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64369703.xls - Leeme
Hecha por:
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Resumen de escenario
Valores actuales:
Escenario1
Escenario2
Escenario3
Celdas cambiantes:
escenariopapel
Pesimista
Pesimista
Pesimista
Optmista
escenariodetergente Pesimista
Pesimista
Optimista
Pesimista
Celdas de resultado:
Van
$30,888,741.92 $30,888,741.92 $31,208,652.39 $30,888,741.92
Notas: La columna de valores actuales representa los valores de las celdas cambiantes
en el momento en que se cre el Informe resumen de escenario. Las celdas cambiantes de
cada escenario se muestran en gris.
Escenario
Optimista
Optimista
$31,208,652.39
ICS3022
Semestre
Ngrupo
Proyecto
Evaluacin de Proyectos
2004-2
2
Nueva Tecnologia para producir Sulfato de Sodio Anhidro
Datos y Supuestos
Resumen de Resultados
VAN van
TIR tir
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
Escenario papel
Escenario Detergente
Escenarios
Optimista Papel
Pesimista Papel
Optimista Detergente
Pesimista Detergente
Escenarios
Escenario 1
Escenario 2
Escenario 3
Escenario 4
Parmetros
Parametros generales
Tasa Impuestos
Valor
Observaciones
tasa_imp
17%
tasa_desc
10%
Con_percpita
Ao_desarrollo
10 Promedio europeo
2034 Opinin de expertos Roberto Darrigandi. Vicedecano F
Tasa_poblacin
Part_PyG
Na2SO4_D
inflacin
64369703.xls - Datos-Supuestos
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1
2
3
4
5 = 2+3+4
6
7= 1-5-6
8
9=7-8
10=6+9
11
12
13=10-11-12
Aos
Produccion
Precio de Venta
Ingresos de Operacin
Costo Variables de Operacin
Costosde
Fijos
de Operaciny
Costos
Administracion
34796.67
130
5412403.07
2383552.36
302791.7
43362
130
6662394.37
2500969
207013.82
48180
130
7368976.9
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7376899.01
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7384766.1
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7392573.44
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7400316.13
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7407989.18
2778854.44
207013.82
0
2686344.06
0
2726059.01
463430.03
2262628.98
2262628.98
2537401.28
0
-274772.3
0
2707982.82
218697.38
3735714.18
635071.41
3100642.77
3319340.14
0
2985868.26
218697.38
4164411.26
707949.91
3456461.34
3675158.72
0
2985868.26
218697.38
4172333.37
709296.67
3463036.7
3681734.07
0
2985868.26
218697.38
4180200.47
710634.08
3469566.39
3688263.76
0
2985868.26
218697.38
4188007.8
711961.33
3476046.47
3694743.85
0
2985868.26
218697.38
4195750.49
713277.58
3482472.91
3701170.28
0
2985868.26
218697.38
4203423.54
714582
3488841.54
3707538.91
3319340.14
3675158.72
3681734.07
3688263.76
3694743.85
3701170.28
3707538.91
Ventas
Total Costos
Depreciacion
Util. Antes de Impuestos
Impuestos *
Utilidad Neta
Flujo de Caja Operacional
Inversion y desinversion
Capital de Trabajo
Flujo de Caja Neto
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10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
48180
130
7415587.43
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7423105.59
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7430538.23
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7437879.75
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7445124.43
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7452266.38
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7459299.54
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7466217.71
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7473014.51
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7479683.41
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7486217.7
2778854.44
207013.82
0
2985868.26
218697.38
4211021.79
715873.7
3495148.09
3713845.46
0
2985868.26
218697.38
4218539.95
717151.79
3501388.16
3720085.54
0
2985868.26
0
4444669.96
755593.89
3689076.07
3689076.07
0
2985868.26
0
4452011.49
756841.95
3695169.54
3695169.54
0
2985868.26
0
4459256.17
758073.55
3701182.62
3701182.62
0
2985868.26
0
4466398.11
759287.68
3707110.43
3707110.43
0
2985868.26
0
4473431.27
760483.32
3712947.96
3712947.96
0
2985868.26
0
4480349.44
761659.41
3718690.04
3718690.04
0
2985868.26
0
4487146.25
762814.86
3724331.39
3724331.39
0
2985868.26
0
4493815.15
763948.58
3729866.57
3729866.57
0
2985868.26
0
4500349.43
765059.4
3735290.03
3735290.03
3713845.46
3720085.54
3689076.07
3695169.54
3701182.62
3707110.43
3712947.96
3718690.04
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
64369703.xls - Flujos
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64369703.xls - Flujos
19
20
48180
130
7492610.48
2778854.44
207013.82
48180
130
7498854.7
2778854.44
207013.82
0
2985868.26
0
4506742.22
766146.18
3740596.04
3740596.04
0
2985868.26
0
4512986.44
767207.69
3745778.74
3745778.74
#VALUE!
