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2016 2015

INGRESOS 1,805,460 1,738,210


CONSUMOS Y OTROS COSTOS (222,780) (381,950)
BENEFICIO BRUTO 1,582,680 1,356,260
GASTOS DE PERSONAL (489,710) (727,620)
AMORTIZACIONES (101,080) (90,700)
GASTOS EXTRAORDINARIOS (INGRESOS) (7,170) (38,430)
OTROS GASTOS DE EXPLOTACIN (808,980) (335,550)
TOTAL GASTOS DE EXPLOTACIN (1,406,940) (1,192,300)
RESULTADO DE EXPLOTACIN 175,740 163,960
INGRESOS FINANCIEROS (28,160) (52,580)
OTROS - NETO - (9,750)
RESULTADO ANTES DE IMPUESTOS 147,580 101,630
IMPUESTO SOBRE BENEFICIOS (44,640) (61,100)
RESULTADO DEL EJERCICIO 102,940 40,530
INTERESES MINORITARIOS (2,250) (4,540)
RESULTADO DEL EJERCICIO (NETO) 100,690 35,990

EFECTIVO Y INVERSIONES A CORTO PLAZO 418,250 378,830


DEUDORES COMERCIALES 170,880 140,270
OTRAS CUENTAS CORRIENTES A COBRAR 94,740 142,780
EXISTENCIAS 63,950 81,460
TOTAL ACTIVOS CORRIENTES 747,820 743,340

PROPIEDAD, PLANTA Y EQUIPO - NETO 1,693,390 1,579,000


FONDO DE COMERCIO 60,770 61,040
INMOVILIZADO INTANGIBLE - NETO 109,310 97,720
INVERSIONES A LARGO PLAZO 541,140 549,740
ACTIVOS FISCALES DIFERIDOS
TOTAL ACTIVOS NO CORRIENTES 2,404,610 2,287,500

TOTAL ACTIVOS 3,152,430 3,030,840

ACREEDORES COMERCIALES 302,540 251,830


GASTOS ACUMULADOS - 54,710
DEUDA FINANCIERA 359,380 447,140
OTROS PASIVOS CORRIENTES 181,500 120,110
TOTAL PASIVO CORRIENTE 843,420 873,790

DEUDA FINANCIERA 632,480 734,370


PASIVOS POR IMPUESTO DIFERIDO 48,750 29,530
INTERESES MINORITARIOS 43,310 50,950
OTROS PASIVOS NO CORRIENTES 64,180 78,600
TOTAL PASIVO NO CORRIENTE 788,720 893,450

TOTAL PASIVO 1,632,140 1,767,240

CAPITAL 45,940 39,810


PRIMA DE EMISIN 1,121,070 877,320
RESERVAS (PRDIDAS) ACUMULADAS 755,500 634,150
ACCIONES PROPIAS EN CARTERA (14,260) (39,860)
DIFERENCIAS DE CONVERSIN (387,960) (247,820)
PATRIMONIO NETO 1,520,290 1,263,600

TOTAL PASIVO Y PATRIMONIO NETO 3,152,430 3,030,840

ACCIONES EN CIRCULACIN (000's) 228,100 194,270

REVENUE 1,805,460 100.0% 1,738,210


COSTS (222,780) -12.3% (381,950)
GROSS PROFIT 1,582,680 87.7% 1,356,260
OPEX (1,305,860) -72.3% (1,101,600)
EBITDA 276,820 15.3% 254,660
DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATIONS (101,080) -5.6% (90,700)
EBIT 175,740 9.7% 163,960
FINANCIAL EXPENSES (NET) (30,410) -1.7% (57,120)
IBT 145,330 8.0% 106,840
INCOME TAX (44,640) -2.5% (61,100)
NET INCOME (LOSS) 100,690 5.6% 45,740
30.7% 57.2%
ASSETS
CURRENT ASSETS
CASH AND EQUIVALENTS 418,250 13.3% 378,830
ACCOUNTS AND RECEIVABLES 265,620 8.4% 283,050
INVENTORIES AND DEFERRED 63,950 2.0% 81,460
TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 747,820 23.7% 743,340

NON-CURRENT ASSETS
L/T ASSETS 1,863,470 59.1% 1,737,760
L/T INVESTMENTS 541,140 17.2% 549,740
TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSETS 2,404,610 76.3% 2,287,500

TOTAL ASSETS 3,152,430 100.0% 3,030,840


LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 359,380 11.4% 447,140
COMMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS 302,540 9.6% 251,830
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 181,500 5.8% 174,820
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 843,420 26.8% 873,790

NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 675,790 21.4% 785,320
COMMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 112,930 3.6% 108,130
TOTAL NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 788,720 25.0% 893,450

TOTAL LIABILITIES 1,632,140 51.8% 1,767,240

EQUITY
CAPITAL AND SURPLUS 1,152,750 36.6% 877,270
RESERVES AND OTHERS (387,960) -12.3% (247,820)
RETAINED EARNINGS (ACCUM. LOSSES) 654,810 20.8% 588,410
GAIN (LOSS) CURRENT YEAR 100,690 3.2% 45,740
TOTAL EQUITY 1,520,290 48.2% 1,263,600

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 3,152,430 100.0% 3,030,840

ROUND-UP -

NET WORKING CAPITAL (95,600) (130,450)

PERMANENT RESOURCES 2,309,010 73.2% 2,157,050


FORCED RESOURCES 1,035,170 32.8% 1,232,460
SELF RESOURCES 1,520,290 48.2% 1,263,600
SPONTANEOUS RESOURCES 596,970 18.9% 534,780

SHORT TERM
CURRENT RATIO 0.89 0.85
ACID RATIO 0.81 0.76
INVENTORIES & DEFERRED 0.08 0.09
QUICK RATIO 0.50 0.43
RECEIVABLES 0.31 0.32

DIAS DE COBRO - DSO 53 59


TURNOVER - ROTACION DE CARTERA 7 6
DIO 103 77
OPERATING CYCLE 156 136
DPO - DIAS DE PAGOS 71 61
CASH CYCLE (85) (75)

PURCHASES 1,528,640 1,483,550

THEIR CURRENT RATIO IS ON THE LOWER CAP. A THE NEGATIVE CASH CYCLE CAUSED BY SLOW INVENTORIES T

DEBT
LEVERAGE 1.07 1.40
INDEBTNESS 0.52 0.58
FINANCIAL DEBT 0.63 0.70
INTEREST COVERAGE 4.31 1.80
EQUITY MULTIPLIER 2.07 2.40

THEY'RE IN DEBT ACCORDING TO THEIR SECTRO BUT CONSRVATIVE, WITH A HEAVY FINANCIAL DEBT

PROFITABILITY
EBITDA 15.3% 14.7%
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) - NET 0.03 0.02
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) - OP 0.06 0.05
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) 0.07 0.04
ASSET TURNOVER 0.57 0.57

PROFIT IS IN THE UPPER LEVEL OF THE SECTOR AND IMPROVING

DUPONT
NET MARGIN 5.6% 2.6%
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) - NET 0.03 0.02
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) 0.07 0.04

