ESTACION :

CUADRO P1

Temperatura Media Mensual

EL LIMON

LAT
LONG
ALT

CATEGORIA: "CO"

Ao

:
:
:

0555'05''
7919'03''
1132.6 m.s.n.m

DPTO
PROV
DIST

:
:
:

CAJAMARCA
JAEN
POMAHUACA

Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre Prom.TMmensual.

1998

26.3

26.8

25.6

25.4

25.2

24.8 25.7

26.5

26.8

26.6

26.3

26.4

26.0

1999

25.6

24.0

24.6

24.4

24.1

24.9 24.1

25.3

26.1

26.0

27.4

25.5

25.2

2000

25.7

24.7

24.2

24.2

24.5

24.2 24.1

25.2

26.0

26.8

26.6

25.8

25.2

2001

24.3

24.4

24.9

25.0

25.2

24.7 25.1

25.5

25.7

26.7

25.6

26.3

25.3

2002

25.8

24.8

24.8

25.0

25.5

25.3 24.5

26.0

27.0

26.1

25.2

25.4

25.5

2003

25.8

25.3

25.0

25.4

25.2

24.8 24.6

25.9

27.1

26.7

26.7

25.5

25.7

2004

26.8

26.3

26.2

26.7

26.0

24.5 25.0

25.7

26.5

26.0

26.7

26.2

26.1

2005

26.6

25.9

25.1

25.6

26.0

25.7 25.2

26.2

27.0

26.5

26.7

25.8

26.0

2006

25.7

24.4

24.5

25.0

24.9

25.1 25.2

26.2

27.2

27.6

26.7

26.6

25.8

2007

25.4

26.4

25.8

25.5

25.7

25.2 25.1

26.0

26.2

25.9

24.7

25.7

25.6

2008

24.1

24.4

24.7

24.2

24.9

24.7 25.0

26.1

26.4

26.2

26.5

26.4

25.3

2010

26.0

25.9

26.3

26.5

26.4

26.0 26.3

25.7

26.6

26.7

26.1

25.5

26.2

2011

25.4

24.6

25.3

24.8

25.5

25.6 25.2

26.4

26.3

26.3

27.3

25.5

25.7

2012

24.9

24.3

25.6

25.8

26.1

26.0 26.4

27.0

27.1

26.4

26.8

26.4

26.1

Prom.Tmmensual

25.6

25.2

25.2

25.3

25.4

25.1 25.1

26.0

26.6

26.5

26.4

25.9

25.7

Temperatura Media Mensual

Temperatura Media Anual

2012

2011

2010

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

26.4
26.2
26.1
26.2 26.0
26.126.0
26.0
25.8
25.7
25.7
25.8
25.6
25.6
25.5
25.3
25.3
25.4
25.225.2
25.2
25.0
24.8
24.6

27.0

26.6 26.5

26.5
26.0
25.5
25.0
24.5
24.0

26.0
25.6
25.2 25.2 25.3

25.4
25.1 25.1

26.4
25.9

CUADRO
P2
ESTACION :

PRECIPITACION MEDIA MENSUAL

EL LIMON

LAT
LONG
ALT

CATEGORIA: "CO"

Ao

Enero Febrero Marzo

Abril

Mayo

Junio

Julio

:
:
:

0555'05''
7919'03''
1132.6 m.s.n.m

DPTO
PROV
DIST

:
:
:

CAJAMARCA
JAEN
POMAHUACA

Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre

Max

1998

1.5

2.2

5.1

4.0

1.2

0.5

0.0

0.0

0.6

2.2

0.5

0.6

5.1

2001

3.9

2.4

4.5

0.9

2.1

0.1

0.4

0.0

1.6

2.8

2.4

1.8

4.5

2006

1.1

2.6

4.4

2.4

0.8

1.9

1.3

0.0

0.0

0.1

1.1

0.2

4.4

Max

3.9

2.6

5.1

4.0

2.1

1.9

1.3

0.0

1.6

2.8

2.4

1.8

PRECIPITACIN MXIMA MEDIA ANUAL

PRECIPITACIN MXIMA MEDIA MENSUAL

5.2

6.0
5.1

5.0

5.0

4.0
3.0

4.8

2.0

4.6

4.5
4.4

4.4
4.2
4.0
1998

2001

2006

1.0
0.0

5.1
4.0

3.9
2.6

2.8
2.1 1.9

1.6

1.3
0.0

2.4

1.8

ESTACION :

