Observación Pedido Promedio movil p=3 Error α=0,2 W1=0,5 W2=0,3 W3=0,2

1 6 6.0
2 9 6.0
3 17 6.6
4 6 10.7 4.7 8.7 9.1
5 7 10.7 3.7 8.1 10.8
6 18 10.0 8.0 7.9 11.7
7 8 10.3 2.3 9.9 8.7
8 8 11.0 3.0 9.5 10.5
9 15 11.3 3.7 9.2 13.0
10 9 10.3 1.3 10.4 9.4
11 6 10.7 4.7 10.1 10.3
12 12 10.0 2.0 9.3 11.4
13 5 9.0 4.0 9.8 8.7
14 7 7.7 0.7 8.9 7.6
15 18 8.0 10.0 8.5 8.9
16 11 10.0 1.0 10.4 8.2
17 17 12.0 5.0 10.5 11.1
18 10 15.3 5.3 11.8 15.7
19 12 12.7 0.7 11.4 12.6
20 14 13.0 1.0 11.6 13.9
21 6 12.0 6.0 12.0 11.4
22 18 10.7 7.3 10.8 11.4
23 7 12.7 5.7 12.3 12.4
24 6 10.3 4.3 11.2 9.8
25 8 10.3 2.3 10.2 12.3
26 13 7.0 6.0 9.7 6.9
27 15 9.0 6.0 10.4 8.0
28 14 12.0 2.0 11.3 10.9
29 19 14.0 5.0 11.9 13.8
30 15 16.0 1.0 13.3 15.5
31 18 16.0 2.0 13.6 15.7
32 18 17.3 0.7 14.5 17.6
33 11.625 17.0 3.8 15.2 16.5

Interseccion 8.34677419354839
Pendiente 0.198680351906158
Error Error
p=6
8.5 2.5
8.7 0.3
8.9 8.1
3.1 9.1 3.1
3.8 9.3 2.3
6.3 9.5 8.5
0.7 9.7 1.7 10.5 2.5
2.5 9.9 1.9 10.8 2.8
2.0 10.1 4.9 10.7 4.3
0.4 10.3 1.3 10.3 1.3
4.3 10.5 4.5 10.8 4.8
0.6 10.7 1.3 10.7 1.3
3.7 10.9 5.9 9.7 4.7
0.6 11.1 4.1 9.2 2.2
9.1 11.3 6.7 9.0 9.0
2.8 11.5 0.5 9.5 1.5
5.9 11.7 5.3 9.8 7.2
5.7 11.9 1.9 11.7 1.7
0.6 12.1 0.1 11.3 0.7
0.1 12.3 1.7 12.5 1.5
5.4 12.5 6.5 13.7 7.7
6.6 12.7 5.3 11.7 6.3
5.4 12.9 5.9 12.8 5.8
3.8 13.1 7.1 11.2 5.2
4.3 13.3 5.3 10.5 2.5
6.1 13.5 0.5 9.8 3.2
7.0 13.7 1.3 9.7 5.3
3.1 13.9 0.1 11.2 2.8
5.2 14.1 4.9 10.5 8.5
0.5 14.3 0.7 12.5 2.5
2.3 14.5 3.5 14.0 4.0
0.4 14.7 3.3 15.7 2.3
3.5 14.9 3.5 16.5 3.9
p=7 Error

10.1 2.1
10.4 4.6
11.3 2.3
10.1 4.1
10.1 1.9
10.9 5.9
Pedido
9.0 2.0
8.9 9.1 20

10.3 0.7 18
9.7 7.3 16
10.9 0.9 14 f(x) = 0.198680351906158 x + 8.34677419354839
11.4 0.6 12
11.4 2.6 10
12.7 6.7 8
12.6 5.4 6
12.6 5.6 4
12.0 6.0 2
10.4 2.4
0
10.1 2.9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
10.3 4.7
10.4 3.6
11.6 7.4
11.7 3.3
12.9 5.1
14.6 3.4
16.0 4.0
0 35
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.35523001
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.12618836
R^2 ajustado 0.09605692
Error típico 4.43519647
Observaciones 31

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Regresión 1 82.3806452 82.3806451613 4.18793047
Residuos 29 570.458065 19.6709677419
Total 30 652.83871

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad

Intercepción 8.70806452 1.7108038 5.09004277726 1.97493E-05
1 0.18225806 0.08906089 2.04644337058 0.04987292

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico 6 Residuos

1 9.07258065 -0.07258065
2 9.25483871 7.74516129
3 9.43709677 -3.43709677
4 9.61935484 -2.61935484
5 9.8016129 8.1983871
6 9.98387097 -1.98387097
7 10.166129 -2.16612903
8 10.3483871 4.6516129
9 10.5306452 -1.53064516
10 10.7129032 -4.71290323
11 10.8951613 1.10483871
12 11.0774194 -6.07741935
13 11.2596774 -4.25967742
14 11.4419355 6.55806452
15 11.6241935 -0.62419355
16 11.8064516 5.19354839
17 11.9887097 -1.98870968
18 12.1709677 -0.17096774
19 12.3532258 1.64677419
20 12.5354839 -6.53548387
21 12.7177419 5.28225806
22 12.9 -5.9
23 13.0822581 -7.08225806
24 13.2645161 -5.26451613
25 13.4467742 -0.44677419
26 13.6290323 1.37096774
27 13.8112903 0.18870968
28 13.9935484 5.00645161
29 14.1758065 0.82419355
30 14.3580645 3.64193548
31 14.5403226 3.45967742
 1 Gráfi
10
5

Residuos
0
0 5 10
-5
-10

Valor crítico de F
0.049872921120029

1 Curva d
20
Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%
5.20907787626056 12.207051156 5.20907787626056 12.2070511559975 18
0.000108095734051 0.364408033298 0.000108095734051 0.36440803329821 16
14
12
10

6
8
6
4
2
0
0 5 10
 1 Gráfico de los residuales

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

1 Curva de regresión ajustada

Column B
Pronóstico 6

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
1