ndice australiano

ndice
colombiano

ndice
sudafricano

Ao

(US$/t)

(US$/t)

(US$/t)

2001

32.31

36.43

33.86

2002

25.31

28.52

26.02

2003

26.09

33.8

30.24

2004

52.95

60.93

54.68

100

2005

47.62

51.09

46.2

90

2006

49.09

52.2

50.69

80

2007

65.73

63.76

62.65

70

2008

127.1

120.6

60

2009

71.84

59.41

64.68

50

2010

98.97

77.97

91.62

40

2011

120.94

116.3

30

###

###

130
f(x) = 0.0005117951x^6 - 6.0816474176x^5 +
120
R = 0
110

20
10
0
2000

2001

2002

2003

200

Colombiano

130
(x) = 0.0005117951x^6 - 6.0816474176x^5 + 30106.6390343705x^4 - 79474410.116233x^3 + 117988087450.911x^2 - 93404747857200.9x + 30804031734754200
120
R = 0
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

- 93404747857200.9x + 30804031734754200

012

Mes

Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
Apr-05
May-05
Jun-05
Jul-05
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
Nov-05
Dec-05
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08

Mes relativo

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38

Carbn
australiano
trmico
Price
(Dlares
americanos
por
tonelada
mtrica)
56.83
53.46
54.56
54.91
54.98
54.64
54.54
52.63
48.48
45.49
40.78
40.96
46.27
51.11
53.3
56.65
56.36
56.12
56.52
54.58
50.46
47.2
49.29
53.3
54.95
56.68
59.34
60.13
60
66
72.12
74.3
73.33
80.15
90.64
97.5
98.3
141.43

PROGNOSIS DE PRECIO DE CARBON

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11

39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83

126.7
131.79
142.71
171.16
192.86
169.71
160.71
115.71
98.84
84.27
85.07
80.76
65.36
68.1
69.11
76.48
79.07
77.68
72.47
76.15
84.43
89.04
103.93
100.92
101.12
107.3
107.28
105.2
102.84
96.19
101.68
104.41
114.81
126.74
141.94
137.53
135.14
131.25
127.63
128.67
129.38
128.71
131.88
127.92
121.91

conocidos

Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15

84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128

119.53
124.78
125.38
115.14
110.99
102.68
93.42
94.54
97.5
95.31
87.7
92.03
99.51
99.4
101.72
97.48
94.03
93.98
88.67
82.78
82.46
83.16
85.08
88.13
90.36
87.44
81.74
78.58
78.02

117.03376
117.503954
117.974149
118.444343
118.914538
119.384732
119.854927
120.325121
120.795316
121.265511
121.735705
122.2059
122.676094
123.146289
123.616483
124.086678

250
200
150

f(x) =
1.08746207389408E-008x^6 - 3.8
100
50
0

0.47019455

20

Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19

129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173

124.556872
125.027067
125.497261
125.967456
126.437651
126.907845
127.37804
127.848234
128.318429
128.788623
129.258818
129.729012
130.199207
130.669401
131.139596
131.609791
132.079985
132.55018
133.020374
133.490569
133.960763
134.430958
134.901152
135.371347
135.841541
136.311736
136.781931
137.252125
137.72232
138.192514
138.662709
139.132903
139.603098
140.073292
140.543487
141.013681
141.483876
141.954071
142.424265
142.89446
143.364654
143.834849
144.305043
144.775238
145.245432

Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-21
Jul-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
Oct-21
Nov-21
Dec-21
Jan-22
Feb-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23

174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218

145.715627
146.185821
146.656016
147.126211
147.596405
148.0666
148.536794
149.006989
149.477183
149.947378
150.417572
150.887767
151.357961
151.828156
152.298351
152.768545
153.23874
153.708934
154.179129
154.649323
155.119518
155.589712
156.059907
156.530101
157.000296
157.470491
157.940685
158.41088
158.881074
159.351269
159.821463
160.291658
160.761852
161.232047
161.702241
162.172436
162.642631
163.112825
163.58302
164.053214
164.523409
164.993603
165.463798
165.933992
166.404187

250

200

150

100

f(x) = 0.4701945451

f(x) = 0.4701945451

150

Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23

219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228

166.874381
167.344576
167.814771
168.284965
168.75516
169.225354
169.695549
170.165743
170.635938
171.106132

100

50

21

41

OGNOSIS DE PRECIO DE CARBON

AO
PRECIO MEL($/TM)
PRECIO ME ($/TM)
2005
51.022
51.022
2006
53.172
53.172
2007
49.946
49.946
2008
136.183
136.183
2009
76.977
76.977
2010
106.035
106.035
2011
130.124
130.124
2012
103.248
103.248
2013
90.604
90.604
2014
81.445
81.445
2015
81.445
114.983
2016
77.722
119.912
2017
77.347
124.841
2018
81.576
129.769
2019
80.381
134.698
2020
75.308
139.627
2021
81.227
144.555
2022
76.013
149.484
2023
71.669
154.413

Y=
R2 =

-9816.30783
0.22636289

Precio futuro

00:00
00:00
00:00
00:00
00:00

$/TM

00:00
00:00
00:00
00:00
00:00
2005

2007

2009

2011

Mtodo de Efectos Limitantes

2013

Australiano
250
200
150

(x) =
1.08746207389408E-008x^6 - 3.88571375605873E-006x^5 + 0.0005336621x^4 - 0.0352559295x^3 + 1.1239422644x^2 - 13.6605542
100
50
0

20

x+

63.9017760618

40

60

80

100

Chart Title
250

200

150

100

f(x) = 0.4701945451x + 63.9017760618

f(x) = 0.4701945451x + 63.9017760618

150

100

50

21

41

61

81

101

121

141

161

181

Precio histrico de carbn

00:00
00:00

4.92868044 X

00:00
00:00

$7TM

00:00

f(x) = 4.9286804408x - 9816.3078305784

R = 0.2263628858

00:00
00:00
00:00
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Ao
Column H

Precio futuro del Carbn

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

2021

Ao
de Efectos Limitantes

Mtodo de Series Estadsticas

2023

2025

Linear (Colum

+ 1.1239422644x^2 - 13.6605542517x + 91.242549159

100

120

141

161

181

201

221

ecio histrico de carbn

408x - 9816.3078305784
58

2008

2009

Column H

2010

2011

2012

Ao
Linear (Column H)

2013

2014

2015

PROGNOSIS DE PRECIO DE LA CAL

AO
PRECIO MEL($/TM)
PRECIO ME ($/TM)
9
2005
115.000
115.000
8
2006
110.000
110.000
7
2007
150.000
150.000
6
2008
135.000
135.000
5
2009
115.000
115.000
4
2010
123.000
123.000
3
2011
112.000
112.000
2
2012
120.000
120.000
1
2013
110.000
110.000
0
2014
109.500
109.500
1
2015
109.500
111.267
2
2016
91.355
109.688
3
2017
80.926
108.109
4
2018
72.639
106.530
5
2019
68.948
104.952
6
2020
65.154
103.373
7
2021
65.958
101.794
8
2022
68.994
100.215
9
2023
64.351
98.636

Y=
R2 =

3292.52424 +
0.13196882

-1.57878788 X

PRECIO FUTURO DE LA
MET. SERIES LIMITANTES

MET. ES

00:00
00:00
00:00
00:00
$/TM

00:00
00:00
00:00
00:00
00:00
2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

RECIO FUTURO DE LA CAL

MET. SERIES LIMITANTES

2008

2010

2012

MET. ESTADISTICO

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022AO
2024