CUADRO P3

PRECIPITACION TOTAL MENSUAL

PUCARA

LAT
LONG
ALT

CATEGORIA: "PLU"

Ao
1991
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2007
2009
2010
2011
2012
Max

Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio

34.0
141.0 100.0 128.0 32.0
0.0
49.2
72.1 136.0 131.0 30.6
8.0
23.8
49.7 101.2 75.9 13.5 16.2
40.3
66.0
8.7 44.7
9.2 11.3
35.0
69.2 175.3 145.8 44.5 13.7
86.0
148.5 77.2 55.4 82.1 30.6
121.0
69.1 139.3 25.6 66.2
3.9
33.0
40.4 29.2 85.5 24.6
5.1
18.9
57.6 87.1 33.3 29.1 24.4
24.7
27.1 13.9 137.8 48.3
4.0
9.9
112.5 171.2 32.5 14.3
6.8
68.4
27.3 123.7 92.8 61.6
1.1
144.9
79.3 144.6 95.3
7.7
8.9
12.2
131.2 114.6 55.8 16.3
4.1
39.7
78.4 70.9 145.2 50.0
2.3
92.8
99.2 113.7 103.4 13.4
3.8
144.9
148.5 175.3 145.8 82.1 30.6

:
:
:

0602'30''
7908'02''
1061.6 m.s.n.m

DPTO
PROV
DIST

:
:
:

CAJAMARCA
JAEN
PUCARA

Julio Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre Max

1.0
0.0
0.0
8.0
4.0
63.3 511.30
0.2
1.7
44.4
6.6
57.4
43.5 580.70
0.0
1.4
13.1
60.7
50.2
22.3 428.00
4.8
1.4
2.9
23.7
36.7
8.0 257.70
0.0
10.1
70.0
89.1
48.8
35.9 737.40
6.9
0.8
82.2
29.9
40.3
88.9 728.80
11.0
0.0
49.4
86.8
71.6
55.7 699.60
23.5
0.0
2.5
99.8
70.6
47.3 461.50
3.0
2.5
12.2
77.2
54.9
47.3 447.50
11.2
0.0
48.2
96.1
91.1
109.7 612.10
0.1
11.0
18.7
50.2
17.1
99.3 543.60
9.7
12.5
7.7
159.6
233.8
39.9 838.10
6.4
9.7
6.2
73.3
44.2
35.3 655.80
0.3
3.1
12.6
61.9
23.4
85.8 521.30
4.2
1.0
21.9
100.8
54.9
115.0 684.30
2.2
1.0
2.6
116.6
86.2
66.9 701.80
23.5
12.5
82.2
159.6
233.8
115.0

Precipitacin total mensual

838.10
900.00
737.40
800.00
728.80699.60
684.30701.80
655.80
700.00
612.10
580.70
543.60
600.00 511.30
521.30
461.50
447.50
500.00
428.00
400.00
257.70
300.00
200.00
100.00
0.00
1991 1994 1996 1997 1998 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012

Precipitacin total anual

233.8

250.0
175.3

200.0
150.0

144.9 148.5

159.6

145.8

115.0
82.2

82.1

100.0

30.6

50.0

23.5

12.5

0.0

Tabla 1. Prueba de bondad de ajuste SMIROV-KOLMOGOROV

P.T.A

P(x)=m/(N+1)

Z=(Xi-X)/S

F(Z)

=|F(Z)P(X)|

(Xi-X)2

257.7
428
447.5
461.5
511.3
521.3
543.6
580.9
612.1
655.8
684.3
699.6
701.8
728.8
737.4
838.1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

0.05882
0.11765
0.17647
0.23529
0.29412
0.35294
0.41176
0.47059
0.52941
0.58824
0.64706
0.70588
0.76471
0.82353
0.88235
0.94118

-2.2366
-1.0838
-0.9518
-0.8570
-0.5199
-0.4522
-0.3012
-0.0487
0.1625
0.4583
0.6512
0.7548
0.7697
0.9524
1.0107
1.6923

0.0091
0.1392
0.1706
0.1957
0.3016
0.3256
0.3816
0.4806
0.5645
0.6766
0.7425
0.7748
0.7793
0.8295
0.8439
0.9547

0.0497
0.0216
0.0059
0.0396
0.0075
0.0273
0.0302
0.0100
0.0351
0.0884
0.0954
0.0689
0.0146
0.0060
0.0385
0.0135

