AGRICULTURA,

SILVICULTURA, sin
X 580928e0.0075x CAZA Y PESCA tendencia diferencia cociente tendencia MM4
1 primer1990 Bs 551,365.23 585301.3395232 Bs 182,689.39 Bs 1.33 0.942019429
2 segundo1990 Bs 734,054.62 589707.6024011 -Bs 193,134.90 Bs 0.74 1.244777273
3 tercero1990 Bs 540,919.73 594147.0364871 Bs 3,817.90 Bs 1.01 0.910413908 1.001799948
4 cuarto1990 Bs 544,737.62 598619.8915005 Bs 65,019.40 Bs 1.12 0.90998918 1.019043521
5 primer1991 Bs 609,757.02 603126.4190408 Bs 212,724.32 Bs 1.35 1.010993723 1.046225945
6 segundo1991 Bs 822,481.35 607666.8726011 -Bs 243,365.37 Bs 0.70 1.353506968 1.055096134
7 tercero1991 Bs 579,115.98 612241.5075832 Bs 14,392.39 Bs 1.02 0.945894665 1.0681386
8 cuarto1991 Bs 593,508.37 616850.5813115 -Bs 16,379.39 Bs 0.97 0.962159046 1.047543918
9 primer1992 Bs 577,128.97 621494.3530477 Bs 203,287.30 Bs 1.35 0.928614993 1.020748867
10 segundo1992 Bs 780,416.27 626173.0840051 -Bs 221,397.10 Bs 0.72 1.246326763 1.005796304
11 tercero1992 Bs 559,019.17 630887.0373636 Bs 18,960.20 Bs 1.03 0.886084415 0.992579623
12 cuarto1992 Bs 577,979.37 635636.4782843 Bs 39,061.25 Bs 1.07 0.909292319 1.001298662
13 primer1993 Bs 617,040.61 640421.6739245 Bs 208,891.70 Bs 1.34 0.96349115 1.009725267
14 segundo1993 Bs 825,932.32 645242.8934527 -Bs 256,875.50 Bs 0.69 1.280033185 1.007038367
15 tercero1993 Bs 569,056.82 650100.4080638 Bs 16,819.80 Bs 1.03 0.875336814 1.003334198
16 cuarto1993 Bs 585,876.62 654994.4909943 Bs 85,874.07 Bs 1.15 0.894475643 1.016941186
17 primer1994 Bs 671,750.69 659925.4175376 Bs 223,557.05 Bs 1.33 1.017919104 1.033568676
18 segundo1994 Bs 895,307.74 664893.4650596 -Bs 298,299.95 Bs 0.67 1.346543144 1.037532189
19 tercero1994 Bs 597,007.79 669898.9130144 Bs 10,173.80 Bs 1.02 0.891190862 1.038814659
20 cuarto1994 Bs 607,181.59 674942.0429597 Bs 68,805.17 Bs 1.11 0.899605525 1.03285097
21 primer1995 Bs 675,986.76 680023.1385728 Bs 227,064.63 Bs 1.34 0.994064347 1.025727441
22 segundo1995 Bs 903,051.39 685142.4856668 -Bs 297,792.05 Bs 0.67 1.318049028 1.022131165
23 tercero1995 Bs 605,259.34 690300.3722062 Bs 20,591.77 Bs 1.03 0.876805758 1.022195178
24 cuarto1995 Bs 625,851.11 695497.0883236 Bs 109,796.62 Bs 1.18 0.899861578 1.03613562
25 primer1996 Bs 735,647.73 700732.9263356 Bs 227,896.37 Bs 1.31 1.049826115 1.047817742
26 segundo1996 Bs 963,544.09 706008.1807595 -Bs 314,730.63 Bs 0.67 1.364777519 1.056646794
27 tercero1996 Bs 648,813.47 711323.1483297 Bs 1,730.19 Bs 1.00 0.912121965 1.058611606
28 cuarto1996 Bs 650,543.66 716678.1280146 Bs 133,571.14 Bs 1.21 0.907720825 1.067635366
29 primer1997 Bs 784,114.80 722073.4210331 Bs 229,351.08 Bs 1.29 1.085921156 1.074706584
30 segundo1997 Bs 1,013,465.89 727509.3308719 -Bs 343,618.05 Bs 0.66 1.39306239 1.075141468
31 tercero1997 Bs 669,847.84 732986.1633024 -Bs 2,150.60 Bs 1.00 0.913861501 1.074241531