0
#VALUE!
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0
1
34796.67
43362
130
130
5412403.07 6662394.37
2
3
48180
48180
130
130
7368976.9 7376899.01
4
5
48180
48180
130
130
7384766.1 7392573.44
6
7
8
9
10
48180
48180
48180
48180
48180
130
130
130
130
130
7400316.13 7407989.18 7415587.43 7423105.59 7430538.23
11
48180
130
7437879.75
12
48180
130
7445124.43
13
48180
130
7452266.38
14
15
48180
48180
130
130
7459299.54 7466217.71
Precio de venta consideraremos el promedio de los tres precios estipulados, pero solo
como un dato, ya que para calculo de los ingresos ocupamos los respectivos precios,
para cada categoria
Precio Venta Detergente(US$/ton)
Precio Venta Papel(US$/ton)
Precio Venta Exterior(FOB)(US$/ton)
Precio de Venta (US$/ton)
64369703.xls - Ingresos
160
145
85
130
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
2,383,552.36 2,500,969.00 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44
302,791.70
207,013.82
207,013.82 207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
207,013.82
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2,686,344.06 2,707,982.82 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26 2,985,868.26
Costos Totales
Ao
Costo Variables de Operacin
Electricidad (US$)
Gas (US$)
Maquinaria pesada (US$)
Otros (US$)
Materia Prima (US$)
Total (US$)
Costos Fijos de Operacin
Sueldos Personal de Planta (U$)
Mantenimiento (U$)
Total (U$)
Costos de Administracion y Ventas
Administrativos (US$)
64369703.xls - Costos
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
178,195.77
197,995.30 197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
197,995.30
698,189.88
775,766.53 775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
775,766.53
248,897.88
276,553.20 276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
276,553.20
152,877.07
169,863.41 169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
169,863.41
1,222,808.40 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00 1,358,676.00
2,383,552.36 2,500,969.00 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44 2,778,854.44
153,600.00
149,191.70
302,791.70
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
153,600.00
53,413.82
207,013.82
08/02/2011 - 11:17:55
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Aos
Capital de Trabajo
0
0
08/02/2011 - 11:17:55
10
11
12
13
14
15
10/137
Item
Ao
Secador
Filtro
Mixer
Correa 1
Correa 2
Correa 3
Correa 4
Tolva de alimentacin
Harnero
Elevador de Capacho
Tornillo de Descarga
Instrumentacin Tornillo
Pesmetros (2/correa)
Obras Civiles y Montaje
Coordinacin de Ingenieria
Centrfuga 1
Centrfuga 2
Centrfuga 3
Ampliacin Bodega
Pavimentacin Canchas
Total Ao
Total para mantenimiento
Costo
Costo Neto Transporte
US$
US$
%
0
600,000
0
0
130,000
0
0
70,000
0
0
36,000
0
0
56,500
0
0
46,250
0
0
56,500
0
0
5,350
0
0
8,700
0
0
15,000
0
0
26,400
0
0
10,000
0
0
7,576
0
0
480,000
0
0
80,000
0
0
300,000
0
0
300,000
0
0
300,000
0
0
4,606
0
0
4,519
0
Aos
Inversin
0
2537401.28
Impuestos
US$
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Valor
Inversion total
Vida Util
residual
US$
aos
US$
0
600,000
9
0
130,000
9
0
70,000
9
0
36,000
9
0
56,500
9
0
46,250
9
0
56,500
9
0
5,350
9
0
8,700
9
0
15,000
9
0
26,400
9
0
10,000
9
0
7,576
9
0
480,000
0
0
80,000
0
0
300,000
9
0
300,000
9
0
300,000
9
0
4,606
0
0
4,519
0
2,537,401
108
1,068,276
1
2
3
218,697.38 218,697.38 218,697.38
4
218,697.38
Depreciacion
Anual
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
66,666.67
14,444.44
7,777.78
4,000.00
6,277.78
5,138.89
6,277.78
594.44
966.67
1,666.67
2,933.33
