80 27.60 15.63 9.80
13 1985 59.31 54.40 25.56 14.70 8.05
14 1986 84.60 65.40 30.11 15.60 8.23
15 1987 76.00 49.20 21.60 13.20 7.25
16 1988 70.40 52.80 23.00 13.79 7.85
17 1989 73.60 47.80 28.00 16.00 9.60
18 1990 111.60 75.00 37.94 23.00 12.00
19 1991 83.00 73.00 41.00 26.00 14.00
20 1992 56.00 39.00 19.00 10.00 5.00
21 1993 58.00 51.00 28.00 18.00 10.00
22 1994 91.49 64.18 36.22 19.04 12.91
23 1995 71.11 56.25 28.66 16.72 9.32
24 1996 81.30 60.21 22.44 17.88 11.12
25 1997 82.20 68.10 35.04 17.86 11.94
26 1998 92.00 66.34 40.60 27.10 13.50
27 1999 78.00 42.85 20.05 11.00 4.44

1. TRANSPOSICION DE INTENSIDAES (mm/h)

ALTITUD MEDIA 3706.26

𝐼2=𝐼1 𝑥 𝐻𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑎/𝐻1

I2: Intensidad de la micro cuenca Hmedia: De la microcuenca

I1: Intensidad de la est. Weberbawer H1: Alt. De la est. Weberbawer

TABLA N INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS TRANSPUESTAS A LA MICROCUENCA

2. SELECION DEL MODELO MATEMATICO

MODELO MATEMATICO DE GUMBEL

PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE (SMIRNOV - KOLMOGOROV)

T = 5min

𝐹_((𝑥))=
𝜖^( 〖−𝜖〗 ^(−((𝑥−𝑢)/𝛼)) )
F(x)=F(X<x)
Estimación de los parametros
Para N = 27 F(x)=1-F(X>x)

𝑢=𝑥 ̅−𝛼 𝑢_𝑦
1/𝛼=𝜎_𝑦/𝑠 F(X>x)=1/Tr Frecuencia de ocurrencia de que un evento

F(x)=(1-1/Tr)
Donde:

x= 111.95 Ơy 1.1004 (tabla) uy=

S= 26.23 alfa 23.83 u=

X P(X<x) Fx
m 5min P(X>x) Weibu1-P(X>x) F(X<x) |P(X<x)-F(X<x)|
1 164.85 0.036 0.96 0.9383 0.0260
2 163.10 0.071 0.93 0.9337 0.0052
3 147.61 0.107 0.89 0.8769 0.0160
4 134.46 0.143 0.86 0.7960 0.0611
5 133.71 0.179 0.82 0.7903 0.0312
6 131.53 0.214 0.79 0.7727 0.0131
7 129.03 0.250 0.75 0.7509 0.0009
8 123.64 0.286 0.71 0.6983 0.0160
9 121.30 0.321 0.68 0.6729 0.0057
10 120.13 0.357 0.64 0.6596 0.0167
11 118.82 0.393 0.61 0.6442 0.0371
 12 113.99 0.429 0.57 0.5837 0.0123
13 111.07 0.464 0.54 0.5441 0.0084
14 110.05 0.500 0.50 0.5297 0.0297
15 107.56 0.536 0.46 0.4940 0.0297
16 106.72 0.571 0.43 0.4816 0.0530
17 106.69 0.607 0.39 0.4811 0.0883
18 103.93 0.643 0.36 0.4398 0.0826
19 102.89 0.679 0.32 0.4240 0.1025
20 99.38 0.714 0.29 0.3700 0.0843
21 98.21 0.750 0.25 0.3520 0.1020
22 95.00 0.786 0.21 0.3027 0.0884
23 87.69 0.821 0.18 0.1972 0.0186
24 86.68 0.857 0.14 0.1838 0.0409
25 84.77 0.893 0.11 0.1595 0.0524
26 81.84 0.929 0.07 0.1255 0.0541
27 38.00 0.964 0.04 0.0000 0.0357