32 cuarto1997 Bs 667,697.24 738504.2263979 Bs 60,173.50 Bs 1.09 0.904121075 1.04732048
33 primer1998 Bs 727,870.74 744063.8305509 Bs 263,808.50 Bs 1.36 0.978236954 1.029762216
34 segundo1998 Bs 991,679.23 749665.2884904 -Bs 346,802.97 Bs 0.65 1.322829333 1.014744694
35 tercero1998 Bs 644,876.27 755308.9153002 -Bs 13,037.15 Bs 0.98 0.853791415 0.996284479
36 cuarto1998 Bs 631,839.11 760995.0284356 Bs 119,140.64 Bs 1.19 0.830280212 0.996591646
37 primer1999 Bs 750,979.75 766723.9477419 Bs 257,186.52 Bs 1.34 0.979465626 0.992153407
38 segundo1999 Bs 1,008,166.27 772495.9954726 -Bs 370,646.77 Bs 0.63 1.305076373 0.983482016
39 tercero1999 Bs 637,519.50 778311.4963066 Bs 37,199.78 Bs 1.06 0.819105852 0.99101794
40 cuarto1999 Bs 674,719.28 784170.7773675 Bs 94,716.05 Bs 1.14 0.860423908 0.989620871
41 primer2000 Bs 769,435.34 790074.1682414 Bs 280,271.87 Bs 1.36 0.97387735 0.993024578
42 segundo2000 Bs 1,049,707.21 796022.0009956 -Bs 394,707.48 Bs 0.62 1.3186912 0.992421367
43 tercero2000 Bs 654,999.73 802014.6101973 Bs 48,985.11 Bs 1.07 0.81669301 0.995118372
44 cuarto2000 Bs 703,984.83 808052.3329322 Bs 82,688.53 Bs 1.12 0.87121193 0.993216117
45 primer2001 Bs 786,673.36 814135.5088239 Bs 296,928.49 Bs 1.38 0.96626833 0.993803213
46 segundo2001 Bs 1,083,601.85 820264.4800527 -Bs 396,315.76 Bs 0.63 1.321039585 0.997535687
47 tercero2001 Bs 687,286.09 826439.5913747 Bs 43,270.91 Bs 1.06 0.831622902 0.999076721
48 cuarto2001 Bs 730,557.00 832661.1901417 Bs 61,040.47 Bs 1.08 0.877376068 0.993404714
49 primer2002 Bs 791,597.47 838929.6263202 Bs 310,349.79 Bs 1.39 0.943580303 0.989070121
50 segundo2002 Bs 1,101,947.26 845245.2525113 -Bs 419,625.05 Bs 0.62 1.303701211 0.98146837
51 tercero2002 Bs 682,322.21 851608.4239708 Bs 44,637.15 Bs 1.07 0.801215899 0.973937533
52 cuarto2002 Bs 726,959.36 858019.4986287 Bs 146,941.16 Bs 1.20 0.847252721 0.990767128
53 primer2003 Bs 873,900.52 864478.8371096 Bs 341,289.07 Bs 1.39 1.010898681 1.013638609
54 segundo2003 Bs 1,215,189.58 870986.802753 -Bs 480,667.21 Bs 0.60 1.395187134 1.022589831
55 tercero2003 Bs 734,522.37 877543.7616337 Bs 32,461.79 Bs 1.04 0.837020788 1.027647117
56 cuarto2003 Bs 766,984.16 884150.0825824 Bs 108,221.12 Bs 1.14 0.867481863 1.020544149
57 primer2004 Bs 875,205.28 890806.1372064 Bs 320,275.75 Bs 1.37 0.982486812 1.004745874
58 segundo2004 Bs 1,195,481.03 897512.2999105 -Bs 443,137.19 Bs 0.63 1.331994034 1.003488486
59 tercero2004 Bs 752,343.84 904268.9479181 Bs 24,121.36 Bs 1.03 0.831991233 0.999680597
60 cuarto2004 Bs 776,465.20 911076.4612924 Bs 140,530.79 Bs 1.18 0.852250308 1.003803092
61 primer2005 Bs 916,995.99 917935.222958 Bs 343,827.85 Bs 1.37 0.998976794 1.011624664
62 segundo2005 Bs 1,260,823.83 924845.6187218 -Bs 471,868.71 Bs 0.63 1.363280322 1.015300047
63 tercero2005 Bs 788,955.12 931808.0372956 Bs 23,122.06 Bs 1.03 0.846692766 1.018486247