NOPAT 232,180 193,560


ADJUSTED EQUITY 1,419,600 1,217,860
RATE OF RETURN 16.4% 15.9%

EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE 1.2% 1.4%


EFFECTIVE TAX RATE 30.7% 57.2%
TES 10 YEARS 6.0% 6.0%
BETA 0.96% 0.96%
COST OF CAPITAL 7.0% 7.0%
LIABILITIES WEIGHT 53.5% 59.2%
EQUITY WEIGHT 46.5% 40.8%
WACC 3.9% 3.6%

EVA 12.5% 12.3%


-0.4%
BENCHMARK
HIGH CASH OK
MID-RECEIVABLES OK
LOW INVENTORIES OK IT LOOKS LIKE IT SHOULD. OPEX A
HIGH L/T ASSETS (>L/INVESTMENT) OK GROWING LOW COST INCREAS
MID EQUITY OK DECREASING FINANCIAL DEBT, C
HIGH FORCED RESOURCES OK DIVIDENS POLICY, ESPONTANEE
GREWING REVENUE OK
LOW COSTS BUT HIGH OPEX OK
MID NET INCOME NO COMO VARIAN LOS INDICADORES
TAREA COMO AFECTAN LAS OTRA
COSTS DECREASED QUE TIENE QUE PASAR PARA QUE
OPEX INCREASED
HIGH (AND INCREASING) NET INCOME COMO AFECTA EL CICLO OPERATI
COMO SE EXPICA LA DIFERENCIA
VERIFICAR SI LAS RELACIONADAS

CUAL ES EL ELEMENTO (INDICADO


COMO INCIDI EL APALANCAMIEN
2014

1,494,990
(327,170)
1,167,820
(657,270)
(92,770)
(3,890)
(283,060)
(1,036,990)
130,830
(75,220)
1,210
56,820
(24,950)
31,870
(1,460)
30,410

368,720
131,780
141,680
72,270
714,450

1,665,050
35,530
102,120
549,650
1,680
2,354,030

3,068,480

196,080
59,540
416,070
90,120
761,810

985,120
54,730
53,560
1,093,410

1,855,220

39,810
865,210
606,200
(51,970)
(245,990)
1,213,260

3,068,480

192,690
2016/2014 2015/2014
100.0% 1,494,990 100.0% 20.8% 16.3%
-22.0% (327,170) -21.9% -31.9% 16.7%
78.0% 1,167,820 78.1% 35.5% 16.1%
-63.4% (944,220) -63.2% 38.3% 16.7%
14.7% 223,600 15.0% 23.8% 13.9%
-5.2% (92,770) -6.2% 9.0% -2.2%
9.4% 130,830 8.8% 34.3% 25.3%
-3.3% (76,680) -5.1% -60.3% -25.5%
6.1% 54,150 3.6% 168.4% 97.3%
-3.5% (24,950) -1.7% 78.9% 144.9%
2.6% 29,200 2.0% 244.8% 56.6%
46.1%

12.5% 368,720 12.0% 13.4% 2.7%


9.3% 273,460 8.9% -2.9% 3.5%
2.7% 72,270 2.4% -11.5% 12.7%
24.5% 714,450 23.3% 4.7% 4.0%

57.3% 1,804,380 58.8% 3.3% -3.7%


18.1% 549,650 17.9% -1.5% 0.0%
75.5% 2,354,030 76.7% 2.1% -2.8%

100.0% 3,068,480 100.0% 2.7% -1.2%


14.8% 416,070 13.6% -13.6% 7.5%
8.3% 196,080 6.4% 54.3% 28.4%
5.8% 149,660 4.9% 21.3% 16.8%
28.8% 761,810 24.8% 10.7% 14.7%

25.9% 1,039,850 33.9% -35.0% -24.5%

3.6% 53,560 1.7% 110.8% 101.9%


29.5% 1,093,410 35.6% -27.9% -18.3%

58.3% 1,855,220 60.5% -12.0% -4.7% 2,294,030

28.9% 853,050 27.8% 35.1% 2.8%


-8.2% (245,990) -8.0% 57.7% 0.7%
19.4% 577,000 18.8% 13.5% 2.0%
1.5% 29,200 1.0% 244.8% 56.6%
41.7% 1,213,260 39.5% 25.3% 4.1%

100.0% 3,068,480 100.0% 2.7% -1.2%

(47,360) 101.9% 175.4%

71.2% 2,306,670 75.2% 0.1% -6.5%


40.7% 1,455,920 47.4% -28.9% -15.3%
41.7% 1,213,260 39.5% 25.3% 4.1%
17.6% 399,300 13.0% 49.5% 33.9%

0.94 0,64 - 1,97


0.84 0,45 - 1,70
0.09
0.48
0.36

66 16 - 50
5
80 6 - 30
146 39 - 105
56 22- 98
(90) -18 - 41

1,271,390

SED BY SLOW INVENTORIES TURNOVER

1.53
0.60 0,18 - 0,68
0.78
1.38 -11 - 268
2.53

TH A HEAVY FINANCIAL DEBT.

15.0%
0.01 -0,55 - 4,81
0.04
0.02 -0,67 - 12,21
0.49

MPROVING

2.0%
0.01
0.02

198,650
1,184,060
16.8%

2.0%
46.1%
6.0%
0.96%
7.0%
61.0%
39.0%
3.9%

12.8%

155

OOKS LIKE IT SHOULD. OPEX ARE HIGH AND AREA OF CONCERN: EXPENSES GROWTH
ROWING LOW COST INCREASING PROFIT, AREAS OF SUCCES
CREASING FINANCIAL DEBT, CONSERVTIVE
IVIDENS POLICY, ESPONTANEEOUS DEBT

MO VARIAN LOS INDICADORES, CON LOS NO COMMERCIAL B22 Y B123


EA COMO AFECTAN LAS OTRAS CUENTAS POR COBRAR A LA CARTERA
TIENE QUE PASAR PARA QUE EL CICLO OPERATIVO DISMINUYA Y HAYAN MS CICLOS

MO AFECTA EL CICLO OPERATIVO Y CAJA POR LAS CUENTAS DE COBRAR


MO SE EXPICA LA DIFERENCIA ENTRE EL ROA NETO Y EL ROA OPERATIVO
IFICAR SI LAS RELACIONADAS GENREAN INTERESES

L ES EL ELEMENTO (INDICADOR) QUE DESTRUY VALOR EN MELIA


MO INCIDI EL APALANCAMIENTO EN LA DESTRUCCION DE VALOR DE MELIA
SES GROWTH
CREACIN Y DESTRUCCIN DE VALOR
EBIT+ DEPRECIATION-TAXE FINANCIAL EXPENSES/TOTAL LIABILITIES= INTEREST RATE PRE TAX
EBITDA-TAXES TAX SHIELD
NOPAT/ EQUITY=ROR
EQUITY-GANANCIAS A B
EQUITY+PERDIDAS EBIT 1000 1000
INTS 0 500
IBT 1000 500
TAXES 300 150
700 350

