Está en la página 1de 32

SUBSISTEMA A

EVENTO TO No FALLAS TFC TFS


1 190 1 24 8
2 210 2 12 4
3 140 1 4 6
4 120 1 7 8
5 210 1 8 12
6 300 2 6 2
7 190 1 12 9
8 205 2 4 4
9 250 1 5 10
10 145 1 12 7
11 260 1 10 4
12 180 1 3 3
13 310 1 5 6
14 200 1 9 15
15 170 1 4 2
MEDIA 205.3333333
DESVIACIÓN 55.11243918
MTTR 15

CONFIABILIDAD CONFIABILIDAD MTO


SUBSISTEMA A MTO PROMEDIO

MTO 205.3333333 0.5 0.534541617322489

CONFIABILIDAD
CONFIABILIDAD CONFIABILIDAD MTO G-MTO
SUBSISTEMA B MTO PROMEDIO PROMEDIO

MTO 209 0.50904493 0.55856867876623 0.53841867

MTO PROMEDIO
SUBSISTEMA C 200.555556

CONFIABILIDAD
MTO
0.9467728 MTTR
14.0222222
CONFIABILIDAD
CONFIABILIDAD CONFIABILIDAD MTO G-MTO
SUBSISTEMA D MTO PROMEDIO PROMEDIO

MTO 187.3333333 0.50454728 0.41131530589149 0.49483301

SUBSISTEMA E

CONFIABILIDAD
MTO TOTAL 0.12114555561002 0.11585438
0.9964 0.13435066
SUBSISTEMA A SUBSISTEMA A
EVENTO TO - X F(t) = j/N+1 EVENTO TO - X
1 120 0.0625 1 120
2 140 0.125 2 140
3 145 0.1875 3 145
4 170 0.25 4 170
5 180 0.3125 5 180
6 190 0.375 7 190
7 190 0.4375 8 200
8 200 0.5 9 205
9 205 0.5625 11 210
10 210 0.625 12 250
11 210 0.6875 13 260
12 250 0.75 14 300
13 260 0.8125 15 310
14 300 0.875
15 310 0.9375

SUBSISTEMA B SUBSISTEMA B
EVENTO TO F(t) = j/N+1 EVENTO TO
1 120 0.0625 1 120
2 150 0.125 2 150
3 155 0.1875 3 155
4 160 0.25 5 160
5 160 0.3125 7 180
6 180 0.375 8 190
7 180 0.4375 9 210
8 190 0.5 10 220
9 210 0.5625 11 240
10 220 0.625 12 270
11 240 0.6875 13 290
12 270 0.75 14 300
13 290 0.8125 15 310
14 300 0.875
15 310 0.9375

SUBSISTEMA D SUBSISTEMA D
EVENTO TO F(t) = j/N+1 EVENTO TO
1 115 0.0625 1 115
2 120 0.125 2 120
3 145 0.1875 3 145
4 150 0.25 5 150
5 150 0.3125 6 160
6 160 0.375 7 180
7 180 0.4375 9 190
8 190 0.5 10 200
9 190 0.5625 11 210
10 200 0.625 12 220
11 210 0.6875 13 230
12 220 0.75 14 240
13 230 0.8125 15 310
14 240 0.875
15 310 0.9375
SUBSISTEMA B SUBSISTEMA D
EVENTO TO No FALLAS TFC TFS EVENTO TO
1 210 1 5 8 1 120
2 180 2 7 4 2 150
3 120 1 10 6 3 210
4 240 1 3 8 4 160
5 155 1 8 12 5 190
6 300 2 4 2 6 200
7 160 1 2 9 7 220
8 150 2 12 4 8 230
9 270 1 6 10 9 190
10 160 1 7 7 10 180
11 190 1 5 4 11 115
12 290 1 9 3 12 145
13 310 1 8 6 13 150
14 220 1 12 15 14 310
15 180 1 4 2 15 240

