Fecha

1/6/2013
1/13/2013
1/20/2013
1/27/2013
2/3/2013
2/10/2013
2/17/2013
2/24/2013
3/3/2013
3/10/2013
3/17/2013
3/24/2013
3/31/2013
4/7/2013
4/14/2013
4/21/2013
4/28/2013
5/5/2013
5/12/2013
5/19/2013
5/26/2013
6/2/2013
6/9/2013
6/16/2013
6/23/2013
6/30/2013
7/7/2013
7/14/2013
7/21/2013
7/28/2013
8/4/2013
8/11/2013
8/18/2013
8/25/2013
9/1/2013
9/8/2013
9/15/2013
9/22/2013
9/29/2013
10/6/2013
10/13/2013
10/20/2013
10/27/2013
11/3/2013
11/10/2013
11/17/2013

Tasa de Rendimientos de Bonos

del Gobierno mexicano
4.25
4.11
4.25
4.25
4.3
4.17
4.38
4.18
3.98
3.96
3.97
3.91
3.83
3.95
3.8
3.8
3.68
3.65
3.66
3.71
3.77
3.68
3.88
3.91
3.91
3.79
3.83
3.86
3.9
3.95
3.82
3.81
3.8
3.8
3.71
3.6
3.4
3.52
3.37
3.36
3.32
3.42
3.45
3.33
3.36
3.38

11/24/2013
12/1/2013
12/8/2013
12/15/2013
12/22/2013
12/29/2013
1/5/2014
1/12/2014
1/19/2014
1/26/2014
2/9/2014
2/16/2014
2/23/2014
3/2/2014
3/9/2014
3/16/2014
3/23/2014
3/30/2014
4/6/2014
4/13/2014
4/20/2014
4/27/2014
5/4/2014
5/11/2014
5/18/2014
5/25/2014
6/1/2014
6/8/2014
6/15/2014
6/22/2014
6/29/2014
7/6/2014
7/13/2014
7/20/2014
7/27/2014
8/3/2014
8/10/2014
8/17/2014
8/24/2014
8/31/2014
9/7/2014
9/14/2014
9/21/2014
9/28/2014
10/5/2014
10/12/2014
10/19/2014
10/26/2014

3.37
3.35
3.31
3.2
3.16
3.14
3.12
3.07
3.09
3.22
3.26
3.11
3.16
3.16
3.12
3.22
3.27
3.25
3.18
3.19
3.24
3.23
3.23
3.22
3.26
3.29
2.92
2.92
2.92
2.86
2.85
2.81
2.83
2.81
2.85
2.76
2.75
2.73
2.72
2.81
2.86
2.84
2.92
2.82
2.9
2.93
2.92
2.94

11/2/2014
11/9/2014
11/16/2014
11/23/2014
11/30/2014
12/7/2014
12/14/2014
12/21/2014
12/28/2014

2.94
2.94
2.8
2.75
2.85
2.85
2.85
2.7
2.68

Ordenados de Menor a Mayor

Probabilidades de los Esce

2.68
2.7
2.72
2.73
2.75
2.75
2.76
2.8
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.82
2.83
2.84
2.85
2.85
2.85
2.85
2.85
2.86
2.86
2.9
2.92
2.92
2.92
2.92
2.92
2.93
2.94
2.94
2.94
3.07
3.09
3.11
3.12
3.12
3.14
3.16
3.16
3.16
3.18
3.19
3.2
3.22
3.22
3.22

Esenario

Nmero
1
2
3

31 2.83967742

31
27
45

3.23
3.23
3.24
3.25
3.26
3.26
3.27
3.29
3.31
3.32
3.33
3.35
3.36
3.36
3.37
3.37
3.38
3.4
3.42
3.45
3.52
3.6
3.65
3.66
3.68
3.68
3.71
3.71
3.77
3.79
3.8
3.8
3.8
3.8
3.81
3.82
3.83
3.83
3.86
3.88
3.9
3.91
3.91
3.91
3.95
3.95
3.96
3.97

45 3.34622222

3.98
4.11
4.17
4.18
4.25
4.25
4.25
4.3
4.38

27

3.9837037

obabilidades de los Escenarios

Probabilidad
Rendimiento
0.3009708738 0.0283967742
0.2621359223 0.0334622222
0.4368932039
0.039837037

Fecha
1/2/2013
1/7/2013
1/14/2013
1/21/2013
1/28/2013
2/5/2013
2/11/2013
2/18/2013
2/25/2013
3/4/2013
3/11/2013
3/19/2013
3/25/2013
4/1/2013
4/8/2013
4/15/2013
4/22/2013
4/29/2013
5/6/2013
5/13/2013
5/20/2013
5/27/2013
6/3/2013
6/10/2013
6/17/2013
6/24/2013
7/1/2013
7/8/2013
7/15/2013
7/22/2013
7/29/2013
8/5/2013
8/12/2013
8/19/2013
8/26/2013
9/2/2013
9/9/2013
9/17/2013
9/23/2013
9/30/2013
10/7/2013
10/14/2013
10/21/2013
10/28/2013
11/4/2013

Preccio de la accin de
TV Azteca Cierre
8.57
8.76
8.69
8.91
8.94
8.97
8.88
8.96
8.89
9.06
8.44
8.43
8.76
8.95
9.13
9.38
9
8.78
8.14
7.5
7.22
9.09
8.13
7.55
6.92
6.89
6.81
6.72
5.91
6.01
6.3
6.25
6.1
5.79
6.64
6.95
7.25
7.57
7.72
7.59
7.49
7.36
6.67
6.5
6.26

