A) ESTIMACIÓN DE LA INTENSIDAD DE LLUVIA:

La cantidad de agua caída en milímetros durante un tiempo; (mm/he). La estimación de la

intensidad de lluvias se lleva acabo dividiendo el valor de la altura de la lluvia por el
intervalo considerado
𝑑𝑃
𝑖=
𝑑𝑡

B) HIETOGRAMA DE LA ALTURA DE LLUVIA

El hietograma es la representación de barras de la variación de la altura de lluvia o de la
intensidad de la lluvia en el tiempo.

C) ANÁLISIS DE FRECUENCIAS DE LAS TORMENTAS:

A partir de la tabla de precipitaciones obtenemos la siguiente tabla, de
intensidad máxima para periodos de duración de 10 , 30 , 60 , 90 , 120 , 240
minutos consecutivos.
𝑛+1
𝑇=
𝑚
 TENIENDO LAS PRECIPITACIONES
MAXIMAS SE TIENE:
ANOS PREC. MAX(mm.) POR DISTRIBUCION DE GUMBEL:
1992 65.7672

1993 119.16845

1994 176.7023

1995 125.7533

1996 141.1623

1997 142.281

1998 151.4846

1999 115.87

2000 147.5282

2001 166.09862

2002 165.91678

2003 142.34374

2004 156.2112

2005 136.2361
N ANO PRECIPITACIONES(mm)

xi (xi-x)^2

1 1992 65.7672 5431.51091

2 1993 119.16845 411.9899271

3 1994 176.7023 1386.543155

4 1995 125.7533 188.0377299

5 1996 141.1623 2.877484579

6 1997 142.281 7.92430945

7 1998 151.4846 144.4471065

8 1999 115.87 556.7705081

9 2000 147.5282 64.99931071

10 2001 166.09862 709.297247

11 2002 165.91678 699.6445561

12 2003 142.34374 8.28147384

13 2004 156.2112 280.4022254

14 2005 136.2361 10.43215711

Σ xi= 1952.52379 9903.158101

  Xi= 139.46
 S= 27.600
 α=21.5
 u= 127.055
ORDENAMOS LAS PRECIPITACIONES MAXIMAS DE MENOS A MAYOR LA COLUMNA 2;
m P P(X) F(X) [P-F]
1 65.7672 0.127 0.10541 0.02159
2 115.87 0.254 0.21082 0.04318
3 119.168 0.381 0.31623 0.06477
4 125.753 0.508 0.42164 0.08636
5 136.236 0.635 0.52705 0.10795
6 141.162 0.762 0.63246 0.12954
7 142.281 0.889 0.73787 0.15113
8 142.344 1.016 0.84328 0.17272
9 147.528 1.143 0.94869 0.19431
10 151.485 1.27 1.0541 0.2159
11 156.211 1.397 1.15951 0.23749
12 165.917 1.524 1.26492 0.25908
13 166.099 1.651 1.37033 0.28067
14 176.702 1.778 1.47574 0.30226
PROM. 0.9525 0.79058
MAXIMO 0.30226
Δ = Max = 0.30
𝚫 𝟎 = 𝟒. 𝟐 , para 14 datos con 5% de
significancia
Dado que; 𝚫 𝟎 > Δ
La distribucion es la adecuada.

Obtenemos la sigi=uinete tabla para

distintas frecuencias, con el ajuste de
Welss = 0.13
PERIODO DE VARIABLE PRECIP. (mm) PROB DE CORRECCION
RETORNO REDUCIDA OCURRECNCIA X=1.13 Intervalo
fijo
ANOS YT XT'(mm) F(Xt) XT(mm)
2 0.366512921 134.9350278 0.5 152.4765814
5 1.499939987 159.3037097 0.8 180.013192
10 2.250367327 175.4378975 0.9 198.2448242
25 3.198534261 195.8234866 0.96 221.2805399
50 3.901938658 210.9466811 0.98 238.3697497
75 4.310784111 219.7368584 0.9867 248.30265
100 4.600149227 225.9582084 0.99 255.3327755
500 6.213607264 260.6475562 0.998 294.5317385
Usamos los siguientes factores para las distintas horas

