Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
per year
millas L. inferior L. Sup. millas_hat error err^2
1 902 599.97 302.03 91,221.69
2 491 401.37 89.63 8,033.68
3 1841 1,309.95 531.05 282,011.81
4 406 803.58 -397.58 158,072.01
5 0 1,051.51 -1,051.51 ###
6 1899 1,304.64 594.36 353,259.83
7 724 596.89 127.11 16,156.56
8 1404 790.40 613.60 376,503.26
9 1367 1,290.44 76.56 5,861.12
10 560 440.94 119.06 14,176.08
11 1676 1,288.01 387.99 150,536.04
12 1376 1,073.11 302.89 91,744.99
13 1059 1,051.21 7.79 60.74
14 924 1,235.26 -311.26 96,883.73
15 1382 1,129.57 252.43 63,722.95
16 700 1,207.08 -507.08 257,126.08
17 254 615.97 -361.97 131,023.31
18 808 939.14 -131.14 17,196.46
19 938 1,166.44 -228.44 52,185.68
20 1337 935.75 401.25 160,998.60
21 471 1,321.38 -850.38 723,140.56
22 1426 1,210.63 215.37 46,385.07
23 1250 1,046.89 203.11 41,253.68
24 1077 975.24 101.76 10,355.93
25 660 763.19 -103.19 10,648.86
26 1091 1,144.46 -53.46 2,857.69
27 433 913.51 -480.51 230,889.27
28 1135 924.63 210.37 44,254.89
29 915 1,399.39 -484.39 234,634.93
30 2086 1,410.60 675.40 456,166.94
31 1454 972.54 481.46 231,799.54
32 844 743.78 100.22 10,043.36
33 1283 734.16 548.84 301,227.28
34 959 1,385.23 -426.23 181,674.21
35 1383 926.56 456.44 208,338.60
36 1485 1,197.28 287.72 82,784.94
37 615 811.28 -196.28 38,526.10
38 657 745.37 -88.37 7,808.48
39 728 1,203.74 -475.74 226,325.73
40 421 959.54 -538.54 290,022.73
41 647 595.35 51.65 2,667.52
42 870 1,110.44 -240.44 57,813.05
43 249 1,437.46 -1,188.46 ###
44 535 1,147.28 -612.28 374,882.79
45 1265 841.35 423.65 179,478.67
46 1601 1,125.59 475.41 226,010.29
47 1513 1,081.54 431.46 186,160.97
48 1175 883.52 291.48 84,957.96
49 464 527.64 -63.64 4,050.26
50 1115 935.41 179.59 32,253.05
51 701 776.80 -75.80 5,746.38
52 1034 1,008.60 25.40 645.04
53 1820 1,656.34 163.66 26,785.34
54 1185 1,240.49 -55.49 3,078.59
55 0 1,073.23 -1,073.23 ###
56 1288 882.42 405.58 164,499.05
57 1682 1,408.76 273.24 74,661.91
58 772 1,442.69 -670.69 449,818.83
59 1419 1,582.47 -163.47 26,722.13
60 1670 1,180.26 489.74 239,849.63
61 846 1,158.01 -312.01 97,351.01
62 811 1,369.58 -558.58 312,008.14
63 59 349.53 -290.53 84,406.32
64 1311 1,082.39 228.61 52,264.45
65 61 560.75 -499.75 249,748.35
66 1342 1,024.43 317.57 100,851.65
67 1863 896.83 966.17 933,477.36
68 1600 1,146.93 453.07 205,270.88
69 811 686.59 124.41 15,477.74
70 779 899.35 -120.35 14,484.28
71 1849 1,522.32 326.68 106,716.72
72 1412 1,312.43 99.57 9,914.87
73 957 1,009.58 -52.58 2,764.63
74 583 478.53 104.47 10,913.10
75 573 1,104.03 -531.03 281,987.87
76 748 661.35 86.65 7,507.84
