N

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

Ao
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965

17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995

SERIE ANUAL DEL RIO ZAA (1950-2007)

Caudal(m3/s)
N
Ao
Caudal(m3/s)
16.810
52
2001
68.900
11.947
53
2002
90.925
28.920
54
2003
18.938
64.260
55
2004
14.850
24.270
56
2005
28.960
24.900
57
2006
61.612
34.320
58
2007
25.090
42.810
30.600
39.670
19.530
MSc.J.Arbul R.
17.850
30.870
13.800
24.540
48.670
16.090
46.550
8.390
29.540
29.180
66.940
144.890
65.800
16.480
123.770
87.310
62.440
56.250
33.610
12.010
50.480
17.010
250.000
63.750
13.000
40.630
40.000
13.710
70.830
35.795
43.020
56.922
90.630
99.342
56.440

47
48
49
50
51

1996
1997
1998
1999
2000

65.420
59.080
326.500
128.174
110.200

METODO NASH (MXIMO)

Numero de aos de registro (n) =

58

Perido de retorno (T en aos) =

50

RIO ZAA (1950-2007)

m

Caudal Q (m/s)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

326.500
250.000
144.890
128.174
123.770
110.200
99.342
90.925
90.630
87.310
70.830
68.900
66.940
65.800
65.420
64.260
63.750
62.440
61.612
59.080
56.922
56.440
56.250
50.480
48.670
46.550
43.020
42.810
40.630
40.000
39.670
35.795
34.320
33.610
30.870
30.600

T/(T-1)

59.00
29.50
19.67
14.75
11.80
9.83
8.43
7.38
6.56
5.90
5.36
4.92
4.54
4.21
3.93
3.69
3.47
3.28
3.11
2.95
2.81
2.68
2.57
2.46
2.36
2.27
2.19
2.11
2.03
1.97
1.90
1.84
1.79
1.74
1.69
1.64

1.0172
1.0351
1.0536
1.0727
1.0926
1.1132
1.1346
1.1569
1.1800
1.2041
1.2292
1.2553
1.2826
1.3111
1.3409
1.3721
1.4048
1.4390
1.4750
1.5128
1.5526
1.5946
1.6389
1.6857
1.7353
1.7879
1.8438
1.9032
1.9667
2.0345
2.1071
2.1852
2.2692
2.3600
2.4583
2.5652

-2.1294
-1.8246
-1.6447
-1.5159
-1.4150
-1.3318
-1.2608
-1.1987
-1.1434
-1.0934
-1.0476
-1.0054
-0.9662
-0.9294
-0.8948
-0.8621
-0.8309
-0.8012
-0.7726
-0.7452
-0.7188
-0.6933
-0.6685
-0.6444
-0.6209
-0.5980
-0.5756
-0.5536
-0.5321
-0.5108
-0.4899
-0.4692
-0.4487
-0.4284
-0.4082
-0.3881

37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
=

1.59
1.55
1.51
1.48
1.44
1.40
1.37
1.34
1.31
1.28
1.26
1.23
1.20
1.18
1.16
1.13
1.11
1.09
1.07
1.05
1.04
1.02

29.540
29.180
28.960
28.920
25.090
24.900
24.540
24.270
19.530
18.938
17.850
17.010
16.810
16.480
16.090
14.850
13.800
13.710
13.000
12.010
11.947
8.390
3213.2

2.6818
2.8095
2.9500
3.1053
3.2778
3.4706
3.6875
3.9333
4.2143
4.5385
4.9167
5.3636
5.9000
6.5556
7.3750
8.4286
9.8333
11.8000
14.7500
19.6667
29.5000
59.0000

-0.3681
-0.3481
-0.3281
-0.3079
-0.2877
-0.2673
-0.2466
-0.2257
-0.2043
-0.1825
-0.1601
-0.1370
-0.1130
-0.0880
-0.0616
-0.0335
-0.0032
0.0301
0.0677
0.1118
0.1673
0.2482
-34.90

