INGRESO DE REGISTRO DE PRECIPITACIONES

AÑO PP
1 1980 172.3
2 1981 144.5
3 1982 293.8
4 1983 453.8
5 1984 206.5
6 1985 321.4
7 1986 234.1
8 1987 144.7
9 1988 270.9
10 1989 173.4
11 1990 135.2
12 1991 140.4
13 1992 184.9
14 1993 336.7
15 1994 183.2
16 1995 280.9
17 1996 372.3
18 1997 148.2
19 1998 126.1
20 1999 335.3
21 2000 198.1
22 2001 153.7
23 2002 255.6
24 2003 139.2
25 2004 84.3
26 2005 91.1
27 2006 88.0
28 2007 114.5
29 2008 110.3
30 2009 182.0
31 2010 233.2
32 2011 439.1
33 2012 400.8
34 2013 377.5
35 2014 204.7
36 2015 197.9
37 2016 167.5
38 2017 315.0
39 2018 212.1
40 2019 616.0
41 2020 361.4
42 2021 307.7
Numero de registros 42
Promedio 235.91
Desviación standard 116.34

CALCULO DE PRECIPITACIONES MÁXIMAS EN 24 HORAS CON PERIODO DE RETORNO ASOCIAD

Metodo de Gumbel. Valores de Yn y Sn

n my sy n my sy n
3 0.4286 0.6435 10 0.4952 0.9497 17
4 0.4458 0.7315 11 0.4996 0.9676 18
5 0.4558 0.7928 12 0.5035 0.9833 19
6 0.469 0.8388 13 0.507 0.9972 20
7 0.4774 0.8749 14 0.51 1.0095 21
8 0.4843 0.9043 15 0.5128 1.0206 22
9 0.4902 0.9288 16 0.5157 1.0316 42

Estimación de máximas diarias para un Periodo de retorno T

Estadistica de Gumbel

my 0.5448
 sy 1.1457
En donde
a 0.01
b 180.60
T 20

Máxima 24 Horas 530.42 Periodo retorno

BONDAD DE AJUSTE (Funcion de Gumbel)

Coeficiente Correlacion R2

R2 : 0.9579

Test de Kolmogorov Smirnov

D supremo : 0.141
D tabla 95 : 0.000 Significativo al 95 %

CALCULO DE MAGNITUDES E INTENSIDADES

Magnitudes de precipitación máximas (mm) según el periodo y duración estimada

(Espildora)
Duración
Tiempo 5 10 15 30 45 60
Coef. De Duración 0.26 0.4 0.53 0.7 0.86 1
Periodo de retorno
2 12.71 19.56 25.92 34.23 42.05 48.90
5 19.43 29.89 39.61 52.31 64.27 74.73
10 23.88 36.74 48.68 64.29 78.98 91.84
20 28.14 43.30 57.37 75.77 93.09 108.25
50 33.67 51.80 68.63 90.64 111.36 129.49
75 36.09 55.52 73.57 97.17 119.37 138.81
100 37.80 58.16 77.06 101.78 125.05 145.40
500 47.37 72.87 96.56 127.53 156.68 182.18

Intensidades máximas (mm) según el periodo y duración estimada

(Espildora)

Tiempo 5 10 15 30 45 60
Coef. De Duración 0.26 0.4 0.53 0.7 0.86 1
Periodo de retorno
2 152.56 117.35 103.66 68.46 56.07 48.90
5 233.17 179.36 158.44 104.63 85.70 74.73
10 286.54 220.42 194.70 128.58 105.31 91.84
20 337.74 259.80 229.49 151.55 124.13 108.25
25 353.98 272.29 240.52 158.84 130.09 113.45
50 404.00 310.77 274.51 181.28 148.48 129.49
75 433.08 333.14 294.27 194.33 159.17 138.81
100 453.66 348.97 308.26 203.57 166.73 145.40
500 568.41 437.24 386.23 255.06 208.90 182.18

CURVA DE DURACIÓN INTENSIDAD FRECUENCIA

In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

400
350
300
250
200
2 años
150 5 años
10 años
100 Power (10 años)
Power (10 años)
In ten sid ad
400
350
300
250
200
2 años
150 5 años
10 años
100 Power (10 años)
Power (10 años)
50 15 años
20 años
0 Power (20 años)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 1 20