77 881 1,161.09 -280.09 78,450.64
78 1698 1,519.51 178.49 31,860.34
79 1323 1,449.48 -126.48 15,996.20
80 465 831.47 -366.47 134,297.18
81 670 915.13 -245.13 60,090.78
82 169 804.95 -635.95 404,429.53
83 1888 1,210.24 677.76 459,358.04
84 594 1,191.72 -597.72 357,272.45
85 1932 1,713.14 218.86 47,898.36
86 1534 940.11 593.89 352,702.15
87 2354 1,346.10 1,007.90 ###
88 1045 1,460.60 -415.60 172,721.89
89 702 732.66 -30.66 940.11
90 1786 1,188.38 597.62 357,145.18
91 766 560.40 205.60 42,270.02
92 1055 894.73 160.27 25,685.86
93 155 814.75 -659.75 435,266.73
94 504 820.69 -316.69 100,291.71
95 1640 1,501.66 138.34 19,137.22
96 98 245.46 -147.46 21,743.55
97 430 776.85 -346.85 120,303.17
98 624 578.29 45.71 2,089.53
99 0 912.62 -912.62 832,870.19
100 1034 882.11 151.89 23,069.73
101 956 1,401.02 -445.02 198,039.35
102 1459 1,377.49 81.51 6,643.55
103 2185 1,308.02 876.98 769,085.27
104 926 951.15 -25.15 632.50
105 0 1,029.05 -1,029.05 ###
106 863 721.54 141.46 20,011.18
107 980 904.57 75.43 5,689.04
108 939 1,037.64 -98.64 9,729.34
109 696 1,402.82 -706.82 499,588.15
110 1583 1,085.16 497.84 247,842.10
111 1757 1,277.87 479.13 229,569.86
112 1057 1,621.69 -564.69 318,876.45
113 1341 1,314.23 26.77 716.85
114 841 983.02 -142.02 20,169.42
115 1056 1,246.04 -190.04 36,114.68
116 482 1,082.43 -600.43 360,514.29
117 1151 1,220.72 -69.72 4,860.20
118 890 1,175.03 -285.03 81,243.22
119 100 546.46 -446.46 199,328.07
120 1284 1,376.43 -92.43 8,542.44
121 1100 1,030.20 69.80 4,872.15
122 537 908.98 -371.98 138,366.03
123 881 945.42 -64.42 4,150.13
124 1662 1,443.32 218.68 47,821.94
125 441 437.21 3.79 14.36
126 535 1,620.15 -1,085.15 ###
127 1623 1,520.79 102.21 10,447.87
128 1580 1,506.54 73.46 5,396.19
129 773 767.26 5.74 32.89
130 1722 1,173.84 548.16 300,482.24
131 792 708.96 83.04 6,895.21
132 1031 1,045.05 -14.05 197.35
133 1957 1,016.69 940.31 884,186.76
134 479 691.60 -212.60 45,197.42
135 1239 1,336.43 -97.43 9,492.14
136 1154 1,158.05 -4.05 16.43
137 1630 1,543.29 86.71 7,518.75
138 2609 1,059.59 1,549.41 ###
139 1647 1,101.51 545.49 297,561.18
140 603 912.66 -309.66 95,889.21
141 716 921.51 -205.51 42,234.25
142 986 1,322.27 -336.27 113,076.76
143 747 857.31 -110.31 12,168.04
144 493 900.93 -407.93 166,409.23
145 1581 1,264.86 316.14 99,945.29
146 358 1,363.72 -1,005.72 ###
147 552 967.19 -415.19 172,385.16
148 1183 987.55 195.45 38,199.68
149 1200 809.91 390.09 152,169.01
150 2464 1,651.09 812.91 660,828.23
151 647 1,189.49 -542.49 294,298.75
152 1135 1,192.87 -57.87 3,349.48
153 498 784.85 -286.85 82,281.68
154 553 652.96 -99.96 9,992.84