MTTR 13.4666667 MTTR 13.6

F.O 0 PRUEBA Y ERROR


0.07

0.96 = 0.94327255

0.99990262 Por más de que se multiplique por 0,99 las confiabilidades ya dadas n
1 0.91534555
0.9467728 0.94327255
1
SUBSISTEMA A
1.5

1 f(x) = 3.82194390211274 x − 20.7510081691915


0.9964
SUBSISTEMA A
1.5
SUBSISTEMA A 1 f(x) = 3.82194390211274 x − 20.7510081691915
F(t) = j/N+1 X Y 0.5
0.0625 4.78749174 -2.74049301
0
0.125 4.94164242 -2.01341868 4.6 4.8 5 5.2 5.4 5.6
0.1875 4.97673374 -1.57195253 -0.5
0.25 5.13579844 -1.24589932 -1
0.3125 5.19295685 -0.98164706
-1.5
0.4375 5.24702407 -0.55275214
0.5 5.29831737 -0.36651292 -2
0.5625 5.32300998 -0.19033933 -2.5
0.6875 5.34710753 0.15113254 -3
0.75 5.52146092 0.32663426
0.8125 5.56068163 0.51520189
0.875 5.70378247 0.73209937 B 3.8219
0.9375 5.7365723 1.01978144 n 228.0348

SUBSISTEMA B SUBSISTEMA B
F(t) = j/N+1 X Y 1.5
0.0625 4.78749174 -2.74049301
1
0.125 5.01063529 -2.01341868 f(x) = 3.58649193365411 x − 19.5529193808379
0.1875 5.04342512 -1.57195253 0.5

0.3125 5.07517382 -0.98164706 0


4.6 4.8 5 5.2 5.4 5.6
0.4375 5.19295685 -0.55275214 -0.5
0.5 5.24702407 -0.36651292
-1
0.5625 5.34710753 -0.19033933
0.625 5.39362755 -0.01935689 -1.5
0.6875 5.48063892 0.15113254 -2
0.75 5.59842196 0.32663426
-2.5
0.8125 5.66988092 0.51520189
-3
0.875 5.70378247 0.73209937
0.9375 5.7365723 1.01978144
B 3.5865
n 233.1853

SUBSISTEMA D
F(t) = j/N+1 X Y SUBSISTEMA D
0.0625 4.74493213 -2.74049301 1.5
0.125 4.78749174 -2.01341868 f(x) = 3.83163140990937 x − 20.4302924841563
1
0.1875 4.97673374 -1.57195253
0.3125 5.01063529 -0.98164706 0.5

0.375 5.07517382 -0.75501486 0


4.6 4.8 5 5.2 5.4 5.6
0.4375 5.19295685 -0.55275214 -0.5
0.5625 5.24702407 -0.19033933
-1
0.625 5.29831737 -0.01935689
0.6875 5.34710753 0.15113254 -1.5

-2

-2.5

-3
4.6 4.8 5 5.2 5.4 5.6
-0.5

-1

-1.5
0.75 5.39362755 0.32663426 -2
0.8125 5.43807931 0.51520189
-2.5
0.875 5.48063892 0.73209937
-3
0.9375 5.7365723 1.01978144

B 3.8316
n 206.8463
SUBSISTEMA D t R(t)
No FALLAS TFC TFS 0 0.94327255
1 5 4 1 0.94326571
2 7 8 2 0.94325833 1
1 10 5 3 0.94325027
0.9
1 3 9 4 0.94324135
0.8
1 8 10 5 0.94323134
0.7
2 4 5 6 0.94322

Confiabilidad
0.6
1 2 6 7 0.94320704
2 12 8 0.5
8 0.94319216
1 6 4 9 0.94317501 0.4
1 7 3 10 0.94315525 0.3
1 5 8 11 0.94313249 0.2
1 9 11 12 0.94310633 0.1
1 8 7 13 0.94307633 0
0 50
1 12 6 14 0.94304205
1 4 8 15 0.94300302
16 0.94295875
17 0.94290873
18 0.94285243
19 0.9427893
20 0.94271877
21 0.94264025
22 0.94255313
23 0.94245679
24 0.94235059
25 0.94223386
26 0.94210592
27 0.94196608
28 0.94181362
29 0.94164779
30 0.94146787
31 0.94127306
32 0.94106259
33 0.94083565
34 0.94059143
35 0.94032908
36 0.94004774
37 0.93974656
38 0.93942463
39 0.93908105
40 0.93871491
s confiabilidades ya dadas no se alcanza el 0,96 41 0.93832526
42 0.93791114
43 0.93747159
44 0.93700563
EMA A

