Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
DISTANCIAS A X B C
A 0
X 4.88 0
B 3.23 6.86 0
C
3.57 4.2 3.25 0
Aos A X B C 1
1975 1617.5 1720.3 1681.5 1291.7 1530.2
1976 1591.8 1633.3 1641.4 1437.8 1557.0
1977 1775.7 1880.9 1812.0 1699.5 1762.4
1978 1789.3 1923.0 1832.7 1483.0 1701.7
1979 1188.3 1341.0 1340.5 1165.7 1231.5
1980 1260.1 1529.8 1427.4 1062.3 1249.9
1981 1401.0 1745.5 1582.3 1288.2 1423.8
1982 1317.6 1537.4 1334.0 1201.8 1284.5
1983 1624.2 1874.5 1610.3 1486.3 1573.6
1984 1417.2 1658.4 1370.1 1130.0 1305.8
1985 1597.1 1801.2 1618.7 1349.3 1521.7
1986 1279.6 1509.3 1308.3 1074.5 1220.8
1987 1429.2 1739.6 1505.7 1194.3 1376.4
1988 1286.5 1687.3 1580.8 1135.7 1334.3
1989 1353.8 1631.0 1610.1 1205.3 1389.7
1990 1286.3 1645.4 1425.7 1087.3 1266.4
1991 1488.6 1819.7 1722.7 1277.7 1496.3
1992 1425.4 1752.1 1673.9 1279.8 1459.7
1993 1358.9 1720.8 1565.6 1287.6 1404.0
1994 1864.6 1997.9 1922.6 1780.8 1856.0
1995 1780.8 1754.1 1768.3 1577.6 1708.9
1996 1457.3 1748.9 1510.3 1331.9 1433.2
1997 1336.4 1365.7 1322.9 1101.3 1253.5
1998 1316.0 1499.7 1311.0 1070.0 1232.3
1999 1590.5 1789.2 1618.9 1441.1 1550.2
2000 1475.9 1680.6 1514.7 1346.0 1445.5
2001 1334.2 1630.2 1385.7 1176.6 1298.8
2002 1231.3 1256.5 1045.3
2003 1899.9 1970.0 1653.9
2004 1493.0 1371.0 1257.4
2005 1748.8 1659.3 1516.3
2006 1663.3 1591.9 1425.6
2007 1645.6 1537.1 1371.2
2008 1699.6 1569.3 1448.8
2009 1568.3 1515.4 1414.6
2010 1635.5 1549.5 1539.8
2011 1420.8 1417.3 1264.2
promedio= 1468.3 1689.5 1555.5 1294.9
A B C
correlacion 0.80380346 0.85871998 0.77246359
1975 1791.1005 1787.4155 1687.48195
1976 1773.60908 1756.2578 1780.0363
1977 1898.77142 1888.814 1945.82325
1978 1908.02758 1904.8979 1808.6705
1979 1498.98698 1522.4585 1607.66095
1980 1547.85406 1589.9798 1542.15705
1981 1643.7506 1710.3371 1685.2647
1982 1586.98856 1517.408 1630.5303
1983 1795.66052 1732.0931 1810.76105
1984 1654.77632 1545.4577 1585.045
1985 1777.21626 1738.6199 1723.97155
1986 1561.12576 1497.4391 1549.88575
1987 1662.94352 1650.8189 1625.77905
1988 1565.8219 1709.1716 1588.65595
1989 1611.62628 1731.9377 1632.74755
1990 1565.68578 1588.6589 1557.99455
1991 1703.37116 1819.4279 1678.61295
1992 1660.35724 1781.5103 1679.9433
1993 1615.09734 1697.3612 1684.8846
1994 1959.27676 1974.7502 1997.3268
1995 1902.24248 1854.8591 1868.5996
1996 1682.06838 1654.3931 1712.94865
1997 1599.78384 1508.7833 1566.86355
1998 1585.8996 1499.537 1547.035
1999 1772.7243 1738.7753 1782.12685
2000 1694.72754 1657.8119 1721.881
2001 1598.28652 1557.5789 1614.5661
Modelos
2 3 4 5 6 7
1442.40044 1790.96151 1787.4155 1756.9295 1794.73614 1800.42553
1509.03348 1830.12526 1756.2578 1769.52894 1765.96407 1764.86208
1734.7467 2076.24205 1888.814 1910.18634 1904.50213 1900.26438
1624.68062 1994.79617 1904.8979 1875.40431 1919.42668 1924.16971
1176.15374 1448.08096 1522.4585 1541.73963 1504.49231 1499.25966
1153.79339 1462.11368 1589.9798 1560.90279 1570.32819 1572.02608
1340.37621 1670.48376 1710.3371 1680.40266 1690.47548 1689.0152