1,111.11
841.82
0.00
0.00
33,333.33
33,333.33
33,333.33
0.00
0.00
218,697.38
10
11
12
13
14
15
8
9
218,697.38 218,697.38
10
0
11
0
12
0
13
0
14
0
15
0
$/m2
14000
Costo Bodega
Galpones Industriales Pizarro
F: 5272011
Ampliacin bodega (m2)
US$
4605.65
5
6
7
218,697.38 218,697.38 218,697.38
198
$/m2
3400
Costo Cancha
F: 2381053
Area c/u canchas (m2)
US$
4519.25
400
$
Pesometros
2280000
US$
3788.19
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10
34
1.2
% Participacin de mercado
P&G
18%
Promedio entre 92 y 02
2007
2008
2009
2010
2516.61
2551.21
2584.04
2615.27
2007
2008
2009
2010
2509.90
2577.47
2645.04
2712.61
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
2009
2010
Produccin Celulosa
Kraft (Mton)
2441.22
2480.02
2374.76
2442.33
23747.62
23747.62
Consumo Total
Detergentes (Ton)
99427.08
102781.50
106202.10
109690.00
113246.32
116872.20
Produccin nacional de
detergentes (Ton)
81530.21
84280.83
87085.73
89945.80
92861.98
95835.20
2009
2010
Consumo Total
Detergentes (Ton)
97985.80
101144.86
104405.77
107771.81
111246.37
114832.96
Produccin nacional de
detergentes (Ton)
80348.35
82938.78
85612.73
88372.88
91222.03
94163.02
25525.13
26053.27
26577.74
27098.23
24459.06
24993.62
DEMANDA TOTAL
NACIONAL
SULFATO (ton)
Ao
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
34796.67
43362
48180
48180
48180
48180
145
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
Precios Grado
Detergente US$/Ton
160
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
Ingresos Internos
(Millones de US$)
Precios FOB US$/Ton
5.41
85
6.66
85.00
7.37
85.00
7.38
85.00
7.38
85.00
7.39
85.00
Ingresos Exportacin
(Millones US$)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Ingresos Totales
(Millones US$)
5.41
6.66
7.37
7.38
7.38
7.39
Nota: Para calcular la produccin del ao 2005 se supuso que la planta antigua
segua operando y que las horas de operacin al ao eran 365*22 y con un factor de
3.6; como se consideran esas horas de operacin la disponibilidad de deca es
tambien 15.6 ton/hr.
Nota 2: Para la produccin del ao 2006, se supuso que la planta no operar al 100%
en los 2 primeros meses, produciendo un 20% el primer mes y un 60% el segundo,
para de ah en adelante alcanzar el 100%, entonces el clculo es el siguiente:
prod_2006 = prod_mensual*10+0,2*prod_mensual+0,6*prod_mensual. Donde
prod_mensual = 48180/12
Participacin de mercado
Ao
2005
Consumo Total
Produccin SQM (Ton)
Importacin SQM
Autoabastecimiento
48206.68
34796.67
13410.01
0.00
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
49416.94
43362
5379.24
675.70
50624.14
48180
1092.74
1351.40
51827.99
48180
1620.89
2027.10
53028.16
48180
2145.36
2702.80
54224.35
48180
2665.85
3378.50
Row 66
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2007
2011
2015
2019
2023
2005
2009
2013
2017
2021
2025
Ao
Row 67
Row 68
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2645.04
2673.49
2700.73
2726.85
2751.96
2776.11
2799.39
2821.85
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2780.18
2847.75
2915.32
2982.89
3050.46
3118.03
3185.60
3253.17
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
120568.78
124337.26
128178.81
132094.66
136086.04
140154.18
144300.36
148525.87
98866.40
101956.55
105106.63
108317.63
111590.55
114926.43
118326.30
121791.22
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
118535.17
122356.74
126301.53
130373.49
134576.73
138915.48
143394.12
148017.14
97198.84
100332.53
103567.25
106906.26
110352.92
113910.69
117583.18
121374.06
27614.41
28125.95
28632.50
29133.71
29629.22
30118.65
30601.63
31077.76
nal
