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miles traveled

per year
millas L. inferior L. Sup. millas_hat error err^2
1 902 599.97 302.03 91,221.69
2 491 401.37 89.63 8,033.68
3 1841 1,309.95 531.05 282,011.81
4 406 803.58 -397.58 158,072.01
5 0 1,051.51 -1,051.51 ###
6 1899 1,304.64 594.36 353,259.83
7 724 596.89 127.11 16,156.56
8 1404 790.40 613.60 376,503.26
9 1367 1,290.44 76.56 5,861.12
10 560 440.94 119.06 14,176.08
11 1676 1,288.01 387.99 150,536.04
12 1376 1,073.11 302.89 91,744.99
13 1059 1,051.21 7.79 60.74
14 924 1,235.26 -311.26 96,883.73
15 1382 1,129.57 252.43 63,722.95
16 700 1,207.08 -507.08 257,126.08
17 254 615.97 -361.97 131,023.31
18 808 939.14 -131.14 17,196.46
19 938 1,166.44 -228.44 52,185.68
20 1337 935.75 401.25 160,998.60
21 471 1,321.38 -850.38 723,140.56
22 1426 1,210.63 215.37 46,385.07
23 1250 1,046.89 203.11 41,253.68
24 1077 975.24 101.76 10,355.93
25 660 763.19 -103.19 10,648.86
26 1091 1,144.46 -53.46 2,857.69
27 433 913.51 -480.51 230,889.27
28 1135 924.63 210.37 44,254.89
29 915 1,399.39 -484.39 234,634.93
30 2086 1,410.60 675.40 456,166.94
31 1454 972.54 481.46 231,799.54
32 844 743.78 100.22 10,043.36
33 1283 734.16 548.84 301,227.28
34 959 1,385.23 -426.23 181,674.21
35 1383 926.56 456.44 208,338.60
36 1485 1,197.28 287.72 82,784.94
37 615 811.28 -196.28 38,526.10
38 657 745.37 -88.37 7,808.48
39 728 1,203.74 -475.74 226,325.73
40 421 959.54 -538.54 290,022.73
41 647 595.35 51.65 2,667.52
42 870 1,110.44 -240.44 57,813.05
43 249 1,437.46 -1,188.46 ###
44 535 1,147.28 -612.28 374,882.79
45 1265 841.35 423.65 179,478.67
46 1601 1,125.59 475.41 226,010.29
47 1513 1,081.54 431.46 186,160.97
48 1175 883.52 291.48 84,957.96
49 464 527.64 -63.64 4,050.26
50 1115 935.41 179.59 32,253.05
51 701 776.80 -75.80 5,746.38
52 1034 1,008.60 25.40 645.04
53 1820 1,656.34 163.66 26,785.34
54 1185 1,240.49 -55.49 3,078.59
55 0 1,073.23 -1,073.23 ###
56 1288 882.42 405.58 164,499.05
57 1682 1,408.76 273.24 74,661.91
58 772 1,442.69 -670.69 449,818.83
59 1419 1,582.47 -163.47 26,722.13
60 1670 1,180.26 489.74 239,849.63
61 846 1,158.01 -312.01 97,351.01
62 811 1,369.58 -558.58 312,008.14
63 59 349.53 -290.53 84,406.32
64 1311 1,082.39 228.61 52,264.45
65 61 560.75 -499.75 249,748.35
66 1342 1,024.43 317.57 100,851.65
67 1863 896.83 966.17 933,477.36
68 1600 1,146.93 453.07 205,270.88
69 811 686.59 124.41 15,477.74
70 779 899.35 -120.35 14,484.28
71 1849 1,522.32 326.68 106,716.72
72 1412 1,312.43 99.57 9,914.87
73 957 1,009.58 -52.58 2,764.63
74 583 478.53 104.47 10,913.10
75 573 1,104.03 -531.03 281,987.87
76 748 661.35 86.65 7,507.84
77 881 1,161.09 -280.09 78,450.64
78 1698 1,519.51 178.49 31,860.34
79 1323 1,449.48 -126.48 15,996.20
80 465 831.47 -366.47 134,297.18
81 670 915.13 -245.13 60,090.78
82 169 804.95 -635.95 404,429.53
83 1888 1,210.24 677.76 459,358.04
84 594 1,191.72 -597.72 357,272.45
85 1932 1,713.14 218.86 47,898.36
86 1534 940.11 593.89 352,702.15
87 2354 1,346.10 1,007.90 ###
88 1045 1,460.60 -415.60 172,721.89
89 702 732.66 -30.66 940.11
90 1786 1,188.38 597.62 357,145.18
91 766 560.40 205.60 42,270.02
92 1055 894.73 160.27 25,685.86
93 155 814.75 -659.75 435,266.73
94 504 820.69 -316.69 100,291.71
95 1640 1,501.66 138.34 19,137.22
96 98 245.46 -147.46 21,743.55
97 430 776.85 -346.85 120,303.17
98 624 578.29 45.71 2,089.53
99 0 912.62 -912.62 832,870.19
100 1034 882.11 151.89 23,069.73