EVA= RATE OF RETURN-WACC


= INTEREST RATE PRE TAX KD=(INTERESTS/LIABILITIES)*(1-TAX RATE)

EFFECTIVE TAX RATE= INCOME TAX/IBT

COST OF EQUITY= RISK FREE RATE+BETA(MARKET RATE-FREE RISK RATE)+PREMIUM MARKET

BETA DAMODARN NYU STERN


LEEVERED/UNLEVERED
COLCAP-COLTES

WACC= (D*KD)+(E*KE)
EN MILLONES DE PESOS
2016 2015

INGRESOS 8,517,382 7,912,003


CONSUMOS Y OTROS COSTOS (6,595,353) (6,097,927)
BENEFICIO BRUTO 1,922,029 1,814,076
GASTOS DE PERSONAL (832,016) (716,214)
AMORTIZACIONES (118,838) (121,334)
GASTOS EXTRAORDINARIOS (INGRESOS) (64,235) (4,716)
OTROS GASTOS DE EXPLOTACIN 75,421 (32,627)
TOTAL GASTOS DE EXPLOTACIN (939,668) (874,891)
RESULTADO DE EXPLOTACIN 982,361 939,185
INGRESOS FINANCIEROS (301,829) (218,953)
OTROS - NETO (10,666) (23,690)
RESULTADO ANTES DE IMPUESTOS 669,866 696,542
IMPUESTO SOBRE BENEFICIOS (107,354) (126,905)
RESULTADO DEL EJERCICIO 562,512 569,637
INTERESES MINORITARIOS (142,542) (64,965)
RESULTADO DEL EJERCICIO (NETO) 419,970 504,672

EFECTIVO Y INVERSIONES A CORTO PLAZO 533,967 549,384


DEUDORES COMERCIALES 1,318,499 1,071,587
OTRAS CUENTAS CORRIENTES A COBRAR 269,904 278,959
EXISTENCIAS 839,247 727,709
OTROS ACTIVOS CORRIENTES 88,785 96,496
TOTAL ACTIVOS CORRIENTES 3,050,402 2,724,135

PROPIEDAD, PLANTA Y EQUIPO - NETO 11,098,923 9,393,424


FONDO DE COMERCIO 1,753,268 1,836,087
INMOVILIZADO INTANGIBLE - NETO 1,117,529 1,202,700
INVERSIONES A LARGO PLAZO 1,623,449 1,701,544
ACTIVOS FISCALES DIFERIDOS 38,162
OTROS ACTIVOS NO CORRIENTES 111,920 35,628
TOTAL ACTIVOS NO CORRIENTES 15,743,251 14,169,383

TOTAL ACTIVOS 18,793,653 16,893,518

ACREEDORES COMERCIALES 1,118,894 988,134


GASTOS ACUMULADOS 146,716 145,041
DEUDA FINANCIERA 2,961,364 1,454,231
OTROS PASIVOS CORRIENTES 611,967 565,671
TOTAL PASIVO CORRIENTE 4,838,941 3,153,077
DEUDA FINANCIERA 4,351,873 4,268,737
PASIVOS POR IMPUESTO DIFERIDO 110,512
INTERESES MINORITARIOS 731,158 632,046
OTROS PASIVOS NO CORRIENTES 529,260 623,686
TOTAL PASIVO NO CORRIENTE 5,612,291 5,634,981

TOTAL PASIVO 10,451,232 8,788,058

CAPITAL 2,142,313 1,558,290


RESERVAS (PRDIDAS) ACUMULADAS 2,224,442 2,158,812
ACCIONES PROPIAS EN CARTERA (113,797) (113,797)
DIFERENCIAS DE CONVERSIN 4,089,463 4,502,155
PATRIMONIO NETO 8,342,421 8,105,460

TOTAL PASIVO Y PATRIMONIO NETO 18,793,653 16,893,518

ACCIONES COMUNES EN CIRCULACIN (000's) 1151.67 1151.67


ACCIONES PREFERIDAS EN CIRCULACIN (000's) 209.2 209.2

REVENUE 8,517,382 100.0% 7,912,003


COSTS (6,595,353) -77.4% (6,097,927)
GROSS PROFIT 1,922,029 22.6% 1,814,076
OPEX (820,830) -9.6% (753,557)
EBITDA 1,101,199 12.9% 1,060,519
DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATIONS (118,838) -1.4% (121,334)
EBIT 982,361 11.5% 939,185
FINANCIAL EXPENSES (NET) (455,037) -5.3% (307,608)
IBT 527,324 6.2% 631,577
INCOME TAX (107,354) -1.3% (126,905)
NET INCOME (LOSS) 419,970 4.9% 504,672

ASSETS
CURRENT ASSETS
CASH AND EQUIVALENTS 533,967 2.8% 549,384
ACCOUNTS AND RECEIVABLES 1,588,403 8.5% 1,350,546
INVENTORIES, DEFERRED AND OTHERS 928,032 4.9% 824,205
TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 3,050,402 16.2% 2,724,135

NON-CURRENT ASSETS
L/T ASSETS 14,119,802 75.1% 12,467,839
L/T INVESTMENTS 1,623,449 8.6% 1,701,544
TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSETS 15,743,251 83.8% 14,169,383
TOTAL ASSETS 18,793,653 100.0% 16,893,518

LIABILITIES AND EQUITY


CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 2,961,364 15.8% 1,454,231
COMMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS 1,118,894 6.0% 988,134
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 758,683 4.0% 710,712
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 4,838,941 25.7% 3,153,077

NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 5,083,031 27.0% 4,900,783
COMMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 529,260 2.8% 734,198
TOTAL NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 5,612,291 29.9% 5,634,981

TOTAL LIABILITIES 10,451,232 55.6% 8,788,058

EQUITY
CAPITAL AND SURPLUS 2,028,516 10.8% 1,444,493
RESERVES AND OTHERS 4,089,463 21.8% 4,502,155
RETAINED EARNINGS (ACCUM. LOSSES) 1,804,472 9.6% 1,654,140
GAIN (LOSS) CURRENT YEAR 419,970 2.2% 504,672
TOTAL EQUITY 8,342,421 44.4% 8,105,460

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 18,793,653 100.0% 16,893,518

ROUND-UP - -

NET WORKING CAPITAL (1,788,539) (428,942)

PERMANENT RESOURCES 13,954,712 74.3% 13,740,441


FORCED RESOURCES 8,044,395 42.8% 6,355,014
SELF RESOURCES 8,342,421 44.4% 8,105,460
SPONTANEOUS RESOURCES 2,406,837 12.8% 2,433,044

BENCHMARK
CURRENT ASSETS OK
ACOUNTS RECEIVABLES OK
L/T INVESTMENTS OK
FORCED RESOURCES OK
SPONTANEOUS RESOURCES OK
EQUITY NO
PROFITABILITY OK

net income is lower thantr secto

cementos argos looks like a cement company. B


assets and forced resources weight is higher t
less on owners but they are less
ONES DE PESOS
2014