20.7510081691915
45 0.93651224
EMA A
46 0.93599041
47 0.9354391
20.7510081691915 48 0.93485727
49 0.93424386
50 0.93359778
2 5.4 5.6 5.8 51 0.93291794
52 0.93220324
53 0.93145255
54 0.93066474
55 0.92983866
56 0.92897315
57 0.92806703
58 0.92711913
59 0.92612824
60 0.92509315
61 0.92401265
62 0.9228855
63 0.92171047
64 0.92048631
65 0.91921177
EMA B 66 0.91788558
67 0.91650647
68 0.91507317
19.5529193808379 69 0.91358438
70 0.91203884
71 0.91043525
2 5.4 5.6 5.8
72 0.90877231
73 0.90704873
74 0.90526322
75 0.90341448
76 0.90150123
77 0.89952217
78 0.89747601
79 0.89536148
80 0.8931773
81 0.89092221
82 0.88859495
83 0.88619427
84 0.88371894
EMA D 85 0.88116774
86 0.87853947
.4302924841563 87 0.87583293
88 0.87304697
89 0.87018042
90 0.86723217
2 5.4 5.6 5.8
91 0.86420112
92 0.86108618
93 0.85788631
94 0.85460049
2 5.4 5.6 5.8

95 0.85122775
96 0.84776711
97 0.84421768
98 0.84057856
99 0.83684893
100 0.83302799
101 0.82911498
102 0.82510921
103 0.82101002
104 0.8168168
105 0.812529
106 0.80814613
107 0.80366776
108 0.79909349
109 0.79442303
110 0.78965611
111 0.78479256
112 0.77983225
113 0.77477514
114 0.76962127
115 0.76437072
116 0.75902368
117 0.75358041
118 0.74804124
119 0.74240659
120 0.73667697
121 0.73085296
122 0.72493524
123 0.71892458
124 0.71282181
125 0.7066279
126 0.70034386
127 0.69397083
128 0.68751004
129 0.68096278
130 0.67433048
131 0.66761463
132 0.66081684
133 0.6539388
134 0.6469823
135 0.63994922
136 0.63284154
137 0.62566134
138 0.61841077
139 0.61109209
140 0.60370766
141 0.59625991
142 0.58875136
143 0.58118463
144 0.57356241
145 0.56588748
146 0.55816269
147 0.55039099
148 0.54257537
149 0.53471893
150 0.5268248
151 0.51889622
152 0.51093644
153 0.50294882
154 0.49493673
155 0.48690362
156 0.47885299
157 0.47078835
158 0.46271328
159 0.45463138
160 0.44654628
161 0.43846164
162 0.43038112
163 0.42230843
164 0.41424726
165 0.40620132
166 0.3981743
167 0.3901699
168 0.38219181
169 0.3742437
170 0.36632921
171 0.35845197
172 0.35061556
173 0.34282353
174 0.33507939
175 0.32738661
176 0.31974858
177 0.31216866
178 0.30465012
179 0.2971962
180 0.28981003
181 0.28249469
182 0.27525316
183 0.26808834
184 0.26100304
185 0.25399999
186 0.2470818
187 0.240251
188 0.23351
189 0.2268611
190 0.22030651
191 0.21384832
192 0.20748849
193 0.20122887
194 0.19507121
195 0.1890171
196 0.18306805
197 0.17722543
198 0.17149046
199 0.16586428
200 0.16034787
201 0.1549421
202 0.14964771
203 0.14446532
204 0.13939543
205 0.1344384
206 0.12959448
207 0.1248638
208 0.12024636
209 0.11574207
210 0.11135069
211 0.10707189
212 0.10290523
213 0.09885015
214 0.094906
215 0.09107203
216 0.08734736