64 cuarto2005 Bs 812,077.19 938822.8703171 Bs 125,547.54 Bs 1.15 0.864995106 1.016557392
65 primer2006 Bs 937,624.73 945890.5123727 Bs 354,512.39 Bs 1.38 0.991261376 1.014698937
66 segundo2006 Bs 1,292,137.12 953011.3610189 -Bs 448,728.41 Bs 0.65 1.355846499 1.022620926
67 tercero2006 Bs 843,408.71 960185.8168055 Bs 23,232.14 Bs 1.03 0.878380722 1.030330197
68 cuarto2006 Bs 866,640.86 967414.2832975 Bs 58,755.47 Bs 1.07 0.89583219 1.019869684
69 primer2007 Bs 925,396.33 974697.167098 Bs 344,493.48 Bs 1.37 0.949419326 1.004188281
70 segundo2007 Bs 1,269,889.81 982034.8778712 -Bs 402,923.67 Bs 0.68 1.293120887 1.00365055
 71 tercero2007 Bs 866,966.14 989427.8283651 -Bs 9,334.02 Bs 0.99 0.876229797 0.994772351
72 cuarto2007 Bs 857,632.13 996876.4344353 Bs 95,170.97 Bs 1.11 0.860319392 0.994579262
73 primer2008 Bs 952,803.10 1004381.115068 Bs 354,006.64 Bs 1.37 0.948646971 0.994145944
74 segundo2008 Bs 1,306,809.75 1011942.292403 -Bs 417,880.69 Bs 0.68 1.291387617 0.993057205
75 tercero2008 Bs 888,929.05 1019560.391759 -Bs 15,082.39 Bs 0.98 0.87187484 0.990646793
76 cuarto2008 Bs 873,846.67 1027235.841655 Bs 116,665.19 Bs 1.13 0.850677743 0.992746271
77 primer2009 Bs 990,511.86 1034969.073839 Bs 373,756.28 Bs 1.38 0.957044885 0.996980251
78 segundo2009 Bs 1,364,268.14 1042760.523306 -Bs 439,406.68 Bs 0.68 1.308323537 0.999088664
79 tercero2009 Bs 924,861.46 1050610.628327 -Bs 34,012.42 Bs 0.96 0.880308494 0.996818934
80 cuarto2009 Bs 890,849.04 1058519.830473 Bs 94,040.67 Bs 1.11 0.84159882 0.988429784
81 primer2010 Bs 984,889.70 1066488.574639 Bs 362,950.95 Bs 1.37 0.923488285 0.974941022
82 segundo2010 Bs 1,347,840.66 1074517.309068 -Bs 441,807.53 Bs 0.67 1.254368491 0.964088844
83 tercero2010 Bs 906,033.13 1082606.485379 -Bs 23,437.80 Bs 0.97 0.836899778 0.955978853
84 cuarto2010 Bs 882,595.33 1090756.558591 Bs 142,476.36 Bs 1.16 0.809158858 0.958296397
85 primer2011 Bs 1,025,071.69 1098967.987146 Bs 355,537.60 Bs 1.35 0.932758461 0.956427061
86 segundo2011 Bs 1,380,609.29 1107241.232941 -Bs 458,721.04 Bs 0.67 1.246891147 0.953796652
87 tercero2011 Bs 921,888.25 1115576.761347 -Bs 2,155.18 Bs 1.00 0.826378143 0.956078444
88 cuarto2011 Bs 919,733.07 1123975.04124 Bs 145,154.97 Bs 1.16 0.818286026 0.957976623
89 primer2012 Bs 1,064,888.04 1132436.545025 Bs 367,491.33 Bs 1.35 0.940351177 0.960107339
90 segundo2012 Bs 1,432,379.36 1140961.748664 -Bs 470,483.28 Bs 0.67 1.255414009 0.962702298
91 tercero2012 Bs 961,896.08 1149551.131703 Bs 2,481.92 Bs 1.00 0.836757981 0.966292961
92 cuarto2012 Bs 964,378.01 1158205.177296 Bs 134,142.71 Bs 1.14 0.832648676 0.966550478
93 primer2013 Bs 1,098,520.72 1166924.372235 Bs 389,163.59 Bs 1.35 0.941381245 0.969034616
94 segundo2013 Bs 1,487,684.31 1175709.206979 -Bs 469,290.63 Bs 0.68 1.265350561 0.974775881
95 tercero2013 Bs 1,018,393.68 1184560.175675 Bs 7,797.43 Bs 1.01 0.859723042 0.981571865