109164.160
25632.010
19768.360
16027.560
5898.240
4462.240
1980.250
51.840
576.000
4583.290
9254.440
12432.250
12927.690
19796.490
22290.490
62500.000

Estadstico S-K
Probabilidad de 95%
=
0.328

0.328

>
AJUSTE BUENO

o
0.09540

TR
5
10
15
20
25
50
75
100

NORMAL
z
f(z)
precipitacion (X)
0.84162123
0.8
712.423784
1.28155157
0.9
777.4132959
1.50108595 0.93333333
809.8444132
1.64485363
0.95
831.0827565
1.75068607
0.96
846.7170476
2.05374891
0.98
891.4875592
2.21636278 0.98666667
915.5099899
2.32634787
0.99
931.757739

Tabla 2 distribucin de GUMBEL

Pre. Max. 24hr(X)

P(x)=m/(N+1)

257.7
428
447.5
461.5
511.3
521.3
543.6
580.9
612.1
655.8
684.3
699.6
701.8
728.8
737.4
838.1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

0.0588
0.1176
0.1765
0.2353
0.2941
0.3529
0.4118
0.4706
0.5294
0.5882
0.6471
0.7059
0.7647
0.8235
0.8824
0.9412

S=
=
u=
=

147.7262
588.11
521.63
115.18

Y=(X-U)/

-2.2914
-0.8128
-0.6435
-0.5220
-0.0896
-0.0028
0.1908
0.5146
0.7855
1.1649
1.4124
1.5452
1.5643
1.7987
1.8734
2.7477

G(Y)

=|G(Y)P(X)|

0.00005
0.10495
0.14909
0.18537
0.33495
0.36685
0.43767
0.55007
0.63389
0.73202
0.78383
0.80794
0.81121
0.84746
0.85761
0.93793

0.0588
0.0127
0.0274
0.0499
0.0408
0.0139
0.0259
0.0795
0.1045
0.1438
0.1368
0.1021
0.0465
0.0239
0.0247
0.0032

TR
5
10
15
20
25
50
75
100

Precipitacion (X)
604.9688301
675.2471829
714.8976356
742.6598661
764.0440679
829.9186698
868.2074999
895.306864

G(Y)
0.8
0.9
0.93333333
0.95
0.96
0.98
0.98666667
0.99

Tabla 3 . Distribucin LOG-NORMAL

P.T.A

P(x)=m/(N+1)

Z=(LnXiUy)/y

F(Z)

=|F(Z)-P(X)|

257.7
428
447.5
461.5
511.3
521.3
543.6
580.9
612.1
655.8
684.3
699.6
701.8
728.8
737.4
838.1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

0.05882
0.11765
0.17647
0.23529
0.29412
0.35294
0.41176
0.47059
0.52941
0.58824
0.64706
0.70588
0.76471
0.82353
0.88235
0.94118

-3.21184
-1.16093
-0.98082
-0.85629
-0.44203
-0.36373
-0.19439
0.07389
0.28539
0.56417
0.73614
0.82553
0.83822
0.99083
1.03826
1.55573

0.00066
0.12283
0.16334
0.19592
0.32923
0.35803
0.42293
0.52945
0.61233
0.71368
0.76918
0.79546
0.79905
0.83912
0.85042
0.94011

0.0582
0.0052
0.0131
0.0394
0.0351
0.0051
0.0112
0.0589
0.0829
0.1254
0.1221
0.0896
0.0343
0.0156
0.0319
0.0011

S=
=
u=
=

147.7262
588.11
6.38
0.06

LOGNORMAL
z
f(Z)
0.84162123
0.8
1.28155157
0.9
1.50108595 0.93333333
1.64485363
0.95
1.75068607
0.96
2.05374891
0.98
2.21636278 0.98666667
2.32634787
0.99

TR
5
10
15
20
25
50
75
100

precipitacin (X)
702.3826514
783.1318004
826.8355152
856.769264
879.4948597
947.9619616
986.8707686
1014.088426

Grafica tiempo de retorno precipitacin total mensual.