217 0.08373106
218 0.08022208
219 0.0768193
220 0.07352151
221 0.0703274
222 0.06723562
223 0.06424473
224 0.06135323
225 0.05855953
226 0.05586202
227 0.05325902
228 0.05074878
229 0.04832953
230 0.04599946
231 0.04375669
232 0.04159934
233 0.03952549
234 0.03753318
235 0.03562046
236 0.03378532
237 0.03202578
238 0.03033983
239 0.02872544
240 0.0271806
241 0.0257033
242 0.02429152
243 0.02294326
244 0.02165653
245 0.02042933
246 0.01925972
247 0.01814574
248 0.01708547
249 0.01607702
250 0.0151185
251 0.01420808
252 0.01334393
253 0.01252429
254 0.01174739
255 0.01101153
256 0.01031502
257 0.00965624
258 0.00903357
259 0.00844545
260 0.00789037
261 0.00736684
262 0.00687343
263 0.00640873
264 0.0059714
265 0.00556012
266 0.00517363
267 0.00481069
268 0.00447012
269 0.00415078
270 0.00385157
271 0.00357142
272 0.00330932
273 0.00306429
274 0.00283538
275 0.00262171
276 0.0024224
277 0.00223664
278 0.00206363
279 0.00190262
280 0.00175289
281 0.00161377
282 0.0014846
283 0.00136475
284 0.00125366
285 0.00115075
286 0.00105549
287 0.0009674
288 0.00088599
289 0.00081082
290 0.00074146
291 0.00067752
292 0.00061861
293 0.0005644
294 0.00051453
295 0.00046871
296 0.00042664
297 0.00038804
298 0.00035266
299 0.00032025
300 0.00029058
301 0.00026346
302 0.00023868
303 0.00021605
304 0.00019542
305 0.00017661
306 0.00015948
307 0.0001439
308 0.00012973
309 0.00011686
310 0.00010519
311 9.45971E-05
312 8.50035E-05
313 7.63193E-05
314 6.84651E-05
315 6.13678E-05
316 5.49599E-05
317 4.91796E-05
318 4.397E-05
319 3.92788E-05
320 3.50581E-05
321 3.12642E-05
322 2.78569E-05
323 2.47995E-05
324 2.20585E-05
325 1.96035E-05
326 1.74065E-05
327 1.54422E-05
328 1.36875E-05
329 1.21215E-05
330 1.07252E-05
331 9.48128E-06
332 8.37418E-06
333 7.38974E-06
334 6.51517E-06
335 5.73894E-06
336 5.05062E-06
337 4.44083E-06
338 3.9011E-06
339 3.42385E-06
340 3.00223E-06
341 2.63011E-06
342 2.30198E-06
343 2.01293E-06
344 1.75854E-06
345 1.53486E-06
346 1.33839E-06
347 1.16596E-06
348 1.0148E-06
349 8.82398E-07
350 7.66544E-07
351 6.65267E-07
352 5.76821E-07
353 4.99654E-07
354 4.32395E-07
355 3.7383E-07
356 3.22884E-07
357 2.7861E-07
358 2.40173E-07
359 2.06837E-07
360 1.77954E-07
361 1.52953E-07
362 1.31335E-07
363 1.12661E-07
364 9.65458E-08
365 8.26537E-08
366 7.06898E-08
367 6.0397E-08
368 5.15511E-08
369 4.39563E-08
370 3.74426E-08
371 3.18617E-08
372 2.7085E-08
373 2.3001E-08
374 1.95127E-08
375 1.65364E-08
376 1.39997E-08
377 1.18398E-08
378 1.00028E-08
379 8.442E-09
380 7.11731E-09
381 5.99419E-09
382 5.043E-09
383 4.23827E-09
384 3.55819E-09
385 2.98407E-09
386 2.49993E-09
387 2.09209E-09
388 1.74892E-09