5,817,129
(4,485,753)
1,331,376
(595,671)
(76,079)
(2,311)
(50,898)
(724,959)
606,417
(116,961)
(43,701)
445,755
(162,530)
283,225
(32,713)
250,512

528,817
932,857
153,518
557,191
90,520
2,262,903

7,883,596
1,397,450
1,096,971
1,867,216

12,686
12,257,919

14,520,822

783,588
115,130
958,571
327,786
2,185,075
4,051,141
197,389
466,488
573,094
5,288,112

7,473,187

1,558,290
1,937,495
(113,797)
3,665,647
7,047,635

14,520,822

1151.67
209.2

100.0% 5,817,129 100.0% 46.4% 36.0%


-77.1% (4,485,753) -77.1% 47.0% 35.9%
22.9% 1,331,376 22.9% 44.4% 36.3%
-9.5% (648,880) -11.2% 26.5% 16.1%
13.4% 682,496 11.7% 61.3% 55.4%
-1.5% (76,079) -1.3% 56.2% 59.5%
11.9% 606,417 10.4% 62.0% 54.9%
-3.9% (193,375) -3.3% 135.3% 59.1%
8.0% 413,042 7.1% 27.7% 52.9%
-1.6% (162,530) -2.8% -33.9% -21.9%
6.4% 250,512 4.3% 67.6% 101.5%

3.3% 528,817 3.6% 1.0% 3.9%


8.0% 1,086,375 7.5% 46.2% 24.3%
4.9% 647,711 4.5% 43.3% 27.2%
16.1% 2,262,903 15.6% 34.8% 20.4%

73.8% 10,390,703 71.6% 35.9% 20.0%


10.1% 1,867,216 12.9% -13.1% -8.9%
83.9% 12,257,919 84.4% 28.4% 15.6%
100.0% 14,520,822 100.0% 29.4% 16.3%

8.6% 958,571 6.6% 208.9% 51.7%


5.8% 783,588 5.4% 42.8% 26.1%
4.2% 442,916 3.1% 71.3% 60.5%
18.7% 2,185,075 15.0% 121.5% 44.3%

29.0% 4,517,629 31.1% 12.5% 8.5%

4.3% 770,483 5.3% -31.3% -4.7%


33.4% 5,288,112 36.4% 6.1% 6.6%

52.0% 7,473,187 51.5% 39.8% 17.6%

8.6% 1,444,493 9.9% 40.4% 0.0%


26.7% 3,665,647 25.2% 11.6% 22.8%
9.8% 1,686,983 11.6% 7.0% -1.9%
3.0% 250,512 1.7% 67.6% 101.5%
48.0% 7,047,635 48.5% 18.4% 15.0%

100.0% 14,520,822 100.0% 29.4% 16.3%

77,828 -2398.1% -651.1%

81.3% 12,335,747 85.0% 13.1% 11.4%


37.6% 5,476,200 37.7% 46.9% 16.0%
48.0% 7,047,635 48.5% 18.4% 15.0%
14.4% 1,996,987 13.8% 20.5% 21.8%

CEMENTOS ARGOS LOOK LIKE A CEMENT COMPANY, BUT


RECEIVABLES, LONG TERM ASSETS AND FORCED RESOURCES
WEIGHT IS HIGHER THAN SECTOR. THEY DEPEND LEAA ON OWNERS
BUT THEY ARE LESS PROFITABLE.
184

A/R HIGHER THAN SECTOR


L/T ASSETS NUCH HGHER THAN SECTOR
FORCED RESOURCES > SECTOR
EQUITY MUCH LOWER THAN SECTOR
COSTS ARE HIGHER THAN SECTOR
NET INCOME IS LOWER THAN SECTOR
ncome is lower thantr sector

oks like a cement company. But recevaibles, long term


resources weight is higher than sector. they depend
on owners but they are less profitable
EN MILES DE EUROS
2016 2015

INGRESOS 23,310,530 20,900,440


CONSUMOS Y OTROS COSTOS (10,031,980) (8,811,140)
BENEFICIO BRUTO 13,278,550 12,089,300
GASTOS DE PERSONAL (5,900,010) (5,450,600)
AMORTIZACIONES (967,740) (976,250)
GASTOS EXTRAORDINARIOS (INGRESOS) (70,340) (38,020)
OTROS GASTOS DE EXPLOTACIN (2,319,490) (1,946,740)
TOTAL GASTOS DE EXPLOTACIN (9,257,580) (8,411,610)
RESULTADO DE EXPLOTACIN 4,020,970 3,677,690
INGRESOS FINANCIEROS 57,340 65,430
RESULTADO ANTES DE IMPUESTOS 4,078,310 3,743,120
IMPUESTO SOBRE BENEFICIOS (917,210) (860,920)
RESULTADO DEL EJERCICIO 3,161,100 2,882,200
INTERESES MINORITARIOS (4,150) (7,620)
RESULTADO DEL EJERCICIO (NETO) 3,156,950 2,874,580

EFECTIVO Y INVERSIONES A CORTO PLAZO 6,239,460 5,356,930


DEUDORES COMERCIALES 503,820 364,250
OTRAS CUENTAS CORRIENTES A COBRAR 464,680 393,640
EXISTENCIAS 2,549,200 2,195,010
OTROS ACTIVOS CORRIENTES 141,190 139,400
TOTAL ACTIVOS CORRIENTES 9,898,350 8,449,230

PROPIEDAD, PLANTA Y EQUIPO - NETO 7,283,430 6,597,470


FONDO DE COMERCIO 195,700 193,490
INMOVILIZADO INTANGIBLE - NETO 715,550 694,770
INVERSIONES A LARGO PLAZO 221,850 197,810
ACTIVOS FISCALES DIFERIDOS 1,018,620 932,040
OTROS ACTIVOS NO CORRIENTES 30,790 7,140
TOTAL ACTIVOS NO CORRIENTES 9,465,940 8,622,720

TOTAL ACTIVOS 19,364,290 17,071,950

ACREEDORES COMERCIALES 3,471,080 2,994,900


GASTOS ACUMULADOS 376,760 406,190
DEUDA FINANCIERA 125,380 78,790
OTROS PASIVOS CORRIENTES 1,477,350 1,190,270
TOTAL PASIVO CORRIENTE 5,450,570 4,670,150

DEUDA FINANCIERA 500 750


PASIVOS POR IMPUESTO DIFERIDO
INTERESES MINORITARIOS 38,170 40,600
OTROS PASIVOS NO CORRIENTES 1,161,670 950,260
TOTAL PASIVO NO CORRIENTE 1,200,340 991,610

TOTAL PASIVO 6,650,910 5,661,760

CAPITAL 93,500 93,500


PRIMA DE EMISIN 20,380 20,380
RESERVAS (PRDIDAS) ACUMULADAS 12,751,010 11,603,540
ACCIONES PROPIAS EN CARTERA (87,110) (73,350)
DIFERENCIAS DE CONVERSIN (64,400) (233,880)
PATRIMONIO NETO 12,713,380 11,410,190