96 cuarto2013 Bs 1,026,191.11 1193477.776193 Bs 106,596.77 Bs 1.10 0.859832611 0.981740732
97 primer2014 Bs 1,132,787.88 1202462.510151 Bs 382,886.15 Bs 1.34 0.942056715 0.978167312
98 segundo2014 Bs 1,515,674.03 1211514.882942 -Bs 430,557.72 Bs 0.72 1.251056879 0.985480701
99 tercero2014 Bs 1,085,116.31 1220635.403765 -Bs 11,005.82 Bs 0.99 0.888976598 0.988868827
100 cuarto2014 Bs 1,074,110.49 1229824.585651 Bs 117,256.41 Bs 1.11 0.873385117 0.993727358
101 primer2015 Bs 1,191,366.90 1239082.945494 Bs 395,238.60 Bs 1.33 0.961490837 0.998688128
102 segundo2015 Bs 1,586,605.50 1248411.00408 -Bs 451,128.06 Bs 0.72 1.270899961 1.002129512
103 tercero2015 Bs 1,135,477.44 1257809.286114 Bs 4,727.30 Bs 1.00 0.902742134 1.008715027
104 cuarto2015 Bs 1,140,204.74 1267278.320251 Bs 85,164.78 Bs 1.07 0.899727174 1.008268624
105 primer2016 Bs 1,225,369.52 1276818.639129 Bs 380,020.30 Bs 1.31 0.959705228 1.002528907
106 segundo2016 Bs 1,605,389.83 1286430.779391 -Bs 432,101.57 Bs 0.73 1.247941089 1.003151995
107 tercero2016 Bs 1,173,288.25 1296115.281725 Bs 34,672.65 Bs 1.03 0.905234488 1.009475689
108 cuarto2016 Bs 1,207,960.90 1305872.690884 Bs 123,214.71 Bs 1.10 0.92502195 1.022489265
109 primer2017 Bs 1,331,175.62 1315703.555727 Bs 384,295.36 Bs 1.29 1.011759534 1.034029203
110 segundo2017 Bs 1,715,470.98 1325608.429241 -Bs 449,788.77 Bs 0.74 1.294100839 1.044635395
111 tercero2017 Bs 1,265,682.21 1335587.868579 Bs 30,037.15 Bs 1.02 0.947659256 1.054104955
112 cuarto2017 Bs 1,295,719.36 1345642.435087 Bs 126,856.01 Bs 1.10 0.962900192 1.063483265
113 primer2018 Bs 1,422,575.37 1355772.694337 Bs 445,234.94 Bs 1.31 1.049272771 1.081802626
114 segundo2018 Bs 1,867,810.32 1365979.216159 -Bs 530,456.12 Bs 0.72 1.367378283 1.08782005
115 tercero2018 Bs 1,337,354.19 1376262.574671 Bs 30,551.43 Bs 1.02 0.971728955 1.093720308
116 cuarto2018 Bs 1,367,905.63 1386623.348316 Bs 126,281.59 Bs 1.09 0.986501221 1.098782355
117 primer2019 Bs 1,494,187.22 1397062.11989 Bs 481,416.98 Bs 1.32 1.069520959 1.107824577
118 segundo2019 Bs 1,975,604.20 1407579.476577 -Bs 551,754.84 Bs 0.72 1.403547174 1.115892453
119 tercero2019 Bs 1,423,849.36 1418176.00998 -Bs 4,096.59 Bs 1.00 1.004000457 1.11767504
120 cuarto2019 Bs 1,419,752.77 1428852.316158 0.993631572
121 primer2020 1439608.995656 Bs 7,297.37 Bs 1.04 0
122 segundo2020 1450446.653539 266772.7212845 0.245829034 0
123 tercero2020 1461365.899428 Bs 36.56 Bs 0.24 0
124 cuarto2020 1472367.347535 cv aditivo cv multiplicati 0
125 primer2021 1483451.616694 0
126 segundo2021 1494619.330397 0
127 tercero2021 1505871.116831 0
128 cuarto2021 1517207.608913 0
129 primer2022 1528629.444323 0
130 segundo2022 1540137.265542 0
131 tercero2022 1551731.719888 0
132 cuarto2022 1563413.459553 0
133 primer2023 1575183.141637 0
134 segundo2023 1587041.428188 0
135 tercero2023 1598988.986238 0
136 cuarto2023 1611026.48784