FALTA HACER OTRAS TABLAS PARA LAS OTRAS INTENSIDADES

Weibull (Dc máx) 0.103 0.097 0.12 0.069 0.092

Duración de la Intensidad 5 10 30 60 120

Calculo del Ac critico

Interpolando 0.26 (siempre nivel de sig. = 5%)

 TABLA N INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS TRANSPUESTAS A LA
MICROCUENCA
TABLA DE INTENSIDADES MÁXIMAS TRANSPUESTAS A LA
MICROCUENCA
5 min. 10 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.
106.69 84.76 49.69 26.31 27.77
131.53 73.07 35.08 23.38 14.61
99.38 92.07 54.07 27.77 13.15
94.99 77.46 54.07 30.69 16.08
38.00 35.08 30.69 17.54 8.77
87.69 87.69 55.54 33.61 20.46
106.72 89.15 49.40 30.81 13.56
98.21 80.09 42.57 22.71 19.03
129.03 109.83 54.37 33.76 19.39
110.05 73.66 45.89 34.65 20.45
164.85 104.93 40.34 22.84 14.32
86.68 79.50 37.35 21.48 11.76
123.64 95.58 44.00 22.80 12.03
111.07 71.90 31.57 19.29 10.60
102.89 77.17 33.61 20.15 11.47
107.56 69.86 40.92 23.38 14.03
163.10 109.61 55.45 33.61 17.54
121.30 106.69 59.92 38.00 20.46
81.84 57.00 27.77 14.61 7.31
84.76 74.53 40.92 26.31 14.61
133.71 93.80 52.93 27.83 18.87
103.92 82.21 41.89 24.44 13.62
118.82 87.99 32.80 26.13 16.25
120.13 99.53 51.21 26.10 17.45
134.45 96.95 59.34 39.61 19.73
113.99 62.62 29.30 16.08 6.49
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PROM 106.48 80.47 42.62 25.33 14.81
DES. EST. 33.0146734 23.3094605 12.9374114 8.1857779 5.52962016
urrencia de que un evento

#NUM!

0.5332 (tabla)
99.24

1.70520907
0.53335071
 TABLA DE INTENSIDADES MÁXIMAS TRANSPUESTAS A LA
MICROCUENCA
5 min. 10 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.
164.85 109.83 59.92 39.61 27.77
163.10 109.61 59.34 38.00 20.46
147.61 106.69 55.54 34.65 20.46
134.46 104.93 55.45 33.76 20.45
133.71 103.76 54.37 33.61 19.73
131.53 99.53 54.07 33.61 19.39
129.03 96.95 54.07 30.81 19.03
123.64 95.58 52.93 30.69 18.87
121.30 93.80 51.21 27.83 17.54
120.13 92.07 49.69 27.77 17.45
118.82 89.15 49.40 26.31 16.25
113.99 88.00 45.89 26.31 16.08
111.07 87.69 44.00 26.13 16.08
110.05 84.77 42.57 26.10 14.61
107.56 82.21 41.89 24.44 14.61
106.72 80.09 40.92 23.38 14.32
106.69 79.50 40.92 23.38 14.03
103.93 77.46 40.34 22.84 13.62
102.89 77.17 37.36 22.80 13.56
99.38 74.54 35.08 22.71 13.15
98.21 73.66 35.08 21.48 12.03
95.00 73.07 33.61 20.46 11.76
87.69 71.90 32.80 20.15 11.47
86.68 69.86 31.57 19.29 10.60
84.77 62.62 30.69 17.54 8.77
81.84 57.00 29.30 16.08 7.31
38.00 35.08 27.77 14.61 6.49
PROM 111.95 84.31 43.92 26.09 15.40
DES. EST. 26.2278638 17.3148257 9.89733279 6.53048677 4.67303303