PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO

Error porcentual absoluto medio

e= vri - pronostico i
𝐸𝑃𝐴𝑀=1/𝑛 ∑_(𝑥−1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (⌈𝑒𝑖/𝑣𝑟𝑖⌉ 〗 )
𝐸𝑃𝐴𝑀=1/𝑛 ∑_(𝑥−1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (⌈𝑒𝑖/𝑣𝑟𝑖⌉ 〗 )

Ponderacion para todos los productos

Periodo PM3 PM6
Primero promedio mas antiguo 20% 10%
Segundo periodo 30% 10%
Tercer periodo (mas antiguo) 50% 10%
Cuarto periodo 20%
Quinto periodo 20%
Sexto periodo (mas reciente) 30%
TOTAL 100% 100%

PERIODO VENTAS REALES (vr)(Und)
1 220
2 170
3 130
4 150
5 175
6 #REF!
7 #REF!
8 #REF!
9 #REF!
10 #REF!
11
CAMISAS
OPERACIÓN MOVIL 3 RESULTADO PROMEDIO
(420*20%)+(385*30%)+(280*50%) 160.0
(385*20%)+(280*30%)+(450*50%) 148.0
(280*20%)+(450*30%)+(380*50%) 158.5
(450*20%)+(380*30%)+(370*50%) #REF!
(380*20%)+(370*30%)+(262*50%) #REF!
(370*20%)+(262*30%)+(336*50%) #REF!
(262*20%)+(336*30%)+(390*50%) #REF!
(335*20%)+(390*30%)+(466*50%) #REF!

CHAQUETAS
PERIODO VENTAS REALES (vr)(Und) OPERACIÓN MOVIL 3 RESULTADO PROMEDIO
1 35 0
2 32
3 40
4 45 (420*20%)+(385*30%)+(280*50%) 36.6
5 55 (385*20%)+(280*30%)+(450*50%) 40.9
6 #REF! (280*20%)+(450*30%)+(380*50%) 49.0
7 #REF! (450*20%)+(380*30%)+(370*50%) #REF!
8 #REF! (380*20%)+(370*30%)+(262*50%) #REF!
9 #REF! (370*20%)+(262*30%)+(336*50%) #REF!
10 #REF! (262*20%)+(336*30%)+(390*50%) #REF!
11 (335*20%)+(390*30%)+(466*50%) #REF!

PANTALONES
PERIODO VENTAS REALES (vr)(Und) OPERACIÓN MOVIL 3 RESULTADO PROMEDIO
1 70
2 82
3 50
4 48 (420*20%)+(385*30%)+(280*50%) 63.6
5 90 (385*20%)+(280*30%)+(450*50%) 55.4
 6 #REF! (280*20%)+(450*30%)+(380*50%) 69.4
7 #REF! (450*20%)+(380*30%)+(370*50%) #REF!
8 #REF! (380*20%)+(370*30%)+(262*50%) #REF!
9 #REF! (370*20%)+(262*30%)+(336*50%) #REF!
10 #REF! (262*20%)+(336*30%)+(390*50%) #REF!
11 (335*20%)+(390*30%)+(466*50%) #REF!
MISAS
RESULTADO PROMEDIO MOVIL 3 PROMEDIO MOVIL 6

160.0
148.0
158.5
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!

QUETAS
RESULTADO PROMEDIO MOVIL 3 PROMEDIO MOVIL 6

36.6
40.9
49.0
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!

TALONES
RESULTADO PROMEDIO MOVIL 3 PROMEDIO MOVIL 6

63.6
55.4
 69.4
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
 ERROR PORCENTUAL ABSOLUTO MEDIO-CAMISAS
e= (PM3) EPAM (PM3) e= (PM3) EPAM (PM3)
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖 𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖 𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖

-10.0
27.0
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!

ERROR PORCENTUAL ABSOLUTO MEDIO-CHAQUETAS

e= (PM3) EPAM (PM3) e= (PM3) EPAM (PM3)
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖 𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖 𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖

8.4
14.1
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!

ERROR PORCENTUAL ABSOLUTO MEDIO-PANTALONES

e= (PM3) EPAM (PM3) e= (PM3) EPAM (PM3)
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖 𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖 𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖

-15.6
34.6
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
EPAM (PM3)

#REF!

EPAM (PM3)

#REF!

EPAM (PM3)

#REF!
#REF!
 PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO
Error porcentual absoluto medio
e= vri - pronostico i
𝐸𝑃𝐴𝑀=1/𝑛 ∑_(𝑥−1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (⌈𝑒𝑖/𝑣𝑟𝑖⌉ 〗 )
𝐸𝑃𝐴𝑀=1/𝑛 ∑_(𝑥−1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (⌈𝑒𝑖/𝑣𝑟𝑖⌉ 〗 )
 CAMISAS
PERIODO VENTAS REALES (vr)(Und) OPERACIÓN MOVIL 3 RESULTADO PROMEDIO MOVIL 3
1 220
2 170
3 130
4 150 173.3
5 175 150.0
6 #REF! 151.7
7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF!

CHAQUETAS
PERIODO VENTAS REALES (vr)(Und) OPERACIÓN MOVIL 3 RESULTADO PROMEDIO MOVIL 3
1 515
2 380
3 450
4 500 448.3
5 430 443.3
6 #REF! 460.0
7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF!

PANTALONES
PERIODO VENTAS REALES (vr)(Und) OPERACIÓN MOVIL 3 RESULTADO PROMEDIO MOVIL 3
1 70
2 82
3 50
4 48 67.3
5 90 60.0
 6 #REF! 62.7
7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF!
 ERROR PORCENTUAL ABSOLUTO MEDIO-CA
PROMEDIO MOVIL 6 e= (PM3)
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖

-23.3
25.0
#REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF!

ERROR PORCENTUAL ABSOLUTO MEDIO-CHA

PROMEDIO MOVIL 6 e= (PM3)
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖

51.7
-13.3
#REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF!

ERROR PORCENTUAL ABSOLUTO MEDIO-PANT

PROMEDIO MOVIL 6 e= (PM3)
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖

-19.3
30.0
 #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF!
CENTUAL ABSOLUTO MEDIO-CAMISAS
EPAM (PM3) e= (PM3) EPAM (PM3)
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖 𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖

#REF! #REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!

ENTUAL ABSOLUTO MEDIO-CHAQUETAS

EPAM (PM3) e= (PM3) EPAM (PM6)
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖 𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖

#REF! #REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!

NTUAL ABSOLUTO MEDIO-PANTALONES

EPAM (PM3) e= (PM3) EPAM (PM6)
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖
𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖 𝑒=𝑣𝑟𝑖−𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜 𝑖

#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!