1.6
1.4
1.2
1
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 20 40
 indice de indice est
centra 2 indice estacionalidadnoramlizado prediccion
567083.8434
763970.8102
1.010421734 90.10236787 86.4337741609 86.42815555 513510.3249
1.032634733 88.12304594 87.1392255604 87.1335611 521598.8289
1.050661039 96.22453724 96.8937999424 96.88750138 584354.1176
1.061617367 127.4948027 129.559203933 129.550782 787237.1852 129.5592039
1.057841259 89.41744869 400.026003596 400 529149.0425
1.034146392 93.03895977 537483.8781
1.013272586 91.6451315 0.216070389 602150.3499
0.999187963 124.7339648 86.42815555 811212.1268
0.996939142 88.88049204 545264.03
1.005511964 90.43078066 553852.6992
1.008381817 95.54824705 620488.5582
1.005186282 127.3428824 835917.2141
1.010137692 86.65519764 561869.7919
1.025254931 87.24421759 570720.025
1.035550432 98.29739551 639385.248
1.038173424 129.7031029 861374.6832
1.035832814 86.03616819 578981.2746
1.029289205 87.40065675 588101.0374
1.023929303 97.08329907 658857.4278
1.022163171 128.9470278 887607.4478
1.029165399 85.1958061 596613.8795
1.041976681 86.36100927 606011.3804
1.052232268 99.77132866 678922.6237
1.0576292 129.0412102 914639.1189
1.063123486 85.79642692 614783.4771
1.071170975 84.74098402 624467.1745
1.074924026 101.0230612 699598.8958
1.074691499 129.6243983 942494.027
1.060781005 86.14987415 633506.4214
1.038541348 87.05682032 643485.0313
1.022253455 95.69416953 720904.8541
1.005514586 131.5574484 971197.2434
0.996438062 85.68434377 652799.5642
0.994372526 83.49790345 663082.068
0.987817711 99.15449121 742859.6755
0.987249978 132.1931023 1000774.603
0.990319405 82.71127957 672680.2707
0.991322724 86.79553965 683275.9234
0.992722972 98.10162327 765483.1207
0.99376987 132.6958323 1031252.727
0.994167245 82.14845279 693166.4349
0.993509665 87.69033259 704084.7732
0.99566945 97.04710028 788795.5524
0.998306204 132.3280953 1062659.048
0.996240718 83.47610043 714276.4956
0.991237418 88.51321108 725527.3468
0.985269245 95.76877662 812817.9533
0.977702952 133.3432827 1095021.834
0.982352331 81.56095056 736029.4534
1.002202868 84.53904375 747622.944
1.01811422 99.29128393 837571.9453
1.025118474 136.100087 1128370.214
1.024095633 81.73267816 758444.8874
1.012645012 85.664952 770391.4524
1.00411718 97.84583233 863079.8085
1.001584541 132.9886774 1162734.203
1.001741845 83.05445531 781542.9729
1.007713878 84.57264774 793853.365
1.013462356 98.57068573 889364.5018
1.016893147 134.0632814 1198144.731
1.01752182 83.21126387 805344.4999
1.015628164 85.16848351 818029.7993
1.018659931 97.31033345 916449.6833
1.026475561 132.0875577 1234633.67
1.02509994 85.68732546 829870.8914
1.012028983 88.5184323 842942.5156
1.003919416 94.57126852 944359.7313
0.99921145 129.4141382 1272233.863
 0.994675806 88.09199855 855144.2226
