Consumo histórico de plomo, 2008-2017 (miles de toneladas)

Minimos cuadrados / regresion lineal

Año demanda pronostico

Consumo historico de plomo
1 2008 9.075 13
2 2009 9.193
3 2010 9.906 12
4 2011 10.432 f(x) = 0.311454545454546 x + 8.8984

5 2012 10.656
11
6 2013 10.971
7 2014 11.103
10
8 2015 11.281
9 2016 11.630
9
10 2017 11.867
11 2018 12.325
8
12 2019 12.636
13 2020 12.948
14 2021 13.259 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Suaviciacion exponencial doble/ metodo holt

n α β a b
1 0.182 0.182 8.8984 0.3115

x y x2 xy St Gt τt
8.8984 0.3115
1 2008 9.075 1 9.075 9.19 0.31 9.21
2 2009 9.193 4 18.386 9.44 0.30 9.49
3 2010 9.906 9 29.718 9.77 0.30 9.74
4 2011 10.432 16 41.728 10.13 0.31 10.07
5 2012 10.656 25 53.28 10.49 0.32 10.45
6 2013 10.971 36 65.826 10.84 0.33 10.81
7 2014 11.103 49 77.721 11.15 0.32 11.17
8 2015 11.281 64 90.248 11.44 0.32 11.48
9 2016 11.630 81 104.67 11.74 0.31 11.76
10 2017 11.867 100 118.67 12.02 0.31 12.05
11 2018 12.33

Total 106.114 385 609.322

istorico de plomo

5 6 7 8 9 10