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Sección: D04
1)
20
𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 10 ) = 1 − 𝑃( 𝑥 < 10) = ( ) (0.3)𝑥 (0.7)𝑛−𝑥
𝑥
20 (0.3)0 (0.7)20
𝑃(𝑥 = 0 ) = ( ) = 0.0007977922663
0
20 (0.3)1 (0.7)19
𝑃(𝑥 = 1 ) = ( ) = 0.006839337111
1
20 (0.3)2 (0.7)18
𝑃(𝑥 = 2 ) = ( ) = 0.027845872
2
20 (0.3)3 (0.7)17
𝑃(𝑥 = 3) = ( ) = 0.071603672
3
20 (0.3)4 (0.7)16
𝑃(𝑥 = 4) = ( ) = 0.130420974
4
20 (0.3)5 (0.7)15
𝑃(𝑥 = 5) = ( ) = 0.17886305
5
20 (0.3)6 (0.7)14
𝑃(𝑥 = 6) = ( ) = 0.191638982
6
20 (0.3)7 (0.7)13
𝑃(𝑥 = 7) = ( ) = 0.164261985
7
20 (0.3)8 (0.7)12
𝑃(𝑥 = 8) = ( ) = 0.114396739
8
20 (0.3)9 (0.7)11
𝑃(𝑥 = 9) = ( ) = 0.065369565
9
= 𝑃(𝑥 = 0) + 𝑃(𝑥 = 1) + 𝑃(𝑥 = 2) + 𝑃(𝑥 = 3) + 𝑃(𝑥 = 4) + 𝑃(𝑥 = 5) + 𝑃(𝑥
= 6) + 𝑃(𝑥 = 7) + 𝑃(𝑥 = 8) + 𝑃(𝑥 = 9)
= 0.952037968
≈ 0.9520
20 (0.3)0 (
𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = ( ) 0.7)20 = 0.0007977922663
0
20 (0.3)1 (0.7)19
𝑃(𝑥 = 1 ) = ( ) = 0.006839337111
1
20 (0.3)2 (0.7)18
𝑃(𝑥 = 2 ) = ( ) = 0.027845872
2
20 (0.3)3 (0.7)17
𝑃(𝑥 = 3) = ( ) = 0.071603672
3
20 (0.3)4 (0.7)16
𝑃(𝑥 = 4) = ( ) = 0.130420974
4
= 0.237507647
≈ 0.2375
𝑃(𝑥 = 5)
20 (0.3)5 (0.7)15
𝑃(𝑥 = 5) = ( ) = 0.17886305
5
≈ 0.1789
5.7 - Un destacado médico afirma que el 70% de las personas con cáncer de pulmón
son fumadores empedernidos. Si su aseveración es correcta,
= 0.0474
5.15 - Se sabe que 60% de los ratones inoculados con un suero quedan protegidos
contra cierta enfermedad. Si se inoculan 5 ratones, calcule la probabilidad de que
a) ninguno contraiga la enfermedad
𝑛
𝑃(𝑥 = 𝑥) = ( ) 𝑝 𝑥 (1 − 𝑝)𝑛−𝑥
𝑥
5
𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = ( ) (0.4)0 (1 − 0.4)5−0
0
𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = 0.0778
5 5
𝑃(𝑥 < 2) = ( ) (0.4)0 (1 − 0.4)5−0 + ( ) (0.4)1 (1 − 0.4)5−1
0 1
5 5
𝑃(𝑥 > 3) = 1 − ( ) (0.4)0 (1 − 0.4)5−0 + ( ) (0.4)1 (1 − 0.4)5−1
0 1
5 5
+ ( ) (0.4)2 (1 − 0.4)5−2 + ( ) (0.4)3 (1 − 0.4)5−3
2 3
𝜇 = 𝑛𝑝 = (5)(0.7) = 3.5
X2 = numero de veces que se encontró con la luz amarilla con P(amarilla) = 0.05
𝑛
𝑓(𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , 𝑥3 ) = (𝑥 𝑥 𝑥 ) 𝑃1 𝑥1 𝑃2 𝑥2 𝑃3 𝑥3
1 2 3
6
𝑓(𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , 𝑥3 ) = ( ) (0.35)𝑥1 (0.05)𝑥2 (0.60)𝑥3
𝑥1 𝑥2 𝑥3
n=7
7
𝑓(0, 0, 2, 1, 4) = ( ) (0.01)0 (0.05)0 (0.10)2 (0.02)1 (0.82)4
00214
𝑓(0, 0, 2, 1, 4) = 0.0095
Respuesta: 0.0095
2)
a) de 3 a 6 tengan ponchaduras;
Datos: p = 0.25 n = 15
q = 0.75 x = número de vehículos con ponchaduras
15 (0.25)3 (
𝑏(3, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)12 = 0.2252
3
15 (0.25)4 (
𝑏(4, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)11 = 0.2252
4
15 (0.25)5 (
𝑏(5, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)10 = 0.1652
5
15 (0.25)6 (
𝑏(6, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)9 = 0.0917
6
6
15 (0.25)𝑥 (0.75)15−𝑥
𝑃(3 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 6) = ∑ ( )
𝑥
𝑋=3
∑ = 0.7073
15 (0.25)3 (
𝑏(3, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)12 = 0.2252
3
15 (0.25)2 (
𝑏(2, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)13 = 0.1559
2
15 (0.25)1 (
𝑏(1, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)14 = 0.0668
1
15 (0.25)0 (
𝑏(0, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)15 = 0.0134
0
3
15 (0.25)𝑥 (0.75)15−𝑥
𝑃(𝑥 < 4) = ∑ ( )
𝑥
𝑋=0
∑ = 0.4613
c) más de 5 tengan ponchaduras.
5
15 (0.25)𝑥 (0.75)15−𝑥
𝑃(𝑥 > 5) = 1 − 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 5) = 1 − ∑ ( )
𝑥
𝑋=0
15 (0.25)5 (
𝑏(5, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)10 = 0.1652
5
15 (0.25)4 (
𝑏(4, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)11 = 0.2252
4
15 (0.25)3 (
𝑏(3, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)12 = 0.2252
3
15 (0.25)2 (
𝑏(2, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)13 = 0.1559
2
15 (0.25)1 (
𝑏(1, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)14 = 0.0668
1
15 (0.25)0 (
𝑏(0, 15, 0.25) = ( ) 0.75)15 = 0.0134
0
∑ = 0.8517
VARIANZA 2.8125
MEDIA 3.75
DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR 1.677050983
MEDIA - 3(DESV. ESTÁNDAR) -1.281152949
MEDIA + 3(DESV. ESTÁNDAR) 8.781152949
Tabla de la distribución de
probabilidad bruta Tabla de la distribución de
probabilidad acumulada
x f(x)
0 0.013363461
x f(x)
1 0.066817305
0 0.013363461
2 0.155907045 1 0.080180766
2 0.236087811
3 0.225199065 3 0.461286876
4 0.225199065 4 0.686485942
5 0.165145981 5 0.851631923
6 0.091747767 6 0.94337969
7 0.039320472
7 0.982700162
8 0.013106824
8 0.995806986
9 0.003398065
9 0.999205051
10 0.000679613
10 0.999884664
11 0.000102972
11 0.999987636
12 1.14413E-05
12 0.999999077
13 8.801E-07
13 0.999999957
14 4.19095E-08
15 9.31323E-10 14 0.999999999
suma 1 15 1
Distribución de Probabilidad Bruta
b(x; n=15, p=0.25)
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
f(x)
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
f(x)