1255.36388 1511.02138 1517.408 1576.26333 1528.70294 1525.80318
1550.08634 1852.38542 1732.0931 1778.03332 1754.97122 1752.64768
1262.84581 1531.06755 1545.4577 1594.1029 1571.14737 1574.29067
1463.92115 1785.45044 1738.6199 1746.71381 1753.97069 1756.23853
1169.37004 1431.77816 1497.4391 1535.10036 1505.60534 1506.28011
1302.95419 1612.72915 1650.8189 1646.87779 1652.23613 1654.51856
1205.4533 1559.70067 1709.1716 1623.61922 1664.8359 1665.91054
1273.98943 1626.39149 1731.9377 1660.75559 1696.35623 1696.98488
1179.34846 1482.41995 1588.6589 1571.34753 1575.01233 1576.49424
1375.25286 1750.34918 1819.4279 1736.44543 1790.6983 1793.53745
1347.14802 1709.35351 1781.5103 1709.29634 1748.77731 1749.22143
1320.58018 1648.02882 1697.3612 1666.2474 1671.70057 1668.87126
1819.56211 2185.74108 1974.7502 1976.80442 1987.75633 1984.01915
1671.59119 2009.36158 1854.8591 1874.8596 1880.30955 1880.53169
1389.90441 1685.01533 1654.3931 1682.10475 1660.9781 1658.79776
1210.0467 1470.50554 1508.7833 1557.24821 1526.34491 1527.78514
1183.78855 1444.76006 1499.537 1543.11384 1515.04314 1516.98535
1510.20573 1822.91559 1738.7753 1763.7347 1752.6586 1751.17858
1406.0859 1699.87466 1657.8119 1690.32294 1667.54904 1665.40954
1249.49868 1525.14703 1557.5789 1589.09507 1562.221 1561.27161
seriee A- X
2500.0
2000.0
f(x) = 0.6805733476x + 690.2328267868
R = 0.6460957235
1500.0
1000.0
500.0
0.0
900.0 1100.0 1300.0 1500.0
serie
2500.0
2000.0
f(x) = 0.777
R = 0.7374
1500.0
1000.0
500.0
0.0
900.0 1100.0 1300.0 1
serie
2500.0
2000.0
f(x) = 0.6334906935x +
R = 0.5966660209
1500.0
serie
2500.0
2000.0
f(x) = 0.6334906935x +
R = 0.5966660209
1500.0
1000.0
500.0
0.0
900.0 1000.0 1100.0 1200.0 1300.0 1
seriee A- X
33476x + 690.2328267868
7235
serie B -X
serie C -X
0 1000.0 1100.0 1200.0 1300.0 1400.0 1500.0 1600.0 1700.0 1800.0 1900.0
Aos X B C A
1975 1720.3 1681.5 1291.7 1617.5
1976 1633.3 1641.4 1437.8 1591.8
1977 1880.9 1812.0 1699.5 1775.7
1978 1923.0 1832.7 1483.0 1789.3
1979 1341.0 1340.5 1165.7 1188.3
1980 1529.8 1427.4 1062.3 1260.1
1981 1745.5 1582.3 1288.2 1401.0
1982 1537.4 1334.0 1201.8 1317.6
1983 1874.5 1610.3 1486.3 1624.2
1984 1658.4 1370.1 1130.0 1417.2
1985 1801.2 1618.7 1349.3 1597.1
1986 1509.3 1308.3 1074.5 1279.6
1987 1739.6 1505.7 1194.3 1429.2
1988 1687.3 1580.8 1135.7 1286.5
1989 1631.0 1610.1 1205.3 1353.8
1990 1645.4 1425.7 1087.3 1286.3
1991 1819.7 1722.7 1277.7 1488.6
1992 1752.1 1673.9 1279.8 1425.4
1993 1720.8 1565.6 1287.6 1358.9
1994 1997.9 1922.6 1780.8 1864.6
1995 1754.1 1768.3 1577.6 1780.8
1996 1748.9 1510.3 1331.9 1457.3
1997 1365.7 1322.9 1101.3 1336.4
1998 1499.7 1311.0 1070.0 1316.0
1999 1789.2 1618.9 1441.1 1590.5
2000 1680.6 1514.7 1346.0 1475.9
2001 1630.2 1385.7 1176.6 1334.2
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente d 0.86262632
Coeficiente 0.74412417
R^2 ajustado 0.72280118
Error tpico 82.3179946
Observacione 27
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 2 472951.873 236475.936 34.897747 7.8768E-08
Residuos 24 162630.054 6776.25224
Total 26 635581.927
