PERIODO D(t) S(t) T(t) I(t) F(t) C(t) C(t)2

1T 20 0.51
2T 50 1.29
3T 25 0.64
4T 60 38.75 30 1.54
1T 30 67.75 29.9 0.5 35.06 5.06 25.6
2T 65 92.83 29.4 1.23 125.83 60.83 3700.28
3T 45 116.34 28.8 0.61 77.87 32.87 1080.43
T4 70 134.46 27.7 1.43 222.31 152.31 23198.33
1T 80.15
2T 228.9
3T 129.3
4T 340

MAD= 62,76 MSE= 28004,64

C(t)/D(t)*100
WINTER MULTIPLICATIVO (Modelo con tendencia estacional)
350 340
300
16.86 250
93.58 222.31 228.9
200
73.04
217.58 150
125.83 129.3
100
77.87 80.15 70
60 65
50 50 45
35.06 25 30
20
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
DEMANDA PRONOSTICO
MAPE=100,26