101 956 1,401.02 -445.02 198,039.35
102 1459 1,377.49 81.51 6,643.55
103 2185 1,308.02 876.98 769,085.27
104 926 951.15 -25.15 632.50
105 0 1,029.05 -1,029.05 ###
106 863 721.54 141.46 20,011.18
107 980 904.57 75.43 5,689.04
108 939 1,037.64 -98.64 9,729.34
109 696 1,402.82 -706.82 499,588.15
110 1583 1,085.16 497.84 247,842.10
111 1757 1,277.87 479.13 229,569.86
112 1057 1,621.69 -564.69 318,876.45
113 1341 1,314.23 26.77 716.85
114 841 983.02 -142.02 20,169.42
115 1056 1,246.04 -190.04 36,114.68
116 482 1,082.43 -600.43 360,514.29
117 1151 1,220.72 -69.72 4,860.20
118 890 1,175.03 -285.03 81,243.22
119 100 546.46 -446.46 199,328.07
120 1284 1,376.43 -92.43 8,542.44
121 1100 1,030.20 69.80 4,872.15
122 537 908.98 -371.98 138,366.03
123 881 945.42 -64.42 4,150.13
124 1662 1,443.32 218.68 47,821.94
125 441 437.21 3.79 14.36
126 535 1,620.15 -1,085.15 ###
127 1623 1,520.79 102.21 10,447.87
128 1580 1,506.54 73.46 5,396.19
129 773 767.26 5.74 32.89
130 1722 1,173.84 548.16 300,482.24
131 792 708.96 83.04 6,895.21
132 1031 1,045.05 -14.05 197.35
133 1957 1,016.69 940.31 884,186.76
134 479 691.60 -212.60 45,197.42
135 1239 1,336.43 -97.43 9,492.14
136 1154 1,158.05 -4.05 16.43
137 1630 1,543.29 86.71 7,518.75
138 2609 1,059.59 1,549.41 ###
139 1647 1,101.51 545.49 297,561.18
140 603 912.66 -309.66 95,889.21
141 716 921.51 -205.51 42,234.25
142 986 1,322.27 -336.27 113,076.76
143 747 857.31 -110.31 12,168.04
144 493 900.93 -407.93 166,409.23
145 1581 1,264.86 316.14 99,945.29
146 358 1,363.72 -1,005.72 ###
147 552 967.19 -415.19 172,385.16
148 1183 987.55 195.45 38,199.68
149 1200 809.91 390.09 152,169.01
150 2464 1,651.09 812.91 660,828.23
151 647 1,189.49 -542.49 294,298.75
152 1135 1,192.87 -57.87 3,349.48
153 498 784.85 -286.85 82,281.68
154 553 652.96 -99.96 9,992.84
155 1250 909.19 340.81 116,149.40
156 1007 705.76 301.24 90,748.20
157 742 1,277.52 -535.52 286,782.19
158 1316 736.04 579.96 336,350.29
159 867 592.19 274.81 75,521.90
160 2327 1,394.86 932.14 868,889.15
161 914 738.56 175.44 30,779.25
162 1444 908.89 535.11 286,342.05
163 0 1,198.14 -1,198.14 ###
164 2211 1,847.11 363.89 132,413.44
165 201 205.71 -4.71 22.23
166 806 885.11 -79.11 6,257.87
167 867 480.38 386.62 149,477.94
168 1731 910.82 820.18 672,698.77
169 480 489.44 -9.44 89.10
170 1060 702.29 357.71 127,957.33
171 586 653.91 -67.91 4,612.32
172 853 1,194.54 -341.54 116,651.02
173 1558 1,631.58 -73.58 5,413.49
174 864 1,314.23 -450.23 202,703.37
175 1496 1,524.21 -28.21 795.77
176 1450 1,229.28 220.72 48,718.34
177 1654 1,584.35 69.65 4,850.61
178 1740 1,295.10 444.90 197,932.98
179 770 793.83 -23.83 567.66
180 0 751.52 -751.52 564,788.31
181 1093 1,099.97 -6.97 48.56
182 2053 1,795.27 257.73 66,423.78
183 2474 1,556.89 917.11 841,098.50
184 1873 1,595.17 277.83 77,187.62
185 1012 732.70 279.30 78,006.32
186 1121 1,632.55 -511.55 261,687.32
187 674 964.16 -290.16 84,190.71
188 1080 973.78 106.22 11,282.36
189 1893 1,585.59 307.41 94,500.39
190 1374 1,250.96 123.04 15,138.89
191 734 1,281.51 -547.51 299,763.78
192 1695 1,407.52 287.48 82,645.03
193 1552 984.52 567.48 322,038.03
194 290 710.50 -420.50 176,822.10
195 841 1,042.86 -201.86 40,747.86
196 330 816.03 -486.03 236,222.51
197 1301 1,290.44 10.56 111.47
198 999 937.25 61.75 3,812.98
199 1467 1,101.29 365.71 133,742.97
200 764 603.05 160.95 25,904.94
201 1164.514623104 269.7 2,059.4