Observacin
Pronstico para YResiduos
1 1771.98802 -51.688018
2 1764.20815 -130.90815
3 1909.73338 -28.83338
4 1895.7917 27.2082976
5 1531.65252 -190.65252
6 1575.65084 -45.850839
7 1706.29234 39.207659
8 1531.97207 5.42792862
9 1749.92506 124.574941
10 1546.57822 111.821778
11 1738.01211 63.1878876
12 1498.86405 10.4359508
13 1643.95549 95.6445148
14 1685.8946 1.40539917
15 1714.02618 -83.026179
16 1577.71479 67.6852125
17 1797.30589 22.3941121
18 1765.47431 -13.374311
19 1695.23131 25.5686873
20 1992.83041 5.06959455
21 1865.47295 -111.37295
22 1664.49573 84.404266
23 1511.87866 -146.17866
24 1500.06723 -0.3672253
25 1749.82851 39.3714924
26 1669.18463 11.4153742
27 1562.77086 67.4291399
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple 0.80780114
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2 0.65254269
R^2 ajustado 0.62358791
Error tpico 95.9247945
Observaciones 27
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 2 414744.338
Residuos 24 220837.589
Total 26 635581.927
X
1720.3
1633.3
1880.9
1923.0
1341.0
1529.8
1745.5
1537.4
1874.5
1658.4
1801.2
1509.3
1739.6
1687.3
1631.0
1645.4
1819.7
1752.1
1720.8
1997.9
1754.1
1748.9
1365.7
1499.7
1789.2
1680.6
1630.2
X--A Y C
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresin 2 479694.803 239847.402
Residuos 24 155887.124 6495.29681
Total 26 635581.927
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente d 0.86892879
Coeficiente 0.75503725
R^2 ajustado 0.72308558
Error tpico 82.2757556
Observacione 27
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 3 479888.028 159962.676 23.6306083 3.279E-07
Residuos 23 155693.899 6769.29995
Total 26 635581.927
Observacin
Pronstico para YResiduos
1 1800.42553 -80.125533
2 1764.86208 -131.56208
3 1900.26438 -19.364378
4 1924.16971 -1.1697091
5 1499.25966 -158.25966
6 1572.02608 -42.226083
7 1689.0152 56.4848007
8 1525.80318 11.5968166
9 1752.64768 121.852325
10 1574.29067 84.1093262
11 1756.23853 44.9614686
12 1506.28011 3.01989127
13 1654.51856 85.0814423
14 1665.91054 21.3894626
15 1696.98488 -65.984876
16 1576.49424 68.9057567
17 1793.53745 26.162546
18 1749.22143 2.87857234
19 1668.87126 51.9287351
20 1984.01915 13.8808527
21 1880.53169 -126.43169
22 1658.79776 90.102239
23 1527.78514 -162.08514
24 1516.98535 -17.285353
25 1751.17858 38.0214154
26 1665.40954 15.1904621
27 1561.27161 68.9283883
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
147.392026 780.39377
-0.2563924 0.74774244 A
0.19598863 0.98056944 B
-0.5130525 0.43557654 C
modelos
X 1 2 3 4 5
1720.3 1530.23333 1442.40044 1790.96151 1787.4155 1756.9295
1633.3 1557 1509.03348 1830.12526 1756.2578 1769.52894
1880.9 1762.4 1734.7467 2076.24205 1888.814 1910.18634
1923.0 1701.66667 1624.68062 1994.79617 1904.8979 1875.40431
1341.0 1231.5 1176.15374 1448.08096 1522.4585 1541.73963
1529.8 1249.93333 1153.79339 1462.11368 1589.9798 1560.90279
1745.5 1423.83333 1340.37621 1670.48376 1710.3371 1680.40266
1537.4 1284.46667 1255.36388 1511.02138 1517.408 1576.26333