DURACION EN HORAS

1 2 3 4 5 6 8 12 18 24

0.3 0.39 0.46 0.52 0.57 0.61 0.68 0.8 0.91 1

Y obtenemos el siguiente grafico;

 TIEMPO DE INTENSIDAD DE LA LLUVIA (mm/hr) SEGUN EL PERIODO DE RETORNO
DURACION

Hr. min 2 anos 5 anos 10 anos 25 anos 50 anos 75 anos 100 anos 500 anos

24hr. 1440 6.3532 7.5005 8.2602 9.2200 9.9321 10.3459 10.6389 12.2722

18hr. 1080 7.7085 9.1007 10.0224 11.1870 12.0509 12.5531 12.9085 14.8902

12hr 720 10.1651 12.0009 13.2163 14.7520 15.8913 16.5535 17.0222 19.6354

8hr 480 12.9605 15.3011 16.8508 18.8088 20.2614 21.1057 21.7033 25.0352

6hr 360 15.5018 18.3013 20.1549 22.4969 24.2343 25.2441 25.9588 29.9441

5hr 300 17.3823 20.5215 22.5999 25.2260 27.1742 28.3065 29.1079 33.5766

4hr 240 19.8220 23.4017 25.7718 28.7665 30.9881 32.2793 33.1933 38.2891

3hr 180 23.3797 27.6020 30.3975 33.9297 36.5500 38.0731 39.1510 45.1615

2hr 120 29.7329 35.1026 38.6577 43.1497 46.4821 48.4190 49.7899 57.4337

1hr 60 45.7430 54.0040 59.4734 66.3842 71.5109 74.4908 76.5998 88.3595

 Periodo de retorno para T = 2 años
N X Y Ln(X) Ln(Y) Ln(X).Ln(X) (Lnx)^2
1 1440 6.35319089 7.27239839 1.84895718 13.44635329 52.8877783
2 3 9 8
2 1080 7.70853828 6.98471632 2.04232858 14.26508578 48.7862620
2 2 7
3 720 10.1651054 6.57925121 2.31896081 15.25702578 43.2865465
3 2 9 1
4 480 12.9605094 6.17378610 2.56190699 15.81666582 38.1156348
2 4 7 6
5 360 15.5017857 5.88610403 2.74095522 16.13354762 34.6462206
8 1 9 7
6 300 17.3823302 5.70378247 2.85545418 16.28688956 32.5331345
8 5 9 2
7 240 19.8219555 5.48063892 2.98679019 16.36951858 30.0374030
8 3 1 1
8 180 23.3797424 5.19295685 3.15186994 16.36752461 26.9668008
8 1 2 6
9 120 29.7329333 4.78749174 3.39225529 16.24039423 22.9200771
7 3 9 9
10 60 45.7429744 4.09434456 3.82303821 15.65283573 16.7636573
2 2 5 9
10 4980 188.749065 58.1554706 27.7225166 155.835841 346.943515
9 1 5 5
 Periodo de retorno para T = 5 años

N X Y Ln(X) Ln(Y) Ln(X).Ln(X) (Lnx)^2

1 1440 7.50054966 7.27239839 2.01497630 14.65371045 52.8877783
6 3 7 8
2 1080 9.10066692 6.98471632 2.2083477 15.42468222 48.7862620
8 7
3 720 12.0008794 6.57925121 2.48497993 16.34930725 43.2865465
7 2 6 1
4 480 15.3011213 6.17378610 2.72792611 16.84163234 38.1156348
2 4 4 6
5 360 18.3013411 5.88610403 2.90697434 17.11075342 34.6462206
8 1 6 7
6 300 20.5215038 5.70378247 3.02147330 17.23382649 32.5331345
9 5 6 2
7 240 23.4017149 5.48063892 3.15280930 17.27940941 30.0374030
6 3 8 1
8 180 27.6020227 5.19295685 3.31788905 17.22965472 26.9668008
7 1 9 6
9 120 35.1025724 4.78749174 3.55827441 17.03520939 22.9200771
4 3 7 9
10 60 54.0039575 4.09434456 3.98905733 16.3325752 16.7636573
9 2 3 9
10 4980 222.836330 58.1554706 29.3827078 165.4907609 346.943515
2 1 3 5
 Periodo de retorno para T = 10 años

