Aurelia Claure Zambrana

Promedio Movil Simple

Ponderaciones Periodos Cantidad ( PMS 3P PMS 6P
Periodo 3P 6P 1/1/2019 241
-6 250 2/1/2019 251
-5 147 3/1/2019 316
-4 123 4/1/2019 368 269
-3 525 162 5/1/2019 303 312
-2 199 492 6/1/2019 311 329
-1 648 704 7/1/2019 390 327 298
8/1/2019 382 335 323
9/1/2019 551 361 345
10/1/2019 553 441 384
11/1/2019 309 495 415
12/1/2019 375 471 416
1/1/2020 400 412 427
2/1/2020 306 361 428
3/1/2020 252 360 416
4/1/2020 92 319 366
5/1/2020 316 217 289
6/1/2020 361 220 290
7/1/2020 356 256 288
8/1/2020 390 344 281
9/1/2020 622 369 295
10/1/2020 579 456 356
11/1/2020 429 530 437
12/1/2020 442 543 456
1/1/2021 330 483 470
2/1/2021 320 400 465
3/1/2021 728 364 454
4/1/2021 780 459 471
5/1/2021 609 505
6/1/2021 503 433
7/1/2021 260 360
Promedio Movil Simple Promedio Movil Ponderado
Error 3P Error 6P PMP 3M PMP 6M Error 3P Error 6P Error Abs 3P

99 302 66 66
- 9 351 - 48 48.1
- 18 311 0 0.2
63 92 316 74 74.1
47 59 373 283.5482722937 9 98 8.6
190 206 376 325.4162024955 175 226 175.3
112 169 518 355.1679302019 35 198 35
- 186 - 106 536 368.8461921472 - 227 - 60 226.7
- 96 - 41 358 390.1313649178 17 - 15 17.4
- 12 - 27 386 399.9998324035 14 0 13.8
- 55 - 122 388 408.3160348991 - 82 - 102 82.4
- 108 - 164 322 466.9601813942 - 70 - 215 70.3
- 227 - 274 272 453.5229457243 - 180 - 362 180.2
99 27 129 339.159141321 187 - 23 186.6
141 71 287 303.8339823481 74 57 73.8
100 68 330 328.2924187888 26 28 26.4
46 110 353 298.9025829359 38 91 37.5
253 328 384 276.2903386424 238 346 238.3
123 223 572 234.1030857253 7 345 6.8
- 101 - 8 564 361.2561886978 - 135 68 135.4
- 101 - 14 463 421.8720560004 - 21 20 21.3
- 153 - 140 454 421.147064624 - 124 - 91 124.4
- 80 - 145 351 441.3951693212 - 31 - 121 31.1
364 274 333 507.8117415041 395 220 394.8
321 309 647 485.8932912656 133 294 132.6
729 475.0722235968
151 503.0686005877
78 369.1845023848
 900

W Pesos 800
W1 0.1
700
Error Abs 6P W2 0.1
W3 0.8 600
Suma 1
500

400

300

98.4517277 200
225.583798 ME 3P 23
197.83207 MAE 3P 96.284 100
59.8461921
0
15.1313649 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1
0.0001676
102.316035 900
214.960181 W Pesos
361.522946 W1 0.1 800
23.1591413 W2 0.43086213 700
57.1660177 W3 0.1
27.7075812 W4 0.1 600
91.0974171 W5 0.1
345.709661 W6 0.16913787 500
344.896914 Suma 1
400
67.7438113
20.127944 300
91.1470646 ME 6P 48
121.395169 MAE 6P 141.909056 200
220.188258
100
294.106709
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28