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
48180
48180
48180
48180
48180
48180
48180
48180
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
7.40
85.00
7.41
85.00
7.42
85.00
7.42
85.00
7.43
85.00
7.44
85.00
7.45
85.00
7.45
85.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
7.40
7.41
7.42
7.42
7.43
7.44
7.45
7.45
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
55416.23
48180
3182.03
4054.20
56603.46
48180
3693.56
4729.90
57785.71
48180
4200.11
5405.60
58962.63
48180
4701.32
6081.30
60133.83
48180
5196.83
6757.00
61298.97
48180
5686.27
7432.70
62457.65
48180
6169.25
8108.40
63609.48
48180
6645.38
8784.10
nal
Row 67
Row 68
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2843.54
2864.53
2884.85
2904.54
2923.65
2942.20
2960.23
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
3320.74
3388.31
3455.88
3523.45
3591.02
3658.59
3726.16
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
23747.62
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
152832.01
157220.12
161691.52
166247.61
170889.75
175619.37
180437.89
125322.25
128920.50
132587.05
136323.04
140129.60
144007.88
147959.07
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
152789.22
157715.14
162799.88
168048.54
173466.43
179058.99
184831.85
125287.16
129326.41
133495.90
137799.81
142242.47
146828.37
151562.12
31546.64
32007.85
32460.97
32905.56
33341.18
33767.37
34183.65
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
48180
48180
48180
48180
48180
48180
48180
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
145.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.00
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
160.57
7.46
85.00
7.47
85.00
7.47
85.00
7.48
85.00
7.49
85.00
7.49
85.00
7.50
85.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
7.46
7.47
7.47
7.48
7.49
7.49
7.50
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
64754.06
48180
7114.25
9459.80
65890.97
48180
7575.46
10135.50
67019.79
48180
8028.59
10811.20
68140.08
48180
8473.18
11486.90
69251.40
48180
8908.80
12162.60
70353.29
48180
9334.98
12838.30
71445.27
48180
9751.26
13514.00
67.44
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Produccin(miles de ton)
644.3
Fuente Cepal
934.0
1499.3
1676.5
1763.5
1928.6
1932.3
1868.4
1979.7
2064.1
2219.9
2282.1
2308.33
2355.76
2399.92
2441.22
2480.02
2516.61
2551.21
2584.04
2615.27
2645.04
2673.49
2700.73
2726.85
2751.96
2776.11
2799.39
2821.85
2843.54
2864.53
2884.85
2904.54
2923.65
2942.20
2960.23
Datos
Aos
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Proyeccin
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
Aos
m
640.02
b
666.71
Fuente:Banco Central
Produccin(miles de ton)
PIB
Variacion del PIB
644.30
9,245,504.00
3.70%
934.00
12,100,475.00
8.00%
PIB
45,000,000.00
40,000,000.00
35,000,000.00
ominales
Aos
1990
1991
30,000,000.00
25,000,000.00
20,000,000.00
f(x) = 2366312.
R = 0.92
PIB
12.30%
7.00%
5.70%
10.60%
7.40%
6.60%
3.20%
-0.80%
4.50%
3.40%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2207.53
2239.62
2307.19
2374.76
2442.33
2509.90
2577.47
2645.04
2712.61
2780.18
2847.75
2915.32
2982.89
3050.46
3118.03
3185.60
3253.17
3320.74
3388.31
3455.88
3523.45
3591.02
3658.59
3726.16
37,670,155.00
38,900,435.00
41,623,465.45
44,537,108.03
47,654,705.59
50,990,534.99
54,559,872.43
58,379,063.50
62,465,597.95
66,838,189.81
71,516,863.09
76,523,043.51
81,879,656.56
87,611,232.51
93,744,018.79
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
2.20%
3.30%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
40,000,000.00
35,000,000.00
f(x) = 2366312.