Minutos
DO DE RETORNO ASOCIADO

my sy
0.5181 1.0411
0.5202 1.0493
0.522 1.0566
0.5236 1.0628
0.5252 1.0696
0.5268 1.0754
0.5283 1.0811
 120 24 Horas
1.41 4.9
0.3 0.39 0.46 0.52
68.95 239.60
105.38 366.20
129.49 450.02
152.63 530.42 68.628647
182.58 634.49
195.72 680.16
205.02 712.48 0.25
256.88 892.70
274.514588

120 24 Horas
1.4 4.9

34.47 239.60
52.69 366.20
64.75 450.02 60 634.49
76.32 530.42
79.98 555.92 15
91.29 634.49 777.25025
97.86 680.16
102.51 712.48
128.44 892.70
0.57 0.61 0.68 0.8 0.91 1
0.00 0.00 0.54
0.00 0.00 1.25
Num Datos Datos modificado Frecuencia relativa acumulada Freec teorica ac corr Frecuencia Terorica y
1 126.08784 126.08784 0.04 0.04 0.180757377513887 -0.54
2 135.1727415 135.17274154091 0.08 0.08 0.209255365735834 -0.45
3 139.22199 139.22199 0.12 0.12 0.222450491368547 -0.41
4 140.4353537 140.435353719723 0.16 0.16 0.226457711389243 -0.40
5 144.4796342 144.479634165396 0.2 0.2 0.239978456622901 -0.36
6 144.6826976 144.682697632245 0.24 0.24 0.240663677522625 -0.35
7 148.17267 148.17267 0.28 0.28 0.252528335720051 -0.32
8 153.7182 153.7182 0.32 0.32 0.271691816414245 -0.26
9 172.3221349 172.322134945936 0.36 0.36 0.337923191929024 -0.08
10 173.4129793 173.412979317218 0.4 0.4 0.341863489490429 -0.07
11 183.23119 183.231189999731 0.44 0.44 0.377411031521973 0.03
12 184.9283281 184.928328137289 0.48 0.48 0.383556011036096 0.04
13 198.08244 198.08244 0.52 0.52 0.430918534195817 0.17
14 206.5418078 206.541807771064 0.56 0.56 0.460913239219463 0.26
15 234.1249955 234.124995468687 0.6 0.6 0.554160342039083 0.53
16 255.58083 255.58083 0.64 0.64 0.620104617183422 0.74
17 270.8546062 270.854606183037 0.68 0.68 0.662899472957874 0.89
18 280.9347212 280.934721239541 0.72 0.72 0.689161921107569 0.99
19 293.7654202 293.765420161758 0.76 0.76 0.720298895704146 1.11
20 321.3771481 321.377148146676 0.8 0.8 0.778820336303049 1.39
21 335.26134 335.26134 0.84 0.84 0.804102336846798 1.52
22 336.7292683 336.729268270928 0.88 0.88 0.806622501544119 1.54
23 372.3152037 372.31520368504 0.92 0.92 0.859531225358951 1.89
24 453.7799379 453.779937923927 0.96 0.96 0.934391852497956 2.69
24
Probabilidad Delta Delta mod Supremo R2 CHI CUADRADO
0.180757378 0.14075737751 0.140757378 0.14075737751 0.957909009 1.00
0.209255366 0.12925536574 0.129255366
0.222450491 0.10245049137 0.102450491
0.226457711 0.06645771139 0.066457711
0.239978457 0.03997845662 0.039978457
0.240663678 0.00066367752 0.000663678
0.252528336 -0.0274716643 0.027471664
0.271691816 -0.0483081836 0.048308184
0.337923192 -0.0220768081 0.022076808
0.341863489 -0.0581365105 0.058136511
0.377411032 -0.0625889685 0.062588968
0.383556011 -0.096443989 0.096443989
0.430918534 -0.0890814658 0.089081466
0.460913239 -0.0990867608 0.099086761
0.554160342 -0.045839658 0.045839658
0.620104617 -0.0198953828 0.019895383
0.662899473 -0.017100527 0.017100527
0.689161921 -0.0308380789 0.030838079
0.720298896 -0.0397011043 0.039701104
0.778820336 -0.0211796637 0.021179664
0.804102337 -0.0358976632 0.035897663
0.806622502 -0.0733774985 0.073377498
0.859531225 -0.0604687746 0.060468775
0.934391852 -0.0256081475 0.025608148
Numero Registro
126.08784 135.1727415 139.22199 140.4353537
1 172.322135 172.322134946 172.322134946 172.322134946 172.322134946
2 144.479634 144.479634165 144.479634165 144.479634165 144.479634165
3 293.76542 293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162
4 453.779938 453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924
5 206.541808 206.541807771 206.541807771 206.541807771 206.541807771
6 321.377148 321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147
7 234.124995 234.124995469 234.124995469 234.124995469 234.124995469
8 144.682698 144.682697632 144.682697632 144.682697632 144.682697632
9 270.854606 270.854606183 270.854606183 270.854606183 270.854606183
10 173.412979 173.412979317 173.412979317 173.412979317 173.412979317
11 135.172742 135.172741541 0 0 0
12 140.435354 140.43535372 140.43535372 140.43535372 0