155 1250 909.19 340.81 116,149.40
156 1007 705.76 301.24 90,748.20
157 742 1,277.52 -535.52 286,782.19
158 1316 736.04 579.96 336,350.29
159 867 592.19 274.81 75,521.90
160 2327 1,394.86 932.14 868,889.15
161 914 738.56 175.44 30,779.25
162 1444 908.89 535.11 286,342.05
163 0 1,198.14 -1,198.14 ###
164 2211 1,847.11 363.89 132,413.44
165 201 205.71 -4.71 22.23
166 806 885.11 -79.11 6,257.87
167 867 480.38 386.62 149,477.94
168 1731 910.82 820.18 672,698.77
169 480 489.44 -9.44 89.10
170 1060 702.29 357.71 127,957.33
171 586 653.91 -67.91 4,612.32
172 853 1,194.54 -341.54 116,651.02
173 1558 1,631.58 -73.58 5,413.49
174 864 1,314.23 -450.23 202,703.37
175 1496 1,524.21 -28.21 795.77
176 1450 1,229.28 220.72 48,718.34
177 1654 1,584.35 69.65 4,850.61
178 1740 1,295.10 444.90 197,932.98
179 770 793.83 -23.83 567.66
180 0 751.52 -751.52 564,788.31
181 1093 1,099.97 -6.97 48.56
182 2053 1,795.27 257.73 66,423.78
183 2474 1,556.89 917.11 841,098.50
184 1873 1,595.17 277.83 77,187.62
185 1012 732.70 279.30 78,006.32
186 1121 1,632.55 -511.55 261,687.32
187 674 964.16 -290.16 84,190.71
188 1080 973.78 106.22 11,282.36
189 1893 1,585.59 307.41 94,500.39
190 1374 1,250.96 123.04 15,138.89
191 734 1,281.51 -547.51 299,763.78
192 1695 1,407.52 287.48 82,645.03
193 1552 984.52 567.48 322,038.03
194 290 710.50 -420.50 176,822.10
195 841 1,042.86 -201.86 40,747.86
196 330 816.03 -486.03 236,222.51
197 1301 1,290.44 10.56 111.47
198 999 937.25 61.75 3,812.98
199 1467 1,101.29 365.71 133,742.97
200 764 603.05 160.95 25,904.94
201 1164.514623104 269.7 2,059.4
millas const
Promedio 1054.23
Mediana 1003
Max 2609
Min 0
MCO
200 8535 12785 327
XtX= 8535 381625 553673 14771
12785 553673 884173 21210
327 14771 21210 851
210846
XtY= 9319505
14530281
336049
-391.55
betas= 15.74
14.20
-81.83
SCR= 40,098,973
N-K= 196
sigma^2= 204,587
S.D.= 452.31
ELASTICIDADES
Promedio Elasticidad
edad 42.675 edad 0.64
ingreso 63.925 ingreso 0.86
kids 1.635 kids -0.13
Millas 1054.23
VARIANZAS
SD
var(b1)= 28,823.62 169.78
var(b2)= 14.12 3.76
var(b3)= 3.24 1.80
var(b4)= 736.01 27.13
SIGNIFICANCIA INDIVIDUAL
Ho Estadístico t Decisión
beta(int)=0 -2.31 r
beta(edad)=0 4.19 r
beta(ing)=0 7.89 r
beta(kids)=0 -3.02 r
VC(5%) 1.97
TEST DE CHOW
BONDAD DE AJUSTE
PRONÓSTICO
X(201)
constante 1
Edad(201) 47
Ingreso(201) 69
Kids(201) 2
Millas(201)= 1,164.5
Intervalo de confianza
VC(5%)= 1.97
x´(201)*inv(X'X)= -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
x´(201)*inv(X'X)*x(201)= 0.01
var(e_201)= 205,880.21
SD(e_201)= 453.74
3000
2500
2059.354455944
2000 96
1500
1,164.5
1000
500
269.6747902633
51
0
