0.

3
PERIODO DEMANDA PM 3 Meses PMP 3 Meses Suav, exp Regresion
1 127 115 120.0
2 113 118.6 120.0
3 121 116.9 120.0
4 123 120.3 119.8 118.1 120.1
5 117 119.0 120.4 119.6 120.1
6 109 120.3 119.6 118.8 120.1
7 131 116.3 114.2 115.9 120.1
8 115 119.0 121.6 120.4 120.1
9 127 118.3 118.6 118.8 120.1
10 118 124.3 124.2 121.3 120.2
11 120.0 120.1 120.3 120.2

D-PM 3 meses D-PMP 3 meses D- Suav. Exp D-regresion

12 7.0
5.6 7.0
4.1 1.0
2.7 3.2 4.9 2.9
2.0 3.4 2.6 3.1
11.3 10.6 9.8 11.1
14.7 16.8 15.1 10.9
4.0 6.6 5.4 5.1
8.7 8.4 8.2 6.9
6.3 6.2 3.3 2.2
7.1 7.9 7.1 5.7
 Linea de tendencia
y= 0.0182 119.98

DEMANDA
140

120
f(x) = 0.0181818182x + 119.9818181818
100

80

60

40

20

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Metodo MAD
promedio movil de 3 meses 7.1
promedio movil ponderado de 3 meses 7.9
Suavisacion exponencial 7.1
Regresion lineal 5.7