Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.954913200109279
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.911859219742944 determinar la efectividad del modelo que creamos
R^2 ajustado 0.906962509728663
Error típico 0.501495214538408
Observaciones 20

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresión 1 46.8335408963114 46.8335408963114
Residuos 18 4.52695410368863 0.251497450204924
Total 19 51.360495

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t

Intercepción 2.4230443959271 0.480964609430537 5.03788500945212
Clientes (X) 0.008729338171474 0.000639690077518 13.6461991177648

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico Ventas (Y) Residuos Residuos estándares

1 10.3405541174536 0.859445882546371 1.76072807861165
2 10.5064115427116 0.543588457288372 1.11363784432952
3 6.84008951069273 -8.95106927254E-05 -0.000183378608494
4 8.89148398098902 0.318516019010986 0.652536837454666
5 9.31049221321975 0.109507786780252 0.22434621996133
6 10.1834260303671 -0.10342603036711 -0.211886657932621
7 10.052485957795 -0.602485957795 -1.23429987204768
8 6.87500686337862 -0.14500686337862 -0.297072405752507
9 7.04086428863662 0.199135711363382 0.407964998811771
10 6.089366427946 0.030633572054002 0.062758332501226
11 8.35026501435765 -0.72026501435765 -1.47559126243497
12 10.0350272814521 -0.60502728145206 -1.2395062265264
13 10.4889528663687 -1.02895286636868 -2.10799334801109
14 7.72175266601156 -0.08175266601156 -0.167484907975159
15 6.36870524943315 0.551294750566848 1.12942555968541
16 8.78673192293133 0.163268077068667 0.334483756887649
17 9.35413890407711 -0.02413890407711 -0.049452847536558
18 9.79060581265079 0.439394187349206 0.900177310701993
19 11.2396759491154 0.530324050884591 1.08646334355461
20 7.84396340041219 -0.43396340041219 -0.889051375674371
 conclusión: a mas clientes venderá mas el coeficiente confirma ya que esta cerca del 1.00 que es
el óptimo
1
ue creamos 0.5
14.00

Residuos
0
-0.5300 400
-1
12.00
-1.5

10.00
F Valor crítico de F
186.21875 6.20620849686147E-11
8.00

Ventas (Y)
6.00
Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%
8.55388E-05 1.41257524739856 3.4335135445 1.4125752474 3.43351354446
6.20621E-11 0.007385399188692 0.0100732772 0.00738539919 0.01007327715 4.00

2.00

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

-
Percentil Ventas (Y) 300
2.5 6.12
7.5 6.73
12.5 6.84
17.5 6.92
22.5 7.24
27.5 7.41
32.5 7.63
37.5 7.64
42.5 8.95
47.5 9.21
52.5 9.33
57.5 9.42
62.5 9.43
67.5 9.45
72.5 9.46
77.5 10.08
82.5 10.23
87.5 11.05
92.5 11.2
97.5 11.77
 1
Clientes (X) Curva de regresión ajustada
0.5
14.00
Residuos

0
-0.5300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100
-1
12.00
-1.5
Clientes (X)
10.00 Clientes (X) Gráfico de los residuales

8.00
Ventas (Y)

Ventas (Y)
Pronóstico Ventas (Y)
6.00

4.00

2.00

-
300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100
Clientes (X)
 Gráfico de probabilidad
15

Ventas (Y)
10
5

o Ventas (Y) 0
0 20 40 60 80
Muestra percentil
co de probabilidad normal

40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil
 Almacenes Clientes (X) Ventas (Y) X*Y
1 907 11.20 10,158.400
2 926 11.05 10,232.300
3 506 6.84 3,461.040
4 741 9.21 6,824.610
5 789 9.42 7,432.380
6 889 10.08 8,961.120
7 874 9.45 8,259.300
8 510 6.73 3,432.300
9 529 7.24 3,829.960
10 420 6.12 2,570.400
11 679 7.63 5,180.770
12 872 9.43 8,222.960
13 924 9.46 8,741.040
14 607 7.64 4,637.480
15 452 6.92 3,127.840
16 729 8.95 6,524.550
17 794 9.33 7,408.020
18 844 10.23 8,634.120
19 1,010 11.77 11,887.700
20 621 7.41 4,601.610
20.000 14,623 176.11 134,127.900

B= 2,682,558.000 - 2,575,256.53
226,124,180.000 - 213,832,129.00

B= 107,301.470 B=
12,292,051.000
A= 176.110 - 127.65
20 - 20

A= 8.81 - 6.38

A= 2.423

R= 2,682,558.00 - 2,575,256.53
12,292,051.00 *
 X^2 Y^2 a+bx Y- a+bx
822,649.000 125.440 10.34 0.86
857,476.000 122.103 10.51 0.54
256,036.000 46.786 6.84 (0.00)
549,081.000 84.824 8.89 0.32
622,521.000 88.736 9.31 0.11
790,321.000 101.606 10.18 (0.10)
763,876.000 89.303 10.05 (0.60)
260,100.000 45.293 6.88 (0.15)
279,841.000 52.418 7.04 0.20
176,400.000 37.454 6.09 0.03
461,041.000 58.217 8.35 (0.72)
760,384.000 88.925 10.04 (0.61)
853,776.000 89.492 10.49 (1.03)
368,449.000 58.370 7.72 (0.08)
204,304.000 47.886 6.37 0.55
531,441.000 80.103 8.79 0.16
630,436.000 87.049 9.35 (0.02)
712,336.000 104.653 9.79 0.44
1,020,100.000 138.533 11.24 0.53
385,641.000 54.908 7.84 (0.43)
11,306,209.000 1,602.097 176.110 0.000

n  xy  ( 
N== 20 b 
X media 731.15 n x 2 
Y media 8.81

a   y

n
0.009

20(134
r
20(11306209 ) 
 20(134
r
20(11306209 ) 
n  xy  (  x )(  y )
n  x 2  ( x ) 2

  y

b x
n n

20(134127.9)  (14623)(176.11)
 0.9555
20(11306209 )  14623 2
20(1602.0971)  (176.11) 2
 20(134127.9)  (14623)(176.11)
 0.9555
20(11306209 )  14623 2
20(1602.0971)  (176.11) 2
 2
 0.9555
.11)
 2
 0.9555
.11)