175 180 185 190 195 200 205
average age
of adult annual number of
members of income in children in
household $1000's household
const edad ingreso kids
1 26 41 0
1 38 31 3
1 40 87 2
1 48 54 4
1 43 77 4
1 55 70 2
1 24 43 0
1 39 40 0
1 55 69 2
1 29 38 2
1 42 89 3
1 50 65 3
1 45 69 3
1 42 68 0
1 59 59 3
1 54 70 3
1 32 47 2
1 46 60 3
1 32 80 1
1 46 54 2
1 36 98 3
1 26 84 0
1 40 80 4
1 51 57 3
1 49 27 0
1 41 80 3
1 50 48 2
1 48 51 2
1 59 78 3
1 43 85 1
1 33 71 2
1 32 56 2
1 42 50 3
1 52 79 2
1 33 62 1
1 45 62 0
1 53 49 4
1 26 57 1
1 47 66 1
1 43 59 2
1 23 44 0
1 58 53 2
1 42 88 1
1 38 72 1
1 33 56 1
1 45 80 4
1 30 82 2
1 56 45 3
1 37 41 3
1 55 44 2
1 35 55 2
1 45 66 3
1 48 91 0
1 41 81 2
1 29 71 0
1 32 60 1
1 44 78 0
1 41 101 3
1 58 92 3
1 48 69 2
1 52 63 2
1 37 83 0
1 32 34 3
1 49 61 2
1 26 44 1
1 32 70 1
1 44 65 4
1 47 62 1
1 48 40 3
1 43 49 1
1 51 84 1
1 46 69 0
1 43 51 0
1 42 32 3
1 49 51 0
1 36 40 1
1 54 61 2
1 54 92 3
1 52 72 0
1 38 44 0
1 37 51 0
1 30 51 0
1 42 72 1
1 37 82 2
1 48 95 0
1 44 45 0
1 38 86 1
1 50 75 0
1 34 53 2
1 30 78 0
1 35 34 1
1 40 52 1
1 39 59 3
1 31 51 0
1 49 79 0
1 36 28 4
1 28 57 1
1 33 49 3
1 38 67 3
1 34 52 0
1 46 81 1
1 54 82 3
1 55 76 3
1 56 44 2
1 35 67 1
1 36 50 2
1 42 62 3
1 52 43 0
1 52 86 3
1 53 51 1
1 42 71 0
1 58 89 2
1 52 74 2
1 42 56 1
1 49 61 0
1 42 63 1
1 51 57 0
1 49 56 0
1 40 39 3
1 23 99 0
1 52 54 2
1 33 55 0
1 29 62 0
1 48 76 0
1 38 22 1
1 57 90 2
1 50 85 1
1 57 82 2
1 31 53 1
1 39 67 0
1 23 52 0
1 41 73 3
1 34 73 2
1 35 49 2
1 55 78 3
1 45 65 1
1 51 97 3
1 32 84 3
1 50 67 3
1 31 69 2
1 53 51 3
1 48 79 2
1 46 60 4
1 37 50 0
1 52 59 0
1 31 95 1
1 55 52 3
1 59 49 3
1 24 58 0
1 38 119 3
1 54 63 2
1 54 69 3
1 31 60 2
1 49 25 1
1 45 59 3
1 42 48 3
1 51 61 0
1 34 59 3
1 35 42 2
1 42 85 1
1 33 43 0
1 47 51 2
1 46 84 4
1 52 100 0
1 26 19 1
1 50 46 2
1 41 39 4
1 32 62 1
1 28 31 0
1 56 38 4
1 36 51 3
1 34 74 0
1 53 101 3
1 52 74 2
1 43 93 1
1 57 74 4
1 50 101 3
1 51 68 1
1 32 48 0
1 30 53 1
1 49 68 3
1 46 103 0
1 55 82 1
1 50 96 2
1 27 55 1
1 51 86 0
1 46 56 2
1 36 62 1
1 53 92 2
1 50 66 1
1 47 83 3
1 41 87 1
1 50 53 2
1 24 51 0
1 51 56 2
1 35 52 1
1 55 69 2
1 54 51 3
1 38 63 0
1 28 39 0
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.58
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.34
R^2 ajustado 0.33
Error típico 452.31
Observaciones 200.00
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Regresión 3 20,712,796.22 6,904,265.41 33.75
Residuos 196 40,098,973.20 204,586.60
Total 199 60,811,769.42
z|
Valor crítico de F
0.00
SCRr= 60,811,769
SCRs= 40,098,973
gl num 3
gl den 196
F= 33.75
VC(5%) = 2.65