PERIODO (t) DEMANDA (t) Yt' [et] EMC DEE DAM

Enero 30 30.0
Febrero 35 30.0 5 25.00 25.0 5
Marzo 28 31.3 3 11.03 11.0 3.32
Abril 20 30.4 10 109.07 109.1 10.44
Mayo 25 27.7 3 7.21 7.2 2.69
Junio 30 27.0 3 9.15 9.1 3.02
Julio 35 27.8 7 52.21 52.2 7.23
Agosto 40 29.7 10 106.44 106.4 10.32
Septiembre 50 32.4 18 309.47 309.5 17.59
Octubre 55 37.1 18 322.03 322.0 17.95
Noviembre 35 41.8 7 46.17 46.2 6.79
Diciembre 40 40.0 0 0.00 0.0 0.00
Enero Pronóstico 40 90.71 5.1 7.67
DAM 7.67

PERIODO (t) DEMANDA (Yt) Yt' [et] EMC DEE DAM

1 10 10.0
2 18 10.0 8.0 64.00 9.4 8
3 29 11.3 17.7 314.14 163.7 17.72
4 15 14.1 0.9 0.80 16.3 0.90
5 30 14.2 15.8 248.18 117.1 15.75
6 12 16.8 4.8 22.65 0.0 4.76
7 16 16.0 0.0 0.00 24.3 0.00
8 8 16.0 8.0 64.00 9.4 8.00
9 22 14.7 7.3 52.94 5.5 7.28
10 14 15.9 1.9 3.55 9.3 1.88
11 15 15.6 0.6 0.34 18.9 0.58
12 27 15.5 11.5 132.46 43.3 11.51
13 30 17.3 12.7 160.61 60.0 12.67
14 23 19.3 3.7 13.34 1.6 3.65
15 15 19.9 4.9 24.31 0.0 4.93
16 Pronóstico 19 78.67 5.8 6.97
DAM 6.97
 PEMA Constante optimizada
α 0.2641
14.29%
11.86%
52.22%
10.74%
10.08%
20.64%
25.79%
35.18%
32.63%
19.41%
0.00%
21%

PEMA Constante optimizada

α 0.16
44.44%
61.12%
5.98%
52.51%
39.66%
0.00%
100.00%
33.07%
13.46%
3.89%
42.63%
42.24%
15.88%
32.87%
35%