3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
5

10

P.T.M (Distr. Gumbel)

15

20

25

P.T.M (Distr.normal)

50

75

100

P.T.M (Distr. Lognormal)

ESTACION :

CUADRO P4

PRECIPITACION MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS

PUCARA

LAT
LONG
ALT

CATEGORIA: "PLU"

Ao
1991
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2007
2009
2010
2011
2012
Max

Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio

12.0
25.0 20.0 25.0 11.0
0.0
12.2
14.2 31.8 30.4
9.8
7.0
9.5
10.4 40.7 22.1
4.5 10.3
10.4
12.0
5.7 11.7
4.4
3.6
17.2
50.4 30.2 30.5 20.4
7.9
37.6
32.0 20.6 10.9 28.2
7.1
20.5
70.5 10.1 35.9 14.1 10.2
50.6
55.8 20.0 11.0 40.3
2.1
19.6
8.3 14.6 30.2 18.4
4.5
11.3
24.3 30.2 10.2 10.6 10.5
10.7
20.0 10.9 50.1 10.4
2.4
4.0
50.2 40.2 20.9
9.1
3.2
47.2
10.2 44.0 21.8 16.5
1.1
53.1
17.7 28.9 25.3
3.5
2.8
7.1
38.0 45.1 12.5
8.2
3.6
20.6
23.4 25.4 30.4 15.8
0.6
11.9
21.0 30.4 39.8 12.6
1.7
53.1
70.5 45.1 50.1 40.3 10.5

:
:
:

0602'30''
7908'02''
1061.6 m.s.n.m

DPTO
PROV
DIST

:
:
:

Julio Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre

1.0
0.0
0.0
8.0
4.0
20.0
0.5
1.1
23.3
2.5
10.3
10.8
0.0
1.3
10.3
20.7
20.7
11.8
4.0
1.4
2.7
7.5
10.1
2.6
0.0
5.3
60.1
40.8
30.3
11.8
2.1
0.7
20.6
6.5
26.5
30.4
1.8
4.6
20.5
2.6
10.4
12.7
5.1
0.0
20.9
50.6
32.8
14.9
10.1
0.0
1.3
40.6
17.8
11.4
2.2
2.5
10.1
61.3
30.1
20.9
7.9
0.0
31.4
20.4
28.3
40.1
0.1
10.3
11.6
12.0
10.3
22.7
3.1
7.8
5.3
45.6
60.7
26.4
3.1
8.1
2.5
39.7
11.7
20.4
0.3
2.2
7.1
42.6
9.2
27.6
3.3
0.8
9.2
31.8
22.0
23.1
0.8
0.5
1.0
28.3
27.6
24.7
10.1
10.3
60.1
61.3
60.7
40.1

Precipitacin mxima en 24h horas mensual

80.0

70.5

70.0

61.3

60.1

50.1 50.2

50.0

40.7

40.0
30.0
20.0

60.7

55.8

60.0

37.6

31.8

CAJAMARCA
JAEN
PUCARA

40.6

53.1
45.1
39.8
31.8

25.0
12.0

10.0
0.0
1991 1994 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012

Max
25.0
31.8
40.7
12.0
60.1
37.6
70.5
55.8
40.6
61.3
50.1
50.2
60.7
53.1
45.1
31.8
39.8

Precipitacin mxima en 24h anual

80.0

70.5

70.0
60.0

60.1
53.1
45.1

50.0

61.3

60.7

50.1
40.3

40.1

40.0
30.0
20.0

10.5

10.1

10.3

10.0
0.0

Tabla 7. Prueba de bondad de ajuste SMIROV-KOLMOGOROV

re. Max.
24hr

P(x)=m/(N+1)

12.0
25.0
31.8
31.8
37.6
39.8
40.6
40.7
45.1
50.1
50.2
53.1
55.8
60.1
60.7
61.3
70.5

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

0.05556
0.11111
0.16667
0.22222
0.27778
0.33333
0.38889
0.44444
0.50000
0.55556
0.61111
0.66667
0.72222
0.77778
0.83333
0.88889
0.94444

Estadstico S-K
Probabilidad de 95%
=
0.318

Z=(Xi-X)/S

F(Z)

-2.20999
-1.34126
-0.88684
-0.88684
-0.49924
-0.35222
-0.29876
-0.29207
0.00196
0.33610
0.34278
0.53658
0.71701
1.00437
1.04447
1.08456
1.69937

0.318

0.01355
0.08992
0.18759
0.18759
0.30881
0.36234
0.38256
0.38512
0.50078
0.6316
0.63412
0.70422
0.76332
0.8424
0.85186
0.86094
0.95537