TOTAL PASIVO Y PATRIMONIO NETO 19,364,290 17,071,950

ACCIONES EN CIRCULACIN (000's) 3,113,040 3,113,150

ESTADO DE RESULTADOS 2016 2015


REVENUES 23,310,530 100.0% 20,900,440
COST (10,031,980) -43.0% (8,811,140)
GROSS PROFIT 13,278,550 57.0% 12,089,300
OPERATING EXPENSES (8,289,840) -35.6% (7,435,360)
EBITDA 4,988,710 21.4% 4,653,940
DEPRECIATIONS AND AMORTIZATIONS (967,740) -4.2% (976,250)
EBIT 4,020,970 17.2% 3,677,690
FINANCIAL EXPENSES 53,190 0.2% 57,810
IBT 4,074,160 17.5% 3,735,500
INCOME TAXES (917,210) -3.9% (860,920)
NET INCOME 3,156,950 13.5% 2,874,580

ASSETS
CURRRENT ASSETS
CASH AND EQUIVALENTS 6,239,460 32.2% 5,356,930
ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE 968,500 5.0% 757,890
ANVENTORIES, DEFEARED AND OTHERS 2,690,390 13.9% 2,334,410
TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 9,898,350 51.1% 8,449,230

NON-CURRENT ASSETS
L-T ASSETS 9,244,090 47.7% 8,424,910
L-T INVESTMENT 221,850 1.1% 197,810
TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSSETS 9,465,940 48.9% 8,622,720
TOTAL ASSETS 19,364,290 100.0% 17,071,950

LIABILITIES AND EQUITY


CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 125,380 0.6% 78,790
COMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS 3,471,080 17.9% 2,994,900
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 1,854,110 9.6% 1,596,460
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 5,450,570 28.1% 4,670,150

NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 38,670 41,350
COMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 1,161,670 6.0% 950,260
TOTAL NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 1,200,340 6.2% 991,610

TOTAL LIABILITIES 6,650,910 34.3% 5,661,760

EQUITY
CAPITAL AND SURPLUS 26,770 0.1% 40,530
RESERVES AND OTHERS (64,400) -0.3% (233,880)
RETAINED EARNINGS (ACUM. LOSSES) 9,594,060 49.5% 8,728,960
GAIN OR LOSS- CURRENT YEAR 3,156,950 16.3% 2,874,580
TOTAL EQUITY 12,713,380 65.7% 11,410,190

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 19,364,290 100.0% 17,071,950

ROUND-UP - -
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO= ACT COR-PAS COR 4,447,780 3,779,080
PERMANENT RESOURCES = PAS NO COR +PAT NET 13,913,720 71.9% 12,401,800
RECURSOS PROPIOS= LOS QUE PROVIENEN DEL ACCIONISTA
12,713,380 65.7% 11,410,190
RECURSOS ESPONTANEOS= NO TIENEN COSTO EXPLICITO6,486,860 33.5% 5,541,620
RECURSOS FORZADOS= TODO LO QUE ME CUESTE PLATA (DEBT)
164,050 0.8% 120,140
SHORT TERM
CURRENT RATIO 1.82 1.81
ACID RATIO 0.73 0.72
INVENTORIES & DEFERRED 1.09 1.09
QUICK RATIO 1.14 1.15
RECEIVABLES -0.42 -0.42

DIAS DE COBRO - DSO 15 13


TURNOVER - ROTACION DE CARTERA 24 28
DIO 97 95
OPERATING CYCLE 112 108
DPO - DIAS DE PAGOS 68 66
CASH CYCLE (43) 42

PURCHASES 18,321,820 16,246,500

DEBT
LEVERAGE 0.52 0.50
INDEBTNESS 0.34 0.33
FINANCIAL DEBT 0.02 0.02
INTEREST COVERAGE (58.35) (48.72)
EQUITY MULTIPLIER 1.52 1.50

THEY'RE IN DEBT ACCORDING TO THEIR SECTRO BUT CONSRVATIVE, WITH A HEAVY FINANCIAL DEB

PROFITABILITY
EBITDA 21.4% 22.3%
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) - NET 0.16 0.17
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) - OP 0.21 0.22
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) 0.25 0.25
ASSET TURNOVER 1.20 1.22

PROFIT IS IN THE UPPER LEVEL OF THE SECTOR AND IMPROVING

DUPONT
NET MARGIN 13.5% 13.8%
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) - NET 0.16 0.17
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) 0.25 0.25

NOPAT 4,071,500 3,793,020


ADJUSTED EQUITY 9,556,430 8,535,610
RATE OF RETURN 42.6% 44.4%

EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE 0.7% 0.9%


EFFECTIVE TAX RATE 22.5% 23.0%
TES 10 YEARS 6.2% 6.2%
BETA 1.02% 1.02%
COST OF CAPITAL 7% 7%
LIABILITIES WEIGHT 41.0% 39.9%
EQUITY WEIGHT 59.0% 60.1%
WACC 4.5% 4.7%

EVA 38.1% 39.8%


0.6%
2014

18,116,530
(7,547,640)
10,568,890
(4,781,770)
(904,890)
-
(1,684,060)
(7,370,720)
3,198,170
46,610
3,244,780
(734,640)
2,510,140
(9,600)
2,500,540

4,189,140
747,600
182,500
1,859,520
127,210
7,105,970

6,040,570
197,900
684,110
225,630
874,900
7,110
8,030,220

15,136,190

2,483,420
281,790
91,050
892,570
3,748,830

2,270
38,050
916,380
956,700

4,705,530

93,500
20,380
10,359,650
(73,350)
30,480
10,430,660

15,136,190

3,113,150

2014 2015/2014 2016/2014


100% 18,116,530 100% 15.4% 28.7%
-42% (7,547,640) -42% 16.7% 32.9%
58% 10,568,890 58% 14.4% 25.6%
-36% (6,465,830) -36% 15.0% 28.2%
22% 4,103,060 23% 13.4% 21.6%
-5% (904,890) -5% 7.9% 6.9%
18% 3,198,170 18% 15.0% 25.7%
0% 37,010 0% 56.2% 43.7%
18% 3,235,180 18% 15.5% 25.9%
-4% (734,640) -4% 17.2% 24.9%
14% 2,500,540 14% 15.0% 26.3%

31% 4,189,140 28% 27.9% 570.8%


4% 930,100 6% -18.5% -51.3%
14% 1,986,730 13% 17.5% -62.1%
49% 7,105,970 47% 18.9% 39.3%
0%
0%
49% 7,804,590 52% 7.9% 18.4%
1% 225,630 1% -12.3% -1.7%
51% 8,030,220 53% 7.4% 17.9%
0%
100% 15,136,190 100% 12.8% 27.9%

0.5% 91,050 1% -13.5% 37.7%


18% 2,483,420 16% 20.6% 39.8%
9% 1,174,360 8% 35.9% 57.9%
27% 3,748,830 25% 24.6% 45.4%