1. Clculo de Qm y Xm:

Qm=

55.400

Xm=

-0.602

Qm

2. Clculo de los parmetros a y b:

Xm=

0.3621

b=

-96.372

a Qm bX m
a=

3. Clculo del caudal mximo:

Qmax=

195.630

Q max a b * Log ( Log (

T
T 1

4. Clculo de las desviaciones estndar y covarianza:

Sxx=

791.5791

Sqq=

9973965.7

Sxq=

-84015.51

X=

-2.0568061166

Q=

S XX N X i2 ( X i ) 2

S qq N Qi2 ( Qi ) 2

S xq N Qi X i ( Qi )( X 1 )

X i log(log(

20.2479881667

5. Clculo de caudal de diseo:

Qd (m/s) =

215.88
peri T

T/(T-1)

Qmax

1.25

-1.01

95.10

10

1.11

-1.34

126.51

20

1.05

-1.65

156.63

50

1.02

-2.06

195.63

100

1.01

-2.36

224.85

200

1.01

-2.66

253.97

1000

1.00

-3.36

321.41

T
)
T 1

(MXIMO)

Q*X

-695.2364
-456.1427
-238.2953
-194.2928
-175.1358
-146.7684
-125.2538
-108.9937
-103.6245
-95.4616
-74.2043
-69.2751
-64.6773
-61.1576
-58.5400
-55.3963
-52.9702
-50.0242
-47.6044
-44.0288
-40.9162
-39.1272
-37.6016
-32.5287
-30.2204
-27.8377
-24.7625
-23.7010
-21.6172
-20.4324
-19.4330
-16.7941
-15.3993
-14.3983
-12.6018
-11.8772

106602.2500
62500.0000
20993.1121
16428.5743
15319.0129
12144.0400
9868.8330
8267.3556
8213.7969
7623.0361
5016.8889
4747.2100
4480.9636
4329.6400
4279.7764
4129.3476
4064.0625
3898.7536
3796.0385
3490.4464
3240.1141
3185.4736
3164.0625
2548.2304
2368.7689
2166.9025
1850.7204
1832.6961
1650.7969
1600.0000
1573.7089
1281.2820
1177.8624
1129.6321
952.9569
936.3600

4.5342
3.3291
2.7049
2.2978
2.0023
1.7738
1.5897
1.4369
1.3073
1.1954
1.0975
1.0109
0.9335
0.8639
0.8007
0.7432
0.6904
0.6419
0.5970
0.5554
0.5167
0.4806
0.4469
0.4152
0.3855
0.3576
0.3313
0.3065
0.2831
0.2609
0.2400
0.2201
0.2013
0.1835
0.1666
0.1507

-10.8743
-10.1578
-9.5008
-8.9059
-7.2185
-6.6553
-6.0521
-5.4767
-3.9902
-3.4561
-2.8578
-2.3304
-1.9000
-1.4500
-0.9911
-0.4975
-0.0439
0.4133
0.8806
1.3432
1.9983
2.0822

872.6116
851.4724
838.6816
836.3664
629.5081
620.0100
602.2116
589.0329
381.4209
358.6478
318.6225
289.3401
282.5761
271.5904
258.8881
220.5225
190.4400
187.9641
169.0000
144.2401
142.7308
70.3921

-3381.97

349978.98

X
m

36.0300

X Q
i

i 1

-2.587

T
))
T 1

X
i 1

max a b * Log ( Log (

0.1355
0.1212
0.1076
0.0948
0.0828
0.0714
0.0608
0.0509
0.0417
0.0333
0.0256
0.0188
0.0128
0.0077
0.0038
0.0011
0.0000
0.0009
0.0046
0.0125
0.0280
0.0616