millas const
Promedio 1054.23
Mediana 1003
Max 2609
Min 0

MCO
200 8535 12785 327
XtX= 8535 381625 553673 14771
12785 553673 884173 21210
327 14771 21210 851

0.1409 -0.0022 -0.0007 0.0011


inv(XtX)= -0.0022 0.0001 0.0000 -0.0002
-0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0011 -0.0002 0.0000 0.0036

210846
XtY= 9319505
14530281
336049

-391.55
betas= 15.74
14.20
-81.83

SCR= 40,098,973
N-K= 196
sigma^2= 204,587
S.D.= 452.31

ELASTICIDADES
Promedio Elasticidad
edad 42.675 edad 0.64
ingreso 63.925 ingreso 0.86
kids 1.635 kids -0.13
Millas 1054.23

VARIANZAS
SD
var(b1)= 28,823.62 169.78
var(b2)= 14.12 3.76
var(b3)= 3.24 1.80
var(b4)= 736.01 27.13

SIGNIFICANCIA INDIVIDUAL

Ho Estadístico t Decisión
beta(int)=0 -2.31 r
beta(edad)=0 4.19 r
beta(ing)=0 7.89 r
beta(kids)=0 -3.02 r

VC(5%) 1.97

SIGNIFICANCIA CONJUNTA (TEST Rb)


TEST BASADO EN SSR

TEST DE CHOW

BONDAD DE AJUSTE

PRONÓSTICO
X(201)
constante 1
Edad(201) 47
Ingreso(201) 69
Kids(201) 2

Millas(201)= 1,164.5

Intervalo de confianza
VC(5%)= 1.97
x´(201)*inv(X'X)= -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
x´(201)*inv(X'X)*x(201)= 0.01
var(e_201)= 205,880.21
SD(e_201)= 453.74

Lim. Inferior= 269.7


Lim. Superior= 2,059.4

3000

2500

2059.354455944
2000 96

1500

1,164.5
1000

500
269.6747902633
51
0
175 180 185 190 195 200 205

millas L. inferior L. Sup.