0.2% 40,320 0.3% 2.6% -4.1%

6% 916,380 6% 3.7% 26.8%


6% 956,700 6% 3.6% 25.5%

33% 4,705,530 31% 20.3% 41.3%

0.2% 40,530 0.3% 0.0% -34.0%


-1% 30,480 0.2% -867.3% -311.3%
51% 7,859,110 52% 11.1% 22.1%
17% 2,500,540 17% 15.0% 26.3%
67% 10,430,660 69% 9.4% 21.9%

100% 15,136,190 100% 12.8% 27.9%

-
3,357,140 12.6% 32.5%
72.6% 11,387,360 75.2% 8.9% 22.2%
66.8% 10,430,660 68.9% 9.4% 21.9%
32.5% 4,574,160 30.2% 21.2% 41.8%
0.7% 131,370 0.9% -8.5% 24.9%

1.90 0,64 - 1,97


0.72 0,45 - 1,70
1.18
1.12
-0.40

18 16 - 50
19
95 6 - 30
113 39 - 105
64 22- 98
49 -18 - 41

14,013,470

0.45
0.31 0,18 - 0,68
0.03
(66.56) -11 - 268
1.45

TH A HEAVY FINANCIAL DEBT.

22.6%
0.17 -0,55 - 4,81
0.21
0.24 -0,67 - 12,21
1.20

MPROVING

13.8%
0.17
0.24

3,368,420
7,930,120
42.5%

1.2%
22.7%
6.2%
1.02%
7%
37.2%
62.8%
5.0%

37.5%
CONCLUSIONS

Overall Inditex financial structure is


better than sector. Forced resources
are lower,permanent resources are
average, self resources are slightly
higher and spontaneous resources
are quite higher.
EN MILLONES DE YENES
2016 2015

INGRESOS 1,786,473 1,681,781


CONSUMOS Y OTROS COSTOS (921,475) (833,243)
BENEFICIO BRUTO 864,998 848,538
GASTOS DE PERSONAL (666,159) (634,105)
AMORTIZACIONES (36,797) (37,758)
GASTOS EXTRAORDINARIOS (INGRESOS) (34,277) (12,773)
OTROS GASTOS DE EXPLOTACIN (463) 561
TOTAL GASTOS DE EXPLOTACIN (737,696) (684,075)
RESULTADO DE EXPLOTACIN 127,302 164,463
INGRESOS FINANCIEROS (37,056) 16,213
OTROS - NETO 1 -
RESULTADO ANTES DE IMPUESTOS 90,247 180,676
IMPUESTO SOBRE BENEFICIOS (36,162) (63,287)
RESULTADO DEL EJERCICIO 54,085 117,389
INTERESES MINORITARIOS (6,021) (7,360)
RESULTADO DEL EJERCICIO (NETO) 48,064 110,029

EFECTIVO Y INVERSIONES A CORTO PLAZO 569,670 377,805


DEUDORES COMERCIALES 26,961 23,089
OTRAS CUENTAS CORRIENTES A COBRAR 39,843 40,252
EXISTENCIAS 270,004 260,006
OTROS ACTIVOS CORRIENTES 18,105 173,242
TOTAL ACTIVOS CORRIENTES 924,583 874,394

PROPIEDAD, PLANTA Y EQUIPO - NETO 121,853 129,340


FONDO DE COMERCIO 17,908 27,165
INMOVILIZADO INTANGIBLE - NETO 34,205 40,991
INVERSIONES A LARGO PLAZO 90,685 75,940
ACTIVOS FISCALES DIFERIDOS 45,076
OTROS ACTIVOS NO CORRIENTES - -
TOTAL ACTIVOS NO CORRIENTES 309,727 273,436

TOTAL ACTIVOS 1,234,310 1,147,830

ACREEDORES COMERCIALES 130,745 122,620


GASTOS ACUMULADOS - -
DEUDA FINANCIERA 12,581 15,471
OTROS PASIVOS CORRIENTES 194,720 154,151
TOTAL PASIVO CORRIENTE 338,046 292,242

DEUDA FINANCIERA 274,090 25,513


PASIVOS POR IMPUESTO DIFERIDO 31,396
INTERESES MINORITARIOS 23,159 23,867
OTROS PASIVOS NO CORRIENTES 24,513 23,875
TOTAL PASIVO NO CORRIENTE 321,762 104,651

TOTAL PASIVO 659,808 396,893

CAPITAL 10,273 10,273


PRIMA DE EMISION 13,070 11,524
RESERVAS (PRDIDAS) ACUMULADAS 614,222 602,766
ACCIONES PROPIAS EN CARTERA (15,633) (15,699)
DIFERENCIAS DE CONVERSIN (47,430) 142,073
PATRIMONIO NETO 574,502 750,937

TOTAL PASIVO Y PATRIMONIO NETO 1,234,310 - 1,147,830

ACCIONES COMUNES EN CIRCULACIN (000's) 1151.67 1151.67


ACCIONES PREFERIDAS EN CIRCULACIN (000's) 209.2 209.2

ESTADO DE RESULTADOS 2016 2015


REVENUES 1,786,473 100.0% 1,681,781
COST (921,475) -51.6% (833,243)
GROSS PROFIT 864,998 48.4% 848,538
OPERATING EXPENSES (700,899) -39.2% (646,317)
EBITDA 164,099 9.2% 202,221
DEPRECIATIONS AND AMORTIZATIONS (36,797) -2.1% (37,758)
EBIT 127,302 7.1% 164,463
FINANCIAL EXPENSES (43,076) -2.4% 8,853
IBT 84,226 4.7% 173,316
INCOME TAXES (36,162) -2.0% (63,287)
NET INCOME 48,064 2.7% 110,029

ASSETS
CURRRENT ASSETS
CASH AND EQUIVALENTS 569,670 46.2% 377,805
ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE 66,804 5.4% 63,341
ANVENTORIES, DEFEARED AND OTHERS 288,109 23.3% 433,248
TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 924,583 75% 874,394

NON-CURRENT ASSETS
L-T ASSETS 219,042 17.7% 197,496
L-T INVESTMENT 90,685 7.3% 75,940
TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSSETS 309,727 25.1% 273,436

TOTAL ASSETS 1,234,310 100.0% 1,147,830


LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 12,581 1.0% 15,471
COMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS 130,745 10.6% 122,620
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 194,720 15.8% 154,151
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 338,046 27.4% 292,242
0.0%
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 297,249 24.1% 49,380
COMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 24,513 2.0% 55,271
TOTAL NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 321,762 26.1% 104,651

TOTAL LIABILITIES 659,808 53.5% 396,893

EQUITY
CAPITAL AND SURPLUS 7,710 0.6% 6,098
RESERVES AND OTHERS (47,430) -3.8% 142,073
RETAINED EARNINGS (ACUM. LOSSES) 566,158 45.9% 492,737
GAIN OR LOSS- CURRENT YEAR 48,064 3.9% 110,029
TOTAL EQUITY 574,502 46.5% 750,937