389 1.46047E-09
390 1.21828E-09
391 1.01515E-09
392 8.44978E-10
393 7.02566E-10
394 5.83519E-10
395 4.84114E-10
396 4.01203E-10
397 3.32126E-10
398 2.74639E-10
399 2.2685E-10
400 1.8717E-10
401 1.54258E-10
402 1.26991E-10
403 1.04427E-10
404 8.5776E-11
405 7.03766E-11
406 5.76766E-11
407 4.72148E-11
408 3.86067E-11
409 3.15321E-11
410 2.57244E-11
411 2.09624E-11
412 1.70622E-11
413 1.38717E-11
414 1.12647E-11
415 9.13705E-12
416 7.40265E-12
417 5.99048E-12
418 4.84202E-12
419 3.90915E-12
420 3.15229E-12
421 2.53897E-12
422 2.04256E-12
423 1.64125E-12
424 1.31722E-12
425 1.0559E-12
426 8.45412E-13
427 6.76069E-13
428 5.39996E-13
429 4.30789E-13
430 3.43252E-13
431 2.73171E-13
432 2.17133E-13
433 1.7238E-13
434 1.36683E-13
435 1.08245E-13
436 8.56188E-14
437 6.76382E-14
438 5.33675E-14
439 4.20554E-14
440 3.30998E-14
441 2.60188E-14
442 2.0427E-14
443 1.60168E-14
444 1.25429E-14
445 9.81012E-15
446 7.66301E-15
447 5.97823E-15
448 4.65793E-15
449 3.62458E-15
450 2.81687E-15
451 2.18634E-15
452 1.69477E-15
453 1.31202E-15
454 1.0144E-15
455 7.83276E-16
456 6.04024E-16
457 4.65186E-16
458 3.57792E-16
459 2.7483E-16
460 2.10827E-16
461 1.61516E-16
462 1.23575E-16
463 9.44212E-17
464 7.20494E-17
465 5.4905E-17
466 4.17843E-17
467 3.17564E-17
468 2.41027E-17
469 1.8269E-17
470 1.38286E-17
471 1.04532E-17
472 7.89105E-18
473 5.94877E-18
474 4.47843E-18
475 3.3669E-18
476 2.52777E-18
477 1.89517E-18
478 1.41892E-18
479 1.06088E-18
480 7.92091E-19
481 5.90579E-19
482 4.39719E-19
483 3.26938E-19
484 2.42743E-19
485 1.79977E-19
486 1.33253E-19
487 9.85193E-20
488 7.27364E-20
489 5.36247E-20
490 3.94785E-20
491 2.90225E-20
492 2.13054E-20
493 1.56178E-20
494 1.14321E-20
495 8.35615E-21
496 6.09899E-21
497 4.44509E-21
498 3.23499E-21
499 2.35089E-21
500 1.70591E-21
501 1.23608E-21
502 8.94329E-22
503 6.46115E-22
504 4.66103E-22
505 3.35747E-22
506 2.41489E-22
507 1.73436E-22
508 1.24375E-22
509 8.90588E-23
510 6.36754E-23
511 4.54584E-23
512 3.24043E-23
513 2.30641E-23
514 1.63913E-23
515 1.16314E-23
516 8.24124E-24
517 5.83028E-24
518 4.11836E-24
519 2.90464E-24
520 2.04548E-24
521 1.43824E-24
522 1.00971E-24
523 7.07763E-25
524 4.95346E-25
525 3.46142E-25
526 2.41503E-25
527 1.68234E-25
528 1.17011E-25
529 8.12561E-26
530 5.63383E-26
531 3.90001E-26
532 2.69552E-26
533 1.86008E-26
534 1.28154E-26
535 8.81533E-27
536 6.05416E-27
537 4.15121E-27
538 2.84183E-27
539 1.94234E-27
540 1.32542E-27
541 9.02981E-28
542 6.14188E-28
543 4.17081E-28
544 2.8277E-28
545 1.91398E-28
546 1.2934E-28
547 8.72602E-29
548 5.87743E-29
549 3.95224E-29
550 2.65328E-29
551 1.7783E-29
552 1.1899E-29
553 7.94859E-30
554 5.30088E-30