MATRIZ X

average age
of adult annual number of
members of income in children in
household $1000's household
const edad ingreso kids
1 26 41 0
1 38 31 3
1 40 87 2
1 48 54 4
1 43 77 4
1 55 70 2
1 24 43 0
1 39 40 0
1 55 69 2
1 29 38 2
1 42 89 3
1 50 65 3
1 45 69 3
1 42 68 0
1 59 59 3
1 54 70 3
1 32 47 2
1 46 60 3
1 32 80 1
1 46 54 2
1 36 98 3
1 26 84 0
1 40 80 4
1 51 57 3
1 49 27 0
1 41 80 3
1 50 48 2
1 48 51 2
1 59 78 3
1 43 85 1
1 33 71 2
1 32 56 2
1 42 50 3
1 52 79 2
1 33 62 1
1 45 62 0
1 53 49 4
1 26 57 1
1 47 66 1
1 43 59 2
1 23 44 0
1 58 53 2
1 42 88 1
1 38 72 1
1 33 56 1
1 45 80 4
1 30 82 2
1 56 45 3
1 37 41 3
1 55 44 2
1 35 55 2
1 45 66 3
1 48 91 0
1 41 81 2
1 29 71 0
1 32 60 1
1 44 78 0
1 41 101 3
1 58 92 3
1 48 69 2
1 52 63 2
1 37 83 0
1 32 34 3
1 49 61 2
1 26 44 1
1 32 70 1
1 44 65 4
1 47 62 1
1 48 40 3
1 43 49 1
1 51 84 1
1 46 69 0
1 43 51 0
1 42 32 3
1 49 51 0
1 36 40 1
1 54 61 2
1 54 92 3
1 52 72 0
1 38 44 0
1 37 51 0
1 30 51 0
1 42 72 1
1 37 82 2
1 48 95 0
1 44 45 0
1 38 86 1
1 50 75 0
1 34 53 2
1 30 78 0
1 35 34 1
1 40 52 1
1 39 59 3
1 31 51 0
1 49 79 0
1 36 28 4
1 28 57 1
1 33 49 3
1 38 67 3
1 34 52 0
1 46 81 1
1 54 82 3
1 55 76 3
1 56 44 2
1 35 67 1
1 36 50 2
1 42 62 3
1 52 43 0
1 52 86 3
1 53 51 1
1 42 71 0
1 58 89 2
1 52 74 2
1 42 56 1
1 49 61 0
1 42 63 1
1 51 57 0
1 49 56 0
1 40 39 3
1 23 99 0
1 52 54 2
1 33 55 0
1 29 62 0
1 48 76 0
1 38 22 1
1 57 90 2
1 50 85 1
1 57 82 2
1 31 53 1
1 39 67 0
1 23 52 0
1 41 73 3
1 34 73 2
1 35 49 2
1 55 78 3
1 45 65 1
1 51 97 3
1 32 84 3
1 50 67 3
1 31 69 2
1 53 51 3
1 48 79 2
1 46 60 4
1 37 50 0
1 52 59 0
1 31 95 1
1 55 52 3
1 59 49 3
1 24 58 0
1 38 119 3
1 54 63 2
1 54 69 3
1 31 60 2
1 49 25 1
1 45 59 3
1 42 48 3
1 51 61 0
1 34 59 3
1 35 42 2
1 42 85 1
1 33 43 0
1 47 51 2
1 46 84 4
1 52 100 0
1 26 19 1
1 50 46 2
1 41 39 4
1 32 62 1
1 28 31 0
1 56 38 4
1 36 51 3
1 34 74 0
1 53 101 3
1 52 74 2
1 43 93 1
1 57 74 4
1 50 101 3
1 51 68 1
1 32 48 0
1 30 53 1
1 49 68 3
1 46 103 0
1 55 82 1
1 50 96 2
1 27 55 1
1 51 86 0
1 46 56 2
1 36 62 1
1 53 92 2
1 50 66 1
1 47 83 3
1 41 87 1
1 50 53 2
1 24 51 0
1 51 56 2
1 35 52 1
1 55 69 2
1 54 51 3
1 38 63 0
1 28 39 0

edad ingreso kids


42.675 63.925 1.635
43 62 2
59 119 4
23 19 0
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.58
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.34
R^2 ajustado 0.33
Error típico 452.31
Observaciones 200.00