NX mQm
2
i

Nxm2

Q 2
( X i ) 2

( Qi ) 2

X i ( Qi )( X 1 )

log(

T
)
T 1

Qd

14.9748293808

115.35

16.1238902994

146.75

17.7000911443

176.88

20.2479881667

215.88

22.4255438668

245.10
274.22
341.66

24.7574494706
30.572358275

S qq
N 2 ( N 1)

(X X m )2

S
1
( S qq
N 2 S xx
S

Xm)

S xq
1
( S qq
)
N 2 S xx
S xx

METODO GUMBEL (MAXIMO)

Numero de aos de registro (n) =

58

Perido de retorno (T en aos) =

50

SERIE ANUAL DEL RIO ZAA (1950-2007)

Ao
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

Q
Caudal(m3/s)
16.810
282.5761
11.947
142.730809
28.920
836.3664
64.260
4129.3476
24.270
589.0329
24.900
620.01
34.320
1177.8624
42.810
1832.6961
30.600
936.36
39.670
1573.7089

19.530
17.850
30.870
13.800
24.540
48.670
16.090
46.550
8.390
29.540
29.180
66.940
144.890
65.800
16.480
123.770
87.310
62.440
56.250
33.610
12.010
50.480
17.010
250.000
63.750
13.000
40.630
40.000
13.710
70.830

381.4209
318.6225
952.9569
190.44
602.2116
2368.7689
258.8881
2166.9025
70.3921
872.6116
851.4724
4480.9636
20993.1121
4329.64
271.5904
15319.0129
7623.0361
3898.7536
3164.0625
1129.6321
144.2401
2548.2304
289.3401
62500
4064.0625
169
1650.7969
1600
187.9641
5016.8889

1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007

35.795
43.020
56.922
90.630
99.342
56.440
65.420
59.080
326.500
128.174
110.200
68.900
90.925
18.938
14.850
28.960
61.612
25.090

1281.28203
1850.7204
3240.11408
8213.7969
9868.83296
3185.4736
4279.7764
3490.4464
106602.25
16428.5743
12144.04
4747.21
8267.35563
358.647844
220.5225
838.6816
3796.03854
629.5081

3213.225

349978.976271

1. Clculo del promedio de caudales Qm:

Qm (m/s) =

55.40

2. Clculo de la Desviacin Estndar de los caudales

54.927

3. Clculo de los coeficientes ( tabla 6.13)

(
)

0.515

=
1.1721

_
4. Obtencin de la ecuacin
del caudal Mximo

Qmax =

214.59

0.98

6. Clculo de :

7. Clculo del Intervlo de confianza:

Q=

7. Clculo de periodos de retornos:

53.422

PARA T=

50

Perido T

ln T

Qmax

Qd

1.609

106.688

160.110

10

2.303

139.170

192.592

20

2.996

171.652

225.074

50

3.912

214.591

268.013

100

4.605

247.073

300.495

200

5.298

279.555

332.977

1000

6.908

354.976

408.398

8. Clculo del caudal de diseo:

Qd (m/s)=

268.01

(MAXIMO)

ZAA (1950-2007)

METODO LEBEDIEV (MAXIMO)

RIO ZAA
Ao
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963

QMmax(m3/s)
16.810
11.947
28.920
64.260
24.270
24.900
34.320
42.810
30.600
39.670
19.530
17.850
30.870
13.800

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993

24.540
48.670
16.090
46.550
8.390
29.540
29.180
66.940
144.890
65.800
16.480
123.770
87.310
62.440
56.250
33.610
12.010
50.480
17.010
250.000
63.750
13.000
40.630
40.000
13.710
70.830
35.795
43.020
56.922
90.630

