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https://www.larepublica.co/empresas/un-colombiano-gasta-en-promedio-525000-al-ano-en-bebidas
Venta en millones de litros
Promedio 185000
150000
180000
pendiente f(x) = 1988.48765939938 x + 150117.853228784
175000 R² = 0.978543064213539
2000
170000
Desviación
165000
5000
160000
Coeficiente de variación
0.033333333333333 155000
150000
Pendiente 145000
1988.48765939938 140000
Intersección 135000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 1
150117.853228784
525000-al-ano-en-bebidas-alcoholicas-2390246
ros
12 14 16
Iphone vendidos en el mundo en millones
48.8734285714286 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
VECTOR B MATRIZ A
112.0 10.0 14.4
149.3 14.4 21.6
1,480.0 114.0 155.3
y b0 b2 x 2 b3 x 3
e i2 ( y i y ) 2
e i2 ( y i b 0 b 2 x 2 b 3 x 3 ) 2
n n
( y i b0 b 2 x 2 b3 x 3 ) 2
e
i 1
i
2
i 1
n n n
nb 0 b2 x 2 i b3 x 3 i y i
i 1 i 1 i 1
n n n n
b0 x 2 i b 2 x 22i b3 x 3 i . x 2 i y .x i 2i
i 1 i 1 i 1 i 1
n n n n
b0 x 3i b 2 x 2 i .x 3i b3 x 32i y .x i 3i
i 1 i 1 i 1 i 1
X3Y X2X3 Y2 X22 X23 t Y
90.0 11.7 100.0 1.7 81.0 1 10.0
42.0 14.0 36.0 4.0 49.0 2 6.0
25.0 8.5 25.0 2.9 25.0 3 5.0
168.0 21.0 144.0 2.3 196.0 4 12.0
150.0 24.0 100.0 2.6 225.0 5 10.0
180.0 14.4 225.0 1.4 144.0 6 15.0
30.0 9.6 25.0 2.6 36.0 7 5.0
120.0 14.0 144.0 2.0 100.0 8 12.0
255.0 15.0 289.0 1.0 225.0 9 17.0
420.0 23.1 400.0 1.2 441.0 10 20.0
1480.0 155.3 1488.0 21.6 1522.0
148.0 15.5 148.8 2.2 152.2
RIZ A INV A x
114.0 8.3 -4.0 -0.2 bo 16.4063651
155.3 -4.0 2.1 0.1 b2 -8.24758014
1,522.0 -0.2 0.1 0.0 b3 0.5851009
RMULTIPLE!#REF!
25.0
Yest
11.0
4.0 20.0
5.3
12.2 15.0
12.0 Colum
nN
13.5 estima
6.7 10.0
10.7
16.9 5.0
19.6
-
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
RMULTIPLE!#REF!
Y
Y X2
10 1.3 25
6 2
5 1.7 20
12 1.5
Colum 10 1.6 f(x) = − 14.5388349514563 x + 32.1359223300971
nN 15 R² = 0.745613196568693
15 1.2 Y
estima Linear
5 1.6 10 (Y)
12 1.4
17 1 5
20 1.1
0
0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 2.2
correlación detrminación
-0.86348897 0.7456132
Y
Y X3 25
10 9
6 7 20
5 5 f(x) = 0.913669064748201 x + 0.7841
R² = 0.79476692618508
12 14 15
2.1359223300971 10 15
Y 15 12
Linear 10
(Y) 5 6
12 10
5
17 15
20 21
0
4 6 8 10 12 14 16
2 2.2
X2 X3
1.3 9 2.5
2 7
= 0.913669064748201 x + 0.784172661870506 1.7 5 2
0.79476692618508
1.5 14
Y 1.6 15 1.5 f(x) = −
Linear R² = 0.4
(Y) 1.2 12
1.6 6 1
1.4 10
1 15 0.5
1.1 21
8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 0
4 6 8
etrminación
X2
2.5
0.5
0
4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
correlación detrminación
-0.65448956 0.42835659
Problema de clase
Periodo Demanda Pronóstico Con los datos del periodo 5y
5 20 18 Y
6 22 18
7 21 26 22
8 32
Matriz invers
-1
6
on los datos del periodo 5y 6, matriz y resolver las incógnitas de m y b
= mx b
5 1
6 1
1 2
DATO DEMANDA
t dt F (último dat F(media1) Media 2 Prom ult 3datos
1 110
2 110 110.00 110.00 139
3 113 110.00 110.00 139
4 113 113.00 111.00 139 111
5 113 113.00 111.50 139 112
6 117 113.00 111.80 139 113
7 116 117.00 112.67 139 114
8 117 116.00 113.14 139 115
9 121 117.00 113.63 139 117
10 128 121.00 114.44 139 118
11 126 128.00 115.80 139 122
12 133 126.00 116.73 139 125
13 134 133.00 118.08 139 129
14 132 134.00 119.31 139 131
15 140 132.00 120.21 139 133
16 139 140.00 121.53 139 135
17 144 139.00 122.63 139 137
18 142 144.00 123.88 139 141
19 144 142.00 124.89 139 142
20 141 144.00 125.89 139 143
21 145 141.00 126.65 139 142
22 148 145.00 127.52 139 143
23 150 148.00 128.45 139 145
24 158 150.00 129.39 139 148
25 157 158.00 130.58 139 152
26 162 157.00 131.64 139 155
27 156 162.00 132.81 139 159
28 165 156.00 133.67 139 158
29 165 165.00 134.79 139 161
30 164 165.00 135.83 139 162
31 164 164.00 136.77 139 165
32 170 164.00 137.65 139 164
139
90 110
20
18097.3033206
160
rom ult 3datos
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
-
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
30 35
N 10
1 2
DATO DEMANDA
t dt F PMN Error D-F MAD ABS E^2
1 101
2 104
3 102
4 100
5 104
6 100
7 95
8 106
9 109
10 104
11 105 104 1.0 1.0 1.0
12 109 105 4.0 4.0 16.0
13 97 109 -12.0 12.0 144.0
14 92 97 -5.0 5.0 25.0
15 107 92 15.0 15.0 225.0
16 95 107 -12.0 12.0 144.0
17 109 95 14.0 14.0 196.0
18 93 109 -16.0 16.0 256.0
19 100 93 7.0 7.0 49.0
20 91 100 -9.0 9.0 81.0
21 97 91 6.0 6.0 36.0
22 103 97 6.0 6.0 36.0
23 104 103 1.0 1.0 1.0
24 98 104 -6.0 6.0 36.0
25 102 98 4.0 4.0 16.0
26 92 102 -10.0 10.0 100.0
27 90 92 -2.0 2.0 4.0
28 108 90 18.0 18.0 324.0
29 100 108 -8.0 8.0 64.0
30 95 100 -5.0 5.0 25.0
31 97 95 2.0 2.0 4.0
32 106 97 9.0 9.0 81.0
EA/PD
PAME
40
8%
20
-
0 5 10 15 20 25
20
-
0 5 10 15 20 25
20 25 30 35
20 25 30 35