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Regresión 3 20,712,796.22 6,904,265.41 33.75
Residuos 196 40,098,973.20 204,586.60
Total 199 60,811,769.42

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad


Intercepción -391.55 169.78 -2.31 0.02
edad 15.74 3.76 4.19 0.00
ingreso 14.20 1.80 7.89 0.00
kids -81.83 27.13 -3.02 0.00

z|
Valor crítico de F
0.00

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%


Superior 95,0%
-726.37 -56.73 -726.37 -56.73
8.33 23.15 8.33 23.15
10.65 17.75 10.65 17.75
-135.33 -28.32 -135.33 -28.32
average age
of adult annual number of miles
members of income in children in traveled per
household $1000's household year
edad ingreso kids km millas
26 41 0 1451.5886 902
38 31 3 790.1663 491
40 87 2 2962.7213 1841
48 54 4 653.3758 406
43 77 4 0 0
55 70 2 3056.0607 1899
24 43 0 1165.1332 724
39 40 0 2259.4572 1404
55 69 2 2199.9131 1367
29 38 2 901.208 560
42 89 3 2697.1868 1676
50 65 3 2214.3968 1376
45 69 3 1704.2487 1059
42 68 0 1486.9932 924
59 59 3 2224.0526 1382
54 70 3 1126.51 700
32 47 2 408.7622 254
46 60 3 1300.3144 808
32 80 1 1509.5234 938
46 54 2 2151.6341 1337
36 98 3 757.9803 471
26 84 0 2294.8618 1426
40 80 4 2011.625 1250
51 57 3 1733.2161 1077
49 27 0 1062.138 660
41 80 3 1755.7463 1091
50 48 2 696.8269 433
48 51 2 1826.5555 1135
59 78 3 1472.5095 915
43 85 1 3356.9998 2086
33 71 2 2339.9222 1454
32 56 2 1358.2492 844
42 50 3 2064.7319 1283
52 79 2 1543.3187 959
33 62 1 2225.6619 1383
45 62 0 2389.8105 1485
53 49 4 989.7195 615
26 57 1 1057.3101 657
47 66 1 1171.5704 728
43 59 2 677.5153 421
23 44 0 1041.2171 647
58 53 2 1400.091 870
42 88 1 400.7157 249
38 72 1 860.9755 535
33 56 1 2035.7645 1265
45 80 4 2576.4893 1601
30 82 2 2434.8709 1513
56 45 3 1890.9275 1175
37 41 3 746.7152 464
55 44 2 1794.3695 1115
35 55 2 1128.1193 701
45 66 3 1664.0162 1034
48 91 0 2928.926 1820
41 81 2 1907.0205 1185
29 71 0 0 0
32 60 1 2072.7784 1288
44 78 0 2706.8426 1682
41 101 3 1242.3796 772
58 92 3 2283.5967 1419
48 69 2 2687.531 1670
52 63 2 1361.4678 846
37 83 0 1305.1423 811
32 34 3 94.9487 59
49 61 2 2109.7923 1311
26 44 1 98.1673 61
32 70 1 2159.6806 1342
44 65 4 2998.1259 1863
47 62 1 2574.88 1600
48 40 3 1305.1423 811
43 49 1 1253.6447 779
51 84 1 2975.5957 1849
46 69 0 2272.3316 1412
43 51 0 1540.1001 957
42 32 3 938.2219 583
49 51 0 922.1289 573
36 40 1 1203.7564 748
54 61 2 1417.7933 881
54 92 3 2732.5914 1698
52 72 0 2129.1039 1323
38 44 0 748.3245 465
37 51 0 1078.231 670
30 51 0 271.9717 169
42 72 1 3038.3584 1888
37 82 2 955.9242 594
48 95 0 3109.1676 1932
44 45 0 2468.6662 1534
38 86 1 3788.2922 2354
50 75 0 1681.7185 1045