13 184.928328 184.928328137 184.928328137 184.928328137 184.928328137
14 336.729268 336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271
15 183.23119 183.23119 183.23119 183.23119 183.23119
16 280.934721 280.93472124 280.93472124 280.93472124 280.93472124
17 372.315204 372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685
18 148.17267 148.17267 148.17267 148.17267 148.17267
19 126.08784 0 0 0 0
20 335.26134 335.26134 335.26134 335.26134 335.26134
21 198.08244 198.08244 198.08244 198.08244 198.08244
22 153.7182 153.7182 153.7182 153.7182 153.7182
23 255.58083 255.58083 255.58083 255.58083 255.58083
24 139.22199 139.22199 139.22199 0 0
144.4796342 144.6826976 148.17267 153.7182 172.3221349
172.322134946 172.322134946 172.322134946 172.322134946 0
0 0 0 0 0
293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162
453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924
206.541807771 206.541807771 206.541807771 206.541807771 206.541807771
321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147
234.124995469 234.124995469 234.124995469 234.124995469 234.124995469
144.682697632 0 0 0 0
270.854606183 270.854606183 270.854606183 270.854606183 270.854606183
173.412979317 173.412979317 173.412979317 173.412979317 173.412979317
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
184.928328137 184.928328137 184.928328137 184.928328137 184.928328137
336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271
183.23119 183.23119 183.23119 183.23119 183.23119
280.93472124 280.93472124 280.93472124 280.93472124 280.93472124
372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685
148.17267 148.17267 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
335.26134 335.26134 335.26134 335.26134 335.26134
198.08244 198.08244 198.08244 198.08244 198.08244
153.7182 153.7182 153.7182 0 0
255.58083 255.58083 255.58083 255.58083 255.58083
0 0 0 0 0
173.4129793 183.23119 184.9283281 198.08244 206.5418078
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162
453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924
206.541807771 206.541807771 206.541807771 206.541807771 0
321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147
234.124995469 234.124995469 234.124995469 234.124995469 234.124995469
0 0 0 0 0
270.854606183 270.854606183 270.854606183 270.854606183 270.854606183
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
184.928328137 184.928328137 0 0 0
336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271
183.23119 0 0 0 0
280.93472124 280.93472124 280.93472124 280.93472124 280.93472124
372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
335.26134 335.26134 335.26134 335.26134 335.26134
198.08244 198.08244 198.08244 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
255.58083 255.58083 255.58083 255.58083 255.58083
0 0 0 0 0
234.1249955 255.58083 270.8546062 280.9347212 293.7654202
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162 293.765420162 0
453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924
0 0 0 0 0
321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147 321.377148147
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
270.854606183 270.854606183 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271 336.729268271
0 0 0 0 0
280.93472124 280.93472124 280.93472124 0 0
372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
335.26134 335.26134 335.26134 335.26134 335.26134
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
255.58083 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
321.3771481 335.26134 336.7292683 372.3152037 453.7799379
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924 453.779937924 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
336.729268271 336.729268271 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
372.315203685 372.315203685 372.315203685 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
335.26134 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0