0.994362603 86.51968505 868613.937
0.993601575 95.47559053 973119.7668
0.991851999 130.1996284 1310979.153
0.991696532 87.91750423 881187.2414
0.994863261 85.50700141 895067.1697
0.998034458 95.89297014 1002755.676
0.997953799 131.1006119 1350904.412
0.992624359 88.68495781 908023.3881
0.981685403 85.7299922 922326.0232
0.969514933 95.25261074 1033294.133
0.960033848 130.6587776 1392045.576
0.957137625 87.43776822 935676.8172
0.957361729 84.5196579 950415.0324
0.955111857 97.65960439 1064762.624
0.954937548 130.5730568 1434439.676
0.957027534 86.34841879 964172.4186
0.959041981 85.32327494 979359.4793
0.961404819 97.81011687 1097189.473
0.96449763 130.1624774 1478124.867
0.966421719 86.58311009 993535.8403
0.967792547 86.03586367 1009185.416
0.971905249 96.85936425 1130603.867
0.978173873 129.3584501 1523140.471
0.981656299 87.57882401 1023793.511
0.979954022 87.74213809 1039919.687
0.981824007 95.94965175 1165035.881
0.987174764 126.7310435 1569527 Chart Title
0.991298093 89.67802971 1054972.666
0.996207743 87.67098262 1071589.957 Bs2,500,000.00
1.00040882 96.10979207 1200516.506
1.005422269 126.4045963 1617326.218
1.008491825 89.51407551 1087101.366 Bs2,000,000.00
1.005398765 89.48958417 1104224.729
1.002840451 95.69869538 1237077.677
1.006313842 124.0111223 1666581.134
Bs1,500,000.00
1.015982477 89.09941936 1120208.532 Chart Title
1.028259234 89.95999448 1137853.379 Bs1,000,000.00
1.039332299 97.34706938 Bs2,500,000.00
1274752.301
1.049370175 123.3216714 1717336.086
1.05879411 89.50363881 1154323.961 Bs500,000.00
1.072642945 89.76893908 1172506.173
1.084811338 96.72398643 1313574.288
1.090770179 125.358972 Bs2,000,000.00
1769636.756 Bs-
0 20 40 60 80
1.096251331 88.64107408 1189478.359
1.103303466 89.41340726 1208214.302
1.111858515 96.19218135 1353578.581
1.116783747 125.6776147 1823530.219
Bs1,500,000.00
1225703.368
1245009.906
1394801.186
1879064.982
1263031.593
Bs1,000,000.00
1282926.102
1437279.206
1936291.03
1301496.631
Bs500,000.00
1321997.019
1481050.874
1995259.871
1341133.105
1362257.822
Bs-
1526155.588
0 20 40 60 80 100
2056024.58
1381976.688
1403744.749

Chart Title
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
 Chart Title
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
 Chart Title SERIE TEMPO
Bs2,500,000.00 Bs2,500,000.00

Bs2,000,000.00
Bs2,000,000.00

Bs1,500,000.00
Bs1,500,000.00 Moving average trend line with period = %PERIOD
R² = NaN f(x) = 7201.91604215231 x + 523076.85839
R² = 0.654197985925384
Bs1,000,000.00
Bs1,000,000.00

Bs500,000.00
Bs500,000.00

Bs-
0 20 40
Bs-
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
 Chart Title

Title

0 40 60 80 100 120 140

80 100 120 140 160

 SERIE TEMPORAL CON FUNCION LINEAL

91604215231 x + 523076.85839826
197985925384

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

100 120 140