R = 0.92
30,000,000.00
25,000,000.00
20,000,000.00
15,000,000.00
10,000,000.00
5,000,000.00
0.00
1992 1996
1990 1994 19
Aos
2500
2000
miles de ton
15,185,438.00
17,974,917.00
21,395,185.00
25,875,727.00
31,237,289.00
33,300,693.00
34,376,598.00
34,115,042.00
35,646,492.00
36,854,918.00
MM$ Nominales
Datos
1499.30
1676.50
1763.50
1928.60
1932.30
1868.40
1979.70
2064.10
2219.90
2282.10
Proyeccin
45,000,000.00
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
1500
1000
500
0
5,000,000
m
998.69
10,000,000
2 ln(x) + 666.71
Column C
Logarithmic
Regression for
Column C
PIB
45,000,000.00
40,000,000.00
35,000,000.00
30,000,000.00
25,000,000.00
20,000,000.00
Column D
Linear
PIB
45,000,000.00
40,000,000.00
35,000,000.00
30,000,000.00
25,000,000.00
Column D
Linear
Regression
for Column D
20,000,000.00
15,000,000.00
10,000,000.00
5,000,000.00
0.00
1992 1996 2000
1990 1994 1998 2002
Aos
miles de ton
2000
Column C
1500
1000
500
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
MM$ Nominales
b
-15214
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
10
Pais
desarrollad
o
Aos de desarrollo
2034
Dinamarca
Proyeccin
Portugal
Espaa
Italia
USA
Promedio
Fuente INE
Poblacion
15211308
15401952
15589147
15773504
15955631
16136137
16329771
16525728
16724037
16924725
17127822
17333356
17541356
17751852
17964874
18180453
18398618
18619402
18842835
19068949
19297776
19529349
19763701
20000866
20240876
20483767
12
10
8
Kg/ao
Datos
Fuente XXX
Aos
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Holanda
Grecia
Francia
6
4
2
0
1995 2000 200
2034
10.00
Mtodo 2: Crecimiento consumo per cpita igual al % de variacin del PIB percpita
Entre 1992, ao del ltimo censo del siglo pasado, y
2002, la poblacin creci a un ritmo promedio anual de
1,2 personas por cada cien habitantes.Tasa de
crecimiento que supondremos constante en el tiempo.
(Fuente INE)
El promedio del % de variacin es 0.02 %, por lo que
supondremos este dato constante en el tiempo
Datos
Aos
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
in
Aos
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
PIB
31,237,289.00
33,300,693.00
34,376,598.00
34,115,042.00
35,646,492.00
36,854,918.00
37,670,155.00
38,900,435.00
Poblacin
14418864
14622354
14821714
15017760
15211308
15401952
15589147
15773504
Poblacion
15211308
15401952
15589147
15773504
15955631
16136137
16329771
16525728
16724037
16924725
17127822
17333356
17541356
17751852
17964874
18180453
18398618
Proyeccin
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
7.70
7.86
8.01
8.17
8.34
8.50
8.67
8.85
9.02
18619402
18842835
19068949
19297776
19529349
19763701
20000866
20240876
20483767
143394.12
148017.14
152789.22
157715.14
162799.88
168048.54
173466.43
179058.99
184831.85
Kg/ao
6.5
7.5
10.2
11.8
12.2
12.4
12.9
10
10.44
Kg/ao
