Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
METODO ARITMETICO
AÑO POBLACION "r"
1968 21897
1978 25634 373.70
1988 32981 734.70
1998 36874 389.30
2008 46895 1002.10
2018 56842 994.70 POBLACION
Prom:"r" 698.90 75712.3
METODO GEOMETRICO
AÑO POBLACION Δt "r"
1968 21897
1978 25634 10 1.0159
1988 32981 10 1.0255
1998 36874 10 1.0112
2008 46895 10 1.0243
2018 56842 10 1.0194
Prom:"r" 1.0193
MINIMOS CUADRADOS
i x y% Log(Y) x^2
1968 21897 17.066 1.232 479478609
1978 25634 28.661 1.457 657101956
1988 32981 11.804 1.072 1087746361
1998 36874 27.176 1.434 1359691876
2008 46895 21.211 1.327 2199141025
2018 56842
sumatoria 164281 105.919 6.522 5783159827.000
promedio 32856.2 21.184 1.304 1156631965.400
Crecimiento aritmetico:
a b R
1 32856.2 21.184
32856.2 1156631965.400 698895.134
Crecimiento aritmetico:
1 32856.2 a= 19.961
A 32856.2 1156631965.400
1 21.184
Bx 32856.2 698895.134
Crecimiento geometrico:
A B R A= 1.262
1 32856.2 1.304 B= 1.27841654E-06
1 35202.853 1.307
Crecimiento geometrico:
1 32856.2 a= 18.281
A 1 35202.853 b= 2.943663E-06
1.304 32856.2
Ax 1.307 35202.853
1 1.304
Bx 1 1.307
POBLACION CRECIMIENTO
AÑO DECADAS Artmetico geometrico Artmetico geometrico
2018 0 56842 56842 22.076 21.611
2028 10 69390.44 69126.125 22.543 22.406
2038 10 85033.127 84614.525 23.126 23.452
2045 7 98798.46 98505.184
A B R
100 10 10021
400 20 19968
A 100 10 A= -0.37
400 20 B= 1005.80
Bx 100 10021
400 19968
a0 a1 a2 a3 R
5 0 10 0 199226
0 10 0 34 76330
10 0 34 0 409780
0 34 0 130 263578
A 5 0 10 0
0 10 0 34
10 0 34 0
0 34 0 130
a0 199226 0 10 0
76330 10 0 34
409780 0 34 0
263578 34 0 130
a1 5 199226 10 0
0 76330 0 34
10 409780 34 0
0 263578 0 130
a2 5 0 199226 0
0 10 76330 34
10 0 409780 0
0 34 263578 130
a3 5 0 10 199226
0 10 0 76330
10 0 34 409780
0 34 0 263578
PERIODO DE DISEÑO:
OBRA COSTO d %COSTO Pd
CAPTACION 17879 0.8 6.0291 4.9273
PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO 67935 0.7 22.9089 7.7594
LINEA DE IMPULSION 19567 0.5 6.5983 13.7499
RESERVORIO 29479 0.8 9.9409 4.9273
LINEA DE ADUCCION 18987 0.8 6.4028 4.9273
REDES DE DISTRIBUCION 48897 0.4 16.489 16.8649
BOMBAS Y MOTORES 41800 0.3 14.0957 20.0431
INSTALACIONES 52000 0.5 17.5353 13.7499
296544
1.01588179
1.02552144
1.01121998
POBLACION 1.02433174
95241.0126 1.01942266
1.01927552
x*y x*Log Y
373694.202 26979.989
734696.074 37356.206
389307.724 35356.595
1002087.824 52884.157
994689.845 62209.085
3494475.669 214786.032
698895.134 42957.206
Crecimiento aritmetico:
19.961 a=
0.000037215506261
A=
B=
recimiento geometrico:
INCREMENTO
Artmetico geometrico
12548.44 12284.125
15642.687 15488.4
13765.333 13890.659
C Y-C
36874 0
36874 10021
36874 19968
79275.288
4.7 -9.511619248E+12
-1.0314912E+08
a0 38226.91
a1 6675.33
a2 809.14
a3 281.67
X= 4.7
POBLACION= 116718.69
PONDERADO i= 0.0870
0.2971
1.7776
0.9073
0.4898
0.3155
2.7809
2.8252
2.4111
11.8045
11 AÑOS
17.0662647851304 1.23213174129662 479478609 373694.2020 26979.98873917
28.6611531559647 1.45729133912851 657101956 734696.0740 37356.20618722
11.8037658045541 1.07202920082792 1087746361 389307.7240 35356.59507251
27.1763302055649 1.43418553386197 1359691876 1002087.8240 52884.15737563
21.2112165476064 1.32656114396419 2199141025 994689.8450 62209.0848462
3231012964
105.918730498821 6.52219895907921 9014172791 3494475.6690 214786.0322207
21.1837460997641 1.30443979181584 1802834558.2 698895.1338 42957.20644415
19.9612398831857
1.26199609060223 a= 18.2810021614 e=
1.27841653623E-06 b= 2.9436629E-06
35202.85259403100
1.30743075583908
CRECIMIENTO INCREMENTO
A G A G
22.07640381 21.6106436166598 12548.43992 12284.12462
22.5434003542771 22.4063920128717 15642.6868892 15488.3995675
23.1255508702653 23.4516042413308 13765.332665014 13890.6588821
-0.370000
1005.80000
2*(P0*P1*P2*)= 196583081051320
1.965830811E+14
P0*P2= 2.0959919E+09
2.0959919E+09
P1^2*(P0+P2) 206094700298900
206094700298900
P1^2 2199141025
PS 92212.3186723935
PS/P0= 2.5007408743288 2.501
a= 0.4059589023909
P0*(PS-P1)= 1671030820.806 1671030820.806
P1*(PS-P0)= 2595090469.505 2595090469.505
b= -0.4401806850469
38226.9142857143
6675.33333333334
809.142857142857
281.666666666666