34 53 2 1129.7286 702
30 78 0 2874.2098 1786
35 34 1 1232.7238 766
40 52 1 1697.8115 1055
39 59 3 249.4415 155
31 51 0 811.0872 504
49 79 0 2639.252 1640
36 28 4 157.7114 98
28 57 1 691.999 430
33 49 3 1004.2032 624
38 67 3 0 0
34 52 0 1664.0162 1034
46 81 1 1538.4908 956
54 82 3 2347.9687 1459
55 76 3 3516.3205 2185
56 44 2 1490.2118 926
35 67 1 0 0
36 50 2 1388.8259 863
42 62 3 1577.114 980
52 43 0 1511.1327 939
52 86 3 1120.0728 696
53 51 1 2547.5219 1583
42 71 0 2827.5401 1757
58 89 2 1701.0301 1057
52 74 2 2158.0713 1341
42 56 1 1353.4213 841
49 61 0 1699.4208 1056
42 63 1 775.6826 482
51 57 0 1852.3043 1151
49 56 0 1432.277 890
40 39 3 160.93 100
23 99 0 2066.3412 1284
52 54 2 1770.23 1100
33 55 0 864.1941 537
29 62 0 1417.7933 881
48 76 0 2674.6566 1662
38 22 1 709.7013 441
57 90 2 860.9755 535
50 85 1 2611.8939 1623
57 82 2 2542.694 1580
31 53 1 1243.9889 773
39 67 0 2771.2146 1722
23 52 0 1274.5656 792
41 73 3 1659.1883 1031
34 73 2 3149.4001 1957
35 49 2 770.8547 479
55 78 3 1993.9227 1239
45 65 1 1857.1322 1154
51 97 3 2623.159 1630
32 84 3 4198.6637 2609
50 67 3 2650.5171 1647
31 69 2 970.4079 603
53 51 3 1152.2588 716
48 79 2 1586.7698 986
46 60 4 1202.1471 747
37 50 0 793.3849 493
52 59 0 2544.3033 1581
31 95 1 576.1294 358
55 52 3 888.3336 552
59 49 3 1903.8019 1183
24 58 0 1931.16 1200
38 119 3 3965.3152 2464
54 63 2 1041.2171 647
54 69 3 1826.5555 1135
31 60 2 801.4314 498
49 25 1 889.9429 553
45 59 3 2011.625 1250
42 48 3 1620.5651 1007
51 61 0 1194.1006 742
34 59 3 2117.8388 1316
35 42 2 1395.2631 867
42 85 1 3744.8411 2327
33 43 0 1470.9002 914
47 51 2 2323.8292 1444
46 84 4 0 0
52 100 0 3558.1623 2211
26 19 1 323.4693 201
50 46 2 1297.0958 806
41 39 4 1395.2631 867
32 62 1 2785.6983 1731
28 31 0 772.464 480
56 38 4 1705.858 1060
36 51 3 943.0498 586
34 74 0 1372.7329 853
53 101 3 2507.2894 1558
52 74 2 1390.4352 864
43 93 1 2407.5128 1496
57 74 4 2333.485 1450
50 101 3 2661.7822 1654
51 68 1 2800.182 1740
32 48 0 1239.161 770
30 53 1 0 0
49 68 3 1758.9649 1093
46 103 0 3303.8929 2053
55 82 1 3981.4082 2474
50 96 2 3014.2189 1873
27 55 1 1628.6116 1012
51 86 0 1804.0253 1121
46 56 2 1084.6682 674
36 62 1 1738.044 1080
53 92 2 3046.4049 1893
50 66 1 2211.1782 1374
47 83 3 1181.2262 734
41 87 1 2727.7635 1695
50 53 2 2497.6336 1552
24 51 0 466.697 290
51 56 2 1353.4213 841
35 52 1 531.069 330
55 69 2 2093.6993 1301
54 51 3 1607.6907 999
38 63 0 2360.8431 1467
28 39 0 1229.5052 764
TEST F BASADO EN SCR
1054.23
0
beta_r = 0
0

SCRr= 60,811,769
SCRs= 40,098,973
gl num 3
gl den 196
F= 33.75
VC(5%) = 2.65

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