8
6
4
2
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Aos
Column C
% Variacin
Descripcin Equipos
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Equipos
largo (m) altura (m)
tolva de alimentacin (20 m^3)
correa transportadora 1(entrada)
14.4
3.3
mezclador (30 m^3)
correa transportadora 3 (alimentacin secador)
18.5
4
secador (39 ton/hr)
tornillo descarga (29,4 ton/hr)
8
correa transportadora 2 (recirculacin)
22.6
3.3
elevador de capachos (6 ton/hr)
6
harneros (2)
correa transportadora 4
22.6
6.5
filtro de mangas
HP
0.00
2.79
100.00
3.39
620.00
12.00
3.03
2.67
0.00
2.76
80.00
KW
inversiones US$
0.00
5350
2.08
36000
74.57
70000
2.53
46250
462.33
600000
8.95
26400
2.26
56500
1.99
15000
0.00
8700
2.06
56500
59.66
130000
Total US$
1050700
ersiones US$
BALANCE DE ENERGIA
Calor requerido por el secado de producto
Parametros del Secador
Combustible
Petroleo
PCS
combustible
Kcal/Kg
Consumo
KgComb/Ton
Ton salida
Produccin
Ton/hr
Factor Kcal->Btu
10900
31.85
28.05
6
3.97
38.64
8,030
KW total
Tiempo de trabajo (hr/ao)
616.42
8,030
4,949,882.56
HP
0.00
2.79
100.00
3.39
620.00
12.00
3.03
2.67
0.00
2.76
80.00
KW
0.00
2.08
74.57
2.53
462.33
8.95
2.26
1.99
0.00
2.06
59.66
COSTOS OPERACIONALES
Precios
Electricidad
Gas Natural
US$/KW-hr
US$/Mbtu
Costo
Electricidad (US$/ton anhidro)
Gas Natural (US$/ton anhidro)
0.04
2.5
4.11
16.10
ton anhidro/hr
BALANCE DE MASA
Balance de masa Mezclador
entrada (ton/hr)
sulfato decahidratado
15.6
Sulfato 41%
Agua 55,37%
Otros 3,63%
6.4
8.64
0.57
Sulfato 76%
Agua 22%
Otros 2%
sulfato anhidro
23.4
Sulfato 99%
Agua 0,1%
Otros 0,9%
23.17
0.02
0.21
39
29.56
8.66
0.78
salida (ton/hr)
39
29.56
8.66
0.78
0.76
0.22
0.02
salida (ton/hr)
29.4
0.75
29.11
0.03
0.26
9.6
0.25
Densidad(gr/cm3=ton/m3)
1.47 Decahidratado
2.7 Anhidro
2.21 Mezcla
Capacidad
Ancho de la correa (in) Belt speed(ft/min)
20
30
100
250
350
100
300
450
Qt(ton/h)
33
82
115
79
237
355
50lb/cu.ft
Hp/10ft lift Hp/100ft centers
0.35
0.42
0.86
1.03
1.22
1.45
0.8
0.75
2.4
2.25
3.6
3.37
Qt(ton/h)
33
82
115
79
237
355
0,8828ton/m
Hp/10ft lift Hp/100ft centers
0.35
0.42
0.86
1.03
1.22
1.45
0.8
0.75
2.4
2.25
3.6
3.37
Qt=3600*V*A*D
A=ancho*h
Capacidad
Ancho de la correa (mm)
508
762
Correa 1 decahidratado
Densidad
Qt
V
A
ancho
h
Belt speed(m/s)
0.51
1.27
1.78
0.51
1.52
2.29
SI
1.47
15.6
0.15
0.02
19369.17
508
76.26
Ingls
(ton/m3)
(ton/h)
(m/s)
m2
mm2
mm
mm
30
(ft/min)
20
pulgadas
Capacidad
Ancho de la correa (in) Belt speed(ft/min)
Qt(ton/h)
20
50lb/cu.ft
Hp/10ft lift Hp/100ft centers
50
100
250
350
16.5
33
82
115
0.18
0.35
0.86
1.22
0.21
0.42
1.03
1.45
Belt speed(ft/min)
50
Qt(ton/h)
9.96
100
Qt(ton/h)
19.92
83.13
Qt(ton/h)
16.56
30
50
100
250
350
Correa 2 anhidro
Densidad
Qt
V
A
ancho
h
Belt speed(ft/min)
25
50
100
250
350
A
ancho
h
Belt speed(ft/min)