555 3.52925E-30
556 2.34579E-30
557 1.55657E-30
558 1.03114E-30
559 6.81925E-31
560 4.50217E-31
561 2.96737E-31
562 1.95248E-31
563 1.28251E-31
564 8.41002E-32
565 5.50542E-32
566 3.59783E-32
567 2.34718E-32
568 1.52864E-32
569 9.93834E-33
570 6.45022E-33
571 4.17908E-33
572 2.70294E-33
573 1.74515E-33
574 1.1248E-33
575 7.23705E-34
576 4.6482E-34
577 2.98016E-34
578 1.90739E-34
579 1.21862E-34
580 7.77201E-35
581 4.94801E-35
582 3.14452E-35
583 1.99481E-35
584 1.26322E-35
585 7.98489E-36
586 5.03848E-36
587 3.17353E-36
588 1.99527E-36
589 1.25218E-36
590 7.84463E-37
591 4.90557E-37
592 3.0619E-37
593 1.90782E-37
594 1.18655E-37
595 7.3657E-38
596 4.56406E-38
597 2.82282E-38
598 1.74273E-38
599 1.07391E-38
600 6.60639E-39
601 4.05658E-39
602 2.48579E-39
603 1.52032E-39
604 9.28377E-40
605 5.6582E-40
606 3.44069E-40
607 2.08853E-40
608 1.26609E-40
609 7.66045E-41
610 4.62438E-41
611 2.786E-41
612 1.67522E-41
613 1.00511E-41
614 6.02354E-42
615 3.60256E-42
616 2.15142E-42
617 1.27993E-42
618 7.62638E-43
619 4.52295E-43
620 2.67453E-43
621 1.58115E-43
622 9.33143E-44
623 5.48058E-44
624 3.23296E-44
625 1.89528E-44
626 1.10535E-44
627 6.49733E-45
628 3.78184E-45
629 2.21066E-45
630 1.28396E-45
631 7.41721E-46
632 4.26948E-46
633 2.45605E-46
634 1.41833E-46
635 0
636 0
637 0
638 0
639 0
640 0
641 0
642 0
643 0
644 0
645 0
646 0
647 0
648 0
649 0
650 0
651 0
652 0
653 0
654 0
655 0
656 0
657 0
658 0
659 0
660 0
661 0
662 0
663 0
664 0
665 0
666 0
667 0
668 0
669 0
670 0
671 0
672 0
673 0
674 0
675 0
676 0
677 0
678 0
679 0
680 0
681 0
682 0
683 0
684 0
685 0
686 0
687 0
688 0
689 0
690 0
691 0
692 0
693 0
694 0
695 0
696 0
697 0
698 0
699 0
700 0
701 0
702 0
703 0
704 0
705 0
706 0
707 0
708 0
709 0
710 0
711 0
712 0
713 0
714 0
715 0
716 0
717 0
718 0
719 0
720 0
Gráfica de Confiabilidad en el tiempo
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
Confiabilidad

0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800
Tiempo(h)
60

Ma n ten ib ilid

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 200 300 400


EVENTO TO F(t) = j/N+1
1 115 6.3%
2 120 12.5%
3 145 18.8%
5 150 31.3%
6 160 37.5%
7 180 43.8%
9 190 56.3%
10 200 62.5%
11 210 68.8%
12 220 75.0%
13 230 81.3%
14 240 87.5%
Ma n ten ib ilid a d

15 310 93.8%

B 3.8
n 220

1000
60

Ma n ten ib ilid

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 200 300 400


EVENTO TO F(t) = j/N+1
1 120 6.25%
2 150 12.50%
3 155 18.75%
5 160 31.25%
7 180 43.75%
8 190 50.00%
9 210 56.25%
10 220 62.50%
11 240 68.75%
12 270 75.00%
13 290 81.25%
14 300 87.50%
Ma n ten ib ilid a d

15 310 93.75%

B 3.5
n 230

1000

También podría gustarte