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 1,234,310 100.0% 1,147,830

ROUND-UP - -
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO= ACT COR-PAS COR 586,537 47.5% 582,152
PERMANENT RESOURCES = PAS NO COR +PAT NET 896,264 72.6% 855,588
RECURSOS PROPIOS= LOS QUE PROVIENEN DEL ACCIONISTA 574,502 46.5% 750,937
RECURSOS ESPONTANEOS= NO TIENEN COSTO EXPLICITO 349,978 28.4% 332,042
RECURSOS FORZADOS= TODO LO QUE ME CUESTE PLATA (DEBT) 309,830 25.1% 64,851

BENCHMARK
MID-CASH OK
MID-RECEIVABLES OK UNIQLO LOOKS LIKE A RETAIL
LOW INVETORY NO CHAIN. BUT, INVENTORIES, COSTS
LOW L/T ASSETS (>L/INVESTMENT) NO AND FORCED RESOURCES ARE
RELATIVELY HIGHER THAN SECTOR.
MID EQUITY OK NET INCOME IS LOWER AND
LOW FORCED RESOURCES NO DECREASED. FINANCIAL DEBT AND
GREWING REVENUE OK L/T INVESTMENT INCREASED.
MID COSTS AND OPEX OK
MID NET INCOME OK
CURRENT ASSETS OK
SPONTANEOUS RESOURCES OK
COSTS INCREASED
OPEX STABLE
NET INCOME DECREASED AND LOWER THAN SECTOR
HIGHER CASH
LONES DE YENES
2014

1,382,935
(683,161)
699,774
(518,387)
(30,808)
(19,434)
(743)
(569,372)
130,402
5,068
-
135,470
(56,133)
79,337
(4,790)
74,547

323,168
11,951 26961 23089 11951
47,428
223,223
111,267
717,037

114,398
26,715
46,968
71,293

-
259,374

976,411

185,119
-
12,696
75,381
273,196

27,604
21,491
17,660
18,079
84,834

358,030

10,273
9,803
526,520
(15,790)
87,575
618,381

- 976,411

1151.67
209.2

2014 2015/2014 2016/2014


100.0% 1,382,935 100.0% 21.6% 29.2%
-49.5% (683,161) -49.4% 22.0% 34.9%
50.5% 699,774 50.6% 21.3% 23.6%
-38.4% (538,564) -38.9% 20.0% 30.1%
12.0% 161,210 11.7% 25.4% 1.8%
-2.2% (30,808) -2.2% 22.6% 19.4%
9.8% 130,402 9.4% 26.1% -2.4%
0.5% 278 0.0% 3084.5% -15595.0%
10.3% 130,680 9.4% 32.6% -35.5%
-3.8% (56,133) -4.1% 12.7% -35.6%
6.5% 74,547 5.4% 47.6% -35.5%

32.9% 323,168 33.1% 16.9% 76.3%


5.5% 59,379 6.1% 6.7% 12.5%
37.7% 334,490 34.3% 29.5% -13.9%
76.18% 717,037 73.4% 21.9% 28.9%

17.2% 188,081 19.3% 5.0% 16.5%


6.6% 71,293 7.3% 6.5% 27.2%
23.8% 259,374 26.6% 5.4% 19.4%

100.0% 976,411 100.0% 17.6% 26.4%


1.3% 12,696 1.3% 21.9% -0.9%
10.7% 185,119 19.0% -33.8% -29.4%
13.4% 75,381 7.7% 104.5% 158.3%
25.5% 273,196 28.0% 7.0% 23.7%
0.0%
0.0%
4.3% 45,264 4.6% 9.1% 556.7%

4.8% 39,570 4.1% 39.7% -38.1%


9.1% 84,834 8.7% 23.4% 279.3%
0.0%
34.6% 358,030 36.7% 10.9% 84.3%

0.5% 4,286 0.4% 42.3% 79.9%


12.4% 87,575 9.0% 62.2% -154.2%
42.9% 451,973 46.3% 9.0% 25.3%
9.6% 74,547 7.6% 47.6% -35.5%
65.4% 618,381 63.3% 21.4% -7.1%
0.0%
100.0% 976,411 100.0% 17.6% 26.4%

-
50.7% 443,841 45.5% 31.2% 32.2%
74.5% 703,215 72.0% 21.7% 27.5%
65.4% 618,381 63.3% 21.4% -7.1%
28.9% 300,070 30.7% 10.7% 16.6%
5.6% 57,960 5.9% 11.9% 434.6%

OOKS LIKE A RETAIL


INVENTORIES, COSTS
ED RESOURCES ARE
IGHER THAN SECTOR.
ME IS LOWER AND 193
FINANCIAL DEBT AND
TMENT INCREASED.
2014 2015 2016

REVENUE 1,494,990 1,738,210 1,805,460


COSTS (327,170) (381,950) (222,780)
GROSS PROFIT 1,167,820 1,356,260 1,582,680
OPEX (944,220) (1,101,600) (1,305,860)
EBITDA 223,600 254,660 276,820
DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATIONS (92,770) (90,700) (101,080)
EBIT 130,830 163,960 175,740
FINANCIAL EXPENSES (NET) (76,680) (57,120) (30,410)
IBT 54,150 106,840 145,330
INCOME TAX (24,950) (61,100) (44,640)
NET INCOME (LOSS) 29,200 45,740 100,690

ASSETS
CURRENT ASSETS
CASH AND EQUIVALENTS 368,720 378,830 418,250
ACCOUNTS AND RECEIVABLES 273,460 283,050 265,620
INVENTORIES AND DEFERRED 72,270 81,460 63,950
TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 714,450 743,340 747,820

NON-CURRENT ASSETS
L/T ASSETS 1,804,380 1,737,760 1,863,470
L/T INVESTMENTS 549,650 549,740 541,140
TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSETS 2,354,030 2,287,500 2,404,610

TOTAL ASSETS 3,068,480 3,030,840 3,152,430

LIABILITIES AND EQUITY


CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 416,070 447,140 359,380
COMMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS 196,080 251,830 302,540
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 149,660 174,820 181,500
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 761,810 873,790 843,420

NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
FINANCIAL DEBT 1,039,850 785,320 675,790
COMMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS 53,560 108,130 112,930
TOTAL NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 1,093,410 893,450 788,720

TOTAL LIABILITIES 1,855,220 1,767,240 1,632,140


EQUITY
CAPITAL AND SURPLUS 853,050 877,270 1,152,750
RESERVES AND OTHERS (245,990) (247,820) (387,960)
RETAINED EARNINGS (ACCUM. LOSSES) 577,000 588,410 654,810
GAIN (LOSS) CURRENT YEAR 29,200 45,740 100,690
TOTAL EQUITY 1,213,260 1,263,600 1,520,290

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 3,068,480 3,030,840 3,152,430

ROUND-UP - -

CASH DEMONSTRATION
OPENING BALANCE
COLLECTIONS
INVENTORIES VARIANCE
L/T INVESTMENTS
FINANCIAL DEBT REPAYMENT

OPENING BALANCE
PLUS: REVENUE
LESS: ENDING BALANCE
COLLECTIONS

NET WORKING CAPITAL (47,360) (130,450) (95,600)