30
50
100
250
350
Correa 4 anhidro
Densidad
Qt
V
A
33
66
164
230
SI
(ton/m3)
(ton/h)
(m/s)
m2
mm2
mm
mm
50
Qt(ton/h)
8.25
16.5
33
82
115
100
Qt(ton/h)
16.5
33
66
164
230
25
(ft/min)
20
pulgadas
152.9
Qt(ton/h)
25.23
50.46
100.91
250.76
351.67
SI
Ingls
2.21
39
0.25
0.02
19323.54
508
76.08
(ton/m3)
(ton/h)
(m/s)
m2
mm2
mm
mm
50
Qt(ton/h)
9.9
16.5
33
82
115
100
Qt(ton/h)
19.8
33
66
164
230
50
(ft/min)
20
pulgadas
125
Qt(ton/h)
24.75
41.25
82.5
205
287.5
SI
2.7
6
0.13
0
4860.5
27.43
54.87
136.33
191.2
Ingls
2.7
23.4
0.13
0.02
18955.96
508
74.63
Correa 3 mezcla
Densidad
Qt
V
16.5
33
82
115
Ingls
(ton/m3)
(ton/h)
(m/s)
m2
mm2
25
(ft/min)
ancho
h
508
19.14
mm
mm
20
Belt speed(ft/min)
50
Qt(ton/h)
2.64
16.5
33
82
115
100
Qt(ton/h)
5.28
33
66
164
230
152.9
Qt(ton/h)
8.07
50.46
100.91
250.76
351.67
8
50
100
250
350
pulgadas
Correas
correa transportadora 1 (entrada)
correa transportadora 3 (alimentacin secador)
correa transportadora 2 (recirculacin)
elevador de capachos
correa transportadora 4 (salida)
largo (m)
14.4
18.5
22.6
ft
47.24
60.7
74.14
22.6
74.14
altura (m)
3.3
4
3.3
6
6.5
Capacidad
00ft centers
100 lb/cu.ft
Hp/10ft lift Hp/100ft centers Hp disparador
0.7
0.84
1.72
2.06
1.6
2.44
2.9
1.6
1.5
4.8
4.5
2.5
7.2
6.74
Qt(ton/h)
66
164
230
158
474
710
Hp disparador
1,7657ton/m3
Hp/10ft lift Hp/100ft centers
0.7
0.84
1.72
2.06
1.6
2.44
2.9
1.6
1.5
4.8
4.5
2.5
7.2
6.74
Qt(ton/h)
83,13 lb/cu.ft
Hp/10ft lift Hp/100ft centers
Capacidad
00ft centers
00ft centers
Qt(ton/h)
66
164
230
158
474
710
Capacidad
50
Hp/10ft lift
0.1
100
Hp/10ft lift
0.21
83.13
Hp/10ft lift
0.17
Qt(ton/h)
100 lb/cu.ft
Hp/10ft lift
33
66
164
230
0.35
0.7
1.72
2.44
50
Hp/100ft centers
0.13
0.18
0.35
0.86
1.22
0.35
0.7
1.72
2.44
0.29
0.58
1.43
2.03
0.21
0.42
1.03
1.45
50
Hp/10ft lift
0.09
0.18
0.35
0.86
1.22
100
Hp/10ft lift
0.18
0.35
0.7
1.72
2.44
152.9
Hp/10ft lift
0.27
0.54
1.07
2.63
3.73
50
100
Hp/100ft centersHp/100ft centers
0.11
0.21
0.21
0.42
0.42
0.84
1.03
2.06
1.45
2.9
50
Hp/10ft lift
0.11
0.18
0.35
0.86
1.22
100
Hp/10ft lift
0.21
0.35
0.7
1.72
2.44
125
Hp/10ft lift
0.26
0.44
0.88
2.15
3.05
50
100
Hp/100ft centersHp/100ft centers
0.13
0.25
0.21
0.42
0.42
0.84
1.03
2.06
1.45
2.9
50
Hp/10ft lift
0.03
0.18
0.35
0.86
1.22
100
Hp/10ft lift
0.06
0.35
0.7
1.72
2.44
152.9
Hp/10ft lift
0.09
0.54
1.07
2.63
3.73
ft
10.83
13.12
10.83
19.7
21.33
hp
2.79
3.39
3.03
2.67
2.76
kw
2.08
2.53
2.26
1.99
2.06
50
100
Hp/100ft centersHp/100ft centers
0.03
0.07
0.21
0.42
0.42
0.84
1.03
2.06
1.45
2.9
00 lb/cu.ft
Hp/100ft centers
0.42
0.84
2.06
2.9
100
83.13
Hp/100ft centers
Hp/100ft centers
0.26
0.21
0.42
0.84
2.06
2.9
152.9
Hp/100ft centers
0.32
0.64
1.28
3.15
4.43
125
Hp/100ft centers
0.32
0.53
1.05
2.58
3.63
0.35
0.7
1.71
2.41
152.9
Hp/100ft centers
0.1
0.64
1.28
3.15
4.43