N X Y Ln(X) Ln(Y) Ln(X).Ln(X) (Lnx)^2

1 1440 8.2602010 7.272398393 2.11144892 15.35529775 52.8877783
09 2 8
2 1080 10.022377 6.98471632 2.30482031 16.09851607 48.7862620
22 5 7
3 720 13.216321 6.579251212 2.58145255 16.98402483 43.2865465
61 2 1
4 480 16.850810 6.173786104 2.82439873 17.43723363 38.1156348
06 6
5 360 20.154890 5.886104031 3.00344696 17.67860127 34.6462206
46 2 7
6 300 22.599909 5.703782475 3.11794592 17.78408531 32.5331345
96 2 2
7 240 25.771827 5.480638923 3.24928192 17.80814099 30.0374030
15 4 1
8 180 30.397539 5.192956851 3.41436167 17.73063285 26.9668008
71 5 6
9 120 38.657740 4.787491743 3.65474703 17.49707124 22.9200771
72 2 9
10 60 59.473447 4.094344562 4.08552994 16.72756733 16.7636573
27 8 9
10 4980 245.40506 58.15547061 30.3474339 171.1011713 346.943515
52 8 5
 Periodo de retorno para T = 25 años

N X Y Ln(X) Ln(Y) Ln(X).Ln(X) (Lnx)^2

1 1440 9.22002249 7.27239839 2.22137747 16.154742 52.8877783
5 3 7 8
2 1080 11.1869606 6.98471632 2.41474887 16.86633584 48.7862620
3 7
3 720 14.7520359 6.57925121 2.69138110 17.70727241 43.2865465
9 2 7 1
4 480 18.8088458 6.17378610 2.93432728 18.11590902 38.1156348
9 4 5 6
5 360 22.4968548 5.88610403 3.11337551 18.32565218 34.6462206
9 1 7 7
6 300 25.2259815 5.70378247 3.22787447 18.41109387 32.5331345
5 5 7 2
7 240 28.7664701 5.48063892 3.35921047 18.4106197 30.0374030
8 3 9 1
8 180 33.9296827 5.19295685 3.52429023 18.30148709 26.9668008
8 1 6
9 120 43.1497052 4.78749174 3.76467558 18.02335329 22.9200771
8 3 7 9
10 60 66.3841619 4.09434456 4.19545850 17.17765271 16.7636573
6 2 3 9
10 4980 273.920721 58.1554706 31.4467195 177.4941181 346.943515
6 1 3 5
 Periodo de retorno para T = 50años
N X Y Ln(X) Ln(Y) Ln(X).Ln(X) (Lnx)^2
1 1440 9.93207290 7.27239839 2.29576920 16.6957483 52.8877783
4 3 8 8
2 1080 12.0509151 6.98471632 2.48914060 17.38594098 48.7862620
2 1 7
3 720 15.8913166 6.57925121 2.76577283 18.19671429 43.2865465
5 2 7 1
4 480 20.2614287 6.17378610 3.00871901 18.57518765 38.1156348
2 4 6 6
5 360 24.2342578 5.88610403 3.18776724 18.76352965 34.6462206
9 1 7 7
6 300 27.1741514 5.70378247 3.30226620 18.83540812 32.5331345
7 5 8 2
7 240 30.9880674 5.48063892 3.43360221 18.81833392 30.0374030
6 3 1
8 180 36.5500282 5.19295685 3.59868196 18.68780014 26.9668008
9 1 6
9 120 46.4821011 4.78749174 3.83906731 18.37950308 22.9200771
9 3 8 9
10 60 71.5109249 4.09434456 4.26985023 17.48223809 16.7636573
1 2 4 9
10 4980 295.075264 58.1554706 32.1906368 181.8204042 346.943515
6 1 4 5
 Periodo de retorno para T = 75 años

