mi Qi T (T/T-1) Xi Qi x Xi Qi^2 Xi^2

1 3800 31.000 1.033 -1.846 -7016.611 14440000 3.409

2 2280 15.500 1.069 -1.538 -3506.973 5198400 2.366
3 1660 10.333 1.107 -1.355 -2248.539 2755600 1.835
4 1410 7.750 1.148 -1.222 -1722.828 1988100 1.493
5 1230 6.200 1.192 -1.117 -1373.877 1512900 1.248
6 1150 5.167 1.240 -1.030 -1183.985 1322500 1.060
7 1120 4.429 1.292 -0.954 -1068.579 1254400 0.910
8 1030 3.875 1.348 -0.887 -913.900 1060900 0.787
9 953 3.444 1.409 -0.827 -788.123 908209 0.684
10 934 3.100 1.476 -0.772 -720.812 872356 0.596
11 921 2.818 1.550 -0.720 -663.570 848241 0.519
12 917 2.583 1.632 -0.672 -616.609 840889 0.452
13 876 2.385 1.722 -0.627 -549.185 767376 0.393
14 850 2.214 1.824 -0.584 -495.979 722500 0.340
15 824 2.067 1.938 -0.542 -446.404 678976 0.293
16 818 1.938 2.067 -0.501 -410.077 669124 0.251
17 779 1.824 2.214 -0.462 -359.810 606841 0.213
18 740 1.722 2.385 -0.423 -313.151 547600 0.179
19 683 1.632 2.583 -0.385 -262.895 466489 0.148
20 658 1.550 2.818 -0.347 -228.206 432964 0.120
21 618 1.476 3.100 -0.309 -190.714 381924 0.095
22 610 1.409 3.444 -0.270 -164.657 372100 0.073
23 581 1.348 3.875 -0.230 -133.875 337561 0.053
24 563 1.292 4.429 -0.190 -106.739 316969 0.036
25 557 1.240 5.167 -0.147 -81.758 310249 0.022
26 522 1.192 6.200 -0.101 -52.753 272484 0.010
27 520 1.148 7.750 -0.051 -26.494 270400 0.003
28 418 1.107 10.333 0.006 2.567 174724 0.000
29 367 1.069 15.500 0.076 27.770 134689 0.006
30 360 1.033 31.000 0.174 62.490 129600 0.030
28749 -17.853 -25554.279 40595065 17.626
958.3 -0.595
28 30
29
14994.135977
0.0357142857
0.0047608725
85696367.758
14571.052911

2.1365847712

3.114995956
 30

RESUMEN
sumatoria Qi 28749
sumatoria Qi ^2 40595065
sumatoria Xi -17.8528
sumatoria Xi ^ 2 17.6256
sumatoria Qi x Xi -25554.28
Xm -0.5951
Qm 958.3

Calculo de b
(−25554.28−(30∗−0.5951∗958.3))/(17.6256−(30∗(−0.5951)^2))
b=

b= -1206.3152

Calculo de a
a= 958.3 −(−1206.3152)(−0.5951)
a= 240.422

Calculo de Qmáx Qmax 50 49

𝑄𝑚𝑎�_50=240.422+(-1206.3152)*loglog(50/50-1)
 𝑄𝑚𝑎�_50=240.422+(-1206.3152)*loglog(50/50-1)
𝑄𝑚𝑎�_50= 2721.578

𝑄𝑚𝑎�_100=240.422+(-1206.3152)*loglog(100/100-1) 100 99
𝑄𝑚𝑎�_100= 3087.368

Sxx= 30(17.6256)−(−17.8578)^2
Sxx= 210.046
Sqq= 30(40595065)−(28749)^2
Sqq= 391346949
Sxx= 30(−25554.28)−(28749*-17.8528)
Sxx= -253378.2528

Calculo de Intervalo de Confianza

∆Q= ±2√((391346949 )/( 〖 30 〗 ^2∗29)+
( 〖� +0.5951) 〗 ^2∗1/28∗1/210.0455(391346949−
(( 〖− 253378.2528) 〗 ^2)/210.0455))
∆Q= ±2√(14994.136+( 〖� +0.5951) 〗 ^2+14571.0529)

Para 50 años
�=𝐿𝑂𝐺(𝐿𝑂𝐺(50/(50−1)))

X= -2.0568061166
Reemplazando X

∆Q= ±2√(14994.136+( 〖�−− 0.5951) 〗 ^2∗14571.0529)

∆Q= 429.5413

Para 100 años

�=𝐿𝑂𝐺(𝐿𝑂𝐺(100/(100−1)))

X= -2.3600351138

∆Q= ±2√(14994.136+( 〖�−− 0.5951) 〗 ^2∗14571.0529)

∆Q= 491.4587
�_(�_50 )= 2721.578+429.5413

�_(�_5
0 )= 3151.12 M^3/S
 �_(�_100 )= 3087.368+491.41587

�_(�_5
0 )= 3578.83 M^3/S