=|F(Z)P(X)|

(Xi-X)2

0.04201 1093.66458
0.02119 402.82898
0.02092 176.10882
0.03463 176.10882
0.03103
55.80986
0.02901
27.77922
0.00633
19.98626
0.05932
19.10214
0.00078
0.00086
0.07604
25.29486
0.02301
26.31074
0.03755
64.47126
0.04110 115.12002
0.06462 225.88286
0.01853 244.27814
0.02795 263.39342
0.01093 646.65438

o
>
0.07604
AJUSTE BUENO

TIEMPO DE REGRESIN

TR
5
10
15
20
25
50
75
100

NORMAL
z
f(z)
precipitacion (X)
0.841621234
0.8
57.66470427
1.281551566
0.9
64.24787188
1.501085946 0.93333333 67.53300936
1.644853627
0.95
69.68436532
1.750686071
0.96
71.26805407
2.053748911
0.98
75.80312093
2.216362779 0.98666667 78.23649339
2.326347874
0.99
79.88232288

Tabla 8 distribucin de GUMBEL.

Pre. Max. 24hr(X)

P(x)=m/(N+1)

Y=(X-U)/

G(Y)

=|G(Y)P(X)|

12
25
31.8
31.8
37.6
39.8
40.6
40.7
45.1
50.1
50.2
53.1
55.8
60.1
60.7
61.3
70.5

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

0.05556
0.11111
0.16667
0.22222
0.27778
0.33333
0.38889
0.44444
0.50000
0.55556
0.61111
0.66667
0.72222
0.77778
0.83333
0.88889
0.94444

-2.25640
-1.14263
-0.56004
-0.56004
-0.06312
0.12536
0.19390
0.20247
0.57944
1.00782
1.01639
1.26484
1.49617
1.86457
1.91597
1.96738
2.75559

0.00007
0.04350
0.17365
0.17365
0.34467
0.41388
0.43879
0.44188
0.57109
0.69419
0.69635
0.75406
0.79933
0.85645
0.86312
0.86951
0.93841

0.05548
0.06761
0.00698
0.04858
0.06690
0.08055
0.04990
0.00256
0.07109
0.13863
0.08524
0.08739
0.07710
0.07867
0.02979
0.01938
0.00604

S=
=
u=
=
Estadstico S-K
Probabilidad de 95%
=
0.318

48.8082
47.14
25.17
38.06

o
0.318
>
0.13863
AJUSTE BUENO

TIEMPO DE REGRESIN

TR
5
10
15
20
25
50
75
100

GUMBEL
Precipitacin (X)
55.84404979
64.60304437
69.54479509
73.00488226
75.67005723
83.88019959
88.65224734
92.02971954

G(Y)
0.8
0.9
0.93333333
0.95
0.96
0.98
0.98666667
0.99

Tabla 9. Distribucin LOG-NORMAL

Pre. Max.
24hr

P(x)=m/(N+1)

12.0
25.0
31.8
31.8
37.6
39.8
40.6
40.7
45.1
50.1
50.2
53.1
55.8
60.1
60.7
61.3
70.5

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

0.05556
0.11111
0.16667
0.22222
0.27778
0.33333
0.38889
0.44444
0.50000
0.55556
0.61111
0.66667
0.72222
0.77778
0.83333
0.88889
0.94444

Z=(LnXi-Uy)/y

-3.93046
-1.66076
-0.91677
-0.91677
-0.39868
-0.22284
-0.16130
-0.15370
0.16375
0.48887
0.49504
0.66871
0.82208
1.05165
1.08237
1.11278
1.54520

S=

48.8082

47.14

u=

3.85

Estadstico S-K
Probabilidad de 95%
=
0.318

0.318

F(Z)

=|F(Z)-P(X)|

0.00004
0.04838
0.17963
0.17963
0.34506
0.41183
0.43593
0.43892
0.56503
0.68753
0.68971
0.74816
0.79449
0.85352
0.86046
0.86710
0.93885

0.05551
0.06273
0.01296
0.04259
0.06728
0.07849
0.04704
0.00552
0.06503
0.13198
0.07860
0.08149
0.07226
0.07574
0.02712
0.02179
0.00559

>
AJUSTE BUENO

o
0.13198

LOGNORMAL
z
f(Z)
precipitacin (X)
0.84162123
0.8
56.15428479
1.28155157
0.9
64.73908137
1.50108595 0.93333333
69.5020876
1.64485363
0.95
72.80957946
1.75068607
0.96
75.34450552
2.05374891
0.98
83.10240754
2.21636278 0.98666667 87.58929479
2.32634787
0.99
90.76058585