1874.5 1573.6 1550.08634 1852.38542 1732.0931 1778.03332
1658.4 1305.76667 1262.84581 1531.06755 1545.4577 1594.1029
1801.2 1521.7 1463.92115 1785.45044 1738.6199 1746.71381
1509.3 1220.8 1169.37004 1431.77816 1497.4391 1535.10036
1739.6 1376.4 1302.95419 1612.72915 1650.8189 1646.87779
1687.3 1334.33333 1205.4533 1559.70067 1709.1716 1623.61922
1631.0 1389.73333 1273.98943 1626.39149 1731.9377 1660.75559
1645.4 1266.43333 1179.34846 1482.41995 1588.6589 1571.34753
1819.7 1496.33333 1375.25286 1750.34918 1819.4279 1736.44543
1752.1 1459.7 1347.14802 1709.35351 1781.5103 1709.29634
1720.8 1404.03333 1320.58018 1648.02882 1697.3612 1666.2474
1997.9 1856 1819.56211 2185.74108 1974.7502 1976.80442
1754.1 1708.9 1671.59119 2009.36158 1854.8591 1874.8596
1748.9 1433.16667 1389.90441 1685.01533 1654.3931 1682.10475
1365.7 1253.53333 1210.0467 1470.50554 1508.7833 1557.24821
1499.7 1232.33333 1183.78855 1444.76006 1499.537 1543.11384
1789.2 1550.16667 1510.20573 1822.91559 1738.7753 1763.7347
1680.6 1445.53333 1406.0859 1699.87466 1657.8119 1690.32294
1630.2 1298.83333 1249.49868 1525.14703 1557.5789 1589.09507
Despues de analizar los modelos y generar los datos para estos, concluimos que el mode
es el que mejor se ajusta a la realidad lo que se demuestra al encontrar el coeficiente de
menor error el cual se analizo.
correlacion
Intercepcin 463.892898
4 5 6 7 Variable X 1 0.245675
0.85872136 0.85127894 0.86875384 0.86892879 Variable X 2 0.58827903
4 5 6 7 Variable X 3 -0.038738
2400
4 5 6 7
4504.49034 1341.72031 5540.73945 6420.10102
15118.6206 18558.323 17599.7542 17308.5798
62.631396 857.689903 557.060534 374.979133 2200
327.686024 2265.34995 12.7686032 1.36821927
32927.1872 40296.3991 26729.7351 25046.1205
3621.60833 967.383378 1642.53434 1783.04205
1236.42954 4237.66379 3027.69729 3190.53271
399.680064 1510.35803 75.6388786 134.486156
2000
20279.7252 9305.82039 14287.1297 14847.9891
12755.9631 4134.11697 7613.02215 7074.37875
3916.26892 2968.74469 2230.60753 2021.53366
140.680949 665.658696 13.6505135 9.11974326
7882.08372 8597.40893 7632.44647 7238.85183
478.366887 4055.24179 504.635739 457.509109 1800
10188.4193 885.395123 4271.43712 4354.00387
3219.55243 5483.76867 4954.4237 4748.0033
0.07403841 6931.32295 841.098889 684.478816
864.965746 1832.15339 11.040252 8.28617874
549.377345 2975.98594 2410.75429 2696.59353
1600
535.91324 445.023532 102.894066 192.678071
10152.3962 14582.8813 15928.85 15984.9717
8931.55415 4461.60499 7730.26031 8118.41348
20472.8307 36690.7168 25806.7868 26271.594
0.026569 1884.76122 235.411968 298.783426
2542.65037 648.481454 1335.2741 1445.62803 1400
519.297502 94.5356065 170.327442 230.750138
5273.82417 1689.61534 4621.14403 4751.12272
15.130992 15.6420929 14.6231642 14.6140986
1200
1200
1000
1720.3 1633.3 1880.9
400
Chart Title
200
000
800
600
400
200
200
000
1720.3 1633.3 1880.9 1923.0 1341.0 1529.8 1745.5 1537.4 1874.5 1658.4 1801.2 1509.3 1
umn D Col umn E Col umn F Col umn G Col umn H Col umn I Col umn J
8 1997.9 1754.1 1748.9 1365.7 1499.7 1789.2 1680.6 1630.2