N X Y Ln(X) Ln(Y) Ln(X).Ln(X) (Lnx)^2

1 1440 10.345943 7.2723983 2.3365945 16.99264634 52.887778
75 93 35 38
2 1080 12.553078 6.9847163 2.5299659 17.6710943 48.786262
42 2 28 07
3 720 16.55351 6.5792512 2.8065981 18.46531437 43.286546
12 64 51
4 480 21.105725 6.1737861 3.0495443 18.82723448 38.115634
25 04 42 86
5 360 25.244102 5.8861040 3.2285925 19.00383176 34.646220
75 31 74 67
6 300 28.306502 5.7037824 3.3430915 19.0682669 32.533134
1 75 34 52
7 240 32.279344 5.4806389 3.4744275 19.04208279 30.037403
5 23 36 01
8 180 38.073073 5.1929568 3.6395072 18.8998043 26.966800
51 87 86
9 120 48.419016 4.7874917 3.8798926 18.574954 22.920077
74 43 44 19
10 60 74.490794 4.0943445 4.3106755 17.64939104 16.763657
99 62 61 39
10 4980 307.37109 58.155470 32.598890 184.1946203 346.94351
15 61 1 55
 Periodo de retorno para T = 100 años
N X Y Ln(X) Ln(Y) Ln(X).Ln(X) (Lnx)^2
1 1440 10.6388656 7.27239839 2.36451386 17.19568684 52.8877783
4 3 6 8
2 1080 12.9084903 6.98471632 2.55788525 17.86610291 48.7862620
2 9 7
3 720 17.0221850 6.57925121 2.83451749 18.64900267 43.2865465
3 2 5 1
4 480 21.7032859 6.17378610 3.07746367 18.99960246 38.1156348
1 4 4 6
5 360 25.9588321 5.88610403 3.25651190 19.16816785 34.6462206
7 1 5 7
6 300 29.1079364 5.70378247 3.37101086 19.2275127 32.5331345
5 6 2
7 240 33.1932608 5.48063892 3.50234686 19.19509857 30.0374030
1 3 8 1
8 180 39.1510255 5.19295685 3.66742661 19.04478818 26.9668008
7 1 8 6
9 120 49.7898912 4.78749174 3.90781197 18.70861757 22.9200771
2 3 6 9
10 60 76.5998326 4.09434456 4.33859489 17.7637024 16.7636573
4 2 2 9
10 4980 316.073605 58.1554706 32.8780834 185.8182821 346.943515
7 1 2 5
 Periodo de retorno para T = 500 años

N X Y Ln(X) Ln(Y) Ln(X).Ln(X) (Lnx)^2

1 1440 12.2721557 7.2723983 2.5073329 18.23432403 52.887778
7 93 38 38
2 1080 14.8902156 6.9847163 2.7007043 18.86365361 48.786262
7 2 31 07
3 720 19.6354492 6.5792512 2.9773365 19.58864522 43.286546
3 12 67 51
4 480 25.0351977 6.1737861 3.2202827 19.88133686 38.115634
7 04 46 86
5 360 29.9440600 5.8861040 3.3993309 20.00881577 34.646220
8 31 77 67
6 300 33.5766181 5.7037824 3.5138299 20.04212162 32.533134
9 75 37 52
7 240 38.289126 5.4806389 3.6451659 19.97783833 30.037403
23 39 01
8 180 45.1615332 5.1929568 3.8102456 19.78644146 26.966800
3 51 9 86
9 120 57.433689 4.7874917 4.0506310 19.39236269 22.920077
43 48 19
10 60 88.3595215 4.0943445 4.4814139 18.34845289 16.763657
4 62 64 39
10 4980 364.597566 58.155470 34.306274 194.1239925 346.94351
5 61 14 55