Q/Qm - 1

-0.69657276
-0.78435186
-0.4779824
0.15991877
-0.56191677
-0.55054501
-0.38051024
-0.22726233
-0.44765773
-0.28394059
-0.64747567
-0.67780034
-0.44278412
-0.75090447
-0.55704316
-0.12148698
-0.70956905
-0.15975383
-0.84855713
-0.46679115
-0.4732893
0.20829385
1.61532261
0.18771639
-0.70252939
1.23409814
0.57598052
0.12706704
0.01533506
-0.39332602
-0.78321468
-0.08881575
-0.69296268
3.51260027
0.15071307
-0.76534479
-0.2666122
-0.27798396
-0.752529
0.27850991
-0.35388589
-0.22347175
0.02746493
0.63590785

(Q/Qm - 1)2

0.485213607
0.6152078377
0.2284671755
0.025574014
0.3157504518
0.3030998115
0.144788039
0.0516481666
0.2003974406
0.0806222582
0.4192247393
0.459413302
0.1960577758
0.5638575158
0.3102970794
0.0147590862
0.503488232
0.0255212862
0.7200492113
0.2178939798
0.2240027583
0.0433863271
2.6092671409
0.0352374434
0.4935475442
1.5229982223
0.3317535571
0.0161460335
0.0002351641
0.1547053579
0.6134252398
0.0078882381
0.4801972727
12.3383606512
0.0227144291
0.5857526415
0.0710820675
0.0772750803
0.5662998977
0.077567769
0.1252352256
0.0499396211
0.0007543224
0.4043787932

1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007

99.342
56.440
65.420
59.080
326.500
128.174
110.200
68.900
90.925
18.938
14.850
28.960
61.612
25.090

3213.225

0.79316294
0.01876464
0.18085724
0.0664177
4.89345595
1.31359211
0.9891542
0.24367263
0.64123272
-0.6581615
-0.73195154
-0.47726038
0.11212131
-0.54711544

Nmero de aos de registro N:

N=

58

Caudal Medio Qm:

Qm

Qm =

N
55.40 m/s

Coeficiente de Variacin Cv:

Cv

(
i 1

Qi
1)2
Qm
N

Cv= 0.98
Coeficiente de Asimetra Cs:
Considerando que la avenida es producida por una tormenta:

Qi

1
Qm

Cs i 1
NC v3

Cs= 2.97961
Escogemos el mayor: =====>
Para el perodo de retorno de 50 aos, el valor P es:

0.6291074554
0.0003521116
0.0327093407
0.0044113103
23.94591115
1.7255242252
0.9784260287
0.0593763527
0.4111793985
0.4331765659
0.5357530628
0.2277774749
0.0125711884
0.2993353014
56.0290927738

T= 50 aos

P=
P=

Con P (%) y Cs, se obtiene el valor K de la Tabla 6.17 (Hidrologa, Mximo Villn Bjar)
K=

3.14

PROBABILIDA

Cs
0.01
4.3

0.1

0.5

7.1

4.95

Con P (%) y Cv, se obtiene el valor de Er de la figura 6.3

Er = 1.63

Clculo del caudal mximo Qmax :

Qmax = Qm (K*Cv + 1)
Qmax = 226.38 m/s
Cculo del intervalo de confianza: Para N = 58 aos (N>40 aos) se toma A= 0.7
A= 0.7
Q = + (A*Er*Qmax)/N
Q =

33.92 m/s

 Clculo del caudal de diseo Qd :

Qd = Qmax + Q
Qd =

260.29

T (aos)

P (%)

Er

20.00

0.24

1.36

10

10.00

1.00

1.38

25

4.00

2.43

1.53

50

2.00

3.18

1.75

100

1.00

4.29

1.78

200

0.50

5.40

1.87

1000

0.10

7.97

2.01

XIMO)
(Q/Qm - 1)3

-0.33798658
-0.48253941
-0.10920329
0.00408976
-0.17742547
-0.16687009
-0.05509333
-0.01173768
-0.08970946
-0.02289193
-0.27143782
-0.31139049
-0.08681127
-0.42340313
-0.17284886
-0.00179304
-0.35725966
-0.00407712
-0.6110029
-0.10171098
-0.10601811
0.00903711
4.21480821
0.00661465
-0.34673166
1.87952928
0.19108359
0.00205163
3.6063E-006
-0.06084964
-0.48044365
-0.0007006
-0.33275879
43.3397289
0.00342336
-0.44830273
-0.01895135
-0.02148123
-0.4261571
0.02160339
-0.04431898
-0.01116009
2.0717E-005
0.25714765