PERMANENT RESOURCES 2,306,670 2,157,050 2,309,010


FORCED RESOURCES 1,455,920 1,232,460 1,035,170
SELF RESOURCES 1,213,260 1,263,600 1,520,290
SPONTANEOUS RESOURCES 399,300 534,780 596,970

SHORT TERM
CURRENT RATIO 0.94 0.85 0.89
ACID RATIO 0.84 0.76 0.81
INVENTORIES & DEFERRED 0.09 0.09 0.08
QUICK RATIO 0.48 0.43 0.50
RECEIVABLES 0.36 0.32 0.31

DIAS DE COBRO - DSO 32 29 34


TURNOVER - ROTACION DE CARTERA 11 12 11
DIO 80 77 103
OPERATING CYCLE 112 106 137
DPO - DIAS DE PAGOS 56 61 71
CASH CYCLE (56) (45) (66)

PURCHASES 1,271,390 1,483,550 1,528,640

DEBT
LEVERAGE 1.53 1.40 1.07
INDEBTNESS 0.60 0.58 0.52
FINANCIAL DEBT 0.78 0.70 0.63
INTEREST COVERAGE 1.38 1.80 4.31
EQUITY MULTIPLIER 2.53 2.40 2.07

PROFITABILITY
EBITDA 15.0% 14.7% 15.3%
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) - NET 0.01 0.02 0.03
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) - OP 0.04 0.05 0.06
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) 0.02 0.04 0.07
ASSET TURNOVER 0.49 0.57 0.57

DUPONT
NET MARGIN 2.0% 2.6% 5.6%
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) - NET 0.01 0.02 0.03
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) 0.02 0.04 0.07

NOPAT 198,650 193,560 232,180


ADJUSTED EQUITY 1,184,060 1,217,860 1,419,600
RATE OF RETURN 16.8% 15.9% 16.4%

EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE 2.0% 1.4% 1.2%


EFFECTIVE TAX RATE 46.1% 57.2% 30.7%
TES 10 YEARS 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
BETA 0.96% 0.96% 0.96%
COST OF CAPITAL 7.0% 7.0% 7.0%
LIABILITIES WEIGHT 61.0% 59.2% 53.5%
EQUITY WEIGHT 39.0% 40.8% 46.5%
WACC 3.9% 3.6% 3.9%

EVA 12.8% 12.3% 12.5%


-0.4%
2017 2018 2019

1,874,067 1,945,282 2,019,203


(274,433) (261,179) (247,421)
1,599,634 1,684,103 1,771,782
(1,294,162) (1,347,569) (1,402,268)
305,473 336,534 369,514
(101,080) (101,080) (101,080)
204,393 235,454 268,434
(13,127) (9,415) (5,500)
191,266 226,039 262,935
(86,070) (101,718) (118,321)
105,196 124,321 144,614

100,729 314,868 546,640


249,876 237,757 229,965
72,420 63,118 54,295
423,025 615,743 830,900

1,762,390 1,661,310 1,560,230


533,023 525,028 517,153
2,295,413 2,186,338 2,077,383

2,718,438 2,802,081 2,908,283

352,934 406,656 462,829


157,669 162,521 168,680
510,603 569,177 631,509

446,833 320,477 187,209

135,516 162,619 195,143


582,349 483,096 382,352

1,092,952 1,052,273 1,013,861


1,152,750 1,152,750 1,152,750
(387,960) (387,960) (387,960)
755,500 860,696 985,018
105,196 124,321 144,614
1,625,486 1,749,808 1,894,421

2,718,438 2,802,081 2,908,282

(0) 0 1

418,250
1,889,811
(8,470)
8,117
(588,337)

11,480
ASSUMPTIONS
REVNUE GROWTH 3.80%
NO CHANGES IN FIXED ASSETS (NO ADDITIONS,NO DISPOSALS)
INCOME TAX CALCULATED AS % ON REVENUE 2.50%
OPEX EBITDA 16% 17.30% 18.30%
INCOME TAX RATE 45.0%
TARGET DSO 48 44 41
TARGET DIO 95 87 79
L/T INVESTMENT YEARLY REDUCTION 1.50%
TARGET DPO 81 91 101
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS (S/T) 5.80% OF TOTAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL DEBT (L/T) 16.44% 11.44% 6.44%
ACCRUALS AND OTHERS (L/T) INCREASE 20.00%
NO CAHNGES EN FIXED ASSETS
NO CHANGES IN CAPITAL AND SURPLUS

PROYECTE LOS GASTOS OPERATIVOS CONSIDERANDO QUE LA EMPRESA ESPERA INCREMENTAR SU EBITDA EN UN PUNTO SOB
EVALUE QUE TAN CONVENIENTE ES MANTENER EL IMPUESTO COMO UN PORCENTAJE DE LAS VENTAS, CONSIDERANDO QUE A
TDA EN UN PUNTO SOBRE REVENUE CADA AO
CONSIDERANDO QUE AN+ DESCONOCE LOS GASTOS FINANCIEROS
FINANCIAL STATEMENT FORECASTING

WHAT APPEN IF?


WHAT SHOULD I DO IF?

PROFIT & LOSSES STATEMENT


REVENUE
PxQ
% OF GROWTH
TREND
TARGET

VARIABLE DISBURSEMENTS
DEPEND ON REVENUE
STATISTICAL OR MATHEMATICS METHODS
PRONOSTICO
TENDENCIA
FINANCIAL METHODS
TREND
TARGET

FIXED DISBURSMENTS
INCOME TAX (RATE)
DEPRECIATIONS & AMORTIZATIONS (SCHEDULE)
FINANCIAL EXPENSES

NET INCOME (LOSSES) (MARGIN)

BALANCE SHEET
CASH & EQUIVALENTS (ROUNDING VALUE)
ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE
TURNOVER OR DSO
TREND
TARGET
TREND
DSO= A/R / REVENUE x 360
A/R= REVEUNUE/360*DSO
INVENTORIES
TURNOVER OR DIO
TREND
TARGET
TREND
INVENTORY= COSTS/360*DIO
COST OF SALES= INVENTORY(B)+PURCHASES-INVENTORY(F)
OTHER
TREND
TARGET
CURRENT RATIO
FIXED ASSETS
SCHEDULE
TREND
ADDITIONS
DISPOSALS
TARGET
INVESTMENTS
TREND
TARGET
LIABILITIES
COMMERCIAL OBLIGATIONS (ROUNDING VALUE)
TURNOVER OR DPO
TREND
TARGET
CASH CYCLE
TREND
TARGET
OTHER
TREND
TARGET
CURRENT RATIO
FINANCIAL OBLIGATION (L/T)
TREND
TARGET
CASH EXCESS
OTHER
TREND
TARGET
EQUITY
CAPITAL & SURPLUS
NORMALLY REMAINS
RETAINED EARNINGS (ACCUMULATED LOSSES)
BEGINNING BALANCE+

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