TR
5
10
15
20
25
50
75
100

Grafica tiempo de retorno precipitacin mxima 24 horas

300
250
200
150
100
50
0
5

10

15

20

25

50

75

100

CUADRO
P2
ESTACION :

PRECIPITACION MEDIA MENSUAL

PUCAR

CATEGORIA: "CO"

Ao

Enero Febrero Marzo

Abril

Mayo

LAT
LONG
ALT

:
:
:

Junio

Julio

0555'05''
7919'03''
1132.6 m.s.n.m

DPTO
PROV
DIST

:
:
:

CAJAMARCA
JAEN
POMAHUACA

Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre

Max

1999

2.8

5.1

2.5

1.8

2.6

1.0

0.2

0.0

2.7

1.0

1.3

2.9

5.1

2000

1.6

5.0

2.2

4.2

1.8

1.4

0.1

0.3

2.0

0.1

0.7

2.6

5.0

2001

3.9

2.4

4.5

0.9

2.1

0.1

0.4

0.0

1.6

2.8

2.4

1.8

4.5

2002

2.0

1.4

0.9

2.9

0.8

0.2

0.8

0.0

0.1

3.2

2.4

1.5

3.2

2004

0.8

1.0

0.5

4.6

1.6

0.1

0.4

0.0

1.6

3.1

3.0

3.5

4.6

2005

0.3

3.9

5.5

1.1

0.5

0.2

0.0

0.4

0.6

1.6

0.6

3.2

5.5

2007

2.2

0.9

4.0

3.1

2.0

0.0

0.3

0.4

0.3

5.1

7.8

1.3

7.8

2008

2.2

5.6

3.9

2.5

0.9

1.0

0.2

0.6

0.3

4.5

3.0

1.2

5.6

2010

0.4

4.7

3.7

1.9

0.5

0.1

0.0

0.1

0.4

2.0

0.8

2.8

4.7

2011

1.3

2.8

2.3

4.8

1.6

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.7

3.3

1.8

3.7

4.8

2012

3.0

3.4

3.7

3.4

0.4

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.1

3.8

2.9

2.2

3.8

Max

3.9

5.6

5.5

4.8

2.6

1.4

0.8

0.6

2.7

5.1

7.8

3.7

Precipitacin media mensual

9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0

Precipitacin media mensual en

(1999-2012)

7.8
10.0
5.1

5.0

5.5
4.5

4.6
3.2

7.8

8.0

5.6
4.7

4.8

6.0
3.8

4.0
2.0
0.0

1999 2000 2001 2002 2004 2005 2007 2008 2010 2011 2012

5.6 5.5
3.9

5.1

4.8
2.6

2.7
1.4 0.8
0.6

3.7

Tabla 4 Prueba de bondad de ajuste SMIROV-KOLMOGOROV

Pre. Max.
24hr

P(x)=m/(N+1)

Z=(Xi-X)/S

F(Z)

=|F(Z)P(X)|

(Xi-X)2

1.3500
1.4500
1.4917
1.6833
1.8333
1.8750
1.9083
1.9250
1.9917
2.1583
2.2833

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

0.08333
0.16667
0.25000
0.33333
0.41667
0.50000
0.58333
0.66667
0.75000
0.83333
0.91667

-1.57690
-1.23679
-1.09506
-0.44330
0.06697
0.20869
0.32205
0.37875
0.60550
1.17234
1.59748

0.0582
0.10809
0.13621
0.32881
0.52669
0.58266
0.62629
0.64757
0.72758
0.87947
0.94492

0.02513
0.05858
0.11379
0.00452
0.11002
0.08266
0.04296
0.01910
0.02242
0.04614
0.02825

0.21496
0.13223
0.10366
0.01699
0.00039
0.00377
0.00897
0.01240
0.03169
0.11881
0.22061

Estadstico S-K
Probabilidad de 95%
=
0.391

TR
5
10
15
20
25
50
75
100

0.391

o
>
0.11309
AJUSTE BUENO

distribucin normal
z
f(z)
precipitacion (X)
0.84162123
0.8
2.061090514
1.28155157
0.9
2.190439183
1.50108595 0.93333333
2.254986858
1.64485363
0.95
2.297257547
1.75068607
0.96
2.328374487
2.05374891
0.98
2.417481267
2.21636278 0.98666667
2.465293127
2.32634787
0.99
2.497631033