0.49898472
6.6072E-006
0.00591572
0.00029299
117.178261
2.266635
0.96781421
0.01446839
0.26366168
-0.28510014
-0.39214528
-0.10870917
0.0014095
-0.16377096
164.0838

Cs=

3*Cv

Cs=

2.95

Cs=

2.98

0.02
2%

mo Villn Bjar)

PROBABILIDAD P EN %

e toma A= 0.7

10

20

4.05

3.14

2.66

1.97

1.13

0.39

Qmax (m3/s)

Qd (m3/s)

68.469

77.028

109.851

123.785

187.444

213.718

228.616

265.389

288.995

336.277

349.436

409.497

489.375

579.786

n=

n 1

RIO ZAA
Caudal Q
(m/s)

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42

Determinacin Caudal de D

58 aos

59.00
29.50
19.67
14.75
11.80
9.83
8.43
7.38
6.56
5.90
5.36
4.92
4.54
4.21
3.93
3.69
3.47
3.28
3.11
2.95
2.81
2.68
2.57
2.46
2.36
2.27
2.19
2.11
2.03
1.97
1.90
1.84
1.79
1.74
1.69
1.64
1.59
1.55
1.51
1.48
1.44
1.40

LEBEDIEV

326.500
250.000
144.890
128.174
123.770
110.200
99.342

T (aos)

90.925

1000

5
10
25
50
100
200

90.630
87.310

NASH

70.830
68.900
66.940
65.800
65.420
64.260
63.750

T (aos)

62.440

1000

5
10
25
50
100
200

61.612
59.080

GUMBEL

56.922
56.440
56.250
50.480
48.670
46.550
43.020

T (aos)

42.810
40.630
40.000
39.670
35.795
34.320
33.610
30.870
30.600
29.540
29.180
28.960

1000

28.920
25.090
24.900

5
10
25
50
100
200

DEL GRAFICO T VS Q SE OBSERVA QUE

REGISTROS ES LA DEL
METODO D

43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58

1.37
1.34
1.31
1.28
1.26
1.23
1.20
1.18
1.16
1.13
1.11
1.09
1.07
1.05
1.04
1.02

24.540
24.270
19.530
18.938
17.850
17.010
16.810
16.480
16.090
14.850
13.800
13.710
13.000
12.010
11.947
8.390

terminacin Caudal de Diseo

LEBEDIEV

1000.000

Qd (m3/s)
77.028
123.785

900.000

213.718
265.389

800.000

336.277
409.497
579.786

700.000

NASH
Qd(m3/s)

600.000

115.346
146.754
176.881

Caudal (m3/s)

500.000

215.878
245.101

400.000

274.217
341.662

300.000

GUMBEL
Q (m3/s)

200.000

160.110
192.592
225.074

100.000

268.013
300.495
332.977

0.000
1.00

408.398

T VS Q SE OBSERVA QUE LA DISTRIBUCION MAS CERCANA A LA DISTRIBUION DE

ES LA DEL
METODO DE LEBEDIEV POR LA CUAL ASUMIREMOS

LEBEDIEV
T (aos)

Qd (m3/s)

77.028

10

123.785

25

213.718

50

265.389

100

336.277

200

409.497

1000

579.786

T=
Q' =

ON DE

T VS Q

10.00

Tiempo de Retorno (aos

100.00

50
265.39

Q diseo =

AOS
M3/SEG

265.39

m3/s

REGISTRO
LEBEDIEV
NASH
GUMBEL

100.00

1000.00