Dividendo
0.474778
0.485304
0.481426
0.493614
0.495276
0.496938
0.491952
0.496384
0.492506
0.501924
0.467576
0.467022
0.485304
0.49583
0.505802
0.519652
0.4986
0.486412
0.450956
0.4155
0.399988
0.503586
0.450402
0.41827
0.383368
0.381706
0.377274
0.372288
0.327414
0.332954
0.34902
0.34625
0.33794
0.320766
0.367856
0.38503
0.40165
0.419378
0.427688
0.420486
0.414946
0.407744
0.369518
0.3601
0.346804

11/11/2013
11/19/2013
11/25/2013
12/2/2013
12/9/2013
12/16/2013
12/23/2013
12/30/2013
1/6/2014
1/13/2014
1/20/2014
1/27/2014
2/3/2014
2/10/2014
2/17/2014
2/24/2014
3/3/2014
3/10/2014
3/17/2014
3/24/2014
3/31/2014
4/7/2014
4/14/2014
4/21/2014
4/28/2014
5/5/2014
5/12/2014
5/19/2014
5/26/2014
6/2/2014
6/9/2014
6/16/2014
6/23/2014
6/30/2014
7/7/2014
7/14/2014
7/21/2014
7/28/2014
8/4/2014
8/11/2014
8/18/2014
8/25/2014
9/1/2014
9/8/2014
9/15/2014
9/22/2014
9/29/2014
10/6/2014

6.47
6.28
6.27
6.5
6.55
6.54
7.22
6.99
7.22
7.26
7.45
8.31
8.01
8.35
7.73
7.68
8.15
7.06
7.77
8
7.99
8.06
7.85
7.27
7.24
7.45
7.6
7.64
7.44
7.48
7.44
7.24
7.28
7.42
7.12
7.23
7.51
7.37
7.52
7.5
7.47
7.02
7.22
7.17
7.23
7.04
6.94
7.01

0.358438
0.347912
0.347358
0.3601
0.36287
0.362316
0.399988
0.387246
0.399988
0.402204
0.41273
0.460374
0.443754
0.46259
0.428242
0.425472
0.45151
0.391124
0.430458
0.4432
0.442646
0.446524
0.43489
0.402758
0.401096
0.41273
0.42104
0.423256
0.412176
0.414392
0.412176
0.401096
0.403312
0.411068
0.394448
0.400542
0.416054
0.408298
0.416608
0.4155
0.413838
0.388908
0.399988
0.397218
0.400542
0.390016
0.384476
0.388354

10/13/2014
10/20/2014
10/27/2014
11/3/2014
11/10/2014
11/17/2014
11/24/2014
12/1/2014
12/8/2014
12/15/2014
12/22/2014
12/29/2014

6.85
6.89
7.04
7.02
6.97
7.02
6.86
6.93
6.57
6.2
6.32
6.2

0.37949
0.381706
0.390016
0.388908
0.386138
0.388908
0.380044
0.383922
0.363978
0.34348
0.350128
0.34348

Rendimiento de las acciones

1.11
-0.40
1.27
0.17
0.17
-0.50
0.45
-0.39
0.96
-3.42
-0.06
1.96
1.08
1.01
1.37
-2.03
-1.22
-3.64
-3.93
-1.87
12.95
-5.28
-3.57
-4.17
-0.22
-0.58
-0.66
-6.03
0.85
2.41
-0.40
-1.20
-2.54
7.34
2.33
2.16
2.21
0.99
-0.84
-0.66
-0.87
-4.69
-1.27
-1.85

1.68
-1.47
-0.08
1.83
0.38
-0.08
5.20
-1.59
1.65
0.28
1.31
5.77
-1.81
2.12
-3.71
-0.32
3.06
-6.69
5.03
1.48
-0.06
0.44
-1.30
-3.69
-0.21
1.45
1.01
0.26
-1.31
0.27
-0.27
-1.34
0.28
0.96
-2.02
0.77
1.94
-0.93
1.02
-0.13
-0.20
-3.01
1.42
-0.35
0.42
-1.31
-0.71
0.50

-1.14
0.29
1.09
-0.14
-0.36
0.36
-1.14
0.51
-2.60
-2.82
0.97
-0.95

Ordenados
de Menor a
Mayor
-6.69
-6.03
-5.28
-4.69
-4.17
-3.93
-3.71
-3.69
-3.64
-3.57
-3.42
-3.01
-2.82
-2.60
-2.54
-2.03
-2.02
-1.87
-1.85
-1.81
-1.59
-1.47
-1.34
-1.31
-1.31
-1.30
-1.27
-1.22
-1.20
-1.14
-1.14
-0.95
-0.93
-0.87
-0.84
-0.71
-0.66
-0.66
-0.58
-0.50
-0.40
-0.40
-0.39
-0.36

35

-2.49

-0.35
-0.32
-0.27
-0.22
-0.21
-0.20
-0.14
-0.13
-0.08
-0.08
-0.06
-0.06
0.17
0.17
0.26
0.27
0.28
0.28
0.29
0.36
0.38
0.42
0.44
0.45
0.50
0.51
0.77
0.85
0.96
0.96
0.97
0.99
1.01
1.01
1.02
1.08
1.09
1.11
1.27
1.31
1.37
1.42
1.45
1.48
1.65
1.68
1.83
1.94

54

0.21 20.8855249

1.96
2.12
2.16
2.21
2.33
2.41
3.06
5.03
5.20
5.77
7.34
12.95

22

1.69

Probabilidades de los Escenarios

Esenario

Nmero
1
2
3

Probabilidad
Rendimiento de la Accin
21
0.2019230769
0.0027770151
54
0.5192307692
0.0598085166
22
0.2115384615
0.1205779773