Tabla 5 distribucin de GUMBEL

Pre. Max. 24hr(X)

P(x)=m/(N+1)

Y=(X-U)/

1.3500
1.4500
1.4917
1.6833
1.8333
1.8750
1.9083
1.9250
1.9917
2.1583
2.2833

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

0.08333
0.16667
0.25000
0.33333
0.41667
0.50000
0.58333
0.66667
0.75000
0.83333
0.91667

-1.44471
-1.00868
-0.82698
0.00859
0.66277
0.84447
0.98980
1.06248
1.35319
2.07988
2.62492

1.8136

S=
=
u=
=

Estadstico S-K
Probabilidad de 95%
=
0.391

TR
5
10
15
20
25
50
75
100

distribucin
gumbel
Precipitacin (X)
G(Y)
2.025317578
0.8
2.197417752
0.9
2.294515216
0.93333333
2.362500371
0.95
2.414866779
0.96
2.576182888
0.98
2.669945961
0.98666667
2.736307865
0.99

G(Y)

0.014399
0.064443
0.101631
0.371039
0.597249
0.650648
0.689594
0.707798
0.772274
0.882545
0.930117

=|G(Y)-P(X)|

0.06893
0.10222
0.14837
0.03771
0.18058
0.15065
0.10626
0.04113
0.02227
0.04921
0.01345

1.9247
1.81
0.95
1.50

0.391

>
AJUSTE BUENO

o
0.18058

Tabla 6 distribucin LOG-NORMAL

Pre. Max.
24hr

P(x)=m/(N+1)

Z=(LnXiUy)/y

F(Z)

=|F(Z)-P(X)|

1.3500
1.4500
1.4917
1.6833
1.8333
1.8750
1.9083
1.9250
1.9917
2.1583
2.2833

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

0.08333
0.16667
0.25000
0.33333
0.41667
0.50000
0.58333
0.66667
0.75000
0.83333
0.91667

-1.36655
-0.92289
-0.74698
0.00339
0.53347
0.67301
0.78240
0.83640
1.04779
1.54672
1.89627

0.08588
0.17803
0.22754
0.50135
0.70315
0.74953
0.78301
0.79854
0.85263
0.93904
0.97104

0.00255
0.01137
0.02246
0.16802
0.28648
0.24953
0.19968
0.13187
0.10263
0.10570
0.05437

distribucin
log normal
z
0.84162123
1.28155157
1.50108595
1.64485363
1.75068607
2.05374891
2.21636278
2.32634787

TR
5
10
15
20
25
50
75
100

f(Z)
0.8
0.9
0.93333333
0.95
0.96
0.98
0.98666667
0.99

precipitacin (X)
2.050163644
2.200704715
2.27991294
2.333322945
2.373437829
2.49216727
2.558303543
2.604027459

Grafica tiempo de retorno precipitacin media mensual

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
5

10
15
P.M.M (Dist Gumbel)

20
25
P.M.M ( Distr. Normal)

50
75
100
P.M.M (Distr. Lognormal)

CUADRO
P3
ESTACION :

PRECIPITACION TOTAL MENSUAL

LIMON

LAT
LONG
ALT

CATEGORIA: "CO"

Ao

Enero Febrero Marzo Abril

Mayo

Junio

:
:
:

Julio

0602'30''
DPTO
7908'02''
PROV
1061.6 m.s.n.m DIST

:
:
:

CAJAMARCA
JAEN
PUCARA

Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre

Max

2000

16.9

79.9

82.4 112.7 114.5

29.8

3.7

4.9

29.3

0.6

8.9

30.4 514.00

2003

5.2

58.4

30.8

14.6

26.1

9.4

0.0

3.1

3.3

28.7

14.4 214.00

Max

16.9

79.9

82.4 112.7 114.5

29.8

9.4

4.9

29.3

3.3

28.7

30.4 728.00

20.0

PRECIPITACION MAXIMA ANUAL

600.00

PRECIPIATCION MAXIMA MENSUAL

140.0

514.00

112.7114.5

120.0

500.00

100.0
400.00

79.9 82.4

80.0
60.0

300.00
214.00
200.00

40.0
20.0
0.0

100.00
0.00
2000

2003

29.8
16.9

28.7 30.4

29.3
9.4 4.9

3.3